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News Update as @ 1530 hours, Thursday 5 June 2014
Feedback: bh24admin@zimpapers.co.zwEmail: bh24feedback@zimpapers.co.zw
By Tawanda Musarurwa
Prevailing high wages have an effect of
pushingawaypotentialinvestorsinlabour
intensive industries, a labour expert has
said.
Industrial Psychology Consultants (Pvt)
Ltd managing consultant Memory Nguwi
said the effect of compelling companies
to pay Poverty Datum Line (PDL)-linked
wages had the detrimental effect of mak-
ingZimbabweanunattractiveinvestment
destination.
He said the move to link wages to PDL
at a time when national income was per-
formingbelowparwas'unprecedented'.
"A high wage economy militates against
those investors who are targeting labour
intensiveindustries.Whereinvestorshave
no option they normally resort to auto-
mation to reduce the impact of wages.
Where they have options they move to
lower wage economies where they can
produce competitively. "In developing
countries people aspire for PDL linked
wagesbutit’snotpracticalconsideringthe
levels of productivity. The Government’s
move to pay minimum wages linked PDL
whenGovernmentrevenueisdwindlingis
an experiment never seen anywhere in a
normalworld."
The country's National Employment
Councils (NECs) have been pushing firms
to adjust wages to the PDL, which is
around$550forafamilyofsix.
But industry says this is unrealistic in
view of depressed capacity which cur-
rently stands at 39,6 percent. Cooking
oil producer Surface Investments chair-
man Narottam Somani recently said his
company cannot afford PDL-adjusted
salaries. "Workers demands US$600 per
month, while the company cannot even
pay US$300, and still we are pushed to
negotiate. "Let us not expect the country
to afford to pay the highest salaries in
Southern Africa. We are now dealing in
USdollars,"hesaid.
However, Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe
senior division chief (economic research
and policy enhancement) Simon Nyarota
told industrialists at a Confederation of
Zimbabwe Industries event that it is a
misconception to use the PDL for a fam-
ily six when negotiating for a minimum
wage. He said it would be appropriate to
use the PDL for a single individual which
is calculated by the Zimbabwe National
Statistical Agency at around $150. Zim-
babwe's labour market environment is
borne out in the level of companies that
haveembarkedondown-sizingexercises.
OfficialfiguresfromtheMinistryofLabour
and Social Services indicate that 2 376
workers lost their jobs in 2013 after 165
companies embarked on staff rationalisa-
tionprogrammes.
The numbers show that although
retrenches went down to 2 376 in 2013
from 4 007 in 2012, the number of
companies downsizing maintained an
upward trend. Last year 165 compa-
nies retrenched their workers compared
to 147 companies which retrenched in
2012,asviabilitychallengespersisted. •
High wages driving away investors
2 NEWS
BH24 Reporter
Capital Bank has sunk under financial
insolvency, voluntarily relinquishing
its licence just a few weeks before all
banks were supposed to submit their
comprehensiverecapitalisationplansto
the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe.
In a statement yesterday the central
bank's Registrar of Banking Institutions
said it had cancelled Capital Bank’s
licencefollowingarequestbythebank-
ing institution.
"The Registrar is satisfied with the rea-
sons for the request and that the can-
cellation will be in the best interests of
the Capital Bank's creditors, depositors
and members.
"The bank has been operating in an
unsafe and unsound financial condition
characterised by critical under capitali-
sation, persistent losses, chronic liquid-
itychallengesandinordinatelyhighlev-
els of non-performing loans," said RBZ.
The cancellation comes just four weeks
before all banks were supposed to
present their comprehensive recapital-
isation plans to the banking regulator.
In January, then acting RBZ governor
Charity Dhliwayo announced (in her
Monetary Policy Statement) an exten-
sion of the deadline for banking insti-
tutions to comply with the $100 million
minimum capital thresholds to Decem-
ber 2020.
But she said all banks were now
required to submit "comprehensive
recapitalisation plans" by June 30,
2014.
"Capital requirements remain at cur-
rent levels of US$25 million for com-
mercial banks, US$25 million for Mer-
chant Banks, US$20 million of Building
Societies, US$15 million for discount
and finance houses and US$5 million
for microfinance banks.
Nevertheless, compliance with Cabinet
approved levels have now been moved
to 31 December 2020.
"In this regard, all banking institutions
are required to submit to Reserve
Bank, comprehensive recapitalisation
plans to meet the new deadline, by 30
June, 2014," she said.
The closure of Capital Bank also
appears to mark the end of its fraught
relationship with majority shareholder,
National Social Security Authority
(NSSA), which began in January 2012
when the authority acquired Renais-
sance Merchant Bank (RMB) (now
Capital Bank) and controlling stake in
Afre Corporation (First Mutual Ltd).
"While the institution is undercapital-
ised, the major shareholder, National
Social Security Authority, is no longer
willing to inject additional capital into
the bank," reads the statement by the
RBZ.
NSSA has always been unwilling to
inject capital into the bank, leaving it to
suffer liquidity challenges. •
Capital Bank capitulates ahead of banks recapitalisation plans deadline
BH24
By Rumbidzai Zinyuke
ListedagriculturalconcernAristonHold-
ings Limited recorded a reduced profit
after tax for the half year ended March
31 2014 on the back of increased bor-
rowings to finance plant rehabilitation
programmes.
In a statement accompanying the
group’s financial results, finance direc-
tor Martin Dzviti said finance costs
increased by 48 percent to $1 million
as borrowings rose to $14,1 million as
a result of the upgrades at the group’s
factories. Profit for the year stood at
$984 353 down from $2 million in
March 2013. The group’s revenues
were up 29 percent to $8,61 million
from $6,6 million in the prior period
while profit before tax and interest was
$2,34 million after a fair value adjust-
ment of $5 million. Dzviti said Clare-
mont estates’ turnover increased by 12
percent in the review period to $0,849
millioncontributing10percenttogroup
turnover.
Kent estate recorded a turnover of
$0,63 million which was an increase
of 98 percent over the prior year con-
tributing 7 percent of group turnover
while Southdown reported a turnover
of $4,1million. This represents 48 per-
cent of the group’s turnover. Favco’s
turnover was $3 million contributing
35 percent to group turnover. Dzviti
said macadamia harvest had been
slightly delayed by the persistent rains
although production was in line with
last year. However, tea production was
40 percent up from the same period
last year due to good weather condi-
tions. “This trend is likely to continue
into the second half of the year and we
expect to exceed forecast production
for the season,” he added.
He said investment in the tea factory
upgrades last year had improved tea
quality but global tea prices are sig-
nificantly lower than last year mak-
ing export tea prices marginal. In the
period under review, tea sales were 14
percent lower than last year with sales
are expected to increase in the second
half of this year.
