The document discusses continuous deployment practices and real-time anomaly detection in metrics at a large scale, highlighting systems like Skyline and Oculus used for monitoring and analyzing time series data. It emphasizes the importance of quick recovery over fearing human error and the use of various tools for graphing and storing metrics efficiently. The presentation also touches on addressing unknown anomalies and correlations through advanced algorithms and technologies like Elasticsearch.

1. Abe
Stanway
@jonlives
BRING THE NOISE!
MAKING SENSE OF
A HAILSTORM
OF METRICS
Jon Cowie
@abestanway
Tuesday, 9 July 13

2. Ninety minutes is a
long time.
- motivations
- skyline
- oculus
- demo!
- questions
This talk:
~10
~25
~30
~10
~15
Tuesday, 9 July 13

3. Ninety minutes is a
long time.
- motivations
- skyline
- oculus
- demo!
- questions
This talk:
~10
~25
~30
~10
~15
But we have some
sweet stuff to show
you.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

4. Background and Motivations
Tuesday, 9 July 13

5. Tuesday, 9 July 13

6. 1.5 billion page views
$117 million of goods sold
950 thousand users
Tuesday, 9 July 13

7. 1.5 billion page views
$117 million of goods sold
950 thousand users
(in december ‘12)
Tuesday, 9 July 13

8. We practice continuous
deployment.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

9. de•ploy /diˈploi/
Verb
To release your code for the
world to see, hopefully without
breaking the Internet
Tuesday, 9 July 13

10. Everyone deploys.
250+ committers.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

11. Day one:
DEPLOY
Tuesday, 9 July 13

12. Tuesday, 9 July 13

13. 30+ DEPLOYS A DAY
(~8 commits per deploy!)
Tuesday, 9 July 13

14. “30 deploys a day? Is that safe?”
Tuesday, 9 July 13

15. We optimize for quick recovery
by anticipating problems...
Tuesday, 9 July 13

16. ...instead of fearing human error.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

17. Can’t fix what you
don’t measure!
- W. Edwards Deming
Tuesday, 9 July 13

18. StatsD
graphite
Skyline
Oculus
Supergrep
homemade!not homemade
Nagios
Ganglia
Tuesday, 9 July 13

19. Text
Real time error logging
Tuesday, 9 July 13

20. “Not all things that
break throw errors.”
- Oscar Wilde
Tuesday, 9 July 13

21. StatsD
Tuesday, 9 July 13

22. StatsD::increment(“foo.bar”)
Tuesday, 9 July 13

23. If it moves,
graph it!
Tuesday, 9 July 13

24. If it moves,
graph it!
we would graph them ➞
Tuesday, 9 July 13

25. If it doesn’t move,
graph it anyway
(it might make a run for it)
Tuesday, 9 July 13

26. DASHBOARDS!
Tuesday, 9 July 13

27. [1358731200,20]
[1358731200,20]
[1358731200,20]
[1358731200,20]
[1358731200,20]
[1358731200,20]
[1358731200,20]
[1358731200,20]
[1358731200,60]
[1358731200,20]
[1358731200,20]
Tuesday, 9 July 13

28. DASHBOARDS! x 250,000
Tuesday, 9 July 13

29. Tuesday, 9 July 13

30. lol nagios
Tuesday, 9 July 13

31. “...but there are also
unknown unknowns -
there are things we do
not know we don’t
know.”
Tuesday, 9 July 13

32. Unknown
anomalies
Tuesday, 9 July 13

33. Unknown
correlations
Tuesday, 9 July 13

34. Kale.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

35. Kale:
- leaves
- green stuff
Tuesday, 9 July 13

36. Kale:
- leaves
- green stuff
OCULUS
SKYLINE
Tuesday, 9 July 13

37. Q). How do you analyze a
timeseries for anomalies
in real time?
Tuesday, 9 July 13

38. A). Lots of HTTP requests
to Graphite’s API!
Tuesday, 9 July 13

39. Q). How do you analyze a
quarter million timeseries
for anomalies in real time?
Tuesday, 9 July 13

40. SKYLINE
Tuesday, 9 July 13

41. SKYLINE
Tuesday, 9 July 13

42. A real time
anomaly detection
system
Tuesday, 9 July 13

43. Real time?
Tuesday, 9 July 13

44. Kinda.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

45. StatsD
Ten second resolution
Tuesday, 9 July 13

46. Ganglia
One minute resolution
Tuesday, 9 July 13

47. ~ 10s
( ~ 1minBest case:
Tuesday, 9 July 13

48. (
Takes about 90 seconds
with our throughput.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

