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National Rail Plan – India M i n i s t r y o f R a i l w a y s GovernmentofIndia 1
Study Objective To develop capacity, infrastructure and enhance rail freight share ahead of the demand.Develop capacity by 2030 that will cater to growing demand up to 2050 NRP Vision National Rail Plan- Objectives  To provide an overall long term rail development plan  Passenger and Freight Demand Forecast yearly till 2030 are for 19 year period for 2041 & 2051  Assessment of Present and Future Modal Share of Railways;  To study the rail infrastructure deficiencies  Future Infrastructure requirements-Fixed and Rolling considering the demand forecast and its implication on congested network;  Identifications of Options, Evaluation and Prioritization of projects;  Assessment of Funding Requirements and Financing Strategies 2
Stage 1: Transport Demand Assessment Stage 2: Evaluation of Network Capacity Stage 3: Assess Rail Infrastructure & Capacity Augmentation Requirement Stage 4: Assessment of Funding Requirement & Funding Strategy Study Methodology Phase 01 Phase 02 • Interim Report • Demand Forecast Report • AS-IS Network Mapping • Future Network Requirement • Options Identification and Evaluation of Capacity creation Report • Draft Final Report • Final Report 3
Comprehensive Studies undertaken in the Past Data Collection - Need S No Study Name Study Done By Year 1 Total Transport System Study RITES 2008 2 India Transport Report National Transport Development Policy Committee 2014 3 National Perspective Plan (Sagarmala) Mc Kinsey 2016 4 PET Studies for Dedicated Freight Corridor 5 High Speed Rail Studies for Various Corridors 2010- 14 6 Transforming the Nations Logistics Mc Kinsey 2010 7 LEEP Study AT Kearney & MoRTH 8 DFCCIL Marketing Studies PWC 10 Indian Container Market Report 2016 Drewry and Gateway Research 2016 12 Summary of Feasibility Study for DFC on Delhi-Mumbai and Delhi-Howrah JICA 2007 13 Indian Logistics Report Deloitte 2014 14 Transforming Indian logistics industry KPMG 2013 16 Report of the Committee for Mobilization of Resources for Major Railway Projects and Restructuring of the Railway Ministry and Railway Board- Debroy Committee Report Ministry of Railways 2015 17 Report of Expert Group for modernization of railways- Sam Pitroda Committee Report Ministry of Railways 2012  Of the Above, Primary Surveys were conducted only in few Studies.  Last Comprehensive Pan India Primary Data Collection covering Road and Other Sectors was conducted in 2007-08 as part of Total Transport System Study  For Forecasting the Total Transport Demand & Planning of Rail Infrastructure by creating a robust data base of passenger and freight traffic is required. 4
Data Collection PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION SECONDARY DATA COLLECTION Data Type Source Georeferenced Railway Network Map covering all Features (Length, Capacity, Train Frequency, Gauge, Division, electrified/ non electrified, etc.) CRIS, Ministry of Railways Georeferenced Station Locations Annual Ticket Sales Data by Stations Annual Freight Movement Data by Commodity Type, Weight, by Terminals Fare/Tariff (both Passengers & Freight) Quantum of Freight/ Cargo by Port by Commodity Ministry of Shipping/ various Port Trusts Quantum of Freight/ Cargo by Commodity Type at Various ICDs/ CFS/ MMLPs CONCOR/ Private Entities Industrial Production by Quantum/ by commodity type/ by movement/ by mode Upcoming industrial estates in different region/MMLPs etc Various Industrial Estates/ District Industrial Centres/ SEZs Annual Air Passenger Travel Data (by Airport) Ministry of Civil Aviation Annual Air Cargo Data (by location & Type) Sectoral Report from different ministries MoRTH, Aviation, Industry, Mining, Fertilizer, Heavy Industries Survey Type Outputs Classified Traffic Volume Count Surveys (TVC) (24 X 7) - Traffic Volume - Modal Composition - Peak Hour Flows - Temporal Variation Origin- Destination Survey (OD) - Travel Pattern - Trip frequency - Type of Commodity - Trip Lengths Stated Preference Survey - Details of (access trip, line haul interchange trip and dispersal trip) Freight Forwarders’ Survey - Commodity Type - Quantum - Origin- Destination 5
Data Collection (Primary Surveys) Total Survey Location : 104 OD Sample collected: 29 % Key Considerations for Location selection • Million Plus Cities, State Capitals and UTs • Mining Area • NTPC, Major Refineries & Logistic Hubs • Cement Production and Attraction Centres • FCI>10K • Heavy Machinery production centres, Industrial Towns, FMCG,; • District Headquarters • ICDs/ Dry Ports, Major Ports • Coal Fields, Major Fertilizer Plants, Textile Hubs • Religious Centres and Tourism Hubs Zone (within India) – 691 Ports 14 - Districts - 677 External Zones- 10 6
Existing Rail Network on GIS Platform Ongoing Upgradation Works Railway Network Hierarchy 7
Existing Rail Network on GIS Platform Tourist Areas Inland Waterways Aviation Network Road Network Connectivity to Class I, II, III towns Road Network 8
Existing Rail Network
