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CMBS
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities
CMBS Part I




Typical Characteristics
     Brief History
Industry Participants
(CMBS)
   What are Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities?


CMBS consist of many single mortgages pooled together and
transferred to a trust. The trust issues a series of bonds
that vary in yield, duration and payment priority.


As several commercial bonds and mortgages are brought
together, investors get dividends funded by the pooled
mortgages.



                                                 Borrowers Guide to CMBS
CMBS are an increasingly popular investment option that
investors can consider during their asset allocation process

CMBS are similar to Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS):

    Asset-backed securities secured by a mortgage or
     collection of mortgages

    Bonds backed by mortgage payments

CMBS and MBS differ:

    MBS - loans related to residential property

    CMBS - loans related to commercial property
Typical Characteristics of CMBS

   Term Period –terms are typically three, five or ten years
    long

   Repayment of Investment – principal and interest of the
    mortgages is used to pay the principal and interest of the
    CMBS

   Rates of Return – influenced by fluctuations in the overall
    position of the real estate market

   RRSP Eligible – CMBS are eligible through The Registered
    Retired Savings Plan
Typical Characteristics of CMBS continued…

     Ratings – credit ratings are assigned by nationally recognized
      rating agencies:
                               (AAA/AAA through BBB-/Baa3)
                                   (BB+/Ba1 through B-/B3)
                                             Unrated Class


     Risk Structured Payment directly correlated with rating class


     REMIC – (real estate mortgage investment conduit) structured
      as a pass-through securitized certificates, while individual
      investors pay taxes on income they receive from REMICs, the
      securities themselves are exempt from business income tax
Brief History of CMBS

   1968 - Ginnie Mae (GNMA), first mortgage backed pass through security - to provide a

    liquid secondary market for existing loans; provided lender’s the ability to originate

    more primary loans

   1971 - Freddie Mac (FHLMC) issued first mortgage pass through mostly of private

    mortgages

   1981 - Fannie Mae (FNMA) issued its first mortgage backed security

   1983 - first CMBS transaction was priced - Fidelity Mutual Life Insurance, issued $60

    million of commercial mortgage–backed securities to three life insurance companies

   1985 - total annual issuance of CMBS reached $3.7 billion and the market established

    itself as an effective financing mechanism for commercial real estate

   1980’s and 1990’s - tax and regulatory reforms made these investments more appealing

    and suitable for a wider range of investors
CMBS Industry Participants

                    Primary or Sub-Servicer
                        Master Servicer
                       Special Servicer
Directing Certificate Holder / Controlling Class / B-Piece Buyer
                            Trustee
                        Rating Agencies
CMBS Industry Participants




                             equitydefeasance.com
CMBS Part II




Advantages & Disadvantages
         Borrower
           Issuer
          Investor
Borrower Advantages
   Creates additional sources of funding for the development of projects
    by introducing diversified levels of risk

   Level of Protection Through Defeasance

    As a substitution for collateral (real estate property) for the
    remainder of the term on a mortgage note, a borrower can elect to
    pay the note before its maturity date (defeasance) through the
    substitutive purchase, exactly matching the cash flow of all
    scheduled mortgage payments, of US Treasury bonds
Issuer Advantages
   "CMBS helps in converting immovable real estate into liquid and
    tradable capital market instruments.

   CMBS acts as an additional source of funding for the
    bank/developer.

   The rating on CMBS defined can be separated from the rating of
    the bank/developer for a desired rating on the CMBS instrument.

   CMBS is more beneficial than bank loans as it reduces the overall
    cost of funds and optimizes the funds raised, due to offering
    different categories of options to suit different investor classes.

   CMBS helps lenders manage risk, by securitizing selected
    commercial mortgages and buying or selling suitable CMBS
    papers." - www.ilikeinvesting.com
Investor Advantages

   "Investors are able to participate in real estate lending in
    amounts that are small.

   Investors can meet their objectives by choosing options
    that suit their credit and maturity preferences.

   Investors can gain access to segments of the sector at low
    transaction and information costs.

   Internationally, defaults experienced on CMBS are much
    lower than on other types of securities." - www.ilikeinvesting.com
Disadvantages

                                   Borrowers


   Borrowers may be locked out of prepayments, leading to financial losses
    in an environment of lower interest rates.

