A review of the federal government 2015 budget of Nigeria Presented in the 2015 Budget Summit Organised by the Centre for Social Justice (CSJ), Abuja Nigeria. Prepared and PResented by Ofoegbu Donald Ikenna
Empirical Analysis of 2014 Budget
This analysis takes a look at the Nigerian 2014 Budgetary allocations to different Ministries, Departments and Agencies of the Nigerian Sector.
A comparative analysis of allocations to the 4 Components as outlined in the Budget is also carried out.
A review is carried out to know if this and previous budgets meets the UNDP Recommendation.
How well can we ascertain that the Government will cut down on Foreign travels.
The Giant Strides and Footprints of Preseident Goodluck JonathanCelestine Achi
Whenever I think of the giant strides achieved by President Goodluck Jonathan and the effort of the opposition to deny verifiable #facts, I become more emboldened in my trust and believe in GEJ and boldly say #whynotGEJ and when I studied and verified the compilation of GEJ''s significant achievements in almost all the sectors, I could finally make my submission to a man I can trust. It is now time to #ThinkNigeriaVoteGoodluck for Trans-formative Consolidation.
Public Presentation of Approved 2022 FGN Budget FinalNGFSecretariat
At the public presentation of the approved 2022 budgets, there were breakdowns and highlights made by the Honourable Minister of Finance, Budget, and National Planning, Mrs. (Dr.) Zainab Shamsuna Ahmed.
Budget is an estimate of income and expenditure for a set period of time.
From the perspective of Bangladesh the most important issues that are going to impact middle and poor class people need to be discussed
Empirical Analysis of 2014 Budget
This analysis takes a look at the Nigerian 2014 Budgetary allocations to different Ministries, Departments and Agencies of the Nigerian Sector.
A comparative analysis of allocations to the 4 Components as outlined in the Budget is also carried out.
A review is carried out to know if this and previous budgets meets the UNDP Recommendation.
How well can we ascertain that the Government will cut down on Foreign travels.
The Giant Strides and Footprints of Preseident Goodluck JonathanCelestine Achi
Whenever I think of the giant strides achieved by President Goodluck Jonathan and the effort of the opposition to deny verifiable #facts, I become more emboldened in my trust and believe in GEJ and boldly say #whynotGEJ and when I studied and verified the compilation of GEJ''s significant achievements in almost all the sectors, I could finally make my submission to a man I can trust. It is now time to #ThinkNigeriaVoteGoodluck for Trans-formative Consolidation.
Public Presentation of Approved 2022 FGN Budget FinalNGFSecretariat
At the public presentation of the approved 2022 budgets, there were breakdowns and highlights made by the Honourable Minister of Finance, Budget, and National Planning, Mrs. (Dr.) Zainab Shamsuna Ahmed.
Budget is an estimate of income and expenditure for a set period of time.
From the perspective of Bangladesh the most important issues that are going to impact middle and poor class people need to be discussed
Macroeconomic correlates in the FY2015 budget were inconsistent while key fiscal targets did not reflect reality in designing of the framework.
The basis of achieving 7.3 percent GDP growth remains a suspect without substantial private sector investment which has shown a continuous declining trend, underscored the CPD analysis of the National Budget for FY2015.
The analyses flagged that fiscal measures in the budget are largely in order and tuned to budgetary objectives but not adequate to attain expected GDP growth.
This is an analysis on the Capital Expenditure of the 2016 Budget – Appropriation Bill – with special focus on the Number of Capital Projects to be executed by Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs).
On the basis of an assessment of the current and evolving macroeconomic situation, RBI after the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting today on released Monetary Policy Statement, 2022
.
The underlying decisions has been set out in the statements below;
In continuation of NITI Brief # 1, it is now sought to analyse the expenditure outlays under the Central Plan in the Union Budget 2015-16, and their implications for the remaining two years of the Twelfth Five Year Plan, the national development agenda and expected outcomes.
The proposed budget for FY2019-20 does not adequately address the commitments made in the election manifesto of the current government. CPD presented an analysis of the proposed budget keeping in view the targets set in the Seventh Five Year Plan (7FYP), election pledges, current macroeconomic scenario and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Appreciating some of the tax measures, CPD welcomed initiatives like raising VAT exemption threshold which will protect small and medium traders, tax measures for selected import items, VAT exemption on non-mechanical carriage for disabled persons (wheel chair) and hearing aids and VAT exemption on pacemaker, heart valve, Haemodialyser (Artificial Kidney), cancer medicines, etc., among others.
The budget has proposed the existing provisions about undisclosed money to continue. CPD strongly feels that investing undisclosed money in various sectors will not change the investment scenario much nor it will change the behaviour of the tax evaders rather it will continue to discourage regular taxpayers. Personal income tax measures and increase in net wealth exemption limit proposed in the budget, suggest that the budget is likely to benefit the higher-income group while the situation remains unchanged for the lower and middle-income group.
