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Why cities
will drive traffic
growth
Cities will drive Traffic growth

Population versus mobile traffic distribution (%)
 100
                                                                    › By 2017, urban and metro areas
                                                    Rural
                                                                      will generate 60 percent of all
  80                Rural                                             mobile traffic, although they will
                                                 Suburban             be home to only 30 percent of the
                                                                      population.
  60
                                                              60%


                 Suburban                                           › Why is this the case?
                                                   Urban
  40


                                   30%
  20                Urban
                                                   Metro
                                                                       **Metro: >4,000 people/sq km, Urban: 1,000-4,000
                    Metro                                              people/sq km, Suburban: 300-1,000 people/sq km, Rural:
   0                                                                   <300 people/sq km
             Estimated world                   Estimated mobile
                 population                      traffic, 2017
            distribution, 2017**
                                                                                                                 (Source: Ericsson)
© Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 2 (12)
Ericsson ConsumerLab
City Study 2011

                                                                                          Moscow
                                                                         Stockholm                      Seoul
                                                              London                                            Tokyo
                                                                                              Beijing
                                               New York
                           Los Angeles
                                                                                              Hong Kong


                                                                       Cairo         Mumbai



                                                  São Paulo

                                                                 Johannesburg




› Conducted in 13 major cities
       − 1,500 interviews/city
       − Sample representative of the advanced online population: 100 million citizens
         of cities, nearly half of the total population of the 13 cities
› The collected data represents the half of the total population that uses the
  internet most frequently (at least weekly)
© Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 3 (12)
High rate of Smartphone
 ownership
                                                                                                   › Only about 10 to 15
 100%                                                                                                percent of the worldwide
  90%                                                                                                installed base of
  80%                                                                                                subscriptions uses
  70%                                                                                                smartphones (*)
  60%                                                                                                   (*) Source: Ericsson Traffic and Market Report (June 2012)

  50%
  40%                                                                                              City Study 2011 results:
  30%
                                                                                                   › About 40 percent of city
  20%
                                                                                                     dwellers own an iPhone or
  10%
     0%
                                                                                                     an Android phone
                                                                                                   › Major differences exist
                            M rg
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                                                                                                     between cities
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                            An iPhone   An Android phone   Another type of mobile phone




                                                                                          (Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All (online population)
 © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 4 (12)
Heavy usage of mobile services, incl. high-
capacity services

A total of 14 mobile services are used more than five times a day by
at least 10 percent of city dwellers
                                               Share (%) who use each service at least five times a day (heavy users)
                              Make/receive calls
               Send/receive SMS/text messages
                         Browsing of the internet
                            Send/receive e-mails
                  Use of apps to access internet
                     Check/read social networks
                     Listen to music and/or radio
                     Use calendar/diary function
                 Update/write on social networks
           Use the camera and/or video function
                  Use instant messaging service
                                     Play games
                      Connect to Wi-Fi/Hotspots
            Send/receive MMS/photo messages
                    Watch video clips/movies/TV                  A total of 7 percent watch videos on their
      Check timetables and/or traffic information                mobile phones more than five times a day
 Use mapping, navigation or positioning services
  Buy tickets, do small transactions or payments

                                                    0%     10%         20%         30%            40%           50%           60%

                                                                                         Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All (online population)
© Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 5 (12)
High mobile-broadband
 connection rate
                                                                                                                › At the end of 2011, about 17
 100%                                                                                                             percent of the world’s mobile
  90%                                                                                                             subscriptions were mobile-
                                                                                                                  broadband subscriptions (*)
  80%
                                                                                                                    (*) Source: Ericsson Traffic and Market Report (June
  70%                                                                                                               2011)

  60%                                                                                                           City Study 2011 results:
  50%                                                                                                           › In all, 40 percent of city
  40%
                                                                                                                  dwellers have a mobile-
                                                                                                                  broadband subscription
  30%
                                                                                                                › More than 30 percent of mobile-
  20%
                                                                                                                  broadband users use it daily
  10%
                                                                                                                › In all, 9 out of 10 mobile-
     0%
                                                                                                                  broadband users use it for
                                                                                                                  personal reasons; 5 out of 10
                                              i




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                                 Use daily   Use weekly   Use monthly   Use less often   Don’t use




                                                                                    Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All/mobile-broadband users (online population)
 © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 6 (12)
frequent Connection to wi-fi networks
  outside the home

