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AMERIPRISE
Is My Wine Fine?
The Investment Grade Wine Market
AOC Investment Advisors
Jennifer Williams-Bulkeley AIWS
20 Park Plaza, Suite 447
Boston, MA 02116
617 948 2147
#wineassetmgr
www.wineassetmanagement.com
jwb@aocadvisors.com
Copyright 2014 AOC Investment
Advisors - All rights reserved
THE WINES OF THE NIGHT
Sparkling
GRUET, Demi-Sec, Albuquerque, New Mexico, NV
Varietal: 50% Pinot Noir, 50% Chardonnay
White
CLARENDELLE, Graves, Bordeaux, 2012
Varietals: 71% Semillon, 24% Sauvignon Blanc, 5%
Muscadelle
Reds
DOMAINE CHANDON, Carneros, 2011
Varietal: Pinot Noir
PAUL AUTARD JABOULET, Crozes-Hermitage, 2010
Varietals: Syrah,Viognier 3
2011 Domaine Chandon, Pinot Meunier $45 x 3 = $135
4) 2010 Paul Jaboulet, Rhone Blend (Syrah, Grenache)
4
5
6
Top Tips to Owning the List
Start with Geography 101
Varietal, think region, if its hot, if its cold, basics of wine expression
Don’t play the margin game, Italian wines, lots of good but not great
Just because its from France or Napa it does not need to be expensive
Vintage matters in top wine, not as much in New World
Be willing to step outside of your varietal comfort zone
Be wary of Pinot from hot climates, 14% Pinots are an 80/20 proposition
Value Regions - Jura, Languedoc, Spain, Southern Italy,
Finger Lakes New York, Argentina, Austria, Ontario,
Sud-Ouest, Savoie, Rhone
7
Wine Menu Restaurant versus
Retail
Chardonnay Cabernet Sauvignon
• Hedges, 2011, Red Mountain,
Yakima Valley, Washington $58/$20
• Colgin, Herb Lamb Vineyard, 2004,
Howell Mountain, Napa Valley,
California $775/$265
• Château Margaux, Premier Cru,
1995, Margaux $1200/$450
• Pichon Longueville-Comtesse de
Lalande, Réserve de la Comtesse,
2006, Pauillac $150/$40
8
• Au Bon Climat, Sanford &
Benedict Vineyard, 2010, Santa
Ynez Valley, Santa Barbara
County, California $70/$44
• Aubert, Lauren Vineyard, 2011,
Sonoma Coast, California
$225/$120
• Chevalier-Montrachet, Jean-
Marc Pillot, Grand Cru, 2008,
Côte de Beaune, $650/$300
• Bouzeron Aligoté, Aubert de
Villaine, 2010, Côte
Chalonnaise, $54/$20
WHAT
10
Through
Provides
ADVISE
CONNECT
RESEARCH
VALUE
11
Through
Provides
WHAT
HOW
WHY
WHO
12
What Wine?
13
The Secondary
Market for
Investment Grade
Wine
14
Liv-ex Market
Recent Trades
Latest 25 Trades on Liv-ex
Source: Liv-ex as of 12/05/14. GBP. Current exchange rate 1.65. 15
Liv-ex 100 Index
C Region Wine Vin Size Last Eu/btt Qty
SIB bdxr Ducru Beaucaillou 2011 12x75 636 66.9 3
SIB bdxr Leoville Poyferre 2010 6x75 390 82.0 1
SIB bdxr Montrose 2010 12x75 1,550 162.8 1
SIB bdxr Haut Brion 2009 12x75 5,200 546.0 1
SIB bdxr Mission Haut Brion 2009 6x75 2,000 420.3 2
SIB bdxr Petit Mouton 2009 6x75 535 112.4 2
SIB bdxr Pontet Canet 2008 12x75 565 59.4 2
SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 2007 6x75 1,315 276.2 2
SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 2006 6x75 1,565 328.9 1
SIB bdxr Lafite Rothschild 2005 12x75 5,400 567.4 1
SIB bdxr Margaux 2005 3x75 1,200 504.4 4
SIB bdxr Pichon Baron 2005 12x75 935 98.2 2
SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 2004 12x75 2,645 278.1 1
SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 2003 12x75 3,035 318.7 3
SIB bdxr Pontet Canet 2003 12x75 670 70.4 1
SIB bdxr Petrus 2001 6x75 7,400 1,554.5 1
SIB bdxr Cheval Blanc 2000 6x75 2,750 577.9 1
SIB bdxr Giscours 2000 12x75 640 67.2 1
SIB bdxr Latour 2000 12x75 6,700 704.1 1
SIB bdxr Gruaud Larose 1998 12x75 475 49.9 39
SIB bdxw Yquem 1996 6x75 595 125.1 2
SIB bgnr Joseph Faiveley, Latricieres Chambertin 2008 6x75 395 83.0 1
SIB ital Ornellaia 2010 6x75 573 120.4 9
SIB ital Ornellaia 2009 6x75 547 114.9 2
SIB ital Sassicaia 2008 6x75 550 115.6 4
16
WHY
18
Wine – Growing Demand,
Rare and Regulated
19
Source: International Organization of Vine and Wine, IWSR. Demeter Group
Investment Grade Wine
20
Source:Liv-ex
Liv-ex Investables vs. S&P 500
“IOP” Demand
21Source: World Wealth Report 2013. HAGI.
