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European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.20, 2014
156
An Empirical Study of Risk-Return Profile of Islamic Mutual
Funds: A Case from Pakistan
Raheel Mumtaz 1
Muhammad Usman 2
Saad Bin Nasir 2 *
1. Department of Commerce, Government College University, Faisalabad, Pakistan
2. Department of Business Administration, Government College University, Faisalabad, Pakistan
* E-mail of the corresponding author: saad.goraya@hotmail.co.uk
Abstract
The remarkable growth of the Islamic mutual funds over the globe has increased demand among investors to
include these funds in their portfolio of investments. With the emergence of Islamic Mutual Fund Muslim
investors are increasingly shifting to Islamic Mutual Fund. Since 1990s equity investment the total wealth under
the management of Islamic equity funds (excluding capital appreciation) has grown at an annual rate in excess of
15%.The growth of the Islamic funds operating in Pakistan is very rapid for example; Islamic Mutual Funds
started in 1995 with Al Meezan Investment Management Limited introducing first Islamic Mutual Fund (Al
Meezan Mutual Fund) as on July 13, 1995. The value of the total assets for the Islamic equity funds have risen
from USD 800 million during the year 1996 to USD 3.6 Billion in just seven years period i.e. 2003. Hence, this
research paper is an attempt to investigate risk and returns profile of these funds relative to the respective market
Islamic and Conventional benchmarks using panel data analysis from July 2007 to June 2012. Consistent with
previous studies conducted to analyze the performance of Islamic funds; on average the results indicate that there
is statistically insignificant difference in return performance of the Islamic funds relative to the benchmarks. The
result also reveals that there is a superior fund selectivity skill but inferior market timing expertise among the
Islamic fund managers within the period of the study. On the contrary, results signify that the Islamic funds have
been able minimize the risks as compared to the benchmarks and their returns performance is comparable to the
market benchmark. Hence, the outcome of this study would benefit potential investor and market players
towards participating in mutual fund industry, particularly in Malaysia. Additionally, the study will add
knowledge on Islamic mutual fund’s performance in the finance literatures.
Keywords:Islamic Mutual Fund, Performance Evaluation, Panel Data.
1. INTRODUCTION
The term Mutual fund is defined as a type of joint investments that allows the investors having similar
investment objectives to pool up their resources to be invested in a portfolio of securities or other assets. The
managers of the fund then make investments out of the pooled funds in the portfolio funds; particularly include
some assets categories like commodities, share/ stocks, cash, bonds, deposits, and also properties corresponding
to the objectives of the fund. Mutual funds are an attractive source of investment for those who desire to make
money from financial markets but don’t have sufficient information, expertise, or time to manage their own
resources. Different types of mutual funds have different objectives like equity funds, fixed income funds,
balanced funds and Islamic funds etc. As the Muslims are forbidden to invest in riba based fund investment, it
may include securities having partial or full element of riba.
Initially Islamic Mutual Funds started from the Middle East, but with the passage of it started to spread its roots
in South Asian and South East Asian Muslim countries. Now it has become a worldwide phenomenon and still
growing by leaps and bounds. With the product diversification and introduction of more advanced and
technology and systems, the business of Islamic banks has considerably increased all over the world which
resulted in a more competitive and advanced financial system based on Islamic teachings. Islamic Mutual Funds
as a new Shariah compliant product is becoming a popular mode of investment among Muslim people because
Muslim scholars are unanimous regarding the permissibility of equity investment. Now it is also attracting non-
Muslim investors because they see it as socially responsible investment. This indicates an important discovery
regarding investment behaviour of the cross cultural investors. They not only invest for maximizing their wealth
but also to fulfil their responsibilities towards the wellbeing of the society by investing in equity based ventures.
The Islamic Mutual Funds is increasingly becoming popular mode among the rational Muslim community
because of their risk and return features. With the emergence of Islamic Mutual Fund trend has been observed
among the Muslim investors that they are increasingly shifting towards Islamic Mutual Funds. Since 1990s
equity investment and total wealth under the management of Islamic equity funds (excluding capital appreciation)
has grown at an annual rate more than 15%. In Pakistan, Islamic Mutual Funds were started in 1995 with the
introduction of Al Meezan Investment Management Limited’s first Islamic Mutual Fund (Al Meezan Mutual
Fund) on July 13, 1995. The total assets for Islamic equity funds have increased from USD800 million in 1996 to
USD3.6 billion in 2003 (Abderrezak 2008). According to him, there were 29 Islamic equity funds in 1996 and
this number has increased to 232 funds in March, 2009 based on the list provided by Failaka Advisors.
European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.20, 2014
157
The volume of investment in Islamic Mutual Funds has shown an increasing trendbecause of its features of being
moreethical and socially responsible mode of investment among the investment opportunities available in the
market. Furthermore, Elfakhani and Hassan (2007) conclude that Islamic Mutual Funds has shown a strong
performance as compared to the conventional benchmark (S&P 500 Index) and the Islamic benchmark (FTSE
Islamic Indices) even in the recessionary period of 2000-02. This is why it is expected that the investors;
especially the conventional investors may consider the Islamic funds while selecting their portfolio during the
recession period.
This tendency of the investors towards Islamic mode of financing shows that Islamic finance is increasingly
becoming vital part of global financial system. In future, better performance is expected due to its present
significant position in market. As Islamic finance industry is showing a strong growth the performance of
Islamic Mutual Funds will improve with the passage of time. The capability of the Islamic Mutual Funds to
sustain and to show more competitive performance during the bearish market (Elfakhani and Hassan 2007) has
shown that Islamic Mutual Funds can be a good risk management tool as it faced global crisis solidly. Indirectly,
the funds could be a good hedging investment for the investors, if they useit to hedge against market downturns
(Elfakhani et al. 2005). Despite of this popularity and enormous scope the academic literature on Islamic Mutual
Funds (more specifically on their performance) has unfortunately lagged behind. This has negatively affected the
already poor transparency on the performance of these funds. This study intends to mitigate this problem by
answering the question: How have Islamic Mutual Funds performed for the past five years in comparison to their
benchmarks? In addition to this, the risk and returns characteristics of Islamic Mutual Funds during the recession
period (bear market) would be analysed. Furthermore, this study aims to give an insight into the nature of
Islamic investing, explain the rationale behind it and will discuss the major opportunities and challenges for this
interesting new investment industry.
1.1 Significance of the study:
Growth and expansion of Pakistan’s economy mainly depends on the level of investment in real sector. For this
purpose, mutual funds irrespective of their nature whether they are of conventional type or Islamic can play
significant role in mobilizing funds for long term investments. Islamic Mutual Funds have great potential in
mobilizing the saving and attracting the investors if they are able to show competitive returns. Riba free return
given by the Islamic Mutual Funds is an additional incentive to the Muslim citizens of Pakistan as the believers
of Islam knows that riba is strongly prohibited in Islam. Islamic Mutual Funds industry in world has a very brief
history but experienced fast growth. According to various estimates the size of Islamic finance industry is
estimated to be around US$ 500 billion in terms of assets and the market has been growing at about 15% a year
for the last ten years. There are more than 300 Islamic finance institutions in 75 countries around the world
providing not just commercial banking services but also funds management services etc. At present more than
500 Shariah-compliant funds are operating globally.
Islamic Mutual Funds has been for the last sixteen years in the financial market of Pakistan,it is a reasonably
long time during which no systematic or significant study has been conducted to evaluate its risk or return
profiles. Availability of this information is likely to increase attractiveness of the Islamic mutual funds for the
investors and institutions. This study would be of much importance as because it will provide investors and
regulators overviewof and insights into the performance of the Islamic Mutual Funds. The findings shall benefit
them especially if they plan to invest or participate in the mutual funds industry in an emerging market like
Pakistan. Moreover, to the best of my knowledge the data to be used in this study is more recent and
comprehensive and this study would Insha’Allah fulfill the gap of non-availability of fresh and comprehensive
package of study regarding the performance of Islamic Mutual Funds in Pakistan.
1.2 Objective of the Study:
The study would aimto achieve the under mentioned four objectives:
1. To have an insight of the Islamic Finance Industry and emergence of Islamic Mutual Funds.
2. To evaluate the performance of Islamic Mutual Funds in Pakistan for the past five years period.
3. To examine the performance of the Islamic Mutual Funds during the recession period in Pakistan
4. To examine the Islamic Mutual Funds return profilewith the Islamic benchmark constructed for the
purpose and KSE 100 Index.
2. METHODOLOGY
The study is essentially empirical in nature. It wants to evaluate performance of five Islamic Mutual Funds
namely Meezan Islamic Fund, JS Islamic Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Fund, AL Meezan Mutual Fund
and Meezan Balance Fund from July 1, 2007 to June 30th
2012. It uses recent data obtained from websites of
Mutual Fund Association of Pakistan, Karachi Stock Exchange and State Bank of Pakistan. At some stage the
study has designed its own benchmark for the purpose of evaluation.
This chapter is designed to describe data collectionfor this study and statistical tools and techniquesto be used in
this study and later it will describes construction of Islamic benchmark by the study to be used to calculate and
European Journal of Business and Management
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.20, 2014
compare different tests discussed in methodology section. The discussio
under:
Section 3.1 Data description, 3.2 Methodology and 3.3 will cover the Construction of Islamic benchmark index.
2.1 Data Description:
This section aims to provide a concise description of the data to be used in t
describe the selection process of the dataset and its origin. Total population of Islamic Mutual Funds is 29 out of
which 27 are open ended and 2 close ended Islamic Mutual Funds. However sample size would be five sin
consistent data for a period of five years is available in respect of five Islamic Mutual Funds. Funds havingage
less than five years would not be included in the study. Hence bulk of funds launched after 2007 are excluded in
this study. The dataset would consist of monthly unit pricesof these five Islamic Mutual Funds and these unit
prices would be obtained from the website of Mutual Funds Association of Pakistan and periodical returns of the
funds. There are more funds which were established in 200
period of data. Funds included in study would be Meezan Islamic Fund, JS Islamic Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element
Islamic Fund, Al Meezan Mutual Fund and Meezan Balanced Fund. Last two are close ended fun
open ended Islamic Mutual Funds.
The period of analysis is from 0I-07
period is chosen on the base of availability; since the Islamic Mutual Funds are in their initial stag
and to date five funds in total could complete five years age.
The proxy for the risk free rate is the monthly quoted yield on a one
period. KIBOR is the conventional benchmark that has been for Islamic pr
availability of reliable and consistent Islamic benchmark. Data on KIBOR rate will be obtained from the website
of State bank of Pakistan, while data on KSE 100 market indices will be extracted from the website of Kara
Stock and other available sources.
2.2 Methodology:
Evaluating the performance of mutual funds requires an understanding on multiple dimensions of their returns
profile. There are multiple facets that will be taken into account when trying to understan
fund has performed over a specific period. The following discussion will gives an overview of the tools that
would be used in this study and these have been selected from the available financial literature.
2.2.1 Hypothesis Formulation
H1: Islamic Mutual Funds offers returns below KSE returns as conventional benchmark.
H2: Islamic Mutual Funds have low risk than conventional Mutual Funds.
H3: Islamic Mutual Funds offer benefits of market timing abilities.
