This document provides an overview of a webinar on cost-benefit analysis and its application to justice policy for state legislators. The webinar agenda includes an introduction, basics of cost-benefit analysis, a presentation from Senator Karen Fraser on how Washington State has used cost-benefit analysis to successfully implement evidence-based justice policies, and a question and answer session. Senator Fraser highlights six major successes in the criminal justice field in Washington resulting from policies identified through the state's nonpartisan research institute, which conducts cost-benefit analyses to identify options that improve outcomes and save money.
STAT 3300 Homework #6Due Thursday, 03282019Note Answe.docxrafaelaj1
STAT 3300 Homework #6
Due Thursday, 03/28/2019
Note: Answer these questions on a separate piece of paper. In the top right corner, include
your name, SMU ID, and course number. Please include a title for the assignment so that
it is clear to the graders. If you miss class the day the assignment is turned in, submit this
before class in order to receive credit.
Question 1 (25 points total)
Kiplinger’s “Best Values in Public Colleges” provides a ranking of U.S. public colleges based on a combination
of various measures of academics and affordability. The dataset “EX11-18BESTVAL.csv” includes a sample of
25 colleges from Kiplinger’s 2015 report. Let’s focus on the relationship between the average debt in dollars at
graduation (AveDebt, the response variable) and the explanatory variables Admit (admission rate), GradRate
(graduation rate), InCostAid (in-state cost per year after need-based aid), and OutCostAid (out-state cost
per year after need-based aid).
a) (2 points) Write out the statistical model for this analysis, making sure to specify all assumptions.
b) (3 points) Run the multiple regression model in R and report the fitted regression equation.
c) (5 points) State the null and alternative hypothesis for the overall F test, report the overall F statistic,
its degrees of freedom, and the p-value. What do you conclude based on this test result?
d) (2 points) Obtain the residuals from part (b), construct a residual plot of residuals against the predicted
outcome ŷ, and check assumptions. Is Baruch College an unusual case? Provide a brief summary.
e) (3 points) Run the same multiple regression model but this time without Baruch College, and specify the
fitted regression equation. Again comment on the residuals (i.e., construct a residual plot of residuals
against the predicted outcome ŷ and check assumptions).
f) (5 points) For the model in part (e) (i.e., the multiple regression model without Baruch College), report
the overall F statistic, its degrees of freedom, and the p-value. What do you conclude based on this
test result?
g) (5 points) For the model in part (e) that included all p = 4 explanatory variables, only InCostAid is
found significant using the individual parameter t tests. This raises the question whether these other
three variables further contribute to the prediction of average debt given in-state cost is in the model.
Conduct a partial F test to answer this question.
1
Question 1 (25 points total)
Learning Objectives
After studying this chapter, you should be able to accomplish the following objectives:
▪ Describe the philosophical shift that has occurred in reducing juvenile delinquency.
▪ Summarize the importance of prevention and treatment.
▪ Explain the principles of effective intervention.
▪ Explain how need factors contribute to risk for delinquent behavior.
▪ Describe each generation of risk and need assessment tools.
▪ Explain the significance of responsivity factors with regard to treatment..
The National Collaborating Centre for Methods and Tools is excited to present a two-part webinar featuring the Policy Readiness Tool
Part 1: Overview of the Policy Readiness Tool
(ALSO ON YOUTUBE: https://youtu.be/FPzViyniKDQ)
Learn how the Policy Readiness Tool was developed and how to use the tool in your practice.
(Part 2 is available here: http://www.slideshare.net/NCCMT/nccmt-webinar-policy-readiness-tool-part-2)
A summary statement of this tool developed by NCCMT is available here: http://www.nccmt.ca/registry/view/eng/144.html
Presented by the National Collaborating Centre for Methods and Tools (NCCMT) with guests:
Candace Nykiforuk, PhD, CE, Associate Professor, School of Public Health, University of Alberta; CIHR/PHAC/AIHS Applied Public Health Chair
and
Kayla Atkey, MSc, Policy Analyst, Alberta Policy Coalition for Chronic Disease Prevention (APCCP)
NCCMT is one of six NCCs for Public Health in Canada. More on the NCCs at www.nccph.ca. Production of this webinar has been made possible through a financial contribution from the Public Health Agency of Canada. The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent the views of the Public Health Agency of Canada.
