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Cognitive Biases and
Medicolegal Risk in
Psychiatry
A/Prof Andrew Carroll
Consultant Forensic Psychiatrist
ourcuriousminds.com
1
4
3
2
Legal frameworks
Outline
The dangerous lure of fast
cross-sectional judgements
The Case of LC
The need to re-claim time for
slower, broader judgements
1
4
3
2
Legal frameworks
LEGAL FRAMEWORKS
 Provide ‘guard rails’
on the road: guidance
as to minimum
standards
 Help ensure
DEFENSIBLE and
ethical practice
DO
ourcuriousminds.com
LEGAL FRAMEWORK:
 Lay down prescriptive
‘tram-tracks’
 Encourage DEFENSIVE
practice
 Dictate details of care
DO NOT
ourcuriousminds.com
e.g. Civil Liability
Act 2003 (Qld)
S13
(all legislation very
similar across
Australia & UK)
“(a) the risk was foreseeable (that is,
it is a risk of which the person knew or
ought reasonably to have known); and
(b) the risk was not insignificant; and
(c) in the circumstances, a
reasonable person in the person's
position would have taken those
precautions.”
ourcuriousminds.com
Professionals (including Psychiatrists) must take
appropriate precautions if:
Reasonable psychiatric
practice requires us to:
• engage in good enough
judgements to determine
whether we should take a
particular precaution
ourcuriousminds.com
1
4
3
2 The dangerous lure of fast
cross-sectional judgements
Daniel Kahneman, 2011
A remarkable aspect
of your mental life is
that you are rarely
stumped.
The human tendency to rush
our judgements and decisions…
Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow.
ourcuriousminds.com
ourcuriousminds.com
What you see…
We are prone to pay excessive
attention to things that come to
mind easily…
…Is All There Is
…and we are prone to ignore other
things that are also relevant
“What You See Is
All There Is”:
the basis of bias
Kahneman
POTENTIAL SOURCES OF ERROR & BIAS
‘What I can remember is
more likely’
‘What I have experienced
is more likely’
‘What I can easily imagine
is more likely’
‘What I want is more likely’
‘What I expect is more likely’
Base-rate data
Contextual influences
Relevant factors (often ignored)
related to the likelihood of possible harms
Irrelevant but readily AVAILABLE
feelings and thoughts that can
influence estimates of likelihood
ourcuriousminds.com
POTENTIAL SOURCES OF ERROR & BIAS
‘What I can remember is
more likely’
‘What I have experienced
is more likely’
‘What I can easily imagine
is more likely’
‘What I want is more likely’
‘What I expect is more likely’
Base-rate data
Contextual influences
Relevant factors (often ignored)
related to the likelihood of possible harms
Irrelevant but readily AVAILABLE
feelings and thoughts that can
influence estimates of likelihood
ourcuriousminds.com
CONTEXT
PATIENT
“THE HERE AND NOW”:
a necessary foundation but
NOT SUFFICIENT for optimal
decision-making
ourcuriousminds.com
The “FAST”
psychiatric
evaluation
FAST
THINKIN
CONTEXT
PATIENT
THE CROSS-SECTIONAL
MENTAL STATE AND
PRESENTING ISSUES:
• A SNAPSHOT IN TIME
• GIVES US ONLY A VERY
LIMITED INFORMATION SET
ourcuriousminds.com
The “FAST”
psychiatric
evaluation
FAST
THINKIN
CONTEXT
PATIENT
THE CROSS-SECTIONAL
MENTAL STATE AND
PRESENTING ISSUES:
• A SNAPSHOT IN TIME
• GIVES US ONLY A VERY
LIMITED INFORMATION SET
ourcuriousminds.com
 fail to consider
other, potentially
very relevant and
potent risk factors
that are not
evident cross-
sectionally
The “FAST”
psychiatric
evaluation
FAST
THINKIN
CONTEXT
PATIENT
MANY cases that result in
litigation have occurred
because of a failure to
adopt a sufficiently
BROAD perspective
ourcuriousminds.com
WE NEED TO EXPAND OUR THINKING…
What you see…
…Is NOT All There Is
!
CONTEXT
PATIENT
HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES
ourcuriousminds.com
1
4
3
2
The Case of LC
Case of LC (ACT)
[2017] ACTSC 324
 Man in early 20’s
 Academic decline from
mid-teens
 Recent years: THC,
opiate, stimulant abuse
ourcuriousminds.com
10 September 2007
 LC “really agitated, really upset
and crying…kept saying that
he was a bad person and of no
use”
 CAT Assessment:
 paranoid ideation
 reported visual and auditory
hallucinations saying that
they wanted him to die
 raised possibility of a drug
induced first episode of
psychosis
 discharged home with his
mother to support him
ourcuriousminds.com
11 September 2007
 CAT Team visit ~ 9 pm
 Last 3 to 4 months unusual beliefs including:
 People were following him and talking about him
 Mother was not his real mother
 Friends had been lacing his drinks with “ice”
 “Sammy” had given him AIDS…
 He denied any thoughts of self-harm
 He accepted medication
ourcuriousminds.com
12 September
2007 ~4 am
 LC very agitated
 “very loud” voices talking to
him in his head
 Medication had not helped to
sleep
 Used large knife to slash
both wrists and his neck.