These views, among others, were shared at the CPD media briefing on analysis of the proposed National Budget FY2019-20 on Friday, 14 June 2019 at La Vita Hall, Lakeshore Hotel, Dhaka. Following the presentation of the proposed budget by the Hon’ble Finance Minister at the National Parliament on the day before, the analysis was prepared overnight by the CPD team. Following the welcome remarks from Dr Khondaker Golam Moazzem, Executive Director (a.i.), CPD, Dr Debapriya Bhattacharya, Distinguished Fellow, CPD, made the presentation titled, “National Budget for FY2019-20: An Analytical Perspective”. Ms Anisatul Fatema Yousuf, Director, Dialogue and Communication and CPD’s Senior Research Fellow, Mr Towfiqul Islam Khan, among others, were present at the event. Like every year, the media briefing was broadcasted live by Channel i to reach the mass people.
Read More: https://bit.ly/2RhpSb0
what is budget
Expectations of the public
Conclusions of Budget speech
surprising facts
sasta aur mehanga
plan & Non plan expenses
Capital expenses and revenue expenses
Revenue deficit & Fiscal Deficit
Rajiv Gandhi Equity Saving Scheme
Asset Creation
www.indiabudget.nic.in
Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Tuesday in the parliament presented her fourth budget including key measures for a number of sectors, aimed at boosting growth amid high & rising inflation and continuing Covid uncertainties.
The government of Bangladesh has placed the budget for FY2020-21. In this backdrop, CPD has organised the Budget Dialogue 2020 to share views on various aspects of the proposed budget. This budget analysis has been prepared to assess the coherence of fiscal measures, assumptions and credibility of macroeconomic forecast, soundness of fiscal framework and priorities of budgetary allocations.
The #government of #Bangladesh has proposed the National #Budget for #FY2021 on 11 June 2020. CPD has analysed the budget proposal overnight and presented through a virtual media briefing on 12 June 2020 under its flagship programme 'Independent Review of Bangladesh’s Development (IRBD)'.
See here how CPD analysed the budget proposal in view of tackling #COVID19 #pandemic.
The document was prepared as one of the assignments
It contains descriptions of different ministries where capital expenditure is more than the revenue expenditure in the budget 2020.
The document has analysis related to corporate and income tax changes
The Nigerian government financial system operates a structure where funds flow to the three systems of government from what is termed the FEDERATION ACCOUNT.
The Federation Account serves as the central pocket through which our Governments – Federal, State, and Local Government – fund developmental projects as well as maintain their respective workforce.
This presentation takes an empirical look at the components of the Federal Allocation formula and State & Local Government Allocation indices
The analysis focuses on State Governments’ allocations from year 2005 to year 2014; with detail extractions from the 2014 budgets. Does more money really translate into better life? Let’s find out.
Macroeconomic correlates in the FY2015 budget were inconsistent while key fiscal targets did not reflect reality in designing of the framework.
The basis of achieving 7.3 percent GDP growth remains a suspect without substantial private sector investment which has shown a continuous declining trend, underscored the CPD analysis of the National Budget for FY2015.
The analyses flagged that fiscal measures in the budget are largely in order and tuned to budgetary objectives but not adequate to attain expected GDP growth.
This is an analysis on the Capital Expenditure of the 2016 Budget – Appropriation Bill – with special focus on the Number of Capital Projects to be executed by Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs).
On the basis of an assessment of the current and evolving macroeconomic situation, RBI after the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting today on released Monetary Policy Statement, 2022
.
The underlying decisions has been set out in the statements below;
In continuation of NITI Brief # 1, it is now sought to analyse the expenditure outlays under the Central Plan in the Union Budget 2015-16, and their implications for the remaining two years of the Twelfth Five Year Plan, the national development agenda and expected outcomes.
The proposed budget for FY2019-20 does not adequately address the commitments made in the election manifesto of the current government. CPD presented an analysis of the proposed budget keeping in view the targets set in the Seventh Five Year Plan (7FYP), election pledges, current macroeconomic scenario and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Appreciating some of the tax measures, CPD welcomed initiatives like raising VAT exemption threshold which will protect small and medium traders, tax measures for selected import items, VAT exemption on non-mechanical carriage for disabled persons (wheel chair) and hearing aids and VAT exemption on pacemaker, heart valve, Haemodialyser (Artificial Kidney), cancer medicines, etc., among others.
The budget has proposed the existing provisions about undisclosed money to continue. CPD strongly feels that investing undisclosed money in various sectors will not change the investment scenario much nor it will change the behaviour of the tax evaders rather it will continue to discourage regular taxpayers. Personal income tax measures and increase in net wealth exemption limit proposed in the budget, suggest that the budget is likely to benefit the higher-income group while the situation remains unchanged for the lower and middle-income group.
These views, among others, were shared at the CPD media briefing on analysis of the proposed National Budget FY2019-20 on Friday, 14 June 2019 at La Vita Hall, Lakeshore Hotel, Dhaka. Following the presentation of the proposed budget by the Hon’ble Finance Minister at the National Parliament on the day before, the analysis was prepared overnight by the CPD team. Following the welcome remarks from Dr Khondaker Golam Moazzem, Executive Director (a.i.), CPD, Dr Debapriya Bhattacharya, Distinguished Fellow, CPD, made the presentation titled, “National Budget for FY2019-20: An Analytical Perspective”. Ms Anisatul Fatema Yousuf, Director, Dialogue and Communication and CPD’s Senior Research Fellow, Mr Towfiqul Islam Khan, among others, were present at the event. Like every year, the media briefing was broadcasted live by Channel i to reach the mass people.