Department of Education Preliminary Regulatory Reform PlanObama White House
When President Obama unveiled his plan to create a 21st-century regulatory system that protects the health and safety of Americans in a cost-effective way, he called for an unprecedented government-wide review of rules already on the books. As a result of that review, the Department of Education has identified initiatives to reduce burdens and save money. Read the agency plan and share your comments, feedback and questions.
Visit WhiteHouse.gov/RegulatoryReform to view all the plans and learn more.
Randomised control trials: lessons for Civic Tech - Andrew Westbury (Center f...mysociety
This was presented by Andrew Westbury from the Center for Effective Global Action at the Impacts of Civic Technology Conference (TICTeC 2017) in Florence on 25th April. You can find out more information about the conference here: http://tictec.mysociety.org
Session description: Randomised controlled trials have dramatically changed the development landscape, casting doubt on the effectiveness of accepted strategies, and identifying the value of less orthodox activities.
Randomized Controlled Trials: Insights for Civic Tech Andrew Westbury
Randomized controlled trials – or RCTs – have dramatically changed the development landscape, casting doubt on the effectiveness of accepted strategies – like microfinance – and identifying the value of previously-unorthodox activities, like unconditional cash transfers.
However, what have these powerful tools taught us about state capacity, government accountability, and responsiveness? Moreover, what does the RCT literature tell us about the use of technology to improve public services and galvanize citizen groups?
Unfortunately, state capacity and government accountability are some of the least-researched areas of international development. The International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3ie) reports that less than 3% of registered impact evaluations focus on governance-related issues.
Moreover, a review of 175 recent RCTs identified only approximately 30 that included a specific tech-focus and few of these evaluated used tech from the “bottom-up” to catalyse community-action, peer-to-peer collaboration, and citizen-led efforts to address civic issues.
The Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA) at UC-Berkeley has recently launched a multi-year effort to support randomised evaluations of governance interventions around the world. As a part of this process, CEGA this year published a white paper, surveying over 200 recent impact evaluations on governance issues to identify “what works” and highlight open research questions.
STAT 3300 Homework #6Due Thursday, 03282019Note Answe.docxrafaelaj1
STAT 3300 Homework #6
Due Thursday, 03/28/2019
Note: Answer these questions on a separate piece of paper. In the top right corner, include
your name, SMU ID, and course number. Please include a title for the assignment so that
it is clear to the graders. If you miss class the day the assignment is turned in, submit this
before class in order to receive credit.
Question 1 (25 points total)
Kiplinger’s “Best Values in Public Colleges” provides a ranking of U.S. public colleges based on a combination
of various measures of academics and affordability. The dataset “EX11-18BESTVAL.csv” includes a sample of
25 colleges from Kiplinger’s 2015 report. Let’s focus on the relationship between the average debt in dollars at
graduation (AveDebt, the response variable) and the explanatory variables Admit (admission rate), GradRate
(graduation rate), InCostAid (in-state cost per year after need-based aid), and OutCostAid (out-state cost
per year after need-based aid).
a) (2 points) Write out the statistical model for this analysis, making sure to specify all assumptions.
b) (3 points) Run the multiple regression model in R and report the fitted regression equation.
c) (5 points) State the null and alternative hypothesis for the overall F test, report the overall F statistic,
its degrees of freedom, and the p-value. What do you conclude based on this test result?
d) (2 points) Obtain the residuals from part (b), construct a residual plot of residuals against the predicted
outcome ŷ, and check assumptions. Is Baruch College an unusual case? Provide a brief summary.
e) (3 points) Run the same multiple regression model but this time without Baruch College, and specify the
fitted regression equation. Again comment on the residuals (i.e., construct a residual plot of residuals
against the predicted outcome ŷ and check assumptions).
f) (5 points) For the model in part (e) (i.e., the multiple regression model without Baruch College), report
the overall F statistic, its degrees of freedom, and the p-value. What do you conclude based on this
test result?
g) (5 points) For the model in part (e) that included all p = 4 explanatory variables, only InCostAid is
found significant using the individual parameter t tests. This raises the question whether these other
three variables further contribute to the prediction of average debt given in-state cost is in the model.
Conduct a partial F test to answer this question.
1
Question 1 (25 points total)
Learning Objectives
After studying this chapter, you should be able to accomplish the following objectives:
▪ Describe the philosophical shift that has occurred in reducing juvenile delinquency.
▪ Summarize the importance of prevention and treatment.
▪ Explain the principles of effective intervention.
▪ Explain how need factors contribute to risk for delinquent behavior.
▪ Describe each generation of risk and need assessment tools.