High Value / High Rated Commodities Non Conventional Goods 10 Commodity Volume (MT) Percent Coal 965 20.5% Iron Ore 207 4.4% Non Ferrous Metals 61 1.3% Fertiliser 61 1.3% Foodgrains 287 6.1% Limestone 358 7.6% Stones & Aggregates 24 0.5% Conventional Goods 1963 41.6 % Steel 113 2.4% POL 273 5.8% Cement 339 7.2% High Value/High Rated 725 15.4 % Auto 14 0.3% Containers 231 4.9% Misc. Other Goods 1780 37.8% Non Conventional 2025 43.0 % Total 4709 100% 43 % 15.4 % 41.6 % Total Freight Ecosystem – Road + Rail Coal Iron Ore Non Ferrous Metals Fertiliser Foodgrai ns Limeston e Stones & Aggregat es Steel POL Cement Auto Containe rs Misc. Other Goods Conventional Goods
Projections For National Freight Ecosystem Base Year Commodity wise Traffic production/ sales/ throughput plus imports) by Mode Outcomes Commodity wise Projections in National Freight Ecosystem for various Horizon Years Outcomes Projections validated against relevant benchmarks from other Ministries and public agencies Outcomes Scenario wise Projections for National Freight Ecosystem Outcomes Commodity wise Origination/Destin ation patterns for various Horizon years Outcomes 11
Consolidated Volume Projections (Million Tons) Freight Demand Forecast 2019 2026 2031 2041 2051 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 4,709 6,366 8,220 11,780 15,583 BOG Cement Coal Container Fertilizer Foodgrain Iron Ore Pig Iron POL Steel RM Total 12
In 2018-19, Railways carried 1221.5 (27%) of Total Freight Generated Modes Tonnes (Millions) Share (%) Rail 1221.5 27% Road 2911.7 64% Coastal Shipping 234 5% IWT 72 2% Pipeline 84 2% TOTAL 4523.2 100% Total Traffic 2018-19 2007-08# a) Traffic carried by Road Transport 2911.7 1558.8 b) Traffic Carried by Rail 1221.5 768.7 Traffic Rail & Road (a+b) 4133.2 2327.5 d) Traffic on Road with lead up to 300 km 1393.1 837.8 e) Traffic on Rail with lead up to 300 km 493.9 2.9 Total Traffic with leads up to 300 km (d+e) 1887.0 840.7 Total Potential Traffic moving beyond 300 km Rail 727.6 765.8 Road 1518.6 720.9 Total 2246.2 1486.8 Rail Share in Potential Traffic* 32.4% 51.5% Rail Share in Traffic having Leads beyond 300 Km reduced from 51.5% to 32.4% Existing Rail Freight Share Rail Share 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 52% 32% Change in Rail Share over a Decade (for lead over 300 km) 2007-08 2017-18 13 Rail 27% Road 64% Coastal Shipping 5% IWT 2% Pipeline 2%
14 Mode Choice Model for Freight: Binary Logit Utility Equation is derived in the form of, = + × + × 𝛼 𝛽 𝛿𝑇𝑇 𝛾 𝛿𝑇𝐶 Where, = Utility Equation α = Constant β = Coefficient of Difference of Travel Time γ = Coefficient of Difference of Travel Cost δTT = Difference of Travel Time δTC = Difference of Travel Cost Probability equation for Binary Logit : 𝑃 ( )= ^ 𝑅𝑎𝑖𝑙 𝑒 𝜆 /(1+ ^ 𝑒 𝜆 ) where, λ = Calibration factor Binary Logit Model is used to model mode choice Parameter; - Difference in Transit Time - Difference in Transit Cost Travel time / average speed 25 kmph BAU 25 kmph 30% less than BAU 50 kmph BAU 50 kmph 30% less than BAU Transport Cost 31% Both are inversely related to Modal Share 24% 40% * 44%
Logit Model is based on 2 major parameters which are Time and Cost. 1. Business as Usual (BAU): Considering implementation of Project Bharat Mala and excluding speed enhancement, EDFC and WDFC 2. Enhancement of Speed to 50 Kmph: a. Implementation of Railway projects corresponds to increase average speed to 50 Kmph. 3. Enhancement of Speed to 50 Kmph with 30% Reduced Cost: b. Implementation of Railway projects corresponds to average speed to 50 Kmph & reducing cost except on 4 items by 30% by 2026 4. Business as Usual (BAU) with Cost Reduction by 30%: Rail Infrastructure remains same whereas, the cost is reduced by 30%. Scenario Building Optimum Modal Mix – Scenario Building 15
Scenario Building Existing Scenario Scenario 1: Business as Usual (BAU) Scenario 2: Enhancemen t Average Speed to 50 KMPH Scenario 3: Enhancemen t of Average Speed to 50 KMPH with 30% less Cost on selected commodities Scenario 4: Business as Usual (BAU) with Cost Reduction by 30% Operating Speed (kmph) 25 25 50 25-50 25 Railway Tariff BAU BAU BAU 30% lesser than BAU on selected items 30% lesser than BAU Daily Run in Road 350 450 450 450 450 Cost on Road BAU BAU BAU BAU BAU Commodity Share in Rail (%) 28% 24% 40% 30%- 44% 31% Optimum Modal Mix – Scenario Building 16
Commodities Existing Scenario Scenario 1: Business as Usual (BAU) Scenario 2: Enhancement Average Speed to 50 KMPH Scenario 3: Enhancement Average Speed to 50 KMPH with 30% Reduced Cost on selected Commodities Scenario 4: Business as Usual (BAU) with Cost Reduction by 30% BOG 4% 1% 18% 7%-22% 7% Cement 37% 38% 42% 46%-51% 48% Coal* 65% 61% 74% 61%-74% 67% Container 24% 16% 44% 29%-48% 29% Fertilizer* 87% 85% 90% 85%-90% 88% Food grains 16% 17% 21% 28%-32% 29% Iron Ore* 65% 60% 82% 60%-82% 70% Pig Iron 49% 49% 57% 64%-70% 65% POL 18% 9% 44% 15%-48% 14% Steel RM* 56% 55% 60% 55%-60% 58% Total 28% 24% 40% 31%- 44% 31% Optimum Modal Mix - Estimation of Rail Share * No cost reduction of fare provided for Coal, Fertilizer, Iron Ore and Raw Material for Steel as the share of these commodities increase less than 5% for reduced cost 17
