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Motivation Factors & Key Processes to look into
for investment/partnership on forestry to pellet production projects
Maarten Gnoth, Manager Business Development - Biomass Upstream
Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
27-29 January 2015 - Jakarta
GDF SUEZ Biomass power plants overview
Country Power / pellet plant Production Plant Type Biomass type
Belgium
2 sites, 2 plants, various
stages
~280 MW
+ 60 MW stopped in 2013
Dedicated
(gasifier stopped in 2013)
Wood pellets, wood chips
and residues stopped
in 2013
Netherlands 1 plant, various stages Stopped Q3 2012
(~180 MW)
Co-firing Wood pellets
Germany 1 plant ~20 MW Dedicated Wood chips
Poland 1 plant various stages ~330 MW Dedicated & Co-firing Agri-pellets & Wood chips
Thailand 1 plant ~ 30 MW Co-firing Wood chips
Brazil 2 plants ~60 MW Dedicated
Wood chips
& Sugar cane bagasse
USA 7 power plants ~120 MW Dedicated
Clean wood chips , waste
wood chips & paper pellets
Canada
1 pellet plant co-investment
extension
~350 kton/yr
production
Pellet plant Wood pellet production
France, GE,
BE, NL
Operating > 120 local bio
installations
~ 200 MWth District heating, CHP
Local waste wood, pellets
etc.
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
2
Rationale for co-investment in Pacific Bio Energy in 2010:
 Biomass Market liquidity
 Securing feedstock for own production as foundation for supply and trading
 Security of supply and guaranteed quality and sustainability
 Credible and professional investment counterparts locally rooted
 Added value of our group and partners to the JV
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
3
Co-Investment & Partnership
Initial Pacific Bio co-venture objectives:
secure contract, capture upstream value… and learn
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
4
Co-Investment & Partnership
Opportunity Volumes Status
Fibresupply
Productquality
andcertification
Exportlogistics
Partnerreliability
Country
Supplychain
length
Co-investment
Opportunity 1
200 kt/y (2009)  600 kt/y
by 2012 with developments
Due-diligence + + + + + -
Opportunity 2 ~100 - 200 kt/y from 2011
Early stage
investigations + ? ? ? - =
Opportunity 3 200 kt/y (2009 – 2015)
Early stage
investigations - + + + + +
Opportunity 4 150 kt/y Discussion = + + = - +
LTofftakeagreement
Opportunity 5 > 1 mt/y, 5 – 7 years
Contract
preparation + + + + + +
Opportunity 6 ~100 – 500 kt/y from 2010
Contract
preparation + + + + + -
Opportunity 7 250 kt/y from 2011+ Lead + ? ? ? = =
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
5
Biomass supply funnel
 Origination of biomass
 Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics
 Security of supply!
 Selection on sustainability criteria
 Selection on local stakeholders
 Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.
 Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone
CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction
 Selection on commercial feasibility
 Integration feasibility in business modeling
Availability
Sustainability
Applicability
Affordability
Funnel and exclusion approach
to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
6
Biomass identification
 Origination of biomass
 Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics
 Security of supply!
 Selection on sustainability criteria
 Selection on local stakeholders
 Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.
 Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone
CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction
 Selection on commercial feasibility
 Integration feasibility in business modeling
Availability
Sustainability
Applicability
Affordability
Funnel and exclusion approach
to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
Biomass value chain: feedstock availability
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
7
Growing supply
Stable/Decreasing supply
Growing deficit
Biomass supply in Europe remains stable.
Significant growth from Russia, US South, South America and Africa
Location
Indication overview of geographical feedstock availability
Source: Pöyry
Biomass flows & developments
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
8
existing supply
future supply?
