This document discusses using prediction markets to aggregate information and forecast events. It notes that traditional markets transmit information through stock prices as news is incorporated. Similarly, prediction markets can be used to forecast things like company sales, project deadlines, or a competitor's market share. The document promotes a website, AskMarkets.com, that allows users to create their own prediction markets to estimate probabilities of future events that matter for their organization or enterprise. Creating and participating in markets on the site is described as a simple process.
Random Walks, Efficient Markets & Stock PricesNEO Empresarial
The famous financial theory of Efficient Markets is associated with the idea of a Random Walk. If the theory holds true, that makes prices unpredictable, and therefore it'd be impossible to consistently beat the market.
The seminar discusses the mathematical idea of a random walk, then moves on to understand what makes a market efficient.
Finally, we conduct a Monte Carlo Simulation on Wolfram Mathematica, to forecast the behaviour of Google's stock price one year from now.
It's Okay to be Wrong (Accelerator Academy Oct '17)Matt Mower
Building a software company is hard and it's not usually about the technology but the problems of stress, communication, assumption, and strategy exacerbated by the complexity of creating software that meets customer needs.
Why Live Ops Matters for Casual Games: 3 Stategic Mindset for POsTimShepherd83
Live Ops is integral to F2P product management, but it can be difficult to understand what is the best strategy for a specific game at any given time. I present 3 'lenses' to evaluate your landscape and help in the Live Ops decision-making processes. With examples from Wooga and others, plus a few pro-tips and best practices dotted throughout.
Originally presented at Pocket Gamer Connects London, Jan 2019.
Brief presentation notes in orange speech bubbles ^^
Product managers need to be market driven. When you're being driven by customers, problems, and competitors, you need a tool which brings all of your insights together to help drive holistic decision making. I use a Market Problem Matrix to create that view to develop insights and drive conversations.
The Centrality of a Detailed Understanding of your AudienceRising Media Ltd.
For media organizations an understanding of one's audience is key to delivering optimal content. The path to this understanding often runs through logged behavioral data, but can we leverage methods from the world of polling to generate additional insights?
Forex Trendy is a powerful software tool designed for forex traders to enhance their trading decisions and maximize profit potential. It utilizes advanced algorithms and cutting-edge technology to analyze and identify the most profitable trends in the forex market.
One of the key features of Forex Trendy is its ability to scan and monitor multiple currency pairs simultaneously. It constantly evaluates the price action and chart patterns across different timeframes, providing traders with real-time data and insights. This allows traders to stay ahead of the curve and make informed trading decisions based on the most promising trends.
The software also incorporates pattern recognition technology, which helps traders identify various chart patterns such as triangles, wedges, and flags. These patterns can provide valuable clues about the future direction of the market, enabling traders to enter or exit positions at optimal times.
Furthermore, Forex Trendy offers customizable settings and filters, allowing traders to tailor the software to their specific trading preferences and strategies. It provides users with audible and email alerts whenever a new trend or pattern emerges, ensuring that no profitable opportunity goes unnoticed.
Overall, Forex Trendy is a comprehensive and user-friendly tool that equips traders with the necessary information and insights to navigate the dynamic forex market. By leveraging its sophisticated features, traders can increase their chances of success and achieve greater profitability in their trading endeavors.
The Work Ahead: Mastering the Digital EconomyCognizant
The Work Ahead is a research series providing insight and guidance on how business – and jobs – must evolve in an economy of algorithms, automation and AI.
Random Walks, Efficient Markets & Stock PricesNEO Empresarial
The famous financial theory of Efficient Markets is associated with the idea of a Random Walk. If the theory holds true, that makes prices unpredictable, and therefore it'd be impossible to consistently beat the market.
The seminar discusses the mathematical idea of a random walk, then moves on to understand what makes a market efficient.
Finally, we conduct a Monte Carlo Simulation on Wolfram Mathematica, to forecast the behaviour of Google's stock price one year from now.
It's Okay to be Wrong (Accelerator Academy Oct '17)Matt Mower
Building a software company is hard and it's not usually about the technology but the problems of stress, communication, assumption, and strategy exacerbated by the complexity of creating software that meets customer needs.
Why Live Ops Matters for Casual Games: 3 Stategic Mindset for POsTimShepherd83
Live Ops is integral to F2P product management, but it can be difficult to understand what is the best strategy for a specific game at any given time. I present 3 'lenses' to evaluate your landscape and help in the Live Ops decision-making processes. With examples from Wooga and others, plus a few pro-tips and best practices dotted throughout.
Originally presented at Pocket Gamer Connects London, Jan 2019.
Brief presentation notes in orange speech bubbles ^^
Product managers need to be market driven. When you're being driven by customers, problems, and competitors, you need a tool which brings all of your insights together to help drive holistic decision making. I use a Market Problem Matrix to create that view to develop insights and drive conversations.
The Centrality of a Detailed Understanding of your AudienceRising Media Ltd.
For media organizations an understanding of one's audience is key to delivering optimal content. The path to this understanding often runs through logged behavioral data, but can we leverage methods from the world of polling to generate additional insights?
