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Financial Risks of
Climate Change
Dr Sebastian Catovsky
Policy Adviser, Natural Perils
Launch of Phase II of European
Climate Change Programme
24 October 2005
Role of Insurance in
Weather Protection
• Spreading risk
• Protection for occasional,
unexpected weather
• Risk needs to be managed
• Costs borne by society
• Insured
• Tax-payer
• Individual
Changing costs of
extreme weather
• Costs doubling each decade
• Since 1990, $16 bn each
year on average
• 2004 was costliest year on
record: $40 bn
• UK Floods: Boscastle,
Carlisle, North Yorkshire
• 2005 Scandinavia Storm
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
£m
Domestic
Commercial
• Claims have doubled to over £6 bn
over the past six years, compared to
previous period
• Weather risks could increase at a
rate of 2 – 4 % each year
UK Weather Damage Claims
Climate change and
extreme storms
Implications for global
capital markets
Capital required could rise by two-thirds to
$200 bn, increasing costs of capital
European Flood Risk
Annual costs could rise to €100 – 120 bn
Managing climate risks:
1. Emissions
Managing climate risks:
2. Vulnerability
Source: Munich Re
Insurance as a
messenger of change

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