FCM 2063: PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
May 2015 Semester
CREDIT HOURS: 3 units
Lecture: 3 hours/wk
Tutorial: 1 hour/wk
COURSE MANAGEMENT
Semester May 2015
Pre-requisite Engineering Math II
Schedule
i. Lectures
ii. Tutorials
As per time table
As per time table
Lecturer:
Name
e-mail
Room
Telephone
Name
e-mail
Room
Telephone
Name
e-mail
Room
Telephone
Dr. Afza Bt Shafie
afza@petronas.com.my
20-03-12
05-3687680
AP Dr. Radzuan Razali (Coordinator)
radzuan_razali@petronas.com.my
20-03-19
05-3687679
Dr.S.Rajalingam
raja.sokkalingam@petronas.com.my
01-03-19
05-368
Consultation Hours As per scheduled by each lecturer
SYNOPSIS:
This course is an introduction to Probability and Statistics for engineering with four major
areas:
Part I : Descriptive Statistics
Part II : Inferential Statistics
Part III : Design of Experiment and Factorial Design
Part IV: Probability and Distributions
Effective Date: 18/5/2015 1
OBJECTIVES:
Upon the completion of the course, students are expected to be able to:
1. Analyze data from engineering and science.
2. Organize, summarize and present data by using graphical techniques (Part I).
3. Draw conclusions about characteristics of population based on sample data by
using suitable techniques (Part II).
4. Conduct engineering experiment involving two factors, analyze and interpret
effects (Part III)
5. Develop the probability based tools that will be used in statistical inference
(Part IV).
GRADING
Coursework:
Tests (2)
Quizzes (5)
Assignment (2)
40%
20%
10%
10%
Final Examination 60%
Total 100%
F
0.0
D
1.0
D+
1.5
C
2.0
C+
2.5
B
3.0
B+
3.5
A-
3.75
A
4.0
0-
39.9
40-
44.9
45-
49.9
50-
54.9
55-
64.9
65-
74.9
75-
79.9
80-
84.9
85-
100
TEXT
D. C. Montgomery, G.C. Runger and N.F. Hubele, Engineering Statistics (4th
edition). Wiley, 2007.
REFERENCE BOOKS
1. D.C. Montgomery and G.C. Runger. Applied Statistics and Probability fro
Engineers (4th
. Ed.), John Wiley, 2007
2. J.L. Devore. Probability and Statistics for Engineering and Science (6th
ed)
Thomson: Canada 2003.
3. J.S. Milton and J.C. Arnold. Introduction to Probability and Statistics (4th
ed)
Mc Graw Hill, 2004.
4. R.E. Walpole, S.L. Myers, R.H. Myers and K. Ye. Probability and Statistics
for Engineering and Scientists (8th
ed) Pearson Education, 2007.
Effective Date: 18/5/2015 2
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Examination:
Final examination is scheduled on the 16th
week of the semester. Five (5)
questions representing the main topics for the course will be given and answer
ALL questions.
In order to pass the course, students must get marks at least 20% in
Final Exam.
Tests:
Two (2) tests with three questions each will be given on the 6th
and 12th
week.
Students will be required to sit and answer all given questions. Any attempt to
copy or cheat will result in students being barred from completing the course.
Assignments:
One (1) assignment and one (1) case study will be given where the members of
each group need to discuss and give a written solution on the spot during the
tutorial class. Students will be assigned in group.
Quizzes:
Five (5) quizzes will be given during lecture or tutorial based on the
workbook.
Attendance:
Attendance to lectures and tutorials are compulsory. With less than 85%
attendance and absenteeism without valid reason will be barred from taking the
final exam.
E-learning:
All students are required to register and enroll in the course module. Failure to
register will result in student being barred from completing the course. Refer to e-
learning for update on course materials and announcements. All students are
required to down load the work book and have to bring it during lecture. Students
are also encouraged to purchase the textbook.
