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SPEAKER: Adriaan Bos
DATE: 20 / 09 / 2018
2
DATA in CONTROL
AGENDA
Basic-Fit
Business Control
Financial Forecasting
Our Solution
BASIC-FIT
100
200
300
400
500
600
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Basic-Fit HealthCity (separate entity as of 2013)
521
HISTORY OF BASIC-FIT
4
A long track record of growth in the fitness space
# of clubs
2016
IPO
listing on
Amsterdam
1984
Our team started
Mid-market brand
2013
Separation
Basic-Fit and
HealthCity and majority
investment
2017
102 club openings making
Basic-Fit Europe’s largest
and fastest growing
fitness chain
2010
Acquisition of
28 low-cost format clubs
5
Reaching 5 million people by 2025
GETTING PEOPLE ACTIVE IN AND OUTSIDE THE CLUB
Basic-Fit App
Central
Communication hub
Kiosk
 Quick & smooth registration
 Get pass and start exercising within
5–10 minutes
SIGN-UP
Online Registration Stadium Gate
 Secure & controlled entry
 Only paying pass holders can enter
 Track visit statistics
ENTER CLUB
Online GX Reservation and My Basic-Fit
 Reserves group exercise sessions for
the convenient location and time
 Online profile management via My
Basic-Fit
PLAN YOUR SESSIONS
INTERACTIVE TECH-ENABLED MEMBER EXPERIENCE
Basic-Fit App
 Create exercise programme plans
 Tailored nutrition advice
STAY ENGAGED OUTSIDE THE BOX
Virtual Group Lessons
 Group exercises with a virtual
instructor in a dedicated studio area
FOLLOW THE PROS
Virtual Coach
 Virtual instructor with a wide library of
exercises on the main club floor
GET EXERCISE INSTRUCTIONS
6
Technology enhances the customer experience whilst keeping costs low
Age distribution Other demographics Fitness PenetrationInhabitants
7
Competitors Market shareCompetitor Analysis Members
Drive Time Analysis
Detailed analysis remains fundamental to our competitiveness
DATA DRIVEN SITE SELECTION
BUSINESS CONTROL
BUSINESS CONTROL
9
It’s all about the numbers!
DATA ANALYTICS
10
It’s all about the Data!
!
BUSINESS CONTROL & ANALYTICS
11
Value
generation
Shared
Understanding
!
DATA ANALYTICS BUSINESS CONTROL
FINANCIAL FORECASTING
13
14
REVENUE FORECAST
15
How to build up your revenue forecast
Revenue
2014 2015 2016 2017
60 55 65 70
3.000 2.750 3.250 3.500
20 20 20 20
Members
Yield
2018 2019 2020 2021
? ? ? ?
3.600 3.700 3.800 3,900
20 20 20 20
ACTUALS FORECAST
REVENUE FORECAST
16
P*Q modelling
Revenue
2014 2015 2016 2017
60 55 65 70
3.000 2.750 3.250 3.500
20 20 20 20
Members
Yield
2018 2019 2020 2021
72 74 76 78
3.600 3.700 3.800 3,900
20 20 20 20
ACTUALS FORECAST
P
Q
MULTIPLE LAYERS OF COMPLEXITY
17
J F M A M J J A S O N D
SEASONAL PATTERN
New year's resolutions
Back to work/ school
MEMBERSHIP TYPES
INGROWTH PATTERN
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
33
160
167
152
9
SCALE
18
FINANCIAL FORECAST VS MACHINE LEARNING
19
Is it different?
A financial forecast is an estimate of future financial outcomes for a company. Using historical internal
accounting and sales data, in addition to external market and economic indicators, a financial forecast is an
economist's best guess of what will happen to a company in financial terms over a given time period—which is
usually one year.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_forecast
Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from data mining, predictive modelling,
and machine learning, that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future or otherwise
unknown events.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics
FINANCIAL FORECAST VS MACHINE LEARNING
20
Is it different?
A financial forecast is an estimate of future financial outcomes for a company. Using historical internal
accounting and sales data, in addition to external market and economic indicators, a financial forecast is an
economist's best guess of what will happen to a company in financial terms over a given time period—which is
usually one year.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_forecast
Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from data mining, predictive modelling,
and machine learning, that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future or otherwise
unknown events.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics
FINANCIAL FORECAST VS MACHINE LEARNING
21
Is it different?
A financial forecast is an estimate of future financial outcomes for a company. Using historical internal
accounting and sales data, in addition to external market and economic indicators, a financial forecast is an
economist's best guess of what will happen to a company in financial terms over a given time period—which is
usually one year.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_forecast
Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from data mining, predictive modelling,
and machine learning, that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future or otherwise
unknown events.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics
FINANCIAL FORECAST
22
The purpose is twofold
Prediction Performance Management
EXAMPLE: CHURN
23
The purpose is twofold
Prediction
+ Initiatives
SOLUTION
FINANCIAL PLANNER
25
Requirements
Improve Business
Involvement
Increase
Validation
Reduce
Risk
!
Improve
Focus &
Commitment
In house
Development
Support
the Process
Fast
(relative) easy
to change
Business Logic
26
Initial Forecast Validation, Business Input
& Review
Financial Accounting &
Reporting
FORECAST PROCESS
FINANCIAL PLANNER
27
Requirements
FINANCIAL PLANNER
28
Requirements
FINANCIAL PLANNER
29
Requirements
DO YOU FEEL BASIC-FIT?
• Lead BI Developer / Data architect
Join the data driven team!
30
Sr. BI Developer
Data Analyst
Power BI Developer
Lead Performance (Marketing)
WFM Forecast Capacity (Customer Care)
jobs.basic-fit.com
ADRIAAN BOS
Manager Business Control & Analytics
Adriaan.bos@basic-fit.com
www.linkedin.com/in/adriaanbos/

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Basic fit - Hoe zet je (Big) data analytics in voor meer business betrokkenheid in het (financial) forecast proces?

