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FiinGroup Joint Stock Company
Head Office
10th Floor, Peakview Tower
36 Hoang Cau, Dong Da
Hanoi, Vietnam
Tel: +84 (24) 3562 6962
www.fiingroup.vn
Ho Chi Minh City Branch
3rd Floor, Profomilk Plaza Bldg, 51-53 Vo
Van Tan, Ward 6, District 3, Ho Chi Minh,
Vietnam
Tel: +84 (28) 3933 3586
Date: Oct 26, 2020
Dear Our Valued Clients,
Re: The publication of Vietnam Consumer Finance in Vietnam,
1st Half Year 2020 Review
FiinResearch, a market research division of FiinGroup, is pleased to present
our report of Vietnam Consumer Finance, First Half-Year 2020
Review. This is the second half-year version in addition to our full year
review report series for this market. FiinGroup has also published 8
issues of full-year review on Vietnam Consumer Finance Market.
The first half of 2020 was marked with the outbreak of the global COVID-19
pandemic and its consequences. Therefore, in addition to the comprehensive
analysis of the market, we also updated in this issue an in-depth analysis of
how the consumer finance market is involving under the impact of the
pandemic in terms of market size, market share and financial performance
amongst key players, prominent trends such as product development, digital
adoption and movements of alternative lenders.
During the research work, leveraging on our extensive business network, we
have conducted various discussions with key industry players to capture the
in-depth sector insights, market situation and performance.
We understand that this is a targeted but also an open research. We would
be happy to provide further information to address any questions that you
may have on the report or for any specific sector or target business in
Vietnam.
Should you have any questions, please contact me or our Lead Analyst of
Consumer Finance, Ms. Oanh Tran at +84 (24) 3562 6962 (ext. 120) or her
email: oanh.trankieu@fiingroup.vn.
Yours sincerely,
Le Xuan Dong
Director, Head of Research and Consulting Services (“FiinResearch”)
FiinGroup Joint Stock Company
3
Abbreviation
NO. ABBREVIATION STAND FOR
1 1H First-half
2 2WL Two-wheelers loan
3 4WL Four-wheelers loan
4 9M 9 months
5 ASEAN The Association of Southeast Asian Nations
6 bn Billion
7 CAGR Compounded annual growth rate
8 CDL Consumer durables loan
9 CF Consumer finance
10 CIC Credit Information Center
11 CIR Cost to income ratio
12 CIs Credit institutions
13 D/E Debt to equity
14 ENR Ending net receivables
15 FinCos Finance companies
16 GDP Gross domestic product
17 GSO General of Statistics
18 IPS Intermediary payment services
19 KYC Know your customer
20 mn Million
NO. ABBREVIATION STAND FOR
21 NAPAS National Payment Corporation of Vietnam
22 NII Net interest income
23 NIM Net interest margin
24 NLB National loan book
25 NPAT Net profit after tax
26 NPL Non-performing loan
27 NTB New-to-bank
28 OPEX Operating expense
29 p.a. Per annum
30 P2P Peer-to-peer
31 POS Point of sales
32 ROAA Return on average asset
33 ROAE Return on average equity
34 SBV State Bank of Vietnam
35 TOI Total operating income
36 trn Trillion
37 VAMA Vietnam Automobile Manufacturers Association
38 VAMM Vietnam Association of Motorcycle Manufacturers
39 YoY Year-on-year
40 YTD Year-to-date
4
Table of Contents
Section Content Page
Executive Summary 5
1. Updates of Vietnam CF market 6
1.1 Market size and growth 7
1.2 Market segmentation 9
2. Competitive landscape of finance companies 12
2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13
2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14
2.3 Product mix analysis 17
2.4 Financial benchmarking 25
3. Key development trends 32
3.1 Key driving forces and development trends that shape Vietnam Consumer Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come 33
3.2 Product development trends 35
3.3 Digital transformation in consumer finance 36
3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts 38
4. Regulatory updates 41
5
FE Credit
Home Credit
HD Saison
Mcredit
Shinhan Finance
Toyota Financial Services
Mirae Asset
JACCS
Others
What’s new
3) Reported NPL figures did not fully reflect the
asset quality picture of banks & FinCos
% of
NBL
1) CF growth plunged to single-digit growth lane
as COVID-19-driven slump spread
CF Market size (VNDtrn) and YoY growth
2) Most FinCos’ loan book scaled down as the
impact of the pandemic spread
Market share of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020
Note: Others includes SHB Finance, Viet Credit, Easy Credit, Lotte
Finance, FCCOM and PTFinance. These figures do not include the
unlicensed and alternative lenders.
FinCos’ loan book YTD growth, 1H2020
NPL figures FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020
5) FinCos are evolving to cope with the changing
macro-economic environment
4) Slow credit growth caused by COVID-19
diminished net interest income of Fincos
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
VNDtrn
Toyota Financial Services
Home Credit
Shinhan Finance
Mcredit
FE Credit
JACCS
HD Saison
Mirae Asset
1H2020
2019
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
NIM figures FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020
6
Contents
Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market
1.1 Market size and growth 7
1.2 Market segmentation 9
7
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020
VNDbn
Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market
1.1 Market size and growth
Source: FiinResearch. Data covering consumer finance of retail banks and active licensed
FinCos
xx% YTD
(1H2020)
CF as a %
of National
Loan Book
CAGR
2015 - 2019
YoY growth
1H2020
YTD growth
1H2020
CF
Banks’ CF
FinCos’ CF
Source: FiinResearch from SBV’s credit statistics, banks and FinCos’ financial statements
xx% YTD
(1H2019)
Table 1: Growth rate of CF market
Source: FiinResearch from SBV’s credit statistics, banks and FinCos’ financial statements
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
Banks' CF Active FinCos' CF
Figure 1: Total outstanding loans of consumer finance players,
2015 – 1H2020
Figure 2: Proportion of Banks’ CF and active FinCos, 2015 – 1H2020
First time in a decade, consumer lending growth plunges to single digit growth as COVID-
19-driven slump spread
8
1H2019 1H2020
Trade
Consumer Finance
Industry
Construction
Agriculture, forestry and fishery
Transportation and Telecommunication
Others
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020
VNDbn
Credit Outstanding YoY Credit Growth
Source: FiinResearch from SBV
Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market
1.1 Market size and growth
Source: FiinResearch from SBV
CONTRIBUTION OF CF TO NBL
xx% YTD
(1H2020)
xx% YTD
(1H2019)
Source: FiinResearch. Total loans of these 26 selected banks accounted for xx% of NLB
Banks’ retail loans has outperformed corporate loans
thanks to consistent growth of consumer finance
1H2020
2019
Nonetheless, consumer finance remained the key growth driver for retail loans and
maintained its contribution to over xx% of the country loan book
Source: FiinResearch from SBV
Figure 6: YTD credit growth by economic sectors, 1H2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 5: Contribution of consumer finance to national loan book
Figure 4: Retail loans vs. Corporate loans growth (YoY), 2015 – 1H2020Figure 3: All credit institutions' outstanding loans and its growth,
2015 – 1H2020
35.2%
27.0%
25.0%
22.0%
18.4%
11.8%18.1% 18.6%
16.2%
8.1%
12.1%
8.6%
24.1%
21.8%
19.7%
13.9% 14.9%
10.1%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
Banks' retail loans Banks' corporate loans Banks' total loans
9
Contents
Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market
1.1 Market size and growth 7
1.2 Market segmentation 9
10
Personal Loans/ Cash Loans & Others
Vehicles Loans (two and four-wheelers)
Consumer Durables
Credit Card
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020
VNDbn
Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market
1.2 Market segmentation
Source: FiinResearch
Note: FinCos offer 4 main products: Consumer Durables (Consumer electronics & Home
appliances), Vehicles Loans, Credit Card, and Personal Loans
Source: Estimated by FiinResearch
Note: Inactive FinCos (HAFIC & SBIC Finance, unlicensed lenders (such as ACS Trading),
fintech platforms (such as P2P) or alternative lenders (such as Doctor Dong), micro-credit
funds and people’s credit funds are not included in these figures.
