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Data-Driven
Responses to a
Rapidly Changing
Economy
Using Labor Market
Information to understand
green jobs, evaluate projects,
and support entrepreneurial
growth
About
EMSI
About   Clients in Economic Development, Workforce
        Development, and Education
EMSI
About   Clients in Economic Development, Workforce
        Development, and Education
EMSI    Through a comprehensive Labor Market data set,
        we help people better understand their regions and
        make sound decisions
Reaffirming
The Importance
of Data
Reaffirming      Data is all around us

The Importance
of Data
Reaffirming      Data is all around us

The Importance   Data helps us make informed decisions

of Data
Reaffirming      Data is all around us

The Importance   Data helps us make informed decisions
                 Even though times are changing, sound
of Data          economic analysis and strategic
                 planning practices have not
Reaffirming      Data is all around us

The Importance   Data helps us make informed decisions
                 Even though times are changing, sound
of Data          economic analysis and strategic
                 planning practices have not
                 Because decisions must be made
                 quickly, the inclusion of data is
                 necessary for correct allocation of
                 resources
Outline
Outline   1. Defining Green Jobs
Outline   1. Defining Green Jobs
          2. Evaluating Projects and Investments
Outline   1. Defining Green Jobs
          2. Evaluating Projects and Investments
          3. Identifying and Measuring Entrepreneurs
Going Green
Going Green   The ARRA includes $87 billion in explicit
              Green Investments
Going Green   The ARRA includes $87 billion in explicit
              Green Investments
              The Obama Administration’s goal is to
              create 2.5 million green jobs over 2 years
Going Green   The ARRA includes $87 billion in explicit
              Green Investments
              The Obama Administration’s goal is to
              create 2.5 million green jobs over 2 years
              Green Tech companies received
              $8.4 billion in venture capital in 2008,
              up 38% from 2007
Going Green   The ARRA includes $87 billion in explicit
              Green Investments
              The Obama Administration’s goal is to
              create 2.5 million green jobs over 2 years
              Green Tech companies received
              $8.4 billion in venture capital in 2008,
              up 38% from 2007
              Many states are beginning their own
              aggressive green initiatives
But what is a green job?
But what is a green job?
“Green” turns not on the specific task associated
 with an occupation, but rather on the specific
       outcome of an occupational effort.
Two Problems
Two Problems   Linking Green Jobs to existing data is
               difficult because SOC classifications are
               generally broad, with each SOC
               representing several occupations
Two Problems   Linking Green Jobs to existing data is
               difficult because SOC classifications are
               generally broad, with each SOC
               representing several occupations

               Neither SOC codes or NAICS codes
               differentiate between various “outcomes,”
               except in a very few cases
Occupations vs.
Job Titles
    Job
    Title
    Occupation
Occupations vs.
Job Titles                                            Industries
                                                  )
                                         a tterns
                            e sta ffing p
    Job          (via invers

    Title
                                   (via O*NET)
    Occupation                                                Similar
                                                            Occupations
Green
Investments
Green         Building Retrofitting

Investments
Green         Building Retrofitting
              Mass Transit
Investments
Green         Building Retrofitting
              Mass Transit
Investments   Smart Grid
Green         Building Retrofitting
              Mass Transit
Investments   Smart Grid
              Wind Power
Green         Building Retrofitting
              Mass Transit
Investments   Smart Grid
              Wind Power
              Solar Power
Green         Building Retrofitting
              Mass Transit
Investments   Smart Grid
              Wind Power
              Solar Power
              Advanced Biofuels
Starting with
Investments                                   patter
                                                     ns)
                                                           Industries
                                        ffing
                               verse sta
                        (via in

                Job
                Title                          (via O*NET)
                                                                   Similar
                Occupation                                       Occupations
Starting with
Investments                                   patter
                                                     ns)
                                                           Industries
                                        ffing
                               verse sta
                        (via in

                Job
                Title                          (via O*NET)
   Green                                                           Similar
                Occupation                                       Occupations
Investment
Some
Occupation
Clusters
Wind Farm
Manufacture,
Installation &
                 Text goes here
Maintenance
Cluster
Top Industries, National Trends
Fastest Changing, National Trends
Outline   1. Defining Green Jobs
          2. Evaluating Projects and Investments
          3. Identifying and Measuring Entrepreneurs
Evaluating
Green
Projects
Evaluating   You are working with a region that has just
             lost a major manufacturer
Green
Projects
Evaluating   You are working with a region that has just
             lost a major manufacturer
Green
             You have three major investment
Projects     opportunities, all of them very different
Evaluating   You are working with a region that has just
             lost a major manufacturer
Green
             You have three major investment
Projects     opportunities, all of them very different

