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Lessons 7-9
Chapter 4
Continuous and Mixed Random Variables
ECE 603
Probability and Random
Processes
Objectives
• Explore tools used and methods used to work with continuous random variables.
• Examine mixed random variables that are mixtures of discrete and continuous
random variables.
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2
Rationale
• Consider that a continuous random variable X has a range in the form of an
interval or a union of non-overlapping interview on the real line. This leads to
the need for new tools to help you focus on continuous random variables.
• The theory of continuous random variables is analogous to the theory of
discrete random variables. So, you may take any formula about discrete
random variables and replace sums with integrals to come up with the
corresponding formula for continuous random variables.
• Chapter 4 focuses on these relationships.
3
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Prior Learning
4
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• Basic Concepts
• Counting Methods
• Random Variables
• Access to the online textbook: https://www.probabilitycourse.com/
Continuous Random Variables
So far, we have discussed discrete random variables:
For a discrete random variable , , is a countable set, e.g.,
the CDF , looks like a series of steps with jumps at
5
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Discrete Random Variables: PMF & CDF
The jump at is given by the PMF
6
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Cumulative Distributive Function (CDF)
Recall the general properties of a CDF:
1)
2)
7
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Continuous Random Variables
If is not countable then is not a discrete random variable.
Example.
Remember: etc.
Example.
• : Lifetime of a light bulb,
• : Voltage across a resistor,
8
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Continuous Random Variables
Now suppose we have a continuous function having those properties – for
example:
• A function like this is also a valid CDF
. – that is, it can also represent
. for some random variable .
9
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Continuous Random Variables
Definition. A random variable having a CDF that is a continuous
function for all in ℝ is said to be a continuous random variable.
Example. Let be an interval in the real line (where and are real
numbers with ). Let be a number chosen at random from that interval.
“Chosen at random” means: If , then
10
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Continuous Random Variables
Let’s find the CDF
a)
b)
c)
11
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Continuous Random Variables
In this case, is called a random variable.
12
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Continuous Random Variables
Example. Consider a line of length 1, i.e., . Place a dot at random on the
line.
Location of the dot,
a) What is
b) What is
c) For , what is
d) Obtain the CDF of .
13
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Continuous Random Variables
14
e) What is ? why?
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Continuous Random Variables
• For a discrete random variable: the rate of increase in the CDF is
characterized by the PMF - that is, by the locations and sizes of the
jumps in the CDF.
• What characterizes the rate of increase for a continuous function?
The derivative of the function
15
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Continuous Random Variables
• If the CDF is a continuous function, then is said to be a continuous
random variable.
• PMF is Not well-defined for continuous random variables. Instead, we define
probability density function (pdf).
16
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Probability Density Function (PDF)
Definition. pdf:
Remember that,
17
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Probability Density Function (PDF)
18
Definition. Consider a continuous random variable with an absolutely
continuous CDF . Then we have
is called the probability density function (PDF) of .
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Probability Density Function (PDF)
19
Theorem.
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Probability Density Function (PDF)
Example. Say that .
20
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Probability Density Function (PDF)
Back to our dot and line example:
21
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Probability Density Function (PDF)
Comparison with discrete random variable:
If we integrate over the entire real line, we must get 1, i.e.,
22
discrete continuous
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Probability Density Function (PDF)
In math: A density function for a quantity is a non-negative function that is
integrated to give that quantity.
Let’s look at the properties of a PDF:
1) Since is monotone non-decreasing, its derivative must satisfy
2)
23
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Probability Density Function (PDF)
3) In general:
4) We can extend the property 3 to:
24
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Probability Density Function (PDF)
• So, for a discrete random variable having range to find
. , we sum the PMF over the points
• For a continuous random variable, to find , we integrate the PDF
over the set .
25
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Probability Density Function (PDF)
Example. Let be a continuous random variable with the following PDF
a) Find .
b) Find .
c) Find .
26
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Probability Density Function (PDF)
Important note: is not equal to . In fact, for a continuous
random variable we have for every point . Also, it is
possible in general to have for some values of .
