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Dynamics Impacting the
Future of Healthcare
Wendy Mayer & John Cusumano
Worldwide Innovation & Business Technology
April 10, 2015
• ‘One size fits all’ medicines
• Office-based, primary care
physicians dominate the
value chain
• Shots-on-goal R&D model
• Fee-for-service treatment
paradigm
• Primary care and specialty
medicines
• Large and small molecules
• Organized payers, providers
dominate the value chain
• Evolution to evidence-based
medicine
• Precision medicine
• Real-world and evidence-
based information
complements clinical data
• Digitization of healthcare
information and dialogue
• R&D collaboration as a core
capability
The Biopharmaceutical Industry Continues to Evolve
Yesterday Today Tomorrow
2
Five Key Drivers That Are Shaping Healthcare and Pharma
Future of
Healthcare
Medical /
Scientific
Social
Technological
Political &
Economic
Demographic
3
An Aging Population and Growing Emerging Markets
Are Shaping the Demographics of the Future
The World’s Population Is Aging
at an Unprecedented Rate
Most of the World’s Population
Growth Is in Emerging Markets2
= 0.1B people
Developed
countries
Developing
countries
2013
2050
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1950 1975 2000 2025 2050
(M) Population
Aged 60 or over1
• Stress on health and pension systems
• Greater emphasis on long-term geriatric care and late-life diseases
• Urban population and middle class growth will change market dynamics
Implications for the future
Sources: 1) United Nations; 2) The World Bank; 3) IMS Health audited sales data and Market Prognosis September 30, 2013.
4
Social Media and Consumerism Are Shaping the Future of
Healthcare
Consumers Are Using Social
Media for Health-related Matters
Expectations of Accessibility
and Quality of Health Services
Are Rising
Active Internet Searches may be
a Thing of the Past
• Patients will be empowered, involved participants
• New tools will continuously find and display relevant information
24%
29%
32%
42%
Other patients’ experiences
Health related videos / images
Health related consumer reviews
Family / friends health experiences
Recommended for YouConsumer
Forums
Consumer
Ratings Sites
Healthcare
Companies
Ratings
Agencies
Non-profit
Orgs.
Gov’t / State
Agencies
Implications for the future
Sources: 1) PriceWaterhouseCoopers “Social media likes healthcare” April 2012.
5
Social
Trademarks are the property of their respective owners and used for information purposes only
• Pool of partners and competitors is changing
• Mobile health and sensors will shift healthcare from episodic to continuous, vastly increasing the amount
of data to inform diagnosis and treatment
Big Data, Sensors Are Shaping the Technology of the
Future
The Use of Wearable Devices and
Sensors Is Rapidly Increasing
Artificial Intelligence & Cognitive
Computing Are Advancing
Data Companies Are Actively
Pursuing the Healthcare Ecosystem
21
170
2011 2017
Sources: 1) Mobihealthnews, “ABI research: 30M wearable sensors shipped in 2012”.
6
Implications for the future
CAGR:
49%
Trademarks are the property of their respective owners and used for information purposes only
• Prevention and precision medicine will increasingly be focus areas
• Breaking science will enable new types of therapies
• The ecosystem will operate in a more networked fashion requiring non-traditional approaches to business
development
Collaboration, Open Innovation, and Targeted
Treatments Are Shaping the Science of the Future
Declining Innovation Productivity
Has Led to Increased Collaboration1
New Medical Treatments Are Based
on Genetic and Molecular Tests
A Deeper Understanding of Disease
Pathways Is Emerging
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Pharma Industry R&D Spending
NME Launches
Sources: 1) PhRMA 2013 Industry Profile, Thomson Reuters CMR International Pharmaceutical R&D Factbook, KMR analysis September 2012.
7
Implications for the future
Medical Science
Rising Costs Are Leading to Containment Measures
and Healthcare Reforms around the World
US Healthcare Spending1 Policy Makers and Payers Gain
Control over Prescribing Decisions
• Value and evidence based healthcare will be standard
• Value based on real world evidence not just clinical trial evidence
• Further consolidation of payers will increase their market power and facilitate greater transparency
Implications for the future
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
($B)
Physician
Pharmacist Patient
HTA Body Payer
Sources: 1) Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) “National Health Expenditure Projections 2011-2021”.
