Does Macroeconomic factors Impact on Foreign Direct Investment in emerging ec...AI Publications
Foreign direct investment is essential for economic growth of a country. It acts as a promoter for the economic development of a country. Keeping this in mind, the objective of this study is to determine the effect of macroeconomic variables such as interest rate, real exchange rate,inflation rate and stock market on foreign direct investment in Pakistan. For this purpose,study used the authentic annual data for the period of 27 years i.e. from 1990-2016. We are use for analysis E-View software, The empirical analysis involved using the ADF test to check the stationary of the data.Results revealed that interest rate and exchange rate have significant negative effect on FDI and stock market index has negative and unsignificant effect on FDI while inflation rate has positive and significant effect on FDI.
Does Macroeconomic factors Impact on Foreign Direct Investment in emerging ec...AI Publications
Foreign direct investment is essential for economic growth of a country. It acts as a promoter for the economic development of a country. Keeping this in mind, the objective of this study is to determine the effect of macroeconomic variables such as interest rate, real exchange rate,inflation rate and stock market on foreign direct investment in Pakistan. For this purpose,study used the authentic annual data for the period of 27 years i.e. from 1990-2016. We are use for analysis E-View software, The empirical analysis involved using the ADF test to check the stationary of the data.Results revealed that interest rate and exchange rate have significant negative effect on FDI and stock market index has negative and unsignificant effect on FDI while inflation rate has positive and significant effect on FDI.
Foreign Investment and Its Effect on the Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Triang...iosrjce
Evidence abound about the registered increase in foreign investment inflows in recent years. While
proponents emphasize that these inflows could engender economic growth, critics express concern that there
could be destabilizing effect on the economy if not well managed. This study therefore, attempts to examine the
effect of foreign investments (disaggregated into foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio investment)
inflows on economic growth in Nigeria with a view to ascertaining the better contributor, using time series data
from 1987-2012. The OLS and the Granger causality procedures were employed in analyzing the data. The
result displays that both foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio investment have positive and significant
effect on economic growth though the partial correlation coefficients show that foreign portfolio investment is
the better contributor. Based on the result, government should pursue policies that encourage both foreign
direct investment and especially foreign portfolio investment.
Foreign Direct Investment and its Determinants: A Study on India and Brazilinventionjournals
International trade builds up through international factor movement (IFM). IFM means movement of labour, capital and other elements of production among different country. It occurs by three ways: first one is immigration or emigration, international borrowing or lending is second way and last one is foreign direct investment (FDI). FDI means controlling ownership of a business enterprise of one country is based on entity of another country. Investment through FDI depends on various factors namely Inflation Rate, Human Development Index (HDI), Global Terrorism Index (GTI), Global Peace Index (GPI), Unemployment, Population; Corruption Perception Index (CPI), Industrial disputes etc. Object of this present study is to identify the effect of these factors on FDI inflow for India and Brazil. Also identify the more important determinants for FDI of these two countries. Ten years data (2005 to 2014) have been used for determining the result of this study. Result reveals that there exist impact of sample factors on FDI Inflow between two countries but strength of different factors varies
Investment is defining as asset or item that is
purchased with the hope that it will generate income or
appreciate in the future. In an economic sense, an investment is
the purchase of goods that are not consumed today but are
used in the future to create with. In finance an investment is a
monetary asset purchased with the idea that the asset will
provide income in the future or appreciate and be sold at a
higher price. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the
impact of investment (public and private) on economic growth
in Sudan during the period 1999-2011. Date were collected
from central bureau of statistics. Using these data ordinary
least squares method was applied to the linear form of the
model. The obtained results showed that: investment has
positive impact on economic growth measured by nominal
gross domestic product, real gross domestic product and
growth rate of gross domestic product. This is similar to what
mentioned in economic theory.
Macroeconomics which is a branch of economics dealing with the performance, structure, behaviour, and decision-making of an economy as a whole, rather than individual markets, is considered to be tough subject for students who are preparing for competitive exams. This is the 1st Volume of DID YOU KNOW: Indian Macroeconomics Made Easy which will uncover some interesting and not so known facts about Indian Macroeconomics which took Indian economy to what it is today. This edition specifically unveils the facts from 1999-2013.