FINCOS’ CF
1H2020
2019
CAGR 2015 – 2019 = xx%
xx% YTD
(1H2020)
FinCos sustained the double-digit growth despite the dual challenges of tightening lending
supervision and Coronavirus-induced stagnation
xx% YTD
(1H2019)
Figure 8: Loan proportion by product of active FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 7: Market Size (VNDbn) & YoY credit growth of active FinCos,
2015 – 1H2020
11
2017 2018 2019 1H2020
% Homebuyers % Developers
Housing/ Home Improvement Loans
Personal Loans/ Cash Loans & Others
Vehicles Loans (two and four-wheelers)
Credit Card
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020
VNDbn
Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market
1.2 Market segmentation
BANKS’ CF
CAGR 2015 – 2019 = xx%
xx% YTD
(1H2020)
The COVID-19 and tightening lending requirement on real estate loans restrained the
growth of commercial banks’ consumer lending portfolio
Figure 10: Loan proportion by product of Banks’ CF, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 9: Market Size (VNDbn) & YoY credit growth of Banks’ CF,
2015 – 1H2020
xx% YTD
(1H2019)
Figure 11: Developers vs. Homebuyers’ loans, 2017 – 1H2020
Source: FiinResearch
Source: FiinResearch from SBV
1H2020
2019
2019 1H2020
Consumer Durables
Personal Overdraft
Other purposes
(Educational/Medical/Travel/Sports loans)
Real estate loans
as a % of NLB
12
Contents
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13
2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14
2.3 Product mix analysis 17
2.4 Financial benchmarking 25
13
Note: (*) Fincos’ loan books shown above are comprised of loans to individuals, loans to corporates, etc. The numbers we used to calculate their market share in CF are loans to individuals only.
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.1 FinCos fast facts
No. FinCo Status Ownership structure Total Assets
(VNDbn)
Charter Capital
(VNDbn)
Loan Book (*)
(VNDbn)
In which
CF Loans (VNDbn)
% of CF Loans
(1H2020)
1 FE Credit Active
2 Home Credit Active
3 HD Saison Active
4 Mcredit Active
5 Shinhan Finance Active
6 Toyota Financial Services Active
7 Mirae Asset Active
8 JACCS Active
9 SHB Finance Active
10 Viet Credit (*) Active
11 Lotte Finance Active
12 EVNFinance (*)
(Easy Credit is the
consumer finance brand )
Active
13 FCCOM Active
14 PTFinance Active
15 HAFIC (*) InActive
16 SBICFinance (*) InActive
14
Contents
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13
2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14
2.3 Product mix analysis 17
2.4 Financial benchmarking 25
15
FE Credit
Home Credit
HD Saison
Mcredit
Shinhan Finance
Toyota Financial Services
Mirae Asset
JACCS
SHB Finance
Viet Credit
Lotte Finance
Easy Credit
FCCOM
PTFinance
FE Credit
Home Credit
HD Saison
Mcredit
Shinhan Finance
Toyota Financial Services
Mirae Asset
JACCS
SHB Finance
Viet Credit
Lotte Finance
Easy Credit
FCCOM
PTFinance
FE Credit
Home Credit
HD Saison
Mcredit
Shinhan Finance
Toyota Financial Services
Mirae Asset
JACCS
SHB Finance
Viet Credit
Lotte Finance
Easy Credit
FCCOM
PTFinance
2019
1H2020
Source: FiinResearch
1. Among 16 FinCos with licenses, there are 14 active FinCos in 1H2020 (Inactive FinCos like HAFIC and SBICFinance are under special control of SBV).
2. This figure do not take into account the unlicensed and alternative lenders.
3. This figure includes the loan used only for consumer finance purpose, hence, FinCos’ institutional loans or syndicated loan with parent bank are excluded to better reflect CF loan book and
calculate CF market share.
(*) FCCOM & PTFinance reactivated their operation since late 2019.
(*)
(*)
1H2019, YTD 1H2020, YTD
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.2 Market share, market size and growth of finance companies
Loan book of most FinCos scaled down as the impact of COVID-19 began to unfold
Figure 12: Market size of FinCos (VNDbn), 2019 vs. 1H2020 & YTD growth, 1H2019 vs. 1H2020
16
Source: FiinResearch
Others 2019 1H2020
SHB Finance
Viet Credit
Lotte Finance
Easy Credit
FCCOM
PTFinance
Total
Young FinCos managed to grab xx% further of market share from leading FinCos,
regardless the pandemic disrupted their pulse of rapid growth
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.2 Market share, market size and growth of finance companies
Figure 13: Market share of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020
FE Credit
Home Credit
HD Saison
Mcredit
Shinhan Finance
Toyota Financial
Services
Mirae Asset
JACCS
Others
1H2020
2019
17
Contents
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13
2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14
2.3 Product mix analysis 17
2.4 Financial benchmarking 25
18
Credit card emerged as an optimal solution in response to tightening supervision on cash
loans and consumer preference for cashless shopping during the “COVID time”
Source: FiinResearch
Note: FinCos offer 4 main products: Consumer Durables (Consumer electronics & Home appliances), Vehicles Loans, Credit Card,
and Personal Loans.
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.2 Product mix analysis
FINCOS’ PRODUCT MIX
➢ Credit Card outperformed other product
segments in terms of outstanding loan growth.
➢ Cash Loans witnessed a slight increase (up xx% YTD) as
FinCos became more cautious in direct disbursement.
➢ Resulting from travel restriction measures, vehicles
loans decreased in both value and volume.
➢ Having approached saturation, CDL segment
witnessed a slight decline of xx% compared to 2019.
xx%
1H2020
2019
xx% xx%
xx%
Figure 15: Loan portfolio of FinCos, 1H2020Figure 14: Market Segment by Products 2019 vs. 1H2020 (VNDbn)
FE Credit
Home Credit
HD Saison
Mcredit
Shinhan Finance
Toyota Financial Services
Mirae Asset
JACCS
SHB Finance
Viet Credit
Lotte Finance
Easy Credit
FCCOM
PTFinance
Personal Loans/ Cash Loans & Others
Vehicles Loans (two and four-wheelers)
Consumer Durables
Credit Card
2019 1H2020
Personal Loans/ Cash Loans & Others
2019 1H2020
Vehicles Loans (two and four-wheelers)
2019 1H2020
Consumer Durables
2019 1H2020
Credit Card
19
Home Credit
HD Saison
FE Credit
Mcredit
Mirae Asset
JACCS
Source: FiinResearchSource: FiinResearch
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.2 Product mix analysis
CONSUMER DURABLES
Figure 16: Market share in Consumer Durables, 2019 vs. 1H2020
Consumer Durables 1H2019
YTD Growth
1H2020
YTD Growth
1H2020
YoY Growth
Home Credit
HD Saison
FE Credit
Mcredit
Mirae Asset
JACCS
1H2020
2019
Table 2: Growth of Consumer Durables among active FinCos
2018 2019 6M2020
TGDD
2018 2019 6M2020
DMX
2018 2019 6M2020
FPT Shop
Figure 17: YoY growth of selected (*) retail chains’ number of stores
and net revenue, 2018 – 6M2020
Source: FiinResearch
Note: Dien May Xanh provides both consumer
electronics and home appliances,
Thegioididong and FPT Shop focus on
consumer electronics.