■ Wood pellets
■ Wood chips (fresh & recycled)
■ Agri residues
■ Potential sourcing countries
for Eastern Europe
■ Potential agri residues & wood pellet sourcing
countries for S.E. Asia demand
■ Demand: currently primarily Europe.UK, South
Korea & Japan to expand
 Current biomass flows mainly based on mature production locations
with pellet export to Europe
 Future flows increasingly based on lower fiber cost availability
 Emerging demand and supply in S.E. Asia
Biomass Value Chain: security of supply
Agriculture
Encroaching
b(r)ush/bamboo
Energy crops
Forest /
Plantations
Inbound
logistics
Biomass
processing
Storage Outbound
logistics
Use
Agriculture
processing
Recycling
wood
Wood
processing
Pelletizing
Chipping Drying
Open air Silo
Warehouse
Boat Train Truck
Residual stream
Primary stream
BIOMASS MARKET
USA & Canadian wood pellet plants as market reference
e.g. GDF SUEZ Pacific BioEnergy JV in Canada
From FOB to CIF shipment under various arrangements
e.g. Leasing contracts for dedicated vessels GDF SUEZ Ghent
for transport from Vancouver (BC- Canada)
Dedicated and co-firing plants using all types
of biomass in Europe
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
9
Optional stream
Perspective : European utility looking for LT security of supply
The various steps in the supply chain
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
10
Biomass identification
 Origination of biomass
 Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics
 Security of supply!
 Selection on sustainability criteria
 Selection on local stakeholders
 Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.
 Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone
CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction
 Selection on commercial feasibility
 Integration feasibility in business modeling
Availability
Sustainability
Applicability
Affordability
Funnel and exclusion approach
to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
11
Sustainability criteria and implementation
Principle Clarification
NTA 8080
(Cramer)
FSC RED UK
Belgium
(LBE)
GGL
SBP
(IWPB)
1
GHG
balance
Positive CO2 balance of total
biomass supply chain (against
conventional)
     
2
Carbon
stocks
Production of biomass not
impacting high carbon stocks
in vegetation & soil
    
3
Bio-
diversity
No production of biomass at
protected or vulnerable biodiversity      
4 Soil
Soil (quality) is maintained
or improved    
5 Water
Water not exhausted and water
quality maintained or improved    
6 Air
Air quality is maintained
or improved   
7 Social
Preserve food- and local biomass
applications from unfair competition    
8
Local
welfare
Production of biomass contributes
to local prosperity    
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
12
Biomass identification
 Origination of biomass
 Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics
 Security of supply!
 Selection on sustainability criteria
 Selection on local stakeholders
 Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.
 Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone
CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction
 Selection on commercial feasibility
 Integration feasibility in business modeling
Availability
Sustainability
Applicability
Affordability
Funnel and exclusion approach
to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
13
Biomass identification
as received
milled
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
14
Biomass identification
 Origination of biomass
 Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics
 Security of supply!
 Selection on sustainability criteria
 Selection on local stakeholders
 Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.
 Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone
CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction
 Selection on commercial feasibility
 Integration feasibility in business modeling
Availability
Sustainability
Applicability
Affordability
Funnel and exclusion approach
to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
15
Biomass value chain: feedstock cost
Sustainability issues and competition make feedstock strategically
important. Diversification and certification are key.
Agri-residues
& encroaching
biomass
Woody based agri
residues
WOOD
INDUSTRY
RESIDUES
Logs from existing
forest mgt
Wood plantations
& specific energy
crops
LOW HIGH
Reduced
(to be mitigated and managed)
To be sustainedQUALITY
FEEDSTOCK COST
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
16
Delivered cost analysis of pellets
Wood pellet price Jan 2015 ~ 9 €/GJ CIF ARA | ~ 10,5 US $/GJ | ~ 180 US $/ton
Wood chips price Jan 2015 ~ 6 €/GJ CIF ARA | ~ 7 US $/GJ
Source: Pöyry
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
17
Examples for wood pellets use from USA & Canada
Availability
Sustainability
Applicability
Affordability
The Netherlands
500.000 ton/year (1 plant)
Belgium
1.100.000 ton/year (2 plants)
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
18
… and for wood chips and agri 200 MW
for 1 power plant in Poland
Availability
Sustainability
Applicability
Affordability