Foreign Investment and Its Effect on the Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Triang...iosrjce
Evidence abound about the registered increase in foreign investment inflows in recent years. While
proponents emphasize that these inflows could engender economic growth, critics express concern that there
could be destabilizing effect on the economy if not well managed. This study therefore, attempts to examine the
effect of foreign investments (disaggregated into foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio investment)
inflows on economic growth in Nigeria with a view to ascertaining the better contributor, using time series data
from 1987-2012. The OLS and the Granger causality procedures were employed in analyzing the data. The
result displays that both foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio investment have positive and significant
effect on economic growth though the partial correlation coefficients show that foreign portfolio investment is
the better contributor. Based on the result, government should pursue policies that encourage both foreign
direct investment and especially foreign portfolio investment.
Foreign Direct Investment and its Determinants: A Study on India and Brazilinventionjournals
International trade builds up through international factor movement (IFM). IFM means movement of labour, capital and other elements of production among different country. It occurs by three ways: first one is immigration or emigration, international borrowing or lending is second way and last one is foreign direct investment (FDI). FDI means controlling ownership of a business enterprise of one country is based on entity of another country. Investment through FDI depends on various factors namely Inflation Rate, Human Development Index (HDI), Global Terrorism Index (GTI), Global Peace Index (GPI), Unemployment, Population; Corruption Perception Index (CPI), Industrial disputes etc. Object of this present study is to identify the effect of these factors on FDI inflow for India and Brazil. Also identify the more important determinants for FDI of these two countries. Ten years data (2005 to 2014) have been used for determining the result of this study. Result reveals that there exist impact of sample factors on FDI Inflow between two countries but strength of different factors varies
Investment is defining as asset or item that is
purchased with the hope that it will generate income or
appreciate in the future. In an economic sense, an investment is
the purchase of goods that are not consumed today but are
used in the future to create with. In finance an investment is a
monetary asset purchased with the idea that the asset will
provide income in the future or appreciate and be sold at a
higher price. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the
impact of investment (public and private) on economic growth
in Sudan during the period 1999-2011. Date were collected
from central bureau of statistics. Using these data ordinary
least squares method was applied to the linear form of the
model. The obtained results showed that: investment has
positive impact on economic growth measured by nominal
gross domestic product, real gross domestic product and
growth rate of gross domestic product. This is similar to what
mentioned in economic theory.
Macroeconomics which is a branch of economics dealing with the performance, structure, behaviour, and decision-making of an economy as a whole, rather than individual markets, is considered to be tough subject for students who are preparing for competitive exams. This is the 1st Volume of DID YOU KNOW: Indian Macroeconomics Made Easy which will uncover some interesting and not so known facts about Indian Macroeconomics which took Indian economy to what it is today. This edition specifically unveils the facts from 1999-2013.
SPA 507 Issues in Malaysian Economy: FDI & Manufacturing SectorRadziah Adam
This is a compilation of resources for a guest lecture/discussion session for SPA 507 Issues in Malaysian Economy, in MPA programme, School of Social Science.
Challenges Adversely Affecting the Performance of the Manufacturing Sector of...Dr. Amarjeet Singh
The manufacturing sector of Ghana is bedeviled with many challenges, both external and internal, ranging from poor regulatory environment to inadequate level of skilled labour. Manufacturing firms in Ghana were surveyed, using a sample size of 120, based on purposive sampling. The study was poised to determine those variables that were available and those that were not available in the firms and were a setback. In addition a rating scale was used to determine those that were more critical and could adversely affect the performance of the sector. The results revealed there were high rent costs (84.2%) and influx of foreign products (87.5%) as well as inadequate level of skilled labour (77.5). The study was also intended to determine which variable was critically challenging and its absence could affect the performance of the sector. Clearly, poor regulatory environment was ranked the highest on the part of external challenges while inadequate skilled labour was rank the highest on the part of internal challenges. It is therefore recommended that skills development should be the priority of manufacturing firms, with the aim of closing manufacturing skills gap. Further, the government should make conscious attempt to regulate the influx of foreign products into the country.
American Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Development is indexed, refereed and peer-reviewed journal, which is designed to publish research articles.
American Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Development is indexed, refereed and peer-reviewed journal, which is designed to publish research articles.
