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Air Quality and Climate Change
Mark Chapman
Air Quality & Acoustics Technical Coordinator
2
“The scientific evidence is now overwhelming: climate change
presents very serious global risks, and it demands an urgent
global response.”
Stern Review, 2006
3
Local Air Quality
UK Air Quality Strategy
• Benzene
• 1,3-butadiene
• Carbon monoxide
• Lead
• Nitrogen dioxide
• Ozone
• Particulate Matter (PM10)
• Sulphur dioxide
• Polycyclic Aromatic
Hydrocarbons (PAHs)
UK Air Quality Regulations
• Benzene
• 1,3-butadiene
• Carbon monoxide
• Lead
• Nitrogen dioxide
• Nitrogen oxides
• Particulate Matter (PM10)
• Sulphur dioxide
4
Climate Change
What is understood by the term ‘Climate Change’?
1. Impact on the Planet
2. Weather
3. Impact on People
4. Uncertainty
5. Things or Events
6. Causes
7. Global Warming
8. Fear
9. Time Context
10.Other
Public Perception of Climate Change
(2006 Risk Communication Study - UWE) 56 Participants in Bristol
Top 10 ‘Themes’
• Climate Change is an ‘Environmental’ Issue 
• Climate Change is an ‘Society’ Issue 
5
The Simplified Greenhouse Effect Explanation
6
The ‘Enhanced’ Greenhouse Effect
7
Air Quality & Climate Change
Linkages
Climate Change
Main Greenhouse Gases
• Carbon dioxide (CO2)
• Methane (CH4)
• Nitrous oxide (N2O)
• Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
• Perfluorocarbons (PFCs)
• Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)
• Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs)
• Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs)
Air Quality
Major Indirect Greenhouse Gases
• Carbon Monoxide (CO)
• Nitrogen oxides (NOx)
• Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs)
e.g. ammonium
Aerosols
• Sulphur dioxide (SO2)  Secondary
Sulphate Particles
• Particulate Matter (PM10) / Nitrate
• Organic Carbon
• Black Carbon (Soot)
8
The Effects of Climate Change on Air Quality
Climate Change is not just about changes in temperature:
• Humidity (Specific)
• Clouds and Precipitation
• Winds
• Others…
How might this affect Air Quality?
• Emissions – Temperature dependence
• Transport – Winds
• Chemistry – Temperature and humidity
• Deposition – Precipitation
9
The Effects of Climate Change on Air Quality
Climate Change will increase the probability of local air pollution
events
• Number and strength of summer highs
(The ozone episode of 2003 will be a ‘normal’ occurrence)
• Number and duration of calm winter days
(The ‘Great’ London Smog)
• Mean concentrations are likely to remain unchanged
• Higher chance of extreme concentrations
• Likelihood of increased associated mortality rates
10
The Effects of Air Quality on Climate Change
VERY COMPLICATED – VERY LOW SCIENTIFIC UNDERSTANDING
A few examples:
Nitrogen Oxides (NO + NO2) – Fossil Fuel Combustion and Natural Sources
• Reacts to produce ozone  WARMING
• Reacts to produce nitrate aerosol  COOLING
• Reacts to increase methane removal  COOLING
• Overall NET COOLING
Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) – Industry and Natural (Major Source)
• Reacts to produce ozone  WARMING
• Reacts to decrease methane removal  WARMING
• Reacts to form organic carbon aerosol  COOLING
• Overall NET ??? – Species Dependent : Some have better ozone production efficiency/others don’t form
aerosols
Sulphur Dioxide (SO2) – Coal-Fired Power Stations, Shipping and Natural
• Reacts to produce sulphate aerosol  COOLING
11
Climate (or Radiative) Forcing:
Change in the average net radiation at the top of the
troposphere
12
Solutions?
• Energy Conservation and Efficiency Improvements
• Abatement Measures - (Flue-gas desulphurisation, catalytic
converters, particle filters, NOx traps
– Improve air quality, but mostly INCREASE CO2 through
decreased efficiency (getting better – but very costly)
– Removing aerosol precursors can warm climate even further
– Removing black carbon particles cools climate
– Catalytic converters can generate N2O and greater primary
NO2
• Fuel Switching (e.g. Petrol to Diesel)
– Less CO2, but more black carbon (GWP 680)
– Bad for AQ; but NET effect on Climate ???
13
Summary
What can we provide for our Clients to help bridge the Air Quality
Climate Change Gap?