Coal Iron Ore Cement BOG Container Fertilizer Foodgrain POL Pig Iron Steel RM 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 49% 12% 10% 7% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 39% 10% 14% 12% 6% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2% 23% 9% 16% 21% 9% 4% 3% 9% 5% 2% 201 8 202 4 Coal 49% Iron Ore 12% Cement 10% BOG 7% Container 5% Fertilizer 4% Foodgrain 4% POL 4% Pig Iron 3% Steel RM 2% 39% 10% 14% 12% 6% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2% Coal 23% Iron Ore 9% Cement 16% BOG 21% Container 9% Fertilizer 4% Foodgrain 3% POL 9% Pig Iron 5% Steel RM 2% Commodity-wise Rail Shares 20 18 20 24 20 51 18
Existing freight ecosystem: Potential for growth Rail coefficients: Focus on Non-Conventional  Present rail share of 27% mainly attributable to traditional bulk commodities (fertilizers, coal, iron ore and food grains) constituting ~60% of IR’s freight business  IR needs to cater to freight increase for commodities which are dominated by road movement through appropriate strategies/product offerings Choice of Commodities 19
Passenger Demand Forecast Years Projected Population CAGR (%) Projected CAGR (%) LDAC Projected CAGR (%) LDNA Projected CAGR (%) Suburban Grand Total 2021-26 0.79% 8.50% 3.44% 1.17% 2.50% 2026-31 0.80% 9.02% 3.48% 1.07% 2.62% 2031-41 0.44% 6.47% 3.00% 0.85% 2.34% 2041-51 0.45% 5.43% 2.81% 0.64% 2.28% Categories 2018 2021 2031 2041 2051 LDAC 154.03 252.23 586.42 1106.3 1887.78 LDNA 3,466.40 4538.54 6411.58 8687.69 11530.71 Total 3,620.43 4,790.77 6,998.00 9,793.99 13,418.49 Sub-Urban 4,459.38 4,665.84 5,215.54 5,676.21 6,050.13 Grand Total 8,079.81 9,456.61 12,213.54 15,470.20 19,468.62 Population and Workforce Forecast States 2021 2031 2041 2051 Population (Millions) 1380.54 1494.18 1561.38 1632.97 Workforce (Millions) 540.92 619.46 702.46 780.44 Estimated Passenger Growth Rates Rail Passenger Forecast 20
Passenger Demand Forecast 2018 2021 2031 2041 2051 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 154 252 586 1106 1888 3466 4539 6412 8688 11531 4459 4666 5216 5676 6050 8,080 9,457 12,214 15,470 19,469 LDAC LDNA Sub-Urban Grand Total Axis Title Annual Passengers in Million Consolidated Passenger Projections (Million per year)
Sanctioned works Sanctioned/ Ongoing Works Section Length (Km) 3rd & 4th Line 156 4th Line 1,087 Doubling 1,194 Tripling 4,152 Total 17,340 Length (Km) 508 Km Included HSR Corridor Mumbai Ahmedabad, 508 Km (As per NIP) Length (Km) 3,322 Km Included DFC Corridor Eastern DFC, 1,839 Km (Under Construction) Western DFC 1,483 Km (Under Construction) 22 Railway Network – Sanctioned Works
Assignment Model Framework in CUBE Base Year Rail Assignment on CUBE Voyager SCENARIO BUILDING TRAFFIC GENERATION NETWORK BUILDING AND CALIBRATION MODAL SHARE PASSENGER ASSIGNMENT FREIGHT ASSIGNMENT NETWORK ASSESSMENT PROPOSALS TRAFFIC PROJECTION 23
Existing Capacity Utilization Existing 2026 Capacity Utilization Existing 0%-70% 48% 70%-100% 27% >100% 25% 24
Capacity Utilization 2031 2051 Capacity Utilization Existing 0%-70% 24% 70%-100% 8% >100% 68% 25
HDN Network HD N 1 HD N 4 HD N 2 HD N 3 HD N 6 HD N 7 H D N 5 HD N 1 HDN No Routes HDN1 Delhi Howrah Main Route via ALD MGS Gaya HDN1BGhaziabad- Moradabad HDN1CDelhi-Rohtak- Bathinda- Suratgarh HDN1DAndal-Pandubeshwar- Santhia HDN2 Howrah - Mumbai main route via Jalgaon, Nagpur, Bilaspur HDN2ABilaspur-Anuppur-Kota-Ruthiyai-Kota HDN2BSurat-Jalgaon HDN3 Delhi-Mumbai Main Route via Kota Ratlam HDN3ADelhi-Rewari-Ajmer-Chittorgarh HDN3BGandhidham-Bhildi-Palanpur and Bhildi - Samdari HDN3CPanvel – Jasai – JNPT HDN4 Delhi-Guwahati via Rosa-Gorakhpur-Kumedpur HDN5 Delhi-Chennai Main Route via BPL-NGP-BPQ- BZA-Gudur HDN6 Howrah Chennai Main Route HDN6AJSG-SBP-TIG-VZM HDN7 Mumbai-Chennai main route HDN7AGuntkal-Bellari-Hospet-Hubli-Londa-Vasco 26
27 HDN 1 Configuration Conversion Networ k Km Line KM Double to Triple Line 227 227 Quadruple Line to 6 Lines 8 16 Total 235 243 Doubling works • EDFC is proposed from Ludhiana to Sonnagar (year 2026) and Dankuni (year 2031) • HSR Corridor Delhi- Agra-Lucknow- Ayodhya-Varanasi- Patna-Kolkata • ABS+TCAS+CTC • Enabling Speed 160 Kmph • 29 Bypasses & 15 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure Proposals
28 HDN 2 Configuration Conversion Netwo rk Km Line KM Double to Triple Line 588 588 Triple to Quadruple Line 337 337 Quadruple Line to 6 Lines 7 14 6 Lines to 8 Lines 2 4 Total 934 943 Doubling works • East-West DFC - 2031 • HSR Corridor Mumbai Pune Nagpur Patna in 2051 • ABS+TCAS+CTC Signaling is proposed for entire corridor • Enabling Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 6 Bypasses & 12 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure
29 Configuration Conversion Network Km Line KM Double to Triple Line 588 588 Triple to Quadruple Line 337 337 Quadruple Line to 6 Lines 7 14 6 Lines to 8 Lines 3 6 Total 935 946 Doubling works • Western DFC is proposed from JNPT to Khurja • HSR Corridor Mumbai to Ahmedabad in 2026 extended till Delhi by 2031, Connected to Patna, Kolkata and Guwahati. • ABS+TCAS+CTC SignalingEnabling infrastructure for achieving a Speed 160 Kmph • 7 Bypasses & 9 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure HDN 3