“With half the export teas still to sell,
we expect a modest recovery in inter-
national tea prices in the second half of
the year. Traditionally, winter accounts
for the bulk of blended tea sales,” Dzviti
said.Stonefruitsyieldsandpriceswere
in line with forecast and potato produc-
tion is four times last season. Going
forward, Dzviti said the group would
strive to maximize on the underuti-
lized capacity in factories as well as the
rehabilitated ones. •
4 NEWS
Borrowings weigh down Ariston Holdings
BH24 Reporter
Mthuli Ncube's hopes of landing the
presidency of the African Development
Bank (AfDB) have been dashed follow-
ing an announcement by the South
African government that it will not
nominate anyone for the post.
Native Zimbabwean and current chief
economist of the AfDB, Ncube was
lobbying to head the regional financier
in view of the impending departure
of current president Donald Kabe-
ruka next year. But the South African
Finance Ministry yesterday said it had
takenadecisionnottonominateacan-
didate for the presidency of the AfDB,
effectively ending Ncube's prospects.
"The process of selecting a candidate
within the Southern African Develop-
ment Community (SADC) is currently
under way and South Africa will act in
accordance with the collective decision
of the region," said the ministry in a
statement..
The current president, Kaberuka, is
currently serving his second five-year
term. He was first elected in 2005,
becoming the seventh president of the
Bank Group since its establishment in
1963.
Members of the AfDB will elect a new
president in May 2015. •
5 NEWS
South Africa ends Mthuli Ncube's AfDB hopes
Guzha gets regional Unilever post
By Rumbidzai Zinyuke
Unilever Zimbabwe managing director
Nancy Guzha has been appointed vice
president of Unilever Southern Africa.
The appointment is a huge feat for the
first female MD Unilever Zimbabwe has
ever had and makes her one of the
few female executives at the helm of
the household products manufacturing
giant.
Guzha has been managing director of
Unilever Zimbabwe for almost three
years and has pushed the company to
regain its position as the most sought
after brand.
She was recruited by Unilever straight
after graduating from Reading Univer-
sity in the United Kingdom in 1997 as
management trainee in finance and
eventually changed to marketing. She
left to join Cairns Holdings Limited after
three years but came back to Unilever
in 2001.
She joined the Unilever office in Dur-
ban as brand development manager
responsible for Lifebuoy and Vaseline
in 2003.
In 2004 she came back to Zimbabwe
as marketing director but left again to
joinInnscor Africaindistributionwhere
she worked for 18 months. She finally
came back as managing director in
2011, a position she has held to date.
Unilever has been in Zimbabwe since
1943 and manufactures products such
as Geisha, Royco Usavi Mix, Sunlight
washing powder and Key bar. •
Mr. Ncube
Global food prices fell in May for the
second consecutive month as lower
dairy, cereal and vegetable oil prices
counteracted rising sugar and firm
meat prices, the United Nations Food
Agency said on Thursday.
The Food and Agriculture Organisa-
tion's (FAO) price index, which meas-
ures monthly price changes for a bas-
ketofcereals,oilseeds,dairy,meatand
sugar, averaged 207.9 points in May.
This was a fall of 2.5 points or 1.2 per-
cent from April, when food prices fell
led by a sharp drop in dairy prices due
to reduced buying in China and Russia
and an extended season in New Zea-
land that boosted stocks. Dairy prices
continued to fall in May, by 12 points
from the previous month.
FAO's cereal price index was lower at
204.4points,a2.4pointdecreasefrom
the previous month. The agency raised
its world cereal production forecast
for nearly 2.48 billion tonnes, almost
1 percent higher than it reported the
month before.
This would be 1.4 percent lower than
2013's record world output but would
still be the second largest production
ever. FAO forecast world cereals stocks
at the end of crop seasons in 2015 to
be 576 million tonnes, an increase of
almost 10 million tonnes from last
month's forecast.
Worldwheatproductionwasforecastat
nearly 703 million tonnes in 2014, 12.6
milliontonnesbelow2013'srecordhar-
vest.
Wheat prices, which had contributed
to price rises in recent months partly
due to fears of disrupted trade flows
from Ukraine, fell as shipping patterns
from the country remained regular
and weather conditions improved, FAO
said. — Reuters •
AGRICULTURE6
World food prices drop in May for second consecutive month
BH24
By Rumbidzai Zinyuke
The recent hike in consultation fees for
doctors by Government has put a dent
on the pockets of consumers as it has
increased their health bill and subse-
quently the cost of living.
According to the Consumer Council of
Zimbabwe, the cost of living went up
by 5,1 percent at the end of May from
US$559,42 in April to US$587,97.
The $28,55 increase was attributed to
the increase in medical consultation
fees. Last month, consultation fees for
general practitioners were increased
from $20 to $35 while consultations at
general practitioners’ rooms would now
be charged at $30. Initial consultations
at physicians and or pediatricians are
now pegged at $100 while subsequent
visits were set at $70.
The consumer body said the health
basket had gone up from $20 a month
to $55 as a result. The food basket
however decreased by $2,61 from
US$151,35 in April to $148,74 by the
end of May as a result of supermarket
promotions on most products and the
ongoing OK Grand Challenge promo-
tion. The price of detergents increased
by 12,79 percent from $9,07 to $10,23
as the price of laundry bars went up.
Increases in prices were recorded in
tomatoes which went up by 27c from
$0,80 to $1,07. Sugar went up by 10c
from $1,75 to $1,85 while cooking oil
slightly increased from $1,65 to $1,67.
The prices of laundry bars increased
by 23c from $0,96 to $1,19, washing
powder by 8c from 81c to 89c and salt
by 3c from 20c to 23c. Prices for beef
and tea leaves declined from $4,40 to
$4,10 per kilogramme and $1,87 to
$1,85 respectively. Onions went down
by 53c from $1,60 to $1,07 and flour
by 2c from $1,89 to $1,87.
The prices of the other basic commod-
ities which include fuel, margarine,
mealie meal, fresh milk, bread, rice
and bath soap remained unchanged
from the April figures. The cost of
water and electricity transport, rent,
education and clothing also remained
constant. •
8 NEWS
Medical fees hike pushes up cost of living
Selected heavyweights again drove the
equities market forward as the Indus-
trials Index gained 0.41 points (or 0.23
percent) to close at 177.04 points.
In industrials, counters that traded in
the green outweighed those in the red
8 to 4. Giant telecoms Econet surged
up 0.13 cents to close at 68.15 cents,
while Afdis was 0.10 cents firmer at
32.10 cents. Meikles rose 0.50 cents to
settle at 18.50 cents, while conglom-
erate Innscor advanced 0.36 cents to
73.06 cents Cement producer PPC
inchedup0.20centstotradeat213.20
cents, with Padenga also trading pos-
itively, adding 0.15 cents to close at
8.30 cents, Dawn Properties went up
5.56 percent to trade at 0.95 cents. On
the downside, First Mutual slipped 0.50
cents to 6.50 cents. Turnall lost 0.25
cents to 1.75 cents and ART retreated
0.10 cents to trade at 0.30 cents.