  “Outside your home, how often do you connect your laptop/portable computer or tablet
  computer to a Wi-Fi network (not via mobile phone)?”
  100%
                                                                                                        › In all, 40 percent of
   90%
                                                                                                          laptop/tablet owners connect
   80%
                                                                                                          weekly to a Wi-Fi network
   70%
                                                                                                          outside the home
   60%

   50%                                                                                                  › Daily and weekly usage of
   40%                                                                                                    Wi-Fi networks is nearly twice
   30%                                                                                                    as high among citizens in city
   20%                                                                                                    centers as it is among
   10%                                                                                                    residents of suburbia
    0%
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                     Every day   Every week      Every month   Less often   Never    Don’t know



                                                                            Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All/mobile-broadband users (online population)
  © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 7 (12)
High usage of internet services, including
high-capacity services

More than 10 internet services, including high-capacity services such as
watching videos, are used daily by at least 30 percent of city dwellers
                                               Share (%) who use each service at least daily
     Browsing the internet (Personal use)
                         Personal e-mail
           Social networks: Read/check
                             Work e-mail
            Read newspaper/magazines
                        Chat/messaging
      Browsing the internet (work usage)
    Social networks: Update/write/upload
         Product info/price comparisons
                       Watch video clips                                      35%
                          Listen to music
                          On-line gaming
                   Watch longer videos                                  28%
                         Internet banking
 Check time schedules/traffic information
                            IP-telephony
                      Distance learning
                            Buy products
                                               0%     10%     20%     30%     40%      50%       60%       70%       80%       90%


                                                                                             Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All (online population)
© Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 8 (12)
The mobile phone: access point
to the internet


                                               › A total of 50 percent
                                                 of city dwellers
                                                 connect daily to the
                                                 internet using their
                                                 mobile phones


                                                        Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All (online population)
© Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 9 (12)
Heavy use of online social
networks
Usage of online social networks (times/day)
Total average                                                                         › City dwellers access online
     Moscow                                                                             social networks three to five
Johannesburg                                                                            times a day on average
   Sao Paulo
         Cairo                                                                        › The prime driver for usage is
         Seoul
                                                                                        staying up-to-date with what
 Los Angeles                                                                            family and friends are doing
       Beijing
                                                                                        (about 45 percent)
  Hong Kong
    New York
                                                                                      › The third-most common
      London
        Tokyo
                                                                                        activity is connecting and
   Stockholm
                                                                                        exchanging ideas with others
      Mumbai

                  0          1           2      3   4          5           6


                                                        Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: Use of online social networks (online population)
© Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 10 (12)
ict is important in the
workplace
Share of working population that views the following products/services
as critical for their ability to do their job

              Internet in general                                             › More than 50 percent of city
                                                                                dwellers consider it critical to
High-speed or broadband internet
                                                                                have internet access at work
              Desktop computer

                   Mobile phone
                                                                              › Having a mobile phone
                                                                                is critical for 36 percent
                    Fixed phone

       Laptop computer/Netbook                                                › Having mobile broadband
                                                                                and/or Wi-Fi access
  Mobile broadband and/or Wi-Fi
                                                                                is critical for close to
                Tablet computer                                                 20 percent
                                    0%   10%    20%   30%   40%   50%   60%



                                                                                      Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011
                                                                                         Base: Working population (online population)

© Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 11 (12)
Ericsson Consumer Labs: Why cities will drive traffic growth

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Ericsson Consumer Labs: Why cities will drive traffic growth