49. (
Still faster than you would
have discovered it otherwise.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

50. Memory > Disk
Tuesday, 9 July 13

51. Tuesday, 9 July 13

52. Q). How do you get a
quarter million timeseries
into Redis on time?
Tuesday, 9 July 13

53. STREAM IT!
Tuesday, 9 July 13

54. Graphite’s relay agent
original
graphite backup graphite
Tuesday, 9 July 13

55. Graphite’s relay agent
original
graphite backup graphite
[statsd.numStats, [1365603422, 82345]]
pickles
[statsd.numStats, [1365603432, 80611]]
[statsd.numStats, [1365603412, 73421]]
Tuesday, 9 July 13

56. Graphite’s relay agent
original
graphite skyline
[statsd.numStats, [1365603422, 82345]]
pickles
[statsd.numStats, [1365603432, 80611]]
[statsd.numStats, [1365603412, 73421]]
Tuesday, 9 July 13

57. We import from Ganglia too.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

58. Storing timeseries
Tuesday, 9 July 13

59. Minimize I/O
Minimize memory
Tuesday, 9 July 13

60. redis.append()
- Strings
- Constant time
- One operation per update
Tuesday, 9 July 13

61. JSON?
Tuesday, 9 July 13

62. “[1358711400, 51],”
=> get statsD.numStats
----------------------------
Tuesday, 9 July 13

63. “[1358711400, 51],
=> get statsD.numStats
----------------------------
[1358711410, 23],”
Tuesday, 9 July 13

64. “[1358711400, 51],
=> get statsD.numStats
----------------------------
[1358711410, 23],
[1358711420, 45],”
Tuesday, 9 July 13

65. OVER HALF
CPU time spent
decoding JSON
Tuesday, 9 July 13

66. [1,2]
Tuesday, 9 July 13

67. [ 1 , 2 ]
Stuff we care about
Extra junk
Tuesday, 9 July 13

68. MESSAGEPACK
Tuesday, 9 July 13

69. MESSAGEPACK
A binary-based
serialization protocol
Tuesday, 9 July 13

70. x93x01x02
Array size
(16 or 32 bit big
endian integer)
Things we care about
Tuesday, 9 July 13

71. x93x01x02
Array size
(16 or 32 bit big
endian integer)
Things we care about
x93x02x03
Tuesday, 9 July 13

72. CUT IN HALF
Run Time + Memory Used
Tuesday, 9 July 13

73. ROOMBA.PY
CLEANS THE DATA
Tuesday, 9 July 13

74. “Wait...you wrote this in Python?”
Tuesday, 9 July 13

75. Great statistics libraries
Not fun for parallelism
Tuesday, 9 July 13

76. Assign Redis keys to each process
Process decodes and analyzes
The Analyzer
Tuesday, 9 July 13

77. Anomalous metrics written as JSON
setInterval() retrieves from front end
The Analyzer
Tuesday, 9 July 13

78. Tuesday, 9 July 13

79. What does it mean
to be anomalous?
Tuesday, 9 July 13

80. Consensus model
Tuesday, 9 July 13

81. Implement everything you
can get your hands on
Tuesday, 9 July 13

82. Basic algorithm:
“A metric is anomalous if its
latest datapoint is over three
standard deviations above
its moving average.”
Tuesday, 9 July 13

83. Grubb’s test, ordinary least squares
Tuesday, 9 July 13

84. Histogram binning
Tuesday, 9 July 13

85. Four horsemen of the modelpocalypse
Tuesday, 9 July 13

86. 1. Seasonality
2. Spike influence
3. Normality
4. Parameters
Tuesday, 9 July 13

87. Anomaly?
Tuesday, 9 July 13

88. Nope.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

89. Text
Spikes artificially raise the moving average
Anomaly
detected (yay!)
Anomaly missed :(
Bigger moving average
Tuesday, 9 July 13

90. Real world data doesn’t
necessarily follow a perfect
normal distribution.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

91. Too many metrics to fit
parameters for them all!
Tuesday, 9 July 13

92. A robust set of algorithms is the
current focus of this project.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