  • 1. SPEAKER: Adriaan Bos DATE: 20 / 09 / 2018
  • 2. 2 DATA in CONTROL AGENDA Basic-Fit Business Control Financial Forecasting Our Solution
  • 4. 100 200 300 400 500 600 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Basic-Fit HealthCity (separate entity as of 2013) 521 HISTORY OF BASIC-FIT 4 A long track record of growth in the fitness space # of clubs 2016 IPO listing on Amsterdam 1984 Our team started Mid-market brand 2013 Separation Basic-Fit and HealthCity and majority investment 2017 102 club openings making Basic-Fit Europe’s largest and fastest growing fitness chain 2010 Acquisition of 28 low-cost format clubs
  • 5. 5 Reaching 5 million people by 2025 GETTING PEOPLE ACTIVE IN AND OUTSIDE THE CLUB Basic-Fit App Central Communication hub
  • 6. Kiosk  Quick & smooth registration  Get pass and start exercising within 5–10 minutes SIGN-UP Online Registration Stadium Gate  Secure & controlled entry  Only paying pass holders can enter  Track visit statistics ENTER CLUB Online GX Reservation and My Basic-Fit  Reserves group exercise sessions for the convenient location and time  Online profile management via My Basic-Fit PLAN YOUR SESSIONS INTERACTIVE TECH-ENABLED MEMBER EXPERIENCE Basic-Fit App  Create exercise programme plans  Tailored nutrition advice STAY ENGAGED OUTSIDE THE BOX Virtual Group Lessons  Group exercises with a virtual instructor in a dedicated studio area FOLLOW THE PROS Virtual Coach  Virtual instructor with a wide library of exercises on the main club floor GET EXERCISE INSTRUCTIONS 6 Technology enhances the customer experience whilst keeping costs low
  • 7. Age distribution Other demographics Fitness PenetrationInhabitants 7 Competitors Market shareCompetitor Analysis Members Drive Time Analysis Detailed analysis remains fundamental to our competitiveness DATA DRIVEN SITE SELECTION
  • 9. BUSINESS CONTROL 9 It’s all about the numbers!
  • 10. DATA ANALYTICS 10 It’s all about the Data! !
  • 11. BUSINESS CONTROL & ANALYTICS 11 Value generation Shared Understanding ! DATA ANALYTICS BUSINESS CONTROL
  • 13. 13
  • 14. 14
  • 15. REVENUE FORECAST 15 How to build up your revenue forecast Revenue 2014 2015 2016 2017 60 55 65 70 3.000 2.750 3.250 3.500 20 20 20 20 Members Yield 2018 2019 2020 2021 ? ? ? ? 3.600 3.700 3.800 3,900 20 20 20 20 ACTUALS FORECAST
  • 16. REVENUE FORECAST 16 P*Q modelling Revenue 2014 2015 2016 2017 60 55 65 70 3.000 2.750 3.250 3.500 20 20 20 20 Members Yield 2018 2019 2020 2021 72 74 76 78 3.600 3.700 3.800 3,900 20 20 20 20 ACTUALS FORECAST P Q
  • 17. MULTIPLE LAYERS OF COMPLEXITY 17 J F M A M J J A S O N D SEASONAL PATTERN New year's resolutions Back to work/ school MEMBERSHIP TYPES INGROWTH PATTERN 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 33 160 167 152 9 SCALE
  • 18. 18
  • 19. FINANCIAL FORECAST VS MACHINE LEARNING 19 Is it different? A financial forecast is an estimate of future financial outcomes for a company. Using historical internal accounting and sales data, in addition to external market and economic indicators, a financial forecast is an economist's best guess of what will happen to a company in financial terms over a given time period—which is usually one year. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_forecast Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from data mining, predictive modelling, and machine learning, that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future or otherwise unknown events. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics
  • 20. FINANCIAL FORECAST VS MACHINE LEARNING 20 Is it different? A financial forecast is an estimate of future financial outcomes for a company. Using historical internal accounting and sales data, in addition to external market and economic indicators, a financial forecast is an economist's best guess of what will happen to a company in financial terms over a given time period—which is usually one year. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_forecast Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from data mining, predictive modelling, and machine learning, that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future or otherwise unknown events. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics
  • 21. FINANCIAL FORECAST VS MACHINE LEARNING 21 Is it different? A financial forecast is an estimate of future financial outcomes for a company. Using historical internal accounting and sales data, in addition to external market and economic indicators, a financial forecast is an economist's best guess of what will happen to a company in financial terms over a given time period—which is usually one year. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_forecast Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from data mining, predictive modelling, and machine learning, that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future or otherwise unknown events. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics
  • 22. FINANCIAL FORECAST 22 The purpose is twofold Prediction Performance Management
  • 23. EXAMPLE: CHURN 23 The purpose is twofold Prediction + Initiatives
  • 25. FINANCIAL PLANNER 25 Requirements Improve Business Involvement Increase Validation Reduce Risk ! Improve Focus & Commitment In house Development Support the Process Fast (relative) easy to change Business Logic
  • 26. 26 Initial Forecast Validation, Business Input & Review Financial Accounting & Reporting FORECAST PROCESS
  • 30. DO YOU FEEL BASIC-FIT? • Lead BI Developer / Data architect Join the data driven team! 30 Sr. BI Developer Data Analyst Power BI Developer Lead Performance (Marketing) WFM Forecast Capacity (Customer Care) jobs.basic-fit.com
  • 31. ADRIAAN BOS Manager Business Control & Analytics Adriaan.bos@basic-fit.com www.linkedin.com/in/adriaanbos/