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USA
602,047
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's USA Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 2.12 days (now: 3.47 days)
1
New York City
16,535
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's New York City Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 1.67 days (now: 4.8 days)
2
Santa Clara and San Mateo
2,402
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Santa Clara and San Mateo Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 3.45 days (now: 5.53 days)
3
San Francisco
1,113
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's San Francisco Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 4.16 days
4
King County (Seattle)
5,719
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's King County (Seattle) Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 2.12 days (now: 5.52 days)
5
Multnomah County (Portland)
686
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Multnomah County (Portland) Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 1.84 days (now: 2.54 days)
6
Westchester County
25,240
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Westchester County Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 2.04 days (now: 4.7 days)
7
Alameda County
1,055
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Alameda County Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 2.58 days (now: 3.77 days)
8
Orleans Parish
4,724
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Orleans Parish Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 2.45 days (now: 4.26 days)
9
Bay Area
4,990
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Bay Area Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 2.62 days (now: 4.51 days)
10
California
26,451
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's California Projection as of 2020-03-30
Doubling Time: 2.41 days (now: 3.63 days)
11
Doubling Time
Overall US: 3.5 days
0
2
4
State
DoublingTime Steve's 7 day estimation of doubling time 2020-03-30
12
Doubling Time
3.0
4.0
5.0
Doubling Time
Steve's 7 day estimation of doubling time 2020-03-30
13
All states in 1 week
Overall US: 20.2 cases
0
30
60
90
State
Casesper10,000in1week Steve's projection for 2020-04-05
14
Projected Cases per 10,000
25
50
75
100
Cases Per 10000
Steve's projection for 2020-04-05
15

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COVID-19 Analysis: March 29, 2020