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                                                                                                        Livermore, California




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             Retail Market Report
                                                                                                            MARKET SNAPSHOT
                                                                                                            Grocery Anchored Inventory:                            1,232,658
                                                                                                            Grocery Anchored Availability:                           202,564
                                                                                                            Grocery Anchored Vacancy Rate:                           16.43%

                                                                                                            Non-Grocery Retail Inventory:                           681,664
                                                                                                            Non-Grocery Retail Availability:                         84,267
                                                                                                            Non-Grocery Vacancy Rate:                               12.36%

                                                                                                            Downtown Retail Inventory:                              432,758
                                                                                                            Downtown Retail Availability:                            54,646
                                                                                                            Downtown Retail Vacancy Rate:                           12.63%

                                                                                                            Livermore Retail Inventory:                            2,347,080
                                                                                                            Livermore Retail Availability:                           341,477

Treading Water or Moving Forward?                                                                           Livermore Retail Absorption:
                                                                                                            Livermore Retail Vacancy Rate:
                                                                                                                                                                    + 15,691
                                                                                                                                                                     14.55%


Livermore’s Retail Market Shows Mixed Signals                                                               VACANCY RATE BY PRODUCT TYPE
The fourth quarter marked another period of positive absorption, albeit minimal.
                                                                                                                                     Vacancy Rate by Product Type
Despite a few new leases signed, there seems to be little to no activity for space over
three thousand square feet. The lack of any large retailers having interest, despite dis-
counted lease rates is concerning. Livermore has yet to gain the momentum that our
                                                                                                                       Downtown                                                12.63%
neighboring cities have. In spite of this, Livermore continues to slowly chug along.

Is this stale pattern going to continue? The optimistic side of me says no. Developers
are back out in the market, drawing plans, and pushing forward with stalled projects.
                                                                                                               Retail Strip Center                                            12.36%
The Prime Outlet was supposed to break ground April of last year. The 550,000 square
foot high-end outlet center is once again scheduled for an April ground breaking.
The city of Livermore began looking for a developer for the high density residential
project to accompany the Regional Theater project. As for the 2,000-seat performing                             Grocery Anchored                                                          16.34%
arts theater, financing options have come available and the group behind the project
is proactively looking for donors.

As predicted, the fourth quarter vacancy rates did show slight improvement. That
said, there are no hard indicators pointing towards an upswing of activity in the near                      KEY TERMS & DEFINITIONS
future. In order to capture the retailers to back-fill the large spaces left open (i.e. the
                                                                                                            Inventory: Total square footage of retail space in the market
former Mervyn’s, PW Market, and Prestige Furniture) and to push continued develop-
ment (i.e. Groth Bros. site), Livermore will need to attract additional large employers.                    Availability: Square footage that is marketed for lease which is available within 90
Without local jobs and local consumers spending money at the local level, the confi-                        days. This also includes sublease space.
dence for larger retailers to open shop will not exist. I remain optimistic, the summer
of 2011 could be the turning point. Perhaps the construction scheduled to begin                             Absorption: The change in availability from the previous quarter.
early this year will cause a domino effect in retail development and leasing.                               Vacancy: The percent of available space based on the total inventory.

                                                                                                            Grocery Anchored: Shopping centers characterized by a grocery anchor such as
Recent Transactions                                                                                         Safeway, Trader Joe’s, Lucky, or Nob Hill. These centers are often more sought after
                                                                                                            and fetch a higher lease rate.
Tenant                                            Location                                   Square Feet    Non-Grocery Anchored: Shopping centers, strip retail centers, and buildings over
Denny’s Cafe                                      2259 Las Positas Road                            3,600    10,000 square feet that do not have a grocery anchor.
Downtown Dental                                   2300 1st Street                                  1,500
Casbah Cafe*                                      1717 1st Street                                  1,400    Downtown Retail: Storefront buildings & centers located along 1st Street and the
OrgHipChick                                       2075 1st Street                                    600    downtown core.
* - Jessica Stewart of Lee & Associates represented Lessee in transaction                                   Triple Net Expenses (NNN): A lease agreement where the Tenant is responsible for
                                                                                                            their proportionate share of taxes, insurance, maintenance and building repairs.
Lee & Associates maintains an up-to-date database of all available properties and sold/leased properties.   Triple Net Expenses are in addition to base rent.

