2014	
  Shopper	
  Index	
  &	
  The	
  China	
  Opportunity	
  
Justus	
  Wilde,	
  Founder	
  &	
  Principal	
  Strategist	
  
	
  
iMedia	
  Online	
  Retail	
  Summit	
  
Sydney,	
  5th	
  May	
  2015	
  
	
  
	
  
Today
1.  Quick Introduction
2.  2014 Shopper Index Updates
3.  China Market Opportunity & Offering
4.  Questions
5.  EMU Australia Case Study
§  Est.	
  1999	
  –	
  	
  now	
  subsidiary	
  of	
  eCargo (ASX: ECG)
§  170	
  eCommerce	
  experts	
  across	
  AU,	
  VN	
  &	
  CN	
  
§  Digital	
  commerce	
  consultancy	
  –	
  SELL	
  MORE	
  
§  Strategy,	
  technology	
  &	
  trade	
  opTmisaTon	
  
§  Demandware	
  top	
  Ter	
  partner	
  &	
  reseller	
  
2013 vs. 2014 revenue growth
2013 2014
NAB Online
Retail Sales
Index 16%
38%
9%
32%
Amblique
Retail Sales
Benchmark
Source: NAB online retail index and Amblique customer benchmark data 2014
ANZ peak sales are happening earlier
Top Sales Days
1.  Boxing Day
2.  18th Nov
3.  19th Nov
4.  16th June
5.  7th December
Source: Amblique customer sales in aggregate 2014 vs. 2013
A
Demandware Shopper Index
1,000 eCommerce Sites x 200m consumers
Source: Demandware Shopper Index 2014
Source: Demandware Shopper Index 2014
Source: Demandware Shopper Index 2014
Source: Demandware Shopper Index 2014
Source: Demandware Shopper Index 2014
Source: Demandware Shopper Index 2014
Key Findings
1.  The Demandware Shopping Index reveals 32% digital commerce
growth. 30%+ growth target remains realistic with right strategy
2.  Cross-device shopping is increasing – unify the experience
3.  Smartphone traffic and orders are up sharply – optimise/mobile first
4.  Shoppers are visiting & carting more frequently – invest in content
5.  Shopping visit duration is shrinking - personalise
6.  Android is taking share from iOS – diversify app strategy
7.  Discounts @ 15% @ ~43% trans. driving 30%YoY - benchmark
China
By 2020
China eCommerce will greater than
USA
UK
Japan
Germany
France
combined
20 48 111 225
408
716
1,167
1,752
2,521
3,524
4,718
6,025
7,221
8,520
9,883
0.3% 0.6%
1.1%
2.0%
3.7%
5.7%
8.1%
10.3%
12.8%
15.6%
18.1%
20.1%
21.0%
21.9%
22.7%
0.0%	
  