221 year change Q3 ‘12 to Q3 ’13, Art, -3%, Furniture -2%, Chinese 3%, Jewelry 3%, Watches 4%, Wine 3%,
Cars 28%, Stamps 5%, Coins 10%, Index 8%
The Wealth Management Market
The Wealth Market
23
Source: 2013 World Wealth Report.
HOW
25
The Catalysts Top storage – further
from the vine the lesser
the wine
Entry point, relative
price, too expensive to
drink, upside
Parker Points, PPP,
production, brand
History of aging,
consistency of vintages
Provenance
Price
Profile
Performance
26
The Circle of Wine
•Wine producers, collectors and investors have an obligation to steward
the understanding of fine wine and future growth in the market
•Proper vintage management can support this process
•Engagement with younger demographics can help grow demand 27
Market Trends
Diversification away from
Bordeaux
Bordeaux now stabilizing,
new demand
Super Tuscans finding favor
Vintage champagne trading
well
Climate and price are
creating relative value in
back vintages
28
Source: Liv-ex as of 9/12/14
Market Expands Beyond Bordeaux
29
Sell off in Bordeaux
Creates Opportunity
 The 2009 and 2010 First Growths had an
average rating of 99 points, two of the top rated
vintages of all time in Bordeaux.
 Since the release of the 2009 vintage en primeur,
Lafite Rothschild has contracted over 40%,
Mouton Rothschild 28%, Margaux 22%, Haut-
Brion 19%, and Latour 5%.
 Looking at the return profiles of the 2000 and
1990 Lafites, there appears to be substantial
upside, with returns of 533% and 1,410%,
respectively.
 2009 and 2010 Haut-Brion is the second least
expensive per Parker point at $98 and $99
respectively.
 En primeur pricing appears to be a major driver
of volatility and market perception.
30Source: Liv-ex as of 9/17/13. Constant
currency of 1.55 USD/GBP
    En  Market      
Production % Change Primeur Price RP EP$/PP MKT$/PP
Lafite Rothschild       20,000    (43)     18,600      10,540           98        190            108 
Mouton Rothschild         15,000     (17)     12,013        9,920           98        123            101 
Margaux         10,000     (22)     12,276        9,610           99        124              97 
Haut-Brion         10,500     (16)     11,774        9,920         100        118              99 
Latour         18,000     2      17,050      17,360         100        171            174 
Average    (19)     14,342      11,470           99        145            116 
  En  Market      
     % Change Primeur ($) Price ($) RP    EP$/PP  MKT$/PP
Lafite Rothschild       (41)   20,150     11,974  99         204          121 
Mouton Rothschild       (28)   12,090       8,680  99         122            88 
Margaux        (22)   13,175     10,230  99         133          103 
Haut-Brion        (19)   12,090       9,765  100         121            98 
Latour          (4)   17,050     16,275  100         171          163 
 Average          (23)   14,911     11,385   99          150          114 
    En Market       
  % Change Primeur ($) Price ($) RP    EP$/PP   MKT$/PP
Lafite Rothschild           635     2,868    21,080  98            29         215
Mouton Rothschild           364     3,410    15,813  96             36         165
Margaux           370     2,472    11,610  100                25         116
Haut-Brion           192     2,868       8,370  99 29            85
Latour           359     2,868    13,164  98 29          134
 Average            384     2,897     14,007  98   30           143 
2010 First Growths Return Profile
2009 First Growths Return Profile
2000 First Growths Return Profile
31
Cos d’Estournel 2009
32
Ducru Beaucaillou 2009
33
Montrose 2010
34
Guigal La Mouline 2005
35
Chapoutier Ermitage l’ Ermite Blanc, 2009
36
DRC, DRC 2009
37
Grange 2008
38
Vega Sicilia 2004
39
Sassicaia 2010
40
Dom Perignon 1996
41
Screaming Eagle 2010
WHO
43
AOCIA What We Do
Advise
Vintage Management
Research
Educate
Connect
Consult
Import
Taste – a lot
44
What Clients Want Access to wine
Easy to understand
process
Trustworthy knowledge
Transparent inventory
Valuation services
Vintage management
Actionable content
Risk controls
45
The
Differentiato
r
46
47
SAMPLE STATEMENT
48
49
Jennifer Williams-Bulkeley
AIWS
20 Park Plaza, Suite 447
Boston, MA 02116
617 948 2147
#wineassetmgr
www.wineassetmanagement.com
jwb@aocadvisors.com

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Is My Wine Fine?