Read More: https://bit.ly/2RhpSb0
what is budget
Expectations of the public
Conclusions of Budget speech
surprising facts
sasta aur mehanga
plan & Non plan expenses
Capital expenses and revenue expenses
Revenue deficit & Fiscal Deficit
Rajiv Gandhi Equity Saving Scheme
Asset Creation
www.indiabudget.nic.in
Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Tuesday in the parliament presented her fourth budget including key measures for a number of sectors, aimed at boosting growth amid high & rising inflation and continuing Covid uncertainties.
The government of Bangladesh has placed the budget for FY2020-21. In this backdrop, CPD has organised the Budget Dialogue 2020 to share views on various aspects of the proposed budget. This budget analysis has been prepared to assess the coherence of fiscal measures, assumptions and credibility of macroeconomic forecast, soundness of fiscal framework and priorities of budgetary allocations.
The #government of #Bangladesh has proposed the National #Budget for #FY2021 on 11 June 2020. CPD has analysed the budget proposal overnight and presented through a virtual media briefing on 12 June 2020 under its flagship programme 'Independent Review of Bangladesh’s Development (IRBD)'.
See here how CPD analysed the budget proposal in view of tackling #COVID19 #pandemic.
The document was prepared as one of the assignments
It contains descriptions of different ministries where capital expenditure is more than the revenue expenditure in the budget 2020.
The document has analysis related to corporate and income tax changes
The Nigerian government financial system operates a structure where funds flow to the three systems of government from what is termed the FEDERATION ACCOUNT.
The Federation Account serves as the central pocket through which our Governments – Federal, State, and Local Government – fund developmental projects as well as maintain their respective workforce.
This presentation takes an empirical look at the components of the Federal Allocation formula and State & Local Government Allocation indices
The analysis focuses on State Governments’ allocations from year 2005 to year 2014; with detail extractions from the 2014 budgets. Does more money really translate into better life? Let’s find out.
Analysis of State Government budgets to identify (where possible) their priority sectors, compare the National Budget to State budgets in terms of its Budget Components and help Nigerians know how else to improve on holding governments accountable at State level.
An Analysis Of the Union Budget from 2010- 2015 Education SectorSneha J Chouhan
This presentation explains about the Highlights of the Indian Union Budget for 5 years in the education sector and its impact.
P.S: Refer for educational purposes only.
Nigeria security challenge, is it financialstatisense
The responsibility of Governments is to protect life and property of her citizens – at all cost necessary and possible. It is understandable that this cannot be done effectively without enough financial will-power. The Government desire to live true to this responsibility reflects; first, in the Budgetary allocations to Security Agencies & Departments, second, in the judicious use of these allocations for their intended cause.
Currently, the Nigerian gas-to-electricity project has over 1,000km of pipelines. For an electricity revolution based mainly on gas, Nigeria will need about 10,000km of gas pipeline infrastructure as well as adequate security measures to curb the menace of gas pipeline vandalisation. The questions arising from the gas to power proposal include the following: Who will be investing all the needed finances? Is the domestic gas price attractive to encourage investors to invest in gas exploration and pipeline expansion? Will the extant enabling policies ensure returns on investment? How sustainable is the available gas reserves to meet the needs of future generations? If realisable, will the expansion of the gas pipelines infrastructure guarantee sustainable and accessible power to all Nigerians especially those in the off-grid communities?
The Federal Government of Nigeria categorizes its
Budgetary allocations into five distinct sectors: Administration, Economic, Infrastructure, Security, Social sectors
Moving the Oil and Gas Sector to the Next Level
2013 Ministerial Mid-term press briefing
Presentation by Diezani Alison-Madueke (Mrs.) CON Honourable Minister, Ministry of Petroleum Resources
The observations and policy recommendations emerged from the CPD analysis titled “A Set of Proposals for the National Budget FY2015” presented during a press briefing at the Brac Centre Inn on Sunday, 4 May 2014.
Tunisia: Letter of Intent, Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies, and...Afif Bejaoui
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Recent budgeting developments in Japan - Mitsuhiro Teraoka, JapanOECD Governance
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Budgets planning india - find articles for budget planning, personal budget planner, family budget planner, business budget planner, investment budget planner, budget planning forums and free budget tools downloads.
Budget Basics and overview in a simplified manner. Provides useful insights on the topic of budget and ways to evaluate it.
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As political unrest continues to take a toll on the Bangladesh economy, major sectors have incurred a loss equivalent to Tk. 4900 crore or 0.55 per cent of GDP of FY2015 during January to mid-March this year.
CPD came up with the estimation at a media briefing on its recommendations for the upcoming National Budget for FY2016, held at Brac Centre Inn on 5 April 2015.
The CPD analysis particularly focused on macroeconomic backdrop in the run-up to the upcoming National Budget, economic losses arising from political violence in early 2015, implications of key global developments and IMF’s ECF and World Bank’s proposed development support credit.
CPD came up with the estimation at a media briefing on its recommendations for the upcoming National Budget for FY2016, held at Brac Centre Inn on 5 April 2015.
NITI BRIEFS is a series of documents created for dissemination of important policy matters. This is the first document in the series. It provides an overview of the National Development Agenda, Fourteenth Finance Commission and the Union Budget 2015-16.
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Presentation was made at the Action Aid of Nigeria Consultative Meeting on the 2023 Budget for the Agricultural Sector of Nigeria.
