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©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom. No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
Marketing Research: From
Customer Insights to
Actions
CHAPTER
7
Roger A. Kerin
Steven W. H artley
MARKETING
THE CORE
Eighth Edition
©McGraw-Hill Education.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)
AFTER READING CHAPTER 7, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO: (1 of 2)
1. Identify the reason for conducting
marketing research.
2. Describe the five-step marketing
research approach that leads to
marketing actions.
3. Explain how marketing uses
secondary and primary data.
7-2
©McGraw-Hill Education.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)
AFTER READING CHAPTER 7, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO: (2 of 2)
4. Discuss the uses of observations,
questionnaires, panels, experiments, and
newer data collection methods.
5. Explain how data analytics, data mining,
and predictive modeling lead to marketing
actions.
6. Describe three approaches to developing a
company’s sales forecast.
7-3
©McGraw-Hill Education.
HOLLYWOOD LOVES MARKETING
RESEARCH!
A film industry secret:
research
• Movie title testing
• Concept testing and
script assessment
• Test screening
• Tracking studies
• Social listening
Black Panther
Movie Trailer
7-4
©Moviestore collection Ltd/Alamy Stock Photo
©McGraw-Hill Education.
THE ROLE OF MARKETING RESEARCH
What is marketing research?
The challenges in doing good marketing
research.
Five-step marketing research approach:
• Decision: conscious choice among
alternatives
• Decision making: structured approach
7-5
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-1 Five-step marketing research approach leading
to marketing actions.
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 1: DEFINE THE PROBLEM
SET THE RESEARCH OBJECTIVES (1 of 2)
Set the research objectives.
Have a clear research purpose.
Identify possible marketing action.
Lego EV3
Mindstorms
Video
7-7
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 1: DEFINE THE PROBLEM
SET THE RESEARCH OBJECTIVES (2 of 2)
Measures of success
• Playtime: Children spend more time
playing with new design
Possible marketing actions
• Introduce new design
• Drop old design
7-8
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 2: DEVELOP THE RESEARCH PLAN
DETERMINE HOW TO COLLECT DATA
Constraints
Identify data needed for marketing actions.
1. Identify data needed.
2. Determine how to collect data.
• Concepts – ideas about products
• Methods – approaches to collect data
7-9
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT
INFORMATION
Relevant information for rational, informed
marketing decision
• Data
• Secondary data
• Primary data
7-10
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-2 Types of marketing information
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
SECONDARY DATA (1 of 5)
There are two types of internal data (inside the firm):
1. Inputs (budgets, financial statements, sales call
reports): Effort expended to make sales.
2. Outcomes (actual sales and customer
communications): Results of marketing efforts.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
SECONDARY DATA (2 of 5)
The types of external data (outside the firm) are U.S.
census reports, trade association studies, business
periodicals, and Internet-based reports.
For example: U.S. Census Bureau reports:
• U.S. 2010 Census
• American Community Survey
• U.S. 2017 Economic Census
U.S. Census Video
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
SECONDARY DATA (3 of 5)
External data also includes syndicated panels:
• Nielsen TV Ratings
• J.D. Power Surveys
• IRI InfoScan
7-14
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
SECONDARY DATA (4 of 5)
External data also includes information from:
• Trade associations
• Universities
• Business periodicals
7-15
©McGraw-Hill Education.
News & Articles Statistical &
Financial Data
Portals % Search
Engines
Lexis/Nexis
CNBC
Wall Street Journal
Fox Business
Fed Stats
Census Bureau
USA.gov
Google
MARKETING MATTERS
Online Databases and Internet Resources for Marketers
7-16
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
SECONDARY DATA (5 of 5)
Advantages:
• Time savings
• Inexpensive
Disadvantages:
• Out of date
• Definitions/categories not right
• Not specific enough
7-17
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
PRIMARY DATA—WATCHING PEOPLE (1 of 2)
Observational data
Mechanical methods:
• Nielsen’s People Meter
• Nielsen’s TV Ratings
7-18
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-3 Nielsen Broadcast Ranking Report for network TV primetime households
for the week ending July 23, 2018.