(*) The number of stores of these selected
retail chains accounted for xx% of total retail
chains in 2019 (FiinResearch estimated)
Consumer durables loans continued to slow down, driven by low performance of retail chains
20
Toyota Financial Services
HD Saison
FE Credit
Home Credit
JACCS
Mcredit
Mirae Asset
Vehicles Loans
(two and four wheelers)
1H2019
YTD Growth
1H2020
YTD Growth
1H2020
YoY Growth
Toyota Financial Services
HD Saison
FE Credit
Home Credit
JACCS
Mcredit
Mirae Asset
Source: FiinResearchSource: FiinResearch
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.2 Product mix analysis
VEHICLES LOANS
1H2020
2019
Vehicle loans growth plunged due to lower travel demand during the COVID-19 pandemic
Figure 18: Market share in Vehicles Loans, 2019 vs. 1H2020 Table 3: Growth of Vehicles Loans among active FinCos
21
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020
Unit
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020
Unit
Figure 19: Two-wheelers sales volume (Unit) and YoY growth,
2015 – 1H2020
Figure 20: Four-wheelers sales volume (Unit) and YoY growth,
2015 – 1H2020
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.2 Product mix analysis
CAGR 2015 – 2019 = xx% CAGR 2015 – 2019 = xx%
xx%
YoY growth
xx%
YoY growth
Source: FiinResearch estimated from VAMASource: FiinResearch from VAMM
VEHICLES LOANS
Vehicle sales plunged along with the saturation of the market and consumer sentiment
amidst the pandemic
22
FE Credit
Viet Credit
Home Credit
JACCS
Lotte Finance
Source: FiinResearch
Source: FiinResearch
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.2 Product mix analysis
CREDIT CARD
Credit Card 1H2019
YTD Growth
1H2020
YTD Growth
1H2020
YoY Growth
FE Credit
Viet Credit
Home Credit
JACCS
Lotte Finance
Table 4: Growth of Credit Card among active FinCos
Source: FiinResearch
The credit card segment is characterized by domination of FE Credit and strong
competition with entrance of new players
Figure 21: Market share in Credit Card, 2019 vs. 1H2020 Figure 22: FE Credit’s active customers (mn), 2017 – 1H2020
1H2020
2019
2017 2018 2019 1H2020
No. Active customers (mn) No. Credit card customers (mn)
23
PRODUCT TRENDS
MARKET POSITIONING
Section 2: Competitive landscape of Finance companies
2.2 Product mix analysis
CREDIT CARD
04/2015 12/2015 12/2017 04/2019 08/2019 08/2020 Coming soon
Launch
date
Credit card as a revolving credit line are strongly promoted by both incumbents and new
players
24
FE Credit
Home Credit
Shinhan Finance
Mcredit
Mirae Asset
HD Saison
SHB Finance
Others
Market share of other companies 2019 1H2020
Lotte Finance
Easy Credit
JACCS
FCCOM
PTFinance
Personal Loans 1H2019
YTD Growth
1H2020
YTD Growth
1H2020
YoY Growth
FE Credit
Home Credit
Shinhan Finance
Mcredit
Mirae Asset
HD Saison
SHB Finance
Lotte Finance
Easy Credit
JACCS
FCCOM
PTFinance
Active FinCos
Source: FiinResearch
FCCOM and PTFinance only expanded their presence since late 2019.
Cash loans’ growth shrank to single-digit in the wave of rising credit risking during the
pandemic and SBV’s transition timeline to reduce proportion of cash loans
Source: FiinResearch
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.2 Product mix analysis
CASH LOANS
1H2020
2019
Table 5: Growth of Cash Loans among active FinCosFigure 23: Market share in Cash Loans, 2019 vs. 1H2020
25
Contents
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13
2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14
2.3 Product mix analysis 17
2.4 Financial benchmarking 25
26
Source: FiinResearch
Note: The loans we used to calculate above NIM include both CF loans and institutional loans as some FinCos listed above are general-licensed FinCos.
The TOI we used to calculated above NPM and CIR include Other income.
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.3 Financial benchmarking
KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS
EARNING QUALITY PROFITABILITY ASSET QUALITY EFFICIENCY
CAPITAL
STRUCTURE
NIM =
NII/Average loans
NPM =
NPAT/TOI
ROAA =
NPAT/Average
earning asset
ROAE =
NPAT/Average
earning equity
NPL
Provision
charge/TOI
CIR =
OPEX/TOI
D/E
2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020
FE Credit
Home Credit
HD Saison
Mcredit
Shinhan Finance
Toyota Financial
Services
Mirae Asset
JACCS
SHB Finance
Viet Credit
Lotte Finance
EVNFinance
(Easy Credit is
the CF brand of
EVNFinance)
FCCOM
PTFinance
Average
27
FCCOM
Mcredit
Mirae Asset
SHB Finance
Lotte Finance
PTFinance
FE Credit
HD Saison
JACCS
Viet Credit
Shinhan Finance
Home Credit
Easy Credit
Toyota Financial Services
2019 1H2020
Source: FiinResearch
Source: FiinResearch. Average NIM of 14 active FinCos in 1H2020.
Note: NIM of FinCos might look different compared to our previous reports as we revised the
formula previously used to better reflect NIM of FinCos. Accordingly, NIM of FinCos is
recalculated using the formula: Net interest margin (NIM) = Net interest income/Average loans.
EARNING QUALITY
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.3 Financial benchmarking
Slow credit growth diminished FinCos’ net interest income in 1H2020
Figure 25: Comparing NIM of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 24: FinCos’ average NIM, 2015 – 1H2020
Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
28
Lotte Finance
Viet Credit
FCCOM
SHB Finance
Mirae Asset
Mcredit
HD Saison
JACCS
Shinhan Finance
FE Credit
Home Credit
Easy Credit
Toyota Financial
Services
PTFinance
Lotte Finance
Viet Credit
FCCOM
SHB Finance
Mirae Asset
Mcredit
HD Saison
JACCS
Shinhan Finance
FE Credit
Home Credit
Easy Credit
Toyota Financial Services
PTFinance
2019
1H2020
Source: FiinResearch. Average NPL and Credit cost of 14 active FinCos in 1H2020.
