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Session A: Setting the scene
Asia Clean Energy Forum 2016
Prof Adam Read
Practice Director
7th June 2016, Manila, Philippines
2© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
A global outlook
Source: ISWA/UNEP Global Waste Management Outlook
• 7 – 10 billion tonnes per
year of solid waste
– from urban households,
commerce, industry and
construction
– set to increase as
population and levels of
consumption grow
• Lower-income cities in
Africa and Asia expected
to double solid waste
generation in the next 15-
20 years!
3© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
AnnualMSWGeneration(millions
tonnes/year)
Country
Current 2025
• MSW generation in ADB member countries is 430 million tonnes p.a
– projected to rise to 990 million tonnes p.a. by 2025
– average national increases of 160%
• Per capita waste generation in the range 0.12 to 5.1kg/capita/day
– projected to be 0.7 to 4kg/capita/day by 2025
– for OECD members = 1.1 to 3.8kg/capita/day
Solid waste generation in Asia
Source: What a Waste : A Global Review of Solid Waste Management. Urban development series; knowledge papers no. 15. World Bank, 2012
4© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
Daily waste arisings
5© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Population growth continues!
• The world is urbanising!
– Cities will increase from 3.6bn people to 6.3bn in the next 40 years
– Cities expect to house 2/3 of worlds people in 30 yrs
• Putting strain on urban infrastructure resulting in poor environmental
and public health
– AQ in China & India
– Lower Life expectancy in Africa
• Changing Consumer Behaviour (increasingly “Western”) is creating
higher per capita waste generation
Global Mega Trends
6© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
Most of the world’s MSW is landfilled
(approximate, million tpy):
The global waste problem ....
7© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Limited data available for ADB member nations
– MSW disposal is still heavily reliant on dumping and /or landfilling
– There is substantial potential for the deployment of Waste to Energy technologies
Comparing waste processing in Asia
Source: What a Waste : A Global Review of Solid Waste Management. Urban development series; knowledge papers no. 15. World Bank, 2012
8© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Many of the risks can be controlled
through sanitary landfills
– Leachate collection
– Ground water monitoring
– Landfill gas collection and
flaring/energy recovery
– Cover systems
• However, whilst this controls the risks of
dumping, they do not take advantage of
opportunities presented by treating
waste as a resource .....
• Health
– Leachate contamination of
ground/surface water
– Risk to staff/public coming into
contact with waste or vermin
• Landfill gas (methane)
– Fire/explosion risk
– GHG emissions
• Security
– Waste picking
• Capacity
– Remaining capacity quickly used up
– Potential for overloading leading
slope instability
Issues with ‘dumping’
9© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
This isn't sustainable!…
10© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Many ADB member countries are dependent upon energy imports to
meet demand for energy ......
On the other hand we have ‘energy supply’ issues in Asia
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
Netenergyimports
(%oftotalprimaryenergysupply)
Country
Source: Key World Energy Statistics 2015, IEA
11© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
Looking forward ......
WtE facilities treat over 250 MT
globally each year!
Forecast to grow five fold within
10 years!!!
12© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
But, the world is littered with failed technologies ......
Waste Strategies for Modern Cities.
Moving forward needs a ‘strategy’
and a plan!
14© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
Closing the loops (materials & energy)

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A0 ricardo context

  • 1. Session A: Setting the scene Asia Clean Energy Forum 2016 Prof Adam Read Practice Director 7th June 2016, Manila, Philippines
  • 2. 2© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence A global outlook Source: ISWA/UNEP Global Waste Management Outlook • 7 – 10 billion tonnes per year of solid waste – from urban households, commerce, industry and construction – set to increase as population and levels of consumption grow • Lower-income cities in Africa and Asia expected to double solid waste generation in the next 15- 20 years!
  • 3. 3© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 AnnualMSWGeneration(millions tonnes/year) Country Current 2025 • MSW generation in ADB member countries is 430 million tonnes p.a – projected to rise to 990 million tonnes p.a. by 2025 – average national increases of 160% • Per capita waste generation in the range 0.12 to 5.1kg/capita/day – projected to be 0.7 to 4kg/capita/day by 2025 – for OECD members = 1.1 to 3.8kg/capita/day Solid waste generation in Asia Source: What a Waste : A Global Review of Solid Waste Management. Urban development series; knowledge papers no. 15. World Bank, 2012
  • 4. 4© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence Daily waste arisings
  • 5. 5© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Population growth continues! • The world is urbanising! – Cities will increase from 3.6bn people to 6.3bn in the next 40 years – Cities expect to house 2/3 of worlds people in 30 yrs • Putting strain on urban infrastructure resulting in poor environmental and public health – AQ in China & India – Lower Life expectancy in Africa • Changing Consumer Behaviour (increasingly “Western”) is creating higher per capita waste generation Global Mega Trends
  • 6. 6© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence Most of the world’s MSW is landfilled (approximate, million tpy): The global waste problem ....
  • 7. 7© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Limited data available for ADB member nations – MSW disposal is still heavily reliant on dumping and /or landfilling – There is substantial potential for the deployment of Waste to Energy technologies Comparing waste processing in Asia Source: What a Waste : A Global Review of Solid Waste Management. Urban development series; knowledge papers no. 15. World Bank, 2012
  • 8. 8© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Many of the risks can be controlled through sanitary landfills – Leachate collection – Ground water monitoring – Landfill gas collection and flaring/energy recovery – Cover systems • However, whilst this controls the risks of dumping, they do not take advantage of opportunities presented by treating waste as a resource ..... • Health – Leachate contamination of ground/surface water – Risk to staff/public coming into contact with waste or vermin • Landfill gas (methane) – Fire/explosion risk – GHG emissions • Security – Waste picking • Capacity – Remaining capacity quickly used up – Potential for overloading leading slope instability Issues with ‘dumping’
  • 9. 9© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence This isn't sustainable!…
  • 10. 10© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Many ADB member countries are dependent upon energy imports to meet demand for energy ...... On the other hand we have ‘energy supply’ issues in Asia -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% Netenergyimports (%oftotalprimaryenergysupply) Country Source: Key World Energy Statistics 2015, IEA
  • 11. 11© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence Looking forward ...... WtE facilities treat over 250 MT globally each year! Forecast to grow five fold within 10 years!!!
  • 12. 12© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence But, the world is littered with failed technologies ......
  • 13. Waste Strategies for Modern Cities. Moving forward needs a ‘strategy’ and a plan!
  • 14. 14© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence Closing the loops (materials & energy)