H4: Islamic Mutual Funds portfolio is better in recession period 2007
2.2.2 Statistical Techniques to be used
a. Average Return
The most basic and simple method to evaluate fund returns is by calculating the average total return and
comparing it to the Average Return of the bench
Where
‘R’ is the return on fund at time t
‘n’ represents the number of fund returns in the sample.
b. Jensen’s Alpha
It is one of the most prominent and commonly used performance evaluation measures in
developed by Michael Jensen (1966). Jensen’s model is based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) but
has some fundamental differences which are explained below, mathematically it is explained as:
Rp = the return on portfolio/fund p
Rf = the return on a risk free asset
α = the intercept of the model to be estimated using regression analysis
β = the systematic risk of portfolio p to be estimated using regression analysis
Rm = the return of the market portfolio
µ = the error term
Equation mentioned above thus shows tha
the market and that alpha is the return on that portfolio over and above that predicted by the CAPM.
c. Sharp Ratio (SR)
Another commonly used performance evaluation measure in f
widely known as Sharp Ratio. It was developed by William Sharpe (1966) in the late sixties, but it is still widely
European Journal of Business and Management
2839 (Online)
158
compare different tests discussed in methodology section. The discussion in the chapter will be organized as
Section 3.1 Data description, 3.2 Methodology and 3.3 will cover the Construction of Islamic benchmark index.
This section aims to provide a concise description of the data to be used in this study. Additionally, it would also
describe the selection process of the dataset and its origin. Total population of Islamic Mutual Funds is 29 out of
which 27 are open ended and 2 close ended Islamic Mutual Funds. However sample size would be five sin
consistent data for a period of five years is available in respect of five Islamic Mutual Funds. Funds havingage
less than five years would not be included in the study. Hence bulk of funds launched after 2007 are excluded in
would consist of monthly unit pricesof these five Islamic Mutual Funds and these unit
prices would be obtained from the website of Mutual Funds Association of Pakistan and periodical returns of the
funds. There are more funds which were established in 2008-09 or later but not included in sample due to limited
period of data. Funds included in study would be Meezan Islamic Fund, JS Islamic Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element
Islamic Fund, Al Meezan Mutual Fund and Meezan Balanced Fund. Last two are close ended fun
07-2007 to 30-06-2012.Each fund has a maximum of 60 data points. This
period is chosen on the base of availability; since the Islamic Mutual Funds are in their initial stag
and to date five funds in total could complete five years age.
The proxy for the risk free rate is the monthly quoted yield on a one-month KIBOR rate during the sample
period. KIBOR is the conventional benchmark that has been for Islamic products in Pakistan because of the non
availability of reliable and consistent Islamic benchmark. Data on KIBOR rate will be obtained from the website
of State bank of Pakistan, while data on KSE 100 market indices will be extracted from the website of Kara
Evaluating the performance of mutual funds requires an understanding on multiple dimensions of their returns
profile. There are multiple facets that will be taken into account when trying to understan
fund has performed over a specific period. The following discussion will gives an overview of the tools that
would be used in this study and these have been selected from the available financial literature.
H1: Islamic Mutual Funds offers returns below KSE returns as conventional benchmark.
H2: Islamic Mutual Funds have low risk than conventional Mutual Funds.
H3: Islamic Mutual Funds offer benefits of market timing abilities.
tfolio is better in recession period 2007-09.
2.2.2 Statistical Techniques to be used
The most basic and simple method to evaluate fund returns is by calculating the average total return and
comparing it to the Average Return of the benchmark. Mathematically, Average Return is defined as
‘n’ represents the number of fund returns in the sample.
It is one of the most prominent and commonly used performance evaluation measures in
developed by Michael Jensen (1966). Jensen’s model is based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) but
has some fundamental differences which are explained below, mathematically it is explained as:
α = the intercept of the model to be estimated using regression analysis
β = the systematic risk of portfolio p to be estimated using regression analysis
Rm = the return of the market portfolio
Equation mentioned above thus shows that a portfolio’s excess returns are a linear function of their sensitivity to
the market and that alpha is the return on that portfolio over and above that predicted by the CAPM.
Another commonly used performance evaluation measure in financial research is the Reward to Variability
widely known as Sharp Ratio. It was developed by William Sharpe (1966) in the late sixties, but it is still widely
www.iiste.org
n in the chapter will be organized as
Section 3.1 Data description, 3.2 Methodology and 3.3 will cover the Construction of Islamic benchmark index.
his study. Additionally, it would also
describe the selection process of the dataset and its origin. Total population of Islamic Mutual Funds is 29 out of
which 27 are open ended and 2 close ended Islamic Mutual Funds. However sample size would be five since the
consistent data for a period of five years is available in respect of five Islamic Mutual Funds. Funds havingage
less than five years would not be included in the study. Hence bulk of funds launched after 2007 are excluded in
would consist of monthly unit pricesof these five Islamic Mutual Funds and these unit
prices would be obtained from the website of Mutual Funds Association of Pakistan and periodical returns of the
09 or later but not included in sample due to limited
period of data. Funds included in study would be Meezan Islamic Fund, JS Islamic Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element
Islamic Fund, Al Meezan Mutual Fund and Meezan Balanced Fund. Last two are close ended funds and rests are
2012.Each fund has a maximum of 60 data points. This
period is chosen on the base of availability; since the Islamic Mutual Funds are in their initial stages in Pakistan,
month KIBOR rate during the sample
oducts in Pakistan because of the non-
availability of reliable and consistent Islamic benchmark. Data on KIBOR rate will be obtained from the website
of State bank of Pakistan, while data on KSE 100 market indices will be extracted from the website of Karachi
Evaluating the performance of mutual funds requires an understanding on multiple dimensions of their returns
profile. There are multiple facets that will be taken into account when trying to understand how “well” a certain
fund has performed over a specific period. The following discussion will gives an overview of the tools that
would be used in this study and these have been selected from the available financial literature.
The most basic and simple method to evaluate fund returns is by calculating the average total return and
mark. Mathematically, Average Return is defined as
It is one of the most prominent and commonly used performance evaluation measures in financial literature and
developed by Michael Jensen (1966). Jensen’s model is based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) but
has some fundamental differences which are explained below, mathematically it is explained as:
t a portfolio’s excess returns are a linear function of their sensitivity to
the market and that alpha is the return on that portfolio over and above that predicted by the CAPM.
inancial research is the Reward to Variability
widely known as Sharp Ratio. It was developed by William Sharpe (1966) in the late sixties, but it is still widely
European Journal of Business and Management
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.20, 2014
used today as it provides a simple number to rank funds or portfolios. Here, additional portfo
free return is related with the total risk of the portfolio. Mathematically the Reward to Variability or SR can be
described as:
With the variables in the nominator being:
Rp = the Average Return of portfolio p for
Rf = the Average Return of the risk free security for the sample period and the
denominator being:
This equation is the standard deviation of the fund portfolio return over the sample period, with Rp as the return
portfolio p, as the Average Return of the portfolio during the sample period and n representing the number
of return observations in the sample.
d.Treynor Ratio (TR)
TR was introduced by Treynor (1966) and is quite similar to the Reward to Var
reward to risk ratio in a single number. It is also widely known as Reward to Volatility Ratio. The difference
however lies in the definition of risk, which is the systematic risk of a portfolio rather than the total risk.
additional returns of the portfolio over the risk free return is expressed in relation to portfolio‘s systematic risk.
Mathematically the Treynor Ratio can be defined as:
With the variables in the nominator being:
Rp = the Average Return of portfolio p for the sample period
Rf = the Average Return of the risk free security for the sample period
β = the systematic risk of portfolio p, to be estimated using regression analysis
e. The Information Ratio (IR)
The information ratio is a performance measure often used to evaluate actively managed funds. It is the ratio of
average active return to active risk and was first mentioned by Treynor and Black (1973) as the appraisal ratio
and later by Grinold (1989) as the information ratio. Mathematically it is expressed as:
Where Rpatis defined as:
andψp is defined as:
Rp = the return on portfolio/ fund p
Rm = the return of the market portfolio
Here n is the number of return observations and the bar above Rp indicates an average and (ψ
standard deviation of the difference between returns of portfolio p and the benchmark return. This statistic is
often called the “tracking error” since it indicates how well a certain portfolio follows its benchmark.
Information ratio indicates the portfolio return above
risk is low it means the portfolio returns don’t deviate too much from the benchmark returns. One can imagine
that a fund that tracks the market quite well, but has a higher return is quite attra
f. Market Timing Ability (gamma)
The previously discussed performance measures mainly relate to the ability of a fund manager to pick the right
stocks and assume constant means and risk. Treynor and Mazuy (1966) however proposed a model which
allows for the ability of fund managers to partially shift their managed capital between a safe assets and risky
securities depending on whether the market is expected to do well or bad. Mathematically their model is
expressed as:
European Journal of Business and Management
2839 (Online)
159
used today as it provides a simple number to rank funds or portfolios. Here, additional portfo
free return is related with the total risk of the portfolio. Mathematically the Reward to Variability or SR can be
With the variables in the nominator being:
Rp = the Average Return of portfolio p for the sample period
Rf = the Average Return of the risk free security for the sample period and the
This equation is the standard deviation of the fund portfolio return over the sample period, with Rp as the return
as the Average Return of the portfolio during the sample period and n representing the number
of return observations in the sample.
TR was introduced by Treynor (1966) and is quite similar to the Reward to Variability since it also provides a
reward to risk ratio in a single number. It is also widely known as Reward to Volatility Ratio. The difference
however lies in the definition of risk, which is the systematic risk of a portfolio rather than the total risk.
additional returns of the portfolio over the risk free return is expressed in relation to portfolio‘s systematic risk.
Mathematically the Treynor Ratio can be defined as:
With the variables in the nominator being:
e Return of portfolio p for the sample period
Rf = the Average Return of the risk free security for the sample period
β = the systematic risk of portfolio p, to be estimated using regression analysis
The information ratio is a performance measure often used to evaluate actively managed funds. It is the ratio of
e risk and was first mentioned by Treynor and Black (1973) as the appraisal ratio
and later by Grinold (1989) as the information ratio. Mathematically it is expressed as:
Rp = the return on portfolio/ fund p
Rm = the return of the market portfolio
Here n is the number of return observations and the bar above Rp indicates an average and (ψ
ion of the difference between returns of portfolio p and the benchmark return. This statistic is
often called the “tracking error” since it indicates how well a certain portfolio follows its benchmark.
Information ratio indicates the portfolio return above the benchmark index per unit of active risk. If this active
risk is low it means the portfolio returns don’t deviate too much from the benchmark returns. One can imagine
that a fund that tracks the market quite well, but has a higher return is quite attractive.
The previously discussed performance measures mainly relate to the ability of a fund manager to pick the right
stocks and assume constant means and risk. Treynor and Mazuy (1966) however proposed a model which
ws for the ability of fund managers to partially shift their managed capital between a safe assets and risky
securities depending on whether the market is expected to do well or bad. Mathematically their model is
www.iiste.org
used today as it provides a simple number to rank funds or portfolios. Here, additional portfolio return over risk
free return is related with the total risk of the portfolio. Mathematically the Reward to Variability or SR can be
This equation is the standard deviation of the fund portfolio return over the sample period, with Rp as the return
as the Average Return of the portfolio during the sample period and n representing the number
iability since it also provides a
reward to risk ratio in a single number. It is also widely known as Reward to Volatility Ratio. The difference
however lies in the definition of risk, which is the systematic risk of a portfolio rather than the total risk. Here,
additional returns of the portfolio over the risk free return is expressed in relation to portfolio‘s systematic risk.