ASSET QUALITY
Source: FiinResearch
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.3 Financial benchmarking
NPLs accelerated, especially in FinCos with high exposure to cash loans, yet, reported figures
did not fully reflect the asset quality of the sector due to supportive policy at Circular 01
Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
NPL of FinCos
Figure 27: Comparing NPL of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 26: FinCos’ average NPL, 2015 – 1H2020
Proportion of Cash Loans
29
2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
FE Credit
Home Credit
HD Saison
Lotte Finance
FCCOM
JACCS
Home Credit
HD Saison
Viet Credit
SHB Finance
Mirae Asset
Easy Credit
Shinhan Finance
Mcredit
FE Credit
Toyota Financial Services
PTFinance
2019 1H2020
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
EFFICIENTCY
Source: FiinResearch. Average CIR of 14 active FinCos in 1H2020.
Source: FiinResearch
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.3 Financial benchmarking
FinCos managed to reduced operating expense, especially HR cost to maintain profit margin
Figure 30: Number of employees of Top 3 FinCos, 2016 – 1H2020
Source: FiinResearch Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019)
Figure 29: Comparing CIR of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 28: Average cost-to-income (CIR) of Fincos, 2015 – 1H2020
30
PTFinance
Toyota Financial Services
Shinhan Finance
FE Credit
HD Saison
Easy Credit
JACCS
Home Credit
FCCOM
Viet Credit
Mcredit
Mirae Asset
SHB Finance
Lotte Finance
2019 1H2020
Source: FiinResearch. Average NPM, Provision charge/TOI and Credit cost of 14 active FinCos
in 1H2020.
PROFITABILITY
Source: FiinResearch. PTFinance and FCCOM seemed odd as they only reactivated their
businesses since late 2019.
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.3 Financial benchmarking
Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019)
Figure 32: Comparing NPM of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 31: FinCos’ average NPM, Provision charge/TOI and Credit cost,
2015 – 1H2020
Change in Provision charge
compared to 2019
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
NPM of FinCos Provision charge/TOI Credit cost
FinCos’ net profit margin plummeted along with acceleration of provision charge and falling
operating income
31
FE Credit
HD Saison
Shinhan Finance
Mcredit
Toyota Financial Services
Mirae Asset
Home Credit
JACCS
Viet Credit
SHB Finance
Easy Credit
FCCOM
PTFinance
Lotte Finance
2019
1H2020
FE Credit
HD Saison
Shinhan Finance
Mcredit
Toyota Financial Services
Mirae Asset
Home Credit
JACCS
Viet Credit
SHB Finance
Easy Credit
FCCOM
PTFinance
Lotte Finance
27.9%
36.9% 38.1%
24.0%
20.0%
17.8%
5.8% 6.8% 7.0%
4.8% 3.9% 3.5%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
ROAE ROAA
Source: FiinResearch
Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies
2.3 Financial benchmarking
ROAEROAA
PROFITABILITY
Source: FiinResearch. Average ROAA and ROAE of 14 active FinCos in 1H2020.
Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020)
vs. xx% (2019)
Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020)
vs. xx% (2019)
FinCos recognized worsening profitability ratios as a result of slow interest income and
rising impaired assets as the pandemic deepened
Figure 34: Comparing ROAA & ROAE of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 33: FinCos’ average ROAA and ROAE, 2015 – 1H2020
32
Contents
Section 3: Key development trends
3.1
Key driving forces and development trends that shape Vietnam Consumer
Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come
33
3.2 Product development trends 35
3.3 Digital transformation in consumer finance 36
3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts 38
33
Regulatory
Changes
Consumer
Lifestyle
Consumer
Finance Market
COVID-19
Pandemic
Dominant trends created by these key driving
forces
Section 3: Key development trends
3.1 Key driving forces and development trends that shape Vietnam Consumer Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come
The impact of COVID-19 pandemic, shift in consumer lifestyle and regulatory changes are
three key driving force of Vietnam Consumer Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come
34
FinCos to restructure product portfolio to get ready for recovery
Digital Transformation in Consumer Finance
Emergence of Alternative Lending
Section 3: Key development trends
3.1 Key driving forces and development trends that shape Vietnam Consumer Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come
FinCos are expected to master latest key development trends and evolve rapidly to cope
with the ever-changing macro-economic environment
35
Credit card became a new key growth driver New forms of indirect/installment loans are launching FinCos are developing a variety forms of CLs
Section 3: Key development trends
3.2 Product development trends
The transition away from cash loan will accelerate, facilitating credit cards and
diversification of indirect loans
36
CUSTOMER SOURCING
DISBURSEMENT
APPRAISAL
COLLECTION
STEP FIVE
APPLICATION
CONTRACT SIGNING
DEBT REMINDER
REPAYMENT
Section 3: Key development trends
3.3 Digital transformation in consumer finance
FinCos are digitalizing end-to-end customer journey, increasing efficiency and improving
customer experience
37
CF products establish strong presence thanks to Fincos’ ecosystem and integration into
other apps
Integration of CF in digital
platforms
Integration of CF in parent
bank’s apps
Fincos Ecosystem
Section 3: Key development trends
3.3 Digital transformation in consumer finance
38
Pawnshop P2P Lending Pay Later
Section 3: Key development trends
3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts
Figure 35: P2P lending model
Alternative lenders have gained popularity in Vietnam thanks to their simplified
procedures and high demand for consumer credit
39
1
Online
Platforms
P2P
Lending
Models
2
Comparison
platforms
Business Model of Gobear:
3
P2P Lenders
operating like CIs
Section 3: Key development trends
3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts
P2P lending has recently emerged in Vietnam and quickly developed into three models
40
RISKS
IMPACT ON
FINCOS
P2P lending platforms involve a high degree of risk and have a significant impact on the
performance of consumer finance market
DEFAULT
RISK
LACK OF LEGAL
FRAMEWROK
RISKS TO BANKS &
FINCOS
EROSION OF
FINCOS
MARKET SHARE
Section 3: Key development trends
3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts
41
Contents
Section 4: Regulatory updates
42
DRAFT CIRCULAR AMENDING CIRCULAR 01
Section 4: Regulatory updates
CIRCULAR 01/2020/TT-NHNN
SBV is going to issue the revised version of Circular 01 to add support for customer loans
disbursed between 23 Jan and 24 Apr
43
THE DRAFT CIRCULAR ON LIMITS
AND
PRUDENTIAL RATIOS OF NON-BANK
CREDIT INSTITUTIONS
Section 4: Regulatory updates
KEY ONLINE
RATIONALES FOR
CHANGES
IMPLICATIONS
SBV is imposing tight supervision related to lending to real estate sectors of non-bank
credit institutions
44
Section 4: Regulatory updates
KEY ACTION
IMPLICATIONS
DRAFT DECREE ON CONTROLLED
TESTING MECHANISM FOR
FINTECH IN BANKING SECTOR
SBV aims to encourage growth and innovation in Fintech, while maintaining stability and
safety of the financial market
45
SBV is going to promulgating a more comprehensive on non-cash payment. However,
foreign ownership is still a controversial topic
Section 4: Regulatory updates
THE DRAFT DECREE REPLACING
DECREE 101/2012/ND-CP
KEY ACTION
RATIONALES FOR
CHANGES
IMPLICATIONS
46
This page is intentionally left blank
Publishing License No. 4217/2020CXBIPH/31-78/HD dated on 16 Oct 2020
47
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Ward 6, District 3, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Tel: +84 28 3933 3586/ 85
Head Office
10th Floor, Peakview Tower, 36 Hoang Cau Street,
O Cho Dua Ward, Dong Da District, Hanoi, Vietnam
Tel: +84 24 3562 6962
Dong Le, CFA
Director, Head of Market Research Services
T: +84 (024) 3562 6962 (ext. 110)
E: dong.le@fiingroup.vn
Nhung Nguyen
Client Advisor
T: +84-24-3562 6962
E: nhung.nguyenhoai@fiingroup.vn
47
@ 2020 FiinGroup Corporation. All rights reserved.