▪ Explain the significance of responsivity factors with regard to treatment..
The National Collaborating Centre for Methods and Tools is excited to present a two-part webinar featuring the Policy Readiness Tool
Part 1: Overview of the Policy Readiness Tool
(ALSO ON YOUTUBE: https://youtu.be/FPzViyniKDQ)
Learn how the Policy Readiness Tool was developed and how to use the tool in your practice.
(Part 2 is available here: http://www.slideshare.net/NCCMT/nccmt-webinar-policy-readiness-tool-part-2)
A summary statement of this tool developed by NCCMT is available here: http://www.nccmt.ca/registry/view/eng/144.html
Presented by the National Collaborating Centre for Methods and Tools (NCCMT) with guests:
Candace Nykiforuk, PhD, CE, Associate Professor, School of Public Health, University of Alberta; CIHR/PHAC/AIHS Applied Public Health Chair
and
Kayla Atkey, MSc, Policy Analyst, Alberta Policy Coalition for Chronic Disease Prevention (APCCP)
NCCMT is one of six NCCs for Public Health in Canada. More on the NCCs at www.nccph.ca. Production of this webinar has been made possible through a financial contribution from the Public Health Agency of Canada. The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent the views of the Public Health Agency of Canada.
Department of Education Preliminary Regulatory Reform PlanObama White House
When President Obama unveiled his plan to create a 21st-century regulatory system that protects the health and safety of Americans in a cost-effective way, he called for an unprecedented government-wide review of rules already on the books. As a result of that review, the Department of Education has identified initiatives to reduce burdens and save money. Read the agency plan and share your comments, feedback and questions.
Visit WhiteHouse.gov/RegulatoryReform to view all the plans and learn more.
Randomised control trials: lessons for Civic Tech - Andrew Westbury (Center f...mysociety
This was presented by Andrew Westbury from the Center for Effective Global Action at the Impacts of Civic Technology Conference (TICTeC 2017) in Florence on 25th April. You can find out more information about the conference here: http://tictec.mysociety.org
Session description: Randomised controlled trials have dramatically changed the development landscape, casting doubt on the effectiveness of accepted strategies, and identifying the value of less orthodox activities.
Randomized Controlled Trials: Insights for Civic Tech Andrew Westbury
Randomized controlled trials – or RCTs – have dramatically changed the development landscape, casting doubt on the effectiveness of accepted strategies – like microfinance – and identifying the value of previously-unorthodox activities, like unconditional cash transfers.
However, what have these powerful tools taught us about state capacity, government accountability, and responsiveness? Moreover, what does the RCT literature tell us about the use of technology to improve public services and galvanize citizen groups?
Unfortunately, state capacity and government accountability are some of the least-researched areas of international development. The International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3ie) reports that less than 3% of registered impact evaluations focus on governance-related issues.
Moreover, a review of 175 recent RCTs identified only approximately 30 that included a specific tech-focus and few of these evaluated used tech from the “bottom-up” to catalyse community-action, peer-to-peer collaboration, and citizen-led efforts to address civic issues.
The Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA) at UC-Berkeley has recently launched a multi-year effort to support randomised evaluations of governance interventions around the world. As a part of this process, CEGA this year published a white paper, surveying over 200 recent impact evaluations on governance issues to identify “what works” and highlight open research questions.
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
Do Linguistics Still Matter in the Age of Large Language Models.pptx
Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) and Justice Policy for State Legislators
1. An Introduction to Cost-Benefit Analysis
(CBA) & Justice Policy for State Legislators
December 15, 2010
Senator Karen Fraser, Washington State Senate
Tina Chiu, Vera Institute of Justice
Slide 1
2. An Introduction to Cost-Benefit Analysis
(CBA) & Justice Policy for State Legislators
December 15, 2010
Senator Karen Fraser, Tina Chiu,
Washington State Senate Vera Institute of Justice
Slide 2
3. The Cost-Benefit Knowledge Bank for Criminal Justice
(CBKB) is a project of the Vera Institute of Justice
funded by the U.S. Department of Justice’s Bureau of
Justice Assistance.
•Website (cbkb.org, launching in January 2011)
•CBA Toolkit
•Snapshots of CBA Literature
•Podcasts, Videocasts, and Webinars
•Roundtable Discussions
•Community of Practice
Slide 3
4. Today’s Agenda
Introduction and Housekeeping – 5 minutes
Basics of Cost-Benefit Analysis – 5 minutes
Presentation by Senator Fraser – 20 minutes
Questions and Answers – 25 minutes
Wrap Up – 5 minutes
Slide 4
5. Key takeaways
• What is cost-benefit analysis?