Enrollment Code: FDM2063
Effective Date: 18/5/2015 3
COURSE OUTLINE
Week/Date Topics Tutorial Assessment
W1:
18/5- 22/5
Chapter 1: Probability:
Sample space,
probability of events,
Counting rule
W2:
25/5 - 29/5
Chapter 1: Probability;
Conditional Probability,
Multiplication Rule,
Bayes Theorem
Quiz 1
W3:
01/6 - 05/6
5/6 - AGONG
Birthday Holiday
Replacement
Chapter 2: Descriptive
Statistics - Numerical
Summary of Data,
Graphical Display of
Data
Tutorial 1
(Chap. 1-2)
W4:
08/6 - 12/6
Chapter 3:
Discrete and
Continuous Random
Variables
Tutorial 2
(Chap. 3-4)
W5:
15/6 - 19/6
Chapter 3:
Discrete Probability
Distribution Functions –
Binomial and Poisson
Distributions
Tutorial 3
(Assignment 1)
Quiz 2
W6:
22/6 – 26/6
Chapter 4: Continuous
Probability Distribution
Functions – Exponential
and Normal
Distributions
Tutorial 4
(Chap. 5)
W7:
29/6 - 03/7
3/7 – Nuzul Al-
Quran Holiday
Replacement
Chapter 5:
Random Sample and
Central Limit Theorem;
Normal approximation,
R and X control
charts.
Tutorial 5
(Chap. 6)
Test 1:
JULY 1,
Wednesday
4:30 - 6:30PM
(Chap. 1- 3)
W8:
06/7– 10/7
Chapter 6:
Point estimate;
Hypothesis testing
Tutorial 6
(Chap. 7)
Assignment 1
W9:
13/7 - 17/7
17-18/7 – Hari
Raya Puasa
Chapter 6: Hypothesis
testing for single
population
Tutorial 7
(Chap. 8)
Quiz 3
Effective Date: 18/5/2015 4
W10:
20/7 – 24/7
Chapter 7: Hypothesis
testing for two
populations
Tutorial 8
(Assignment 2)
W11:
27/7 - 31/7
Chapter 8:
Simple linear
regression model
Tutorial 9
(Chap. 9)
Quiz 4
W12:
03/8 - 07/8
Chapter 9:
Multiple linear
regression model
Tutorial 10
(Chap.10)
Test 2:
AUGUST 5,
Wednesday
4.30 - 6:30PM
(Chap. 6- 9)
W13:
10/8 - 14/8
Chapter 10:
Design of Experiments,
One-way ANOVA
Tutorial 11
(Chap.11)
Assignment 2
W14:
17/8- 21/8
Chapter 10:
Two-way ANOVA and
Regression Model
Quiz 5
W15:
22/8 – 26/8 STUDY WEEK
(5 days)
27/8 – 06/9 EXAM WEEK (11 days)
7/9 – 20/9
(May intake)
END OF SEMESTER
BREAK
(2 weeks)
Effective Date: 18/5/2015 5
W10:
20/7 – 24/7
Chapter 7: Hypothesis
testing for two
populations
Tutorial 8
(Assignment 2)
W11:
27/7 - 31/7
Chapter 8:
Simple linear
regression model
Tutorial 9
(Chap. 9)
Quiz 4
W12:
03/8 - 07/8
Chapter 9:
Multiple linear
regression model
Tutorial 10
(Chap.10)
Test 2:
AUGUST 5,
Wednesday
4.30 - 6:30PM
(Chap. 6- 9)
W13:
10/8 - 14/8
Chapter 10:
Design of Experiments,
One-way ANOVA
Tutorial 11
(Chap.11)
Assignment 2
W14:
17/8- 21/8
Chapter 10:
Two-way ANOVA and
Regression Model
Quiz 5
W15:
22/8 – 26/8 STUDY WEEK
(5 days)
27/8 – 06/9 EXAM WEEK (11 days)
7/9 – 20/9
(May intake)
END OF SEMESTER
BREAK
(2 weeks)
Effective Date: 18/5/2015 5

Course outline

  • 1.