Agri Residues
300.000 ton/year
Wood chips
900.000 ton/year
Thanks for your attention
27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain
19
Maarten Gnoth
Manager Business Development - Biomass Upstream
GDF SUEZ Energy Management Trading
Boulevard Simon Bolivar 34
B 1000 Brussels, Belgium
Mob +32 473 850 567
maarten.gnoth@gdfsuez.com
www.gdfsuez.com
www.gdfsuez-trading.com

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Bio Markets Asia 2015 Maarten Gnoth presentation

  • 1. Motivation Factors & Key Processes to look into for investment/partnership on forestry to pellet production projects Maarten Gnoth, Manager Business Development - Biomass Upstream Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 27-29 January 2015 - Jakarta
  • 2. GDF SUEZ Biomass power plants overview Country Power / pellet plant Production Plant Type Biomass type Belgium 2 sites, 2 plants, various stages ~280 MW + 60 MW stopped in 2013 Dedicated (gasifier stopped in 2013) Wood pellets, wood chips and residues stopped in 2013 Netherlands 1 plant, various stages Stopped Q3 2012 (~180 MW) Co-firing Wood pellets Germany 1 plant ~20 MW Dedicated Wood chips Poland 1 plant various stages ~330 MW Dedicated & Co-firing Agri-pellets & Wood chips Thailand 1 plant ~ 30 MW Co-firing Wood chips Brazil 2 plants ~60 MW Dedicated Wood chips & Sugar cane bagasse USA 7 power plants ~120 MW Dedicated Clean wood chips , waste wood chips & paper pellets Canada 1 pellet plant co-investment extension ~350 kton/yr production Pellet plant Wood pellet production France, GE, BE, NL Operating > 120 local bio installations ~ 200 MWth District heating, CHP Local waste wood, pellets etc. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 2
  • 3. Rationale for co-investment in Pacific Bio Energy in 2010:  Biomass Market liquidity  Securing feedstock for own production as foundation for supply and trading  Security of supply and guaranteed quality and sustainability  Credible and professional investment counterparts locally rooted  Added value of our group and partners to the JV 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 3 Co-Investment & Partnership Initial Pacific Bio co-venture objectives: secure contract, capture upstream value… and learn
  • 4. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 4 Co-Investment & Partnership Opportunity Volumes Status Fibresupply Productquality andcertification Exportlogistics Partnerreliability Country Supplychain length Co-investment Opportunity 1 200 kt/y (2009)  600 kt/y by 2012 with developments Due-diligence + + + + + - Opportunity 2 ~100 - 200 kt/y from 2011 Early stage investigations + ? ? ? - = Opportunity 3 200 kt/y (2009 – 2015) Early stage investigations - + + + + + Opportunity 4 150 kt/y Discussion = + + = - + LTofftakeagreement Opportunity 5 > 1 mt/y, 5 – 7 years Contract preparation + + + + + + Opportunity 6 ~100 – 500 kt/y from 2010 Contract preparation + + + + + - Opportunity 7 250 kt/y from 2011+ Lead + ? ? ? = =
  • 5. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 5 Biomass supply funnel  Origination of biomass  Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics  Security of supply!  Selection on sustainability criteria  Selection on local stakeholders  Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.  Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction  Selection on commercial feasibility  Integration feasibility in business modeling Availability Sustainability Applicability Affordability Funnel and exclusion approach to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
  • 6. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 6 Biomass identification  Origination of biomass  Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics  Security of supply!  Selection on sustainability criteria  Selection on local stakeholders  Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.  Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction  Selection on commercial feasibility  Integration feasibility in business modeling Availability Sustainability Applicability Affordability Funnel and exclusion approach to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
  • 7. Biomass value chain: feedstock availability 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 7 Growing supply Stable/Decreasing supply Growing deficit Biomass supply in Europe remains stable. Significant growth from Russia, US South, South America and Africa Location Indication overview of geographical feedstock availability Source: Pöyry
  • 8. Biomass flows & developments 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 8 existing supply future supply? ■ Wood pellets ■ Wood chips (fresh & recycled) ■ Agri residues ■ Potential sourcing countries for Eastern Europe ■ Potential agri residues & wood pellet sourcing countries for S.E. Asia demand ■ Demand: currently primarily Europe.UK, South Korea & Japan to expand  Current biomass flows mainly based on mature production locations with pellet export to Europe  Future flows increasingly based on lower fiber cost availability  Emerging demand and supply in S.E. Asia