For more local commercial real estate news, insight, and gossip visit me at www.thestorefront.wordpress.com
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 Lee & Associates Livermore Retail Market Report




                                                                                                                                                                                              ar
                                                                                                                                                                                               te
 QUARTER IN REVIEW




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                                                                                                                                                                                                     0
   Livermore Retail Vacancy and Rental Rates
          Vacancy Rate vs. Average Asking Rate                                                                                            Tri-Valley Vacancy Report

 $3.00                                                                  15.40%
                                     15.22%                                                                                                                                        21.00%
 $2.50                                                                  15.20%                                                                                                     19.00%
                 15.00%                                                                                                                                                            17.00%
 $2.00                                                                  15.00%                                                                                                     15.00%
                                                                                            Vacancy                                                                                13.00%
  $1.50                                                                 14.80%                                                                                                                     4Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                   11.00%
                                                                                                                                                                                   9.00%           3Q10
                                                        14.55%                              Average Asking Rate
  $1.00                                                                 14.60%
                                                                                            (NNN)                                                                                  7.00%           2Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                   5.00%
                                                                                                                                                                                   5 00%
 $0.50                                                                  14.40%

 $0.00                                                                  14.20%
                  2Q10               3Q10                4Q10



   Exclusive Lee Listings
                   FOR SALE                                                                    FOR LEASE                                                                 FOR LEASE
          3,000± Square Feet Available                                               2,290± Square Feet Available                                                 600± Square Feet Available
                260 N. “L” Street                                                       39 S. Livermore Avenue                                                         2074 1st Street




                                                                                                                                                                  LE ASEd!

    Lee & Associates - Your Retail Connection
Since 1979, our seasoned, motivated shareholders and professionals have been offering comprehensive quality service nationally and locally in a pro-active manner.
We develop customized solutions for all of your real estates needs through our market-to-market knowledge in all property types. Our unique business model and
extensive experience has helped us become one of the largest commercial real estate providers in the United States.

Services Offered:

Market Value Analysis                        Building Optimization                        Investment Sales
Site Search                                  Landlord Representation                      Tenant Representation

Retail - Office - Industrial
   RETAIL           OFFICE                                                        INDUSTRIAL

                                                                          Jessica is experienced in both Tenant and Landlord
                                                                          representation and has been active in the Easy Bay
                                                                          commercial real estate market since 2006. Prior to joining
                                                                          Lee & Associates in 2009, Jessica worked for Aegis Realty
5890 Stoneridge Drive, Suite 210                                          Partners in Oakland. As a retail specialist, she has worked
Pleasanton, CA 94588                                                      with a number or local restaurants, retailers, and landlords in
(925) 460-6200                                                            sales and leasing of shopping centers and storefronts.
(925) 460-6210                                          Jessica Stewart For the most up to date market information follow Jessica on
www.lee-associates.com                                  Retail Specialist her blog www.TheStrorefront.wordpress.com.

* The property information/detail contained herein has been provided by the seller/lessor or has been obtained from other sources believed to be reliable,
and Lee & Associates - East Bay, Inc. has not independently verified such information’s accuracy. Lee & Associates - East Bay, Inc. makes no representations,
guarantees, or express or implied warranties of any kind regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided herein nor the condition of the
property and expressly disclaims all such warranties, including but not limited to the implied warranty of suitability and fitness for a particular purpose. Buyer/
Lessee should perform its own due diligence regarding the accuracy of the information upon which buyer/lessee relies when entering into any transaction
with seller/lessor herein. Further, the information provided herein, including any sale/lease terms, are being provided subject to errors, omissions, changes of
price or conditions, prior sale or lease, and withdrawal without notice.
* CoStar sourced for portion of market data
                                                                                                                                                                                                     2