   Borrowers are expected to make a balloon payment at the end of the
    loan term and becomes dependent on a source of funding to either
    retire the debt, or refinance. Higher rates may lead to financial losses.
    Inability to obtain funding may result in default loss, referred to as
    extension risk.
Disadvantages

                                  Lenders

   There is a much higher rate of default in CMBS issuances due to the
    reliance on cash flows and income from commercial tenants and
    financial risk due to macro and local economic conditions and
    demographic trends.

   The loans are generally made without recourse, leaving the lender
    dependent on the sale of the property to recoup costs and losses.

   Lenders ability to recoup their investment is determined by the
    tranche position of their investment. Senior tranches are paid first,
    followed by subordinated and residual class investors. Liquidity
    crunches and financial loss can cause an investor to lose their entire
    investment if sale proceeds do not exceed the debt.
CMBS Part III




  Valuation of CMBS
             &
Difficulties in Valuation
VALUATION OF CMBS

  CMBS collateral property valuations require
the analysis of details and inherent complexities
        attributed to the uniqueness of
           each commercial property
Commercial properties are each distinct owing to their

competitive positioning within their markets and the

makeup of their physical structure, tenancy/occupancy,

and management.




      Parking Lots             Office Properties
      Hotels                   Industrial Properties
      Malls                    Multi-Family Properties
      Restaurants              Retail Shops
      Hospitals                Self-Storage Facilities
A Few Examples of Risk Considerations
   Location/Visibility        In place vs. Market
                                Rate Leases
   Demographic Trends                                       Environmental Risks
                               Rent Roll
   Employment Growth                                        Availability of Nearby
                               Government Subsidies          Undeveloped Land
   Supply and Demand
    Dynamics                   Management/Franchise         Security
                                Agreements
   Occupancy/Tenancy/Co-                                    Consolidations
    Tenancy/Shadow             Competition/Competitiv
    Anchors                     e Strength                   Expenses

   Subleasing/Subleasing      Structure/Design/Physic      Shareholder Profiles
    Rates                       al
                                Attraction/Layout/Parki
                                ng
Property Cash Flow Analysis

A collateral property’s net cash flow is the principal indicator as

to whether a proposed loan’s periodic debt service will be paid.


Cash flow analysis requires the underwriter to obtain information

on Net Operating Income (total recurring revenue less total

expenses) generated by the income producing property from its

usual operations.
Property Cash Flow Analysis   continued…




   Revenues - income from tenancy or occupancy, and
    reimbursement of operating expenses

However, recurring revenue related to a property’s operations
could come from a variety of sources.

Example, in addition to rent, income from a retail tenant based
on the percentage of sales by the retail store can be an additional
source of revenue for the property.
Property Cash Flow Analysis   continued…




     Expenses - costs of operating and maintaining property:

         • management fees                 • facility supplies
         • franchise fees                  • costs of goods sold
         • utilities                       • insurance
         • leased equipment                • service agreements like
         • maintenance                     landscaping or marketing
         • employee salaries
An underwriter’s document requirements from the borrower are specific
to the uniqueness of each property and at minimum include the
following:

   Operating statements – current plus three prior calendar years

   Operating budget – current and following year’s operating budget

   Current Rent Roll – includes tenant names, co‐tenancy provisions,
    leased square foot area, lease commencement dates, lease expiration
    dates, current rents (contractual rent increases during lease terms),
    renewal options, termination options, and current or future
    concessions
Market Analysis

By tracking and projecting market trends, an underwriter can

reasonably predict the commercial viability of a particular

property over the term of the loan and beyond the anticipated

refinance period to provide the basis for the probable

performance of the collateral.
Market Analysis continued…


    Macro and Local Economic and Demographic
      Tr e n d s I n f l u e n c e t h e D e m a n d f o r S p a c e

   Supply and Demand                   Conditions

   Nominal GDP (as indicative of      Local Population Growth
    increasing prices)
                                       Major Local Employers
   Employment Growth Rate
                                       Local Job Patterns
   Disposable Income
                                       Household Formation
   Changing Demographics in
    Markets                            Median and Disposable Income

   Market‐Specific Economic
Risk Analysis

To properly value CMBS, an underwriter must consider all
the risk factors specific to the uniqueness of each property.

Additionally, underwriters must also consider a borrower’s
ability to make timely payments and eventual repayment on
the loan at the maturity date.