The information ratio is a performance measure often used to evaluate actively managed funds. It is the ratio of
e risk and was first mentioned by Treynor and Black (1973) as the appraisal ratio
Here n is the number of return observations and the bar above Rp indicates an average and (ψp) is simply the
ion of the difference between returns of portfolio p and the benchmark return. This statistic is
often called the “tracking error” since it indicates how well a certain portfolio follows its benchmark.
the benchmark index per unit of active risk. If this active
risk is low it means the portfolio returns don’t deviate too much from the benchmark returns. One can imagine
The previously discussed performance measures mainly relate to the ability of a fund manager to pick the right
stocks and assume constant means and risk. Treynor and Mazuy (1966) however proposed a model which
ws for the ability of fund managers to partially shift their managed capital between a safe assets and risky
securities depending on whether the market is expected to do well or bad. Mathematically their model is
European Journal of Business and Management
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.20, 2014
Rp = the return on portfolio/fund p
Rf = the return on the risk free asset
= the intercept of the model, to be estimated using regression analysis
= the systematic risk of portfolio p, to be estimated using regression analysis
Rm = the return of the market portfolio
= the error term
And γp being the coefficient that implies market timing ability, to be estimated through regression analysis.
2.3 Islamic Benchmark Construction:
In addition to the six tools discussed above, I would construct an Islamic benchmark for performance evaluati
Since the Islamic Mutual Funds can only invest in Shariah Compliant Securities, their performance needs to be
evaluated against Shariah Compliant Market Indices. Islamic Mutual Fund securities benchmark will be
constructed by using equally weighted met
Since Islamic Mutual Funds may even be attractive to Non
against conventional benchmarks. For this purpose, KSE
assess and compare performance.
3. RESULTS
3.1 Average Returns
Average Returns of IMFs and Islamic Benchmark Indices
Fund Name
MIF JSIF PIEIF
-0.0034 -0.0145 -0.0044
3.2 Jensen Alpha Model
Regression Output for CAPM using Islamic Indices
Fund Name Jenison’s Alpha
MIF 0.0065
JSIF 0.0007
PIEIF -0.0039
AL MMF -0.0020
MBF -0.0043
Overall -0.0006
3.3 Sharpe Model
Sharpe Ratio of Islamic Funds against Conventional & Islamic Benchmark
Islamic Benchmark
Fund SR
MIF -0.0191
JSIF -0.0387
PIEIF -0.0155
AL MMF -0.0305
MBF -0.0133
Average -0.0234
3.4 Information Ratio
Information Ratio of Islamic Mutual Funds against Conventional Benchmark
Islamic Benchmark
Fund IR
MIF 0.0981
JSIF -0.1271
PIEIF 0.0629
AL MMF 0.0147
MBF 0.1077
Average 0.1563
European Journal of Business and Management
2839 (Online)
160
Rf = the return on the risk free asset
= the intercept of the model, to be estimated using regression analysis
= the systematic risk of portfolio p, to be estimated using regression analysis
rn of the market portfolio
And γp being the coefficient that implies market timing ability, to be estimated through regression analysis.
2.3 Islamic Benchmark Construction:
In addition to the six tools discussed above, I would construct an Islamic benchmark for performance evaluati
Since the Islamic Mutual Funds can only invest in Shariah Compliant Securities, their performance needs to be
evaluated against Shariah Compliant Market Indices. Islamic Mutual Fund securities benchmark will be
constructed by using equally weighted method to be used as proxy to market and examine Islamic Mutual Funds.
Since Islamic Mutual Funds may even be attractive to Non-Muslim investors, their performance is also evaluated
against conventional benchmarks. For this purpose, KSE-100 will be used as proxy to conventional market to
Average Returns of IMFs and Islamic Benchmark Indices
Benchmark
PIEIF AL MMF MBF Islamic Index
0.0044 -0.0067 -0.0008 -0.0079
Regression Output for CAPM using Islamic Indices
Jenison’s Alpha Beta R2
0.9166 0.7385
1.5377 0.9157
0.5777 0.6488
0.8331 0.5655
0.2889 0.3112
0.8308 0.6359
Sharpe Ratio of Islamic Funds against Conventional & Islamic Benchmark
Islamic Benchmark Conventional Benchmark
SR
-0.1318
-0.2048
-0.2256
-0.1707
-0.2150
-0.1899
Information Ratio of Islamic Mutual Funds against Conventional Benchmark
Islamic Benchmark Conventional Benchmark
IR
-0.0578
-0.1002
-0.0530
-0.1257
-0.0139
-0.0701
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And γp being the coefficient that implies market timing ability, to be estimated through regression analysis.
In addition to the six tools discussed above, I would construct an Islamic benchmark for performance evaluation.
Since the Islamic Mutual Funds can only invest in Shariah Compliant Securities, their performance needs to be
evaluated against Shariah Compliant Market Indices. Islamic Mutual Fund securities benchmark will be
hod to be used as proxy to market and examine Islamic Mutual Funds.
Muslim investors, their performance is also evaluated
oxy to conventional market to
Benchmark
Islamic Index
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ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.20, 2014
161
3.5 Market Timing Ability
Market Timing Ability (Gamma) of IMFs Managers using Islamic Benchmark
Fund
Name
MIF JSIF PIEIF AL MMF MBF Overall
Gamma 1.5118 -2.0130 1.0093 0.4411 1.1539 0.4976
R2 0.8006 0.9642 0.7057 0.5705 0.4647 0.7011
3.6 Construction of Islamic Benchmark
The outcome of Islamic Benchmark construction and their Results
Meezan Islamic Fund (MIF)
Jensen Alpha Model
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.006549 0.007383 0.887052 0.378714
MKT 0.916608 0.07161 12.79994 1.53E-18
R-squared 0.738548 Mean dependent var. -0.01691
Adjusted R-squared 0.734041 S.D. dependent var 0.107414
S.E. of regression 0.055395 Akaike info criterion -2.91589
Sum squared resid 0.177979 Schwarz criterion -2.84608
Log likelihood 89.47675 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.88858
F-statistic 163.8384 Durbin-Watson stat 1.952129
Prob(F-statistic) 1.53E-18
Market Timing Ability
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.00131 0.006621 0.197903 0.843825
MKT 1.339378 0.118518 11.30105 3.52E-16
MKT2 1.51177 0.358796 4.213454 9.06E-05
R-squared 0.800641 Mean dependent var -0.01691
Adjusted R-squared 0.793646 S.D. dependent var 0.107414
S.E. of regression 0.048794 Akaike info criterion -3.1537
Sum squared resid 0.13571 Schwarz criterion -3.04898
Log likelihood 97.61097 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.11274
F-statistic 114.458 Durbin-Watson stat 2.462465
Prob(F-statistic) 1.10E-20
JS Islamic Fund (JIS)
Jensen Alpha Model
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.000727 0.006314 0.115211 0.908676
MKT 1.537732 0.061247 25.10701 7.58E-33
R-squared 0.915742 Mean dependent var -0.03863
Adjusted R-squared 0.914289 S.D. dependent var 0.161831
S.E. of regression 0.047378 Akaike info criterion -3.22854
Sum squared resid 0.130193 Schwarz criterion -3.15873
Log likelihood 98.85613 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.20123
F-statistic 630.3617 Durbin-Watson stat 1.646025
Prob(F-statistic) 7.58E-33
Market Timing Ability
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.007703 0.004225 1.823314 0.073501
MKT 0.974804 0.075624 12.89018 1.55E-18
MKT2 -2.01295 0.22894 -8.7925 3.38E-12
R-squared 0.964241 Mean dependent var -0.03863
Adjusted R-squared 0.962986 S.D. dependent var 0.161831
S.E. of regression 0.031135 Akaike info criterion -4.05229
Sum squared resid 0.055254 Schwarz criterion -3.94757
Log likelihood 124.5687 Hannan-Quinn criter. -4.01133
F-statistic 768.5046 Durbin-Watson stat 1.90485
Prob(F-statistic) 5.91E-42
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Pakistan International Islamic Fund (PEIIF)
Jensen Alpha Model
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -0.00397 0.005804 -0.68401 0.496691
MKT 0.577798 0.056302 10.26243 1.18E-14
R-squared 0.644864 Mean dependent var -0.01876
Adjusted R-squared 0.63874 S.D. dependent var 0.072462
S.E. of regression 0.043553 Akaike info criterion -3.3969
Sum squared resid 0.110019 Schwarz criterion -3.32709
Log likelihood 103.9071 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.3696
F-statistic 105.3175 Durbin-Watson stat 2.661418
Prob(F-statistic) 1.18E-14
Market Timing Ability
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -0.00747 0.005427 -1.37604 0.174193
MKT 0.860041 0.097147 8.853015 2.69E-12
MKT2 1.009265 0.294097 3.431739 0.001123
R-squared 0.705674 Mean dependent var -0.01876
Adjusted R-squared 0.695347 S.D. dependent var 0.072462
S.E. of regression 0.039996 Akaike info criterion -3.55139
Sum squared resid 0.09118 Schwarz criterion -3.44667
Log likelihood 109.5416 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.51043
F-statistic 68.33156 Durbin-Watson stat 2.611142
Prob(F-statistic) 7.27E-16
Al-Meezan Mutual Fund (ALMMF)
Jensen Alpha Model
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -0.00209 0.009885 -0.21182 0.83299
MKT 0.833162 0.095883 8.689383 4.33E-12
R-squared 0.565561 Mean dependent var -0.02342
Adjusted R-squared 0.55807 S.D. dependent var 0.111573
S.E. of regression 0.074171 Akaike info criterion -2.33212
Sum squared resid 0.319078 Schwarz criterion -2.26231
Log likelihood 71.96358 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.30481
F-statistic 75.50538 Durbin-Watson stat 2.527161
Prob(F-statistic) 4.33E-12
Market Timing Ability
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -0.00362 0.010095 -0.35882 0.721053
MKT 0.956503 0.180703 5.293243 2.00E-06
MKT2 0.44105 0.54705 0.806234 0.423459
R-squared 0.570459 Mean dependent var -0.02342
Adjusted R-squared 0.555387 S.D. dependent var 0.111573
S.E. of regression 0.074396 Akaike info criterion -2.31013
Sum squared resid 0.315481 Schwarz criterion -2.20541
Log likelihood 72.30375 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.26916
F-statistic 37.84989 Durbin-Watson stat 2.536597
Prob(F-statistic) 3.47E-11
Meezan Balanced Fund (MBF)
Jensen Alpha Model
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -0.00435 0.005818 -0.74701 0.458078
MKT 0.288921 0.056436 5.119431 3.64E-06
R-squared 0.311234 Mean dependent var -0.01174
Adjusted R-squared 0.299359 S.D. dependent var 0.052156
S.E. of regression 0.043657 Akaike info criterion -3.39215
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Sum squared resid 0.110543 Schwarz criterion -3.32234
Log likelihood 103.7646 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.36485
F-statistic 26.20857 Durbin-Watson stat 1.507473
Prob(F-statistic) 3.64E-06
Market Timing Ability
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -0.00834 0.005268 -1.58405 0.118716
MKT 0.611609 0.094302 6.485656 2.28E-08
MKT2 1.15389 0.285485 4.041864 0.000161
R-squared 0.464665 Mean dependent var -0.01174
Adjusted R-squared 0.445882 S.D. dependent var 0.052156
S.E. of regression 0.038824 Akaike info criterion -3.61083
Sum squared resid 0.085918 Schwarz criterion -3.50611
Log likelihood 111.3249 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.56987
F-statistic 24.73772 Durbin-Watson stat 1.78099
Prob(F-statistic) 1.84E-08
4. SUMMARY
Finally this chapter going to conclude this entire study where the section 4.1 represents the discussion regarding
the conclusions of the study, section 4.2 consists of the recommendations of presented by this study.
