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3 New Tools
                                                for
                                           problem solving
                                                                  By Vidyut Bapat
                                                                      www.sigmaguru.com
                             Weight Variation Before and After


490

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455

450

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440
                       13




                                 19




                                            25




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                            16




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                                                                                          52
      1

          4

              7




                   Sigmaguru@gmail.com                                                         Page 1
There is no quality related problem
                that cannot be solved.

Shainin DOE tools are powerful enough to do just that.

 SigmaGuru has even improved these amazing tools.

             We even devise new tools
           when existing tools don’t work.

                But we will make sure
   your most difficult /chronic problems are solved.

      Here I will be presenting 3 such new tools
              and corresponding 3 cases.


                                        - Vidyut Bapat

       Sigmaguru@gmail.com                Page 2
3 new problem solving tools

     1. Trace Diagram
     2. Surrogate Parameter
     3. DAM - Data to Money



           Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 3
Trace Diagram
    With
    Case of
    Reducing Blankets Rejection
    from 8% to 0%


              Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 4
Surrogate Parameter
    With
    Case of
    Reducing Customer Rejects
    from 2500 ppm to 0 ppm



              Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 5
DAM - Data to Money
    With
    Case of
    Reducing Slippers Rejection
    from 3% to 0.4%


              Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 6
First new tool
from
SigmaGuru



Trace Diagram




                 Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 7
Trace Diagram




• A new Tool for Mura (variation) Reduction
• Trace Diagrams are a graphical means of performing computations in
  linear and multilinear algebra.


                        Sigmaguru@gmail.com         Page 8
Let us start with

      Flow Chart
which is One of basic 7 tools
 for Quality Improvement.

      We will use this
        to develop
Trace Diagram ( TD )


        Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 9
Typically
A Flow Chart implies
 single material flow

                                However
     Pressing
                                in reality,

      Sintering
                                flow is much
                                   more complex.
       Grinding



                  Sigmaguru@gmail.com         Page 10
The flow is more like this in the Gangetic delta.




                     Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 11
Or like lightning on a stormy night




                  Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 12
Pressing                   With TD
                           We will display
 Sintering                 material flow
                           in
                           more detail
  Grinding




             Sigmaguru@gmail.com        Page 13
In our example,
   each process is carried out by
       one or more machines



 Press -1      Press -2            2 presses


        Sintering                       and

                                   2 grinding
Grinding - 1 Grinding- 2             machines



             Sigmaguru@gmail.com          Page 14
This also true for
2 iron ore mines and 2 blast furnaces
                  and
 2 plastic moulding powder vendors
      and 2 moulding machines……

       Vendor1       Vendor2


                 Store


        M/c 1            M/c 2




                    Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 15
In these cases, we will have 4 possible flows


        Pressing1    Pressing2


               Sintering


        Grinding1    Grinding2




                      Sigmaguru@gmail.com       Page 16
Pressing1    Pressing2


       Sintering             And

Grinding1    Grinding2       4 different varieties
                             of output

                             as indicated

              Sigmaguru@gmail.com           Page 17
A management
with good knowledge of lean sixsigma
    will have only 2 of these flows


                             In this case
 Pressing     Pressing
                             We will have
                             Only 2 different varieties
                             Of output
       Sintering
                             This is Improvement over
 Grinding    Grinding          previous case




            Sigmaguru@gmail.com            Page 18
In real life, we can have,
say 10 stages with 50 machines,
   with multiple products and
        hundreds of flows,
     if not managed properly




                Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 19
These
                 uncontrolled flows
                 result in
                 uncontrolled variations,

                 resulting in
                 high rejections.



Sigmaguru@gmail.com            Page 20
Trace Diagram
        helps us
        understand and reduce
          the number of
          different flows
        And reduce
        rejections dramatically.



Sigmaguru@gmail.com      Page 21
A case study


       A blanket manufacturer
       was facing problems with rejection,
       8% of it,
       forcing him to sell as scrap.
       Obviously losing a lot!

       The problem was attributed to
       yarn quality
       ( weight – or count as they prefer to
       call in Textile industry ) variation.
        