 Mum rang 000
 LC said “don’t call” and fled
 Police found him on roof of
neighbouring house - trying
to jump off
 Taken to hospital
ourcuriousminds.com
12 September 2007 morning at Canberra
Hospital
 Medically cleared
 Mental health clinician assessment:
 Informed by ED staff that LC cooperative and
compliant
 Noted that “currently extremely delusional”
 BUT “reports that he will not try to kill himself
anymore and he stated that he wants to make peace
with everyone”
 LC stated that willing to wait to be reviewed
 Not certified
ourcuriousminds.com
Early afternoon
 When briefly left alone, LC
absconded from the hospital,
chased by a security guard.
 Jumped from multi-storey car
park  complex fractures to both
legs.
 Notes later suggested was
reacting to hallucinatory
symptoms
ourcuriousminds.com
Justice Burns of SUPREME
COURT of the AUSTRALIAN
CAPITAL TERRITORY
“…beyond any doubt that the plaintiff had,
before he attended the hospital on 12
September 2007, behaved unpredictably in
engaging in self-harm. I use the term
“unpredictably”, because his actions were
contrary to the assurances that he gave to
doctors and mental health workers on 10 and
11 September 2007, that he would not harm
himself…”
ourcuriousminds.com
Justice Burns of SUPREME
COURT of the AUSTRALIAN
CAPITAL TERRITORY
“…beyond any doubt that the plaintiff had,
before he attended the hospital on 12
September 2007, behaved unpredictably in
engaging in self-harm. I use the term
“unpredictably”, because his actions were
contrary to the assurances that he gave to
doctors and mental health workers on 10 and
11 September 2007, that he would not harm
himself…”
ourcuriousminds.com
Emphasises importance of the longitudinal history
of unpredictable behaviour: a less overt but
nonetheless very relevant and potent risk factor
Justice Burns of SUPREME
COURT of the AUSTRALIAN
CAPITAL TERRITORY
“… does not accord with common sense
to suggest that a medical practitioner
conducting an assessment of the plaintiff
…would place significance on assurances
by a patient such as the plaintiff that he
would not engage in further acts of self-
harm…”
ourcuriousminds.com
Justice Burns of SUPREME
COURT of the AUSTRALIAN
CAPITAL TERRITORY
“… does not accord with common sense
to suggest that a medical practitioner
conducting an assessment of the plaintiff
…would place significance on assurances
by a patient such as the plaintiff that he
would not engage in further acts of self-
harm…”
ourcuriousminds.com
Emphasises importance of not entirely
relying on “what you see” (the “assurance”)
DAMAGES
AWARDED
AGAINST THE
HOSPITAL:
~$130,000
ourcuriousminds.com
CONTEXT
PATIENT
HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES
ourcuriousminds.com
CONTEXT
PATIENT
HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES
ourcuriousminds.com
CLINICIAN
IGNORED THIS
CONTEXT
PATIENT
HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES
ourcuriousminds.com
CLINICIAN
IGNORED THIS
PUT TOO MUCH
WEIGHT ON THIS
CONTEXT
PATIENT
HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES
ourcuriousminds.com
CLINICIAN
IGNORED THIS
PUT TOO MUCH
WEIGHT ON THIS
AND SO COULD
NOT PROPERLY
ASSESS FOR THIS
1
4
3
2
The need to re-claim time for
slower, broader judgements
Hang on, there’s
a decision to be
made here…let’s
just think this
through a
moment...
THE POWER OF THE PAUSE
ourcuriousminds.com
At least consider the opposite of
what ‘fast thinking’ tells you
Seek to dis-confirm (rather than confirm)
your initial ideas
Systematically consider all realistic
options even when majority/intuition is
clearly in favour of one over the others
Consciously seize control of your
‘mental spotlight’ and broaden its
sweep
ourcuriousminds.com
Be prepared to :
- change your mind
- be the domino that does not fall
Disempowered practitioners
Derailed decision-making
GROUPTHINK
often pressures us
into fast,
cross-sectional judgements
ourcuriousminds.com
Take time with
phenomenology
• Psychiatric training  rich
knowledge of phenomenology :
a toolkit for understanding the
inner world of patients
• Making use of that training 
encourages others to think
broadly
ourcuriousminds.com
Don’t collude with
‘fast’ but dumbed
down approaches!