30 HDN 4 Configuration Conversion Networ k Km Line KM Double to Triple Line 637 637 Double to Quadruple Line 456 912 Triple to Quadruple Line 978 978 Total 2070 2526 Doubling works • HSR Corridor coming from Delhi by 2031, Connected to Patna, Kolkata and Guwahati. • ABS+TCAS+CTC • Enabling infrastructure for achieving a Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 3 Bypasses & 10 Flyovers Proposed Major Infrastructure
31 HDN 5 Configuration Conversion. Network Km Line KM Triple to Quadruple Line 105 105 Total 105 105 Doubling works • N-S DFC is Proposed in 2041 from Itarsi to Chennai and extended to Palwal in 2051 • ABS+TCAS+CTC Signaling is proposed for entire corridor • Enabling infrastructure for achieving a Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 10 Bypasses & 10 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure
32 HDN 6 Configuration Conversion Network Km Line KM Triple to Quadruple Line 22 22 Total 22 22 Doubling works • East Coast DFC is Proposed in 2031 from Kharagpur to Vijayawada • ABS+TCAS+CT C • Enabling Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 1 Bypass & 4 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure
33 HDN 7 Configuration Conversion Networ k Km Line KM Double to Triple Line 542 542 Triple to Quadruple Line 32 32 Quadruple Line to 6 Lines 38 76 Total 611 650 Doubling works • No parallel DFC is Proposed in except Renigunta to Arakkonam in 2041 N-S DFC Proposed • ABS+TCAS+CTC Signaling is proposed for entire corridor • Enabling infrastructure for achieving a Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 2 Bypasses & 8 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure
HUN Network S.NO HUN Routes Total Length (km) HUN 1 Amrit Sagar Sampark Corridor 3,049 HUN 2 Bengal Arab Sagar Sampark Corridor 3,035 HUN 3 Kathiawar Shivalik Sampark Corridor 1,685 HUN 4 Sagar Sutlej Sampark Corridor 1,529 HUN 5 Bundelkhand Tarai Sampark Corridor 2,151 HUN 6 Sagar Purvodaya Sampark Corridor 1,490 HUN 7 Sagar Chambal Sampark Corridor 2,737 HUN 8 Purv Paschim Deccan Sampark Corridor 1,501 HUN 9 Aravali Dakshin Sampark Corridor 2,803 HUN 10 Satpura Coromandel Sampark Corridor 2,232 HUN 11 Konkan Malabar Sampark Corridor 1,134 Total 23,347 HUN 1 HUN 3 HUN 2 HUN 4 HUN 5 HUN 6 HUN 7 HUN 8 HUN 9 HUN 10 HUN 11 34
HUN 1 HUN 1 Network km % Share 2026 2031 2041 2051 2026 2031 2041 2051 3. 2+ NRP Line Upgradatio n Proposals 0%-70% 2501 2784 1827 2098 68% 76% 50% 57% 70%-100% 1147 774 1802 1573 31% 21% 49% 43% 100%- 150% 23 113 42 0 1% 3% 1% 0% >150% 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% Existing 2026 2031 2041 2051 Total Line KM 7035 7676 8002 8575 9760 3 Bypasses and 1 Flyover are proposed on HUN 1, 1814 km upgraded to TCAS Signaling Conversio n Network KM Line KM 202620312041 2051 Total 2026 2031 2041 2051 Total 2L-3L 98 102 298 133 631 98 102 298 133 631 2L-4L 46 103 41 394 584 92 206 82 789 1168 3L-4L 43 19 193 183 437 43 19 193 183 437 4L-6L 0 0 0 40 40 0 0 0 80 80 Total 186 224 532 751 1693 232 327 573 1185 2317 Patha nkot Bhagal pur Jamui 35
HUN 2 HUN 2 Network km % Share 2026 2031 2041 2051 2026 2031 2041 2051 3. 2+ NRP Line Upgradatio n Proposals 0%-70% 2317 2337 2364 1504 66% 67% 67% 43% 70%-100% 787 1170 1143 1970 22% 33% 33% 56% 100%- 150% 127 0 0 33 4% 0% 0% 1% >150% 276 0 0 0 8% 0% 0% 0% Existing 2026 2031 2041 2051 Total Line KM 7038 7309 7493 8462 8736 1 Bypass is proposed on HUN 2 2384 km TCAS signaling provided Conversi on Network KM Line KM 202 6 203 1 204 1 205 1 Total 202 6 203 1 204 1 205 1 Total 2L-3L 0 184 500 273 957 0 184 500 273 957 2L-4L 0 0 227 0 227 0 0 454 0 454 3L-4L 0 0 16 0 16 0 0 16 0 16 Total 0 184 742 273 1199 0 184 969 273 1426 Nandur bar Jabalp ur Obra Dam 36
37 Train Assignment for Freight Trains on Network - 2051 Identify DFC Master Plan Identify “Top Corridors” for Freight Movement which carry 60% of total Freight on the Network Identify HSR Master Plan Identify  Major Passenger Movement Corridors,  Regional Connectivity Issues  Tourism Potential Places  AC Passenger Share  OD pairs with Air Connectivity restrictions Investment interventions are divided into two parts, Major ( DFC, HSR etc) and Others (3rd line/4th line, Signalling) Train Assignment for Passenger Trains on Network - 2051 Identification of Major Interventions DFC HSR
38 DFC Master Plan & Phasing Phasing 2026 2031 2041 2051 Length (Km) 2,807 3,893 1,206 751 New DFC Corridor Eastern DFC, 1,324 Km (Under Constructi on till Sonnagar ) East Cost DFC, 1,265 Km (Kharagpur to Vijayawada) North South DFC, 1,206 Km (Itarsi to Chennai via Nagpur and Vijayawad a) North South DFC, 751 Km (Palwal to Itarsi) Western DFC 1,483 Km (Under Constructi on) East West DFC, 2,013 Km (Palghar to Dankuni and EDFC Connectors) Eastern DFC, 515 Km (Sonnagar to Dankuni) EDFC WDF C E-W DFC N-S DFC ECo DFC E-W DFC N-S DFC