27
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Expected Value and Variance
So, we get:
28
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Expected Value and Variance
Law of the unconscious statistician (LOTUS) for continuous random variables:
29
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Expected Value and Variance
Remember that the variance of any random variable is defined as
So for a continuous random variable, we can write
30
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Expected Value and Variance
Example. In a medical ultrasound system, the energy in a pulse scattered by
diffuse reflectors is a random variable having a pdf of the form:
a) Find the value of
b) Find
31
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Expected Value and Variance
c) Find
d) Find
e) Let , find
32
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Functions of Continuous Random Variables
Suppose that is a continuous random variable having CDF and PDF
. . Let be some function, and let
Since is a random variable, so is . We already know that we can find
by
33
g:R®R
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Functions of Continuous Random Variables
Question: How do we find the CDF and PDF for ?
Usually: It is easier to first find the CDF for , and then take the derivative to
find the PDF.
34
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Functions of Continuous Random Variables
Example. Suppose that and .
Find the CDF and PDF of .
Note that:
35
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Functions of Continuous Random Variables
Example. Suppose that and .
Find the CDF and PDF of .
Note that:
36
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Functions of Continuous Random Variables
There’s another approach called the Method of Transformations that
sometimes gives a quicker way of finding directly from .
37
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Functions of Continuous Random
Variables
If is a continuous random variable and is a function of , then
itself is a random variable.
Steps:
1) Find
2) Find CDF of
3) Find
38
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Functions of Continuous Random
Variables
Example. Now suppose that and
Find CDF and PDF of
39
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Summary of Continuous Random Variable
• PDF:
• Expected Value:
• LOTUS:
•
40
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Summary of Continuous Random Variable
Definition. Consider a continuous random variable with an absolutely
continuous CDF . The function defined by
41
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Summary of Continuous Random Variable
Consider a continuous random variable with PDF . We have
1)
2)
3)
4) More generally, for a set ,
42
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Summary of Continuous Random Variable
Discrete RVs Continuous RVs
PMF PDF
43
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Summary of Continuous Random Variable
44
Functions of Continuous RVs:
Steps:
1)
2)
Read method of Transformations (4.1.3).
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Special Distributions
• Uniform Distribution:
45
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Special Distributions
Example. Let
46
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Special Distributions
• Exponential Distribution:
Where denote the unit step function.
47
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Special Distributions
We find the CDF using the equation
So
48
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Special Distributions
Example. CDF of
49
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Special Distributions
Expected value
50
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Special Distributions
Thus, we obtain
51
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Special Distributions
If , then
52
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Special Distributions
If is exponential with parameter , then is a memoryless random
variable, that is
53
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Special Distributions
Proof:
54
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Special Distributions
Exponential random variables are often used to model times between arrivals
at service centers (these are called interarrival times) – the memoryless
property says that no matter how long you have waited for an arrival ( ),
the probability that you will have to wait for more than more time instants is
always (that is, it doesn’t depend on ).
55
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Special Distributions
• Normal (Gaussian) Distribution:
The normal distribution is by far the most important probability distribution.
One of the main reasons for that is the Central Limit Theorem (CLT).
56
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Special Distributions
As we’ll see later: The Central Limit Theorem says that random variables that
are formed as sums of many independent random variables have distributions
that are approximately Gaussian (e.g., the random voltage caused by electronic
noise that results from the summed contributions of a very large number of
randomly-located charge carriers).
57
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Special Distributions
• Standard normal random variable:
58
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Special Distributions
Expected value of the standard normal:
59
Since is and odd function.
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Special Distributions
Variance of the standard normal:
60
Integration by parts.
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Special Distributions
CDF of the standard normal: The CDF of the standard normal distribution is
denoted by the function.
61
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Special Distributions
Here are some properties of the function:
1)
2)
3)
4)
62
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Special Distributions
The standard normal CDF can’t be evaluated in closed form (except at a
few specific values of ), but numerical approximations are widely available
(e.g., the normcdf command in MATLAB).