  • 1. Why cities will drive traffic growth
  • 2. Cities will drive Traffic growth Population versus mobile traffic distribution (%) 100 › By 2017, urban and metro areas Rural will generate 60 percent of all 80 Rural mobile traffic, although they will Suburban be home to only 30 percent of the population. 60 60% Suburban › Why is this the case? Urban 40 30% 20 Urban Metro **Metro: >4,000 people/sq km, Urban: 1,000-4,000 Metro people/sq km, Suburban: 300-1,000 people/sq km, Rural: 0 <300 people/sq km Estimated world Estimated mobile population traffic, 2017 distribution, 2017** (Source: Ericsson) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 2 (12)
  • 3. Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Moscow Stockholm Seoul London Tokyo Beijing New York Los Angeles Hong Kong Cairo Mumbai São Paulo Johannesburg › Conducted in 13 major cities − 1,500 interviews/city − Sample representative of the advanced online population: 100 million citizens of cities, nearly half of the total population of the 13 cities › The collected data represents the half of the total population that uses the internet most frequently (at least weekly) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 3 (12)
  • 4. High rate of Smartphone ownership › Only about 10 to 15 100% percent of the worldwide 90% installed base of 80% subscriptions uses 70% smartphones (*) 60% (*) Source: Ericsson Traffic and Market Report (June 2012) 50% 40% City Study 2011 results: 30% › About 40 percent of city 20% dwellers own an iPhone or 10% 0% an Android phone › Major differences exist M rg e on ork ng o Lo l m S ã co w An n o ew s oc a i g ro ou ag ky o le ul ijin bu b ol Ko ai nd between cities Se Y ge Pa um To er kh C os Be s ne av g M o an N St l s ta H Lo h To Jo An iPhone An Android phone Another type of mobile phone (Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All (online population) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 4 (12)
  • 5. Heavy usage of mobile services, incl. high- capacity services A total of 14 mobile services are used more than five times a day by at least 10 percent of city dwellers Share (%) who use each service at least five times a day (heavy users) Make/receive calls Send/receive SMS/text messages Browsing of the internet Send/receive e-mails Use of apps to access internet Check/read social networks Listen to music and/or radio Use calendar/diary function Update/write on social networks Use the camera and/or video function Use instant messaging service Play games Connect to Wi-Fi/Hotspots Send/receive MMS/photo messages Watch video clips/movies/TV A total of 7 percent watch videos on their Check timetables and/or traffic information mobile phones more than five times a day Use mapping, navigation or positioning services Buy tickets, do small transactions or payments 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All (online population) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 5 (12)
  • 6. High mobile-broadband connection rate › At the end of 2011, about 17 100% percent of the world’s mobile 90% subscriptions were mobile- broadband subscriptions (*) 80% (*) Source: Ericsson Traffic and Market Report (June 70% 2011) 60% City Study 2011 results: 50% › In all, 40 percent of city 40% dwellers have a mobile- broadband subscription 30% › More than 30 percent of mobile- 20% broadband users use it daily 10% › In all, 9 out of 10 mobile- 0% broadband users use it for personal reasons; 5 out of 10 i ng lm o rg on g rk ro l Ne es Sã ow e o ba ou ky ijin ul ag Yo u i ho Ko l nd Ca um ge c Se Pa sb To Be er os ck Lo for work reasons w An e ng M av o M nn o Ho St s l ha ta Lo To Jo Use daily Use weekly Use monthly Use less often Don’t use Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All/mobile-broadband users (online population) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 6 (12)
  • 7. frequent Connection to wi-fi networks outside the home “Outside your home, how often do you connect your laptop/portable computer or tablet computer to a Wi-Fi network (not via mobile phone)?” 100% › In all, 40 percent of 90% laptop/tablet owners connect 80% weekly to a Wi-Fi network 70% outside the home 60% 50% › Daily and weekly usage of 40% Wi-Fi networks is nearly twice 30% as high among citizens in city 20% centers as it is among 10% residents of suburbia 0% e rg on ork ng lo lm ck i w g ew s on nn iro o Lo l ba ag u e jin ky au bu co eo ho Ko el nd a Y um er ei To C P os es ng S av B g M ão M A to N l S ta s ha S H Lo To Jo Every day Every week Every month Less often Never Don’t know Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All/mobile-broadband users (online population) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 7 (12)
  • 8. High usage of internet services, including high-capacity services More than 10 internet services, including high-capacity services such as watching videos, are used daily by at least 30 percent of city dwellers Share (%) who use each service at least daily Browsing the internet (Personal use) Personal e-mail Social networks: Read/check Work e-mail Read newspaper/magazines Chat/messaging Browsing the internet (work usage) Social networks: Update/write/upload Product info/price comparisons Watch video clips 35% Listen to music On-line gaming Watch longer videos 28% Internet banking Check time schedules/traffic information IP-telephony Distance learning Buy products 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All (online population) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 8 (12)
  • 9. The mobile phone: access point to the internet › A total of 50 percent of city dwellers connect daily to the internet using their mobile phones Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: All (online population) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 9 (12)
  • 10. Heavy use of online social networks Usage of online social networks (times/day) Total average › City dwellers access online Moscow social networks three to five Johannesburg times a day on average Sao Paulo Cairo › The prime driver for usage is Seoul staying up-to-date with what Los Angeles family and friends are doing Beijing (about 45 percent) Hong Kong New York › The third-most common London Tokyo activity is connecting and Stockholm exchanging ideas with others Mumbai 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: Use of online social networks (online population) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 10 (12)
  • 11. ict is important in the workplace Share of working population that views the following products/services as critical for their ability to do their job Internet in general › More than 50 percent of city dwellers consider it critical to High-speed or broadband internet have internet access at work Desktop computer Mobile phone › Having a mobile phone is critical for 36 percent Fixed phone Laptop computer/Netbook › Having mobile broadband and/or Wi-Fi access Mobile broadband and/or Wi-Fi is critical for close to Tablet computer 20 percent 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab City Study 2011 Base: Working population (online population) © Ericsson AB 2012 | June 2012 | Page 11 (12)