4Q10 Retail Report Livermore

  • 1.
    4t h Qu ar te Livermore, California r2 01 0 Retail Market Report MARKET SNAPSHOT Grocery Anchored Inventory: 1,232,658 Grocery Anchored Availability: 202,564 Grocery Anchored Vacancy Rate: 16.43% Non-Grocery Retail Inventory: 681,664 Non-Grocery Retail Availability: 84,267 Non-Grocery Vacancy Rate: 12.36% Downtown Retail Inventory: 432,758 Downtown Retail Availability: 54,646 Downtown Retail Vacancy Rate: 12.63% Livermore Retail Inventory: 2,347,080 Livermore Retail Availability: 341,477 Treading Water or Moving Forward? Livermore Retail Absorption: Livermore Retail Vacancy Rate: + 15,691 14.55% Livermore’s Retail Market Shows Mixed Signals VACANCY RATE BY PRODUCT TYPE The fourth quarter marked another period of positive absorption, albeit minimal. Vacancy Rate by Product Type Despite a few new leases signed, there seems to be little to no activity for space over three thousand square feet. The lack of any large retailers having interest, despite dis- counted lease rates is concerning. Livermore has yet to gain the momentum that our Downtown 12.63% neighboring cities have. In spite of this, Livermore continues to slowly chug along. Is this stale pattern going to continue? The optimistic side of me says no. Developers are back out in the market, drawing plans, and pushing forward with stalled projects. Retail Strip Center 12.36% The Prime Outlet was supposed to break ground April of last year. The 550,000 square foot high-end outlet center is once again scheduled for an April ground breaking. The city of Livermore began looking for a developer for the high density residential project to accompany the Regional Theater project. As for the 2,000-seat performing Grocery Anchored 16.34% arts theater, financing options have come available and the group behind the project is proactively looking for donors. As predicted, the fourth quarter vacancy rates did show slight improvement. That said, there are no hard indicators pointing towards an upswing of activity in the near KEY TERMS & DEFINITIONS future. In order to capture the retailers to back-fill the large spaces left open (i.e. the Inventory: Total square footage of retail space in the market former Mervyn’s, PW Market, and Prestige Furniture) and to push continued develop- ment (i.e. Groth Bros. site), Livermore will need to attract additional large employers. Availability: Square footage that is marketed for lease which is available within 90 Without local jobs and local consumers spending money at the local level, the confi- days. This also includes sublease space. dence for larger retailers to open shop will not exist. I remain optimistic, the summer of 2011 could be the turning point. Perhaps the construction scheduled to begin Absorption: The change in availability from the previous quarter. early this year will cause a domino effect in retail development and leasing. Vacancy: The percent of available space based on the total inventory. Grocery Anchored: Shopping centers characterized by a grocery anchor such as Recent Transactions Safeway, Trader Joe’s, Lucky, or Nob Hill. These centers are often more sought after and fetch a higher lease rate. Tenant Location Square Feet Non-Grocery Anchored: Shopping centers, strip retail centers, and buildings over Denny’s Cafe 2259 Las Positas Road 3,600 10,000 square feet that do not have a grocery anchor. Downtown Dental 2300 1st Street 1,500 Casbah Cafe* 1717 1st Street 1,400 Downtown Retail: Storefront buildings & centers located along 1st Street and the OrgHipChick 2075 1st Street 600 downtown core. * - Jessica Stewart of Lee & Associates represented Lessee in transaction Triple Net Expenses (NNN): A lease agreement where the Tenant is responsible for their proportionate share of taxes, insurance, maintenance and building repairs. Lee & Associates maintains an up-to-date database of all available properties and sold/leased properties. Triple Net Expenses are in addition to base rent. For more local commercial real estate news, insight, and gossip visit me at www.thestorefront.wordpress.com
  • 2.
    4t h Qu Lee & Associates Livermore Retail Market Report ar te QUARTER IN REVIEW r2 01 0 Livermore Retail Vacancy and Rental Rates Vacancy Rate vs. Average Asking Rate Tri-Valley Vacancy Report $3.00 15.40% 15.22% 21.00% $2.50 15.20% 19.00% 15.00% 17.00% $2.00 15.00% 15.00% Vacancy 13.00% $1.50 14.80% 4Q10 11.00% 9.00% 3Q10 14.55% Average Asking Rate $1.00 14.60% (NNN) 7.00% 2Q10 5.00% 5 00% $0.50 14.40% $0.00 14.20% 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 Exclusive Lee Listings FOR SALE FOR LEASE FOR LEASE 3,000± Square Feet Available 2,290± Square Feet Available 600± Square Feet Available 260 N. “L” Street 39 S. Livermore Avenue 2074 1st Street LE ASEd! Lee & Associates - Your Retail Connection Since 1979, our seasoned, motivated shareholders and professionals have been offering comprehensive quality service nationally and locally in a pro-active manner. We develop customized solutions for all of your real estates needs through our market-to-market knowledge in all property types. Our unique business model and extensive experience has helped us become one of the largest commercial real estate providers in the United States. Services Offered: Market Value Analysis Building Optimization Investment Sales Site Search Landlord Representation Tenant Representation Retail - Office - Industrial RETAIL OFFICE INDUSTRIAL Jessica is experienced in both Tenant and Landlord representation and has been active in the Easy Bay commercial real estate market since 2006. Prior to joining Lee & Associates in 2009, Jessica worked for Aegis Realty 5890 Stoneridge Drive, Suite 210 Partners in Oakland. As a retail specialist, she has worked Pleasanton, CA 94588 with a number or local restaurants, retailers, and landlords in (925) 460-6200 sales and leasing of shopping centers and storefronts. (925) 460-6210 Jessica Stewart For the most up to date market information follow Jessica on www.lee-associates.com Retail Specialist her blog www.TheStrorefront.wordpress.com. * The property information/detail contained herein has been provided by the seller/lessor or has been obtained from other sources believed to be reliable, and Lee & Associates - East Bay, Inc. has not independently verified such information’s accuracy. Lee & Associates - East Bay, Inc. makes no representations, guarantees, or express or implied warranties of any kind regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided herein nor the condition of the property and expressly disclaims all such warranties, including but not limited to the implied warranty of suitability and fitness for a particular purpose. Buyer/ Lessee should perform its own due diligence regarding the accuracy of the information upon which buyer/lessee relies when entering into any transaction with seller/lessor herein. Further, the information provided herein, including any sale/lease terms, are being provided subject to errors, omissions, changes of price or conditions, prior sale or lease, and withdrawal without notice. * CoStar sourced for portion of market data 2