All information contained in this publication is copyrighted in the name of FiinGroup, and as such no part, of this publication may be
reproduced, repackaged, redistributed, resold in whole or in any part, or used in any form or by any means graphic, electronic or
mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, or by information storage or retrieval, or by any other means, without the
express written consent of the publisher.
Hong Duc Publishing House
FiinResearch is part of FiinGroup, a Vietnam’s leading provider of financial data, business information, industry research and other data-
driven analytics services.
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Consumer Finance in Vietnam - First-Half 2020 Review

  • 1.
  • 2. 2 FiinGroup Joint Stock Company Head Office 10th Floor, Peakview Tower 36 Hoang Cau, Dong Da Hanoi, Vietnam Tel: +84 (24) 3562 6962 www.fiingroup.vn Ho Chi Minh City Branch 3rd Floor, Profomilk Plaza Bldg, 51-53 Vo Van Tan, Ward 6, District 3, Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam Tel: +84 (28) 3933 3586 Date: Oct 26, 2020 Dear Our Valued Clients, Re: The publication of Vietnam Consumer Finance in Vietnam, 1st Half Year 2020 Review FiinResearch, a market research division of FiinGroup, is pleased to present our report of Vietnam Consumer Finance, First Half-Year 2020 Review. This is the second half-year version in addition to our full year review report series for this market. FiinGroup has also published 8 issues of full-year review on Vietnam Consumer Finance Market. The first half of 2020 was marked with the outbreak of the global COVID-19 pandemic and its consequences. Therefore, in addition to the comprehensive analysis of the market, we also updated in this issue an in-depth analysis of how the consumer finance market is involving under the impact of the pandemic in terms of market size, market share and financial performance amongst key players, prominent trends such as product development, digital adoption and movements of alternative lenders. During the research work, leveraging on our extensive business network, we have conducted various discussions with key industry players to capture the in-depth sector insights, market situation and performance. We understand that this is a targeted but also an open research. We would be happy to provide further information to address any questions that you may have on the report or for any specific sector or target business in Vietnam. Should you have any questions, please contact me or our Lead Analyst of Consumer Finance, Ms. Oanh Tran at +84 (24) 3562 6962 (ext. 120) or her email: oanh.trankieu@fiingroup.vn. Yours sincerely, Le Xuan Dong Director, Head of Research and Consulting Services (“FiinResearch”) FiinGroup Joint Stock Company
  • 3. 3 Abbreviation NO. ABBREVIATION STAND FOR 1 1H First-half 2 2WL Two-wheelers loan 3 4WL Four-wheelers loan 4 9M 9 months 5 ASEAN The Association of Southeast Asian Nations 6 bn Billion 7 CAGR Compounded annual growth rate 8 CDL Consumer durables loan 9 CF Consumer finance 10 CIC Credit Information Center 11 CIR Cost to income ratio 12 CIs Credit institutions 13 D/E Debt to equity 14 ENR Ending net receivables 15 FinCos Finance companies 16 GDP Gross domestic product 17 GSO General of Statistics 18 IPS Intermediary payment services 19 KYC Know your customer 20 mn Million NO. ABBREVIATION STAND FOR 21 NAPAS National Payment Corporation of Vietnam 22 NII Net interest income 23 NIM Net interest margin 24 NLB National loan book 25 NPAT Net profit after tax 26 NPL Non-performing loan 27 NTB New-to-bank 28 OPEX Operating expense 29 p.a. Per annum 30 P2P Peer-to-peer 31 POS Point of sales 32 ROAA Return on average asset 33 ROAE Return on average equity 34 SBV State Bank of Vietnam 35 TOI Total operating income 36 trn Trillion 37 VAMA Vietnam Automobile Manufacturers Association 38 VAMM Vietnam Association of Motorcycle Manufacturers 39 YoY Year-on-year 40 YTD Year-to-date
  • 4. 4 Table of Contents Section Content Page Executive Summary 5 1. Updates of Vietnam CF market 6 1.1 Market size and growth 7 1.2 Market segmentation 9 2. Competitive landscape of finance companies 12 2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13 2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14 2.3 Product mix analysis 17 2.4 Financial benchmarking 25 3. Key development trends 32 3.1 Key driving forces and development trends that shape Vietnam Consumer Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come 33 3.2 Product development trends 35 3.3 Digital transformation in consumer finance 36 3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts 38 4. Regulatory updates 41
  • 5. 5 FE Credit Home Credit HD Saison Mcredit Shinhan Finance Toyota Financial Services Mirae Asset JACCS Others What’s new 3) Reported NPL figures did not fully reflect the asset quality picture of banks & FinCos % of NBL 1) CF growth plunged to single-digit growth lane as COVID-19-driven slump spread CF Market size (VNDtrn) and YoY growth 2) Most FinCos’ loan book scaled down as the impact of the pandemic spread Market share of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020 Note: Others includes SHB Finance, Viet Credit, Easy Credit, Lotte Finance, FCCOM and PTFinance. These figures do not include the unlicensed and alternative lenders. FinCos’ loan book YTD growth, 1H2020 NPL figures FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020 5) FinCos are evolving to cope with the changing macro-economic environment 4) Slow credit growth caused by COVID-19 diminished net interest income of Fincos 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 VNDtrn Toyota Financial Services Home Credit Shinhan Finance Mcredit FE Credit JACCS HD Saison Mirae Asset 1H2020 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 NIM figures FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020
  • 6. 6 Contents Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market 1.1 Market size and growth 7 1.2 Market segmentation 9
  • 7. 7 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020 VNDbn Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market 1.1 Market size and growth Source: FiinResearch. Data covering consumer finance of retail banks and active licensed FinCos xx% YTD (1H2020) CF as a % of National Loan Book CAGR 2015 - 2019 YoY growth 1H2020 YTD growth 1H2020 CF Banks’ CF FinCos’ CF Source: FiinResearch from SBV’s credit statistics, banks and FinCos’ financial statements xx% YTD (1H2019) Table 1: Growth rate of CF market Source: FiinResearch from SBV’s credit statistics, banks and FinCos’ financial statements 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 Banks' CF Active FinCos' CF Figure 1: Total outstanding loans of consumer finance players, 2015 – 1H2020 Figure 2: Proportion of Banks’ CF and active FinCos, 2015 – 1H2020 First time in a decade, consumer lending growth plunges to single digit growth as COVID- 19-driven slump spread