63
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Special Distributions
• General Normal random variables:
64
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Special Distributions
• General Normal random variables:
65
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Special Distributions
CDF and PDF of Normal random variables ( ):
66
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Special Distributions
If ,
67
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Special Distributions
Example. PDF (top) and CDF (bottom) of random variable (left) and
. random variable (right):
68
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Special Distributions
Example. Say that , find
69
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Special Distributions
Example. The IQ of randomly selected individuals is often assumed to follow a
Normal distribution with mean and standard deviation . Find
the probability that a randomly selected individual has an IQ:
a) Above 140
b) Between 120 and 130
c) Find the value of such that 99% of the population has IQ at least .
70
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Special Distributions
Note: In MATLAB, the command calculates
• So, for example: If and we want to calculate
we can use the command:
71
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Special Distributions
Example. Suppose that . Then:
72
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Special Distributions
73
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Special Distributions
• So, the probability that a Gaussian random variable takes a value within 1
standard deviation from its mean is 0.6827.
• The probability that a Gaussian random variable takes a value within 3
standard deviations from its mean is 0.9973.
74
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Special Distributions
Theorem. If , and , where , then
, where
75
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Special Distributions
Example. Suppose that , and let .
Find
76
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Gamma Distribution
Gamma function:
77
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Gamma Distribution
Gamma Distribution:
If
•
•
78
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Gamma Distribution
If are independent, then
79
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Mixed Random Variables
We will:
1) Define PDF (generalized PDF) for discrete random variables by using the
delta function.
2) Introduce mixed random variables.
80
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Mixed Random Variables
81
CDF for discrete RVs
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Mixed Random Variables
Idea: Define the “derivative” of and that we can extend the
PDF to the discrete RVs.
delta function
82
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Mixed Random Variables
Delta function:
Where is small.
83
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Mixed Random Variables
84
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Mixed Random Variables
Lemma. Let be a continuous function. We have
Proof:
85
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Mixed Random Variables
Example. Let
86
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Mixed Random Variables
Definition: Properties of the delta function
We define the delta function as an object with the following properties:
1)
2) , where is the unit step function.
3) for any
87
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Mixed Random Variables
4) For any and any function that is continuous over ,
we have
88
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Mixed Random Variables
Discrete Random Variable
89
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Mixed Random Variables
generalized PDF
90
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Mixed Random Variables
For a discrete random variable with range and PMF
, we define the (generalized) probability density function (PDF) as
91
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Orchestrated Conversation:
Mixed Random Variables
Is it true ?
92
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Mixed Random Variables
Example.
93
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Mixed Random Variables
Random variables:
 Discrete
 Continuous
 Mixed random variable
94
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Mixed Random Variables
The (generalized) PDF of a mixed random variable can be written in the form
where , and does not contain any delta
functions. Furthermore, we have
95
Discrete
Continuous
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Mixed Random Variables
Example. Let
96
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Mixed Random Variables
a) Find the CDF of .
b) Find the generalized PDF of .
c) Find and .
97
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Mixed Random Variables
So mixed random variable:
98
Discrete part Continuous part
Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
Orchestrated Conversation:
Mixed Random Variables
Example. Let
a) Find and .
b) Find .
c) Find .
d) Find and .
99
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Post-work for Lesson
100
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• Complete homework assignment for Lessons 7-9: HW#4 and HW#5
Go to the online classroom for details.
To Prepare for the Next Lesson
101
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• Read Chapter 5 in your online textbook:
https://www.probabilitycourse.com/chapter5/5_1_0_joint_distributions.php
• Complete the Pre-work for Lessons 10-13.
Visit the online classroom for details.