This calls for lenders to customize their underwriting to
reflect the risk within each proposed loan in relation to the
criteria and conditions of each property.
Monetary Risks



   Term Default -“Term Risk” is the probability of default from loan
    origination through loan maturity:


                       Underwriter’s Considerations:
       probabilities in fluctuations in cash flows due to lease turnover
                                       and
                              changes in expenses


    Require higher debt service coverage ratio and credit enhancements
    such as; reserve funds based on the uniqueness of each property
Monetary Risks



   Maturity Default – “Maturity Risk” is the probability of default at
    the date a loan is due:

                    Reflects ability of a borrower to:

         attain refinance proceeds to fully repay the matured loan

                                     or

         sell the property and utilize sales proceeds to repay the loan


        Debt constants, debt-yields and loan‐to‐value ratios are
                     used to assess Maturity Risk
Non-Monetary Risks



   Technical Default – determining the probability of a technical
    default, an underwriter evaluates:

                        borrower’s motivation
                                 and
        capacity to abide with constraints of loan agreements
                        beyond payment terms


    Technical defaults can have severe repercussions if not cured by borrower
    within a reasonable period of time

    Example: borrower neglects to sufficiently insure a property, the property and
    loan may suffer adverse consequences and risk of loss
Rating Issues




                http://youtu.be/36q1fLiH3lw
                http://www.theratingsdebate.com/
Conclusion




             http://youtu.be/KGrQv1fZ0jU
CMBS - PowerPoint Presentation 2011
                                     By

                                  Natalie Cohen
                                Neville O’Callaghan
                                 Mark Ungewitter



Public Domain Photo Credits

       Photo By Denise Gould



       Photo By Jim Peaco



        Photo By David Hafley




       Photo By Natalie Cohen
Sources

   CMBS.Com, http://www.cmbs.com/Mission.aspx, accessed December 2011

   Invetopedia, http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/cmbs.asp#axzz1ZaNvpHhi, accessed December 2011

   Ilikeinvesting, http://www.ilikeinvesting.com/general-investment-articles/commercial-mortgage-securities.php,
    accessed December 2011

   CMBS Borrower’s Guide,accessed December 2011

   http://equitydefeasance.com/assumptions_process.html , accessed December 2011

   Urbanland, http://urbanland.uli.org/Articles/2011/Mar/SepciCMBS , accessed December 2011

   CREFC.org
    http://www.crefc.org/uploadedFiles/CMSA_Site_Home/Industry_Standards/CREFC_Underwriting_Principles_121510.pdf
    , accessed December 2011

   Defeasnce, Wikipedia – http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defeasance accessed December 2011

   The Ratings Debate, YouTube – http://youtu.be/36q1fLiH3lw, accessed December 2011

   Buffet on Derivatives, YouTube - http://youtu.be/KGrQv1fZ0jU, accessed December 2011

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How CMBS Work and Their Valuation Challenges