39 Phasing 2026 2031 2041 2051 Length (Km) 508 2,521 1473 3485 New HSR Corridor Mumbai Ahmedabad , 508 Km (As per NIP also) Delhi Varanasi via Ayodhya, 855 Km (As per NIP also, Ayodhya included) Hyderabad Bangalore, 618 Km (New) Mumbai Nagpur, 789 Km (As per NIP) Varanasi to Patna, 250 kms (New) Nagpur Varanasi, 855 Km (New) Mumbai Hyderabad, 709 Km Patna to Kolkata, 530 Km (New) Patna Guwahati 850 Km (New) Delhi Udaipur Ahmedabad 886 Km (As per NIP also) Delhi Chandigarh Amritsar, 485 Km Amritsar - Pathankot - Jammu, 190 Km (New) Chennai to Mysuru via Bangalore, 462 Km HSR Master Plan & Phasing Jammu Amritsar Chandiga rh Delhi Ahmedab ad Mumbai Nagpur Varanasi Patna Guwahati Kolkata Chennai Hyderaba d Bengalu ru Mysor e Lucknow
Double Line with ABS+TCAS+CTC Double Line with TCAS Signalling Triple Line with ABS+TCAS+CTC Triple Line with TCAS Signalling Quadruple Line with ABS+TCAS+CTC Quadruple Line with TCAS Signalling 6 Lines with ABS+TCAS+CTC 6 Lines with TCAS Signalling 8 Lines with ABS+TCAS+CTC Rail Network Proposals – Consolidated
41 Proposed Terminal Locations Steel Cement EXIM Container Domestic Container Multi Commodity Clusters
Policy to attract investments & bring efficiencies Development of new terminals – PFTs / ICDs / private sidings • Reduce Transaction and Operating Costs • Lease for connectivity • Staff cost • Development charges • Transparent and time bound Upgradation of existing good sheds/terminals • Private investment in existing facilities • Open access for all types of traffic • Minimum Performance Standards New common user models • All Public land for common user facilities • IR to support on land acquisition / land as equity Terminals 42
02 01 04 03 05 06 Single wagon investment policy – encouraging private investment A single policy covering all wagon types - encourage adoption of innovative designs; consider locomotive ownership over time Wagon ownership should not be linked with any license fee, as private sector is already investing (locking demand) Consistent haulage discount to be considered – to account for cost of ownership Wagon owners to be permitted to maintain their own rolling stock Haulage charge to not include cost of asset (wagons) A streamlined, automatic approval process Rolling Stock Strategies 43
Terminals • Terminal Access Charge Concessions • E-Drishti updation for goods sheds • Easing of Weighment Conditions • Non-levy of Terminal charges at some unloading points • Easing conditions for Advance Stacking • Promoting Lifton/Liftoff at CRTs for containers • Allowing Multiple Co- Users 1 Pricing Related Concessions 2 • Empty flow Rating • Long Term Contracts • Short Lead, Long Lead and Round Trip Rates • Removal of Busy Season Surcharge • Commodity Discounts – Flyash, Containers, More FAK commodities Transport Products and Ease of Business • Easing Trainload Benefits • Easing conditions for Mini Rakes • Electronic Registration of Demand • E-RR – Electronic transmission of RRs 3 In resonance with NRP recommendations toward improving transit and reducing cost IR initiatives 44
Transit • Speed • Predictability Capacity • Network Access • Terminal Access • Rolling stock Service Provision • Costing • Product definition Modal Shift Enablers Travel time / Average speed Travel Cost Improvement 45
TARIFF • Pricing • Classification • Busy Season Surcharge • Congestion Surcharge • Buffer end to Buffer end charging • Route Rationalization 1 NON TARIFF 2 • Demurrage/ Wharffage • Access charge • Land License • Staff Cost • Stabling Charges • Maintenance Charges • Road Bridging OPPURTUNITY • Electrification • DFC corridors • Higher Asset productivity • Speeds • Axle Load • Double Stack • RO-RO 4 • CAPACITY AHEAD OF DEMAND ; ENABLE INCREASE IN FREIGHT TRAIN SPEED FROM 25KMPH TO 50KMPH 46 • Cost of size of consignment • Cost of Restrictions • Cost of Investments • Cost of Maintenance practices • Cost of unpredictability LATENT/ HIDDEN 3 NRP – TARGETING 45% MODAL SHARE THROUGH CAPACITY • REDUCE COST OF RAIL TRANSPORT BY 30% - ACROSS THE COST SPECTRUM
47 Thank you

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24th Oct NRP updating knowledge of users

  • 1.
    National Rail Plan– India M i n i s t r y o f R a i l w a y s GovernmentofIndia 1
  • 2.
    Study Objective To developcapacity, infrastructure and enhance rail freight share ahead of the demand.Develop capacity by 2030 that will cater to growing demand up to 2050 NRP Vision National Rail Plan- Objectives  To provide an overall long term rail development plan  Passenger and Freight Demand Forecast yearly till 2030 are for 19 year period for 2041 & 2051  Assessment of Present and Future Modal Share of Railways;  To study the rail infrastructure deficiencies  Future Infrastructure requirements-Fixed and Rolling considering the demand forecast and its implication on congested network;  Identifications of Options, Evaluation and Prioritization of projects;  Assessment of Funding Requirements and Financing Strategies 2
  • 3.
    Stage 1: Transport Demand Assessment Stage 2: Evaluationof Network Capacity Stage 3: Assess Rail Infrastructure & Capacity Augmentation Requirement Stage 4: Assessment of Funding Requirement & Funding Strategy Study Methodology Phase 01 Phase 02 • Interim Report • Demand Forecast Report • AS-IS Network Mapping • Future Network Requirement • Options Identification and Evaluation of Capacity creation Report • Draft Final Report • Final Report 3
  • 4.