93. Q). How do you analyze a
quarter million timeseries
for correlations?
Tuesday, 9 July 13

94. OCULUS
Tuesday, 9 July 13

95. Image comparison is expensive and slow
Tuesday, 9 July 13

96. “[[975, 1365528530],
[643, 1365528540],
[750, 1365528550],
[992, 1365528560],
[580, 1365528570],
[586, 1365528580],
[649, 1365528590],
[548, 1365528600],
[901, 1365528610],
[633, 1365528620]]”
Use raw timeseries instead of raw graphs
Tuesday, 9 July 13

97. Naming Things
Cache Invalidation
Numerical Comparison?
HARD PROBLEMS
Tuesday, 9 July 13

98. Naming Things
Cache Invalidation
Numerical Comparison?
HARD PROBLEMS
Tuesday, 9 July 13

99. Euclidian Distance
Tuesday, 9 July 13

100. Dynamic Time Warping
(helps with phase shifts)
Tuesday, 9 July 13

101. We’ve solved it!
Tuesday, 9 July 13

102. O(N2)
Tuesday, 9 July 13

103. O(N2) x 250k
Tuesday, 9 July 13

104. Too slow!
Tuesday, 9 July 13

105. doesn’t
Tuesday, 9 July 13

106. No need to run DTW on all 250k.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

107. Discard obviously dissimilar metrics.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

108. “975 643 643 750 992 992 992 580”
“sharpdecrement flat increment
sharpincrement flat flat
shapdecrement”
Shape Description Alphabet
Tuesday, 9 July 13

109. “975 643 643 750 992 992 992 580”
“sharpdecrement flat increment
sharpincrement flat flat
shapdecrement”
Shape Description Alphabet
“24 4 4 11 25 25 25 0 1”
(normalization step)
Tuesday, 9 July 13

110. Tuesday, 9 July 13

111. Search for shape description
fingerprint in Elasticsearch
Tuesday, 9 July 13

112. Run DTW on results
as final polish
Tuesday, 9 July 13

113. O(N2) on ~10k metrics
Tuesday, 9 July 13

114. Still too slow.
Tuesday, 9 July 13

115. Fast DTW - O(N)
coarsen
project
refine
Tuesday, 9 July 13

116. Elasticsearch Details
Phrase search for first
pass scores across shape
description fingerprints
Tuesday, 9 July 13

117. Elasticsearch Details
Phrase search for first pass scores
across shape description fingerprints
Custom FastDTW and euclidian
distance plugins to score across the
remaining filtered timeseries
Tuesday, 9 July 13

118. Elasticsearch Structure
{
:id => “statsd.numStats”,
:fingerprint => “sdec inc sinc sdec”,
:values => "10 1 2 15 4"
}
Tuesday, 9 July 13

119. Mappings
Specify tokenizers
“Untouched” fields
Tuesday, 9 July 13

120. First pass query
:match => {
:fingerprint => {
:query => “sdec inc sinc sdec inc”,
:type => "phrase",
:slop => 20
}
}
shape description
fingerprint
Tuesday, 9 July 13

121. Refinement query{:custom_score
=>
{
:query
=>
<first_pass_query>,
:script
=>
"oculus_dtw",
:params
=>
{
:query_value
=>
“10
20
20
10
30”,
:query_field
=>
"values.untouched",
},
}
raw timeseries
Tuesday, 9 July 13

122. Skyline
Elasticsearch
Resque
Sinatra
Ganglia
Graphite
StatsD
KALE
Flask
Tuesday, 9 July 13

123. Populating Elasticsearch
Tuesday, 9 July 13

124. ES
Index
resque workers
Tuesday, 9 July 13

125. Too slow to
update and search
Tuesday, 9 July 13

126. New
Index
Last
Index
Webapp
Tuesday, 9 July 13

127. Sinatra frontend
Queries ES
Renders results
Tuesday, 9 July 13

128. Collections
Tuesday, 9 July 13

129. devops <3
Tuesday, 9 July 13

130. Tuesday, 9 July 13

131. Special thanks to:
Dr. Neil Gunther, PerfDynamics
Dr. Brian Whitman, Echonest
Burc Arpat, Facebook
Seth Walker, Etsy
Rafe Colburn, Etsy
Mike Rembetsy, Etsy
John Allspaw, Etsy
Tuesday, 9 July 13

132. @abestanway @jonlives
Thanks!
github.com/etsy/skyline
github.com/etsy/oculus
Tuesday, 9 July 13