ourcuriousminds.com
ourcuriousminds.com
For more on how Psychiatrists can enhance
their judgement skills and reduce their
exposure to medicolegal risk:
 ‘Beyond the Tickbox’ : an online course developed
by forensic psychiatrists and medical negligence
lawyers: bit.ly/tickboxcourse
ourcuriousminds.com

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Cognitive Biases and Medicolegal Risk in Psychiatry

  • 1. Cognitive Biases and Medicolegal Risk in Psychiatry A/Prof Andrew Carroll Consultant Forensic Psychiatrist ourcuriousminds.com
  • 2. 1 4 3 2 Legal frameworks Outline The dangerous lure of fast cross-sectional judgements The Case of LC The need to re-claim time for slower, broader judgements
  • 4. LEGAL FRAMEWORKS  Provide ‘guard rails’ on the road: guidance as to minimum standards  Help ensure DEFENSIBLE and ethical practice DO ourcuriousminds.com
  • 5. LEGAL FRAMEWORK:  Lay down prescriptive ‘tram-tracks’  Encourage DEFENSIVE practice  Dictate details of care DO NOT ourcuriousminds.com
  • 6. e.g. Civil Liability Act 2003 (Qld) S13 (all legislation very similar across Australia & UK) “(a) the risk was foreseeable (that is, it is a risk of which the person knew or ought reasonably to have known); and (b) the risk was not insignificant; and (c) in the circumstances, a reasonable person in the person's position would have taken those precautions.” ourcuriousminds.com Professionals (including Psychiatrists) must take appropriate precautions if:
  • 7. Reasonable psychiatric practice requires us to: • engage in good enough judgements to determine whether we should take a particular precaution ourcuriousminds.com
  • 8. 1 4 3 2 The dangerous lure of fast cross-sectional judgements
  • 9. Daniel Kahneman, 2011 A remarkable aspect of your mental life is that you are rarely stumped. The human tendency to rush our judgements and decisions… Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow. ourcuriousminds.com
  • 11. What you see… We are prone to pay excessive attention to things that come to mind easily… …Is All There Is …and we are prone to ignore other things that are also relevant “What You See Is All There Is”: the basis of bias Kahneman
  • 12. POTENTIAL SOURCES OF ERROR & BIAS ‘What I can remember is more likely’ ‘What I have experienced is more likely’ ‘What I can easily imagine is more likely’ ‘What I want is more likely’ ‘What I expect is more likely’ Base-rate data Contextual influences Relevant factors (often ignored) related to the likelihood of possible harms Irrelevant but readily AVAILABLE feelings and thoughts that can influence estimates of likelihood ourcuriousminds.com
  • 13. POTENTIAL SOURCES OF ERROR & BIAS ‘What I can remember is more likely’ ‘What I have experienced is more likely’ ‘What I can easily imagine is more likely’ ‘What I want is more likely’ ‘What I expect is more likely’ Base-rate data Contextual influences Relevant factors (often ignored) related to the likelihood of possible harms Irrelevant but readily AVAILABLE feelings and thoughts that can influence estimates of likelihood ourcuriousminds.com
  • 14. CONTEXT PATIENT “THE HERE AND NOW”: a necessary foundation but NOT SUFFICIENT for optimal decision-making ourcuriousminds.com The “FAST” psychiatric evaluation FAST THINKIN
  • 15. CONTEXT PATIENT THE CROSS-SECTIONAL MENTAL STATE AND PRESENTING ISSUES: • A SNAPSHOT IN TIME • GIVES US ONLY A VERY LIMITED INFORMATION SET ourcuriousminds.com The “FAST” psychiatric evaluation FAST THINKIN
  • 16. CONTEXT PATIENT THE CROSS-SECTIONAL MENTAL STATE AND PRESENTING ISSUES: • A SNAPSHOT IN TIME • GIVES US ONLY A VERY LIMITED INFORMATION SET ourcuriousminds.com  fail to consider other, potentially very relevant and potent risk factors that are not evident cross- sectionally The “FAST” psychiatric evaluation FAST THINKIN
  • 17. CONTEXT PATIENT MANY cases that result in litigation have occurred because of a failure to adopt a sufficiently BROAD perspective ourcuriousminds.com
  • 18. WE NEED TO EXPAND OUR THINKING…
  • 19. What you see… …Is NOT All There Is !
