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A test for extrasensory perception (ESP) involves asking a person to tell which of 5 shapes-a
circle star, triangle, diamond, or heart-appears on a hidden computer screen. On each trial, the
computer is equally likely to select any of the 5 shapes. Suppose researchers are testing a person
who does not have ESP and so is just guessing on each trial. What is the probability that the
person guesses the first 4 Shapes incorrectly but gets the fifth correct?
Solution
this is a geometric distribution with formula c)
(4/5) ^4 * 1/5

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A test for extrasensory perception (ESP) involves asking a person to .pdf

  • 1. A test for extrasensory perception (ESP) involves asking a person to tell which of 5 shapes-a circle star, triangle, diamond, or heart-appears on a hidden computer screen. On each trial, the computer is equally likely to select any of the 5 shapes. Suppose researchers are testing a person who does not have ESP and so is just guessing on each trial. What is the probability that the person guesses the first 4 Shapes incorrectly but gets the fifth correct? Solution this is a geometric distribution with formula c) (4/5) ^4 * 1/5