Editor's Notes

  1. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 06/07/12 2011-11-06 ************************************************ Slide owner: Urban Life, BNET strategic marketing Latest update: April 2012 ************************************************
  2. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 06/07/12 2011-11-06 ************************************************ Slide owner: Urban Life, BNET strategic marketing Latest update: April 2012 ************************************************ On the left side of the graph, we can see the forecasted distribution of the world’s population in 2017. The graph shows that 30 percent of the world’s population is forecasted to live in metro and urban areas (defined as areas with a population density of more than 1,000 people per square kilometer). These areas represent less than 1 percent of the earth’s total land area, yet they are set to generate about 60 percent of mobile traffic by 2017. That’s why we believe cities will drive traffic growth. (Source: Ericsson Traffic and Market Data Report Interim Update 2012: http://www.ericsson.com/res/docs/2012/tmd_report_feb_web.pdf)
  3. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 CITY LIFE 2011 (ConsumerLab report) CITY LIFE 2011 (ConsumerLab report) CITY LIFE 2011 (ConsumerLab report) 06/07/12 2011-11-06 © Ericsson AB 2012 Ericsson AB 2011 Ericsson AB 2011 Ericsson AB 2011 Sampling/weighting according to official (online) demographics, with three exceptions: Gender was collected 50/50, city center/suburban was also collected 50/50, and the 50+ age group was boosted in some cities to include at least 6 percent of the sample for each city (minimum of 100 respondents per city and age group) .
  4. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 06/07/12 2011-11-06 ************************************************ Slide owner: Urban Life, BNET strategic marketing Latest update: April 2012 ************************************************ Android phones and iPhones accounted for about 70 percent of smartphone shipments in 2011 (source: Strategy Analytics, February 2012). Note: Symbian OS included. The smartphone market itself grew to 491 million units worldwide in 2011, a 64 percent increase on the 2010 total of 299.5 million. This growth was fuelled almost entirely by shipments of Android phones and iPhones, which now account for a combined 68 percent of the smartphone market, compared to 39 percent in 2010 (Symbian 17 percent, Blackberry 10 percent, Windows 2 percent). This means that all cities included in the study had rates of smartphone ownership that were far above the worldwide average, with the exceptions of Cairo (15 percent ownership of iPhone and Android phones) and Tokyo (20 percent). In the case of Tokyo, the low figure is not indicative of the maturity of the market. Japan has strong domestic phone manufacturers that use domestic standards and offer very advanced mobile phones which have not really “needed” to be smartphones.
  5. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012
  6. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 06/07/12 2011-11-06 ************************************************ Slide owner: Urban Life, BNET strategic marketing Latest update: April 2012 ************************************************
  7. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 06/07/12 2011-11-06 ************************************************ Slide owner: Urban Life, BNET strategic marketing Latest update: April 2012 ************************************************
  8. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012
  9. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 06/07/12 2011-11-06 ************************************************ Slide owner: Urban Life, BNET strategic marketing Latest update: April 2012 ************************************************ Devices used to connect to the internet ”daily”: desktop computer (79 percent), laptop (71 percent), tablet (53 percent), mobile phone (50 percent), other (25 percent)
  10. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 06/07/12 2011-11-06 ************************************************ Slide owner: Urban Life, BNET strategic marketing Latest update: April 2012 ************************************************ The second-largest driver for usage of online social networks is to update information (about 25 percent). Online social networking is used by all respondents, and the frequency is partly dependent on age. The main reason for using these networks is much the same for all age groups and segments, as well as between citizens in city centers and those in suburban areas.
  11. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012
  12. 06/07/12 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012 June 2012 © Ericsson AB 2012