8
20% of
GDP
To Capitalize on These Drivers, Pfizer Developed a
Clear Strategic Path Guiding The Journey ahead
Fix the innovative core
and generate medicines
that profoundly impact
health
1
Create an ownership
culture
4
Make the right capital
allocation decisions to
maximize value and
enhance shareholder
return
2
Earn greater respect
from society
3
Our Purpose: Innovate to bring therapies to patients that significantly improve their
lives…
…we will deliver on Our Mission:
To be the premier, innovative biopharmaceutical company
Guided by the Four Imperatives…
9
9
Delivering Against Imperative #1
Fix our innovative core and generate
medicines that profoundly impact health
We’ve Transformed Our R&D Model to Deliver
Key Elements of Productivity
• Reduced R&D spend
• Focused in core areas
• Research Unit / Business Unit
collaboration
• Empowered Chief Scientific
Officers
• Centers for Therapeutic
Innovation (CTI)
• Development and
commercialization
partnerships
• Business Development
investments
• Precision Medicine
capabilities
• Bioinnovation hubs in
Cambridge, MA, San
Fracisco, CA, San Diego, CA,
and Cambridge, UK
Greater Focus & Rigor Strategic Externalization Differentiated Innovation
Quality of Output Probability of Success Speed Cost
11
Delivering Against Imperative #2
Make the right capital allocation
decisions that maximize value and enhance
shareholder returns
Deployment of Capital and Operating
Expenses to Highest Value Opportunities
• Advance the highest value R&D programs within defined budget
• Continuous improvement of Pfizer Global Supply to maintain competitive cost of
goods
• Drive operational efficiencies and commercial model transformation to increase
the value from every dollar spent
• Dividends and buybacks to deliver value to shareholders
Allocation of Vital Resources
13
Evolution of the Commercial Model
Recalibrating Pfizer’s Go-to-Market Model
Past
Rely on
High Fixed-cost
Field Force
Use a flexible mix of efficient channels,
increasing our digital capabilities
Focus Mostly
on Physicians
Engage with the entire healthcare
community to support quality outcomes
Communicate
Product
Information
Demonstrate evidence of value using
real world data and Big Data as well as
clinical trial data
Future
14
All content subject to consultations with works councils, trade unions and employee representatives as required by local law
mHealth trends
Global wearables
market to reach
by 2020
$25B
BEYOND THE PILL
Integrated products and services that
work across the care continuum to
engage patients/caregivers/providers
and deliver improved health outcomes.
Patient
Engagement and
Adherence
Making Products
Easier to Use and
Understand
Closed Loop
Monitoring
Digital
Therapies
g
Bigger graph, move
arrow right, shrink
text left, no
mHeALTH under
graph, DIGITAL
health, new icon for
digital therapy
Integrated products and services that
work across the care continuum to
engage patients/caregivers/providers
and deliver improved health outcomes.
Patient
Engagement and
Adherence
Making Products
Easier to Use and
Understand
Closed Loop
Monitoring
Digital
Therapies
BEYOND THE PILL
Delivering Against Imperative #3
Earn greater respect from society
What Is Corporate Responsibility?
Responsible
Research and
Development
The
Environment /
Sustainability
Governance
and Compliance
Product
Quality
Transparency
and Integrity
Access
To Medicines
…the way
Pfizer operates and is
held accountable for
conducting business
responsibly
18
Delivering Against Imperative #4
Create an ownership culture
Our ‘Ownership Culture’ Is Helping to Transform
Pfizer
Own the Business
Win in the
Marketplace
No Jerks… Let’s
Discuss Behaviors
Impact Results
Trust in
One Another
“I believe our culture can become a key sustainable advantage as we work to
make Pfizer the premier, innovative biopharmaceutical company.”
– Ian Read, 2012 Annual Review
20
‘Dare to Try’ Program Approach
is about encouraging an entrepreneurial mindset, where all
colleagues are empowered to explore and test new ideas via experiments.