                 Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 22
A real case study
          Flow Chart - Blankets



Carding


Ring frame              Implied single flow


  Winding


    Weaving



              Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 23
Common process    In this process,
                  when managed as a single flow,
                  8 % of the production was
                  rejected.
   16 bobbins



         16 x 8 cops




            16 cones

 30 looms
                       Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 24
Common process

                  Reality Check
                             1 common process
   16 bobbins                  generated
                             16 bobbins every hour
                               which generated
         16 x 8 cops         16 x 8 cops which in
                               turn generated
                             16 cones, which were
                               further processed on
                             30 different looms.
            16 cones

 30 looms
                       Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 25
Common process

                   Possible number of flows

                            = 16 x
    16 bobbins                16 x
                               30

        16 x 8 cops
                                      = 7680



             16 cones

  30 looms
                        Sigmaguru@gmail.com    Page 26
Old Trace – not controlled
    ( shown for only 4 bobbins )
         Part of 7680 flows

    Gives      8 % Rejection




                       Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 27
No of stations
at each stage                       Actual Flow
                                    in
 Carding - 16                       large no of streams
                                    With
     Ring frame- 100
                                    large inventory
                                       between stages
     Winding- 20


       Weaving - 20



                   Sigmaguru@gmail.com        Page 28
A quick study – multivari – showed
that each location
( in 4 x 4 matrix ) is producing
excellent yarn
with very little variation
but
there is a lot of variation between
column to column.
     Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 29
 
Each bobbin
was further processed
into 8 cops




                 Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 30
 
COPs, in turn were
converted into a cones

( 8 cops go into winding
one cone -
cops from all bobbins are
stores in one place
with no trace and
randomly used to make a
cone )




                 Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 31
 

Each cone was further
processed into about 2
blankets,
on a loom.




                 Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 32
 

A blanket with 4 colors
requires input from 4
different cones
further complicating the
process




                 Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 33
The mix up of such yarn
           ( flows as we see)
           in a blanket resulted in
           substandard quality.
            




Sigmaguru@gmail.com        Page 34
Action –

                       After understanding the
…16 Bobbins…           flow in terms of
                       Trace diagram ,

                       the random multiple flows
                      -7680
          16 x 8 cops were reduced

                       into   16.
       16 cones…

               Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 35
 
 Knowing the problem faced,
 a procedure was introduced
           to use
      the same 8 cops
            from
one bobbin to make one cone.




        Sigmaguru@gmail.com    Page 36
 




    Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 37
Reorganised       Flow Chart

All processing stations mapped to 4 virtual cells in this diagram


                            Carding


                           Ring frame


                            Winding


                            Weaving


                        Sigmaguru@gmail.com          Page 38
 

When such cones were used to make
 blankets there was no rejection!

      The rejection 
        dropped 
        from 8% 
         to zero!!
                   



            Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 39
You will find hidden flows in your
process too.

Find them and stop them.

And see the dramatic improvement in
the output.




        Sigmaguru@gmail.com      Page 40
Convert
                      Inderminate
                      into
                      determinate




Sigmaguru@gmail.com       Page 41
This is also the finer understanding
of one of
14 principles of Deming

avoid multiple sources
Internal sources in this case




                   Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 42
It has links with

      Traceability
as required by ISO9001.

You will also recognise relation with

         Cells
 in Lean methodology.


            Sigmaguru@gmail.com         Page 43
Second new tool
         from
      SigmaGuru




Surrogate Parameter




     Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 44
Surrogate Parameter




                      A new Quality Improvement Tool


                  Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 45
Surrogate means Substitute

      Surrogate parameter
is one which substitutes another
   which is of real interest to us




         Sigmaguru@gmail.com         Page 46
Surrogate Parameter Tool
           is used when


  - there is no simple / clear clue


- there is no known cause and effect




           Sigmaguru@gmail.com        Page 47
Surrogate Parameter Tool
      is used when


 - it is very expensive or
        dangerous or
    time consuming or
     very inconvenient

 to work or experiment
with the original parameter




      Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 48
In such case,
choose a closely related parameter

             with which
     it is easy to experiment

   The new parameter is called

       Surrogate Parameter




          Sigmaguru@gmail.com    Page 49
Surrogate Parameter

           should be closely related
        to the one we are interested in
but it need not be necessarily be specified or
            defined by the customer

     for example – weight of a product




                Sigmaguru@gmail.com      Page 50
Customer may not be interested in weight
      as a parameter to be measured,
                   but

      it is very useful to us
  as it can be easily measured.
Change in material , dimensions, process results
           into change in weight and
it can give us the vital clue in problem solving.




                 Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 51
The choice of the second Surrogate Parameter
                  is of course

                very critical
                    and
  one should be very careful in choosing it.




               Sigmaguru@gmail.com      Page 52
Let us study one case to understand


The Case
Plastic Moulder



Project

To deliver zero defect products to
customer

             Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 53
Background

Subsidiary of European
Multinational
Had Modern machines

They had Zero Defect Policy
But One customer was reporting
sporadic failures
at 2500 ppm level

This is simply not acceptable.

             Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 54
In spite of attention of
  entire organization,
   defects persisted.

  Ultimately services of
SigmaGuru were called in.




            Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 55
About the problem

The problem was about a weld line
around a hole splitting open when
under pressure during assembly.




             Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 56
About the process

Moulding conditions were not
  precisely defined.

 Operating personnel free to
 twiddle
 the knobs
 within specified range.




               Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 57
A lot of trials made with no
demonstrable results.

Thousands of units were
required per trial.




        Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 58
They had even posted one person
       at client location
 to monitor and report failures
        as they happen !

    No efforts were spared!!




           Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 59
At one stage,
   even Raw material quality
( melt flow index) was suspect

and a narrow range of properties
        were demanded.

  But this too did not result
      in any improvement.




           Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 60
Due to all these difficulties
         we decided
           to use

  Surrogate Parameter Tool.




          Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 61
Since the problem was with the
      finished product,

weight of the finished product
        was chosen as
     Surrogate Parameter.




           Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 62
It is very easy to measure weight
      compared to predicting
    if a part will break or not
          at the client!




             Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 63
Comparison of Original and Surrogate

            Original               Surrogate

Parameter   Strength               Weight
            at particular
            location


Method      Destructive            Non
                                   destructive




             Sigmaguru@gmail.com            Page 64
Comparison of Original and Surrogate



               Original              Surrogate

Time to test   72 hours               1 minute

Cost           Heavy                 negligible




               Sigmaguru@gmail.com         Page 65
Comparison of Original and Surrogate




              Original              Surrogate

Size of trial 5000                  30

Ease          Difficult             Very Easy



              Sigmaguru@gmail.com         Page 66
Now the problem is transformed
             from

 Improve breaking strength at
          customer
              to

 Improve weight quality during
           moulding




           Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 67
Improving weight quality
          means
 reduce weight variation


So lets us get started….



        Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 68
Here is initial
    snap shot of quality
        in terms of
surrogate parameter - weight
                                      Time to time variation


485


480


475


470


465


460

                                                                        sigma= 1.36%
455
                                     15

                                          17




                                                         23



                                                                   27



                                                                              31

                                                                                   33




                                                                                                  39



                                                                                                            43
                          11

                               13




                                               19

                                                    21



                                                              25



                                                                         29




                                                                                        35

                                                                                             37



                                                                                                       41



                                                                                                                 45
      1

          3

              5

                  7

                      9




                                    Sigmaguru@gmail.com                                            Page 69
It is known that
Variation in            processes
                          (inputs and outputs of)


         causes defects
  Six sigma movement was ignited in Motorola by this discovery.




And it was also known that the
      process parameters
( machine settings parameters)
   were frequently changed.




                     Sigmaguru@gmail.com                     Page 70
Hence it was decided to
  check the weight again

  after keeping machine
   parameters constant

at their known best level.




          Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 71
Now the variation looked like this.
                      Piece to piece variation weight in g


485



480



475



470



465                                                          sigma=0.24%

460



455
                               13




                                         17

                                              19




                                                                       29




                                                                                       35
                          11




                                    15




                                                   21


                                                        23


                                                             25


                                                                  27




                                                                            31


                                                                                  33
      1


          3


              5


                  7


                      9




                  Quite an improvement
                    over the initial
                               Sigmaguru@gmail.com                               Page 72
The results are quite
positive!
At this point,
a small meeting was convened
with –

    Production
    Quality
    Process Personnel.




             Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 73
The 4 most critical parameters for
the weld line problem were listed

1.      Cycle time
2.          Fill time
3.              Mould temp
4.                     Hold time




              Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 74
The team also decided the best and
     the worst levels( values)
       for these parameters.

         Knowing these,
     a quick trial was made
       with only 30 units
      with all parameters
               at
        their worst and
          best levels.


            Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 75
All parameters at their
          worst
 is called ( 0000) level


All parameters at their
         best
is called( 1111) level




       Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 76
All parameters at their worst level
    gave this weight variation
                                     0000 Variation

 485



 480



 475



 470



 465



 460
                                                 sigma=0.26%

 455
       1 2 3 4   5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31




                                Sigmaguru@gmail.com                                Page 77
And All parameters
          at their best level ….
                                      1111 Variation

485



480



475



470



465



460                                                             sigma=0.12%

455
      1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8     9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21



                              Sigmaguru@gmail.com                                        Page 78
Thus we found sigma dropping

from 1.36 % to 0.12 %
 improvement by a factor 10,

within a single working day!




         Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 79
Time to time variation

                                                                                                                                                          Piece to piece variation weight in g
485

                                                                                                                      485
480

                                                                                                                      480
475

                                                                                                                      475
470

                                                                                                                      470
465

                                                                                                                      465
                                                                                                                                                                                                             sigma=0.24%
460

                                                                     sigma= 1.36%                                     460
455
                            11
                                 13


                                           17




                                                               25


                                                                         29


                                                                                   33




                                                                                                       41


                                                                                                                 45
      1
          3
                5
                    7
                        9




                                      15


                                                19
                                                     21
                                                          23


                                                                    27


                                                                              31


                                                                                        35
                                                                                             37
                                                                                                  39


                                                                                                            43
                                                                                                                      455




                                                                                                                                                               11

                                                                                                                                                                    13

                                                                                                                                                                         15

                                                                                                                                                                              17

                                                                                                                                                                                        19

                                                                                                                                                                                                  21

                                                                                                                                                                                                        23

                                                                                                                                                                                                             25

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  27

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       29

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             31

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       33

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             35
                                                                                                                            1

                                                                                                                                  3

                                                                                                                                          5

                                                                                                                                                  7

                                                                                                                                                          9
                                                          0000 Variation
                                                                                                                                                                                  1111 Variation
          485

                                                                                                                                485
          480

                                                                                                                                480
          475

                                                                                                                                475
          470


                                                                                                                                470
          465


                                                                                                                                465
          460
                                                                         sigma=0.26%
                                                                                                                                460                                                                               sigma=0.12%
          455
                1 2 3 4      5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

                                                                                                                                455
                                                                                                                                      1       2       3    4   5    6    7    8     9        10    11   12   13   14   15   16    17    18    19   20   21




                                                                                             Sigmaguru@gmail.com                                                                                                        Page 80
Weight Variation Before and After


490

485

480

475

470

465

460

455

450

445

440
                  10




                                 19



                                           25




                                                       31




                                                                      40



                                                                                46



                                                                                          52
      1

          4

              7



                       13

                            16



                                      22




                                                 28



                                                            34

                                                                 37



                                                                           43



                                                                                     49
                             Sigmaguru@gmail.com                            Page 81
Going back from
 surrogate to original parameter,
      trials were made with
     now best-known parameters.

          Result -
no failures at the customer.




            Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 82
Zero defect
for the critical customer
         achieved
      within a week.




         Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 83
Conclusion

Wisely chosen Surrogate parameter
     yields wonderful results

 Zero defect is a reality
           and
    it can be achieved.


           Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 84
The problem which was evading
   solution for one year…

    Surrogate Parameter
helped solve in just one week




         Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 85
Third new tool
     from
  SigmaGuru




    DAM




Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 86
Using DAM




      CONVERT
   DATA INTO MONEY




Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 87
This conceptual tool
has 5 steps –

Converting
Data into Information

    Information into Knowledge
             Knowledge into Insight

                Insight into Action

                  Action into profits




                          Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 88
Data into Information

    What to do with
    5000 defective
    slippers every day?




                        Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 89
Data into Information




                   Using first step,
                convert available data
                   into information




                        Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 90
An example –


Data into Information




               Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 91
Data into Information



                                Normally one has
                                lots of data
                                sitting in nice files.




                        Sigmaguru@gmail.com              Page 92
Data into Information




              Convert it into
           useful information


                                      Pareto – slippers rejection in no of pcs

                        Sigmaguru@gmail.com                Page 93
Data into Information




                                                Stagewise rejection
this data is not easily actionable as
there are too many areas.




                                                    Shows Focus area

                                                    is clearly Pressing

                              Sigmaguru@gmail.com                   Page 94
Information into Knowledge




           Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 95
Information into Knowledge

     Pressing stage needs improvement
     But what needs to be improved?




                      You need to carry out experiments
                      to determine




                        Sigmaguru@gmail.com      Page 96
Information into Knowledge
        An experiment is carried to understand
 which defect is generated at which location in pressing
  LOCATION -WISE DEFECTS / Concentration diagram
                         drawn




                                    All rejects are at the edges
                           Sigmaguru@gmail.com             Page 97
Knowledge into Insight




         Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 98
Knowledge into Intelligence




       location -wise
          defects




                              The temp at the edges is low due to
                              dissipation from the edges
                        Sigmaguru@gmail.com        Page 99
Intelligence into Insight




       location -wise defects




                                            Indicates low set temperatures
                                            as possible cause
                                Sigmaguru@gmail.com               Page 100
Insight into Action




   Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 101
Insight into Action
   EXPERIMENTS planned with increase in temp

                              Current temps
                              at left
                              E1 / E2 /E3
                              Are 3 experiments

