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Analyzing the positioning
Chapter 9
Assessment and
commercialisation of
entrepreneurial opportunities
Objectives
1. To understand that assessing an opportunity requires various techniques
including both analysis and active learning
2. To distinguish Internet opportunities from other opportunities
3. To recognise common pitfalls in taking new venture ideas to the marketplace
4. To identify critical factors involved in new venture development
5. To examine the opportunity landscape and the factors that underlie and promote
entrepreneurial opportunities
6. To assess industry value chains and ecosystems from an opportunity
perspective
7. To examine Porter’s five forces model of competitive market analysis
8. To compare opportunity profile analysis methods: critical questions analysis,
feasibility criteria approach and comprehensive feasibility method
9. To be alert to how an entrepreneurial ecosystem contributes to the opportunity
landscape
But first
What kinds of things would you
consider in predicting whether
a business idea will be
successful?
?
Is your idea truly worth
pursuing?
Characteristics of the
entrepreneur
• Personal reasons for start-up
The opportunity
landscape
• Trends, risks, market size
and resource availability
The nature of the
venture
• Differing scalability, growth
potential and performance
• Opportunities are already ‘out there’
waiting to be discovered.
• But the entrepreneur recognises
them due to superior knowledge of
the market, industry, technology
and/or networks.
• The entrepreneur has the advantage
of seeing things differently
Model 3: Alertness
Joseph von Mises,
popularised by Kirzner
This is a slide from Chapter 6
Modelling the
entrepreneurial
process
Hindle model show that
exploiting an opportunity is a
‘jerky’ process:
1. Spotting the opportunity
2. Evaluating it
3. Creating a business model
4. Moving from commitment to
achievement of value
Modelling the
entrepreneurial
process
•Three activities (on right):
strategic, personal and tactical.
•Each domain requires a
distinctive capacity (on left).
•The central function – that
distinguishes entrepreneurs
from other people – is
evaluation.
Beware of
‘analysis paralysis’!
• Over-evaluating an opportunity
such that that a decision is never taken
• Undermines entrepreneurial ambition and
breeds procrastination
• The tools in this book assist you to decide
whether the opportunity is realistic or not
and whether to move forward.
• Bottom line: an entrepreneur will never be
in a position to have all the facts.
How to recognise a profitable and viable
opportunity when you see one?
• Rules of thumb
– Join an exploitable market (Can you really
beat Microsoft?)
– Find a niche market catering for specialist
needs (Like the Body Shop)
– Open or join a new (growing) market
– Avoid overcrowded marketplaces
– Or be nimble and small in a large operator’s
market
– Offer a unique product or service
Critical factors in
assessing an opportunity (1)
1. Relative uniqueness of the
venture (amount of
innovation)
2. Relative investment size at
start–up (extent and timing)
3. Growth of sales: What is
the growth pattern anticipated
for new-venture sales and
profits?
– Is it a lifestyle venture or a high-
growth venture?
Does it truly
stand out head
and shoulders
above the
competition?
4. Product availability (and
readiness for the
consumer)
5. Customer availability
(identified customers,
willing to pay)
Critical factors in
assessing an opportunity (2)
Does it truly
stand out head
and shoulders
above the
competition?
Common pitfalls
• Lack of objective evaluation
• No real insight into the market
• Inadequate understanding of
technical requirements
• Poor financial understanding
• Lack of venture uniqueness
• Ignorance of legal and
regulatory issues
Analysing the opportunity landscape
• Examine external conditions
that shape and influence an
opportunity
• Also called PEST and STEEP
• PESTEL analysis consists of
• Political
• Economic
• Sociocultural
• Technological
• Environmental
• Legal
• Unlike risks, there is little one can
do to mitigate uncertainty as there
is no past experience of it to rely
on.
• Technological uncertainty
• Strategic uncertainty
• First-time buyer uncertainty
• Short-time horizon and strategic
uncertainty
Analysing industry uncertainty
• A network of suppliers and buyers
• Each link in the chain
– carries the cost imposed by upstream suppliers
– contributes to the costs of the downstream purchasers.