• Traffic Emission Optimisation Recommendation
– Speed
– HGV
– Driving Patterns
• Quantification and Relative Comparison of CO2e
• Abatement Specification and Design Advice
14
Further Details
Mark Chapman
Air Quality & Acoustics Technical Coordinator
Planning & Consultation (1401)
West Hall
Tel: 01932 337 590
Mobile: 07976 344 311
mark.chapman@mouchelparkman.com

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Air Quality and Climate Change Linkages

  • 1. Air Quality and Climate Change Mark Chapman Air Quality & Acoustics Technical Coordinator
  • 2. 2 “The scientific evidence is now overwhelming: climate change presents very serious global risks, and it demands an urgent global response.” Stern Review, 2006
  • 3. 3 Local Air Quality UK Air Quality Strategy • Benzene • 1,3-butadiene • Carbon monoxide • Lead • Nitrogen dioxide • Ozone • Particulate Matter (PM10) • Sulphur dioxide • Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) UK Air Quality Regulations • Benzene • 1,3-butadiene • Carbon monoxide • Lead • Nitrogen dioxide • Nitrogen oxides • Particulate Matter (PM10) • Sulphur dioxide
  • 4. 4 Climate Change What is understood by the term ‘Climate Change’? 1. Impact on the Planet 2. Weather 3. Impact on People 4. Uncertainty 5. Things or Events 6. Causes 7. Global Warming 8. Fear 9. Time Context 10.Other Public Perception of Climate Change (2006 Risk Communication Study - UWE) 56 Participants in Bristol Top 10 ‘Themes’ • Climate Change is an ‘Environmental’ Issue  • Climate Change is an ‘Society’ Issue 
  • 5. 5 The Simplified Greenhouse Effect Explanation
  • 7. 7 Air Quality & Climate Change Linkages Climate Change Main Greenhouse Gases • Carbon dioxide (CO2) • Methane (CH4) • Nitrous oxide (N2O) • Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) • Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) • Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) • Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) • Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) Air Quality Major Indirect Greenhouse Gases • Carbon Monoxide (CO) • Nitrogen oxides (NOx) • Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) e.g. ammonium Aerosols • Sulphur dioxide (SO2)  Secondary Sulphate Particles • Particulate Matter (PM10) / Nitrate • Organic Carbon • Black Carbon (Soot)
  • 8. 8 The Effects of Climate Change on Air Quality Climate Change is not just about changes in temperature: • Humidity (Specific) • Clouds and Precipitation • Winds • Others… How might this affect Air Quality? • Emissions – Temperature dependence • Transport – Winds • Chemistry – Temperature and humidity • Deposition – Precipitation
  • 9. 9 The Effects of Climate Change on Air Quality Climate Change will increase the probability of local air pollution events • Number and strength of summer highs (The ozone episode of 2003 will be a ‘normal’ occurrence) • Number and duration of calm winter days (The ‘Great’ London Smog) • Mean concentrations are likely to remain unchanged • Higher chance of extreme concentrations • Likelihood of increased associated mortality rates
  • 10. 10 The Effects of Air Quality on Climate Change VERY COMPLICATED – VERY LOW SCIENTIFIC UNDERSTANDING A few examples: Nitrogen Oxides (NO + NO2) – Fossil Fuel Combustion and Natural Sources • Reacts to produce ozone  WARMING • Reacts to produce nitrate aerosol  COOLING • Reacts to increase methane removal  COOLING • Overall NET COOLING Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) – Industry and Natural (Major Source) • Reacts to produce ozone  WARMING • Reacts to decrease methane removal  WARMING • Reacts to form organic carbon aerosol  COOLING • Overall NET ??? – Species Dependent : Some have better ozone production efficiency/others don’t form aerosols Sulphur Dioxide (SO2) – Coal-Fired Power Stations, Shipping and Natural • Reacts to produce sulphate aerosol  COOLING
  • 11. 11 Climate (or Radiative) Forcing: Change in the average net radiation at the top of the troposphere
  • 12. 12 Solutions? • Energy Conservation and Efficiency Improvements • Abatement Measures - (Flue-gas desulphurisation, catalytic converters, particle filters, NOx traps – Improve air quality, but mostly INCREASE CO2 through decreased efficiency (getting better – but very costly) – Removing aerosol precursors can warm climate even further – Removing black carbon particles cools climate – Catalytic converters can generate N2O and greater primary NO2 • Fuel Switching (e.g. Petrol to Diesel) – Less CO2, but more black carbon (GWP 680) – Bad for AQ; but NET effect on Climate ???
  • 13. 13 Summary What can we provide for our Clients to help bridge the Air Quality Climate Change Gap? • Traffic Emission Optimisation Recommendation – Speed – HGV – Driving Patterns • Quantification and Relative Comparison of CO2e • Abatement Specification and Design Advice
  • 14. 14 Further Details Mark Chapman Air Quality & Acoustics Technical Coordinator Planning & Consultation (1401) West Hall Tel: 01932 337 590 Mobile: 07976 344 311 mark.chapman@mouchelparkman.com