                              temp at diff platen locations
                              increased by 2 dc
                              As indicated

                              6 sheets cut
                              per experiment



                      Sigmaguru@gmail.com            Page 102
Insight into Action

                Set vs actual temps in expt 1
                                 EXPERIMENT 1
                                     Actual Temperatures Measured
    Platen No    Set temp.       LEFT 'c      CENTRE 'c     RIGHT 'c
       1           155             155             155        144
       2           155             146             157        140
       3           150             140             151        147
       4           150             140             151        139
       5           144             135             149        135
       6           162             141             153        146
       7           155             116             112        130

                      Notice deviations on lower side in red.
                             Sigmaguru@gmail.com           Page 103
Insight into Action
                      RESULTS OF EXPERIMENT NO. 1
                            DEFECT LOCATIONS




         •BLOW HOLES                 REJECTION = 0.42%
                                     Out of 6 sheets on Press 1.
          •COLOUR BLEACH

                         Sigmaguru@gmail.com         Page 104
Action into profits



Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 105
Action into profits

               SUMMARY OF THE EXPERIMENTS

   Expt no Total Rej. Pcs                    Rej. %  
      1               2                      0.40%
      2               6                      1.20%  
      3               5                      1.00%  

                    EXPT 1 gives best results
                 Process Will be standardized 
              And extended over entire production


                       Sigmaguru@gmail.com          Page 106
A
Action into profits
                                                                       C       P
                                                                           D

                                          Benefits
    projected gains from the project in INR
    daily production pairs=                 80000
    1%=                                       800
    selling price per pair =                   40
    gain per day =                          32000