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Pesticides banned in Europe for good reasons are still in use in Nigeria. And many people have died of contaminated drinking water polluted by these pesticides. A report in remote villages and a Bavarian food laboratory by Wolfgang Bauer.
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About the Speaker
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A review of the federal government 2015 budget of Nigeria
1. A REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT 2015 BUDGET
PROPOSAL
A REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT 2015 BUDGET
PROPOSAL
By
Donald Ikenna OFOEGBU
Economist, Researcher & Program Officer PFM,
Centre for Social Justice, Abuja.
Ikenna_donald@yahoo.com
08030840041, 08126156014
@Donaldikenna1
2. Outline:Outline:
1. The Rules of the Game
2. Compliance to the Basic Rules: Reviewing 2014 Budget & its
Implementation
3. WHERE IS THE 2015 BUDGET ANCHORED?
4. THE 2015 BUDGET: A Transition Budget & Hope
5. THE FISCAL ITEMS
6. THE ALLOCATIONS AND PRIORITIES
7. HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT
8. THE ALLOCATIONS AND THE TRANSFORMATION AGENDA
(TA)
9. ON THE REVENUE SIDE
10. FRIVOLITIES AND WASTEFUL LINE ITEMS IN THE 2015
PROPOSED BUDGET
11. CONCLUSIONS
3. The Rules of the Game
1. Section 318 (1) of the constitution puts the Nigeria’s financial/budget year to run
from January 1st
to December 31st
:
“the financial year shall in pursuance to section 318(1) of the constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999, be
the period of twelve months commencing on the 1st January and ending on 31st December”.
2. Section 18 of the Fiscal Responsibility Act. The Fiscal Responsibility Act (2007)
envisages the preparation of a policy framework or policy plan; the MTEF and
Fiscal Paper by the Minister of Finance and presented to the Executive Council of
the Federation (EXCoF) for consideration and endorsement after which it is to be
laid before the National Assembly for “Approval”. Medium Term Expenditure
Framework
3. Section 25 requires the preparation of the Annual Cash Plan by the Accountant-
General of the Federation, and a Disbursement Schedule by the Minister of
Finance. Subsection 1 and 2 of Section 25 states that:
(1) The Federal Government shall cause to be drawn up in each financial year, an Annual cash Plan which shall be
prepared by the office of the Accountant- General of the Federation.
(2) The Annual Cash Plan shall be prepared in advance of the financial year setting out projected monthly cash flows
and shall be revised periodically to reflect actual cash flows.
4. Section 26 of this same act requires specifically that the disbursement schedule as
prepared by the minister of finance within 30 days of the enactment of the
appropriation act be prepare and publish.
4. 5. On the practice of implementation, reporting is expected:
• Section 30. (1) The Minister of Finance, through the Budget
Office of the Federation, shall monitor and evaluate the
implementation of the Annual Budget, assess the
attainment of fiscal targets and report thereon on a
quarterly basis to the Fiscal Responsibility Council and the
Joint Finance Committee of the National Assembly
• (2) The Minister of Finance shall cause the report prepared
pursuant to subsection (1) of this section to be published in
the mass and electronic media and on Ministry of Finance
website not later than 30 days after the end of each
quarter. – FRA (2007)
5. Compliance to the Basic Rules: Reviewing 2014
Budget & its Implementation
• the Fiscal Responsibility Act 2007 requires the 2014 Budget
to be presented before the National Assembly by October
ending 2013. Contrary to the FRA 2007 and best practice,
the 2014 Budget was presented to the joint section of NASS
in December 19, 2013.
• No annual cash plan or disbursement schedule was made
available to this effect.
• The proposed 2014 budget was subject to the traditional
delays generated from the debate on the oil price
benchmark between NASS and the Executive.
6. Table 1: Composition of the Proposed and Approved 2014 Budget
BUDGET COMPOSITION
2014 PROPOSED BUDGET EXPENDITURE
(Presented to NASS December 19, 2013)
2014 APPROPRIATED BUDGET
EXPENDITURE
(Passed by NASS on the 9th April, 2014)(Passed by NASS on the 9th April, 2014)
ALLOCATION (N)
% of Proposed
Budget
ALLOCATION (N)ALLOCATION (N)
% of Appropriated% of Appropriated
BudgetBudget
Recurrent Expenditure
(Non-Debt)
2,430,665,361,597 52.35% 2,454,887,566,7022,454,887,566,702 52.29%52.29%
Statutory Expenditure 399,687,801,891 8.61% 408,687,801,891408,687,801,891 8.70%8.70%
Debt
Servicing
712,000,000,000 15.34% 712,000,000,000712,000,000,000
15.16%15.16%
(Domestic: N663,610,000,000
or 93.2% of the Total Debt
Servicing)
(Domestic:(Domestic:
N663,610,000,000 orN663,610,000,000 or
93.2% of the Total93.2% of the Total
Debt Servicing)Debt Servicing)
(Foreign: N48,390,000,000 or
6.8% of the Total Debt
Servicing)
(Foreign:(Foreign:
48,390,000,000 or48,390,000,000 or
6.8% of the Total Debt6.8% of the Total Debt
Servicing)Servicing)
Capital Expenditure 1,100,606,836,512 23.70% 1,119,614,631,4071,119,614,631,407 23.85%23.85%
AGGREGATE 2014 BUDGET 4,642,960,000,000 100 4,695,190,000,0004,695,190,000,000 100100
SURE-P 268,370,000,000 268,370,000,000268,370,000,000
AGGREGATE
BUDGET + SURE-P
4,911,330,000,000.00 4,963,560,000,000
BUDGET ASSUMPTIONS
Oil Price $77.5 per barrel $77.5 per barrel$77.5 per barrel
Crude Oil Production 2.388 mbpd 2.388 mbpd2.388 mbpd
GDP Growth Rate 6.75 % 6.75 %6.75 %
Inflation 9.5% 9.5%9.5%
Exchange Rate N160/$ N160/$N160/$
7. • Appropriating for the Human Development & key
Ministries/Sector in the 2014 budget act:
Education -N424.3billion - 9% of the Agg. Budget.