  • 20. CONTEXT PATIENT HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES ourcuriousminds.com
  • 22. Case of LC (ACT) [2017] ACTSC 324  Man in early 20’s  Academic decline from mid-teens  Recent years: THC, opiate, stimulant abuse ourcuriousminds.com
  • 23. 10 September 2007  LC “really agitated, really upset and crying…kept saying that he was a bad person and of no use”  CAT Assessment:  paranoid ideation  reported visual and auditory hallucinations saying that they wanted him to die  raised possibility of a drug induced first episode of psychosis  discharged home with his mother to support him ourcuriousminds.com
  • 24. 11 September 2007  CAT Team visit ~ 9 pm  Last 3 to 4 months unusual beliefs including:  People were following him and talking about him  Mother was not his real mother  Friends had been lacing his drinks with “ice”  “Sammy” had given him AIDS…  He denied any thoughts of self-harm  He accepted medication ourcuriousminds.com
  • 25. 12 September 2007 ~4 am  LC very agitated  “very loud” voices talking to him in his head  Medication had not helped to sleep  Used large knife to slash both wrists and his neck.  Mum rang 000  LC said “don’t call” and fled  Police found him on roof of neighbouring house - trying to jump off  Taken to hospital ourcuriousminds.com
  • 26. 12 September 2007 morning at Canberra Hospital  Medically cleared  Mental health clinician assessment:  Informed by ED staff that LC cooperative and compliant  Noted that “currently extremely delusional”  BUT “reports that he will not try to kill himself anymore and he stated that he wants to make peace with everyone”  LC stated that willing to wait to be reviewed  Not certified ourcuriousminds.com
  • 27. Early afternoon  When briefly left alone, LC absconded from the hospital, chased by a security guard.  Jumped from multi-storey car park  complex fractures to both legs.  Notes later suggested was reacting to hallucinatory symptoms ourcuriousminds.com
  • 28. Justice Burns of SUPREME COURT of the AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY “…beyond any doubt that the plaintiff had, before he attended the hospital on 12 September 2007, behaved unpredictably in engaging in self-harm. I use the term “unpredictably”, because his actions were contrary to the assurances that he gave to doctors and mental health workers on 10 and 11 September 2007, that he would not harm himself…” ourcuriousminds.com
  • 29. Justice Burns of SUPREME COURT of the AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY “…beyond any doubt that the plaintiff had, before he attended the hospital on 12 September 2007, behaved unpredictably in engaging in self-harm. I use the term “unpredictably”, because his actions were contrary to the assurances that he gave to doctors and mental health workers on 10 and 11 September 2007, that he would not harm himself…” ourcuriousminds.com Emphasises importance of the longitudinal history of unpredictable behaviour: a less overt but nonetheless very relevant and potent risk factor
  • 30. Justice Burns of SUPREME COURT of the AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY “… does not accord with common sense to suggest that a medical practitioner conducting an assessment of the plaintiff …would place significance on assurances by a patient such as the plaintiff that he would not engage in further acts of self- harm…” ourcuriousminds.com
  • 31. Justice Burns of SUPREME COURT of the AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY “… does not accord with common sense to suggest that a medical practitioner conducting an assessment of the plaintiff …would place significance on assurances by a patient such as the plaintiff that he would not engage in further acts of self- harm…” ourcuriousminds.com Emphasises importance of not entirely relying on “what you see” (the “assurance”)
  • 33. CONTEXT PATIENT HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES ourcuriousminds.com
  • 34. CONTEXT PATIENT HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES ourcuriousminds.com CLINICIAN IGNORED THIS
  • 35. CONTEXT PATIENT HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES ourcuriousminds.com CLINICIAN IGNORED THIS PUT TOO MUCH WEIGHT ON THIS
  • 36. CONTEXT PATIENT HISTORY NOW ANTICIPATED FUTURES ourcuriousminds.com CLINICIAN IGNORED THIS PUT TOO MUCH WEIGHT ON THIS AND SO COULD NOT PROPERLY ASSESS FOR THIS
  • 37. 1 4 3 2 The need to re-claim time for slower, broader judgements
  • 38. Hang on, there’s a decision to be made here…let’s just think this through a moment... THE POWER OF THE PAUSE ourcuriousminds.com
  • 39. At least consider the opposite of what ‘fast thinking’ tells you Seek to dis-confirm (rather than confirm) your initial ideas Systematically consider all realistic options even when majority/intuition is clearly in favour of one over the others Consciously seize control of your ‘mental spotlight’ and broaden its sweep ourcuriousminds.com
  • 40. Be prepared to : - change your mind - be the domino that does not fall Disempowered practitioners Derailed decision-making GROUPTHINK often pressures us into fast, cross-sectional judgements ourcuriousminds.com
  • 41. Take time with phenomenology • Psychiatric training  rich knowledge of phenomenology : a toolkit for understanding the inner world of patients • Making use of that training  encourages others to think broadly ourcuriousminds.com
  • 42. Don’t collude with ‘fast’ but dumbed down approaches! ourcuriousminds.com
  • 44. For more on how Psychiatrists can enhance their judgement skills and reduce their exposure to medicolegal risk:  ‘Beyond the Tickbox’ : an online course developed by forensic psychiatrists and medical negligence lawyers: bit.ly/tickboxcourse ourcuriousminds.com