    gain per year =                       9600000

    gain for 2 % reduction in rej =      19200000

    in mn INR=                              19



                                      Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 107
This is how

     DAM
HELPS CONVERT
DATA INTO MONEY




Sigmaguru@gmail.com   Page 108
Contact
 sigmaguru at gmail.com

              or
       Vidyut Bapat at
      +91 94235 07631

   to get help in solving
your most difficult problems

 Sigmaguru@gmail.com     Page 109

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3 new tools

  • 1. 3 New Tools for problem solving By Vidyut Bapat www.sigmaguru.com Weight Variation Before and After 490 485 480 475 470 465 460 455 450 445 440 13 19 25 31 37 43 49 10 16 22 28 34 40 46 52 1 4 7 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 1
  • 2. There is no quality related problem that cannot be solved. Shainin DOE tools are powerful enough to do just that. SigmaGuru has even improved these amazing tools. We even devise new tools when existing tools don’t work. But we will make sure your most difficult /chronic problems are solved. Here I will be presenting 3 such new tools and corresponding 3 cases. - Vidyut Bapat Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 2
  • 3. 3 new problem solving tools 1. Trace Diagram 2. Surrogate Parameter 3. DAM - Data to Money Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 3
  • 4. Trace Diagram With Case of Reducing Blankets Rejection from 8% to 0% Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 4
  • 5. Surrogate Parameter With Case of Reducing Customer Rejects from 2500 ppm to 0 ppm Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 5
  • 6. DAM - Data to Money With Case of Reducing Slippers Rejection from 3% to 0.4% Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 6
  • 7. First new tool from SigmaGuru Trace Diagram Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 7
  • 8. Trace Diagram • A new Tool for Mura (variation) Reduction • Trace Diagrams are a graphical means of performing computations in linear and multilinear algebra. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 8
  • 9. Let us start with Flow Chart which is One of basic 7 tools for Quality Improvement. We will use this to develop Trace Diagram ( TD ) Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 9
  • 10. Typically A Flow Chart implies single material flow However Pressing in reality, Sintering flow is much more complex. Grinding Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 10
  • 11. The flow is more like this in the Gangetic delta. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 11
  • 12. Or like lightning on a stormy night Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 12
  • 13. Pressing With TD We will display Sintering material flow in more detail Grinding Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 13
  • 14. In our example, each process is carried out by one or more machines Press -1 Press -2 2 presses Sintering and 2 grinding Grinding - 1 Grinding- 2 machines Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 14
  • 15. This also true for 2 iron ore mines and 2 blast furnaces and 2 plastic moulding powder vendors and 2 moulding machines…… Vendor1 Vendor2 Store M/c 1 M/c 2 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 15
  • 16. In these cases, we will have 4 possible flows Pressing1 Pressing2 Sintering Grinding1 Grinding2 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 16
  • 17. Pressing1 Pressing2 Sintering And Grinding1 Grinding2 4 different varieties of output as indicated Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 17
  • 18. A management with good knowledge of lean sixsigma will have only 2 of these flows In this case Pressing Pressing We will have Only 2 different varieties Of output Sintering This is Improvement over Grinding Grinding previous case Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 18
  • 19. In real life, we can have, say 10 stages with 50 machines, with multiple products and hundreds of flows, if not managed properly Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 19
  • 20. These uncontrolled flows result in uncontrolled variations, resulting in high rejections. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 20
  • 21. Trace Diagram helps us understand and reduce the number of different flows And reduce rejections dramatically. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 21
  • 22. A case study A blanket manufacturer was facing problems with rejection, 8% of it, forcing him to sell as scrap. Obviously losing a lot! The problem was attributed to yarn quality ( weight – or count as they prefer to call in Textile industry ) variation.   Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 22
  • 23. A real case study Flow Chart - Blankets Carding Ring frame Implied single flow Winding Weaving Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 23
  • 24. Common process In this process, when managed as a single flow, 8 % of the production was rejected. 16 bobbins 16 x 8 cops 16 cones 30 looms Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 24
  • 25. Common process Reality Check 1 common process 16 bobbins generated 16 bobbins every hour which generated 16 x 8 cops 16 x 8 cops which in turn generated 16 cones, which were further processed on 30 different looms. 16 cones 30 looms Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 25
  • 26. Common process Possible number of flows = 16 x 16 bobbins 16 x 30 16 x 8 cops = 7680 16 cones 30 looms Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 26
  • 27. Old Trace – not controlled ( shown for only 4 bobbins )   Part of 7680 flows Gives 8 % Rejection Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 27
  • 28. No of stations at each stage Actual Flow in Carding - 16 large no of streams With Ring frame- 100 large inventory between stages Winding- 20 Weaving - 20 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 28
  • 29. A quick study – multivari – showed that each location ( in 4 x 4 matrix ) is producing excellent yarn with very little variation but there is a lot of variation between column to column. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 29
  • 30.   Each bobbin was further processed into 8 cops Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 30
  • 31.   COPs, in turn were converted into a cones ( 8 cops go into winding one cone - cops from all bobbins are stores in one place with no trace and randomly used to make a cone ) Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 31
  • 32.   Each cone was further processed into about 2 blankets, on a loom. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 32
  • 33.   A blanket with 4 colors requires input from 4 different cones further complicating the process Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 33
  • 34. The mix up of such yarn ( flows as we see) in a blanket resulted in substandard quality.   Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 34
  • 35. Action – After understanding the …16 Bobbins… flow in terms of Trace diagram , the random multiple flows -7680 16 x 8 cops were reduced into 16. 16 cones… Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 35
  • 36.   Knowing the problem faced, a procedure was introduced to use the same 8 cops from one bobbin to make one cone. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 36
  • 37.   Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 37
  • 38. Reorganised Flow Chart All processing stations mapped to 4 virtual cells in this diagram Carding Ring frame Winding Weaving Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 38
  • 39.   When such cones were used to make blankets there was no rejection! The rejection  dropped  from 8%  to zero!!   Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 39
  • 40. You will find hidden flows in your process too. Find them and stop them. And see the dramatic improvement in the output. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 40
  • 41. Convert Inderminate into determinate Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 41
  • 42. This is also the finer understanding of one of 14 principles of Deming avoid multiple sources Internal sources in this case Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 42
  • 43. It has links with Traceability as required by ISO9001. You will also recognise relation with Cells in Lean methodology. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 43
  • 44. Second new tool from SigmaGuru Surrogate Parameter Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 44
  • 45. Surrogate Parameter A new Quality Improvement Tool Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 45
  • 46. Surrogate means Substitute Surrogate parameter is one which substitutes another which is of real interest to us Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 46
  • 47. Surrogate Parameter Tool is used when - there is no simple / clear clue - there is no known cause and effect Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 47
  • 48. Surrogate Parameter Tool is used when - it is very expensive or dangerous or time consuming or very inconvenient to work or experiment with the original parameter Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 48
  • 49. In such case, choose a closely related parameter with which it is easy to experiment The new parameter is called Surrogate Parameter Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 49
  • 50. Surrogate Parameter should be closely related to the one we are interested in but it need not be necessarily be specified or defined by the customer for example – weight of a product Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 50
  • 51. Customer may not be interested in weight as a parameter to be measured, but it is very useful to us as it can be easily measured. Change in material , dimensions, process results into change in weight and it can give us the vital clue in problem solving. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 51
  • 52. The choice of the second Surrogate Parameter is of course very critical and one should be very careful in choosing it. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 52
  • 53. Let us study one case to understand The Case Plastic Moulder Project To deliver zero defect products to customer Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 53