  • 9. Biomass Value Chain: security of supply Agriculture Encroaching b(r)ush/bamboo Energy crops Forest / Plantations Inbound logistics Biomass processing Storage Outbound logistics Use Agriculture processing Recycling wood Wood processing Pelletizing Chipping Drying Open air Silo Warehouse Boat Train Truck Residual stream Primary stream BIOMASS MARKET USA & Canadian wood pellet plants as market reference e.g. GDF SUEZ Pacific BioEnergy JV in Canada From FOB to CIF shipment under various arrangements e.g. Leasing contracts for dedicated vessels GDF SUEZ Ghent for transport from Vancouver (BC- Canada) Dedicated and co-firing plants using all types of biomass in Europe 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 9 Optional stream Perspective : European utility looking for LT security of supply The various steps in the supply chain
  • 10. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 10 Biomass identification  Origination of biomass  Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics  Security of supply!  Selection on sustainability criteria  Selection on local stakeholders  Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.  Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction  Selection on commercial feasibility  Integration feasibility in business modeling Availability Sustainability Applicability Affordability Funnel and exclusion approach to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
  • 11. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 11 Sustainability criteria and implementation Principle Clarification NTA 8080 (Cramer) FSC RED UK Belgium (LBE) GGL SBP (IWPB) 1 GHG balance Positive CO2 balance of total biomass supply chain (against conventional)       2 Carbon stocks Production of biomass not impacting high carbon stocks in vegetation & soil      3 Bio- diversity No production of biomass at protected or vulnerable biodiversity       4 Soil Soil (quality) is maintained or improved     5 Water Water not exhausted and water quality maintained or improved     6 Air Air quality is maintained or improved    7 Social Preserve food- and local biomass applications from unfair competition     8 Local welfare Production of biomass contributes to local prosperity    
  • 12. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 12 Biomass identification  Origination of biomass  Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics  Security of supply!  Selection on sustainability criteria  Selection on local stakeholders  Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.  Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction  Selection on commercial feasibility  Integration feasibility in business modeling Availability Sustainability Applicability Affordability Funnel and exclusion approach to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
  • 13. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 13 Biomass identification as received milled
  • 14. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 14 Biomass identification  Origination of biomass  Selection on sourcing, availability & logistics  Security of supply!  Selection on sustainability criteria  Selection on local stakeholders  Sample lab testing on chemical & physical comp.  Selection on technical applicability for stand-alone CFB, co-firing and/or torrefaction  Selection on commercial feasibility  Integration feasibility in business modeling Availability Sustainability Applicability Affordability Funnel and exclusion approach to identify sustainable feedstock opportunities
  • 15. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 15 Biomass value chain: feedstock cost Sustainability issues and competition make feedstock strategically important. Diversification and certification are key. Agri-residues & encroaching biomass Woody based agri residues WOOD INDUSTRY RESIDUES Logs from existing forest mgt Wood plantations & specific energy crops LOW HIGH Reduced (to be mitigated and managed) To be sustainedQUALITY FEEDSTOCK COST
  • 16. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 16 Delivered cost analysis of pellets Wood pellet price Jan 2015 ~ 9 €/GJ CIF ARA | ~ 10,5 US $/GJ | ~ 180 US $/ton Wood chips price Jan 2015 ~ 6 €/GJ CIF ARA | ~ 7 US $/GJ Source: Pöyry
  • 17. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 17 Examples for wood pellets use from USA & Canada Availability Sustainability Applicability Affordability The Netherlands 500.000 ton/year (1 plant) Belgium 1.100.000 ton/year (2 plants)
  • 18. 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 18 … and for wood chips and agri 200 MW for 1 power plant in Poland Availability Sustainability Applicability Affordability Agri Residues 300.000 ton/year Wood chips 900.000 ton/year
  • 19. Thanks for your attention 27/01/2015 Bio-Markets Asia - Biomass Supply Chain 19 Maarten Gnoth Manager Business Development - Biomass Upstream GDF SUEZ Energy Management Trading Boulevard Simon Bolivar 34 B 1000 Brussels, Belgium Mob +32 473 850 567 maarten.gnoth@gdfsuez.com www.gdfsuez.com www.gdfsuez-trading.com