  • 2. CMBS Part I Typical Characteristics Brief History Industry Participants
  • 3. (CMBS) What are Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities? CMBS consist of many single mortgages pooled together and transferred to a trust. The trust issues a series of bonds that vary in yield, duration and payment priority. As several commercial bonds and mortgages are brought together, investors get dividends funded by the pooled mortgages. Borrowers Guide to CMBS
  • 4. CMBS are an increasingly popular investment option that investors can consider during their asset allocation process CMBS are similar to Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS):  Asset-backed securities secured by a mortgage or collection of mortgages  Bonds backed by mortgage payments CMBS and MBS differ:  MBS - loans related to residential property  CMBS - loans related to commercial property
  • 5. Typical Characteristics of CMBS  Term Period –terms are typically three, five or ten years long  Repayment of Investment – principal and interest of the mortgages is used to pay the principal and interest of the CMBS  Rates of Return – influenced by fluctuations in the overall position of the real estate market  RRSP Eligible – CMBS are eligible through The Registered Retired Savings Plan
  • 6. Typical Characteristics of CMBS continued…  Ratings – credit ratings are assigned by nationally recognized rating agencies: (AAA/AAA through BBB-/Baa3) (BB+/Ba1 through B-/B3) Unrated Class  Risk Structured Payment directly correlated with rating class  REMIC – (real estate mortgage investment conduit) structured as a pass-through securitized certificates, while individual investors pay taxes on income they receive from REMICs, the securities themselves are exempt from business income tax
  • 7. Brief History of CMBS  1968 - Ginnie Mae (GNMA), first mortgage backed pass through security - to provide a liquid secondary market for existing loans; provided lender’s the ability to originate more primary loans  1971 - Freddie Mac (FHLMC) issued first mortgage pass through mostly of private mortgages  1981 - Fannie Mae (FNMA) issued its first mortgage backed security  1983 - first CMBS transaction was priced - Fidelity Mutual Life Insurance, issued $60 million of commercial mortgage–backed securities to three life insurance companies  1985 - total annual issuance of CMBS reached $3.7 billion and the market established itself as an effective financing mechanism for commercial real estate  1980’s and 1990’s - tax and regulatory reforms made these investments more appealing and suitable for a wider range of investors
  • 8. CMBS Industry Participants Primary or Sub-Servicer Master Servicer Special Servicer Directing Certificate Holder / Controlling Class / B-Piece Buyer Trustee Rating Agencies
  • 9. CMBS Industry Participants equitydefeasance.com
  • 10. CMBS Part II Advantages & Disadvantages Borrower Issuer Investor
  • 11. Borrower Advantages  Creates additional sources of funding for the development of projects by introducing diversified levels of risk  Level of Protection Through Defeasance As a substitution for collateral (real estate property) for the remainder of the term on a mortgage note, a borrower can elect to pay the note before its maturity date (defeasance) through the substitutive purchase, exactly matching the cash flow of all scheduled mortgage payments, of US Treasury bonds
  • 12. Issuer Advantages  "CMBS helps in converting immovable real estate into liquid and tradable capital market instruments.  CMBS acts as an additional source of funding for the bank/developer.  The rating on CMBS defined can be separated from the rating of the bank/developer for a desired rating on the CMBS instrument.  CMBS is more beneficial than bank loans as it reduces the overall cost of funds and optimizes the funds raised, due to offering different categories of options to suit different investor classes.  CMBS helps lenders manage risk, by securitizing selected commercial mortgages and buying or selling suitable CMBS papers." - www.ilikeinvesting.com
  • 13. Investor Advantages  "Investors are able to participate in real estate lending in amounts that are small.  Investors can meet their objectives by choosing options that suit their credit and maturity preferences.  Investors can gain access to segments of the sector at low transaction and information costs.  Internationally, defaults experienced on CMBS are much lower than on other types of securities." - www.ilikeinvesting.com
  • 14. Disadvantages Borrowers  Borrowers may be locked out of prepayments, leading to financial losses in an environment of lower interest rates.  Borrowers are expected to make a balloon payment at the end of the loan term and becomes dependent on a source of funding to either retire the debt, or refinance. Higher rates may lead to financial losses. Inability to obtain funding may result in default loss, referred to as extension risk.
  • 15. Disadvantages Lenders  There is a much higher rate of default in CMBS issuances due to the reliance on cash flows and income from commercial tenants and financial risk due to macro and local economic conditions and demographic trends.  The loans are generally made without recourse, leaving the lender dependent on the sale of the property to recoup costs and losses.  Lenders ability to recoup their investment is determined by the tranche position of their investment. Senior tranches are paid first, followed by subordinated and residual class investors. Liquidity crunches and financial loss can cause an investor to lose their entire investment if sale proceeds do not exceed the debt.
  • 16. CMBS Part III Valuation of CMBS & Difficulties in Valuation
  • 17. VALUATION OF CMBS CMBS collateral property valuations require the analysis of details and inherent complexities attributed to the uniqueness of each commercial property