Rank Program Network Rating Views
(000)
1 America’s Got Talent NBC 6.9 11,830
2 60 Minutes CBS 4.8 7,539
3 NFL Football NBC 4.1 6,774
4 NFL Football NBC 4.0 6,572
5 The Big Bang Theory CBS 3.7 5,863
6 The Bachelorette ABC 3.7 5,479
7 Celebrity Family Feud ABC 3.5 5,957
8 Young Sheldon CBS 3.5 5,957
9 Big Brother – Thu CBS 3.4 5,621
10 Big Brother – Sun CBS 3.4 5,570
Nielsen
Ratings
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
PRIMARY DATA—WATCHING PEOPLE (2 of 2)
Personal methods:
• Mystery shopper
• Observation
• Ethnographic research
Neuromarketing methods
• Technologies used to study the brain
7-20
©Ronny Hartmann/picture-alliance/dpa/AP Images
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
PRIMARY DATA—ASKING PEOPLE (1 of 3)
Questionnaire data
Idea-generation methods: Coming up with
ideas:
• Individual interviews
• Depth interviews
7-21
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
PRIMARY DATA—ASKING PEOPLE (2 of 3)
Idea-generation methods: coming up with
ideas:
• Focus groups: Informal session of
customers who are asked for opinions.
• “The next big thing”
• Trend hunting
Trend Hunter
7-22
©Spencer Grant/PhotoEdit
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
PRIMARY DATA—ASKING PEOPLE (3 of 3)
Idea evaluation methods – testing an
idea:
• Personal interview surveys
• Telephone interviews
• Mail surveys
• Online (e-mail/internet) surveys
• Mall intercept interview surveys
7-23
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
PRIMARY DATA—QUESTION FORMATS
1. Open-ended questions
2. Closed-end or fixed alternative
questions
3. Dichotomous questions
4. Semantic differential questions
5. Likert scale questions
7-24
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4 Different types of questions in a sample Wendy’s survey
(Q1 – Q5)
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4A (Q1) Sample Wendy’s
survey: Open-ended question
Access the text alternative for these images. 7-26
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4A (Q2) Sample Wendy’s
survey: Dichotomous question
Access the text alternative for these images. 7-27
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4A (Q3) Sample Wendy’s survey: Multiple
choice question
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4A (Q4) Sample Wendy’s survey:
Attitudinal question
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4A (Q5) Sample Wendy’s survey: Semantic
differential scale question
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4B Different types of questions in a sample Wendy’s survey
(Q6 – Q9)
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4B (Q6) Sample Wendy’s survey: Likert
scale question
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4B (Q7) Sample Wendy’s survey: Media
behavior question
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4B (Q8) Sample Wendy’s survey: Usage
behavior question
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-4B (Q9) Sample Wendy’s survey:
Demographic questions
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
PRIMARY DATA—OTHER SOURCES (1 of 2)
Primary data – other sources:
• Social media can provide ideas for new
products and services.
• Use social media listening tools.
7-36
©McGraw-Hill Education.
APPLYING MARKETING METRICS
Are the Carmex Social Media Programs Working Well?
1. Conversation
velocity
2. Facebook fans
3. Twitter followers
4. Share of voice
5. Sentiment
Jump to Appendix 14 long image
description
Carmex Lip Balm
Facebook Page
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
PRIMARY DATA—OTHER SOURCES (2 of 2)
Panels: sample of consumers to be measured
Experiments:
1. Independent variable: the cause
(drivers)
2. Dependent variable: the result
3. Test markets – used in small
geographies to evaluate marketing
actions
7-38
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA
ADVANTAGES/DISADVANTAGES OF PRIMARY DATA
Advantages of primary data:
• More flexible
• More specific to the problem
Disadvantages of primary data:
• Expensive
• Time consuming to collect
7-39
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 4: DEVELOP FINDINGS
ANALYZE THE DATA
Big data and data
analytics
Information technology
• Transform data into
useful information
• Data visualization
• Intelligent enterprise
Data mining and predictive
modeling
LO 7-5
7-40
©Brent Jones
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-5 How marketing researchers and managers use
information technology to turn information into action.
Access the text alternative for these images. 7-41
©McGraw-Hill Education.
MAKING RESPONSIBLE DECISIONS
NO MORE PERSONAL SECRETS:
THE DOWNSIDE OF DATA MINING AND PREDICTIVE
MODELING
Sophisticated data mining reveals
personal information.
Collected via tracking devices (e.g.,
cookies and apps).
Enables personalization and targeting.
Ghostery
Video
LO 7-4
7-42
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 4: DEVELOP FINDINGS
Analyzing sales of Tony’s pizza
1. How are sales?
2. What factors contribute to sales
trends?
Present the findings.
7-43
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-6 Marketing dashboards that present findings to
Tony’s marketing manager that lead to recommendations and
actions.
Access the text alternative for these images. 7-44
©McGraw-Hill Education.
STEP 5: TAKE MARKETING ACTIONS
Make action recommendations.
Implement the action
recommendations.
Evaluate the results:
• Evaluate the decision itself.