• How is CBA helpful to legislators?
• How has CBA been used to assess justice policies?
Slide 5
6. Housekeeping items
Webinar support and troubleshooting
Call: (800) 843-9166
Email: help@readytalk.com
Questions
Use the chat feature to send us questions
This webinar is being recorded
Slide 6
8. CBA is (Take 1)
A comparative method for measuring changes in net
social welfare resulting from government intervention
into a private marketplace.
A comparison of the economic value of using a
productive resource with the opportunity cost of using
the resource. Projects or regulations are evaluated
based on how they change net economic value.
Slide 8
9. CBA is (Take 2)
An approach to policymaking
A systematic tool for evaluating public policy
A way to weigh options
A method for finding out what will achieve the greatest
results at the lowest cost
Slide 9
10. A spectrum of economic evaluations
Cost Analysis
• How much does this program cost?
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
• How many outputs do I get for my dollar?
Cost-Benefit Analysis
• How can I compare programs with different goals
and objectives?
Slide 10
11. Advantages of CBA
Provides a framework for a comprehensive
assessment of benefits and costs
Looks at the long-term and the short-term
Examines both tangible (financial) costs and benefits
as well as intangible costs and benefits
Incorporates evidence of the effectiveness of
outcomes
Asks what will yield the greatest net benefit to society
Slide 11
12. CBA in 5 Steps
1. Determine the impact of the initiative
2. Determine whose perspectives matter
3. Measure costs
4. Measure benefits in dollars
5. Compare costs and benefits
Slide 12
14. About me:
I’m Co-Chair of the
Washington State Institute for Public Policy
My background:
18 years in the Senate
4 years in the House
Former: County Commissioner, Mayor, City Council Member
Senate responsibilities:
Senate Majority Caucus Chair
Senate Ways and Means Committee (Former Vice Chair; Former Capital
Budget Chair)
Member and former Chair of Senate committees pertaining to environment,
energy, water
Member of Committee on Natural Resources and Marine Waters Senate
Rules Committee Member
Slide 14
15. Washington State Institute for Public Policy
A highly skilled, nonpartisan, independent, widely appreciated
public policy research organization.
Governed by a board of 2 legislators from each of the four
partisan caucuses (generally budget committee members),
nonpartisan legislative staff, high level executive branch
appointees, and representatives from higher education
institutions.
Slide 15
16. Why did we create the Institute?
Created in 1983 because legislators wanted:
• Sustained capacity to do quality cost-benefit analysis for
some of the toughest problems
• To use this analysis in formulating major public policy
• To understand the long-term and not-so-obvious impacts of
policy options
• To minimize government by anecdotes
The Institute has continuously been funded by the Legislature,
which also assigns its research projects through legislation.
Slide 16
17. The Institute’s goal
Do more with less
Identify evidence-based policy options
that improve outcomes and save money
And we’ve done it!
Slide 17
18. The Institute’s methods
How do we do it?
IDENTIFY which programs or state policies work well,
by:
a) Direct program evaluation and/or
b) Meta analysis (Analyzing others’ rigorously and
objectively conducted research to determine the
“average” effect on outcomes.)
Then …
Slide 18
19. The Institute’s methods (continued)
CONSTRUCT a cost-benefit model specific to
Washington that takes effects into account, and
calculates the state’s “Return on Investment”.
Models use a variety of inputs specific to Washington
such as: costs of charging and prosecuting a crime,
therapy, incarceration, etc.
Slide 19
20. Notes to other states
• WSIPP’s models can be adapted to other states,
inputting their own data.
• The MacArthur Foundation and the Pew Center on the
States provided funds to support these efforts, with an
eye toward future usage by other interested states.
Slide 20
21. Washington State’s
six major successes in the
criminal justice field
Using options identified through the
Institute’s evidence-based process
Slide 21
22. Success #1
Enacted and funded several evidence-based juvenile
justice crime prevention, and juvenile programs in the late
1990s and early 2000s.
Effectiveness results:
Programs targeted toward youth with the highest potential to
recidivate.
Reduced juvenile crime.
Cost savings results:
Closure of some state juvenile
rehabilitation institutions due to
reduced need.
Reduced state capital and
operating costs.
Slide 22
23. Success #2
Increasing investments in delivering programs to offenders
that meet offenders’ deficits, including:
a)drug courts
b)programs during and after incarceration such as, education, vocational
training, chemical dependency therapy and others.