Health - N264.5billion - 5.6%
Agric & Rural Devpt - N67.04billion - 1.4%
Defence - N347.7billion - 7.4%
Works - N133.73billion - 2.8%
Labour & Productivity - N10.4billion - 0.2%
8. On the implementation and reporting of the 2014 budget performance:
While the ministry have overtime made effort in making available the implementation
report, its content comprehensiveness, readiness and timeliness falls out off due time,
standard and expectation.
As at 1st
January 2015, only the first and second quarter implementation reports for
2014 have been made available to the public. Contravening section 30 (1 and 2) of the
FRA. Thus, the parameters for comparing the budgets of 2014 and 2015 may not be
fully available to Nigerians.
9. Implementation in 2014 was challenging for two major reasons (BIR Q1&Q2 2014)
1) Annual appropriation proposal did not get the passage of the
National Assembly until the beginning of the second quarter.
2) The revenue receipts from resources were significantly below their
projected estimates. These shortfalls in revenue were serious
impediments to the effective implementation of the budget in the
quarter.
These were where drive by oil pipeline vandalism and “shut-ins”.
Quantity of oil produced averaged at about 2.2 million bpd in the
first 3 quarters of 2014; falling short of the 2.38million bpd
projected in the Budget.
Oil Price fall in the international oil price was another. Prices
crashed from a peak of about $114pb earlier in June 2014, to
around $58pb by December 2014. This is below the Budget
benchmark price of $77.5 pb for 2014.
As a result, revenues falls short of the Budget targets of N3.73 trillion. As at the
end of October 2014, total revenues were about N2.72 trillion.
10. In the first quarter implementation of 2014 budget, the data indicated that the
implementation of recurrent (non-debt) expenditure was on course as at 31st March,
2014.
Of the N279.9 billion projected for the first quarter capital budget implementation , N156.52
billion was released a fully cashbacked, zero utilization was recorded in the first
quarter as the cash-backing came in towards the end of the quarter.
SURE-PSURE-P :: Of the N268.37 billion appropriated for SURE-P for 2014, N136.46 billion (50.85%)Of the N268.37 billion appropriated for SURE-P for 2014, N136.46 billion (50.85%)
was released as at 31st March, 2014.was released as at 31st March, 2014. N42.69 billionN42.69 billion ((31.2831.28%% of the released)of the released) was utilizedwas utilized forfor
major capital and social programmes, especially, in the area of infrastructure developmentmajor capital and social programmes, especially, in the area of infrastructure development.
In the second quarters implementation of 2014 budget, The data also indicated that
the implementation of recurrent (non-debt) expenditure was on course.
As at 30th June, 2014, a total of N410.01 billion had been released. Of this amount,
N221.68 billion had been cash-backed for the implementation of MDAs capital
projects/programmes. N188.59 billion (or 86.08%) of the total amount cash-backed
had been utilized by MDAs as at 30th June 2014.
The implication is that of the total N1.119trillion appropriated for capital expenditure, as at
June 2014, only 16.9% have been utilized.
SURE PSURE P: of N268.37 billion appropriated under SURE-P, a total of N181.46 billion (or 67.62%) as at 30th: of N268.37 billion appropriated under SURE-P, a total of N181.46 billion (or 67.62%) as at 30th
June, 2014. Of this, N65.51 billion (or 36.1%) had been utilized by MDAs for the implementation of criticalJune, 2014. Of this, N65.51 billion (or 36.1%) had been utilized by MDAs for the implementation of critical
capital projects and programmes.capital projects and programmes.
11. On the 3rd
Quarter: While presenting the 2015 budget proposal to the public,
on 17th
December 2014, the Minister of Finance verbally announced the
performance of the 2014 budget in the third quarter. In her words:
“...we have managed to keep the country running. Recurrent Expenditure is being
paid and government is running. We are aware of some MDAs, e.g. Education,
where salary payments are delayed due to glitches in IPPIS. This is being rectified
and all will be paid this December. Capital expenditure however has suffered. We
could not cashback N100 billion of 3rd quarter capital and have not
been able to release 4th quarter capital.- COE/MOF (17th
Dec, 2014)
The implication is that as at end third quarter; September (final quarter of 2014) no other utilization
has been done from the regular budget. Hence the total implementation of the capital project as at
that date was still the 16.85%.
SURE P: The minister however noted that existing capital implementation was
ongoing using the SURE-P sums, as well as releases for the last quarter of 2014.