4.1 Conclusions:
This research has analyzed the Islamic mutual fund’s performance in Pakistan. In order to analyze the
performance five Islamic funds have been selected as a sample which are Meezan Islamic Fund (MIF), JS
Islamic Fund (JSIF), Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Fund (PEIIF), AL Meezan Mutual Fund (ALMF) and
Meezan Balanced Fund (MBF).The data of these funds for five years period from 01-07- 2007 to 30-06-2012 has
been used for the analysis during this study. It is of much importance to mention here that the recessionary
period of 2008 to 2009 is the part of this five years data used for the analysis. This recessionary period affected
the ability to earn profits of business firms in Pakistan as well as globally.
Out of the five funds used in this study Al-Meezan Mutual Fund and Meezan Balanced Fund are the two close
ended funds whereas the other three are open ended funds. The motive behind the selection of this specific five
years period and using the data of five funds for the analysis is to study a sample which is consistent. The
evaluation process of the sample has been undertaken on the basis two different benchmarks one is Islamic and
the other is based on conventional market index. The Islamic benchmark has been fabricated by the researcher of
this study and the conventional benchmark is based on the KSE-100 returns.
Before going into the quantitative evaluation of the performance of Islamic Funds, this study has thrown light on
how the concept of Islamic banking and finance evolved over time and different type of funds introduced by
Islamic banks. It is noted here that six different types of funds are being operated which includes equity funds,
Ijarah funds, commodity funds, murabaha funds and mixed funds. It has been observed that these funds are
gradually and consistently growing and their popularity and acceptability among the investors is also increasing.
This research at the first step analyzed the return profile of the Islamic Mutual Funds, for this purpose average
return of the funds has been calculated. Having a close look at the results produced by this measure it has been
observed that the funds under study are showing negative returns for the sample period. Similarly the Islamic
benchmark is observed to be showing negative returns.
The results given by the average return against Islamic benchmark indicates that the Meezan Balanced Fund,
Meezan Islamic Fund and AL Meezan Mutual Fund are the top three funds that have reflected minimum loss
with reference to the Islamic index. However, benchmark based on KSE -100 index returns and termed as
conventional has shown a positive return of 0.01% during the analysis period. All the funds have shown poor
performance against the conventional benchmarks and their average returns are having negative sign. The
Meezan Balanced Fund has shown the minimum loss in comparison to other funds which signify the better
performance with reference to the other four funds.
Further, this research used the measures that take into consideration the risk factors in order to evaluate the
performance of Islamic Funds. There have been some standard risk-adjusted measures for these purposes which
are Jensen’s alpha model, the Sharp Ratio (SR), the Treynor Ratio (TR), and the Information Ratio (IR). The
first measure that evaluates the Islamic funds by considering the risk factor (alpha) was determined separately
for each of the Funds using the revised version of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) introduced by Jensen
(1968). The results of this model have shown that the Islamic funds there is as such no clear evidence on the
basis of which it can be concluded that the funds have clearly underperform or outperformed the with reference
to the Islamic benchmark. These funds under study have reflected mixed results on the basis of Jensen Alpha.
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Meezan Islamic Fund and JS Islamic funds have been able to outperform better as compared to the Islamic
benchmark. Positive Alphas of Meezan Islamic Fund and JS Islamic Fund are 0.65% and 0.07% respectively.
This implies that Islamic Mutual Funds have outperformed their benchmark by 0.65% and 0.07% annually.
Other three funds underperformed in relation to their Islamic benchmarks, at least based on Jensen’s measure
using Islamic Indices. Moreover, the interesting part of this analysis is the values of ‘beta’ on the average the
values of beta of Islamic Mutual Funds is low which is 0.83. This indicates that these funds are a good option
for risk management and they can be included in a portfolio to balance the returns with a risky investment
opportunity. The investors who love to play safe will prefer such funds to be included in their portfolio.
It has been determined that the Islamic Mutual Funds don’t fluctuate much with the conventional market
benchmark (average value of beta against the conventional benchmark is 0.70) which is less than the value of
beta against the Islamic benchmark. This situation is quite logical as the conventional markets are allowed to
include number of stocks which the managers of Islamic Funds can’t have, this makes the Islamic Mutual Fund’s
sensitivity lesser to the conventional market returns.
The estimation of the Sharpe Ratios and Treynor Ratios signifies that the Islamic Mutual Funds have
underperformed the Conventional as well as the Islamic benchmark; however, this lower performance of the
funds is immaterial. The results of SR and TR seems to be the same as concluded by Hakim and Rashidian
(2002) , their conclusions indicate that the screening process of Islamic investment does not leave significant
impact on the risk return profile of a usual portfolio.
On the basis of Information Ratio, the IMFs on average reported positive results against the Islamic benchmark.
On the other hand they have reported below average performance with reference to the conventional benchmark.
In addition to this, the results of Treynor Ratio of Islamic Mutual Funds seems to be extra interesting as it is
based on the ratio of systematic risk to its return. It indicated that Islamic Mutual Funds on average resulted
negative return of -0.1019 per unit of systematic risk. Individually, the 3 best performing funds based on the TR
are Meezan Balanced Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Fund and Meezan Islamic Fund which have a TR of -
0.0113, -0.0155 and -0.0191 respectively.
It seems that period under study was badly affected by 2007-08 financial crisis and as its positive returns were
reversed by 2007-08 recession. The average TR of Islamic Mutual Funds benchmarked against a conventional
index is -0.5842 meaning that on average Islamic Mutual Funds earn per unit of systematic risk. This is more
than two of the previous Islamic benchmark based TR, which is -0.0230. Individually, the top three performing
funds according to their conventional based TR measure are Meezan Balanced Fund, Pakistan Int’l Element
Islamic Fund and AL Meezan Mutual Fund with TR ratios of -0.0087, -0.0196 and -0.0225 respectively.
These low values of betas of Islamic Funds to some extent compensate their lower returns as compared to the
market indices. In such a way Islamic Funds in Pakistan becomes a fascinating mode of investment as part of a
large fully diversified portfolio for example a fund of different funds. Moreover, Islamic Funds with the passage
of time have become attractive to the investors from Non-Muslim community as it is a kind of Socially
Responsible mode of Investment. It is quite evident that the performances of these funds don’t differ
significantly from the conventional market that makes it easy for the shift their resources to the Islamic funds
without losing much.
Besides using the earlier mentioned measure for evaluation of funds’ performance, the ability of the fund
managers to time the market has been estimated by determining the gamma factor of Islamic Funds. Treynor and
Mazuy (1966) introduced a model to estimate the manager’s market timing ability while placing their resources.
This model also demonstrates few forewarnings like the of Jensen’s alpha model does, firstly it looks to
overemphasize the alpha when the market timing ability exists and underrates the factor of alpha as adversative
ability to time the market is prevalent. A factor Alpha as presented by the Jensen’s model indicates the ability to
select the right stocks is combined with gamma factor that signify the ability to time the market. Table 5.9
indicates that the average market timing ability (the value of gamma) of Islamic Mutual Funds is 0.4976.
It show that Islamic Mutual Funds slightly underperformed as compared to the benchmark. Hence, the Islamic
Funds slightly fails to offer benefits of market timing to their investors. Whereas the table 5.10 shows the
average coefficient of gamma of Islamic Funds is 0.2996 which points out that the benefit of Market timing
offered by the Islamic Fund Managers to their investors is insignificant. This result very much expected as the
significant value of gamma would have indicated that the managers of IMFs are capable to consistently foresee
the market environment whether it going to slow down or accelerate. This thing is quite unlikely to happen as it
would have meant that the manager can always forecast the future prospects or the market inefficiencies.
It is very important to mention here that the analysis during this study has indicated that the Islamic Funds in
Pakistan have consistently outperformed both the benchmarks during the period of recession from 2007 to 2009
i.e. Islamic as well as conventional. This positive side of Islamic Funds is a source of satisfaction fork investors
who avoid taking much risk and it might satisfy the stakeholders that will help to attract more investors towards
the Islamic Mutual Funds in the Pakistan economy.
Regardless of the point that there have been number of studies undertaken around the globe regarding the
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evaluation of Islamic Mutual fund’s performance, still this research is of distinct importance as it is first and
unique effort towards the empirical evaluation of Islamic Funds operating in Pakistan. This research has
contributed a lot towards the theoretical literature on the subject of performance of Islamic Mutual Funds by
evaluating the main Islamic Mutual Funds through wide-spread empirical analysis and by using the measures
that have been widely acceptable and commonly used. The synopsis regarding the risk and return profile of
Islamic Mutual Funds have stream of generated and the level of risk faced by the individual funds will definitely
contribute towards the pellucidity of their track record. Furthermore, this research has also delivered large
amount of literature on the rationale behind the Islamic modes of investment and their characteristics subsequent
to proving insights towards emergence, growth, possible opportunities and challenges of Islamic Mutual funds
industry in Pakistan.
4.2 Recommendations of the study:
These funds lack awareness among the investors so it is of immense need to create and enhance the awareness
regarding the Islamic funds. This study has discovered that the Islamic funds have paid reasonable returns to the
investors during the period of recession. This study has made efforts toadd something towards the popularity of
Islamic funds in Pakistan. In addition to that, it is of much importance to reorganizethe Shariah monitoring in
order to build the confidence of the Muslim investors that will add to its acceptability among the investors.
Moreover, the feature of Islamic funds which is a source of attraction is that it is a low risk security; this feature
should be advertised in a proper manner that would enhance the confidence of investors. It is also worth
mentioning that the bright future and success of the Islamic funds industry does not hinge on the factor of risk
and return. There are other many factors like management costs, transparency, distribution and marketing which
are equally important for the success of Islamic funds. For this purpose it is recommended that serious needs to
be exerted in order to settle such issues.
There is a problem faced by these funds that needs to settle at the earliest are the disproportionate cost incurred
by the Islamic funds. In order to manage the extra costs an inexpensive and easy way is to invest in the funds
which adopt passive strategies or invest in indexes. By adopting this option, obviously the Islamic Mutual Funds
can be leveraged by these benefits. Deutsche Bank with the coordination of Barclays Bank have already used
this strategy, they have opted to design a chain of products and named it as “Sharia ETF" which are organized
exclusively over the major indexes around the globe like Standards &Poor’s 500 index, Financial Times Stock
Exchange Europe-350 index etc. this has given an opportunity to the German bank to provide a distinctive and
less costly Sharia accommodating route to enter into the world of Islamic equity investments.