• GSDP of manufacturing sector of Gujarat is ~ Rs. 131,889 crore (USD 26.4 billion) (at current prices) in 2010-11
• Total investment of 2010 in the manufacturing sector in Gujarat was Rs. 342,079 crore (USD 68.4 billion)
• CAGR of investments in manufacturing sector in last 6 years ~ 19%.
MBA(IRM) Hailey College of Banking & Finance Punjab University students presentation on Industrial Sector of Pakistan.We are greatly thankful to our Professor Farah Naz Naqvi who sparkled our Presentation skills by actually putting us in the industry making us visualize practical picture of the economy.
Faraz Ishaque
MBA (IRM) students Presentation on Industrial Sector Pakistan. Being students of a reputable institution "Hailey College of Banking & Finance Punjab University"" we are thankful to our Professor Farah Naz Naqvi who sparkled our presentation skills and taught us to visualize the practical picture of the Economy.
Faraz Ishaque
Finance Minister AHM Mustafa Kamal on June 13 placed a Tk 5,23,190 crore largest-ever budget for the 2019-20 fiscal with a focus on developing communications infrastructure and human resources and achieve the 8.2 percent GDP growth. The finance minister proposed allocating, from the annual development programme, 27.4 percent for human resource (education, health and related others), 26 percent for communication (roads, rails, bridges, and related other communications), 21.5 percent for the overall agriculture sector (agriculture, rural development, water resources, and related others), 13.8 percent for power and energy sector and 11.3 percent for other sectors.Parliament passed the Tk 5,23,190 crore national budget for 2019-20 fiscal themed as “Bangladesh on a Pathway to Prosperity: Time is Ours, Time for Bangladesh.” Here I have summarized all the budgeted information. I tried to make the analysis easy and simple to understad. All information are available in finance ministry website.
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Implicitly or explicitly all competing businesses employ a strategy to select a mix
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Building Your Employer Brand with Social MediaLuanWise
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2. Zulkamain Yusop and Roslan A. Ghaffar
foreign proposed capital investment in the ap- The uneven pattern ofFDI across the manu-
proved manufacturing projects has increased from factUring industries has resulted in a narrow manu-
19% in 1984 to 64% in 1992 of the total proposed factUring base. At present, manufacturing activi-
capital investment. The trend in FDI (in terms of ties are highly concentrated in the electrical and
proposed capital investment) in Malaysian manu- textile industries. The narrow manufactUring base
facturing indicates a sharp increase during the appears to be at odds with the country's diversifi-
1984-90 period (Table 1). cation policy originated in the 1960's. The nar-
row manufacturing base also has several negative
TABLE 1
implications in terms of the structure of employ-
Proposed capital investment in approved
ment, export and value added. The employment
manufacturing projects in Malaysia(RM Million)
pattern in the manufacturing sector is concen-
Year Local Foreign Total trated in the electrical and textile industries. As
1984 3083.1 718.0 3801.1 at December, 1991, the electrical industry pro-
(81 %)* (19%) (100%) vided the highest level of employment (22.7% of
1985 4727.6 959.3 5686.9 the total employment in the manufacturing) fol-
(83%) (17%) (100%) lowed by the textile industry, 15.2% (Table 2). In
1986 3475.3 1687.9 5163.2 terms of exports, electrical products (electronic,
(67%) (33%) (100%) electrical appliances and machinery) have ac-
1987 1873.9 2060.0 3933.9 counted for the majority of the share of the ex-
(48%) (52%) (100%)
1988 4215.9 port of manufactures. In 1992, the share of elec-
4878.0 9093.9
(46%) (54%) (100%) trical products in the total manufactured exports
1989 3562.7 8652.7 12215.4 was 57.5% (Table 3).