    Comprehensive Studies undertakenin the Past Data Collection - Need S No Study Name Study Done By Year 1 Total Transport System Study RITES 2008 2 India Transport Report National Transport Development Policy Committee 2014 3 National Perspective Plan (Sagarmala) Mc Kinsey 2016 4 PET Studies for Dedicated Freight Corridor 5 High Speed Rail Studies for Various Corridors 2010- 14 6 Transforming the Nations Logistics Mc Kinsey 2010 7 LEEP Study AT Kearney & MoRTH 8 DFCCIL Marketing Studies PWC 10 Indian Container Market Report 2016 Drewry and Gateway Research 2016 12 Summary of Feasibility Study for DFC on Delhi-Mumbai and Delhi-Howrah JICA 2007 13 Indian Logistics Report Deloitte 2014 14 Transforming Indian logistics industry KPMG 2013 16 Report of the Committee for Mobilization of Resources for Major Railway Projects and Restructuring of the Railway Ministry and Railway Board- Debroy Committee Report Ministry of Railways 2015 17 Report of Expert Group for modernization of railways- Sam Pitroda Committee Report Ministry of Railways 2012  Of the Above, Primary Surveys were conducted only in few Studies.  Last Comprehensive Pan India Primary Data Collection covering Road and Other Sectors was conducted in 2007-08 as part of Total Transport System Study  For Forecasting the Total Transport Demand & Planning of Rail Infrastructure by creating a robust data base of passenger and freight traffic is required. 4
  • 5.
    Data Collection PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION SECONDARYDATA COLLECTION Data Type Source Georeferenced Railway Network Map covering all Features (Length, Capacity, Train Frequency, Gauge, Division, electrified/ non electrified, etc.) CRIS, Ministry of Railways Georeferenced Station Locations Annual Ticket Sales Data by Stations Annual Freight Movement Data by Commodity Type, Weight, by Terminals Fare/Tariff (both Passengers & Freight) Quantum of Freight/ Cargo by Port by Commodity Ministry of Shipping/ various Port Trusts Quantum of Freight/ Cargo by Commodity Type at Various ICDs/ CFS/ MMLPs CONCOR/ Private Entities Industrial Production by Quantum/ by commodity type/ by movement/ by mode Upcoming industrial estates in different region/MMLPs etc Various Industrial Estates/ District Industrial Centres/ SEZs Annual Air Passenger Travel Data (by Airport) Ministry of Civil Aviation Annual Air Cargo Data (by location & Type) Sectoral Report from different ministries MoRTH, Aviation, Industry, Mining, Fertilizer, Heavy Industries Survey Type Outputs Classified Traffic Volume Count Surveys (TVC) (24 X 7) - Traffic Volume - Modal Composition - Peak Hour Flows - Temporal Variation Origin- Destination Survey (OD) - Travel Pattern - Trip frequency - Type of Commodity - Trip Lengths Stated Preference Survey - Details of (access trip, line haul interchange trip and dispersal trip) Freight Forwarders’ Survey - Commodity Type - Quantum - Origin- Destination 5
  • 6.
    Data Collection (PrimarySurveys) Total Survey Location : 104 OD Sample collected: 29 % Key Considerations for Location selection • Million Plus Cities, State Capitals and UTs • Mining Area • NTPC, Major Refineries & Logistic Hubs • Cement Production and Attraction Centres • FCI>10K • Heavy Machinery production centres, Industrial Towns, FMCG,; • District Headquarters • ICDs/ Dry Ports, Major Ports • Coal Fields, Major Fertilizer Plants, Textile Hubs • Religious Centres and Tourism Hubs Zone (within India) – 691 Ports 14 - Districts - 677 External Zones- 10 6
  • 7.
    Existing Rail Networkon GIS Platform Ongoing Upgradation Works Railway Network Hierarchy 7
  • 8.
    Existing Rail Networkon GIS Platform Tourist Areas Inland Waterways Aviation Network Road Network Connectivity to Class I, II, III towns Road Network 8
  • 9.
  • 10.
    High Value /High Rated Commodities Non Conventional Goods 10 Commodity Volume (MT) Percent Coal 965 20.5% Iron Ore 207 4.4% Non Ferrous Metals 61 1.3% Fertiliser 61 1.3% Foodgrains 287 6.1% Limestone 358 7.6% Stones & Aggregates 24 0.5% Conventional Goods 1963 41.6 % Steel 113 2.4% POL 273 5.8% Cement 339 7.2% High Value/High Rated 725 15.4 % Auto 14 0.3% Containers 231 4.9% Misc. Other Goods 1780 37.8% Non Conventional 2025 43.0 % Total 4709 100% 43 % 15.4 % 41.6 % Total Freight Ecosystem – Road + Rail Coal Iron Ore Non Ferrous Metals Fertiliser Foodgrai ns Limeston e Stones & Aggregat es Steel POL Cement Auto Containe rs Misc. Other Goods Conventional Goods
  • 11.
    Projections For NationalFreight Ecosystem Base Year Commodity wise Traffic production/ sales/ throughput plus imports) by Mode Outcomes Commodity wise Projections in National Freight Ecosystem for various Horizon Years Outcomes Projections validated against relevant benchmarks from other Ministries and public agencies Outcomes Scenario wise Projections for National Freight Ecosystem Outcomes Commodity wise Origination/Destin ation patterns for various Horizon years Outcomes 11
  • 12.
    Consolidated Volume Projections(Million Tons) Freight Demand Forecast 2019 2026 2031 2041 2051 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 4,709 6,366 8,220 11,780 15,583 BOG Cement Coal Container Fertilizer Foodgrain Iron Ore Pig Iron POL Steel RM Total 12
  • 13.
