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Print Services and Distribution Association   January 5 th , 2009  Today’s Business  Landscape –  An Economic  Intelligence Report for 2009 To: Presented by:  Morris  Segall, President  SPG Trend Advisors
THE ECONOMY
Gross Domestic Product 2001Q1 – 2008Q3 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Contributions to GDP Growth by Component  2007Q3-2008 Q3 ,[object Object]
Corporate Profits (before tax) 2003Q1 - 2008Q3 ,[object Object]
Industrial Production  January 2007-November 2008 ,[object Object]
Net Change in U.S. Jobs June 2005 – November 2008 ,[object Object]
National Nonfarm Employment by Industry Sector Groups December 2007 – November 2008 ,[object Object]
Source: (Left) Census Bureau (Right) Federal Reserve ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Source:  (Left) National Association of Realtors, (Right) Census Bureau  New Home Sales Units Sold vs. Length on Market  December 2005-November 2008
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index  2006 – September 2008 ,[object Object]
Commercial Mortgage Delinquency Rates  among Major Investor Groups 2005Q4-2008Q3  Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
THE GOVERNMENT’S  RESPONSE
Money Supply (M2):  August 2007- November 2008 ,[object Object]
Source: (Left) Federal Reserve, (Right) British Banker’s Associations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],NYMEX Crude Oil Future Prices in U.S. Dollars January 2001 -December 23 th  2008
How do I get through it? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How do I get through it? (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What’s on the other side?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What’s on the other side? (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where are the opportunities? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions continued ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions continued ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank You ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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An Economic Intelligence Report for 2009

  • 1. Print Services and Distribution Association January 5 th , 2009 Today’s Business Landscape – An Economic Intelligence Report for 2009 To: Presented by: Morris Segall, President SPG Trend Advisors
  • 3. Gross Domestic Product 2001Q1 – 2008Q3 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Commercial Mortgage Delinquency Rates among Major Investor Groups 2005Q4-2008Q3 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
  • 13. THE GOVERNMENT’S RESPONSE
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.