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An empirical study of risk return profile of islamic mutual funds-a case from pakistan

  • 1. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 156 An Empirical Study of Risk-Return Profile of Islamic Mutual Funds: A Case from Pakistan Raheel Mumtaz 1 Muhammad Usman 2 Saad Bin Nasir 2 * 1. Department of Commerce, Government College University, Faisalabad, Pakistan 2. Department of Business Administration, Government College University, Faisalabad, Pakistan * E-mail of the corresponding author: saad.goraya@hotmail.co.uk Abstract The remarkable growth of the Islamic mutual funds over the globe has increased demand among investors to include these funds in their portfolio of investments. With the emergence of Islamic Mutual Fund Muslim investors are increasingly shifting to Islamic Mutual Fund. Since 1990s equity investment the total wealth under the management of Islamic equity funds (excluding capital appreciation) has grown at an annual rate in excess of 15%.The growth of the Islamic funds operating in Pakistan is very rapid for example; Islamic Mutual Funds started in 1995 with Al Meezan Investment Management Limited introducing first Islamic Mutual Fund (Al Meezan Mutual Fund) as on July 13, 1995. The value of the total assets for the Islamic equity funds have risen from USD 800 million during the year 1996 to USD 3.6 Billion in just seven years period i.e. 2003. Hence, this research paper is an attempt to investigate risk and returns profile of these funds relative to the respective market Islamic and Conventional benchmarks using panel data analysis from July 2007 to June 2012. Consistent with previous studies conducted to analyze the performance of Islamic funds; on average the results indicate that there is statistically insignificant difference in return performance of the Islamic funds relative to the benchmarks. The result also reveals that there is a superior fund selectivity skill but inferior market timing expertise among the Islamic fund managers within the period of the study. On the contrary, results signify that the Islamic funds have been able minimize the risks as compared to the benchmarks and their returns performance is comparable to the market benchmark. Hence, the outcome of this study would benefit potential investor and market players towards participating in mutual fund industry, particularly in Malaysia. Additionally, the study will add knowledge on Islamic mutual fund’s performance in the finance literatures. Keywords:Islamic Mutual Fund, Performance Evaluation, Panel Data. 1. INTRODUCTION The term Mutual fund is defined as a type of joint investments that allows the investors having similar investment objectives to pool up their resources to be invested in a portfolio of securities or other assets. The managers of the fund then make investments out of the pooled funds in the portfolio funds; particularly include some assets categories like commodities, share/ stocks, cash, bonds, deposits, and also properties corresponding to the objectives of the fund. Mutual funds are an attractive source of investment for those who desire to make money from financial markets but don’t have sufficient information, expertise, or time to manage their own resources. Different types of mutual funds have different objectives like equity funds, fixed income funds, balanced funds and Islamic funds etc. As the Muslims are forbidden to invest in riba based fund investment, it may include securities having partial or full element of riba. Initially Islamic Mutual Funds started from the Middle East, but with the passage of it started to spread its roots in South Asian and South East Asian Muslim countries. Now it has become a worldwide phenomenon and still growing by leaps and bounds. With the product diversification and introduction of more advanced and technology and systems, the business of Islamic banks has considerably increased all over the world which resulted in a more competitive and advanced financial system based on Islamic teachings. Islamic Mutual Funds as a new Shariah compliant product is becoming a popular mode of investment among Muslim people because Muslim scholars are unanimous regarding the permissibility of equity investment. Now it is also attracting non- Muslim investors because they see it as socially responsible investment. This indicates an important discovery regarding investment behaviour of the cross cultural investors. They not only invest for maximizing their wealth but also to fulfil their responsibilities towards the wellbeing of the society by investing in equity based ventures. The Islamic Mutual Funds is increasingly becoming popular mode among the rational Muslim community because of their risk and return features. With the emergence of Islamic Mutual Fund trend has been observed among the Muslim investors that they are increasingly shifting towards Islamic Mutual Funds. Since 1990s equity investment and total wealth under the management of Islamic equity funds (excluding capital appreciation) has grown at an annual rate more than 15%. In Pakistan, Islamic Mutual Funds were started in 1995 with the introduction of Al Meezan Investment Management Limited’s first Islamic Mutual Fund (Al Meezan Mutual Fund) on July 13, 1995. The total assets for Islamic equity funds have increased from USD800 million in 1996 to USD3.6 billion in 2003 (Abderrezak 2008). According to him, there were 29 Islamic equity funds in 1996 and this number has increased to 232 funds in March, 2009 based on the list provided by Failaka Advisors.
  • 2. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 157 The volume of investment in Islamic Mutual Funds has shown an increasing trendbecause of its features of being moreethical and socially responsible mode of investment among the investment opportunities available in the market. Furthermore, Elfakhani and Hassan (2007) conclude that Islamic Mutual Funds has shown a strong performance as compared to the conventional benchmark (S&P 500 Index) and the Islamic benchmark (FTSE Islamic Indices) even in the recessionary period of 2000-02. This is why it is expected that the investors; especially the conventional investors may consider the Islamic funds while selecting their portfolio during the recession period. This tendency of the investors towards Islamic mode of financing shows that Islamic finance is increasingly becoming vital part of global financial system. In future, better performance is expected due to its present significant position in market. As Islamic finance industry is showing a strong growth the performance of Islamic Mutual Funds will improve with the passage of time. The capability of the Islamic Mutual Funds to sustain and to show more competitive performance during the bearish market (Elfakhani and Hassan 2007) has shown that Islamic Mutual Funds can be a good risk management tool as it faced global crisis solidly. Indirectly, the funds could be a good hedging investment for the investors, if they useit to hedge against market downturns (Elfakhani et al. 2005). Despite of this popularity and enormous scope the academic literature on Islamic Mutual Funds (more specifically on their performance) has unfortunately lagged behind. This has negatively affected the already poor transparency on the performance of these funds. This study intends to mitigate this problem by answering the question: How have Islamic Mutual Funds performed for the past five years in comparison to their benchmarks? In addition to this, the risk and returns characteristics of Islamic Mutual Funds during the recession period (bear market) would be analysed. Furthermore, this study aims to give an insight into the nature of Islamic investing, explain the rationale behind it and will discuss the major opportunities and challenges for this interesting new investment industry. 1.1 Significance of the study: Growth and expansion of Pakistan’s economy mainly depends on the level of investment in real sector. For this purpose, mutual funds irrespective of their nature whether they are of conventional type or Islamic can play significant role in mobilizing funds for long term investments. Islamic Mutual Funds have great potential in mobilizing the saving and attracting the investors if they are able to show competitive returns. Riba free return given by the Islamic Mutual Funds is an additional incentive to the Muslim citizens of Pakistan as the believers of Islam knows that riba is strongly prohibited in Islam. Islamic Mutual Funds industry in world has a very brief history but experienced fast growth. According to various estimates the size of Islamic finance industry is estimated to be around US$ 500 billion in terms of assets and the market has been growing at about 15% a year for the last ten years. There are more than 300 Islamic finance institutions in 75 countries around the world providing not just commercial banking services but also funds management services etc. At present more than 500 Shariah-compliant funds are operating globally. Islamic Mutual Funds has been for the last sixteen years in the financial market of Pakistan,it is a reasonably long time during which no systematic or significant study has been conducted to evaluate its risk or return profiles. Availability of this information is likely to increase attractiveness of the Islamic mutual funds for the investors and institutions. This study would be of much importance as because it will provide investors and regulators overviewof and insights into the performance of the Islamic Mutual Funds. The findings shall benefit them especially if they plan to invest or participate in the mutual funds industry in an emerging market like Pakistan. Moreover, to the best of my knowledge the data to be used in this study is more recent and comprehensive and this study would Insha’Allah fulfill the gap of non-availability of fresh and comprehensive package of study regarding the performance of Islamic Mutual Funds in Pakistan. 1.2 Objective of the Study: The study would aimto achieve the under mentioned four objectives: 1. To have an insight of the Islamic Finance Industry and emergence of Islamic Mutual Funds. 2. To evaluate the performance of Islamic Mutual Funds in Pakistan for the past five years period. 3. To examine the performance of the Islamic Mutual Funds during the recession period in Pakistan 4. To examine the Islamic Mutual Funds return profilewith the Islamic benchmark constructed for the purpose and KSE 100 Index. 2. METHODOLOGY The study is essentially empirical in nature. It wants to evaluate performance of five Islamic Mutual Funds namely Meezan Islamic Fund, JS Islamic Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Fund, AL Meezan Mutual Fund and Meezan Balance Fund from July 1, 2007 to June 30th 2012. It uses recent data obtained from websites of Mutual Fund Association of Pakistan, Karachi Stock Exchange and State Bank of Pakistan. At some stage the study has designed its own benchmark for the purpose of evaluation. This chapter is designed to describe data collectionfor this study and statistical tools and techniquesto be used in this study and later it will describes construction of Islamic benchmark by the study to be used to calculate and
  • 3. European Journal of Business and Management ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 compare different tests discussed in methodology section. The discussio under: Section 3.1 Data description, 3.2 Methodology and 3.3 will cover the Construction of Islamic benchmark index. 2.1 Data Description: This section aims to provide a concise description of the data to be used in t describe the selection process of the dataset and its origin. Total population of Islamic Mutual Funds is 29 out of which 27 are open ended and 2 close ended Islamic Mutual Funds. However sample size would be five sin consistent data for a period of five years is available in respect of five Islamic Mutual Funds. Funds havingage less than five years would not be included in the study. Hence bulk of funds launched after 2007 are excluded in this study. The dataset would consist of monthly unit pricesof these five Islamic Mutual Funds and these unit prices would be obtained from the website of Mutual Funds Association of Pakistan and periodical returns of the funds. There are more funds which were established in 200 period of data. Funds included in study would be Meezan Islamic Fund, JS Islamic Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Fund, Al Meezan Mutual Fund and Meezan Balanced Fund. Last two are close ended fun open ended Islamic Mutual Funds. The period of analysis is from 0I-07 period is chosen on the base of availability; since the Islamic Mutual Funds are in their initial stag and to date five funds in total could complete five years age. The proxy for the risk free rate is the monthly quoted yield on a one period. KIBOR is the conventional benchmark that has been for Islamic pr availability of reliable and consistent Islamic benchmark. Data on KIBOR rate will be obtained from the website of State bank of Pakistan, while data on KSE 100 market indices will be extracted from the website of Kara Stock and other available sources. 