• Evaluate the decision process
used.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
SALES FORECASTING TECHNIQUES (1 of 2)
Sales forecast
Judgments of the decision maker:
• Direct forecast
• Lost-horse forecast
Surveys of knowledgeable groups:
• Survey of buyers’ intentions forecast
• Salesforce survey forecast
7-46
©McGraw-Hill Education.
SALES FORECASTING TECHNIQUES
(2 of 2)
Statistical methods:
• Trend extrapolation: extending a pattern
observed in past data into the future
• Linear trend extrapolation: when the
pattern is described with a straight line
7-47
©McGraw-Hill Education.
FIGURE 7-7 Linear trend extrapolation of sales revenues at
Xerox, made at the start of 2000.
Copyright © McGraw-Hill Education. Permission required for reproduction or display.
Access the text alternative for these images.
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Marketing Research
Marketing research is the process of
defining a marketing problem and
opportunity, systematically collecting and
analyzing information, and recommending
actions.
7-49
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Measures of Success
Measures of success are criteria or
standards used in evaluating proposed
solutions to the problem.
7-50
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Constraints
Constraints are, in a decision, the
restrictions placed on potential solutions to a
problem.
7-51
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Data
Data are the facts and figures related to the
project that are divided into two main parts:
secondary data and primary data.
7-52
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Secondary Data
Secondary data are the facts and figures
that have already been recorded prior to the
project at hand.
7-53
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Primary Data
Primary data are the facts and figures that
are newly collected for the project.
7-54
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Observational Data
Observational data are the facts and
figures obtained by watching, either
mechanically or in person, how people
actually behave.
7-55
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Questionnaire Data
Questionnaire data are the facts and
figures obtained by asking people about
their attitudes, awareness, intentions, and
behaviors.
7-56
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Information Technology
Information technology involves operating
computer networks that can store and
process data.
7-57
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Sales Forecast
A sales forecast consists of the total sales
of a product that a firm expects to sell during
a specified time period under specified
environmental conditions and its own
marketing efforts.
7-58
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Cross Tabulation
A cross tabulation is a method of
presenting and analyzing data
involving two or more variables to
discover relationships in the data.
Also known as a “cross tab.”
7-59

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BA104 Chapter 7

  • 1. ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom. No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. Marketing Research: From Customer Insights to Actions CHAPTER 7 Roger A. Kerin Steven W. H artley MARKETING THE CORE Eighth Edition
  • 2. ©McGraw-Hill Education. LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO) AFTER READING CHAPTER 7, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO: (1 of 2) 1. Identify the reason for conducting marketing research. 2. Describe the five-step marketing research approach that leads to marketing actions. 3. Explain how marketing uses secondary and primary data. 7-2
  • 3. ©McGraw-Hill Education. LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO) AFTER READING CHAPTER 7, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO: (2 of 2) 4. Discuss the uses of observations, questionnaires, panels, experiments, and newer data collection methods. 5. Explain how data analytics, data mining, and predictive modeling lead to marketing actions. 6. Describe three approaches to developing a company’s sales forecast. 7-3
  • 4. ©McGraw-Hill Education. HOLLYWOOD LOVES MARKETING RESEARCH! A film industry secret: research • Movie title testing • Concept testing and script assessment • Test screening • Tracking studies • Social listening Black Panther Movie Trailer 7-4 ©Moviestore collection Ltd/Alamy Stock Photo
  • 5. ©McGraw-Hill Education. THE ROLE OF MARKETING RESEARCH What is marketing research? The challenges in doing good marketing research. Five-step marketing research approach: • Decision: conscious choice among alternatives • Decision making: structured approach 7-5
  • 6. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-1 Five-step marketing research approach leading to marketing actions. Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 7. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 1: DEFINE THE PROBLEM SET THE RESEARCH OBJECTIVES (1 of 2) Set the research objectives. Have a clear research purpose. Identify possible marketing action. Lego EV3 Mindstorms Video 7-7
  • 8. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 1: DEFINE THE PROBLEM SET THE RESEARCH OBJECTIVES (2 of 2) Measures of success • Playtime: Children spend more time playing with new design Possible marketing actions • Introduce new design • Drop old design 7-8
  • 9. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 2: DEVELOP THE RESEARCH PLAN DETERMINE HOW TO COLLECT DATA Constraints Identify data needed for marketing actions. 1. Identify data needed. 2. Determine how to collect data. • Concepts – ideas about products • Methods – approaches to collect data 7-9
  • 10. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT INFORMATION Relevant information for rational, informed marketing decision • Data • Secondary data • Primary data 7-10 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce
  • 11. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-2 Types of marketing information Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 12. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA SECONDARY DATA (1 of 5) There are two types of internal data (inside the firm): 1. Inputs (budgets, financial statements, sales call reports): Effort expended to make sales. 2. Outcomes (actual sales and customer communications): Results of marketing efforts.