    In 2018-19, Railwayscarried 1221.5 (27%) of Total Freight Generated Modes Tonnes (Millions) Share (%) Rail 1221.5 27% Road 2911.7 64% Coastal Shipping 234 5% IWT 72 2% Pipeline 84 2% TOTAL 4523.2 100% Total Traffic 2018-19 2007-08# a) Traffic carried by Road Transport 2911.7 1558.8 b) Traffic Carried by Rail 1221.5 768.7 Traffic Rail & Road (a+b) 4133.2 2327.5 d) Traffic on Road with lead up to 300 km 1393.1 837.8 e) Traffic on Rail with lead up to 300 km 493.9 2.9 Total Traffic with leads up to 300 km (d+e) 1887.0 840.7 Total Potential Traffic moving beyond 300 km Rail 727.6 765.8 Road 1518.6 720.9 Total 2246.2 1486.8 Rail Share in Potential Traffic* 32.4% 51.5% Rail Share in Traffic having Leads beyond 300 Km reduced from 51.5% to 32.4% Existing Rail Freight Share Rail Share 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 52% 32% Change in Rail Share over a Decade (for lead over 300 km) 2007-08 2017-18 13 Rail 27% Road 64% Coastal Shipping 5% IWT 2% Pipeline 2%
  • 14.
    14 Mode Choice Modelfor Freight: Binary Logit Utility Equation is derived in the form of, = + × + × 𝛼 𝛽 𝛿𝑇𝑇 𝛾 𝛿𝑇𝐶 Where, = Utility Equation α = Constant β = Coefficient of Difference of Travel Time γ = Coefficient of Difference of Travel Cost δTT = Difference of Travel Time δTC = Difference of Travel Cost Probability equation for Binary Logit : 𝑃 ( )= ^ 𝑅𝑎𝑖𝑙 𝑒 𝜆 /(1+ ^ 𝑒 𝜆 ) where, λ = Calibration factor Binary Logit Model is used to model mode choice Parameter; - Difference in Transit Time - Difference in Transit Cost Travel time / average speed 25 kmph BAU 25 kmph 30% less than BAU 50 kmph BAU 50 kmph 30% less than BAU Transport Cost 31% Both are inversely related to Modal Share 24% 40% * 44%
  • 15.
    Logit Model isbased on 2 major parameters which are Time and Cost. 1. Business as Usual (BAU): Considering implementation of Project Bharat Mala and excluding speed enhancement, EDFC and WDFC 2. Enhancement of Speed to 50 Kmph: a. Implementation of Railway projects corresponds to increase average speed to 50 Kmph. 3. Enhancement of Speed to 50 Kmph with 30% Reduced Cost: b. Implementation of Railway projects corresponds to average speed to 50 Kmph & reducing cost except on 4 items by 30% by 2026 4. Business as Usual (BAU) with Cost Reduction by 30%: Rail Infrastructure remains same whereas, the cost is reduced by 30%. Scenario Building Optimum Modal Mix – Scenario Building 15
  • 16.
    Scenario Building Existing Scenario Scenario 1: Businessas Usual (BAU) Scenario 2: Enhancemen t Average Speed to 50 KMPH Scenario 3: Enhancemen t of Average Speed to 50 KMPH with 30% less Cost on selected commodities Scenario 4: Business as Usual (BAU) with Cost Reduction by 30% Operating Speed (kmph) 25 25 50 25-50 25 Railway Tariff BAU BAU BAU 30% lesser than BAU on selected items 30% lesser than BAU Daily Run in Road 350 450 450 450 450 Cost on Road BAU BAU BAU BAU BAU Commodity Share in Rail (%) 28% 24% 40% 30%- 44% 31% Optimum Modal Mix – Scenario Building 16
  • 17.
    Commodities Existing Scenario Scenario 1: Business as Usual(BAU) Scenario 2: Enhancement Average Speed to 50 KMPH Scenario 3: Enhancement Average Speed to 50 KMPH with 30% Reduced Cost on selected Commodities Scenario 4: Business as Usual (BAU) with Cost Reduction by 30% BOG 4% 1% 18% 7%-22% 7% Cement 37% 38% 42% 46%-51% 48% Coal* 65% 61% 74% 61%-74% 67% Container 24% 16% 44% 29%-48% 29% Fertilizer* 87% 85% 90% 85%-90% 88% Food grains 16% 17% 21% 28%-32% 29% Iron Ore* 65% 60% 82% 60%-82% 70% Pig Iron 49% 49% 57% 64%-70% 65% POL 18% 9% 44% 15%-48% 14% Steel RM* 56% 55% 60% 55%-60% 58% Total 28% 24% 40% 31%- 44% 31% Optimum Modal Mix - Estimation of Rail Share * No cost reduction of fare provided for Coal, Fertilizer, Iron Ore and Raw Material for Steel as the share of these commodities increase less than 5% for reduced cost 17
  • 18.
    Coal Iron OreCement BOG Container Fertilizer Foodgrain POL Pig Iron Steel RM 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 49% 12% 10% 7% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 39% 10% 14% 12% 6% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2% 23% 9% 16% 21% 9% 4% 3% 9% 5% 2% 201 8 202 4 Coal 49% Iron Ore 12% Cement 10% BOG 7% Container 5% Fertilizer 4% Foodgrain 4% POL 4% Pig Iron 3% Steel RM 2% 39% 10% 14% 12% 6% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2% Coal 23% Iron Ore 9% Cement 16% BOG 21% Container 9% Fertilizer 4% Foodgrain 3% POL 9% Pig Iron 5% Steel RM 2% Commodity-wise Rail Shares 20 18 20 24 20 51 18
  • 19.
    Existing freight ecosystem:Potential for growth Rail coefficients: Focus on Non-Conventional  Present rail share of 27% mainly attributable to traditional bulk commodities (fertilizers, coal, iron ore and food grains) constituting ~60% of IR’s freight business  IR needs to cater to freight increase for commodities which are dominated by road movement through appropriate strategies/product offerings Choice of Commodities 19
  • 20.