Embed
Capability
To foster a culture of
entrepreneurship that
goes beyond the
training and
workshops
Launch
Experiments
To accelerate
profitable growth
through ‘Dare to Try’
challenge workshops
21

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Dynamics Impacting the Future of Healthcare

  • 1. Dynamics Impacting the Future of Healthcare Wendy Mayer & John Cusumano Worldwide Innovation & Business Technology April 10, 2015
  • 2. • ‘One size fits all’ medicines • Office-based, primary care physicians dominate the value chain • Shots-on-goal R&D model • Fee-for-service treatment paradigm • Primary care and specialty medicines • Large and small molecules • Organized payers, providers dominate the value chain • Evolution to evidence-based medicine • Precision medicine • Real-world and evidence- based information complements clinical data • Digitization of healthcare information and dialogue • R&D collaboration as a core capability The Biopharmaceutical Industry Continues to Evolve Yesterday Today Tomorrow 2
  • 3. Five Key Drivers That Are Shaping Healthcare and Pharma Future of Healthcare Medical / Scientific Social Technological Political & Economic Demographic 3
  • 4. An Aging Population and Growing Emerging Markets Are Shaping the Demographics of the Future The World’s Population Is Aging at an Unprecedented Rate Most of the World’s Population Growth Is in Emerging Markets2 = 0.1B people Developed countries Developing countries 2013 2050 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 (M) Population Aged 60 or over1 • Stress on health and pension systems • Greater emphasis on long-term geriatric care and late-life diseases • Urban population and middle class growth will change market dynamics Implications for the future Sources: 1) United Nations; 2) The World Bank; 3) IMS Health audited sales data and Market Prognosis September 30, 2013. 4
  • 5. Social Media and Consumerism Are Shaping the Future of Healthcare Consumers Are Using Social Media for Health-related Matters Expectations of Accessibility and Quality of Health Services Are Rising Active Internet Searches may be a Thing of the Past • Patients will be empowered, involved participants • New tools will continuously find and display relevant information 24% 29% 32% 42% Other patients’ experiences Health related videos / images Health related consumer reviews Family / friends health experiences Recommended for YouConsumer Forums Consumer Ratings Sites Healthcare Companies Ratings Agencies Non-profit Orgs. Gov’t / State Agencies Implications for the future Sources: 1) PriceWaterhouseCoopers “Social media likes healthcare” April 2012. 5 Social Trademarks are the property of their respective owners and used for information purposes only
  • 6. • Pool of partners and competitors is changing • Mobile health and sensors will shift healthcare from episodic to continuous, vastly increasing the amount of data to inform diagnosis and treatment Big Data, Sensors Are Shaping the Technology of the Future The Use of Wearable Devices and Sensors Is Rapidly Increasing Artificial Intelligence & Cognitive Computing Are Advancing Data Companies Are Actively Pursuing the Healthcare Ecosystem 21 170 2011 2017 Sources: 1) Mobihealthnews, “ABI research: 30M wearable sensors shipped in 2012”. 6 Implications for the future CAGR: 49% Trademarks are the property of their respective owners and used for information purposes only
  • 7. • Prevention and precision medicine will increasingly be focus areas • Breaking science will enable new types of therapies • The ecosystem will operate in a more networked fashion requiring non-traditional approaches to business development Collaboration, Open Innovation, and Targeted Treatments Are Shaping the Science of the Future Declining Innovation Productivity Has Led to Increased Collaboration1 New Medical Treatments Are Based on Genetic and Molecular Tests A Deeper Understanding of Disease Pathways Is Emerging 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Pharma Industry R&D Spending NME Launches Sources: 1) PhRMA 2013 Industry Profile, Thomson Reuters CMR International Pharmaceutical R&D Factbook, KMR analysis September 2012. 7 Implications for the future Medical Science
  • 8. Rising Costs Are Leading to Containment Measures and Healthcare Reforms around the World US Healthcare Spending1 Policy Makers and Payers Gain Control over Prescribing Decisions • Value and evidence based healthcare will be standard • Value based on real world evidence not just clinical trial evidence • Further consolidation of payers will increase their market power and facilitate greater transparency Implications for the future 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 ($B) Physician Pharmacist Patient HTA Body Payer Sources: 1) Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) “National Health Expenditure Projections 2011-2021”. 8 20% of GDP