(29%) (71 %) (100%)
1990 10539.0 17629.1 28168.1 TABLE 2
(37%) (63%) (100%) Malaysia: employment by industry as
1991 13763.1 17055.3 30818.4 at December, 1991
(45%) (55%) (100%) Industry (SITe) Employment
1992 10003.0 17772.1 27775.1
(%)
(36%) (64%) (100%)
Food, Beverages 63,741
1984-92 55243.6 71412.3 126656.0 & Tobacco (311-313) (9.2%)
(43.6%) (56.4%) (100%) Textiles, Clothing 92,273
& Footwear (321-323) (13.3%)
Source: MlDA, 1993
'Percentage (rounded to the nearest digit) Wood Products (331) 56,694
(8.2%)
Rubber Products (355) 43,231
Despite the overall increase in FDI, foreign
(6.2%)
participation (in terms of capital) across the Chemicals & Petroleum 21,986
manufacturing industries continues to be uneven. Products (351-353) (3.2%)
Some of the industries are over invested while Non-Metalic 26,310
others appear to be overlooked by foreign inves- Mineral Products (369) (3.8%)
tors. For example, as at December 1988, in the Metal Products (371) 39,678
electrical industry, foreign share constituted 81 % (5.7%)
of the industry's total fixed asset, while for the Electrical & Electronic 211,046
beverages and tobacco; rubber products; and tex- Machinery & Appliances (383) (30.5%)
Transport Equipment (384) 26,098
tile industries, the foreign shares were 70, 56
(3.8%)
and 53% respectively. In contrast, foreign share Other Manufactures 111,22.1j
in the total fixed asset for the wood and wood (16.1 %)
products; plastic; and chemical industries repre-
Total 692,282
sented only 14.6%, 17.8% and 21 % respectively
of the industry's total fixed asset (MIDA 1990). (100.0%)
Source: MIDA, 1993
54 PertanikaJ. Soc. Sci. & Hum. Vol. 2 No.1 1994
4. Zulkamain Yusop and Roslan A. Ghaffar
The electrical industry has also accounted Basically, analysis of FDI has used the compara-
for the major portion of the manufacturing value tive advantage theory, industrial organization
added. In 1990, electrical machinery contributed theory and investment theory (Rock, ]973).
21.5% of the total manufacturing value added, In specifying the FDI function, various coun-
while chemical and chemical products contributed try related aspects which influence FDI in
10.7% and food contributed 8.3% (Malaysia, In- Malaysian manufacturing are considered. It is
dustrial Surveys, 1992). assumed that multinational firms take into account
The highly dominant electrical and textile several aspects of the host country in their FDI
industries, in terms of employment, exports and decision process to reduce the investment risks,
value added, indicate the narrowness of the coun- minimize the factor costs and maximize their pro-
try's manufacturing base and its vulnerablity to fits. Selection of the variables is based on pre-
external changes in terms of world supply and de- vious findings on the determinants ofFDI (Rock
mand for the products of the two industries. 1973, Goh 1973, Ahmed 1975, Schneider and
Should there be any severe drop in the demand Frey 1986 and Bardai 1989). For the purpose of
for these products in the world market, the em- this study, we are especially interested in several
ployment, exports as well as economic growth, in economic factors. Accordingly, an FDI function
the country could be greatly disturbed. for the Malaysian manufacturing sector can
In addition, most of the multinational corpo- generally be written as:
rations or MNC- owned electronics and electrical
appliances plants (which are mainly off-shore Y = f(GNP, MOG, ER, INT, INF, TBA,
plants) are engaged in the assembly processes CPFC, FGDE)
of integrated circuits (ICs), industrial equipment
and consumer appliances like air-conditioners, where Y is the dependent variable. Two different
radios and television sets from completely proxies for the dependent variable were chosen
knocked-down imported units for the local for this study, namely: (1) the level of total assets
and export markets (Fong, 1988). The nature of of the foreign controlled firm engaged in
the Malaysian electrical industry (highly Malaysian manufacturing (AFC) and (2) the level
dependent on the imported inputs) has of investment in fixed assets by foreign control-
been the main reason why the industry value- led firm engaged in the manufacturing sector of
added is relatively low (Chalmers 1991). Malaysia (lFC). As defined by Oman (1984), a
The purpose of this paper is to report on a firm is considered to be involved in FDI if the
study of several country related factors foreign entity owns a majority of the equities and
that are considered important when decisions has direct managerial control in the firm. Thus,
on FDI are made by MNCs. While this study may for the purpose of this analysis, a manufacturing
not provide specific recommendations for the company with at least 50% of the equities con-
promotion of a broader manufacturing base and trolled by foreign entities is considered as an FDI
encourage FDI in the under invested industries, company. The total assets of foreign companies
it would be able to provide a general redirection include stocks and claims on branches as well as
for the current FDI policies and incentives. l affiliated enterprises abroad, while investment in
fixed assets includes acquisition of transport equip-
SPECIFICATION OF FOREIGN DIRECT ment, machinery and office equipment.