  • 18. Commercial properties are each distinct owing to their competitive positioning within their markets and the makeup of their physical structure, tenancy/occupancy, and management.  Parking Lots  Office Properties  Hotels  Industrial Properties  Malls  Multi-Family Properties  Restaurants  Retail Shops  Hospitals  Self-Storage Facilities
  • 19. A Few Examples of Risk Considerations  Location/Visibility  In place vs. Market Rate Leases  Demographic Trends  Environmental Risks  Rent Roll  Employment Growth  Availability of Nearby  Government Subsidies Undeveloped Land  Supply and Demand Dynamics  Management/Franchise  Security Agreements  Occupancy/Tenancy/Co-  Consolidations Tenancy/Shadow  Competition/Competitiv Anchors e Strength  Expenses  Subleasing/Subleasing  Structure/Design/Physic  Shareholder Profiles Rates al Attraction/Layout/Parki ng
  • 20. Property Cash Flow Analysis A collateral property’s net cash flow is the principal indicator as to whether a proposed loan’s periodic debt service will be paid. Cash flow analysis requires the underwriter to obtain information on Net Operating Income (total recurring revenue less total expenses) generated by the income producing property from its usual operations.
  • 21. Property Cash Flow Analysis continued…  Revenues - income from tenancy or occupancy, and reimbursement of operating expenses However, recurring revenue related to a property’s operations could come from a variety of sources. Example, in addition to rent, income from a retail tenant based on the percentage of sales by the retail store can be an additional source of revenue for the property.
  • 22. Property Cash Flow Analysis continued…  Expenses - costs of operating and maintaining property: • management fees • facility supplies • franchise fees • costs of goods sold • utilities • insurance • leased equipment • service agreements like • maintenance landscaping or marketing • employee salaries
  • 23. An underwriter’s document requirements from the borrower are specific to the uniqueness of each property and at minimum include the following:  Operating statements – current plus three prior calendar years  Operating budget – current and following year’s operating budget  Current Rent Roll – includes tenant names, co‐tenancy provisions, leased square foot area, lease commencement dates, lease expiration dates, current rents (contractual rent increases during lease terms), renewal options, termination options, and current or future concessions
  • 24. Market Analysis By tracking and projecting market trends, an underwriter can reasonably predict the commercial viability of a particular property over the term of the loan and beyond the anticipated refinance period to provide the basis for the probable performance of the collateral.
  • 25. Market Analysis continued… Macro and Local Economic and Demographic Tr e n d s I n f l u e n c e t h e D e m a n d f o r S p a c e  Supply and Demand Conditions  Nominal GDP (as indicative of  Local Population Growth increasing prices)  Major Local Employers  Employment Growth Rate  Local Job Patterns  Disposable Income  Household Formation  Changing Demographics in Markets  Median and Disposable Income  Market‐Specific Economic
  • 26. Risk Analysis To properly value CMBS, an underwriter must consider all the risk factors specific to the uniqueness of each property. Additionally, underwriters must also consider a borrower’s ability to make timely payments and eventual repayment on the loan at the maturity date. This calls for lenders to customize their underwriting to reflect the risk within each proposed loan in relation to the criteria and conditions of each property.
  • 27.
  • 28. Monetary Risks  Term Default -“Term Risk” is the probability of default from loan origination through loan maturity: Underwriter’s Considerations: probabilities in fluctuations in cash flows due to lease turnover and changes in expenses Require higher debt service coverage ratio and credit enhancements such as; reserve funds based on the uniqueness of each property
  • 29. Monetary Risks  Maturity Default – “Maturity Risk” is the probability of default at the date a loan is due: Reflects ability of a borrower to: attain refinance proceeds to fully repay the matured loan or sell the property and utilize sales proceeds to repay the loan Debt constants, debt-yields and loan‐to‐value ratios are used to assess Maturity Risk
  • 30. Non-Monetary Risks  Technical Default – determining the probability of a technical default, an underwriter evaluates: borrower’s motivation and capacity to abide with constraints of loan agreements beyond payment terms Technical defaults can have severe repercussions if not cured by borrower within a reasonable period of time Example: borrower neglects to sufficiently insure a property, the property and loan may suffer adverse consequences and risk of loss
  • 31. Rating Issues http://youtu.be/36q1fLiH3lw http://www.theratingsdebate.com/
  • 32. Conclusion http://youtu.be/KGrQv1fZ0jU
  • 33. CMBS - PowerPoint Presentation 2011 By Natalie Cohen Neville O’Callaghan Mark Ungewitter Public Domain Photo Credits Photo By Denise Gould Photo By Jim Peaco Photo By David Hafley Photo By Natalie Cohen
  • 34. Sources  CMBS.Com, http://www.cmbs.com/Mission.aspx, accessed December 2011  Invetopedia, http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/cmbs.asp#axzz1ZaNvpHhi, accessed December 2011  Ilikeinvesting, http://www.ilikeinvesting.com/general-investment-articles/commercial-mortgage-securities.php, accessed December 2011  CMBS Borrower’s Guide,accessed December 2011  http://equitydefeasance.com/assumptions_process.html , accessed December 2011  Urbanland, http://urbanland.uli.org/Articles/2011/Mar/SepciCMBS , accessed December 2011  CREFC.org http://www.crefc.org/uploadedFiles/CMSA_Site_Home/Industry_Standards/CREFC_Underwriting_Principles_121510.pdf , accessed December 2011  Defeasnce, Wikipedia – http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defeasance accessed December 2011  The Ratings Debate, YouTube – http://youtu.be/36q1fLiH3lw, accessed December 2011  Buffet on Derivatives, YouTube - http://youtu.be/KGrQv1fZ0jU, accessed December 2011