Quoting the minister:
“....Nevertheless, we have managed to keep most of our priority projects going with the
support of SURE-P resources. Of the N1.12 trillion in the Budget, the sum of N610 billion has
been released (as at the end of October) with N465 billion of this amount only fully cash-
backed. About 83.5 percent of the amount cash-backed had been utilized by MDAs as at the
end of October”.
12. WHERE IS THE 2015 BUDGET ANCHORED? No Approved 2015-2017MTEF
Section 11 of the Fiscal Responsibility Act (FRA) 2007 mandates the Minister of Finance to
prepare the MTEF and FSP and lay them before the Federal Executive Council (FEC) and
the National Assembly for consideration and approval. Going by Section 18 of the Act, the
MTEF is the basis for the preparation of the annual budget.
The 2015-2017 statutory documents were submitted late in October 19th 2014. The
2015-2017MTEF proposed a 2015 budget of N4.817trillion, Recurrent Expenditure of
N2.622trillion, and Capital Expenditure of N1.436trillion. The oil price was marked at
$78pb and exchange rate of N160/$.
Given the continuous fall in the international oil prices, and the overshot MTEF of the
ministry, a revised 2015-2017 Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) and Fiscal
Strategy Paper (FSP) of N4.661 trillion budget estimates for 2015 fiscal year was on the
19th November 2014 submitted to the Senate by the Federal Government. The new
MTEF and FSP showed a reduction in capital expenditure from the earlier proposed
N1.436 trillion to N1.208trillion, the Federal Government retained the recurrent
expenditure of N2.622 trillion proposal in the first MTEF. The N4.661 trillion budget
estimates for 2015, according to the document, was predicated on $73 per barrel oil
benchmark and a foreign exchange of N162 to a dollar.
The 2015-2017MTEFs having been recalled and resubmitted is yet to be approved by NASS. BeforeThe 2015-2017MTEFs having been recalled and resubmitted is yet to be approved by NASS. Before
the approval of the reviewed 2015-2017MTEF by NASS, the 2015 Budget proposal have been draftedthe approval of the reviewed 2015-2017MTEF by NASS, the 2015 Budget proposal have been drafted
and submitted to NASS for approval. This is a fat breach of the Fiscal Responsibility Act, it makesand submitted to NASS for approval. This is a fat breach of the Fiscal Responsibility Act, it makes
rubbish its wise recommendation of the MTEF being the basis upon which the 2015 budget should berubbish its wise recommendation of the MTEF being the basis upon which the 2015 budget should be
drawn.drawn.
13. THE 2015 BUDGET: A Transition Budget & Hope
The 2015 federal budget laid before the National Assembly on December 17 2015
by the Minister of Finance came very late in the year . The proposed 2015 Budget
is themed a “Transition Budget & Hope” and proposed a number of measures
necessary to guide the country through a difficult 2015 year and move the
economy to deepen efforts at becoming a non-oil economy, as well as tackling
income inequality in Nigeria.
ASSUMPTIONS
THE
APPROVED
2014 BUDGET
PROPOSED
2015 BUDGET
Revised
Proposal
Oil Price (Per Barrel) $77.5 $65
Crude Oil Production (mbpd) 2.39 2.2782
Exchange Rate (N/$) 160.3 165
GDP Growth Rate (%) 6.75 5.5
Domestic Borrowing (N’Billion) N571.9bn N570bn
KEY ASSUMPTIONS Approved 2014 and Proposed 2015 Budgets
15. THE FISCAL ITEMS: Table 3: Composition of the 2015 Budget Proposal
Fiscal items Approved
2014budget
% of Total
2014
Approved
Budget
2015
Proposed
Budget
% of Total
Proposed
2015 Budget
N’bn N’bn
FGN Retained Revenue 3,731.00 3,602.96
Statutory Transfers 408.69 8.70 411.84 9.45
Debt Service 712 15.16 943 21.64
Recurrent Expenditure 2,454.89 52.29 2,616.01 60.03
Personnel Costs (MDAs) 1,727.61 36.80 1,836.73 42.15
Overheads 251.93 5.37 199.18 4.57
CRF Pensions 187.45 3.99 231.41 5.31
Other Service Wide votes 301.84 6.43 348.69 8.00
Capital Expenditure 1,119.62 23.85 387.11 8.88
TOTAL FGN
EXPENDITURE 4,695.2 100 4,357.96 100
SUBIDY REINVESTMENT
PROGRAM (SURE-P)
268.37 102.5
SURE-P Board (Running
Cost)
1.2 0.5
SURE-P (Capital
Expenditure)
267.17 102
AGG. FGN EXPENDITURE
(INCLUSIVE OF SURE-P) 4,963.57 4,460.46
Fiscal Deficit
(Based on Regular Budget) (993.68) (755.00)
16. • To cut down the recurrent expenditure, instituting measures aimed at improving
spending, the cut down exercise is expected to save a total of N82.5 billion
covering the following: Overhead expenditures: propose cuts to International
Travels and Training by 50% for all MDAs saving about N14billion, while other
provisions for Overhead expenditure are to be dropped completely saving about
N4 billion. Administrative Expenditures for Buildings, Equipment, Supplies, etc:
MDAs’ provisions for the procurement of administrative supplies and equipment
will be cut, saving about N5 billion; procurement and upgrade of buildings were
similarly curtailed saving about N44 billion. While another N76 billion is proposed
for reallocation to more impactful programmes of Government in the security,
health, and education sectors.