INVESTMENT FUNCTION GNP (gross national product) reflects the
Attempts at explaining FDI have appeared in three general performance of the economy and pro-
major strands of theoretical framework. These vides an indication of the size of the local market
different theories are important and helpful in for the manufacturing outputs (Rock, 1973). A
understanding the international firms' operations. positive relationship is expected between GNP
'Over the years, the government has enacted and implemented various policies to attract foreign invesunent in
Malaysia. Such policies and their respective programmes are well documented and will not be discussed here. For
reference see Yong (1988).
56 PertanikaJ. Soc. Sci. & Hum. Vol. 2 No.1 1994
5. Detenninants of Foreign Direct Investment in the Malaysian Manufacturing Sector
and FDI. MaG (Ratio of manufacturing out- tive. FGDE which mainly involves spending on
put over GNP) measures the degree of the coun- basic infrastructure such as education, transpor-
try's industrialization. It also provides a good hint tation systems, water and sewage facilities can
of the supply conditions of manufacturing inputs complement and thus, promote FDI. Conversely,
such as power, transportation, communication public investment in projects in which the pro-
and labour. A higher ratio of manufacturing out- ducts compete (for source of funds and other fac-
put over the GNP reflects a better supply of in- tors of production) with those of the private sec-
vestment inputs. Thus, a direct relationship tor can dampen FDI to an extent that it substi-
between MaG and FDI is expected. The ER or tutes the private projects. INF denotes inflation.
Foreign Reserve position provides an indication In most cases, high rates of inflation provide a
on the exchange rate risks associated with FDI by good indication of economic instability and
showing the degree to which the country's cur- failure on the part of the government to control
rency is under or over-valued. Foreign investors the country's macroeconomic environment.
are likely to incur losses due to exchange rate
changes if the currency is over-valued (Rock, DATA COllECTION AND
1973). A decline in the foreign reserve position MODEL ESTIMATION
is expected to have a negative impact on FDI. Data for the studies were collected from various
Changes in the levels of external reserve do not sources including The Quarterly Economic Bul-
directly influence FDI, but will first affect the letin of Bank Negara Malaysia and the Financial
exchange rate because the foreign reserve posi- Reports of Limited Companies (published by the
tion actually provides information on the condi- Department of Statistics). To eliminate the in-
tion of exchange rate. It is the changes in the flationary factor, the relevant data were deflated
levels of exchange rates that will affect FDI. Thus, by the consumer price index (1967=100). Since
the effect of the foreign reserve position on FDI Malaysia has been independent for only about
is not likely to be immediate. Accordingly, exter- 33 years and not until mid 1960s were most of
nal reserve lagged one period is used for the study. the Malaysian data properly recorded, only a rela-
TBA (total asset of the banking system) pro- tively small number of observations are available.
vides an important barometer on the availability For the above reasons, annual data covering the
oflocal financial services such as local credits and period ofl966 to 1988 are used.
insurance services. FDI is expected to increase A preliminary estimation suggested that
with TBA. CPFC or profitability indicates whether heteroscedasticity was present in the models. In
the activities of multinational corporations are order to reduce the problem, all of the depend-
affected by the opportunity for high profits. This ent and independent variables were transformed
idea is stressed by the investment theory of FDI. into log form. The two general equations rep-
To check whether the level of profits in year t has resenting the relationships between eight explana-
any impact on the level of FDI in year HI, the tory variables with FDI which are represented by
amount of profits of foreign controlled compa- two dependent variables may be expressed as:
nies in Malaysian manufacturing (lagged one pe-
riod) is used for the analysis. INT (Interest rate) LAFC = (Xo + (XILGNP + (X2LER + c({LINT
is normally associated with high cost of capital + (X4LINF + (X5LMOG + (X6LTBA
which often leads to the reduction in FDI (assum- + (X7LCPFC + (XsLFGDE + III [1]
ing that domestic financing is important to the
foreign investors). However, in the case ofa poorly LIFC = ~o + ~ILGNP + ~2LER + ~3LINT
developed financial market in which FDI projects + ~4LINF + ~5LMOG + ~6LTBA
are constrained by inadequate domestic savings, + ~~CPFC + ~8LFGDE + 112 [2]
increase in the interest rates can help raise the
domestic savings and finally promote FDI.