• Every link must have a profit margin that enables a
price the end user is willing to pay.
Analysing the value chain
Analysing the value chain
• The more complex the
industry system, the
more factors are
introduced that may
influence sales, growth
and performance of the
business.
Analysing Porter’s
‘Five Forces’
Replace at
2nd pages
• Is it expensive for your competitor
to access proprietary technology?
• Do they have access to distribution
channels?
• Access to raw materials and skilled
labour?
• Do they lack experience?
• Will they have a hard time raising
capital?
Analysing the barriers to entry
Consideration of:
• the number of competitors
• the strength of each
competitor
• what drives the competition
• what the competition can do.
Analysing the competition
• A checklist approach
(Fig 9.6)
• List competitors and
consider factors:
– Advertising and promotional
policies/
– Availability/convenience
– Calibre of personnel
– Financial condition
– Location
Analysing the internal profile
– Price
– Product design
– Product uniqueness
– Production capability
– R&D position
– Raw material cost
– Relative product quality
– Reputation/image
– Service
– Variety/selection
• Examine the viability of the venture
• Consider criteria, such as:
– Is it proprietary?
– Are the initial production costs realistic?
– Are the initial marketing costs realistic?
– Does the product have potential for very
high margins?
– Is the time required to get to market and
to reach the break-even point realistic?
Analysing the
feasibility criteria
• External factors in addition to
those in the feasibility criteria
approach
• Including:
– Technical feasibility
– Market feasibility
Comprehensive feasibility analysis
See complete
Feasibility Study
outline in Appendix.
• Major areas of investigation:
– Full market potential and
identifying customers
– The extent to which the enterprise
might exploit this potential market
– Determine the opportunities and
risks associated with the venture.
Analysing the marketability
Are there customers
for seal fur coats?
Native Greenlanders
say yes!
• X-axis: viability of a venture’s ability
to generate revenue and profit.
• Y-axis measures the venture’s
durability-- ability to sustain itself
over time.
• Size of circle measures the
credibility measures the ability of the
venture’s founders and management
team to exploit the opportunity.
• This results in seven kinds of
ventures .
Analysing the positioning
Key concepts
(close your books)
• Describe how you would evaluate a new
business opportunity.
?

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Assessment and commercialization of entrepreneurial opportunities

  • 2.
  • 3. Chapter 9 Assessment and commercialisation of entrepreneurial opportunities
  • 4. Objectives 1. To understand that assessing an opportunity requires various techniques including both analysis and active learning 2. To distinguish Internet opportunities from other opportunities 3. To recognise common pitfalls in taking new venture ideas to the marketplace 4. To identify critical factors involved in new venture development 5. To examine the opportunity landscape and the factors that underlie and promote entrepreneurial opportunities 6. To assess industry value chains and ecosystems from an opportunity perspective 7. To examine Porter’s five forces model of competitive market analysis 8. To compare opportunity profile analysis methods: critical questions analysis, feasibility criteria approach and comprehensive feasibility method 9. To be alert to how an entrepreneurial ecosystem contributes to the opportunity landscape
  • 5. But first What kinds of things would you consider in predicting whether a business idea will be successful? ?
  • 6. Is your idea truly worth pursuing? Characteristics of the entrepreneur • Personal reasons for start-up The opportunity landscape • Trends, risks, market size and resource availability The nature of the venture • Differing scalability, growth potential and performance
  • 7. • Opportunities are already ‘out there’ waiting to be discovered. • But the entrepreneur recognises them due to superior knowledge of the market, industry, technology and/or networks. • The entrepreneur has the advantage of seeing things differently Model 3: Alertness Joseph von Mises, popularised by Kirzner This is a slide from Chapter 6
  • 8. Modelling the entrepreneurial process Hindle model show that exploiting an opportunity is a ‘jerky’ process: 1. Spotting the opportunity 2. Evaluating it 3. Creating a business model 4. Moving from commitment to achievement of value
  • 9. Modelling the entrepreneurial process •Three activities (on right): strategic, personal and tactical. •Each domain requires a distinctive capacity (on left). •The central function – that distinguishes entrepreneurs from other people – is evaluation.