Forex Trendy is a powerful software tool designed for forex traders to enhance their trading decisions and maximize profit potential. It utilizes advanced algorithms and cutting-edge technology to analyze and identify the most profitable trends in the forex market.
One of the key features of Forex Trendy is its ability to scan and monitor multiple currency pairs simultaneously. It constantly evaluates the price action and chart patterns across different timeframes, providing traders with real-time data and insights. This allows traders to stay ahead of the curve and make informed trading decisions based on the most promising trends.
The software also incorporates pattern recognition technology, which helps traders identify various chart patterns such as triangles, wedges, and flags. These patterns can provide valuable clues about the future direction of the market, enabling traders to enter or exit positions at optimal times.
Furthermore, Forex Trendy offers customizable settings and filters, allowing traders to tailor the software to their specific trading preferences and strategies. It provides users with audible and email alerts whenever a new trend or pattern emerges, ensuring that no profitable opportunity goes unnoticed.
Overall, Forex Trendy is a comprehensive and user-friendly tool that equips traders with the necessary information and insights to navigate the dynamic forex market. By leveraging its sophisticated features, traders can increase their chances of success and achieve greater profitability in their trading endeavors.
The Work Ahead: Mastering the Digital EconomyCognizant
The Work Ahead is a research series providing insight and guidance on how business – and jobs – must evolve in an economy of algorithms, automation and AI.
Τι να κάνω στη ζωή μου - μια παρουσίαση για εφήβουςGeorge Tziralis
Μου ανατέθηκε πρότινος να δώσω σύντομη ομιλία σε κοινό εφήβων αναφορικά με τον επαγγελματικό τους προσανατολισμό. Κατέληξα να αποφύγω κάποια αναφορά σε συγκεκριμένο κλάδο, για παράδειγμα το τεχνολογικό επιχειρείν και αντί αυτού να εστιάσω σε τροφή για ευρύτερη σκέψη. Ίσως τελικά ανέφερα εκείνα που πρόσφατα συνειδητοποιώ ότι θα ήθελα να είχα ακούσει στην ηλικία αυτή. Παραθέτω εδώ τις διαφάνειες, σύντομο κείμενο θα βρείτε στο gtziralis.com.
More textual details here - http://gtziralis.com/innovation-in-practice/
Some simple and straightforward steps on how to be innovative - out of my humble experiences so far
A presentation I gave earlier today at 4th FOSS Conference in Greece, introducing data mining, its principles and application into a wider public, plus showcasing the use ofweka software for all core data mining purposes.
Analysis Report of Greek Blogosphere by DataMine.itGeorge Tziralis
Sync.gr run an extensive survey on greek blogosphere. Here you may find an extended data mining analysis on the results, provided by http://DataMine.it
Presenting AskMarkets at the TechCrunch/OpenCoffee event in AthensGeorge Tziralis
The keynote file of my presentation at the "TechCrunch goes OpenCoffee Greece" event, hope you'll like it.
The videos are missing though, slideshare does not support such a feature.
But you can find the embedded videos here: http://opencoffee.gr/2008/08/01/tc-oc-askmarkets-video/
Tziralis & Ipeirotis at 3rd Prediction Markets WorkshopGeorge Tziralis
A research work by George Tziralis & Panos Ipeirotis.
Detecting Important Events
using Prediction Markets, Text
Mining, and Volatility Modeling.
Presented on July 9th in the 3rd Prediction Markets workshop, Kellog's School of Management, Northwestern University, Chicago
"𝑩𝑬𝑮𝑼𝑵 𝑾𝑰𝑻𝑯 𝑻𝑱 𝑰𝑺 𝑯𝑨𝑳𝑭 𝑫𝑶𝑵𝑬"
𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐬 (𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬) is a professional event agency that includes experts in the event-organizing market in Vietnam, Korea, and ASEAN countries. We provide unlimited types of events from Music concerts, Fan meetings, and Culture festivals to Corporate events, Internal company events, Golf tournaments, MICE events, and Exhibitions.
𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐬 provides unlimited package services including such as Event organizing, Event planning, Event production, Manpower, PR marketing, Design 2D/3D, VIP protocols, Interpreter agency, etc.
Sports events - Golf competitions/billiards competitions/company sports events: dynamic and challenging
⭐ 𝐅𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐬:
➢ 2024 BAEKHYUN [Lonsdaleite] IN HO CHI MINH
➢ SUPER JUNIOR-L.S.S. THE SHOW : Th3ee Guys in HO CHI MINH
➢FreenBecky 1st Fan Meeting in Vietnam
➢CHILDREN ART EXHIBITION 2024: BEYOND BARRIERS
➢ WOW K-Music Festival 2023
➢ Winner [CROSS] Tour in HCM
➢ Super Show 9 in HCM with Super Junior
➢ HCMC - Gyeongsangbuk-do Culture and Tourism Festival
➢ Korean Vietnam Partnership - Fair with LG
➢ Korean President visits Samsung Electronics R&D Center
➢ Vietnam Food Expo with Lotte Wellfood
"𝐄𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐚 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲, 𝐚 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐣𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐞𝐲. 𝐖𝐞 𝐚𝐥𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐥𝐲 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐛𝐞 𝐚 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬."