• The demand for funds to service debts is increasing. It rose from N712bn in 2014 being
14.26% of the budget to N943bn in 2015 being 21.16% of budget. The national Debt
Management Office attributed the high debt profile to six factors:
– Inefficient trade and exchange rate policies,
– unfavourable exchange rate movements,
– unfavourable interest rate movements,
– poor lending and inefficient loan utilisation,
– poor debt management practices, and
– accumulation of arrears and penalties.
Given the significant decline in capital expenditure, it appears that funds are being
borrowed to finance recurrent expenditure rather than developmental projects.
17. • The government propose spending N943bn: N555.89billion more on debt service than
capital expenditure. The capital expenditure is not only less than the debt servicing, but less
than half the debt provision at only 41.05% of the debt service provision! At the same time,
debt service amounts to 26.17% of the retained revenue, implying that almost one third of
the retained revenue are lost to paying debts that cannot be traced to any capital projects
or human developments.
Debt servicing as a percentage of GDP 2010-2015
Based on expected
drawdown on
existing Loans and
new borrowings
in 2015, the Federal
Government plans to
utilize US$6,084.78
million
from external sources
based on the rolling
pipeline projects of
2014.
The Government also
plans to borrow N570
billion from domestic
sources.
18. Borrowing program for the 2015 Fiscal Year
A. EXTERNAL SOURCES
Source Amount (in US$' million)
a. Drawdown on Existing Loans
ADF 61.79
Eximbank of China 206.43
Eximbank of India 16.67
French Development Agency 74.93
IDA 394.35
IDB 1.53
IFAD 8.75
SUB TOTAL 784.45
b. New Borrowings*
ADF 563.2
Eximbank of China 500
French Development Agency 216.67
IDA 1091
IDB 204.13
IFAD 110
JICA 123.33
KFW (Germany) 72
Special National Project 2140
Diaspora Bond 300
SUB TOTAL 5,320.33
Grand Total 6084.78
B. Domestic Sources***
Source Amount (US $'million)
19. • Statutory Transfers: Although the full breakdown of statutory transfers are not available to the Nigerian people and
researchers. The increase from N408.69bn being 8.19 % of the budget in 2014 to N411.84 being 9.23% of the overall
budget in 2015 appears on the high side. It appears that in this period of austerity, key institutions have not adjusted
their votes to reflect the lean times.
Crude Oil Sales Vs Annual Allocation to NASS from 2009 – 2015
20. THE ALLOCATIONS AND PRIORITIES
On the average the MDAs have a 87% recurrent expenses and only 13% capital expenses. While a fewOn the average the MDAs have a 87% recurrent expenses and only 13% capital expenses. While a few
MDA have no capital expenses, some others like the FCT have no recurrent expenditure.MDA have no capital expenses, some others like the FCT have no recurrent expenditure.
Budget Summary COMPUTED FIGURE % of Agg Budget
1 MDAs PERSONNEL COST 1,836,729,121,525 42.15
2 MDAs OVERHEAD 199,182,792,624 4.57
3 MDAs CAPITAL SPENDINGS 194,020,573,767 4.45
4 CAPITAL SUPPLEMENTATION 193,092,000,000 4.43
5 PENSIONS AND GRATUITIES 231,408,494,338 5.31
6 SERVICE WIDE VOTES 348,687,017,746 8.00
7 STATUTORY TRANSFERS 411,840,000,000 9.45
8 DEBT SERVICE 943,000,000,000 21.64
AGGREGATE EXPENDITURE 4,357,960,000,000 100.00
21. HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT
• Human capital development in this analysis comprises education, health, women and social
development, youth development and labour and productivity. All the sub-sectors with the
exception of the women and social development have their recurrent budget higher than
the capital budget which may not be faulty owing to the fact that the entire sectors are
human dependent in service delivery.
22. Ministry of Education (+ UBEC) was appropriated only
11.29% of the total 2015 proposed budget. In the 2014
budget (approved), this was 11.36%.
Of the total 2015 budget - 89.7% was for the recurrent
expenditure, 10.35% for capital infrastructure provision.
A vote of 11.29% of the overall budget to education including UBEC in 2015 will not meet
the demands of the sector. It falls short of the 26% demanded by international standards.
Note. Nigeria has the highest number of global out of school children. Nigeria is reported
to spend about N1.5trillion abroad every year in education.
HEALTH : The allocation for the health sector in 2015 as proposed
was 5.91% of the total budget, slightly above the 2014 budget
composition of 5.66% of the overall budget. This also misses the
international standard of 15% of the budget. The health sector has
seen one strikes too many at the detriment of the sick Nigerians and
nursing mothers. It is reported that Nigerians spend over N78b
annually for foreign medical services
23. Agriculture: Nigeria is reported to spend about N1.5trillion abroad every year in
education. Against expectation, the composition of agriculture as a percentage of the
aggregate budget fell to only 0.9% from the 1.47% of the approved 2014 budget.