5.0%	
  
10.0%	
  
15.0%	
  
20.0%	
  
25.0%	
  
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
China Annual eCommerce Retail Sales (excl. autos, fuel, and food)
eCommerce Volume (Billion, RMB) eCommerce/Total Retail
China online to be 20% of retail by 2020
Source: Tmall presentation
GMV Market share in 2014
Source: iResearch Global Inc.
11/11 in 2014
1 MIN 11 SEC
Exceeding 100M 
14 MIN 02 SEC
Exceeding 5B
38 MIN 28 SEC
Exceeding 10B
7 HRS 17 MIN
Exceeding 20B
(exceeding total amount of 2012)
Including
10B in
mobile sales
13 HRS 31 MIN
Exceeding 36.2B
(exceeding total amount of 2013)
15 HRS 29 MIN
Exceeding 40B
21 HRS 21 MIN
Exceeding 50B
 24 HRS
57.1B
($A11.8B )
00:00 24:00
PC
75.97%
Mobile /
Tablet
24.03%
2013
PC
57%
Mobile /
Tablet
43%
2014
11/11 Consumption Abroad
Canada
Russia
Hong Kong Taipei
Singapore
Malaysia
Australia
1
2
4
5
6
7
10
Brazil
9
America
3
Macau
8
Growth Potential – Shopper Penetration
Online Shoppers
302 million
Internet Users
618 million
Population
1.35 billion
Internet Penetration
46% in China
(vs 82% in U.S.A.)
Online Shopper Penetration
49% in China
(vs 64% in U.S.A.)
Source: Alibaba IPO Prospectus
Growth Potential – Domestic Consumption
Online Shopping
USD305 billion
Consumer Consumption
USD3.4 trillion
GDP
USD9.5 trillion
Consumer Expenditure as
% of GDP
36% in China
(vs 67% in U.S.A.)
Online Sales as % of Retail Sales
8-10% in China
(vs 8-10% in U.S.A.)
Source: Alibaba IPO Prospectus
Importance of Mobile Commerce
Source: http://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2015/01/21/china-mobile-ends-2014-with-a-whopping-90-million-4g-users/
600 million
3G/4G subscribers
Social Media Popularity in China
80%
% of Weibo users
following Brands 
8
Average number
of Brands
followed
50%+
% of Weibo users who would visit
eCommerce site after seeing
product information on Weibo
46’
in China
7’
in Japan
vs
Daily time spent on social media
91%
in China
67%
in U.S.A.
vs
% of netizens having social IDs
Micro
Blogging
Social
Networking Instant
Messaging
Video
Sharing Picture
Sharing
900
million
820
million
340
million
214
million
5.2
million
Integration of Social Media with eCommerce
Source: Alibaba IPO Prospectus
Different behaviors & expectations
Chinese	
  way	
  or	
  the	
  highway	
  
25
Mogujie Net-a-Porter
ShangpinTmall
Tmall	
  
UI: Menu on left to tailor to
Chinese character reading
Promotions:
Campaigns designed
specifically for CNY
UI: Red colour tone applied for CNY throughout website
Language: Local jargons applied
Mogujie	
  (蘑菇街)	
  
Content: Local KOLs including bloggers and celebrities
Language: CNY greetings and buzzword
UI: Menu on left to tailor to Chinese
character reading
UI: Red colour tone applied for CNY throughout
website
Shangpin	
  (尚品)	
  
Promotions: Campaigns designed specifically for CNY
UI: Red colour tone applied for CNY throughout website
Net-­‐a-­‐Porter	
  
UI: Black/white/grey/blue colour tone during CNY
Promotion: No promotions related to CNY
Content: Directly translated from international (English) version
c	
  
Shopping for Full-
price Products of
Brands (???)
Messages
Shopping for
Price
Shopping for
Price of
Brands
Games
China consumer changes
Source: strangeloop
Source: EY Advisory
•  Only sell on Brand site
•  Plan to grow and focus on Brand site
•  Tmall Global as pilot
•  Plan to develop and grow Brand site
•  Plan to develop and grow Brand site
Current China Retail Strategies
•  Plan to develop and grow Brand site
Offical
China-specific
brand site
Shopping
functionality
Tmall
China
Tmall Global
China-specific
brand mobile app
Shopping
functionality
Offical
WeChat
account
Shopping
functionality
Esprit
Lacoste
Forever 21
ONLY
GAP
North Face
I.T
Nike
Uniqlo
Levis
Lee
Vans
Coach
Armani
Tommy
Hilfiger
Zara
JeansWest
Australia
Karen
Millen
H&M
Michael Kors
DKNY
Ted Baker
Calvin Klein
Offical
Weibo
account
China-specific brand site
Brand name
Marketplace China-specific brand mobile app WeChat
Offline
Store
Model E:
Unclear
eCommerce
Operation
Model
Baidu
Brandzone
Remarks
Model A:
Multiple
eChannel
Strategy
Model B:
Focus
on Tmall
(supported
by
non-
transactional
brand site)
Model C:
Brand store
only
Model D:
Pilot on
Tmall
Global/
Tmall China
•  Market leading retail supply
chain business in CN, UK, ZA &
ANZ
•  200+ major retail logistics
clients (mostly apparel)
•  Global logistics infrastructure
•  China expert resources
•  ANZ leading ecommerce
consultancy & SI 
•  30+ major retail brand
ecommerce clients
•  Expert ecommerce team
•  Strategic Demandware
partner & reseller
Global Coverage
eCargo eFulfillment centers in Melbourne, Sydney, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore & UK
Proprietary IT technology and processes
eFulfillment – Warehousing and Logistics
Shanghai facility 2,500,000 sq.ft.
Model Studio
Mannequin Studio
 Styleshoots
360 Degree Photography
 Accessories Studio
Catwalk Studio
Editing, Styling
eStudio – Digital Asset Production
eCargo / Cargo Services Customers
Justus Wilde
jw@amblique.com
+61 413517477
Thank	
  You	
  &	
  QuesTons?	
  