Volumes remain subdued but were
improved from yesterday, closing at a
value of trades of $1.090 million. The
increase in volumes was driven by
trades in Delta, FBCH and TSL.
The Mining Index added to yesterday's
gains, trading 4.07 points higher (or
12.07 percent) to close at 37.79 points
following gains into counters. Riozim
added 4 cents to close at 19 cents,
while Bindura pushed up 0.28 cents
to settle at 2.50 cents. Falgold and
Hwange maintained previous trading
levels. — BH24 Reporter •
9 ZSE REVIEW
Heavyweights drive bourse momentum
The failure of Capital Bank, which
came full circle yesterday when the
bank approached the Reserve Bank
of Zimbabwe to voluntary relin-
quish it licence, should serve as an
important lesson to the National
Social Security Authority.
NSSA has become renowned for
making bad investment decisions,
but acquiring a controlling stake in
2012 in the troubled bank probably
tops them.
Indications from the market point
to the fact that NSSA's new acqui-
sition was always headed south-
wards.
The bank - renamed Capital Bank
from Renaissance Merchant Bank
(RMB) after waywardness of previ-
ous chairman Patterson Timba - is
said to have inherited a bad loan
book, with at least 95 percent of
the loan book non-performing, it is
believed.
NSSA also took a bank that inher-
ited an overestimated asset on its
balance sheet in the form of Afre
shares (now First Mutual Holdings
Ltd).
The question remains: why?
Does NSSA have the right internal
capacities to carry out due diligence
before investing pensioners' funds?
If no, why did they not engage
external players who are better
capacitated?
NSSA seems to be stuck on "buy",
even when there may be nothing
worth buying on the market.
And with NSSA having injected
around $50 million in a now-de-
funct financial entity, the ques-
tion on many a depositor and the
general public is: will the authority
recover those monies, which - in
all proper sense - belongs to other
parties?
The money NSSA has "lost" so far
amounts to a little more than just
$10 million too. The whole story of
NSSA in business has been one of
"wrong choices made at the wrong
time".
General estimations point in the
direction of the authority having
squandered over $100 million of
pensioners' money in bad invest-
ments after buying shares in strug-
gling companies.
Additionally, NSSA has been mak-
ing these "investments" at inflated
prices.
Some of these "investments" to
date include the $50 million injec-
tion into troubled Capital Bank,
$2,5 million invested in the now
defunct CFX Bank, $12 million
splashed on overpriced Starafrica
shares and $1,5 million into Afri-
com Continental.
It is also estimated that $45 mil-
lion, which was placed with Interfin,
is locked in the financial institution
which is under curatorship follow-
ing an alleged abuse of depositors'
funds and high levels of non-per-
forming insider loans amounting to
$60 million.
These are the well-publicised ones,
but could just be the tip of the ice-
berg.
NSSA needs to get its act together,
because ultimately, it is the ordi-
nary pensioner who suffers. •
10 BH24 COMMENT
Capital Bank should be a lesson learnt...for NSSA
After 17 years, the timing is finally on
Kenya’s side as the government read-
ies its first Eurobond sale, betting the
nation’sgrowthprospectsandresurgent
demand for emerging-market debt will
keep borrowing costs contained.
Investors may demand a yield of about
7percenttobuythesecurities,lessthan
the 7.48 percent yield on similarly rated
Zambianbonds,accordingtoRazaAgha
at VTB Capital Plc in London. Aly-Khan
Satchu at Rich Management Ltd. in Nai-
robi sees a range between 7.5 percent
and 8 percent, depending on whether
Kenya sells $2 billion or $1.5 billion.
“Wearestilllivingthroughanothersixto
nine months of an environment which
is very, very beneficial for issuers given
the high demand for emerging mar-
kets,” Yerlan Syzdykov, who helps over-
see the equivalent of about $5.4 billion
as head of emerging markets bond and
high yield at Pioneer Investments, said
in an interview in London yesterday. “A
lot of countries, especially in sub-Saha-
ranAfrica,willusethisasanopportunity
to tap the market.” East Africa’s largest
economic growth will probably acceler-
ate to 6.3 percent this year, from 5.6
percent in 2013, driven partly by tea
and cut flower exports, according to
International Monetary Fund estimates.
African dollar debt returned 8.3 percent
this year, with the average yield drop-
ping to a one-year low of 5.06 percent
last week, JPMorgan (JPM) Chase & Co.
indexes show. Gains have been fueled
by speculation central banks in Europe
and the U.S. will keep monetary policy
accommodative.
Record Sales Kenya first considered
selling Eurobonds in 1997, and would
be following a record year for Africa in
2013. That included a first-time offering
by Rwanda, and sales by Nigeria and
Ghana. Zambia, which shares Kenya’s
B1 rating at Moody’s Investors Ser-
vice, sold $1 billion of Eurobonds priced
to yield 8.6 percent in April. The rate
was 7.51 percent yesterday, up from
a record low of 7.35 percent two days
earlier. “Kenya is a stronger credit, so
it should price inside Zambia,” Agha,
VTB Capital’s chief economist for the
Middle East and Africa, said yesterday.
“I expect there to be good demand for
the issue.”
Barclays Plc, JPMorgan, Standard Bank
Group Ltd and QNB Capital were picked
to organize investor meetings in the
U.S. and Europe from today until June
15, a person familiar with the deal said
yesterday. A benchmark dollar bond
may follow, according to the person,
who asked not to be identified because
they’re not authorized to comment. —
Bloomberg •
11 REGIONAL News
Kenya Readies Debut Eurobond after 17-Year Wait: Africa Credit
12 DIARY OF EVENTS
The black arrow indicate level of load shedding across the country.