Estimations of equations [l] and [2] (Table
FGDE (federal government development ex-
4) indicate the presence of a multicollinearity
penditure) represents public investment rate. The
problem. This is supported by the fact that only
impact of FGDE on FDI can be positive or nega-
PertanikaJ. Soc. Sci. & Hum. Vol. 2 No.1 1994 57
6. Zulkarnain Yusop and Roslan A. Ghaffar
few of the explanatory variables are significant in Using LIFC as the dependent variable in
spite of the high values ofR2 0.9967 for equation equation [5], a significant positive relationship
[l] and 0.8642 for equation [2]). A partial corre- between LGNP, LER and LINT with the depen-
lation analysis shows that GDP is highly correlated dent variable was obtained. The tvalue forLGNP
to total asset of the banking system, and current is significant at the 5% level while for LINT
profit of foreign controlled companies. External and LER, they are significant at the 10% level.
reserve is strongly related to the total asset of the Inflation (LINF) does not show any significant
banking system. Manufacturing output/GNP and relationship with the dependent variable; how-
interest rate are also highly correlated to the ever, its slope coefficient shows a negative sign.
total asset of the banking system. To reduce the Regressing LIFC on LMOG, LTBA, LCPFC
multicollinearity problem, the models were and LFGDE in equation [6], it is found that three
respecified with closely related variables appear- explanatory variables, namely LTBA, LMOG and
ing in different equations. The following regres- LCPFC show significant positive relationship with
sion equations were used: the dependent variable. The t values for LMOG
and LCPFC are significant at the 10% level while
For LAFC as the dependent variable: for LTBA its t value is significant at the 5% level.
LAFC = 1to + 1t 1LGNP + 1t2LER + 1t3LINT
+ 1t4LINF + 113 [3] SUMMARY AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS
The analysis presented in this paper reveals that
LAFC = '1: 0 + '1: ILMOG + '1:~CPFC + '1: 3LTBA gross national product (GNP), net external re-
+ '1: 4LFGDE + 114 [4] serves, interest rates, manufacturing output/GNP,
current profits of foreign controlled companies
For LIFC as the dependent variable: in Malaysian manufacturing and total assets of
LIFC = 00 0 + oolLGNP + 002LER + 003LINT the banking system are important factors in-
+ 004LINF + Ils [5] fluencing FDI in Malaysian manufacturing. The
significant positive relationship between GNP and
LIFC = 4>0 + 4>I LMOG + 4>~CPFC + 4>3LTBA the dependent variable is expected because a high
+ 4>4LFGDE + 116 [6] level of G P is normally associated with positive
growth and a nation's economic health. The
All of the regression results for equation [3] level of external reserve (LER) which indicates
through [6] are summarized in Table 4. It is shown the extent to which Malaysian currency is under
in equation [3] that gross national product or over-valued also has a positive impact on the
(LGNP), external reserve lagged one period activities of FDI. A low level of external reserve
(LER) and interest rate (LINT) are positively re- discourages FDI because it leads to overvaluation
lated to the LAFC. The t values are significant ofa country's currency which can increase the risk
at the 5% level for the GNP and LINT and at of investment activities through the currency ex-
the 1 % level for LER. The coefficient for infla- change loss. The level of interest rate also plays a
tion (LINF) shows the correct negative sign as significant role in FDI decision. In the Malaysian
expected. However, its t value is not significant case, increase in interest rate is associated with
at the 10% level. Equation [4] demonstrates a the increase in FDI. The direct relationship
significant positive relationship between manufac- between interest (deposit) rate and savings has
turing output/GNP (LMOG), total assets of the been supported by several economists, for
banking system (LTBA) and current profits of instance Shaw (1973). According to them, in-
foreign controlled companies in manufacturing crease in deposit rates can lead to an influx of
sector lagged one period (LCPFC) with the de- deposits into commercial banks which ultimately
pendent variable (LAFC). Their t values are all expands the real size of the banking system and
significant at the 1 % level. Public investment hence raises the net flow of real bank credit to
(LFGDE) shows a significant negative relation- finance investment. Inflation does not seem to
ship with the dependent variable. Its t value is be a significant determinant for FDI in Malaysia.