             We will look at 3 different criteria for
             evaluation: ROI, long-term impact, and
             regional compatibility
Which to
Choose?
Which to   Major considerations:
            • Regional makeup
Choose?     • Impact per dollar spent
            • Long-term vs. short-term impact
Which to   Major considerations:
            • Regional makeup
Choose?     • Impact per dollar spent
            • Long-term vs. short-term impact

           The Verdict: Scenario #3, which has the
           lowest cost-per-job, creates long-term
           employment, has the greatest fiscal impact,
           and directly addresses a major local layoff
Evaluating
Investments
Evaluating    A rural area has the opportunity to invest in
              one of three infrastructure improvements
Investments
Evaluating    A rural area has the opportunity to invest in
              one of three infrastructure improvements
Investments   We’ll examine building a 5-mile bypass
              highway, improving rail access, and
              investing in broadband communications
              infrastructure
Evaluating    A rural area has the opportunity to invest in
              one of three infrastructure improvements
Investments   We’ll examine building a 5-mile bypass
              highway, improving rail access, and
              investing in broadband communications
              infrastructure
              Evaluation criteria remain the same
Project Detail
Project Detail, Continued
Impact
Summary
Depending on the desired outcome, any of
Impact    these projects could be a sound investment
Summary
Depending on the desired outcome, any of
Impact    these projects could be a sound investment
Summary   This very basic analysis serves as a basis for
          planning, facilitates collaboration, and mitigates
          the temptation to plan based on anecdote or
          inertia
Depending on the desired outcome, any of
Impact    these projects could be a sound investment
Summary   This very basic analysis serves as a basis for
          planning, facilitates collaboration, and mitigates
          the temptation to plan based on anecdote or
          inertia
          Once you understand regional resources and
          potential impacts, project selection (and grant
          application) can be approached with
          confidence
Outline   1. Defining Green Jobs
          2. Evaluating Projects and Investments
          3. Identifying and Measuring Entrepreneurs
The Importance of
Entrepreneurs
The Importance of   Many ARRA investments are short-term
Entrepreneurs       fixes that fail to address long-term
                    regional innovation needs
The Importance of   Many ARRA investments are short-term
Entrepreneurs       fixes that fail to address long-term
                    regional innovation needs
                    Business attraction is becoming more
                    difficult, and movements such as
                    Economic Gardening are gaining
                    exposure
The Importance of   Many ARRA investments are short-term
Entrepreneurs       fixes that fail to address long-term
                    regional innovation needs
                    Business attraction is becoming more
                    difficult, and movements such as
                    Economic Gardening are gaining
                    exposure
                    Identifying and supporting entrepreneurs
                    is an essential part of a well-rounded
                    development strategy
In Pursuit of
Self-Proprietors
In Pursuit of      What is generally regarded as the most
                   reliable Labor Market Data set, QCEW,
Self-Proprietors   does not include self-proprietors
In Pursuit of      What is generally regarded as the most
                   reliable Labor Market Data set, QCEW,
Self-Proprietors   does not include self-proprietors
                   EMSI uses BEA’s REIS, based off of
                   tax returns, to isolate those proprietors
                   and add them back into our data
In Pursuit of      What is generally regarded as the most
                   reliable Labor Market Data set, QCEW,
Self-Proprietors   does not include self-proprietors
                   EMSI uses BEA’s REIS, based off of
                   tax returns, to isolate those proprietors
                   and add them back into our data
                   EMSI then uses PUMS, an ACS
                   project, to develop staffing patterns and
                   other data for self-proprietors
National Trends - Information Technology Cluster
                                                Description   Complete       Covered       Proprietors

Software publishers                                               292,011        257,194          34,817

Wired telecommunications carriers                                 502,615        434,730          67,885

Paging                                                             17,515         14,804           2,711

Cellular and other wireless carriers                              215,445        187,086          28,359

Telecommunications resellers                                      133,633        113,860          19,773

Satellite telecommunications                                       15,254         12,857           2,397

Other telecommunications                                            8,368          7,386             982

Internet service providers                                         93,640         85,315           8,325

Web search portals                                                 41,820         34,449           7,371

Data processing and related services                              307,448        257,438          50,010

Custom computer programming services                              863,217        634,019         229,198

Computer systems design services                                  877,826        659,980         217,846

Computer facilities management services                            73,541         53,673          19,868

Other computer related services                                   141,568        104,101          37,467

Other management consulting services                              156,238         89,652          66,586

Physical, engineering and biological research                     602,513        553,736          48,777

Social science and humanities research                             66,640         61,945           4,695

                                                                 4,409,290     3,562,225         847,067
The Elusive
7th Digit
The Elusive   Finding self-proprietors is only the beginning.
              What about small businesses?
7th Digit
The Elusive   Finding self-proprietors is only the beginning.
              What about small businesses?
7th Digit
              Business-level data, sorted by NAICS, can
              connect traditional cluster analysis to real
              companies
The Elusive   Finding self-proprietors is only the beginning.
              What about small businesses?
7th Digit
              Business-level data, sorted by NAICS, can
              connect traditional cluster analysis to real
              companies