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Chapter 4 L7-9.pptx

  • 1. © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved. Lessons 7-9 Chapter 4 Continuous and Mixed Random Variables ECE 603 Probability and Random Processes
  • 2. Objectives • Explore tools used and methods used to work with continuous random variables. • Examine mixed random variables that are mixtures of discrete and continuous random variables. Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved. 2
  • 3. Rationale • Consider that a continuous random variable X has a range in the form of an interval or a union of non-overlapping interview on the real line. This leads to the need for new tools to help you focus on continuous random variables. • The theory of continuous random variables is analogous to the theory of discrete random variables. So, you may take any formula about discrete random variables and replace sums with integrals to come up with the corresponding formula for continuous random variables. • Chapter 4 focuses on these relationships. 3 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 4. Prior Learning 4 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved. • Basic Concepts • Counting Methods • Random Variables • Access to the online textbook: https://www.probabilitycourse.com/
  • 5. Continuous Random Variables So far, we have discussed discrete random variables: For a discrete random variable , , is a countable set, e.g., the CDF , looks like a series of steps with jumps at 5 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 6. Discrete Random Variables: PMF & CDF The jump at is given by the PMF 6 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 7. Cumulative Distributive Function (CDF) Recall the general properties of a CDF: 1) 2) 7 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 8. Continuous Random Variables If is not countable then is not a discrete random variable. Example. Remember: etc. Example. • : Lifetime of a light bulb, • : Voltage across a resistor, 8 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 9. Continuous Random Variables Now suppose we have a continuous function having those properties – for example: • A function like this is also a valid CDF . – that is, it can also represent . for some random variable . 9 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 10. Continuous Random Variables Definition. A random variable having a CDF that is a continuous function for all in ℝ is said to be a continuous random variable. Example. Let be an interval in the real line (where and are real numbers with ). Let be a number chosen at random from that interval. “Chosen at random” means: If , then 10 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 11. Continuous Random Variables Let’s find the CDF a) b) c) 11 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 12. Continuous Random Variables In this case, is called a random variable. 12 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 13. Continuous Random Variables Example. Consider a line of length 1, i.e., . Place a dot at random on the line. Location of the dot, a) What is b) What is c) For , what is d) Obtain the CDF of . 13 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 14. Continuous Random Variables 14 e) What is ? why? Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 15. Continuous Random Variables • For a discrete random variable: the rate of increase in the CDF is characterized by the PMF - that is, by the locations and sizes of the jumps in the CDF. • What characterizes the rate of increase for a continuous function? The derivative of the function 15 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 16. Continuous Random Variables • If the CDF is a continuous function, then is said to be a continuous random variable. • PMF is Not well-defined for continuous random variables. Instead, we define probability density function (pdf). 16 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 17. Probability Density Function (PDF) Definition. pdf: Remember that, 17 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 18. Probability Density Function (PDF) 18 Definition. Consider a continuous random variable with an absolutely continuous CDF . Then we have is called the probability density function (PDF) of . Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 19. Probability Density Function (PDF) 19 Theorem. Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 20. Probability Density Function (PDF) Example. Say that . 20 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 21. Probability Density Function (PDF) Back to our dot and line example: 21 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 22. Probability Density Function (PDF) Comparison with discrete random variable: If we integrate over the entire real line, we must get 1, i.e., 22 discrete continuous Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 23. Probability Density Function (PDF) In math: A density function for a quantity is a non-negative function that is integrated to give that quantity. Let’s look at the properties of a PDF: 1) Since is monotone non-decreasing, its derivative must satisfy 2) 23 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 24. Probability Density Function (PDF) 3) In general: 4) We can extend the property 3 to: 24 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 25. Probability Density Function (PDF) • So, for a discrete random variable having range to find . , we sum the PMF over the points • For a continuous random variable, to find , we integrate the PDF over the set . 25 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 26. Probability Density Function (PDF) Example. Let be a continuous random variable with the following PDF a) Find . b) Find . c) Find . 26 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 27. Probability Density Function (PDF) Important note: is not equal to . In fact, for a continuous random variable we have for every point . Also, it is possible in general to have for some values of . 27 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 28. Expected Value and Variance So, we get: 28 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 29. Expected Value and Variance Law of the unconscious statistician (LOTUS) for continuous random variables: 29 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 30. Expected Value and Variance Remember that the variance of any random variable is defined as So for a continuous random variable, we can write 30 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 31. Expected Value and Variance Example. In a medical ultrasound system, the energy in a pulse scattered by diffuse reflectors is a random variable having a pdf of the form: a) Find the value of b) Find 31 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 32. Expected Value and Variance c) Find d) Find e) Let , find 32 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 33. Functions of Continuous Random Variables Suppose that is a continuous random variable having CDF and PDF . . Let be some function, and let Since is a random variable, so is . We already know that we can find by 33 g:R®R Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 34. Functions of Continuous Random Variables Question: How do we find the CDF and PDF for ? Usually: It is easier to first find the CDF for , and then take the derivative to find the PDF. 34 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 35. Functions of Continuous Random Variables Example. Suppose that and . Find the CDF and PDF of . Note that: 35 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 36. Functions of Continuous Random Variables Example. Suppose that and . Find the CDF and PDF of . Note that: 36 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 37. Functions of Continuous Random Variables There’s another approach called the Method of Transformations that sometimes gives a quicker way of finding directly from . 