less than the critical t value at ex = 0.05. A careful review on the trend and degree of infla-
58 PertanikaJ. Soc. Sci. & Hum. Vol. 2 No.1 1994
8. Zulkamain Yusop and Roslan A. Ghaffar
tion in Malaysia shows that in general, inflation In Malaysia, the public sector enterprises have
in Malaysia has been well under control and has been involved in both types of investments. The
not been as severe as in many other developing two different elements of public investments have
countries (Yusof, 1985). two different directions of impact on investment
The positive relationship between (LMOG) activities. Thus, the negative relationship between
and FDI implies that certain human aspects and public investment rate and FDI suggests that pub-
physical infrastructure related to manufacturing lic investment activities on balance have an ad-
such as skilled and cheap labour; reliable supply verse effect on FDI. The negative consequences
of water and energy; and adequate transporta- of government activities via the public sector have
tion system for dissemination of the products are been noted by a number of observers. Among
important in the eyes of foreign investors. Fur- these are the reduction offair competition among
thermore, it suggests that the host country's con- the private firms in Malaysia (Ghazali 1988) and
ducive policies can contribute to the increase in the generation of macroeconomic problems such
FDI. A greater percentage share of manufactur- as inflation and balance of payment difficulties
ing output in the gross national product also (Fischer, 1988).
reflects the society's acceptance of the "discipline" Several aspects should be considered in the
of manufacturing industry. Profitability is another policy making process in order to improve the
important consideration in the FDI decision pattern of FDI in the various manufacturing in-
process. This is confirmed by the strong positive dustries in the country.
relationship between the lagged value of current First, since certain human aspects and physi-
profits earned by foreign controlled companies cal infrastructures related to manufacturing are
in the Malaysian manufacturing sector and the de- important in the eyes offoreign investors, the pro-
pendent variable. This relationship shows that vision of a well trained and efficient labour force,
foreign investors are quite sensitive to investment special or subsidized industrial sites, and other
incentives which can increase the possibility for infrastructural facilities can attract foreign in-
higher profits. Accordingly, this finding suggests vestors to certain designated industries.
the possibility of controlling FDI through invest- Next, the allocation of special funds or credit
ment incentives. Furthermore, the analysis de- facilities for firms which participate in industries
monstrates that local funds and other local finan- which are under invested can also increase the
cial services including insurance are important flow of FDI into those industries because many
factors influencing FDI. The fact is supported by foreign firms regard the possibility for local fi-
the strong positive relationship between the level nance as one of the important considerations in
of assets of the consolidated banking system and their FDI decisions.
the dependent variable. This finding provides a In addition, policy makers may also utilize tax
base for guiding FDI operations in Malaysian incentives in order to improve the pattern of
manufacturing through credit control or credit FDI since our analysis shows that increase in
allocation policies. In fact, a study by Liete and profitability is quite an important element in the
Vaez-Zadeh (1986) on credit allocation and invest- FDI decision. The use of tax incentives in guid-
ment decision in the Korean manufacturing sec- ing the FDI activities should however be blended
tor has concluded that limitations on credit avail- with other incentives (other than tax) in order to
ability tend to affect investment decision directly be more effective.
rather than through interest rate movements. It should be borne in mind that the better
Finally, the results show a significant negative im- way to design policies is to first maintain and
pact of public investment rate on FDI. Public in- further elevate the country's attractiveness as an
vestment can either be in basic infrastructure investment ground for foreign investors. Guiding
(such as education, transportation systems, water the activities ofFDI accross the various industries
- and sewage facilities) which would facilitate FDI in the country would be the subsequent step. It is
or in projects for the public sector enterprises important that the government aim at keeping a
where the products compete (for input factors as steady economic growth, reduce the currency fluc-
well as market) with those of the private sector.
60 PertanikaJ. Soc. Sci. & Hum. Vol. 2 No.1 1994
9. Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in the Malaysian Manufactuling Sector
tuation, control the inflation, increase the effi- LIETE, S.P. and R. VAEZ-ZADEH. 1986. Credit allocation
ciency of the public sector and financial institu- and investment decisions: the case of the manu-
tions, upgrade the quality of labour force and facturing sector in KOI-ea. Wo1'ld Development.
more importantly, maintain political stability. 14(1): 115-126.
Malaysia, Bank Negara, Quarterly Economic Bulletin,
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