              Business-level data can help you identify,
              isolate, and engage small businesses affected
              by economic policy
Small Business - Information and Telecommunications Cluster
Thanks for   Questions or comments?

coming!
Thanks for   Questions or comments?

coming!                          Chris Aberle
               Business Development Specialist
                                        EMSI
                                208.892.5598
               caberle@economicmodeling.com

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C2ER 2009 - Data-Driven Responses to a Rapidly Changing Economy

  • 1. Data-Driven Responses to a Rapidly Changing Economy Using Labor Market Information to understand green jobs, evaluate projects, and support entrepreneurial growth
  • 3. About Clients in Economic Development, Workforce Development, and Education EMSI
  • 4. About Clients in Economic Development, Workforce Development, and Education EMSI Through a comprehensive Labor Market data set, we help people better understand their regions and make sound decisions
  • 6. Reaffirming Data is all around us The Importance of Data
  • 7. Reaffirming Data is all around us The Importance Data helps us make informed decisions of Data
  • 8. Reaffirming Data is all around us The Importance Data helps us make informed decisions Even though times are changing, sound of Data economic analysis and strategic planning practices have not
  • 9. Reaffirming Data is all around us The Importance Data helps us make informed decisions Even though times are changing, sound of Data economic analysis and strategic planning practices have not Because decisions must be made quickly, the inclusion of data is necessary for correct allocation of resources
  • 11. Outline 1. Defining Green Jobs
  • 12. Outline 1. Defining Green Jobs 2. Evaluating Projects and Investments
  • 13. Outline 1. Defining Green Jobs 2. Evaluating Projects and Investments 3. Identifying and Measuring Entrepreneurs
  • 15. Going Green The ARRA includes $87 billion in explicit Green Investments
  • 16. Going Green The ARRA includes $87 billion in explicit Green Investments The Obama Administration’s goal is to create 2.5 million green jobs over 2 years
  • 17. Going Green The ARRA includes $87 billion in explicit Green Investments The Obama Administration’s goal is to create 2.5 million green jobs over 2 years Green Tech companies received $8.4 billion in venture capital in 2008, up 38% from 2007
  • 18. Going Green The ARRA includes $87 billion in explicit Green Investments The Obama Administration’s goal is to create 2.5 million green jobs over 2 years Green Tech companies received $8.4 billion in venture capital in 2008, up 38% from 2007 Many states are beginning their own aggressive green initiatives
  • 19.
  • 20. But what is a green job?
  • 21. But what is a green job? “Green” turns not on the specific task associated with an occupation, but rather on the specific outcome of an occupational effort.
  • 23. Two Problems Linking Green Jobs to existing data is difficult because SOC classifications are generally broad, with each SOC representing several occupations
  • 24. Two Problems Linking Green Jobs to existing data is difficult because SOC classifications are generally broad, with each SOC representing several occupations Neither SOC codes or NAICS codes differentiate between various “outcomes,” except in a very few cases
  • 25. Occupations vs. Job Titles Job Title Occupation
  • 26. Occupations vs. Job Titles Industries ) a tterns e sta ffing p Job (via invers Title (via O*NET) Occupation Similar Occupations
  • 28. Green Building Retrofitting Investments
  • 29. Green Building Retrofitting Mass Transit Investments
  • 30. Green Building Retrofitting Mass Transit Investments Smart Grid
  • 31. Green Building Retrofitting Mass Transit Investments Smart Grid Wind Power
  • 32. Green Building Retrofitting Mass Transit Investments Smart Grid Wind Power Solar Power
  • 33. Green Building Retrofitting Mass Transit Investments Smart Grid Wind Power Solar Power Advanced Biofuels
  • 34. Starting with Investments patter ns) Industries ffing verse sta (via in Job Title (via O*NET) Similar Occupation Occupations
  • 35. Starting with Investments patter ns) Industries ffing verse sta (via in Job Title (via O*NET) Green Similar Occupation Occupations Investment
  • 37. Wind Farm Manufacture, Installation & Text goes here Maintenance Cluster
  • 40. Outline 1. Defining Green Jobs 2. Evaluating Projects and Investments 3. Identifying and Measuring Entrepreneurs
  • 42. Evaluating You are working with a region that has just lost a major manufacturer Green Projects
  • 43. Evaluating You are working with a region that has just lost a major manufacturer Green You have three major investment Projects opportunities, all of them very different
  • 44. Evaluating You are working with a region that has just lost a major manufacturer Green You have three major investment Projects opportunities, all of them very different We will look at 3 different criteria for evaluation: ROI, long-term impact, and regional compatibility
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 49. Which to Major considerations: • Regional makeup Choose? • Impact per dollar spent • Long-term vs. short-term impact