  • 1. AMERIPRISE Is My Wine Fine? The Investment Grade Wine Market AOC Investment Advisors Jennifer Williams-Bulkeley AIWS 20 Park Plaza, Suite 447 Boston, MA 02116 617 948 2147 #wineassetmgr www.wineassetmanagement.com jwb@aocadvisors.com Copyright 2014 AOC Investment Advisors - All rights reserved
  • 2. THE WINES OF THE NIGHT
  • 3. Sparkling GRUET, Demi-Sec, Albuquerque, New Mexico, NV Varietal: 50% Pinot Noir, 50% Chardonnay White CLARENDELLE, Graves, Bordeaux, 2012 Varietals: 71% Semillon, 24% Sauvignon Blanc, 5% Muscadelle Reds DOMAINE CHANDON, Carneros, 2011 Varietal: Pinot Noir PAUL AUTARD JABOULET, Crozes-Hermitage, 2010 Varietals: Syrah,Viognier 3 2011 Domaine Chandon, Pinot Meunier $45 x 3 = $135 4) 2010 Paul Jaboulet, Rhone Blend (Syrah, Grenache)
  • 4. 4
  • 5. 5
  • 6. 6
  • 7. Top Tips to Owning the List Start with Geography 101 Varietal, think region, if its hot, if its cold, basics of wine expression Don’t play the margin game, Italian wines, lots of good but not great Just because its from France or Napa it does not need to be expensive Vintage matters in top wine, not as much in New World Be willing to step outside of your varietal comfort zone Be wary of Pinot from hot climates, 14% Pinots are an 80/20 proposition Value Regions - Jura, Languedoc, Spain, Southern Italy, Finger Lakes New York, Argentina, Austria, Ontario, Sud-Ouest, Savoie, Rhone 7
  • 8. Wine Menu Restaurant versus Retail Chardonnay Cabernet Sauvignon • Hedges, 2011, Red Mountain, Yakima Valley, Washington $58/$20 • Colgin, Herb Lamb Vineyard, 2004, Howell Mountain, Napa Valley, California $775/$265 • Château Margaux, Premier Cru, 1995, Margaux $1200/$450 • Pichon Longueville-Comtesse de Lalande, Réserve de la Comtesse, 2006, Pauillac $150/$40 8 • Au Bon Climat, Sanford & Benedict Vineyard, 2010, Santa Ynez Valley, Santa Barbara County, California $70/$44 • Aubert, Lauren Vineyard, 2011, Sonoma Coast, California $225/$120 • Chevalier-Montrachet, Jean- Marc Pillot, Grand Cru, 2008, Côte de Beaune, $650/$300 • Bouzeron Aligoté, Aubert de Villaine, 2010, Côte Chalonnaise, $54/$20
  • 12. 12
  • 15. Liv-ex Market Recent Trades Latest 25 Trades on Liv-ex Source: Liv-ex as of 12/05/14. GBP. Current exchange rate 1.65. 15 Liv-ex 100 Index C Region Wine Vin Size Last Eu/btt Qty SIB bdxr Ducru Beaucaillou 2011 12x75 636 66.9 3 SIB bdxr Leoville Poyferre 2010 6x75 390 82.0 1 SIB bdxr Montrose 2010 12x75 1,550 162.8 1 SIB bdxr Haut Brion 2009 12x75 5,200 546.0 1 SIB bdxr Mission Haut Brion 2009 6x75 2,000 420.3 2 SIB bdxr Petit Mouton 2009 6x75 535 112.4 2 SIB bdxr Pontet Canet 2008 12x75 565 59.4 2 SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 2007 6x75 1,315 276.2 2 SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 2006 6x75 1,565 328.9 1 SIB bdxr Lafite Rothschild 2005 12x75 5,400 567.4 1 SIB bdxr Margaux 2005 3x75 1,200 504.4 4 SIB bdxr Pichon Baron 2005 12x75 935 98.2 2 SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 2004 12x75 2,645 278.1 1 SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 2003 12x75 3,035 318.7 3 SIB bdxr Pontet Canet 2003 12x75 670 70.4 1 SIB bdxr Petrus 2001 6x75 7,400 1,554.5 1 SIB bdxr Cheval Blanc 2000 6x75 2,750 577.9 1 SIB bdxr Giscours 2000 12x75 640 67.2 1 SIB bdxr Latour 2000 12x75 6,700 704.1 1 SIB bdxr Gruaud Larose 1998 12x75 475 49.9 39 SIB bdxw Yquem 1996 6x75 595 125.1 2 SIB bgnr Joseph Faiveley, Latricieres Chambertin 2008 6x75 395 83.0 1 SIB ital Ornellaia 2010 6x75 573 120.4 9 SIB ital Ornellaia 2009 6x75 547 114.9 2 SIB ital Sassicaia 2008 6x75 550 115.6 4
  • 16. 16
  • 17. WHY
  • 18. 18
  • 19. Wine – Growing Demand, Rare and Regulated 19 Source: International Organization of Vine and Wine, IWSR. Demeter Group
  • 21. “IOP” Demand 21Source: World Wealth Report 2013. HAGI.
