4. www.scorechicago.org
If You Have to Leave Now âŚ
â˘
4 Links You Should Have4 Links You Should Have
ďMe:Mark.Lieberman01@gmail.comMe:Mark.Lieberman01@gmail.com
ďMyLinkedin:linkedin.com/in/liebermanmarkMyLinkedin:linkedin.com/in/liebermanmark
ďSCORE Local:SCORE Local: www.scorechicago.orgwww.scorechicago.org
ďSCORE National: www.score.orgSCORE National: www.score.org
6. www.scorechicago.org
Cash Flow âŚ
âşDonât proceed any further with
out this!
âşProject your revenues
ď§ Know your price and volume
ď§ Revenue=Price x Volume
âşCompile your start up and
operating costs: this is your cash
flow statement.
âşHow full is your tank?
7. www.scorechicago.org
How Else Can You Explain?
⢠What is total investment required?
⢠How large of loan is needed?
⢠Can loan be repaid?
⢠Is the business likely to succeed?
⢠Are there future cash problems?
⢠How to improve business results?
9. www.scorechicago.org
Guess Who Isnât Going to
Help!
Unless you are very lucky,
you arenât likely to find an
accountant who wants to
help small business with cash
flow.
12. www.scorechicago.org
Donât Reinvent the Wheel
â˘Templates available at
Score.org/resources
â˘Business Plan for Start-
Up Business
⢠Finance Templates
⢠Excel Cash Flow,
P&L, and Balance
Sheet
â˘Sales Template
13. www.scorechicago.org
Digging Deeper
⢠Forecast is only as good as the estimates
GIGO: Garbage In, Garbage Out
⢠Be reasonable â
â Not too optimistic or pessimistic
⢠Research, not guesses
Where Do Estimates Originate?
16. www.scorechicago.org
Estimating Revenues
⢠Difficult; that's life
⢠Extremely important
⢠Donât try to estimate total sales
⢠Split into major categories
â Major items / minor items
â Products / services
â Retail / wholesale
â Storefront / On Line
18. www.scorechicago.org
Product Oriented Step 2
Unit Sales
1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
A 1 3 5 7 9 11 36
B 5 7 9 11 15 17 64
C 20 21 22 23 24 25 135
D 1 3 5 7 9 11 36
18
Number of Periods Varies
19. www.scorechicago.org
Product Oriented Step 3
Sales Forecast
1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
A 1 3 5 7 9 11 36
B 10 14 18 22 30 34 128
C 60 63 66 69 72 75 405
D 4 12 20 28 36 44 144
Total 75 92 109 126 147 164 713
Units x Price
20. www.scorechicago.org
Product Oriented Step 4
Gross Margin
1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
A 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 6.5 18
B 3.75 5.25 6.75 8.25 11.25 12.75 48
C 18 18.9 19.8 20.7 21.6 22.5 121.5
D 1 3 5 7 9 11 36
Total 23.5 28.65 34.05 39.45 46.35 51.75 223.5
Units x Margin
21. www.scorechicago.org
21
Estimating Revenues
⢠Your market share
â Total market area
â Sales of top 3 competitors
⢠Research competition
â Why will customers leave them and join you?
â Competitive advantage
⢠Association data
⢠Interview similar (non-competing) businesses
â Start up and 2nd
year volumes
â Sales/marketing strategies
⢠Sufficient staff and operational support?
Reality Checks
23. www.scorechicago.org
Estimate Start Up Expenses
Telephone Expense Computers Collateral Material
Web Site Advertising Licenses
Build Outs Accountants Equipment
Wages Deposits Part Time Help
Vehicles Fees Travel
24. www.scorechicago.org
24
Estimating Non Cash Items
Itâs a little more complicated
â˘Depreciation
â˘Loan Amortization
â˘Payroll and Income Taxes
â˘Inventory Buys
â˘Other Accruals
25. www.scorechicago.org
⢠Compare actual results with plan
⢠Focus on major variances and causal factors
⢠Identify problems and opportunities
⢠Define actions to improve results
⢠Modify future Cash Flow forecast if appropriate.