    FCM 2063: PROBABILITYAND STATISTICS May 2015 Semester CREDIT HOURS: 3 units Lecture: 3 hours/wk Tutorial: 1 hour/wk COURSE MANAGEMENT Semester May 2015 Pre-requisite Engineering Math II Schedule i. Lectures ii. Tutorials As per time table As per time table Lecturer: Name e-mail Room Telephone Name e-mail Room Telephone Name e-mail Room Telephone Dr. Afza Bt Shafie afza@petronas.com.my 20-03-12 05-3687680 AP Dr. Radzuan Razali (Coordinator) radzuan_razali@petronas.com.my 20-03-19 05-3687679 Dr.S.Rajalingam raja.sokkalingam@petronas.com.my 01-03-19 05-368 Consultation Hours As per scheduled by each lecturer SYNOPSIS: This course is an introduction to Probability and Statistics for engineering with four major areas: Part I : Descriptive Statistics Part II : Inferential Statistics Part III : Design of Experiment and Factorial Design Part IV: Probability and Distributions Effective Date: 18/5/2015 1
  • 2.
    OBJECTIVES: Upon the completionof the course, students are expected to be able to: 1. Analyze data from engineering and science. 2. Organize, summarize and present data by using graphical techniques (Part I). 3. Draw conclusions about characteristics of population based on sample data by using suitable techniques (Part II). 4. Conduct engineering experiment involving two factors, analyze and interpret effects (Part III) 5. Develop the probability based tools that will be used in statistical inference (Part IV). GRADING Coursework: Tests (2) Quizzes (5) Assignment (2) 40% 20% 10% 10% Final Examination 60% Total 100% F 0.0 D 1.0 D+ 1.5 C 2.0 C+ 2.5 B 3.0 B+ 3.5 A- 3.75 A 4.0 0- 39.9 40- 44.9 45- 49.9 50- 54.9 55- 64.9 65- 74.9 75- 79.9 80- 84.9 85- 100 TEXT D. C. Montgomery, G.C. Runger and N.F. Hubele, Engineering Statistics (4th edition). Wiley, 2007. REFERENCE BOOKS 1. D.C. Montgomery and G.C. Runger. Applied Statistics and Probability fro Engineers (4th . Ed.), John Wiley, 2007 2. J.L. Devore. Probability and Statistics for Engineering and Science (6th ed) Thomson: Canada 2003. 3. J.S. Milton and J.C. Arnold. Introduction to Probability and Statistics (4th ed) Mc Graw Hill, 2004. 4. R.E. Walpole, S.L. Myers, R.H. Myers and K. Ye. Probability and Statistics for Engineering and Scientists (8th ed) Pearson Education, 2007. Effective Date: 18/5/2015 2
  • 3.
    ADDITIONAL INFORMATION Examination: Final examinationis scheduled on the 16th week of the semester. Five (5) questions representing the main topics for the course will be given and answer ALL questions. In order to pass the course, students must get marks at least 20% in Final Exam. Tests: Two (2) tests with three questions each will be given on the 6th and 12th week. Students will be required to sit and answer all given questions. Any attempt to copy or cheat will result in students being barred from completing the course. Assignments: One (1) assignment and one (1) case study will be given where the members of each group need to discuss and give a written solution on the spot during the tutorial class. Students will be assigned in group. Quizzes: Five (5) quizzes will be given during lecture or tutorial based on the workbook. Attendance: Attendance to lectures and tutorials are compulsory. With less than 85% attendance and absenteeism without valid reason will be barred from taking the final exam. E-learning: All students are required to register and enroll in the course module. Failure to register will result in student being barred from completing the course. Refer to e- learning for update on course materials and announcements. All students are required to down load the work book and have to bring it during lecture. Students are also encouraged to purchase the textbook. Enrollment Code: FDM2063 Effective Date: 18/5/2015 3
  • 4.