  • 22. 221 year change Q3 ‘12 to Q3 ’13, Art, -3%, Furniture -2%, Chinese 3%, Jewelry 3%, Watches 4%, Wine 3%, Cars 28%, Stamps 5%, Coins 10%, Index 8%
  • 23. The Wealth Management Market The Wealth Market 23 Source: 2013 World Wealth Report.
  • 24. HOW
  • 25. 25
  • 26. The Catalysts Top storage – further from the vine the lesser the wine Entry point, relative price, too expensive to drink, upside Parker Points, PPP, production, brand History of aging, consistency of vintages Provenance Price Profile Performance 26
  • 27. The Circle of Wine •Wine producers, collectors and investors have an obligation to steward the understanding of fine wine and future growth in the market •Proper vintage management can support this process •Engagement with younger demographics can help grow demand 27
  • 28. Market Trends Diversification away from Bordeaux Bordeaux now stabilizing, new demand Super Tuscans finding favor Vintage champagne trading well Climate and price are creating relative value in back vintages 28 Source: Liv-ex as of 9/12/14 Market Expands Beyond Bordeaux
  • 29. 29
  • 30. Sell off in Bordeaux Creates Opportunity  The 2009 and 2010 First Growths had an average rating of 99 points, two of the top rated vintages of all time in Bordeaux.  Since the release of the 2009 vintage en primeur, Lafite Rothschild has contracted over 40%, Mouton Rothschild 28%, Margaux 22%, Haut- Brion 19%, and Latour 5%.  Looking at the return profiles of the 2000 and 1990 Lafites, there appears to be substantial upside, with returns of 533% and 1,410%, respectively.  2009 and 2010 Haut-Brion is the second least expensive per Parker point at $98 and $99 respectively.  En primeur pricing appears to be a major driver of volatility and market perception. 30Source: Liv-ex as of 9/17/13. Constant currency of 1.55 USD/GBP     En  Market       Production % Change Primeur Price RP EP$/PP MKT$/PP Lafite Rothschild       20,000    (43)     18,600      10,540           98        190            108  Mouton Rothschild         15,000     (17)     12,013        9,920           98        123            101  Margaux         10,000     (22)     12,276        9,610           99        124              97  Haut-Brion         10,500     (16)     11,774        9,920         100        118              99  Latour         18,000     2      17,050      17,360         100        171            174  Average    (19)     14,342      11,470           99        145            116    En  Market            % Change Primeur ($) Price ($) RP    EP$/PP  MKT$/PP Lafite Rothschild       (41)   20,150     11,974  99         204          121  Mouton Rothschild       (28)   12,090       8,680  99         122            88  Margaux        (22)   13,175     10,230  99         133          103  Haut-Brion        (19)   12,090       9,765  100         121            98  Latour          (4)   17,050     16,275  100         171          163   Average          (23)   14,911     11,385   99          150          114      En Market          % Change Primeur ($) Price ($) RP    EP$/PP   MKT$/PP Lafite Rothschild           635     2,868    21,080  98            29         215 Mouton Rothschild           364     3,410    15,813  96             36         165 Margaux           370     2,472    11,610  100                25         116 Haut-Brion           192     2,868       8,370  99 29            85 Latour           359     2,868    13,164  98 29          134  Average            384     2,897     14,007  98   30           143  2010 First Growths Return Profile 2009 First Growths Return Profile 2000 First Growths Return Profile
  • 35. 35 Chapoutier Ermitage l’ Ermite Blanc, 2009
  • 42. WHO
  • 43. 43
  • 44. AOCIA What We Do Advise Vintage Management Research Educate Connect Consult Import Taste – a lot 44
  • 45. What Clients Want Access to wine Easy to understand process Trustworthy knowledge Transparent inventory Valuation services Vintage management Actionable content Risk controls 45
  • 48. 48
  • 49. 49 Jennifer Williams-Bulkeley AIWS 20 Park Plaza, Suite 447 Boston, MA 02116 617 948 2147 #wineassetmgr www.wineassetmanagement.com jwb@aocadvisors.com