Amblique iMedia Online Retail Summit 2015 Presentation

  • 1.
    2014  Shopper  Index  &  The  China  Opportunity   Justus  Wilde,  Founder  &  Principal  Strategist     iMedia  Online  Retail  Summit   Sydney,  5th  May  2015      
  • 2.
    Today 1.  Quick Introduction 2. 2014 Shopper Index Updates 3.  China Market Opportunity & Offering 4.  Questions 5.  EMU Australia Case Study
  • 3.
    §  Est.  1999  –    now  subsidiary  of  eCargo (ASX: ECG) §  170  eCommerce  experts  across  AU,  VN  &  CN   §  Digital  commerce  consultancy  –  SELL  MORE   §  Strategy,  technology  &  trade  opTmisaTon   §  Demandware  top  Ter  partner  &  reseller  
  • 4.
    2013 vs. 2014revenue growth 2013 2014 NAB Online Retail Sales Index 16% 38% 9% 32% Amblique Retail Sales Benchmark Source: NAB online retail index and Amblique customer benchmark data 2014
  • 5.
    ANZ peak salesare happening earlier Top Sales Days 1.  Boxing Day 2.  18th Nov 3.  19th Nov 4.  16th June 5.  7th December Source: Amblique customer sales in aggregate 2014 vs. 2013
  • 6.
    A Demandware Shopper Index 1,000eCommerce Sites x 200m consumers
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
    Key Findings 1.  TheDemandware Shopping Index reveals 32% digital commerce growth. 30%+ growth target remains realistic with right strategy 2.  Cross-device shopping is increasing – unify the experience 3.  Smartphone traffic and orders are up sharply – optimise/mobile first 4.  Shoppers are visiting & carting more frequently – invest in content 5.  Shopping visit duration is shrinking - personalise 6.  Android is taking share from iOS – diversify app strategy 7.  Discounts @ 15% @ ~43% trans. driving 30%YoY - benchmark
  • 14.
  • 15.
    By 2020 China eCommercewill greater than USA UK Japan Germany France combined
  • 16.
    20 48 111225 408 716 1,167 1,752 2,521 3,524 4,718 6,025 7,221 8,520 9,883 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 2.0% 3.7% 5.7% 8.1% 10.3% 12.8% 15.6% 18.1% 20.1% 21.0% 21.9% 22.7% 0.0%   5.0%   10.0%   15.0%   20.0%   25.0%   - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 China Annual eCommerce Retail Sales (excl. autos, fuel, and food) eCommerce Volume (Billion, RMB) eCommerce/Total Retail China online to be 20% of retail by 2020 Source: Tmall presentation
  • 17.
    GMV Market sharein 2014 Source: iResearch Global Inc.
  • 18.
    11/11 in 2014 1MIN 11 SEC Exceeding 100M 14 MIN 02 SEC Exceeding 5B 38 MIN 28 SEC Exceeding 10B 7 HRS 17 MIN Exceeding 20B (exceeding total amount of 2012) Including 10B in mobile sales 13 HRS 31 MIN Exceeding 36.2B (exceeding total amount of 2013) 15 HRS 29 MIN Exceeding 40B 21 HRS 21 MIN Exceeding 50B 24 HRS 57.1B ($A11.8B ) 00:00 24:00 PC 75.97% Mobile / Tablet 24.03% 2013 PC 57% Mobile / Tablet 43% 2014
  • 19.
    11/11 Consumption Abroad Canada Russia HongKong Taipei Singapore Malaysia Australia 1 2 4 5 6 7 10 Brazil 9 America 3 Macau 8
  • 20.
    Growth Potential –Shopper Penetration Online Shoppers 302 million Internet Users 618 million Population 1.35 billion Internet Penetration 46% in China (vs 82% in U.S.A.) Online Shopper Penetration 49% in China (vs 64% in U.S.A.) Source: Alibaba IPO Prospectus
  • 21.
    Growth Potential –Domestic Consumption Online Shopping USD305 billion Consumer Consumption USD3.4 trillion GDP USD9.5 trillion Consumer Expenditure as % of GDP 36% in China (vs 67% in U.S.A.) Online Sales as % of Retail Sales 8-10% in China (vs 8-10% in U.S.A.) Source: Alibaba IPO Prospectus
  • 22.
