What is China’s labor market data telling us? It is not an easy-to-answer question. Let us take a look at one of the data sets in the City Labor Market Survey. The data actually tells us that:
• Low-tech industries are still occupying a large portion of China’s economic
structure.
• China’s economy is going downhill.
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CEIC China Data Talk: What is China’s Labor Market Data Telling us?
1. 17 Apr 2014
What is China’s Labor Market Data Telling us?
China Premium Database
+ Labour Market
+ City Labour Market
What is China’s labor market data telling us? It is not an easy-to-answer question.
Let us take a look at one of the data sets in the City Labor Market Survey. The
data actually tells us that:
• Low-tech industries are still occupying a large portion of China’s economic
structure.
• China’s economy is going downhill.
Specifically, we are looking at the ratio of the number of job vacancies to the
number of job seekers in the City Labor Market Survey. The ratio has remained
above 1 since Q4 2010, showing a favorable situation in the labor market –
enterprises are thirsty for talents at a higher degree than candidates looking for
positions. However, if we look into more details:
• There is a higher demand for labor with a vocational secondary education
level which in turn, contributed to the above-1 vacancy-to-job-seeker ratio in
this particular group of the labor market. This reveals that the economic
structure in China still is highly concentrated in low-tech manufacturing and
services.
• Since Q2 2013, enterprises’ demand for labor having a college or above
education level is less than the supply. This not only shows a mismatch of
the educational and industrial structure, but also an economic downturn.
Enterprises are not willing to hire higher-level positions with a large amount
of compensation, during a possible recession.
You may want to unearth more clues from the data and come up with your own
interpretation and explanation.
Contributed by the China Database Team
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