  • 8. 8 1H2019 1H2020 Trade Consumer Finance Industry Construction Agriculture, forestry and fishery Transportation and Telecommunication Others 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020 VNDbn Credit Outstanding YoY Credit Growth Source: FiinResearch from SBV Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market 1.1 Market size and growth Source: FiinResearch from SBV CONTRIBUTION OF CF TO NBL xx% YTD (1H2020) xx% YTD (1H2019) Source: FiinResearch. Total loans of these 26 selected banks accounted for xx% of NLB Banks’ retail loans has outperformed corporate loans thanks to consistent growth of consumer finance 1H2020 2019 Nonetheless, consumer finance remained the key growth driver for retail loans and maintained its contribution to over xx% of the country loan book Source: FiinResearch from SBV Figure 6: YTD credit growth by economic sectors, 1H2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 5: Contribution of consumer finance to national loan book Figure 4: Retail loans vs. Corporate loans growth (YoY), 2015 – 1H2020Figure 3: All credit institutions' outstanding loans and its growth, 2015 – 1H2020 35.2% 27.0% 25.0% 22.0% 18.4% 11.8%18.1% 18.6% 16.2% 8.1% 12.1% 8.6% 24.1% 21.8% 19.7% 13.9% 14.9% 10.1% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 Banks' retail loans Banks' corporate loans Banks' total loans
  • 9. 9 Contents Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market 1.1 Market size and growth 7 1.2 Market segmentation 9
  • 10. 10 Personal Loans/ Cash Loans & Others Vehicles Loans (two and four-wheelers) Consumer Durables Credit Card 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020 VNDbn Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market 1.2 Market segmentation Source: FiinResearch Note: FinCos offer 4 main products: Consumer Durables (Consumer electronics & Home appliances), Vehicles Loans, Credit Card, and Personal Loans Source: Estimated by FiinResearch Note: Inactive FinCos (HAFIC & SBIC Finance, unlicensed lenders (such as ACS Trading), fintech platforms (such as P2P) or alternative lenders (such as Doctor Dong), micro-credit funds and people’s credit funds are not included in these figures. FINCOS’ CF 1H2020 2019 CAGR 2015 – 2019 = xx% xx% YTD (1H2020) FinCos sustained the double-digit growth despite the dual challenges of tightening lending supervision and Coronavirus-induced stagnation xx% YTD (1H2019) Figure 8: Loan proportion by product of active FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 7: Market Size (VNDbn) & YoY credit growth of active FinCos, 2015 – 1H2020
  • 11. 11 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 % Homebuyers % Developers Housing/ Home Improvement Loans Personal Loans/ Cash Loans & Others Vehicles Loans (two and four-wheelers) Credit Card 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020 VNDbn Section 1: Updates of Vietnam CF market 1.2 Market segmentation BANKS’ CF CAGR 2015 – 2019 = xx% xx% YTD (1H2020) The COVID-19 and tightening lending requirement on real estate loans restrained the growth of commercial banks’ consumer lending portfolio Figure 10: Loan proportion by product of Banks’ CF, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 9: Market Size (VNDbn) & YoY credit growth of Banks’ CF, 2015 – 1H2020 xx% YTD (1H2019) Figure 11: Developers vs. Homebuyers’ loans, 2017 – 1H2020 Source: FiinResearch Source: FiinResearch from SBV 1H2020 2019 2019 1H2020 Consumer Durables Personal Overdraft Other purposes (Educational/Medical/Travel/Sports loans) Real estate loans as a % of NLB
  • 12. 12 Contents Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13 2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14 2.3 Product mix analysis 17 2.4 Financial benchmarking 25
  • 13. 13 Note: (*) Fincos’ loan books shown above are comprised of loans to individuals, loans to corporates, etc. The numbers we used to calculate their market share in CF are loans to individuals only. Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.1 FinCos fast facts No. FinCo Status Ownership structure Total Assets (VNDbn) Charter Capital (VNDbn) Loan Book (*) (VNDbn) In which CF Loans (VNDbn) % of CF Loans (1H2020) 1 FE Credit Active 2 Home Credit Active 3 HD Saison Active 4 Mcredit Active 5 Shinhan Finance Active 6 Toyota Financial Services Active 7 Mirae Asset Active 8 JACCS Active 9 SHB Finance Active 10 Viet Credit (*) Active 11 Lotte Finance Active 12 EVNFinance (*) (Easy Credit is the consumer finance brand ) Active 13 FCCOM Active 14 PTFinance Active 15 HAFIC (*) InActive 16 SBICFinance (*) InActive
  • 14. 14 Contents Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13 2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14 2.3 Product mix analysis 17 2.4 Financial benchmarking 25
  • 15. 15 FE Credit Home Credit HD Saison Mcredit Shinhan Finance Toyota Financial Services Mirae Asset JACCS SHB Finance Viet Credit Lotte Finance Easy Credit FCCOM PTFinance FE Credit Home Credit HD Saison Mcredit Shinhan Finance Toyota Financial Services Mirae Asset JACCS SHB Finance Viet Credit Lotte Finance Easy Credit FCCOM PTFinance FE Credit Home Credit HD Saison Mcredit Shinhan Finance Toyota Financial Services Mirae Asset JACCS SHB Finance Viet Credit Lotte Finance Easy Credit FCCOM PTFinance 2019 1H2020 Source: FiinResearch 1. Among 16 FinCos with licenses, there are 14 active FinCos in 1H2020 (Inactive FinCos like HAFIC and SBICFinance are under special control of SBV). 2. This figure do not take into account the unlicensed and alternative lenders. 3. This figure includes the loan used only for consumer finance purpose, hence, FinCos’ institutional loans or syndicated loan with parent bank are excluded to better reflect CF loan book and calculate CF market share. (*) FCCOM & PTFinance reactivated their operation since late 2019. (*) (*) 1H2019, YTD 1H2020, YTD Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.2 Market share, market size and growth of finance companies Loan book of most FinCos scaled down as the impact of COVID-19 began to unfold Figure 12: Market size of FinCos (VNDbn), 2019 vs. 1H2020 & YTD growth, 1H2019 vs. 1H2020
  • 16. 16 Source: FiinResearch Others 2019 1H2020 SHB Finance Viet Credit Lotte Finance Easy Credit FCCOM PTFinance Total Young FinCos managed to grab xx% further of market share from leading FinCos, regardless the pandemic disrupted their pulse of rapid growth Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.2 Market share, market size and growth of finance companies Figure 13: Market share of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020 FE Credit Home Credit HD Saison Mcredit Shinhan Finance Toyota Financial Services Mirae Asset JACCS Others 1H2020 2019
  • 17. 17 Contents Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13 2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14 2.3 Product mix analysis 17 2.4 Financial benchmarking 25
  • 18. 18 Credit card emerged as an optimal solution in response to tightening supervision on cash loans and consumer preference for cashless shopping during the “COVID time” Source: FiinResearch Note: FinCos offer 4 main products: Consumer Durables (Consumer electronics & Home appliances), Vehicles Loans, Credit Card, and Personal Loans. Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.2 Product mix analysis FINCOS’ PRODUCT MIX ➢ Credit Card outperformed other product segments in terms of outstanding loan growth. ➢ Cash Loans witnessed a slight increase (up xx% YTD) as FinCos became more cautious in direct disbursement. ➢ Resulting from travel restriction measures, vehicles loans decreased in both value and volume. ➢ Having approached saturation, CDL segment witnessed a slight decline of xx% compared to 2019. xx% 1H2020 2019 xx% xx% xx% Figure 15: Loan portfolio of FinCos, 1H2020Figure 14: Market Segment by Products 2019 vs. 1H2020 (VNDbn) FE Credit Home Credit HD Saison Mcredit Shinhan Finance Toyota Financial Services Mirae Asset JACCS SHB Finance Viet Credit Lotte Finance Easy Credit FCCOM PTFinance Personal Loans/ Cash Loans & Others Vehicles Loans (two and four-wheelers) Consumer Durables Credit Card 2019 1H2020 Personal Loans/ Cash Loans & Others 2019 1H2020 Vehicles Loans (two and four-wheelers) 2019 1H2020 Consumer Durables 2019 1H2020 Credit Card