2.2 Methodology: Evaluating the performance of mutual funds requires an understanding on multiple dimensions of their returns profile. There are multiple facets that will be taken into account when trying to understan fund has performed over a specific period. The following discussion will gives an overview of the tools that would be used in this study and these have been selected from the available financial literature. 2.2.1 Hypothesis Formulation H1: Islamic Mutual Funds offers returns below KSE returns as conventional benchmark. H2: Islamic Mutual Funds have low risk than conventional Mutual Funds. H3: Islamic Mutual Funds offer benefits of market timing abilities. H4: Islamic Mutual Funds portfolio is better in recession period 2007 2.2.2 Statistical Techniques to be used a. Average Return The most basic and simple method to evaluate fund returns is by calculating the average total return and comparing it to the Average Return of the bench Where ‘R’ is the return on fund at time t ‘n’ represents the number of fund returns in the sample. b. Jensen’s Alpha It is one of the most prominent and commonly used performance evaluation measures in developed by Michael Jensen (1966). Jensen’s model is based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) but has some fundamental differences which are explained below, mathematically it is explained as: Rp = the return on portfolio/fund p Rf = the return on a risk free asset α = the intercept of the model to be estimated using regression analysis β = the systematic risk of portfolio p to be estimated using regression analysis Rm = the return of the market portfolio µ = the error term Equation mentioned above thus shows tha the market and that alpha is the return on that portfolio over and above that predicted by the CAPM. c. Sharp Ratio (SR) Another commonly used performance evaluation measure in f widely known as Sharp Ratio. It was developed by William Sharpe (1966) in the late sixties, but it is still widely European Journal of Business and Management 2839 (Online) 158 compare different tests discussed in methodology section. The discussion in the chapter will be organized as Section 3.1 Data description, 3.2 Methodology and 3.3 will cover the Construction of Islamic benchmark index. This section aims to provide a concise description of the data to be used in this study. Additionally, it would also describe the selection process of the dataset and its origin. Total population of Islamic Mutual Funds is 29 out of which 27 are open ended and 2 close ended Islamic Mutual Funds. However sample size would be five sin consistent data for a period of five years is available in respect of five Islamic Mutual Funds. Funds havingage less than five years would not be included in the study. Hence bulk of funds launched after 2007 are excluded in would consist of monthly unit pricesof these five Islamic Mutual Funds and these unit prices would be obtained from the website of Mutual Funds Association of Pakistan and periodical returns of the funds. There are more funds which were established in 2008-09 or later but not included in sample due to limited period of data. Funds included in study would be Meezan Islamic Fund, JS Islamic Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Fund, Al Meezan Mutual Fund and Meezan Balanced Fund. Last two are close ended fun 07-2007 to 30-06-2012.Each fund has a maximum of 60 data points. This period is chosen on the base of availability; since the Islamic Mutual Funds are in their initial stag and to date five funds in total could complete five years age. The proxy for the risk free rate is the monthly quoted yield on a one-month KIBOR rate during the sample period. KIBOR is the conventional benchmark that has been for Islamic products in Pakistan because of the non availability of reliable and consistent Islamic benchmark. Data on KIBOR rate will be obtained from the website of State bank of Pakistan, while data on KSE 100 market indices will be extracted from the website of Kara Evaluating the performance of mutual funds requires an understanding on multiple dimensions of their returns profile. There are multiple facets that will be taken into account when trying to understan fund has performed over a specific period. The following discussion will gives an overview of the tools that would be used in this study and these have been selected from the available financial literature. H1: Islamic Mutual Funds offers returns below KSE returns as conventional benchmark. H2: Islamic Mutual Funds have low risk than conventional Mutual Funds. H3: Islamic Mutual Funds offer benefits of market timing abilities. tfolio is better in recession period 2007-09. 2.2.2 Statistical Techniques to be used The most basic and simple method to evaluate fund returns is by calculating the average total return and comparing it to the Average Return of the benchmark. Mathematically, Average Return is defined as ‘n’ represents the number of fund returns in the sample. It is one of the most prominent and commonly used performance evaluation measures in developed by Michael Jensen (1966). Jensen’s model is based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) but has some fundamental differences which are explained below, mathematically it is explained as: α = the intercept of the model to be estimated using regression analysis β = the systematic risk of portfolio p to be estimated using regression analysis Rm = the return of the market portfolio Equation mentioned above thus shows that a portfolio’s excess returns are a linear function of their sensitivity to the market and that alpha is the return on that portfolio over and above that predicted by the CAPM. Another commonly used performance evaluation measure in financial research is the Reward to Variability widely known as Sharp Ratio. It was developed by William Sharpe (1966) in the late sixties, but it is still widely www.iiste.org n in the chapter will be organized as Section 3.1 Data description, 3.2 Methodology and 3.3 will cover the Construction of Islamic benchmark index. his study. Additionally, it would also describe the selection process of the dataset and its origin. Total population of Islamic Mutual Funds is 29 out of which 27 are open ended and 2 close ended Islamic Mutual Funds. However sample size would be five since the consistent data for a period of five years is available in respect of five Islamic Mutual Funds. Funds havingage less than five years would not be included in the study. Hence bulk of funds launched after 2007 are excluded in would consist of monthly unit pricesof these five Islamic Mutual Funds and these unit prices would be obtained from the website of Mutual Funds Association of Pakistan and periodical returns of the 09 or later but not included in sample due to limited period of data. Funds included in study would be Meezan Islamic Fund, JS Islamic Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Fund, Al Meezan Mutual Fund and Meezan Balanced Fund. Last two are close ended funds and rests are 2012.Each fund has a maximum of 60 data points. This period is chosen on the base of availability; since the Islamic Mutual Funds are in their initial stages in Pakistan, month KIBOR rate during the sample oducts in Pakistan because of the non- availability of reliable and consistent Islamic benchmark. Data on KIBOR rate will be obtained from the website of State bank of Pakistan, while data on KSE 100 market indices will be extracted from the website of Karachi Evaluating the performance of mutual funds requires an understanding on multiple dimensions of their returns profile. There are multiple facets that will be taken into account when trying to understand how “well” a certain fund has performed over a specific period. The following discussion will gives an overview of the tools that would be used in this study and these have been selected from the available financial literature. The most basic and simple method to evaluate fund returns is by calculating the average total return and mark. Mathematically, Average Return is defined as It is one of the most prominent and commonly used performance evaluation measures in financial literature and developed by Michael Jensen (1966). Jensen’s model is based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) but has some fundamental differences which are explained below, mathematically it is explained as: t a portfolio’s excess returns are a linear function of their sensitivity to the market and that alpha is the return on that portfolio over and above that predicted by the CAPM. inancial research is the Reward to Variability widely known as Sharp Ratio. It was developed by William Sharpe (1966) in the late sixties, but it is still widely
  • 4. European Journal of Business and Management ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 used today as it provides a simple number to rank funds or portfolios. Here, additional portfo free return is related with the total risk of the portfolio. Mathematically the Reward to Variability or SR can be described as: With the variables in the nominator being: Rp = the Average Return of portfolio p for Rf = the Average Return of the risk free security for the sample period and the denominator being: This equation is the standard deviation of the fund portfolio return over the sample period, with Rp as the return portfolio p, as the Average Return of the portfolio during the sample period and n representing the number of return observations in the sample. d.Treynor Ratio (TR) TR was introduced by Treynor (1966) and is quite similar to the Reward to Var reward to risk ratio in a single number. It is also widely known as Reward to Volatility Ratio. The difference however lies in the definition of risk, which is the systematic risk of a portfolio rather than the total risk. additional returns of the portfolio over the risk free return is expressed in relation to portfolio‘s systematic risk. Mathematically the Treynor Ratio can be defined as: With the variables in the nominator being: Rp = the Average Return of portfolio p for the sample period Rf = the Average Return of the risk free security for the sample period β = the systematic risk of portfolio p, to be estimated using regression analysis e. The Information Ratio (IR) The information ratio is a performance measure often used to evaluate actively managed funds. It is the ratio of average active return to active risk and was first mentioned by Treynor and Black (1973) as the appraisal ratio and later by Grinold (1989) as the information ratio. Mathematically it is expressed as: Where Rpatis defined as: andψp is defined as: Rp = the return on portfolio/ fund p Rm = the return of the market portfolio Here n is the number of return observations and the bar above Rp indicates an average and (ψ standard deviation of the difference between returns of portfolio p and the benchmark return. This statistic is often called the “tracking error” since it indicates how well a certain portfolio follows its benchmark. Information ratio indicates the portfolio return above risk is low it means the portfolio returns don’t deviate too much from the benchmark returns. One can imagine that a fund that tracks the market quite well, but has a higher return is quite attra f. Market Timing Ability (gamma) The previously discussed performance measures mainly relate to the ability of a fund manager to pick the right stocks and assume constant means and risk. Treynor and Mazuy (1966) however proposed a model which allows for the ability of fund managers to partially shift their managed capital between a safe assets and risky securities depending on whether the market is expected to do well or bad. Mathematically their model is expressed as: European Journal of Business and Management 2839 (Online) 159 used today as it provides a simple number to rank funds or portfolios. Here, additional portfo free return is related with the total risk of the portfolio. Mathematically the Reward to Variability or SR can be With the variables in the nominator being: Rp = the Average Return of portfolio p for the sample period Rf = the Average Return of the risk free security for the sample period and the This equation is the standard deviation of the fund portfolio return over the sample period, with Rp as the return as the Average Return of the portfolio during the sample period and n representing the number of return observations in the sample. TR was introduced by Treynor (1966) and is quite similar to the Reward to Variability since it also provides a reward to risk ratio in a single number. It is also widely known as Reward to Volatility Ratio. The difference however lies in the definition of risk, which is the systematic risk of a portfolio rather than the total risk. additional returns of the portfolio over the risk free return is expressed in relation to portfolio‘s systematic risk. Mathematically the Treynor Ratio can be defined as: With the variables in the nominator being: e Return of portfolio p for the sample period Rf = the Average Return of the risk free security for the sample period β = the systematic risk of portfolio p, to be estimated using regression analysis The information ratio is a performance measure often used to evaluate actively managed funds. It is the ratio of e risk and was first mentioned by Treynor and Black (1973) as the appraisal ratio and later by Grinold (1989) as the information ratio. Mathematically it is expressed as: Rp = the return on portfolio/ fund p Rm = the return of the market portfolio Here n is the number of return