POWER GENERATION STATS
Gen Station
5 June 2014
Energy
(Megawatts)
Hwange 699 MW
Kariba 750 MW
Harare 46 MW
Munyati 18 MW
Bulawayo -- MW
Imports 105 MW
Total 1615 MW
5 June 2014 – Indigenisation
Policy Dialogue Place: SAPES
Seminar Room, 4 Deary Ave-
nue Belgravia, Harare, Time :
5pm-7pm
11 June - Rainbow Tourism
Group 15th Annual General
Meeting of the Shareholders,
Place: Jacaranda Rooms 2 and 3
at the Rainbow Towers Hotel and
Conference Centre, 1 Pennefather
Avenue, Harare, Time: 12:00
13 June 2014 - Securities and
Exchange Commission of
Zimbabwe 2nd Shareholders
Forum & Responsible Invest-
ing in Zimbabwe Conference
2014 Place : Cresta Lodge,
Harare, Time : 8am -2pm
26 June - Masimba Holdings
Limited Thirty-Ninth Annual
General Meeting of Mem-
bers for the period ended 31
December 2013, Place: 44 Til-
bury Road, Willowvale, Harare,
Zimbabwe, Time: 12:00
THE BH24 DIARY
BH24
14 zse
ZSE
Movers CHANGE Today Price USc SHAKERS Change TODAY Price USc
Riozim 26.67% 19.00 ART -25.00% 0.30
BNC 12.61% 2.50 Turnall -12.50% 1.75
Dawn Properties 5.56% 0.95 First Mutual -7.14% 6.50
Meikles 2.78% 18.50 ZPI -2.44% 0.80
Padenga 1.84% 8.30
Innscor 0.50% 73.06
AFDIS 0.31% 32.10
Econet 0.19% 68.15
PPC 0.09% 213.20
Indices
Index Previous Today Move Change
Industrial 173.46 174.06 +0.60 points +0.35%
Mining 29.39 33.89 +4.50 points +15.31%
Stocks Exchange
15 AFRICA StockS
Botswana 8,664.65 -11.96 -0.14% 12July
Cote dIvoire 246.37 +2.18 +0.89% 07Mar
Egypt 7,949.60 -75.68 -0.94% 06Mar
Ghana 2,324.35 +5.23 +0.23% 02June
Kenya 4,881.56 -13.57 -0.28% 30May
Malawi 12,662.47 +0.00 +0.00% 07Mar
Mauritius 2,074.51 -3.51 -0.17% 07Mar
Morocco 9,544.10 +21.01 +0.22% 07Mar
Nigeria 41,502.00 +27.60 +0.07% 02June
Rwanda 131.27 +0.00 +0.00% 24Oct
Tanzania 2,018.97 +25.40 +1.27% 07Mar
Tunisia 4,624.39 -39.32 -0.84% 07Mar
Uganda 1,503.90 +0.81 +0.05% 10Sep
Zambia 4,242.74 +14.95 +0.35% 10April
Zimbabwe 174.91 +0.02 +0.01% 02June
African stock round up Commodity Prices
Name Price
Crude Oil 1,300.91 -0.21%
Spot Gold USD/oz 1,292.63 -0.26%
Spot Silver USD/oz 19.38 -0.46%
Spot Platinum USD/oz 1,421.25 -0.33%
Spot Palladium USD/oz 798.50 -0.64%
LME Copper USD/t 6,770 -0.18%
LME Aluminium USD/t 1,780 -1.17%
LME Nickel USD/t 18,230 -1.73%
LME Lead USD/t 2,095 -1.41%
Quote of the day —"The merit in
action lies in finishing it
to the end." - Genghis Khan
Globalshareholder.com
Email to smartmoney@cbz.co.zw
or WhatsApp to 0783168249
CBZ SmartMoney is available on all
Mobile Networks and while roaming
www.cbz.co.zw
Buy your
ZESA prepaid
electricity using
CBZ SmartMoney
16 INTERNATIONAL NEWS
Gold holds near 4-month low as ECB move on rates awaited
Gold was little changed near a four-
month low on Thursday but faced a
risk of more losses if the European
Central Bank (ECB) meets expecta-
tions to cut rates, a move that could
strengthen the dollar and hurt bullion.
The ECB is poised to impose negative
interest rates on its overnight deposi-
tors at its Thursday meeting, seeking
to cajole banks into lending instead
and to prevent the euro zone falling
into Japan-like deflation.
A weaker euro and a stronger dollar
would make the dollar-denominated
gold more expensive for holders of
other currencies. Spot gold was flat at
$1,243.51 an ounce at 0642 GMT.
Themetalisclosetoitsfour-monthlow
of $1,240.61 hit earlier in the week.
"Technically, the trend for gold is very
clear. It is heading downwards and is
likely to test support level at $1,200,"
said Mark To, head of research at Hong
Kong's Wing Fung
Financial Group. "Financial markets are
quite bullish and investors are not risk
averse as they expect U.S. economic
data to be strong."
To noted that while an ECB move to cut
rates could theoretically support gold
as a monetary easing measure, tech-
nical momentum and a stronger dollar
could have a much bigger impact on
prices. The euro languished at four-
month lows early on Thursday, while
thedollarindexheldnearafour-month
peak hit earlier in the week.
Markets were also eyeing Friday's U.S.
nonfarm payrolls to gauge the strength
of the economy. A weak report could
burnish gold's safe-haven appeal.
In news on other precious met-
als, South Africa's AMCU union has
rejected a government wage increase
proposal aimed at ending a crippling
five-month strike by platinum miners,
the Business Day newspaper reported
on Thursday.
South Africa's new mining minis-
ter Ngoako Ramatlhodi had said on
Wednesday that he hoped to resolve
the strike this week. — Reuters •
By Frik Els
Labour negotiations at South Africa's
PGM mines are edging closer to a reso-
lutionastalksmediatedbyaministerial
task team continue.
July platinum softened for a fifth ses-
sion in a row on Wednesday to $1,433
an ounce and is down sharply from
the $1,493 level less than two weeks
ago over renewed hopes for an end to
the strike and tensions between Russia
and the Ukraine fading into the back-
ground.
South Africa and Russia combined
account for close to 80% of global sup-
ply of palladium and 70% of platinum
output which are mainly used to clean
emissions in automobiles.
Palladium has outperformed its sister
metal, with the price of June palladium
trading flat on Wednesday at $837 an
ounce,butnotfaroffathree-yearhigh.
Palladium hit a record price of $865 in
February 2011. More than 70,000
workers at the world's three largest
platinum and palladium producers,
Anglo American Platinum (LON:AAL),
Impala Platinumm (OTCMKTS:IMPUY)
and Lonmin (LON:LMI), have been on
strikesinceJanuary23.Newly-installed
Minister of Mineral Resources Ngoako
Ramatlhodi said the team hoped to
have a resolution by the end of the
week while leader of the militant Amcu
union Joseph Mathunjwa said the talks
"went well".
More meetings with both sides are
scheduled for Thursday. The latest
offer from mine management calls
for a monthly increase of R800 ($75)
a month every year for five years for
those at the bottom of the pay scale
and smaller hikes for those that earn
more. The R800 equates to 16% pay
increase for the first year for those
earning the minimum of some R4,500
($420) a month currently. Mathunjwa
described a previous similar offer as
simply a "repackaging".
The companies' have lost combined
revenue of R20.9 billion (some $1.9
billion) while striking workers have lost
almost $900 million in forfeited wages.
Roughly 10,000 ounces of platinum
production and 5,000 ounces of pal-
ladium are lost each day the strike
drags on. Even when strikers do return
to work it would take up to three
months to restart production. Despite
the recent softening, the strike and a
stand-off between the West and Russia
over Ukraine have pushed the plati-
num price up 4% this year, while the
palladium price has surged 16% this
year to three-year highs. A huge factor
boosting the palladium price has been
the launch of two new physical palla-
dium-backed exchange traded funds in
Johannesburg in late March.