Declining Trend Of The Agriculture Vote In Relation To Maputo Declaration:
24. THE ALLOCATIONS AND THE TRANSFORMATION AGENDA (TA)
• In the absence of an approved medium term frame work, there is the need to see if by
coincident the budget as proposed for the 2015 year had the transformation agenda in mind
25. ON THE REVENUE SIDE
the Federal government 2015 Budget has an Aggregate Budget Revenue of N3.602
trillion made up of: oil revenue of N1.918 trillion and non-oil revenues of N1.684 trillion
(implying a ratio of 53% oil revenues to 47% non-oil) to fund an Aggregate Budget
Expenditure of N4.46 trillion (inclusive of SURE-P) proposed for 2015 Budget
Tax Revenue: In the short term, the
government is determined to improve
tax revenues not by increasing tax
rates, but rather as a pro-people
Administration, by first, strengthening
the tax administration. The
government via the ministry and
supporting agents are aimed at plug
leakages, increase the tax base and
improve tax collection efficiency. In
2015, the Federal government plans
to ramp the FIRS/McKinsey initiative
to contribute an extra N160 billion in
tax receipts and an aggregate of about
N460 billion over and above the 2014
levels in the 2015-2017 period
Tax Waivers and Exemptions: according to the ministry of finance, analysis shows that about 30%
of received tax waivers from government especially under the pioneer status scheme have abuse
the waivers and exemption system. As a short-term measure, the government plans to commenced
a review of the implementation of pioneer status exemptions to which is expected to unlock up to
N36 billion of additional tax revenues in 2015.
26. Adjustment Measures: Leakages and Under Remittance of IGR by MDA: B. Surcharge on Luxury
Goods and Efficiency Gains
Revenue Side: Expected Income/Amount Saved
Surcharges on certain luxury items N23billion
10% import surcharge on new private jets N3.7billion
39% import surcharge on luxury yatch N1.6billion
5% import surcharge on Luxury Cars N2.6billion
Surcharge on Business & First Class Tickets on Airlines yet to fix rate
3% luxury surcharge on Champagnes, Wines & Spirits N2.3billion
1% FCT Mansion Tax on Residential Properties with value of N300million & above N360million
Strengthening Tax Administration and tax policy (N460billion in 3years) that’s an
average of
N153.3billion
Expenditure Side:
Freezing purchase of new office equipment & other administrative capital. This
will generate some savings:
Purchase of Office Buildings N1.99billion
Construction/Provision of Office Building N24.05billion
Purchase of office furniture and fitting N9.50billion
International travel and training will be limited to only the most crucial for now:
This applies to all public servants so that parastatals can remit more IGR to Treasury N14.02billion
Rationalize expired committees and commissions that lead to leakages N6.49billion
TOTAL N243.36Billion
27. Frivolities and Wasteful Line Items in the 2015 Proposed Budget
• N1.142bn as welfare packages; N295m for purchase of security equipment; N100m for
computer software acquisition – all for the office of the Secretary to the Government of the
Federation.
• In the same SGF office, the amount of N1.2bn was requested in the 2014 budget for welfare
packages.
• In the Presidency/State House, there is a vote of N826m for the rehabilitation and repairs of
buildings and the same subheading got a vote of over N2.6bn in the proposal for last year;
purchase of canteen and kitchen equipment for N174m; ; purchase of “crested cockery” for
N54m.
• the “Upgrading of Electrical Components at Shehu Shagari Complex (ongoing)” code -
SGF16003811. It was allocated N150million by the Secretary to the Government of the
Federation (HQTRS). In 2014 this same building attracted N120million for the upgrade of
electrical components at Shehu Shagari Complex (ongoing). In 2013 approved budget, the sum
of N50million was approved for the same upgrading of electrical components at Shehu Shagari
Complex. In 2012 the sum was N60million.
• “Auto fill budgeting practice”; repeating the same figures for almost all the line items. For instance, in the
Code of Conduct Tribunal, the sum of N66.7milliion was appropriated for purchase of generator,
construction of 3 state offices (in Lagos, Kwara and River) and construction of 5 nos. Zonal court halls in
south- south, southwest, south east north east and northwest zones starting with Enugu. The same sum of
N1,505,962 was appropriated for water rates, sewage charges, books, newspaper, maintenances, legal
services, refreshment and meal, sporting activities, engineering services, etc (N1,505,962 was repeated
fifteen times). The sum of N752,981 in different occasion was allocated to engineering services, postages &
courier services, and Subscription to professional bodies. This is pure impunity in the budget system, a
conspiracy against public resources and reflects pure incompetence in this agency’s budget and planning
unit.
28. CONCLUSIONS
• Let the Presidency and National Assembly lead the way in the austerity
measures and adjustments. Nigerians will be too willing to follow.
• The executive should empower security agencies to do the simple task of
stopping oil theft and thereby increasing our crude oil production volume to
not less than 2.5mbpd.
• The benchmark price of crude oil should be reduced to a realistic estimate, not
more than $55pb.
• A moratorium on borrowing unless it is tied to specific capital projects.
• Reallocate service wide votes to MDAS.
• The Budget provides an opportunity for the presidential candidates to have a
debate around the different perspectives of handling fiscal policy at a time
crisis and uncertainty.
• Take steps to recover the N160bn stolen by ghost workers.
• Strengthening the Fiscal Responsibility Commission to performs its statutory
duties
• Full implementation of the provisions of the Fiscal Responsibility Act.
• Eliminate all forms of wastages, frivolities and dubious line items and
appropriation from the budget, while making those responsible for these sharp
practices in the budget system to pay.