    Importance of MobileCommerce Source: http://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2015/01/21/china-mobile-ends-2014-with-a-whopping-90-million-4g-users/ 600 million 3G/4G subscribers
  • 23.
    Social Media Popularityin China 80% % of Weibo users following Brands 8 Average number of Brands followed 50%+ % of Weibo users who would visit eCommerce site after seeing product information on Weibo 46’ in China 7’ in Japan vs Daily time spent on social media 91% in China 67% in U.S.A. vs % of netizens having social IDs Micro Blogging Social Networking Instant Messaging Video Sharing Picture Sharing 900 million 820 million 340 million 214 million 5.2 million Integration of Social Media with eCommerce Source: Alibaba IPO Prospectus
  • 24.
  • 25.
    Chinese  way  or  the  highway   25
  • 26.
  • 27.
    Tmall   UI: Menuon left to tailor to Chinese character reading Promotions: Campaigns designed specifically for CNY UI: Red colour tone applied for CNY throughout website Language: Local jargons applied
  • 28.
    Mogujie  (蘑菇街)   Content:Local KOLs including bloggers and celebrities Language: CNY greetings and buzzword UI: Menu on left to tailor to Chinese character reading UI: Red colour tone applied for CNY throughout website
  • 29.
    Shangpin  (尚品)   Promotions:Campaigns designed specifically for CNY UI: Red colour tone applied for CNY throughout website
  • 30.
    Net-­‐a-­‐Porter   UI: Black/white/grey/bluecolour tone during CNY Promotion: No promotions related to CNY Content: Directly translated from international (English) version c  
  • 31.
    Shopping for Full- priceProducts of Brands (???) Messages Shopping for Price Shopping for Price of Brands Games China consumer changes
  • 32.
  • 33.
    Source: EY Advisory • Only sell on Brand site •  Plan to grow and focus on Brand site •  Tmall Global as pilot •  Plan to develop and grow Brand site •  Plan to develop and grow Brand site Current China Retail Strategies •  Plan to develop and grow Brand site Offical China-specific brand site Shopping functionality Tmall China Tmall Global China-specific brand mobile app Shopping functionality Offical WeChat account Shopping functionality Esprit Lacoste Forever 21 ONLY GAP North Face I.T Nike Uniqlo Levis Lee Vans Coach Armani Tommy Hilfiger Zara JeansWest Australia Karen Millen H&M Michael Kors DKNY Ted Baker Calvin Klein Offical Weibo account China-specific brand site Brand name Marketplace China-specific brand mobile app WeChat Offline Store Model E: Unclear eCommerce Operation Model Baidu Brandzone Remarks Model A: Multiple eChannel Strategy Model B: Focus on Tmall (supported by non- transactional brand site) Model C: Brand store only Model D: Pilot on Tmall Global/ Tmall China
  • 34.
    •  Market leadingretail supply chain business in CN, UK, ZA & ANZ •  200+ major retail logistics clients (mostly apparel) •  Global logistics infrastructure •  China expert resources •  ANZ leading ecommerce consultancy & SI •  30+ major retail brand ecommerce clients •  Expert ecommerce team •  Strategic Demandware partner & reseller
  • 35.
  • 36.
    eCargo eFulfillment centersin Melbourne, Sydney, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore & UK Proprietary IT technology and processes eFulfillment – Warehousing and Logistics Shanghai facility 2,500,000 sq.ft.
  • 37.
    Model Studio Mannequin Studio Styleshoots 360 Degree Photography Accessories Studio Catwalk Studio Editing, Styling eStudio – Digital Asset Production
  • 38.
    eCargo / CargoServices Customers
  • 39.