Holdings in palladium-backed ETFs
rose to fresh record highs of more than
85 tonnes or over 3 million ounces
as at 30 May following the launch of
two physical palladium funds listed in
Johannesburg a few weeks after the
strike kicked off. Holdings in a platinum
ETFs are also at an all-time high.
Industry consultants Johnson Matthey
Plc said in recent report platinum con-
sumption will beat supply by 1.22 mil-
lion ounces while the palladium short-
fall will widen to 1.61 million ounces,
from 371,000 ounces last year and the
eighth year in a row of deficits. That
would constitute the largest market
deficits ever, based on Johnson Mat-
they data going back to 1975 for plati-
numand1980forpalladium.-Mining.
com •
17 Analysis
Platinum price correction underway as strike deal edges closer

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High wages driving away investors?

  • 1. News Update as @ 1530 hours, Thursday 5 June 2014 Feedback: bh24admin@zimpapers.co.zwEmail: bh24feedback@zimpapers.co.zw By Tawanda Musarurwa Prevailing high wages have an effect of pushingawaypotentialinvestorsinlabour intensive industries, a labour expert has said. Industrial Psychology Consultants (Pvt) Ltd managing consultant Memory Nguwi said the effect of compelling companies to pay Poverty Datum Line (PDL)-linked wages had the detrimental effect of mak- ingZimbabweanunattractiveinvestment destination. He said the move to link wages to PDL at a time when national income was per- formingbelowparwas'unprecedented'. "A high wage economy militates against those investors who are targeting labour intensiveindustries.Whereinvestorshave no option they normally resort to auto- mation to reduce the impact of wages. Where they have options they move to lower wage economies where they can produce competitively. "In developing countries people aspire for PDL linked wagesbutit’snotpracticalconsideringthe levels of productivity. The Government’s move to pay minimum wages linked PDL whenGovernmentrevenueisdwindlingis an experiment never seen anywhere in a normalworld." The country's National Employment Councils (NECs) have been pushing firms to adjust wages to the PDL, which is around$550forafamilyofsix. But industry says this is unrealistic in view of depressed capacity which cur- rently stands at 39,6 percent. Cooking oil producer Surface Investments chair- man Narottam Somani recently said his company cannot afford PDL-adjusted salaries. "Workers demands US$600 per month, while the company cannot even pay US$300, and still we are pushed to negotiate. "Let us not expect the country to afford to pay the highest salaries in Southern Africa. We are now dealing in USdollars,"hesaid. However, Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe senior division chief (economic research and policy enhancement) Simon Nyarota told industrialists at a Confederation of Zimbabwe Industries event that it is a misconception to use the PDL for a fam- ily six when negotiating for a minimum wage. He said it would be appropriate to use the PDL for a single individual which is calculated by the Zimbabwe National Statistical Agency at around $150. Zim- babwe's labour market environment is borne out in the level of companies that haveembarkedondown-sizingexercises. OfficialfiguresfromtheMinistryofLabour and Social Services indicate that 2 376 workers lost their jobs in 2013 after 165 companies embarked on staff rationalisa- tionprogrammes. The numbers show that although retrenches went down to 2 376 in 2013 from 4 007 in 2012, the number of companies downsizing maintained an upward trend. Last year 165 compa- nies retrenched their workers compared to 147 companies which retrenched in 2012,asviabilitychallengespersisted. • High wages driving away investors
  • 2. 2 NEWS BH24 Reporter Capital Bank has sunk under financial insolvency, voluntarily relinquishing its licence just a few weeks before all banks were supposed to submit their comprehensiverecapitalisationplansto the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe. In a statement yesterday the central bank's Registrar of Banking Institutions said it had cancelled Capital Bank’s licencefollowingarequestbythebank- ing institution. "The Registrar is satisfied with the rea- sons for the request and that the can- cellation will be in the best interests of the Capital Bank's creditors, depositors and members. "The bank has been operating in an unsafe and unsound financial condition characterised by critical under capitali- sation, persistent losses, chronic liquid- itychallengesandinordinatelyhighlev- els of non-performing loans," said RBZ. The cancellation comes just four weeks before all banks were supposed to present their comprehensive recapital- isation plans to the banking regulator. In January, then acting RBZ governor Charity Dhliwayo announced (in her Monetary Policy Statement) an exten- sion of the deadline for banking insti- tutions to comply with the $100 million minimum capital thresholds to Decem- ber 2020. But she said all banks were now required to submit "comprehensive recapitalisation plans" by June 30, 2014. "Capital requirements remain at cur- rent levels of US$25 million for com- mercial banks, US$25 million for Mer- chant Banks, US$20 million of Building Societies, US$15 million for discount and finance houses and US$5 million for microfinance banks. Nevertheless, compliance with Cabinet approved levels have now been moved to 31 December 2020. "In this regard, all banking institutions are required to submit to Reserve Bank, comprehensive recapitalisation plans to meet the new deadline, by 30 June, 2014," she said. The closure of Capital Bank also appears to mark the end of its fraught relationship with majority shareholder, National Social Security Authority (NSSA), which began in January 2012 when the authority acquired Renais- sance Merchant Bank (RMB) (now Capital Bank) and controlling stake in Afre Corporation (First Mutual Ltd). "While the institution is undercapital- ised, the major shareholder, National Social Security Authority, is no longer willing to inject additional capital into the bank," reads the statement by the RBZ. NSSA has always been unwilling to inject capital into the bank, leaving it to suffer liquidity challenges. • Capital Bank capitulates ahead of banks recapitalisation plans deadline