37 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 38. Functions of Continuous Random Variables If is a continuous random variable and is a function of , then itself is a random variable. Steps: 1) Find 2) Find CDF of 3) Find 38 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 39. Functions of Continuous Random Variables Example. Now suppose that and Find CDF and PDF of 39 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 40. Summary of Continuous Random Variable • PDF: • Expected Value: • LOTUS: • 40 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 41. Summary of Continuous Random Variable Definition. Consider a continuous random variable with an absolutely continuous CDF . The function defined by 41 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 42. Summary of Continuous Random Variable Consider a continuous random variable with PDF . We have 1) 2) 3) 4) More generally, for a set , 42 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 43. Summary of Continuous Random Variable Discrete RVs Continuous RVs PMF PDF 43 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 44. Summary of Continuous Random Variable 44 Functions of Continuous RVs: Steps: 1) 2) Read method of Transformations (4.1.3). Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 45. Special Distributions • Uniform Distribution: 45 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 46. Special Distributions Example. Let 46 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 47. Special Distributions • Exponential Distribution: Where denote the unit step function. 47 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 48. Special Distributions We find the CDF using the equation So 48 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 49. Special Distributions Example. CDF of 49 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 50. Special Distributions Expected value 50 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 51. Special Distributions Thus, we obtain 51 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 52. Special Distributions If , then 52 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 53. Special Distributions If is exponential with parameter , then is a memoryless random variable, that is 53 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 54. Special Distributions Proof: 54 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 55. Special Distributions Exponential random variables are often used to model times between arrivals at service centers (these are called interarrival times) – the memoryless property says that no matter how long you have waited for an arrival ( ), the probability that you will have to wait for more than more time instants is always (that is, it doesn’t depend on ). 55 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 56. Special Distributions • Normal (Gaussian) Distribution: The normal distribution is by far the most important probability distribution. One of the main reasons for that is the Central Limit Theorem (CLT). 56 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 57. Special Distributions As we’ll see later: The Central Limit Theorem says that random variables that are formed as sums of many independent random variables have distributions that are approximately Gaussian (e.g., the random voltage caused by electronic noise that results from the summed contributions of a very large number of randomly-located charge carriers). 57 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 58. Special Distributions • Standard normal random variable: 58 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 59. Special Distributions Expected value of the standard normal: 59 Since is and odd function. Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 60. Special Distributions Variance of the standard normal: 60 Integration by parts. Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 61. Special Distributions CDF of the standard normal: The CDF of the standard normal distribution is denoted by the function. 61 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 62. Special Distributions Here are some properties of the function: 1) 2) 3) 4) 62 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 63. Special Distributions The standard normal CDF can’t be evaluated in closed form (except at a few specific values of ), but numerical approximations are widely available (e.g., the normcdf command in MATLAB). 63 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 64. Special Distributions • General Normal random variables: 64 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 65. Special Distributions • General Normal random variables: 65 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 66. Special Distributions CDF and PDF of Normal random variables ( ): 66 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 67. Special Distributions If , 67 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 68. Special Distributions Example. PDF (top) and CDF (bottom) of random variable (left) and . random variable (right): 68 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 69. Special Distributions Example. Say that , find 69 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 70. Special Distributions Example. The IQ of randomly selected individuals is often assumed to follow a Normal distribution with mean and standard deviation . Find the probability that a randomly selected individual has an IQ: a) Above 140 b) Between 120 and 130 c) Find the value of such that 99% of the population has IQ at least . 70 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 71. Special Distributions Note: In MATLAB, the command calculates • So, for example: If and we want to calculate we can use the command: 71 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 72. Special Distributions Example. Suppose that . Then: 72 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 73. Special Distributions 73 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 74. Special Distributions • So, the probability that a Gaussian random variable takes a value within 1 standard deviation from its mean is 0.6827. • The probability that a Gaussian random variable takes a value within 3 standard deviations from its mean is 0.9973. 