  • 50. Which to Major considerations: • Regional makeup Choose? • Impact per dollar spent • Long-term vs. short-term impact The Verdict: Scenario #3, which has the lowest cost-per-job, creates long-term employment, has the greatest fiscal impact, and directly addresses a major local layoff
  • 52. Evaluating A rural area has the opportunity to invest in one of three infrastructure improvements Investments
  • 53. Evaluating A rural area has the opportunity to invest in one of three infrastructure improvements Investments We’ll examine building a 5-mile bypass highway, improving rail access, and investing in broadband communications infrastructure
  • 54. Evaluating A rural area has the opportunity to invest in one of three infrastructure improvements Investments We’ll examine building a 5-mile bypass highway, improving rail access, and investing in broadband communications infrastructure Evaluation criteria remain the same
  • 58. Depending on the desired outcome, any of Impact these projects could be a sound investment Summary
  • 59. Depending on the desired outcome, any of Impact these projects could be a sound investment Summary This very basic analysis serves as a basis for planning, facilitates collaboration, and mitigates the temptation to plan based on anecdote or inertia
  • 60. Depending on the desired outcome, any of Impact these projects could be a sound investment Summary This very basic analysis serves as a basis for planning, facilitates collaboration, and mitigates the temptation to plan based on anecdote or inertia Once you understand regional resources and potential impacts, project selection (and grant application) can be approached with confidence
  • 61. Outline 1. Defining Green Jobs 2. Evaluating Projects and Investments 3. Identifying and Measuring Entrepreneurs
  • 63. The Importance of Many ARRA investments are short-term Entrepreneurs fixes that fail to address long-term regional innovation needs
  • 64. The Importance of Many ARRA investments are short-term Entrepreneurs fixes that fail to address long-term regional innovation needs Business attraction is becoming more difficult, and movements such as Economic Gardening are gaining exposure
  • 65. The Importance of Many ARRA investments are short-term Entrepreneurs fixes that fail to address long-term regional innovation needs Business attraction is becoming more difficult, and movements such as Economic Gardening are gaining exposure Identifying and supporting entrepreneurs is an essential part of a well-rounded development strategy
  • 67. In Pursuit of What is generally regarded as the most reliable Labor Market Data set, QCEW, Self-Proprietors does not include self-proprietors
  • 68. In Pursuit of What is generally regarded as the most reliable Labor Market Data set, QCEW, Self-Proprietors does not include self-proprietors EMSI uses BEA’s REIS, based off of tax returns, to isolate those proprietors and add them back into our data
  • 69. In Pursuit of What is generally regarded as the most reliable Labor Market Data set, QCEW, Self-Proprietors does not include self-proprietors EMSI uses BEA’s REIS, based off of tax returns, to isolate those proprietors and add them back into our data EMSI then uses PUMS, an ACS project, to develop staffing patterns and other data for self-proprietors
  • 70. National Trends - Information Technology Cluster Description Complete Covered Proprietors Software publishers 292,011 257,194 34,817 Wired telecommunications carriers 502,615 434,730 67,885 Paging 17,515 14,804 2,711 Cellular and other wireless carriers 215,445 187,086 28,359 Telecommunications resellers 133,633 113,860 19,773 Satellite telecommunications 15,254 12,857 2,397 Other telecommunications 8,368 7,386 982 Internet service providers 93,640 85,315 8,325 Web search portals 41,820 34,449 7,371 Data processing and related services 307,448 257,438 50,010 Custom computer programming services 863,217 634,019 229,198 Computer systems design services 877,826 659,980 217,846 Computer facilities management services 73,541 53,673 19,868 Other computer related services 141,568 104,101 37,467 Other management consulting services 156,238 89,652 66,586 Physical, engineering and biological research 602,513 553,736 48,777 Social science and humanities research 66,640 61,945 4,695 4,409,290 3,562,225 847,067
  • 72. The Elusive Finding self-proprietors is only the beginning. What about small businesses? 7th Digit
  • 73. The Elusive Finding self-proprietors is only the beginning. What about small businesses? 7th Digit Business-level data, sorted by NAICS, can connect traditional cluster analysis to real companies
  • 74. The Elusive Finding self-proprietors is only the beginning. What about small businesses? 7th Digit Business-level data, sorted by NAICS, can connect traditional cluster analysis to real companies Business-level data can help you identify, isolate, and engage small businesses affected by economic policy
  • 75. Small Business - Information and Telecommunications Cluster
  • 76. Thanks for Questions or comments? coming!
  • 77. Thanks for Questions or comments? coming! Chris Aberle Business Development Specialist EMSI 208.892.5598 caberle@economicmodeling.com