  • 10. Beware of ‘analysis paralysis’! • Over-evaluating an opportunity such that that a decision is never taken • Undermines entrepreneurial ambition and breeds procrastination • The tools in this book assist you to decide whether the opportunity is realistic or not and whether to move forward. • Bottom line: an entrepreneur will never be in a position to have all the facts.
  • 11. How to recognise a profitable and viable opportunity when you see one? • Rules of thumb – Join an exploitable market (Can you really beat Microsoft?) – Find a niche market catering for specialist needs (Like the Body Shop) – Open or join a new (growing) market – Avoid overcrowded marketplaces – Or be nimble and small in a large operator’s market – Offer a unique product or service
  • 12. Critical factors in assessing an opportunity (1) 1. Relative uniqueness of the venture (amount of innovation) 2. Relative investment size at start–up (extent and timing) 3. Growth of sales: What is the growth pattern anticipated for new-venture sales and profits? – Is it a lifestyle venture or a high- growth venture? Does it truly stand out head and shoulders above the competition?
  • 13. 4. Product availability (and readiness for the consumer) 5. Customer availability (identified customers, willing to pay) Critical factors in assessing an opportunity (2) Does it truly stand out head and shoulders above the competition?
  • 14. Common pitfalls • Lack of objective evaluation • No real insight into the market • Inadequate understanding of technical requirements • Poor financial understanding • Lack of venture uniqueness • Ignorance of legal and regulatory issues
  • 15. Analysing the opportunity landscape • Examine external conditions that shape and influence an opportunity • Also called PEST and STEEP • PESTEL analysis consists of • Political • Economic • Sociocultural • Technological • Environmental • Legal
  • 16. • Unlike risks, there is little one can do to mitigate uncertainty as there is no past experience of it to rely on. • Technological uncertainty • Strategic uncertainty • First-time buyer uncertainty • Short-time horizon and strategic uncertainty Analysing industry uncertainty
  • 17. • A network of suppliers and buyers • Each link in the chain – carries the cost imposed by upstream suppliers – contributes to the costs of the downstream purchasers. • Every link must have a profit margin that enables a price the end user is willing to pay. Analysing the value chain
  • 18. Analysing the value chain • The more complex the industry system, the more factors are introduced that may influence sales, growth and performance of the business.
  • 20. • Is it expensive for your competitor to access proprietary technology? • Do they have access to distribution channels? • Access to raw materials and skilled labour? • Do they lack experience? • Will they have a hard time raising capital? Analysing the barriers to entry
  • 21. Consideration of: • the number of competitors • the strength of each competitor • what drives the competition • what the competition can do. Analysing the competition
  • 22. • A checklist approach (Fig 9.6) • List competitors and consider factors: – Advertising and promotional policies/ – Availability/convenience – Calibre of personnel – Financial condition – Location Analysing the internal profile – Price – Product design – Product uniqueness – Production capability – R&D position – Raw material cost – Relative product quality – Reputation/image – Service – Variety/selection
  • 23. • Examine the viability of the venture • Consider criteria, such as: – Is it proprietary? – Are the initial production costs realistic? – Are the initial marketing costs realistic? – Does the product have potential for very high margins? – Is the time required to get to market and to reach the break-even point realistic? Analysing the feasibility criteria
  • 24. • External factors in addition to those in the feasibility criteria approach • Including: – Technical feasibility – Market feasibility Comprehensive feasibility analysis See complete Feasibility Study outline in Appendix.
  • 25. • Major areas of investigation: – Full market potential and identifying customers – The extent to which the enterprise might exploit this potential market – Determine the opportunities and risks associated with the venture. Analysing the marketability Are there customers for seal fur coats? Native Greenlanders say yes!
  • 26. • X-axis: viability of a venture’s ability to generate revenue and profit. • Y-axis measures the venture’s durability-- ability to sustain itself over time. • Size of circle measures the credibility measures the ability of the venture’s founders and management team to exploit the opportunity. • This results in seven kinds of ventures . Analysing the positioning
  • 27. Key concepts (close your books) • Describe how you would evaluate a new business opportunity. ?