observations and the bar above Rp indicates an average and (ψ ion of the difference between returns of portfolio p and the benchmark return. This statistic is often called the “tracking error” since it indicates how well a certain portfolio follows its benchmark. Information ratio indicates the portfolio return above the benchmark index per unit of active risk. If this active risk is low it means the portfolio returns don’t deviate too much from the benchmark returns. One can imagine that a fund that tracks the market quite well, but has a higher return is quite attractive. The previously discussed performance measures mainly relate to the ability of a fund manager to pick the right stocks and assume constant means and risk. Treynor and Mazuy (1966) however proposed a model which ws for the ability of fund managers to partially shift their managed capital between a safe assets and risky securities depending on whether the market is expected to do well or bad. Mathematically their model is www.iiste.org used today as it provides a simple number to rank funds or portfolios. Here, additional portfolio return over risk free return is related with the total risk of the portfolio. Mathematically the Reward to Variability or SR can be This equation is the standard deviation of the fund portfolio return over the sample period, with Rp as the return as the Average Return of the portfolio during the sample period and n representing the number iability since it also provides a reward to risk ratio in a single number. It is also widely known as Reward to Volatility Ratio. The difference however lies in the definition of risk, which is the systematic risk of a portfolio rather than the total risk. Here, additional returns of the portfolio over the risk free return is expressed in relation to portfolio‘s systematic risk. The information ratio is a performance measure often used to evaluate actively managed funds. It is the ratio of e risk and was first mentioned by Treynor and Black (1973) as the appraisal ratio Here n is the number of return observations and the bar above Rp indicates an average and (ψp) is simply the ion of the difference between returns of portfolio p and the benchmark return. This statistic is often called the “tracking error” since it indicates how well a certain portfolio follows its benchmark. the benchmark index per unit of active risk. If this active risk is low it means the portfolio returns don’t deviate too much from the benchmark returns. One can imagine The previously discussed performance measures mainly relate to the ability of a fund manager to pick the right stocks and assume constant means and risk. Treynor and Mazuy (1966) however proposed a model which ws for the ability of fund managers to partially shift their managed capital between a safe assets and risky securities depending on whether the market is expected to do well or bad. Mathematically their model is
  • 5. European Journal of Business and Management ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 Rp = the return on portfolio/fund p Rf = the return on the risk free asset = the intercept of the model, to be estimated using regression analysis = the systematic risk of portfolio p, to be estimated using regression analysis Rm = the return of the market portfolio = the error term And γp being the coefficient that implies market timing ability, to be estimated through regression analysis. 2.3 Islamic Benchmark Construction: In addition to the six tools discussed above, I would construct an Islamic benchmark for performance evaluati Since the Islamic Mutual Funds can only invest in Shariah Compliant Securities, their performance needs to be evaluated against Shariah Compliant Market Indices. Islamic Mutual Fund securities benchmark will be constructed by using equally weighted met Since Islamic Mutual Funds may even be attractive to Non against conventional benchmarks. For this purpose, KSE assess and compare performance. 3. RESULTS 3.1 Average Returns Average Returns of IMFs and Islamic Benchmark Indices Fund Name MIF JSIF PIEIF -0.0034 -0.0145 -0.0044 3.2 Jensen Alpha Model Regression Output for CAPM using Islamic Indices Fund Name Jenison’s Alpha MIF 0.0065 JSIF 0.0007 PIEIF -0.0039 AL MMF -0.0020 MBF -0.0043 Overall -0.0006 3.3 Sharpe Model Sharpe Ratio of Islamic Funds against Conventional & Islamic Benchmark Islamic Benchmark Fund SR MIF -0.0191 JSIF -0.0387 PIEIF -0.0155 AL MMF -0.0305 MBF -0.0133 Average -0.0234 3.4 Information Ratio Information Ratio of Islamic Mutual Funds against Conventional Benchmark Islamic Benchmark Fund IR MIF 0.0981 JSIF -0.1271 PIEIF 0.0629 AL MMF 0.0147 MBF 0.1077 Average 0.1563 European Journal of Business and Management 2839 (Online) 160 Rf = the return on the risk free asset = the intercept of the model, to be estimated using regression analysis = the systematic risk of portfolio p, to be estimated using regression analysis rn of the market portfolio And γp being the coefficient that implies market timing ability, to be estimated through regression analysis. 2.3 Islamic Benchmark Construction: In addition to the six tools discussed above, I would construct an Islamic benchmark for performance evaluati Since the Islamic Mutual Funds can only invest in Shariah Compliant Securities, their performance needs to be evaluated against Shariah Compliant Market Indices. Islamic Mutual Fund securities benchmark will be constructed by using equally weighted method to be used as proxy to market and examine Islamic Mutual Funds. Since Islamic Mutual Funds may even be attractive to Non-Muslim investors, their performance is also evaluated against conventional benchmarks. For this purpose, KSE-100 will be used as proxy to conventional market to Average Returns of IMFs and Islamic Benchmark Indices Benchmark PIEIF AL MMF MBF Islamic Index 0.0044 -0.0067 -0.0008 -0.0079 Regression Output for CAPM using Islamic Indices Jenison’s Alpha Beta R2 0.9166 0.7385 1.5377 0.9157 0.5777 0.6488 0.8331 0.5655 0.2889 0.3112 0.8308 0.6359 Sharpe Ratio of Islamic Funds against Conventional & Islamic Benchmark Islamic Benchmark Conventional Benchmark SR -0.1318 -0.2048 -0.2256 -0.1707 -0.2150 -0.1899 Information Ratio of Islamic Mutual Funds against Conventional Benchmark Islamic Benchmark Conventional Benchmark IR -0.0578 -0.1002 -0.0530 -0.1257 -0.0139 -0.0701 www.iiste.org And γp being the coefficient that implies market timing ability, to be estimated through regression analysis. In addition to the six tools discussed above, I would construct an Islamic benchmark for performance evaluation. Since the Islamic Mutual Funds can only invest in Shariah Compliant Securities, their performance needs to be evaluated against Shariah Compliant Market Indices. Islamic Mutual Fund securities benchmark will be hod to be used as proxy to market and examine Islamic Mutual Funds. Muslim investors, their performance is also evaluated oxy to conventional market to Benchmark Islamic Index
  • 6. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 161 3.5 Market Timing Ability Market Timing Ability (Gamma) of IMFs Managers using Islamic Benchmark Fund Name MIF JSIF PIEIF AL MMF MBF Overall Gamma 1.5118 -2.0130 1.0093 0.4411 1.1539 0.4976 R2 0.8006 0.9642 0.7057 0.5705 0.4647 0.7011 3.6 Construction of Islamic Benchmark The outcome of Islamic Benchmark construction and their Results Meezan Islamic Fund (MIF) Jensen Alpha Model Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.006549 0.007383 0.887052 0.378714 MKT 0.916608 0.07161 12.79994 1.53E-18 R-squared 0.738548 Mean dependent var. -0.01691 Adjusted R-squared 0.734041 S.D. dependent var 0.107414 S.E. of regression 0.055395 Akaike info criterion -2.91589 Sum squared resid 0.177979 Schwarz criterion -2.84608 Log likelihood 89.47675 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.88858 F-statistic 163.8384 Durbin-Watson stat 1.952129 Prob(F-statistic) 1.53E-18 Market Timing Ability Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.00131 0.006621 0.197903 0.843825 MKT 1.339378 0.118518 11.30105 3.52E-16 MKT2 1.51177 0.358796 4.213454 9.06E-05 R-squared 0.800641 Mean dependent var -0.01691 Adjusted R-squared 0.793646 S.D. dependent var 0.107414 S.E. of regression 0.048794 Akaike info criterion -3.1537 Sum squared resid 0.13571 Schwarz criterion -3.04898 Log likelihood 97.61097 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.11274 F-statistic 114.458 Durbin-Watson stat 2.462465 Prob(F-statistic) 1.10E-20 JS Islamic Fund (JIS) Jensen Alpha Model Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.000727 0.006314 0.115211 0.908676 MKT 1.537732 0.061247 25.10701 7.58E-33 R-squared 0.915742 Mean dependent var -0.03863 Adjusted R-squared 0.914289 S.D. dependent var 0.161831 S.E. of regression 0.047378 Akaike info criterion -3.22854 Sum squared resid 0.130193 Schwarz criterion -3.15873 Log likelihood 98.85613 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.20123 F-statistic 630.3617 Durbin-Watson stat 1.646025 Prob(F-statistic) 7.58E-33 Market Timing Ability Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.007703 0.004225 1.823314 0.073501 MKT 0.974804 0.075624 12.89018 1.55E-18 MKT2 -2.01295 0.22894 -8.7925 3.38E-12 R-squared 0.964241 Mean dependent var -0.03863 Adjusted R-squared 0.962986 S.D. dependent var 0.161831 S.E. of regression 0.031135 Akaike info criterion -4.05229 Sum squared resid 0.055254 Schwarz criterion -3.94757 Log likelihood 124.5687 Hannan-Quinn criter. -4.01133 F-statistic 768.5046 Durbin-Watson stat 1.90485 Prob(F-statistic) 5.91E-42
  • 7. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 162 Pakistan International Islamic Fund (PEIIF) Jensen Alpha Model Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -0.00397 0.005804 -0.68401 0.496691 MKT 0.577798 0.056302 10.26243 1.18E-14 R-squared 0.644864 Mean dependent var -0.01876 Adjusted R-squared 0.63874 S.D. dependent var 0.072462 S.E. of regression 0.043553 Akaike info criterion -3.3969 Sum squared resid 0.110019 Schwarz criterion -3.32709 Log likelihood 103.9071 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.3696 F-statistic 105.3175 Durbin-Watson stat 2.661418 Prob(F-statistic) 1.18E-14 Market Timing Ability Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -0.00747 0.005427 -1.37604 0.174193 MKT 0.860041 0.097147 8.853015 2.69E-12 MKT2 1.009265 0.294097 3.431739 0.001123 R-squared 0.705674 Mean dependent var -0.01876 Adjusted R-squared 0.695347 S.D. dependent var 0.072462 S.E. of regression 0.039996 Akaike info criterion -3.55139 Sum squared resid 0.09118 Schwarz criterion -3.44667 Log likelihood 109.5416 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.51043 F-statistic 68.33156 Durbin-Watson stat 2.611142 Prob(F-statistic) 7.27E-16 Al-Meezan Mutual Fund (ALMMF) Jensen Alpha Model Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -0.00209 0.009885 -0.21182 0.83299 MKT 0.833162 0.095883 8.689383 4.33E-12 R-squared 0.565561 Mean dependent var -0.02342 Adjusted R-squared 0.55807 S.D. dependent var 0.111573 S.E. of regression 0.074171 Akaike info criterion -2.33212 Sum squared resid 0.319078 Schwarz criterion -2.26231 Log likelihood 71.96358 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.30481 F-statistic 75.50538 Durbin-Watson stat 2.527161 Prob(F-statistic) 4.33E-12 Market Timing Ability Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -0.00362 0.010095 -0.35882 0.721053 MKT 0.956503 0.180703 5.293243 2.00E-06 MKT2 0.44105 0.54705 0.806234 0.423459 R-squared 0.570459 Mean dependent var -0.02342 Adjusted R-squared 0.555387 S.D. dependent var 0.111573 S.E. of regression 0.074396 Akaike info criterion -2.31013 Sum squared resid 0.315481 Schwarz criterion -2.20541 Log likelihood 72.30375 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.26916 F-statistic 37.84989 Durbin-Watson stat 2.536597 Prob(F-statistic) 3.47E-11 Meezan Balanced Fund (MBF) Jensen Alpha Model Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -0.00435 0.005818 -0.74701 0.458078 MKT 0.288921 0.056436 5.119431 3.64E-06 R-squared 0.311234 Mean dependent var -0.01174 Adjusted R-squared 0.299359 S.D. dependent var 0.052156 S.E. of regression 0.043657 Akaike info criterion -3.39215