  • 4. By Rumbidzai Zinyuke ListedagriculturalconcernAristonHold- ings Limited recorded a reduced profit after tax for the half year ended March 31 2014 on the back of increased bor- rowings to finance plant rehabilitation programmes. In a statement accompanying the group’s financial results, finance direc- tor Martin Dzviti said finance costs increased by 48 percent to $1 million as borrowings rose to $14,1 million as a result of the upgrades at the group’s factories. Profit for the year stood at $984 353 down from $2 million in March 2013. The group’s revenues were up 29 percent to $8,61 million from $6,6 million in the prior period while profit before tax and interest was $2,34 million after a fair value adjust- ment of $5 million. Dzviti said Clare- mont estates’ turnover increased by 12 percent in the review period to $0,849 millioncontributing10percenttogroup turnover. Kent estate recorded a turnover of $0,63 million which was an increase of 98 percent over the prior year con- tributing 7 percent of group turnover while Southdown reported a turnover of $4,1million. This represents 48 per- cent of the group’s turnover. Favco’s turnover was $3 million contributing 35 percent to group turnover. Dzviti said macadamia harvest had been slightly delayed by the persistent rains although production was in line with last year. However, tea production was 40 percent up from the same period last year due to good weather condi- tions. “This trend is likely to continue into the second half of the year and we expect to exceed forecast production for the season,” he added. He said investment in the tea factory upgrades last year had improved tea quality but global tea prices are sig- nificantly lower than last year mak- ing export tea prices marginal. In the period under review, tea sales were 14 percent lower than last year with sales are expected to increase in the second half of this year. “With half the export teas still to sell, we expect a modest recovery in inter- national tea prices in the second half of the year. Traditionally, winter accounts for the bulk of blended tea sales,” Dzviti said.Stonefruitsyieldsandpriceswere in line with forecast and potato produc- tion is four times last season. Going forward, Dzviti said the group would strive to maximize on the underuti- lized capacity in factories as well as the rehabilitated ones. • 4 NEWS Borrowings weigh down Ariston Holdings
  • 5. BH24 Reporter Mthuli Ncube's hopes of landing the presidency of the African Development Bank (AfDB) have been dashed follow- ing an announcement by the South African government that it will not nominate anyone for the post. Native Zimbabwean and current chief economist of the AfDB, Ncube was lobbying to head the regional financier in view of the impending departure of current president Donald Kabe- ruka next year. But the South African Finance Ministry yesterday said it had takenadecisionnottonominateacan- didate for the presidency of the AfDB, effectively ending Ncube's prospects. "The process of selecting a candidate within the Southern African Develop- ment Community (SADC) is currently under way and South Africa will act in accordance with the collective decision of the region," said the ministry in a statement.. The current president, Kaberuka, is currently serving his second five-year term. He was first elected in 2005, becoming the seventh president of the Bank Group since its establishment in 1963. Members of the AfDB will elect a new president in May 2015. • 5 NEWS South Africa ends Mthuli Ncube's AfDB hopes Guzha gets regional Unilever post By Rumbidzai Zinyuke Unilever Zimbabwe managing director Nancy Guzha has been appointed vice president of Unilever Southern Africa. The appointment is a huge feat for the first female MD Unilever Zimbabwe has ever had and makes her one of the few female executives at the helm of the household products manufacturing giant. Guzha has been managing director of Unilever Zimbabwe for almost three years and has pushed the company to regain its position as the most sought after brand. She was recruited by Unilever straight after graduating from Reading Univer- sity in the United Kingdom in 1997 as management trainee in finance and eventually changed to marketing. She left to join Cairns Holdings Limited after three years but came back to Unilever in 2001. She joined the Unilever office in Dur- ban as brand development manager responsible for Lifebuoy and Vaseline in 2003. In 2004 she came back to Zimbabwe as marketing director but left again to joinInnscor Africaindistributionwhere she worked for 18 months. She finally came back as managing director in 2011, a position she has held to date. Unilever has been in Zimbabwe since 1943 and manufactures products such as Geisha, Royco Usavi Mix, Sunlight washing powder and Key bar. • Mr. Ncube
  • 6. Global food prices fell in May for the second consecutive month as lower dairy, cereal and vegetable oil prices counteracted rising sugar and firm meat prices, the United Nations Food Agency said on Thursday. The Food and Agriculture Organisa- tion's (FAO) price index, which meas- ures monthly price changes for a bas- ketofcereals,oilseeds,dairy,meatand sugar, averaged 207.9 points in May. This was a fall of 2.5 points or 1.2 per- cent from April, when food prices fell led by a sharp drop in dairy prices due to reduced buying in China and Russia and an extended season in New Zea- land that boosted stocks. Dairy prices continued to fall in May, by 12 points from the previous month. FAO's cereal price index was lower at 204.4points,a2.4pointdecreasefrom the previous month. The agency raised its world cereal production forecast for nearly 2.48 billion tonnes, almost 1 percent higher than it reported the month before. This would be 1.4 percent lower than 2013's record world output but would still be the second largest production ever. FAO forecast world cereals stocks at the end of crop seasons in 2015 to be 576 million tonnes, an increase of almost 10 million tonnes from last month's forecast. Worldwheatproductionwasforecastat nearly 703 million tonnes in 2014, 12.6 milliontonnesbelow2013'srecordhar- vest. Wheat prices, which had contributed to price rises in recent months partly due to fears of disrupted trade flows from Ukraine, fell as shipping patterns from the country remained regular and weather conditions improved, FAO said. — Reuters • AGRICULTURE6 World food prices drop in May for second consecutive month
  • 8. By Rumbidzai Zinyuke The recent hike in consultation fees for doctors by Government has put a dent on the pockets of consumers as it has increased their health bill and subse- quently the cost of living. According to the Consumer Council of Zimbabwe, the cost of living went up by 5,1 percent at the end of May from US$559,42 in April to US$587,97. The $28,55 increase was attributed to the increase in medical consultation fees. Last month, consultation fees for general practitioners were increased from $20 to $35 while consultations at general practitioners’ rooms would now be charged at $30. Initial consultations at physicians and or pediatricians are now pegged at $100 while subsequent visits were set at $70. The consumer body said the health basket had gone up from $20 a month to $55 as a result. The food basket however decreased by $2,61 from US$151,35 in April to $148,74 by the end of May as a result of supermarket promotions on most products and the ongoing OK Grand Challenge promo- tion. The price of detergents increased by 12,79 percent from $9,07 to $10,23 as the price of laundry bars went up. Increases in prices were recorded in tomatoes which went up by 27c from $0,80 to $1,07. Sugar went up by 10c from $1,75 to $1,85 while cooking oil slightly increased from $1,65 to $1,67. The prices of laundry bars increased by 23c from $0,96 to $1,19, washing powder by 8c from 81c to 89c and salt by 3c from 20c to 23c. Prices for beef and tea leaves declined from $4,40 to $4,10 per kilogramme and $1,87 to $1,85 respectively. Onions went down by 53c from $1,60 to $1,07 and flour by 2c from $1,89 to $1,87. The prices of the other basic commod- ities which include fuel, margarine, mealie meal, fresh milk, bread, rice and bath soap remained unchanged from the April figures. The cost of water and electricity transport, rent, education and clothing also remained constant. • 8 NEWS Medical fees hike pushes up cost of living