Effectiveness results:
Reduced crime and recidivism
Reduced incarceration
Cost savings results:
Reduced criminal justice costs by an amount greater than increased
program costs.
Delayed for 10 years the construction of a new 2000 bed,
$250 million prison. This saved annual $18 million debt service and
$45 million operating costs for each of the next 25 years. This totals:
$63 million savings per year, for a total of $630 million in 10 years.
Slide 23
24. Success #3
Closed the last, very old, “island” prison in the US, (a gift
from the federal government long ago) and relocated
hundreds of inmates to more cost-effective, newer prisons.
Cost savings results:
Significant cost reductions in operations, maintenance, ferry
transportation, subsidized staff living costs, and more.
Slide 24
25. Success #4
Reduced prison sentences for low risk drug offenders, with
transfer of fiscal savings to drug courts and to other state
government funding obligations.
Effectiveness results:
Less crime
Cost savings results:
Reduced criminal justice
system costs.
Slide 25
26. Success #5
Sentencing review of potential savings from reduced
incarceration
This current effort is evaluating early release options for
targeted moderate and low risk offenders, and using cost
savings from reduced incarceration for:
a) increased treatment programs for high risk offenders to
reduce their risk of recidivism; and
b) other state budget needs.
Slide 26
27. Success #6
“Early Childhood Education” is now included as part of the
State’s K-12 “Basic Education Program” funded by the
State.
Effectiveness results:
Improves future educational success for kids.
Reduces crime.
Cost savings results:
Reduces criminal justice system costs.
Increases effectiveness of education expenditures.
Net cost-benefit ratio is positive: benefits exceed costs.
Slide 27
28. Other areas of Institute work
K-12 Education Teen Births
Early Childhood Education Employment
Child Abuse and Neglect Public Assistance
Substance Abuse Public Health
Mental Health Housing
Developmental Disabilities
Publications available at: www.wsipp.wa.gov
Slide 28
29. How did we achieve such success
in the criminal justice field?
We relied on the Institute’s
3-PART APPROACH TO RESEARCH
Slide 29
30. The Institute’s 3-part approach
1) Rigorous evaluations of REAL WORLD efforts.
Careful study of other studies that have been
conducted rigorously and fairly. Identify what really
works and what doesn’t from quality comparative
studies.
2) Rigorous analysis of the economics of
alternatives. Computation of benefits, costs, and
risk (return on investment) to Washington
taxpayers for each policy option.
3) Identification of a “portfolio” of options that
could affect statewide outcomes. This includes
evaluating the risk of failure of each option.
Slide 30
31. For further information & consultation
Steve Aos, Director
Washington State Institute for Public Policy
Phone: 360-586-2740
Email: saos@wsipp.wa.gov
Institute Publications: www.wsipp.wa.gov
Senator Karen Fraser, Board Co-Chair
Washington State Institute for Public Policy
Phone: 360-786-7642
Email: Karen.Fraser@leg.wa.gov
Slide 31
32. Thank you for your interest.
May I respond to questions?
Slide 32
34. Key takeaways
• What cost-benefit analysis is
• How CBA is helpful to legislators
• How CBA has been used to assess justice policies
Slide 34
35. Follow up
• Please complete our evaluation form
• To receive information and notifications about our site
launch, upcoming webinars, and other events
• Follow us on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/CBKBank
• Future webinars will cover
• A step-by-step guide to conducting CBAs for justice policies
• Evaluations and CBAs
Slide 35
37. This project was supported by Grant No. 2009-MU-BX-K029 awarded by
the Bureau of Justice Assistance. The Bureau of Justice Assistance is a
component of the Office of Justice Programs, which also includes the
Bureau of Justice Statistics, the National Institute of Justice, the Office of
Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, the SMART Office, and the
Office for Victims of Crime. Points of view or opinions in this document are
those of the author and do not represent the official position or policies of
the United States Department of Justice.
Slide 37
Making justice systems fairer and more effective through research and innovation.
Helps policymakers get clear and accessible information on the economic pros and cons associated with criminal and juvenile justice investments. Bridges the gap between research and policy by putting evidence in context. What works? Is “what works” worth it? What should we do?
You can ask questions at any time by typing a question or comment in the chat box feature to the left of your screen. A CBKB staff member will respond your question or queue up your question to the speaker’s attention.
Compares the pros and cons of policies and programs using a common denominator – money