  • 8. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 163 Sum squared resid 0.110543 Schwarz criterion -3.32234 Log likelihood 103.7646 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.36485 F-statistic 26.20857 Durbin-Watson stat 1.507473 Prob(F-statistic) 3.64E-06 Market Timing Ability Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -0.00834 0.005268 -1.58405 0.118716 MKT 0.611609 0.094302 6.485656 2.28E-08 MKT2 1.15389 0.285485 4.041864 0.000161 R-squared 0.464665 Mean dependent var -0.01174 Adjusted R-squared 0.445882 S.D. dependent var 0.052156 S.E. of regression 0.038824 Akaike info criterion -3.61083 Sum squared resid 0.085918 Schwarz criterion -3.50611 Log likelihood 111.3249 Hannan-Quinn criter. -3.56987 F-statistic 24.73772 Durbin-Watson stat 1.78099 Prob(F-statistic) 1.84E-08 4. SUMMARY Finally this chapter going to conclude this entire study where the section 4.1 represents the discussion regarding the conclusions of the study, section 4.2 consists of the recommendations of presented by this study. 4.1 Conclusions: This research has analyzed the Islamic mutual fund’s performance in Pakistan. In order to analyze the performance five Islamic funds have been selected as a sample which are Meezan Islamic Fund (MIF), JS Islamic Fund (JSIF), Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Fund (PEIIF), AL Meezan Mutual Fund (ALMF) and Meezan Balanced Fund (MBF).The data of these funds for five years period from 01-07- 2007 to 30-06-2012 has been used for the analysis during this study. It is of much importance to mention here that the recessionary period of 2008 to 2009 is the part of this five years data used for the analysis. This recessionary period affected the ability to earn profits of business firms in Pakistan as well as globally. Out of the five funds used in this study Al-Meezan Mutual Fund and Meezan Balanced Fund are the two close ended funds whereas the other three are open ended funds. The motive behind the selection of this specific five years period and using the data of five funds for the analysis is to study a sample which is consistent. The evaluation process of the sample has been undertaken on the basis two different benchmarks one is Islamic and the other is based on conventional market index. The Islamic benchmark has been fabricated by the researcher of this study and the conventional benchmark is based on the KSE-100 returns. Before going into the quantitative evaluation of the performance of Islamic Funds, this study has thrown light on how the concept of Islamic banking and finance evolved over time and different type of funds introduced by Islamic banks. It is noted here that six different types of funds are being operated which includes equity funds, Ijarah funds, commodity funds, murabaha funds and mixed funds. It has been observed that these funds are gradually and consistently growing and their popularity and acceptability among the investors is also increasing. This research at the first step analyzed the return profile of the Islamic Mutual Funds, for this purpose average return of the funds has been calculated. Having a close look at the results produced by this measure it has been observed that the funds under study are showing negative returns for the sample period. Similarly the Islamic benchmark is observed to be showing negative returns. The results given by the average return against Islamic benchmark indicates that the Meezan Balanced Fund, Meezan Islamic Fund and AL Meezan Mutual Fund are the top three funds that have reflected minimum loss with reference to the Islamic index. However, benchmark based on KSE -100 index returns and termed as conventional has shown a positive return of 0.01% during the analysis period. All the funds have shown poor performance against the conventional benchmarks and their average returns are having negative sign. The Meezan Balanced Fund has shown the minimum loss in comparison to other funds which signify the better performance with reference to the other four funds. Further, this research used the measures that take into consideration the risk factors in order to evaluate the performance of Islamic Funds. There have been some standard risk-adjusted measures for these purposes which are Jensen’s alpha model, the Sharp Ratio (SR), the Treynor Ratio (TR), and the Information Ratio (IR). The first measure that evaluates the Islamic funds by considering the risk factor (alpha) was determined separately for each of the Funds using the revised version of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) introduced by Jensen (1968). The results of this model have shown that the Islamic funds there is as such no clear evidence on the basis of which it can be concluded that the funds have clearly underperform or outperformed the with reference to the Islamic benchmark. These funds under study have reflected mixed results on the basis of Jensen Alpha.
  • 9. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 164 Meezan Islamic Fund and JS Islamic funds have been able to outperform better as compared to the Islamic benchmark. Positive Alphas of Meezan Islamic Fund and JS Islamic Fund are 0.65% and 0.07% respectively. This implies that Islamic Mutual Funds have outperformed their benchmark by 0.65% and 0.07% annually. Other three funds underperformed in relation to their Islamic benchmarks, at least based on Jensen’s measure using Islamic Indices. Moreover, the interesting part of this analysis is the values of ‘beta’ on the average the values of beta of Islamic Mutual Funds is low which is 0.83. This indicates that these funds are a good option for risk management and they can be included in a portfolio to balance the returns with a risky investment opportunity. The investors who love to play safe will prefer such funds to be included in their portfolio. It has been determined that the Islamic Mutual Funds don’t fluctuate much with the conventional market benchmark (average value of beta against the conventional benchmark is 0.70) which is less than the value of beta against the Islamic benchmark. This situation is quite logical as the conventional markets are allowed to include number of stocks which the managers of Islamic Funds can’t have, this makes the Islamic Mutual Fund’s sensitivity lesser to the conventional market returns. The estimation of the Sharpe Ratios and Treynor Ratios signifies that the Islamic Mutual Funds have underperformed the Conventional as well as the Islamic benchmark; however, this lower performance of the funds is immaterial. The results of SR and TR seems to be the same as concluded by Hakim and Rashidian (2002) , their conclusions indicate that the screening process of Islamic investment does not leave significant impact on the risk return profile of a usual portfolio. On the basis of Information Ratio, the IMFs on average reported positive results against the Islamic benchmark. On the other hand they have reported below average performance with reference to the conventional benchmark. In addition to this, the results of Treynor Ratio of Islamic Mutual Funds seems to be extra interesting as it is based on the ratio of systematic risk to its return. It indicated that Islamic Mutual Funds on average resulted negative return of -0.1019 per unit of systematic risk. Individually, the 3 best performing funds based on the TR are Meezan Balanced Fund, Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Fund and Meezan Islamic Fund which have a TR of - 0.0113, -0.0155 and -0.0191 respectively. It seems that period under study was badly affected by 2007-08 financial crisis and as its positive returns were reversed by 2007-08 recession. The average TR of Islamic Mutual Funds benchmarked against a conventional index is -0.5842 meaning that on average Islamic Mutual Funds earn per unit of systematic risk. This is more than two of the previous Islamic benchmark based TR, which is -0.0230. Individually, the top three performing funds according to their conventional based TR measure are Meezan Balanced Fund, Pakistan Int’l Element Islamic Fund and AL Meezan Mutual Fund with TR ratios of -0.0087, -0.0196 and -0.0225 respectively. These low values of betas of Islamic Funds to some extent compensate their lower returns as compared to the market indices. In such a way Islamic Funds in Pakistan becomes a fascinating mode of investment as part of a large fully diversified portfolio for example a fund of different funds. Moreover, Islamic Funds with the passage of time have become attractive to the investors from Non-Muslim community as it is a kind of Socially Responsible mode of Investment. It is quite evident that the performances of these funds don’t differ significantly from the conventional market that makes it easy for the shift their resources to the Islamic funds without losing much. Besides using the earlier mentioned measure for evaluation of funds’ performance, the ability of the fund managers to time the market has been estimated by determining the gamma factor of Islamic Funds. Treynor and Mazuy (1966) introduced a model to estimate the manager’s market timing ability while placing their resources. This model also demonstrates few forewarnings like the of Jensen’s alpha model does, firstly it looks to overemphasize the alpha when the market timing ability exists and underrates the factor of alpha as adversative ability to time the market is prevalent. A factor Alpha as presented by the Jensen’s model indicates the ability to select the right stocks is combined with gamma factor that signify the ability to time the market. Table 5.9 indicates that the average market timing ability (the value of gamma) of Islamic Mutual Funds is 0.4976. It show that Islamic Mutual Funds slightly underperformed as compared to the benchmark. Hence, the Islamic Funds slightly fails to offer benefits of market timing to their investors. Whereas the table 5.10 shows the average coefficient of gamma of Islamic Funds is 0.2996 which points out that the benefit of Market timing offered by the Islamic Fund Managers to their investors is insignificant. This result very much expected as the significant value of gamma would have indicated that the managers of IMFs are capable to consistently foresee the market environment whether it going to slow down or accelerate. This thing is quite unlikely to happen as it would have meant that the manager can always forecast the future prospects or the market inefficiencies. It is very important to mention here that the analysis during this study has indicated that the Islamic Funds in Pakistan have consistently outperformed both the benchmarks during the period of recession from 2007 to 2009 i.e. Islamic as well as conventional. This positive side of Islamic Funds is a source of satisfaction fork investors who avoid taking much risk and it might satisfy the stakeholders that will help to attract more investors towards the Islamic Mutual Funds in the Pakistan economy. Regardless of the point that there have been number of studies undertaken around the globe regarding the
  • 10. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.20, 2014 165 evaluation of Islamic Mutual fund’s performance, still this research is of distinct importance as it is first and unique effort towards the empirical evaluation of Islamic Funds operating in Pakistan. This research has contributed a lot towards the theoretical literature on the subject of performance of Islamic Mutual Funds by evaluating the main Islamic Mutual Funds through wide-spread empirical analysis and by using the measures that have been widely acceptable and commonly used. The synopsis regarding the risk and return profile of Islamic Mutual Funds have stream of generated and the level of risk faced by the individual funds will definitely contribute towards the pellucidity of their track record. Furthermore, this research has also delivered large amount of literature on the rationale behind the Islamic modes of investment and their characteristics subsequent to proving insights towards emergence, growth, possible opportunities and challenges of Islamic Mutual funds industry in Pakistan. 4.2 Recommendations of the study: These funds lack awareness among the investors so it is of immense need to create and enhance the awareness regarding the Islamic funds. This study has discovered that the Islamic funds have paid reasonable returns to the investors during the period of recession. This study has made efforts toadd something towards the popularity of Islamic funds in Pakistan. In addition to that, it is of much importance to reorganizethe Shariah monitoring in order to build the confidence of the Muslim investors that will add to its acceptability among the investors. Moreover, the feature of Islamic funds which is a source of attraction is that it is a low risk security; this feature should be advertised in a proper manner that would enhance the confidence of investors. It is also worth mentioning that the bright future and success of the Islamic funds industry does not hinge on the factor of risk and return. There are other many factors like management costs, transparency, distribution and marketing which are equally important for the success of Islamic funds. For this purpose it is recommended that serious needs to be exerted in order to settle such issues. There is a problem faced by these funds that needs to settle at the earliest are the disproportionate cost incurred by the Islamic funds. In order to manage the extra costs an inexpensive and easy way is to invest in the funds which adopt passive strategies or invest in indexes. By adopting this option, obviously the Islamic Mutual Funds can be leveraged by these benefits. Deutsche Bank with the coordination of Barclays Bank have already used this strategy, they have opted to design a chain of products and named it as “Sharia ETF" which are organized exclusively over the major indexes around the globe like Standards &Poor’s 500 index, Financial Times Stock Exchange Europe-350 index etc. this has given an opportunity to the German bank to provide a distinctive and less costly Sharia accommodating route to enter into the world of Islamic equity investments. 5. BIBLIOGRAPHY Blake, David, and Allan Timmermann (1998) Mutual Fund Performance: Evidence from UK. European Finance Review 2, 57–77. Shah and Hijazi (2005) Performance Evaluation of Mutual Funds in Pakistan. The Pakistan Development Review, 44: 4 Part II (winter) pp. 863–876. M. M. Khan and M. I. Bhatti (2008), "Islamic Banking and Finance: On its Way to Globalization," Managerial Finance, vol. 34, pp. 708 - 725. F. Abdullah, et al. 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