  • 9. Selected heavyweights again drove the equities market forward as the Indus- trials Index gained 0.41 points (or 0.23 percent) to close at 177.04 points. In industrials, counters that traded in the green outweighed those in the red 8 to 4. Giant telecoms Econet surged up 0.13 cents to close at 68.15 cents, while Afdis was 0.10 cents firmer at 32.10 cents. Meikles rose 0.50 cents to settle at 18.50 cents, while conglom- erate Innscor advanced 0.36 cents to 73.06 cents Cement producer PPC inchedup0.20centstotradeat213.20 cents, with Padenga also trading pos- itively, adding 0.15 cents to close at 8.30 cents, Dawn Properties went up 5.56 percent to trade at 0.95 cents. On the downside, First Mutual slipped 0.50 cents to 6.50 cents. Turnall lost 0.25 cents to 1.75 cents and ART retreated 0.10 cents to trade at 0.30 cents. Volumes remain subdued but were improved from yesterday, closing at a value of trades of $1.090 million. The increase in volumes was driven by trades in Delta, FBCH and TSL. The Mining Index added to yesterday's gains, trading 4.07 points higher (or 12.07 percent) to close at 37.79 points following gains into counters. Riozim added 4 cents to close at 19 cents, while Bindura pushed up 0.28 cents to settle at 2.50 cents. Falgold and Hwange maintained previous trading levels. — BH24 Reporter • 9 ZSE REVIEW Heavyweights drive bourse momentum
  • 10. The failure of Capital Bank, which came full circle yesterday when the bank approached the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe to voluntary relin- quish it licence, should serve as an important lesson to the National Social Security Authority. NSSA has become renowned for making bad investment decisions, but acquiring a controlling stake in 2012 in the troubled bank probably tops them. Indications from the market point to the fact that NSSA's new acqui- sition was always headed south- wards. The bank - renamed Capital Bank from Renaissance Merchant Bank (RMB) after waywardness of previ- ous chairman Patterson Timba - is said to have inherited a bad loan book, with at least 95 percent of the loan book non-performing, it is believed. NSSA also took a bank that inher- ited an overestimated asset on its balance sheet in the form of Afre shares (now First Mutual Holdings Ltd). The question remains: why? Does NSSA have the right internal capacities to carry out due diligence before investing pensioners' funds? If no, why did they not engage external players who are better capacitated? NSSA seems to be stuck on "buy", even when there may be nothing worth buying on the market. And with NSSA having injected around $50 million in a now-de- funct financial entity, the ques- tion on many a depositor and the general public is: will the authority recover those monies, which - in all proper sense - belongs to other parties? The money NSSA has "lost" so far amounts to a little more than just $10 million too. The whole story of NSSA in business has been one of "wrong choices made at the wrong time". General estimations point in the direction of the authority having squandered over $100 million of pensioners' money in bad invest- ments after buying shares in strug- gling companies. Additionally, NSSA has been mak- ing these "investments" at inflated prices. Some of these "investments" to date include the $50 million injec- tion into troubled Capital Bank, $2,5 million invested in the now defunct CFX Bank, $12 million splashed on overpriced Starafrica shares and $1,5 million into Afri- com Continental. It is also estimated that $45 mil- lion, which was placed with Interfin, is locked in the financial institution which is under curatorship follow- ing an alleged abuse of depositors' funds and high levels of non-per- forming insider loans amounting to $60 million. These are the well-publicised ones, but could just be the tip of the ice- berg. NSSA needs to get its act together, because ultimately, it is the ordi- nary pensioner who suffers. • 10 BH24 COMMENT Capital Bank should be a lesson learnt...for NSSA
  • 11. After 17 years, the timing is finally on Kenya’s side as the government read- ies its first Eurobond sale, betting the nation’sgrowthprospectsandresurgent demand for emerging-market debt will keep borrowing costs contained. Investors may demand a yield of about 7percenttobuythesecurities,lessthan the 7.48 percent yield on similarly rated Zambianbonds,accordingtoRazaAgha at VTB Capital Plc in London. Aly-Khan Satchu at Rich Management Ltd. in Nai- robi sees a range between 7.5 percent and 8 percent, depending on whether Kenya sells $2 billion or $1.5 billion. “Wearestilllivingthroughanothersixto nine months of an environment which is very, very beneficial for issuers given the high demand for emerging mar- kets,” Yerlan Syzdykov, who helps over- see the equivalent of about $5.4 billion as head of emerging markets bond and high yield at Pioneer Investments, said in an interview in London yesterday. “A lot of countries, especially in sub-Saha- ranAfrica,willusethisasanopportunity to tap the market.” East Africa’s largest economic growth will probably acceler- ate to 6.3 percent this year, from 5.6 percent in 2013, driven partly by tea and cut flower exports, according to International Monetary Fund estimates. African dollar debt returned 8.3 percent this year, with the average yield drop- ping to a one-year low of 5.06 percent last week, JPMorgan (JPM) Chase & Co. indexes show. Gains have been fueled by speculation central banks in Europe and the U.S. will keep monetary policy accommodative. Record Sales Kenya first considered selling Eurobonds in 1997, and would be following a record year for Africa in 2013. That included a first-time offering by Rwanda, and sales by Nigeria and Ghana. Zambia, which shares Kenya’s B1 rating at Moody’s Investors Ser- vice, sold $1 billion of Eurobonds priced to yield 8.6 percent in April. The rate was 7.51 percent yesterday, up from a record low of 7.35 percent two days earlier. “Kenya is a stronger credit, so it should price inside Zambia,” Agha, VTB Capital’s chief economist for the Middle East and Africa, said yesterday. “I expect there to be good demand for the issue.” Barclays Plc, JPMorgan, Standard Bank Group Ltd and QNB Capital were picked to organize investor meetings in the U.S. and Europe from today until June 15, a person familiar with the deal said yesterday. A benchmark dollar bond may follow, according to the person, who asked not to be identified because they’re not authorized to comment. — Bloomberg • 11 REGIONAL News Kenya Readies Debut Eurobond after 17-Year Wait: Africa Credit
  • 12. 12 DIARY OF EVENTS The black arrow indicate level of load shedding across the country. POWER GENERATION STATS Gen Station 5 June 2014 Energy (Megawatts) Hwange 699 MW Kariba 750 MW Harare 46 MW Munyati 18 MW Bulawayo -- MW Imports 105 MW Total 1615 MW 5 June 2014 – Indigenisation Policy Dialogue Place: SAPES Seminar Room, 4 Deary Ave- nue Belgravia, Harare, Time : 5pm-7pm 11 June - Rainbow Tourism Group 15th Annual General Meeting of the Shareholders, Place: Jacaranda Rooms 2 and 3 at the Rainbow Towers Hotel and Conference Centre, 1 Pennefather Avenue, Harare, Time: 12:00 13 June 2014 - Securities and Exchange Commission of Zimbabwe 2nd Shareholders Forum & Responsible Invest- ing in Zimbabwe Conference 2014 Place : Cresta Lodge, Harare, Time : 8am -2pm 26 June - Masimba Holdings Limited Thirty-Ninth Annual General Meeting of Mem- bers for the period ended 31 December 2013, Place: 44 Til- bury Road, Willowvale, Harare, Zimbabwe, Time: 12:00 THE BH24 DIARY