    COURSE OUTLINE Week/Date TopicsTutorial Assessment W1: 18/5- 22/5 Chapter 1: Probability: Sample space, probability of events, Counting rule W2: 25/5 - 29/5 Chapter 1: Probability; Conditional Probability, Multiplication Rule, Bayes Theorem Quiz 1 W3: 01/6 - 05/6 5/6 - AGONG Birthday Holiday Replacement Chapter 2: Descriptive Statistics - Numerical Summary of Data, Graphical Display of Data Tutorial 1 (Chap. 1-2) W4: 08/6 - 12/6 Chapter 3: Discrete and Continuous Random Variables Tutorial 2 (Chap. 3-4) W5: 15/6 - 19/6 Chapter 3: Discrete Probability Distribution Functions – Binomial and Poisson Distributions Tutorial 3 (Assignment 1) Quiz 2 W6: 22/6 – 26/6 Chapter 4: Continuous Probability Distribution Functions – Exponential and Normal Distributions Tutorial 4 (Chap. 5) W7: 29/6 - 03/7 3/7 – Nuzul Al- Quran Holiday Replacement Chapter 5: Random Sample and Central Limit Theorem; Normal approximation, R and X control charts. Tutorial 5 (Chap. 6) Test 1: JULY 1, Wednesday 4:30 - 6:30PM (Chap. 1- 3) W8: 06/7– 10/7 Chapter 6: Point estimate; Hypothesis testing Tutorial 6 (Chap. 7) Assignment 1 W9: 13/7 - 17/7 17-18/7 – Hari Raya Puasa Chapter 6: Hypothesis testing for single population Tutorial 7 (Chap. 8) Quiz 3 Effective Date: 18/5/2015 4
  • 5.
    W10: 20/7 – 24/7 Chapter7: Hypothesis testing for two populations Tutorial 8 (Assignment 2) W11: 27/7 - 31/7 Chapter 8: Simple linear regression model Tutorial 9 (Chap. 9) Quiz 4 W12: 03/8 - 07/8 Chapter 9: Multiple linear regression model Tutorial 10 (Chap.10) Test 2: AUGUST 5, Wednesday 4.30 - 6:30PM (Chap. 6- 9) W13: 10/8 - 14/8 Chapter 10: Design of Experiments, One-way ANOVA Tutorial 11 (Chap.11) Assignment 2 W14: 17/8- 21/8 Chapter 10: Two-way ANOVA and Regression Model Quiz 5 W15: 22/8 – 26/8 STUDY WEEK (5 days) 27/8 – 06/9 EXAM WEEK (11 days) 7/9 – 20/9 (May intake) END OF SEMESTER BREAK (2 weeks) Effective Date: 18/5/2015 5
  • 6.
    W10: 20/7 – 24/7 Chapter7: Hypothesis testing for two populations Tutorial 8 (Assignment 2) W11: 27/7 - 31/7 Chapter 8: Simple linear regression model Tutorial 9 (Chap. 9) Quiz 4 W12: 03/8 - 07/8 Chapter 9: Multiple linear regression model Tutorial 10 (Chap.10) Test 2: AUGUST 5, Wednesday 4.30 - 6:30PM (Chap. 6- 9) W13: 10/8 - 14/8 Chapter 10: Design of Experiments, One-way ANOVA Tutorial 11 (Chap.11) Assignment 2 W14: 17/8- 21/8 Chapter 10: Two-way ANOVA and Regression Model Quiz 5 W15: 22/8 – 26/8 STUDY WEEK (5 days) 27/8 – 06/9 EXAM WEEK (11 days) 7/9 – 20/9 (May intake) END OF SEMESTER BREAK (2 weeks) Effective Date: 18/5/2015 5