Premium MEAN Stack Development Solutions for Modern BusinessesSynapseIndia
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Personal Brand Statement:
As an Army veteran dedicated to lifelong learning, I bring a disciplined, strategic mindset to my pursuits. I am constantly expanding my knowledge to innovate and lead effectively. My journey is driven by a commitment to excellence, and to make a meaningful impact in the world.
Attending a job Interview for B1 and B2 Englsih learnersErika906060
It is a sample of an interview for a business english class for pre-intermediate and intermediate english students with emphasis on the speking ability.
Enterprise Excellence is Inclusive Excellence.pdfKaiNexus
Enterprise excellence and inclusive excellence are closely linked, and real-world challenges have shown that both are essential to the success of any organization. To achieve enterprise excellence, organizations must focus on improving their operations and processes while creating an inclusive environment that engages everyone. In this interactive session, the facilitator will highlight commonly established business practices and how they limit our ability to engage everyone every day. More importantly, though, participants will likely gain increased awareness of what we can do differently to maximize enterprise excellence through deliberate inclusion.
What is Enterprise Excellence?
Enterprise Excellence is a holistic approach that's aimed at achieving world-class performance across all aspects of the organization.
What might I learn?
A way to engage all in creating Inclusive Excellence. Lessons from the US military and their parallels to the story of Harry Potter. How belt systems and CI teams can destroy inclusive practices. How leadership language invites people to the party. There are three things leaders can do to engage everyone every day: maximizing psychological safety to create environments where folks learn, contribute, and challenge the status quo.
Who might benefit? Anyone and everyone leading folks from the shop floor to top floor.
Dr. William Harvey is a seasoned Operations Leader with extensive experience in chemical processing, manufacturing, and operations management. At Michelman, he currently oversees multiple sites, leading teams in strategic planning and coaching/practicing continuous improvement. William is set to start his eighth year of teaching at the University of Cincinnati where he teaches marketing, finance, and management. William holds various certifications in change management, quality, leadership, operational excellence, team building, and DiSC, among others.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
Implicitly or explicitly all competing businesses employ a strategy to select a mix
of marketing resources. Formulating such competitive strategies fundamentally
involves recognizing relationships between elements of the marketing mix (e.g.,
price and product quality), as well as assessing competitive and market conditions
(i.e., industry structure in the language of economics).
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptxtanyjahb
A personal brand exploration presentation summarizes an individual's unique qualities and goals, covering strengths, values, passions, and target audience. It helps individuals understand what makes them stand out, their desired image, and how they aim to achieve it.
VAT Registration Outlined In UAE: Benefits and Requirementsuae taxgpt
Vat Registration is a legal obligation for businesses meeting the threshold requirement, helping companies avoid fines and ramifications. Contact now!
https://viralsocialtrends.com/vat-registration-outlined-in-uae/
Affordable Stationery Printing Services in Jaipur | Navpack n PrintNavpack & Print
Looking for professional printing services in Jaipur? Navpack n Print offers high-quality and affordable stationery printing for all your business needs. Stand out with custom stationery designs and fast turnaround times. Contact us today for a quote!
Kseniya Leshchenko: Shared development support service model as the way to ma...Lviv Startup Club
Kseniya Leshchenko: Shared development support service model as the way to make small projects with small budgets profitable for the company (UA)
Kyiv PMDay 2024 Summer
Website – www.pmday.org
Youtube – https://www.youtube.com/startuplviv
FB – https://www.facebook.com/pmdayconference
1. I’ll try to be quick and up to the point,
my whole presentation is 1 slide long.
(ok, I can actually tell the whole story using just this slide..)
2. YHOO at Google Finance
This is a screenshot of the YHOO stock, taken from Google Finance. It
may look a little bit confusing by first sight, but the key elements are 2:
6. ok, where’s the magic?
ok, but what’s so special about the market?
7. news are here!
market transmits information through prices
market sums up information and transmits it through prices.
all news are weighted and evaluated, finally incorporated into prices.
8. not YHOO but...
the market concept is really remarkable, but what do you do if...
9. not market value but...
you are not interested in YHOO but ACME, and not in its market value
but
10. Sales Q1
? forecasting or...
sales forecasting for example?
11. Project end date
? project management or...
or project management (cost, deadlines, etc)
12. ʻs competitor market share
?
competitive intelligence, you name it
quantify the probability of every future event occuring
13. ʻs competitor market share
?
where’s these markets for your organization?
markets are the best way to aggregate information and estimate the
probabilities of any future event.
But where are the ones regarding what matters for your enterprise?
14. your
questions!
?
just switch to askmarkets.com
There you’ll find or create your questions
15. ?
your
forecasts!
you may enter your predictions
16. your
?
results!
and look at your and other people’s results
17. dead
simple!
trade as in 1-2
making a transaction (aka submitting your prediction) is dead simple
18. dead
simple!
create a market as in 1-2
and it takes two steps to create your own market