  • 13. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA SECONDARY DATA (2 of 5) The types of external data (outside the firm) are U.S. census reports, trade association studies, business periodicals, and Internet-based reports. For example: U.S. Census Bureau reports: • U.S. 2010 Census • American Community Survey • U.S. 2017 Economic Census U.S. Census Video
  • 14. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA SECONDARY DATA (3 of 5) External data also includes syndicated panels: • Nielsen TV Ratings • J.D. Power Surveys • IRI InfoScan 7-14
  • 15. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA SECONDARY DATA (4 of 5) External data also includes information from: • Trade associations • Universities • Business periodicals 7-15
  • 16. ©McGraw-Hill Education. News & Articles Statistical & Financial Data Portals % Search Engines Lexis/Nexis CNBC Wall Street Journal Fox Business Fed Stats Census Bureau USA.gov Google MARKETING MATTERS Online Databases and Internet Resources for Marketers 7-16
  • 17. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA SECONDARY DATA (5 of 5) Advantages: • Time savings • Inexpensive Disadvantages: • Out of date • Definitions/categories not right • Not specific enough 7-17
  • 18. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA PRIMARY DATA—WATCHING PEOPLE (1 of 2) Observational data Mechanical methods: • Nielsen’s People Meter • Nielsen’s TV Ratings 7-18
  • 19. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-3 Nielsen Broadcast Ranking Report for network TV primetime households for the week ending July 23, 2018. Rank Program Network Rating Views (000) 1 America’s Got Talent NBC 6.9 11,830 2 60 Minutes CBS 4.8 7,539 3 NFL Football NBC 4.1 6,774 4 NFL Football NBC 4.0 6,572 5 The Big Bang Theory CBS 3.7 5,863 6 The Bachelorette ABC 3.7 5,479 7 Celebrity Family Feud ABC 3.5 5,957 8 Young Sheldon CBS 3.5 5,957 9 Big Brother – Thu CBS 3.4 5,621 10 Big Brother – Sun CBS 3.4 5,570 Nielsen Ratings
  • 20. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA PRIMARY DATA—WATCHING PEOPLE (2 of 2) Personal methods: • Mystery shopper • Observation • Ethnographic research Neuromarketing methods • Technologies used to study the brain 7-20 ©Ronny Hartmann/picture-alliance/dpa/AP Images
  • 21. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA PRIMARY DATA—ASKING PEOPLE (1 of 3) Questionnaire data Idea-generation methods: Coming up with ideas: • Individual interviews • Depth interviews 7-21
  • 22. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA PRIMARY DATA—ASKING PEOPLE (2 of 3) Idea-generation methods: coming up with ideas: • Focus groups: Informal session of customers who are asked for opinions. • “The next big thing” • Trend hunting Trend Hunter 7-22 ©Spencer Grant/PhotoEdit
  • 23. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA PRIMARY DATA—ASKING PEOPLE (3 of 3) Idea evaluation methods – testing an idea: • Personal interview surveys • Telephone interviews • Mail surveys • Online (e-mail/internet) surveys • Mall intercept interview surveys 7-23
  • 24. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA PRIMARY DATA—QUESTION FORMATS 1. Open-ended questions 2. Closed-end or fixed alternative questions 3. Dichotomous questions 4. Semantic differential questions 5. Likert scale questions 7-24
  • 25. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4 Different types of questions in a sample Wendy’s survey (Q1 – Q5) Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 26. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4A (Q1) Sample Wendy’s survey: Open-ended question Access the text alternative for these images. 7-26
  • 27. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4A (Q2) Sample Wendy’s survey: Dichotomous question Access the text alternative for these images. 7-27
  • 28. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4A (Q3) Sample Wendy’s survey: Multiple choice question Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 29. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4A (Q4) Sample Wendy’s survey: Attitudinal question Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 30. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4A (Q5) Sample Wendy’s survey: Semantic differential scale question Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 31. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4B Different types of questions in a sample Wendy’s survey (Q6 – Q9) Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 32. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4B (Q6) Sample Wendy’s survey: Likert scale question Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 33. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4B (Q7) Sample Wendy’s survey: Media behavior question Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 34. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4B (Q8) Sample Wendy’s survey: Usage behavior question Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 35. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-4B (Q9) Sample Wendy’s survey: Demographic questions Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 36. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA PRIMARY DATA—OTHER SOURCES (1 of 2) Primary data – other sources: • Social media can provide ideas for new products and services. • Use social media listening tools. 7-36