  • 19. 19 Home Credit HD Saison FE Credit Mcredit Mirae Asset JACCS Source: FiinResearchSource: FiinResearch Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.2 Product mix analysis CONSUMER DURABLES Figure 16: Market share in Consumer Durables, 2019 vs. 1H2020 Consumer Durables 1H2019 YTD Growth 1H2020 YTD Growth 1H2020 YoY Growth Home Credit HD Saison FE Credit Mcredit Mirae Asset JACCS 1H2020 2019 Table 2: Growth of Consumer Durables among active FinCos 2018 2019 6M2020 TGDD 2018 2019 6M2020 DMX 2018 2019 6M2020 FPT Shop Figure 17: YoY growth of selected (*) retail chains’ number of stores and net revenue, 2018 – 6M2020 Source: FiinResearch Note: Dien May Xanh provides both consumer electronics and home appliances, Thegioididong and FPT Shop focus on consumer electronics. (*) The number of stores of these selected retail chains accounted for xx% of total retail chains in 2019 (FiinResearch estimated) Consumer durables loans continued to slow down, driven by low performance of retail chains
  • 20. 20 Toyota Financial Services HD Saison FE Credit Home Credit JACCS Mcredit Mirae Asset Vehicles Loans (two and four wheelers) 1H2019 YTD Growth 1H2020 YTD Growth 1H2020 YoY Growth Toyota Financial Services HD Saison FE Credit Home Credit JACCS Mcredit Mirae Asset Source: FiinResearchSource: FiinResearch Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.2 Product mix analysis VEHICLES LOANS 1H2020 2019 Vehicle loans growth plunged due to lower travel demand during the COVID-19 pandemic Figure 18: Market share in Vehicles Loans, 2019 vs. 1H2020 Table 3: Growth of Vehicles Loans among active FinCos
  • 21. 21 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020 Unit 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2019 1H2020 Unit Figure 19: Two-wheelers sales volume (Unit) and YoY growth, 2015 – 1H2020 Figure 20: Four-wheelers sales volume (Unit) and YoY growth, 2015 – 1H2020 Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.2 Product mix analysis CAGR 2015 – 2019 = xx% CAGR 2015 – 2019 = xx% xx% YoY growth xx% YoY growth Source: FiinResearch estimated from VAMASource: FiinResearch from VAMM VEHICLES LOANS Vehicle sales plunged along with the saturation of the market and consumer sentiment amidst the pandemic
  • 22. 22 FE Credit Viet Credit Home Credit JACCS Lotte Finance Source: FiinResearch Source: FiinResearch Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.2 Product mix analysis CREDIT CARD Credit Card 1H2019 YTD Growth 1H2020 YTD Growth 1H2020 YoY Growth FE Credit Viet Credit Home Credit JACCS Lotte Finance Table 4: Growth of Credit Card among active FinCos Source: FiinResearch The credit card segment is characterized by domination of FE Credit and strong competition with entrance of new players Figure 21: Market share in Credit Card, 2019 vs. 1H2020 Figure 22: FE Credit’s active customers (mn), 2017 – 1H2020 1H2020 2019 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 No. Active customers (mn) No. Credit card customers (mn)
  • 23. 23 PRODUCT TRENDS MARKET POSITIONING Section 2: Competitive landscape of Finance companies 2.2 Product mix analysis CREDIT CARD 04/2015 12/2015 12/2017 04/2019 08/2019 08/2020 Coming soon Launch date Credit card as a revolving credit line are strongly promoted by both incumbents and new players
  • 24. 24 FE Credit Home Credit Shinhan Finance Mcredit Mirae Asset HD Saison SHB Finance Others Market share of other companies 2019 1H2020 Lotte Finance Easy Credit JACCS FCCOM PTFinance Personal Loans 1H2019 YTD Growth 1H2020 YTD Growth 1H2020 YoY Growth FE Credit Home Credit Shinhan Finance Mcredit Mirae Asset HD Saison SHB Finance Lotte Finance Easy Credit JACCS FCCOM PTFinance Active FinCos Source: FiinResearch FCCOM and PTFinance only expanded their presence since late 2019. Cash loans’ growth shrank to single-digit in the wave of rising credit risking during the pandemic and SBV’s transition timeline to reduce proportion of cash loans Source: FiinResearch Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.2 Product mix analysis CASH LOANS 1H2020 2019 Table 5: Growth of Cash Loans among active FinCosFigure 23: Market share in Cash Loans, 2019 vs. 1H2020
  • 25. 25 Contents Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.1 FinCos' fast facts 13 2.2 Changes in market size and market share 14 2.3 Product mix analysis 17 2.4 Financial benchmarking 25
  • 26. 26 Source: FiinResearch Note: The loans we used to calculate above NIM include both CF loans and institutional loans as some FinCos listed above are general-licensed FinCos. The TOI we used to calculated above NPM and CIR include Other income. Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.3 Financial benchmarking KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS EARNING QUALITY PROFITABILITY ASSET QUALITY EFFICIENCY CAPITAL STRUCTURE NIM = NII/Average loans NPM = NPAT/TOI ROAA = NPAT/Average earning asset ROAE = NPAT/Average earning equity NPL Provision charge/TOI CIR = OPEX/TOI D/E 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 2019 1H2020 FE Credit Home Credit HD Saison Mcredit Shinhan Finance Toyota Financial Services Mirae Asset JACCS SHB Finance Viet Credit Lotte Finance EVNFinance (Easy Credit is the CF brand of EVNFinance) FCCOM PTFinance Average
  • 27. 27 FCCOM Mcredit Mirae Asset SHB Finance Lotte Finance PTFinance FE Credit HD Saison JACCS Viet Credit Shinhan Finance Home Credit Easy Credit Toyota Financial Services 2019 1H2020 Source: FiinResearch Source: FiinResearch. Average NIM of 14 active FinCos in 1H2020. Note: NIM of FinCos might look different compared to our previous reports as we revised the formula previously used to better reflect NIM of FinCos. Accordingly, NIM of FinCos is recalculated using the formula: Net interest margin (NIM) = Net interest income/Average loans. EARNING QUALITY Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.3 Financial benchmarking Slow credit growth diminished FinCos’ net interest income in 1H2020 Figure 25: Comparing NIM of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 24: FinCos’ average NIM, 2015 – 1H2020 Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020
  • 28. 28 Lotte Finance Viet Credit FCCOM SHB Finance Mirae Asset Mcredit HD Saison JACCS Shinhan Finance FE Credit Home Credit Easy Credit Toyota Financial Services PTFinance Lotte Finance Viet Credit FCCOM SHB Finance Mirae Asset Mcredit HD Saison JACCS Shinhan Finance FE Credit Home Credit Easy Credit Toyota Financial Services PTFinance 2019 1H2020 Source: FiinResearch. Average NPL and Credit cost of 14 active FinCos in 1H2020. ASSET QUALITY Source: FiinResearch Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.3 Financial benchmarking NPLs accelerated, especially in FinCos with high exposure to cash loans, yet, reported figures did not fully reflect the asset quality of the sector due to supportive policy at Circular 01 Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 NPL of FinCos Figure 27: Comparing NPL of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 26: FinCos’ average NPL, 2015 – 1H2020 Proportion of Cash Loans