  • 54. Background Subsidiary of European Multinational Had Modern machines They had Zero Defect Policy But One customer was reporting sporadic failures at 2500 ppm level This is simply not acceptable. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 54
  • 55. In spite of attention of entire organization, defects persisted. Ultimately services of SigmaGuru were called in. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 55
  • 56. About the problem The problem was about a weld line around a hole splitting open when under pressure during assembly. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 56
  • 57. About the process Moulding conditions were not precisely defined. Operating personnel free to twiddle the knobs within specified range. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 57
  • 58. A lot of trials made with no demonstrable results. Thousands of units were required per trial. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 58
  • 59. They had even posted one person at client location to monitor and report failures as they happen ! No efforts were spared!! Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 59
  • 60. At one stage, even Raw material quality ( melt flow index) was suspect and a narrow range of properties were demanded. But this too did not result in any improvement. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 60
  • 61. Due to all these difficulties we decided to use Surrogate Parameter Tool. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 61
  • 62. Since the problem was with the finished product, weight of the finished product was chosen as Surrogate Parameter. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 62
  • 63. It is very easy to measure weight compared to predicting if a part will break or not at the client! Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 63
  • 64. Comparison of Original and Surrogate Original Surrogate Parameter Strength Weight at particular location Method Destructive Non destructive Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 64
  • 65. Comparison of Original and Surrogate Original Surrogate Time to test 72 hours 1 minute Cost Heavy negligible Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 65
  • 66. Comparison of Original and Surrogate Original Surrogate Size of trial 5000 30 Ease Difficult Very Easy Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 66
  • 67. Now the problem is transformed from Improve breaking strength at customer to Improve weight quality during moulding Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 67
  • 68. Improving weight quality means reduce weight variation So lets us get started…. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 68
  • 69. Here is initial snap shot of quality in terms of surrogate parameter - weight Time to time variation 485 480 475 470 465 460 sigma= 1.36% 455 15 17 23 27 31 33 39 43 11 13 19 21 25 29 35 37 41 45 1 3 5 7 9 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 69
  • 70. It is known that Variation in processes (inputs and outputs of) causes defects Six sigma movement was ignited in Motorola by this discovery. And it was also known that the process parameters ( machine settings parameters) were frequently changed. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 70
  • 71. Hence it was decided to check the weight again after keeping machine parameters constant at their known best level. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 71
  • 72. Now the variation looked like this. Piece to piece variation weight in g 485 480 475 470 465 sigma=0.24% 460 455 13 17 19 29 35 11 15 21 23 25 27 31 33 1 3 5 7 9 Quite an improvement over the initial Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 72
  • 73. The results are quite positive! At this point, a small meeting was convened with – Production Quality Process Personnel. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 73
  • 74. The 4 most critical parameters for the weld line problem were listed 1. Cycle time 2. Fill time 3. Mould temp 4. Hold time Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 74
  • 75. The team also decided the best and the worst levels( values) for these parameters. Knowing these, a quick trial was made with only 30 units with all parameters at their worst and best levels. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 75
  • 76. All parameters at their worst is called ( 0000) level All parameters at their best is called( 1111) level Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 76
  • 77. All parameters at their worst level gave this weight variation 0000 Variation 485 480 475 470 465 460 sigma=0.26% 455 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 77
  • 78. And All parameters at their best level …. 1111 Variation 485 480 475 470 465 460 sigma=0.12% 455 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 78
  • 79. Thus we found sigma dropping from 1.36 % to 0.12 % improvement by a factor 10, within a single working day! Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 79
  • 80. Time to time variation Piece to piece variation weight in g 485 485 480 480 475 475 470 470 465 465 sigma=0.24% 460 sigma= 1.36% 460 455 11 13 17 25 29 33 41 45 1 3 5 7 9 15 19 21 23 27 31 35 37 39 43 455 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 1 3 5 7 9 0000 Variation 1111 Variation 485 485 480 480 475 475 470 470 465 465 460 sigma=0.26% 460 sigma=0.12% 455 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 455 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 80
  • 81. Weight Variation Before and After 490 485 480 475 470 465 460 455 450 445 440 10 19 25 31 40 46 52 1 4 7 13 16 22 28 34 37 43 49 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 81
  • 82. Going back from surrogate to original parameter, trials were made with now best-known parameters. Result - no failures at the customer. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 82
  • 83. Zero defect for the critical customer achieved within a week. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 83
  • 84. Conclusion Wisely chosen Surrogate parameter yields wonderful results Zero defect is a reality and it can be achieved. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 84
  • 85. The problem which was evading solution for one year… Surrogate Parameter helped solve in just one week Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 85
  • 86. Third new tool from SigmaGuru DAM Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 86
  • 87. Using DAM CONVERT DATA INTO MONEY Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 87
  • 88. This conceptual tool has 5 steps – Converting Data into Information Information into Knowledge Knowledge into Insight Insight into Action Action into profits Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 88
  • 89. Data into Information What to do with 5000 defective slippers every day? Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 89
  • 90. Data into Information Using first step, convert available data into information Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 90
  • 91. An example – Data into Information Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 91
  • 92. Data into Information Normally one has lots of data sitting in nice files. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 92
  • 93. Data into Information Convert it into useful information Pareto – slippers rejection in no of pcs Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 93
  • 94. Data into Information Stagewise rejection this data is not easily actionable as there are too many areas. Shows Focus area is clearly Pressing Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 94
  • 95. Information into Knowledge Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 95
  • 96. Information into Knowledge Pressing stage needs improvement But what needs to be improved? You need to carry out experiments to determine Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 96
  • 97. Information into Knowledge An experiment is carried to understand which defect is generated at which location in pressing LOCATION -WISE DEFECTS / Concentration diagram drawn All rejects are at the edges Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 97
  • 98. Knowledge into Insight Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 98
  • 99. Knowledge into Intelligence location -wise defects The temp at the edges is low due to dissipation from the edges Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 99
  • 100. Intelligence into Insight location -wise defects Indicates low set temperatures as possible cause Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 100
  • 101. Insight into Action Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 101
  • 102. Insight into Action EXPERIMENTS planned with increase in temp Current temps at left E1 / E2 /E3 Are 3 experiments temp at diff platen locations increased by 2 dc As indicated 6 sheets cut per experiment Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 102
  • 103. Insight into Action Set vs actual temps in expt 1 EXPERIMENT 1 Actual Temperatures Measured Platen No Set temp. LEFT 'c CENTRE 'c RIGHT 'c 1 155 155 155 144 2 155 146 157 140 3 150 140 151 147 4 150 140 151 139 5 144 135 149 135 6 162 141 153 146 7 155 116 112 130 Notice deviations on lower side in red. Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 103
  • 104. Insight into Action RESULTS OF EXPERIMENT NO. 1 DEFECT LOCATIONS •BLOW HOLES REJECTION = 0.42% Out of 6 sheets on Press 1. •COLOUR BLEACH Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 104
  • 106. Action into profits SUMMARY OF THE EXPERIMENTS  Expt no Total Rej. Pcs Rej. %   1 2 0.40% 2 6 1.20%   3 5 1.00%   EXPT 1 gives best results Process Will be standardized  And extended over entire production Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 106
  • 107. A Action into profits C P D Benefits projected gains from the project in INR daily production pairs= 80000 1%= 800 selling price per pair = 40 gain per day = 32000 gain per year = 9600000 gain for 2 % reduction in rej = 19200000 in mn INR= 19 Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 107
  • 108. This is how DAM HELPS CONVERT DATA INTO MONEY Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 108
  • 109. Contact sigmaguru at gmail.com or Vidyut Bapat at +91 94235 07631 to get help in solving your most difficult problems Sigmaguru@gmail.com Page 109