  • 9. To Capitalize on These Drivers, Pfizer Developed a Clear Strategic Path Guiding The Journey ahead Fix the innovative core and generate medicines that profoundly impact health 1 Create an ownership culture 4 Make the right capital allocation decisions to maximize value and enhance shareholder return 2 Earn greater respect from society 3 Our Purpose: Innovate to bring therapies to patients that significantly improve their lives… …we will deliver on Our Mission: To be the premier, innovative biopharmaceutical company Guided by the Four Imperatives… 9 9
  • 10. Delivering Against Imperative #1 Fix our innovative core and generate medicines that profoundly impact health
  • 11. We’ve Transformed Our R&D Model to Deliver Key Elements of Productivity • Reduced R&D spend • Focused in core areas • Research Unit / Business Unit collaboration • Empowered Chief Scientific Officers • Centers for Therapeutic Innovation (CTI) • Development and commercialization partnerships • Business Development investments • Precision Medicine capabilities • Bioinnovation hubs in Cambridge, MA, San Fracisco, CA, San Diego, CA, and Cambridge, UK Greater Focus & Rigor Strategic Externalization Differentiated Innovation Quality of Output Probability of Success Speed Cost 11
  • 12. Delivering Against Imperative #2 Make the right capital allocation decisions that maximize value and enhance shareholder returns
  • 13. Deployment of Capital and Operating Expenses to Highest Value Opportunities • Advance the highest value R&D programs within defined budget • Continuous improvement of Pfizer Global Supply to maintain competitive cost of goods • Drive operational efficiencies and commercial model transformation to increase the value from every dollar spent • Dividends and buybacks to deliver value to shareholders Allocation of Vital Resources 13
  • 14. Evolution of the Commercial Model Recalibrating Pfizer’s Go-to-Market Model Past Rely on High Fixed-cost Field Force Use a flexible mix of efficient channels, increasing our digital capabilities Focus Mostly on Physicians Engage with the entire healthcare community to support quality outcomes Communicate Product Information Demonstrate evidence of value using real world data and Big Data as well as clinical trial data Future 14 All content subject to consultations with works councils, trade unions and employee representatives as required by local law
  • 15. mHealth trends Global wearables market to reach by 2020 $25B
  • 16. BEYOND THE PILL Integrated products and services that work across the care continuum to engage patients/caregivers/providers and deliver improved health outcomes. Patient Engagement and Adherence Making Products Easier to Use and Understand Closed Loop Monitoring Digital Therapies g Bigger graph, move arrow right, shrink text left, no mHeALTH under graph, DIGITAL health, new icon for digital therapy Integrated products and services that work across the care continuum to engage patients/caregivers/providers and deliver improved health outcomes. Patient Engagement and Adherence Making Products Easier to Use and Understand Closed Loop Monitoring Digital Therapies BEYOND THE PILL
  • 17. Delivering Against Imperative #3 Earn greater respect from society
  • 18. What Is Corporate Responsibility? Responsible Research and Development The Environment / Sustainability Governance and Compliance Product Quality Transparency and Integrity Access To Medicines …the way Pfizer operates and is held accountable for conducting business responsibly 18
  • 19. Delivering Against Imperative #4 Create an ownership culture
  • 20. Our ‘Ownership Culture’ Is Helping to Transform Pfizer Own the Business Win in the Marketplace No Jerks… Let’s Discuss Behaviors Impact Results Trust in One Another “I believe our culture can become a key sustainable advantage as we work to make Pfizer the premier, innovative biopharmaceutical company.” – Ian Read, 2012 Annual Review 20
  • 21. ‘Dare to Try’ Program Approach is about encouraging an entrepreneurial mindset, where all colleagues are empowered to explore and test new ideas via experiments. Embed Capability To foster a culture of entrepreneurship that goes beyond the training and workshops Launch Experiments To accelerate profitable growth through ‘Dare to Try’ challenge workshops 21