  • 29. 29 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 FE Credit Home Credit HD Saison Lotte Finance FCCOM JACCS Home Credit HD Saison Viet Credit SHB Finance Mirae Asset Easy Credit Shinhan Finance Mcredit FE Credit Toyota Financial Services PTFinance 2019 1H2020 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 EFFICIENTCY Source: FiinResearch. Average CIR of 14 active FinCos in 1H2020. Source: FiinResearch Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.3 Financial benchmarking FinCos managed to reduced operating expense, especially HR cost to maintain profit margin Figure 30: Number of employees of Top 3 FinCos, 2016 – 1H2020 Source: FiinResearch Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019) Figure 29: Comparing CIR of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 28: Average cost-to-income (CIR) of Fincos, 2015 – 1H2020
  • 30. 30 PTFinance Toyota Financial Services Shinhan Finance FE Credit HD Saison Easy Credit JACCS Home Credit FCCOM Viet Credit Mcredit Mirae Asset SHB Finance Lotte Finance 2019 1H2020 Source: FiinResearch. Average NPM, Provision charge/TOI and Credit cost of 14 active FinCos in 1H2020. PROFITABILITY Source: FiinResearch. PTFinance and FCCOM seemed odd as they only reactivated their businesses since late 2019. Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.3 Financial benchmarking Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019) Figure 32: Comparing NPM of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 31: FinCos’ average NPM, Provision charge/TOI and Credit cost, 2015 – 1H2020 Change in Provision charge compared to 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 NPM of FinCos Provision charge/TOI Credit cost FinCos’ net profit margin plummeted along with acceleration of provision charge and falling operating income
  • 31. 31 FE Credit HD Saison Shinhan Finance Mcredit Toyota Financial Services Mirae Asset Home Credit JACCS Viet Credit SHB Finance Easy Credit FCCOM PTFinance Lotte Finance 2019 1H2020 FE Credit HD Saison Shinhan Finance Mcredit Toyota Financial Services Mirae Asset Home Credit JACCS Viet Credit SHB Finance Easy Credit FCCOM PTFinance Lotte Finance 27.9% 36.9% 38.1% 24.0% 20.0% 17.8% 5.8% 6.8% 7.0% 4.8% 3.9% 3.5% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H2020 ROAE ROAA Source: FiinResearch Section 2: Competitive landscape of finance companies 2.3 Financial benchmarking ROAEROAA PROFITABILITY Source: FiinResearch. Average ROAA and ROAE of 14 active FinCos in 1H2020. Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019) Sector avg. = xx% (1H2020) vs. xx% (2019) FinCos recognized worsening profitability ratios as a result of slow interest income and rising impaired assets as the pandemic deepened Figure 34: Comparing ROAA & ROAE of FinCos, 2019 vs. 1H2020Figure 33: FinCos’ average ROAA and ROAE, 2015 – 1H2020
  • 32. 32 Contents Section 3: Key development trends 3.1 Key driving forces and development trends that shape Vietnam Consumer Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come 33 3.2 Product development trends 35 3.3 Digital transformation in consumer finance 36 3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts 38
  • 33. 33 Regulatory Changes Consumer Lifestyle Consumer Finance Market COVID-19 Pandemic Dominant trends created by these key driving forces Section 3: Key development trends 3.1 Key driving forces and development trends that shape Vietnam Consumer Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come The impact of COVID-19 pandemic, shift in consumer lifestyle and regulatory changes are three key driving force of Vietnam Consumer Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come
  • 34. 34 FinCos to restructure product portfolio to get ready for recovery Digital Transformation in Consumer Finance Emergence of Alternative Lending Section 3: Key development trends 3.1 Key driving forces and development trends that shape Vietnam Consumer Finance Market in 2020 and the years to come FinCos are expected to master latest key development trends and evolve rapidly to cope with the ever-changing macro-economic environment
  • 35. 35 Credit card became a new key growth driver New forms of indirect/installment loans are launching FinCos are developing a variety forms of CLs Section 3: Key development trends 3.2 Product development trends The transition away from cash loan will accelerate, facilitating credit cards and diversification of indirect loans
  • 36. 36 CUSTOMER SOURCING DISBURSEMENT APPRAISAL COLLECTION STEP FIVE APPLICATION CONTRACT SIGNING DEBT REMINDER REPAYMENT Section 3: Key development trends 3.3 Digital transformation in consumer finance FinCos are digitalizing end-to-end customer journey, increasing efficiency and improving customer experience
  • 37. 37 CF products establish strong presence thanks to Fincos’ ecosystem and integration into other apps Integration of CF in digital platforms Integration of CF in parent bank’s apps Fincos Ecosystem Section 3: Key development trends 3.3 Digital transformation in consumer finance
  • 38. 38 Pawnshop P2P Lending Pay Later Section 3: Key development trends 3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts Figure 35: P2P lending model Alternative lenders have gained popularity in Vietnam thanks to their simplified procedures and high demand for consumer credit
  • 39. 39 1 Online Platforms P2P Lending Models 2 Comparison platforms Business Model of Gobear: 3 P2P Lenders operating like CIs Section 3: Key development trends 3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts P2P lending has recently emerged in Vietnam and quickly developed into three models
  • 40. 40 RISKS IMPACT ON FINCOS P2P lending platforms involve a high degree of risk and have a significant impact on the performance of consumer finance market DEFAULT RISK LACK OF LEGAL FRAMEWROK RISKS TO BANKS & FINCOS EROSION OF FINCOS MARKET SHARE Section 3: Key development trends 3.4 Emerge of alternative lending platforms and impacts
  • 42. 42 DRAFT CIRCULAR AMENDING CIRCULAR 01 Section 4: Regulatory updates CIRCULAR 01/2020/TT-NHNN SBV is going to issue the revised version of Circular 01 to add support for customer loans disbursed between 23 Jan and 24 Apr
  • 43. 43 THE DRAFT CIRCULAR ON LIMITS AND PRUDENTIAL RATIOS OF NON-BANK CREDIT INSTITUTIONS Section 4: Regulatory updates KEY ONLINE RATIONALES FOR CHANGES IMPLICATIONS SBV is imposing tight supervision related to lending to real estate sectors of non-bank credit institutions
  • 44. 44 Section 4: Regulatory updates KEY ACTION IMPLICATIONS DRAFT DECREE ON CONTROLLED TESTING MECHANISM FOR FINTECH IN BANKING SECTOR SBV aims to encourage growth and innovation in Fintech, while maintaining stability and safety of the financial market
  • 45. 45 SBV is going to promulgating a more comprehensive on non-cash payment. However, foreign ownership is still a controversial topic Section 4: Regulatory updates THE DRAFT DECREE REPLACING DECREE 101/2012/ND-CP KEY ACTION RATIONALES FOR CHANGES IMPLICATIONS
  • 46. 46 This page is intentionally left blank Publishing License No. 4217/2020CXBIPH/31-78/HD dated on 16 Oct 2020
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