  • 13. BH24
  • 14. 14 zse ZSE Movers CHANGE Today Price USc SHAKERS Change TODAY Price USc Riozim 26.67% 19.00 ART -25.00% 0.30 BNC 12.61% 2.50 Turnall -12.50% 1.75 Dawn Properties 5.56% 0.95 First Mutual -7.14% 6.50 Meikles 2.78% 18.50 ZPI -2.44% 0.80 Padenga 1.84% 8.30 Innscor 0.50% 73.06 AFDIS 0.31% 32.10 Econet 0.19% 68.15 PPC 0.09% 213.20 Indices Index Previous Today Move Change Industrial 173.46 174.06 +0.60 points +0.35% Mining 29.39 33.89 +4.50 points +15.31% Stocks Exchange
  • 15. 15 AFRICA StockS Botswana 8,664.65 -11.96 -0.14% 12July Cote dIvoire 246.37 +2.18 +0.89% 07Mar Egypt 7,949.60 -75.68 -0.94% 06Mar Ghana 2,324.35 +5.23 +0.23% 02June Kenya 4,881.56 -13.57 -0.28% 30May Malawi 12,662.47 +0.00 +0.00% 07Mar Mauritius 2,074.51 -3.51 -0.17% 07Mar Morocco 9,544.10 +21.01 +0.22% 07Mar Nigeria 41,502.00 +27.60 +0.07% 02June Rwanda 131.27 +0.00 +0.00% 24Oct Tanzania 2,018.97 +25.40 +1.27% 07Mar Tunisia 4,624.39 -39.32 -0.84% 07Mar Uganda 1,503.90 +0.81 +0.05% 10Sep Zambia 4,242.74 +14.95 +0.35% 10April Zimbabwe 174.91 +0.02 +0.01% 02June African stock round up Commodity Prices Name Price Crude Oil 1,300.91 -0.21% Spot Gold USD/oz 1,292.63 -0.26% Spot Silver USD/oz 19.38 -0.46% Spot Platinum USD/oz 1,421.25 -0.33% Spot Palladium USD/oz 798.50 -0.64% LME Copper USD/t 6,770 -0.18% LME Aluminium USD/t 1,780 -1.17% LME Nickel USD/t 18,230 -1.73% LME Lead USD/t 2,095 -1.41% Quote of the day —"The merit in action lies in finishing it to the end." - Genghis Khan Globalshareholder.com Email to smartmoney@cbz.co.zw or WhatsApp to 0783168249 CBZ SmartMoney is available on all Mobile Networks and while roaming www.cbz.co.zw Buy your ZESA prepaid electricity using CBZ SmartMoney
  • 16. 16 INTERNATIONAL NEWS Gold holds near 4-month low as ECB move on rates awaited Gold was little changed near a four- month low on Thursday but faced a risk of more losses if the European Central Bank (ECB) meets expecta- tions to cut rates, a move that could strengthen the dollar and hurt bullion. The ECB is poised to impose negative interest rates on its overnight deposi- tors at its Thursday meeting, seeking to cajole banks into lending instead and to prevent the euro zone falling into Japan-like deflation. A weaker euro and a stronger dollar would make the dollar-denominated gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Spot gold was flat at $1,243.51 an ounce at 0642 GMT. Themetalisclosetoitsfour-monthlow of $1,240.61 hit earlier in the week. "Technically, the trend for gold is very clear. It is heading downwards and is likely to test support level at $1,200," said Mark To, head of research at Hong Kong's Wing Fung Financial Group. "Financial markets are quite bullish and investors are not risk averse as they expect U.S. economic data to be strong." To noted that while an ECB move to cut rates could theoretically support gold as a monetary easing measure, tech- nical momentum and a stronger dollar could have a much bigger impact on prices. The euro languished at four- month lows early on Thursday, while thedollarindexheldnearafour-month peak hit earlier in the week. Markets were also eyeing Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls to gauge the strength of the economy. A weak report could burnish gold's safe-haven appeal. In news on other precious met- als, South Africa's AMCU union has rejected a government wage increase proposal aimed at ending a crippling five-month strike by platinum miners, the Business Day newspaper reported on Thursday. South Africa's new mining minis- ter Ngoako Ramatlhodi had said on Wednesday that he hoped to resolve the strike this week. — Reuters •
  • 17. By Frik Els Labour negotiations at South Africa's PGM mines are edging closer to a reso- lutionastalksmediatedbyaministerial task team continue. July platinum softened for a fifth ses- sion in a row on Wednesday to $1,433 an ounce and is down sharply from the $1,493 level less than two weeks ago over renewed hopes for an end to the strike and tensions between Russia and the Ukraine fading into the back- ground. South Africa and Russia combined account for close to 80% of global sup- ply of palladium and 70% of platinum output which are mainly used to clean emissions in automobiles. Palladium has outperformed its sister metal, with the price of June palladium trading flat on Wednesday at $837 an ounce,butnotfaroffathree-yearhigh. Palladium hit a record price of $865 in February 2011. More than 70,000 workers at the world's three largest platinum and palladium producers, Anglo American Platinum (LON:AAL), Impala Platinumm (OTCMKTS:IMPUY) and Lonmin (LON:LMI), have been on strikesinceJanuary23.Newly-installed Minister of Mineral Resources Ngoako Ramatlhodi said the team hoped to have a resolution by the end of the week while leader of the militant Amcu union Joseph Mathunjwa said the talks "went well". More meetings with both sides are scheduled for Thursday. The latest offer from mine management calls for a monthly increase of R800 ($75) a month every year for five years for those at the bottom of the pay scale and smaller hikes for those that earn more. The R800 equates to 16% pay increase for the first year for those earning the minimum of some R4,500 ($420) a month currently. Mathunjwa described a previous similar offer as simply a "repackaging". The companies' have lost combined revenue of R20.9 billion (some $1.9 billion) while striking workers have lost almost $900 million in forfeited wages. Roughly 10,000 ounces of platinum production and 5,000 ounces of pal- ladium are lost each day the strike drags on. Even when strikers do return to work it would take up to three months to restart production. Despite the recent softening, the strike and a stand-off between the West and Russia over Ukraine have pushed the plati- num price up 4% this year, while the palladium price has surged 16% this year to three-year highs. A huge factor boosting the palladium price has been the launch of two new physical palla- dium-backed exchange traded funds in Johannesburg in late March. Holdings in palladium-backed ETFs rose to fresh record highs of more than 85 tonnes or over 3 million ounces as at 30 May following the launch of two physical palladium funds listed in Johannesburg a few weeks after the strike kicked off. Holdings in a platinum ETFs are also at an all-time high. Industry consultants Johnson Matthey Plc said in recent report platinum con- sumption will beat supply by 1.22 mil- lion ounces while the palladium short- fall will widen to 1.61 million ounces, from 371,000 ounces last year and the eighth year in a row of deficits. That would constitute the largest market deficits ever, based on Johnson Mat- they data going back to 1975 for plati- numand1980forpalladium.-Mining. com • 17 Analysis Platinum price correction underway as strike deal edges closer