Editor's Notes

  1. Add Team Photo, Team Name & Members Write Maximum three Preliminary Objectives. Objective means something you are aiming to achieve; not the means to achieve Concerns / Issues needing attention are the problems representing the current conditon on the Gemba which needs immediate attention In Target – show Target Graph for Control Point, control point is main objective you want to achieve. Should be one and in numbers always Add company Logo
  2. Add Team Photo, Team Name & Members Write Maximum three Preliminary Objectives. Objective means something you are aiming to achieve; not the means to achieve Concerns / Issues needing attention are the problems representing the current conditon on the Gemba which needs immediate attention In Target – show Target Graph for Control Point, control point is main objective you want to achieve. Should be one and in numbers always Add company Logo
  3. Add Team Photo, Team Name & Members Write Maximum three Preliminary Objectives. Objective means something you are aiming to achieve; not the means to achieve Concerns / Issues needing attention are the problems representing the current conditon on the Gemba which needs immediate attention In Target – show Target Graph for Control Point, control point is main objective you want to achieve. Should be one and in numbers always Add company Logo
  4. Control point is the main objective you want to achieve. Should be in numbers always check points are measures which help to achieve control point For example if control point is cost reduction of utilities, check points will be power costs, consumables costs etc In Targets vs Result graph – show the trend graph of control point with target line. In non monetary benefits write non monetary benefits from the project - for example: ease of work, reduction in stress etc