74 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 75. Special Distributions Theorem. If , and , where , then , where 75 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 76. Special Distributions Example. Suppose that , and let . Find 76 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 77. Gamma Distribution Gamma function: 77 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 78. Gamma Distribution Gamma Distribution: If • • 78 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 79. Gamma Distribution If are independent, then 79 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 80. Mixed Random Variables We will: 1) Define PDF (generalized PDF) for discrete random variables by using the delta function. 2) Introduce mixed random variables. 80 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 81. Mixed Random Variables 81 CDF for discrete RVs Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 82. Mixed Random Variables Idea: Define the “derivative” of and that we can extend the PDF to the discrete RVs. delta function 82 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 83. Mixed Random Variables Delta function: Where is small. 83 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 84. Mixed Random Variables 84 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 85. Mixed Random Variables Lemma. Let be a continuous function. We have Proof: 85 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 86. Mixed Random Variables Example. Let 86 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 87. Mixed Random Variables Definition: Properties of the delta function We define the delta function as an object with the following properties: 1) 2) , where is the unit step function. 3) for any 87 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 88. Mixed Random Variables 4) For any and any function that is continuous over , we have 88 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 89. Mixed Random Variables Discrete Random Variable 89 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 90. Mixed Random Variables generalized PDF 90 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 91. Mixed Random Variables For a discrete random variable with range and PMF , we define the (generalized) probability density function (PDF) as 91 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 92. Orchestrated Conversation: Mixed Random Variables Is it true ? 92 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 93. Mixed Random Variables Example. 93 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 94. Mixed Random Variables Random variables:  Discrete  Continuous  Mixed random variable 94 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 95. Mixed Random Variables The (generalized) PDF of a mixed random variable can be written in the form where , and does not contain any delta functions. Furthermore, we have 95 Discrete Continuous Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 96. Mixed Random Variables Example. Let 96 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 97. Mixed Random Variables a) Find the CDF of . b) Find the generalized PDF of . c) Find and . 97 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 98. Mixed Random Variables So mixed random variable: 98 Discrete part Continuous part Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 99. Orchestrated Conversation: Mixed Random Variables Example. Let a) Find and . b) Find . c) Find . d) Find and . 99 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved.
  • 100. Post-work for Lesson 100 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved. • Complete homework assignment for Lessons 7-9: HW#4 and HW#5 Go to the online classroom for details.
  • 101. To Prepare for the Next Lesson 101 Chapter 4 © 2020 UMass Amherst Global. All rights reserved. • Read Chapter 5 in your online textbook: https://www.probabilitycourse.com/chapter5/5_1_0_joint_distributions.php • Complete the Pre-work for Lessons 10-13. Visit the online classroom for details.

Editor's Notes

  1. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation   *****Preparation Notes***** Students taking this course should already have covered linear algebra elsewhere. We will use linear algebra extensively in this course.
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  49. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  50. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  51. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  52. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  53. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  54. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  55. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  56. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  57. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  58. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  59. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  60. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  61. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  62. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  63. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  64. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  65. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  66. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  67. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  68. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  69. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  70. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  71. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  72. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  73. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  74. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  75. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  76. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  77. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  78. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  79. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  80. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  81. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  82. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  83. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  84. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  85. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  86. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  87. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  88. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  89. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  90. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  91. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Orchestrated Conversation
  92. Now: Orchestrated Conversation Next: Slides with Annotation
  93. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  94. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  95. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  96. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  97. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  98. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  99. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  100. Now: Slides with Annotation Next: Slides with Annotation
  101. Now: Slides with Annotation