  • 37. ©McGraw-Hill Education. APPLYING MARKETING METRICS Are the Carmex Social Media Programs Working Well? 1. Conversation velocity 2. Facebook fans 3. Twitter followers 4. Share of voice 5. Sentiment Jump to Appendix 14 long image description Carmex Lip Balm Facebook Page
  • 38. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA PRIMARY DATA—OTHER SOURCES (2 of 2) Panels: sample of consumers to be measured Experiments: 1. Independent variable: the cause (drivers) 2. Dependent variable: the result 3. Test markets – used in small geographies to evaluate marketing actions 7-38
  • 39. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 3: COLLECT RELEVANT DATA ADVANTAGES/DISADVANTAGES OF PRIMARY DATA Advantages of primary data: • More flexible • More specific to the problem Disadvantages of primary data: • Expensive • Time consuming to collect 7-39
  • 40. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 4: DEVELOP FINDINGS ANALYZE THE DATA Big data and data analytics Information technology • Transform data into useful information • Data visualization • Intelligent enterprise Data mining and predictive modeling LO 7-5 7-40 ©Brent Jones
  • 41. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-5 How marketing researchers and managers use information technology to turn information into action. Access the text alternative for these images. 7-41
  • 42. ©McGraw-Hill Education. MAKING RESPONSIBLE DECISIONS NO MORE PERSONAL SECRETS: THE DOWNSIDE OF DATA MINING AND PREDICTIVE MODELING Sophisticated data mining reveals personal information. Collected via tracking devices (e.g., cookies and apps). Enables personalization and targeting. Ghostery Video LO 7-4 7-42
  • 43. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 4: DEVELOP FINDINGS Analyzing sales of Tony’s pizza 1. How are sales? 2. What factors contribute to sales trends? Present the findings. 7-43
  • 44. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-6 Marketing dashboards that present findings to Tony’s marketing manager that lead to recommendations and actions. Access the text alternative for these images. 7-44
  • 45. ©McGraw-Hill Education. STEP 5: TAKE MARKETING ACTIONS Make action recommendations. Implement the action recommendations. Evaluate the results: • Evaluate the decision itself. • Evaluate the decision process used.
  • 46. ©McGraw-Hill Education. SALES FORECASTING TECHNIQUES (1 of 2) Sales forecast Judgments of the decision maker: • Direct forecast • Lost-horse forecast Surveys of knowledgeable groups: • Survey of buyers’ intentions forecast • Salesforce survey forecast 7-46
  • 47. ©McGraw-Hill Education. SALES FORECASTING TECHNIQUES (2 of 2) Statistical methods: • Trend extrapolation: extending a pattern observed in past data into the future • Linear trend extrapolation: when the pattern is described with a straight line 7-47
  • 48. ©McGraw-Hill Education. FIGURE 7-7 Linear trend extrapolation of sales revenues at Xerox, made at the start of 2000. Copyright © McGraw-Hill Education. Permission required for reproduction or display. Access the text alternative for these images.
  • 49. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Marketing Research Marketing research is the process of defining a marketing problem and opportunity, systematically collecting and analyzing information, and recommending actions. 7-49
  • 50. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Measures of Success Measures of success are criteria or standards used in evaluating proposed solutions to the problem. 7-50
  • 51. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Constraints Constraints are, in a decision, the restrictions placed on potential solutions to a problem. 7-51
  • 52. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Data Data are the facts and figures related to the project that are divided into two main parts: secondary data and primary data. 7-52
  • 53. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Secondary Data Secondary data are the facts and figures that have already been recorded prior to the project at hand. 7-53
  • 54. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Primary Data Primary data are the facts and figures that are newly collected for the project. 7-54
  • 55. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Observational Data Observational data are the facts and figures obtained by watching, either mechanically or in person, how people actually behave. 7-55
  • 56. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Questionnaire Data Questionnaire data are the facts and figures obtained by asking people about their attitudes, awareness, intentions, and behaviors. 7-56
  • 57. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Information Technology Information technology involves operating computer networks that can store and process data. 7-57
  • 58. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Sales Forecast A sales forecast consists of the total sales of a product that a firm expects to sell during a specified time period under specified environmental conditions and its own marketing efforts. 7-58
  • 59. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Cross Tabulation A cross tabulation is a method of presenting and analyzing data involving two or more variables to discover relationships in the data. Also known as a “cross tab.” 7-59