⢠Assess impact of changes
Timely information is essential
Monthly Cash Flow Review
27. www.scorechicago.org
Donât Count on It
âFor the current [2013-2014) season, the showâs producers received 35,000
applications. Of those, 157 â thatâs 0.4 percent â were selected.â
Abba Bhattaral, The Washington Post, 1/19/2014
28. www.scorechicago.org
Show me the money!
âş How much capital do you need?
ď§ From your cash flow analysis, what
you need
ď§ From your personal financial
statement, what you have
ď§ Calculate the difference
29. www.scorechicago.org
Where the Money Comes From
Earnings 32%
Credit Cards 30%
Large Bank 19%
Community
Bank
19%
Friends or
Family
17%
Vendor Credit 15%
Leasing 6%
SBA 4%
Debt -PP 2%
Credit Union 2%
Factor AR 2%
Stock - PP 2%
Non Bank Loan 1%
State/Regional
Programs
1%
Crowd Funding 1%
Source:Mullins, How to Start a Business with Very Little Money, WSJ,1/26/2015, R1.
30. www.scorechicago.org
Itâs all about money
⢠Do you know how much money you want?
⢠Do you know why you want?
â Can you justify?
â Is it reasonable?
â Do you have adequate collateral?
⢠Do you know how you would pay it back?
⢠Do you know when you would pay it back?
31. www.scorechicago.org
You want a loan?
⢠You may have to guarantee personally
⢠You need a personal financial statement
⢠Do you have one?
⢠Do you know how to prepare one?
⢠What does it say?
32. www.scorechicago.org
Select banks
⢠Get referrals
⢠Line up more than one bank
⢠They know your industry
⢠They are in your community
⢠Room for growth
⢠Banks are eager to do
business too!
⢠Do your home work
33. www.scorechicago.org
Meet the banker
⢠Make contact
⢠Proper business etiquette
⢠Have all relevant
documents
⢠Build a rapport
⢠Keep them informed
⢠No surprises
⢠Ask questions
⢠Go with an âattitudeâ
34. www.scorechicago.org
What bankers may not likeâŚ
⢠Getting outside your area of expertise
⢠Absentee management/ownership
⢠Going through divorce proceedings
⢠Burnout; no enthusiasm!
⢠Growing beyond your capacity
⢠Relocation
35. www.scorechicago.org
Questions banker may ask youâŚ
⢠Your product/service
⢠Your experience
⢠Down payment, 25%-
30%
⢠Collateral
⢠Your personal debt
⢠Your credit history:
â They will check it anyway!
⢠Your selling plans
⢠Your business plan
⢠About your competition
⢠Your team
â Your banker
â Accountant
â Attorney
â SCORE?
⢠Your tax returns
⢠Bankruptcy
⢠Most importantly:
â How and when
would you pay back
the loans?
36. www.scorechicago.org
⢠Lying
⢠Not forthcoming
⢠Surprises
⢠Omission of key info
⢠Exaggeration
⢠Ever changing story
⢠Arguing
⢠Excessive secrecy
⢠Asking to sign Non-
disclosure agreement
⢠Inability to answer direct
questions with direct
answers
⢠Coming late for meetings
⢠Investing on unnecessary
items
⢠Fail to attract top talent
⢠Not disclosing personal
liabilities
How to
irritate an
investor
37. www.scorechicago.org
4 Links You Should Have4 Links You Should Have
ďMe:Mark.Lieberman01@gmail.comMe:Mark.Lieberman01@gmail.com
ďMyLinkedin:linkedin.com/in/liebermanmarkMyLinkedin:linkedin.com/in/liebermanmark
ďSCORE Local:SCORE Local: www.scorechicago.orgwww.scorechicago.org
ďSCORE National: www.score.orgSCORE National: www.score.org