    Passenger Demand Forecast Years Projected Population CAGR(%) Projected CAGR (%) LDAC Projected CAGR (%) LDNA Projected CAGR (%) Suburban Grand Total 2021-26 0.79% 8.50% 3.44% 1.17% 2.50% 2026-31 0.80% 9.02% 3.48% 1.07% 2.62% 2031-41 0.44% 6.47% 3.00% 0.85% 2.34% 2041-51 0.45% 5.43% 2.81% 0.64% 2.28% Categories 2018 2021 2031 2041 2051 LDAC 154.03 252.23 586.42 1106.3 1887.78 LDNA 3,466.40 4538.54 6411.58 8687.69 11530.71 Total 3,620.43 4,790.77 6,998.00 9,793.99 13,418.49 Sub-Urban 4,459.38 4,665.84 5,215.54 5,676.21 6,050.13 Grand Total 8,079.81 9,456.61 12,213.54 15,470.20 19,468.62 Population and Workforce Forecast States 2021 2031 2041 2051 Population (Millions) 1380.54 1494.18 1561.38 1632.97 Workforce (Millions) 540.92 619.46 702.46 780.44 Estimated Passenger Growth Rates Rail Passenger Forecast 20
  • 21.
    Passenger Demand Forecast 20182021 2031 2041 2051 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 154 252 586 1106 1888 3466 4539 6412 8688 11531 4459 4666 5216 5676 6050 8,080 9,457 12,214 15,470 19,469 LDAC LDNA Sub-Urban Grand Total Axis Title Annual Passengers in Million Consolidated Passenger Projections (Million per year)
  • 22.
    Sanctioned works Sanctioned/ OngoingWorks Section Length (Km) 3rd & 4th Line 156 4th Line 1,087 Doubling 1,194 Tripling 4,152 Total 17,340 Length (Km) 508 Km Included HSR Corridor Mumbai Ahmedabad, 508 Km (As per NIP) Length (Km) 3,322 Km Included DFC Corridor Eastern DFC, 1,839 Km (Under Construction) Western DFC 1,483 Km (Under Construction) 22 Railway Network – Sanctioned Works
  • 23.
    Assignment Model Frameworkin CUBE Base Year Rail Assignment on CUBE Voyager SCENARIO BUILDING TRAFFIC GENERATION NETWORK BUILDING AND CALIBRATION MODAL SHARE PASSENGER ASSIGNMENT FREIGHT ASSIGNMENT NETWORK ASSESSMENT PROPOSALS TRAFFIC PROJECTION 23
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
    HDN Network HD N 1 HD N 4 HD N2 HD N 3 HD N 6 HD N 7 H D N 5 HD N 1 HDN No Routes HDN1 Delhi Howrah Main Route via ALD MGS Gaya HDN1BGhaziabad- Moradabad HDN1CDelhi-Rohtak- Bathinda- Suratgarh HDN1DAndal-Pandubeshwar- Santhia HDN2 Howrah - Mumbai main route via Jalgaon, Nagpur, Bilaspur HDN2ABilaspur-Anuppur-Kota-Ruthiyai-Kota HDN2BSurat-Jalgaon HDN3 Delhi-Mumbai Main Route via Kota Ratlam HDN3ADelhi-Rewari-Ajmer-Chittorgarh HDN3BGandhidham-Bhildi-Palanpur and Bhildi - Samdari HDN3CPanvel – Jasai – JNPT HDN4 Delhi-Guwahati via Rosa-Gorakhpur-Kumedpur HDN5 Delhi-Chennai Main Route via BPL-NGP-BPQ- BZA-Gudur HDN6 Howrah Chennai Main Route HDN6AJSG-SBP-TIG-VZM HDN7 Mumbai-Chennai main route HDN7AGuntkal-Bellari-Hospet-Hubli-Londa-Vasco 26
  • 27.
    27 HDN 1 Configuration Conversion Networ k Km Line KM Doubleto Triple Line 227 227 Quadruple Line to 6 Lines 8 16 Total 235 243 Doubling works • EDFC is proposed from Ludhiana to Sonnagar (year 2026) and Dankuni (year 2031) • HSR Corridor Delhi- Agra-Lucknow- Ayodhya-Varanasi- Patna-Kolkata • ABS+TCAS+CTC • Enabling Speed 160 Kmph • 29 Bypasses & 15 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure Proposals
  • 28.
    28 HDN 2 Configuration Conversion Netwo rk Km Line KM Doubleto Triple Line 588 588 Triple to Quadruple Line 337 337 Quadruple Line to 6 Lines 7 14 6 Lines to 8 Lines 2 4 Total 934 943 Doubling works • East-West DFC - 2031 • HSR Corridor Mumbai Pune Nagpur Patna in 2051 • ABS+TCAS+CTC Signaling is proposed for entire corridor • Enabling Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 6 Bypasses & 12 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure
  • 29.
    29 Configuration Conversion NetworkKm Line KM Double to Triple Line 588 588 Triple to Quadruple Line 337 337 Quadruple Line to 6 Lines 7 14 6 Lines to 8 Lines 3 6 Total 935 946 Doubling works • Western DFC is proposed from JNPT to Khurja • HSR Corridor Mumbai to Ahmedabad in 2026 extended till Delhi by 2031, Connected to Patna, Kolkata and Guwahati. • ABS+TCAS+CTC SignalingEnabling infrastructure for achieving a Speed 160 Kmph • 7 Bypasses & 9 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure HDN 3
  • 30.
    30 HDN 4 Configuration Conversion Networ k Km Line KM Doubleto Triple Line 637 637 Double to Quadruple Line 456 912 Triple to Quadruple Line 978 978 Total 2070 2526 Doubling works • HSR Corridor coming from Delhi by 2031, Connected to Patna, Kolkata and Guwahati. • ABS+TCAS+CTC • Enabling infrastructure for achieving a Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 3 Bypasses & 10 Flyovers Proposed Major Infrastructure
  • 31.
    31 HDN 5 Configuration Conversion.Network Km Line KM Triple to Quadruple Line 105 105 Total 105 105 Doubling works • N-S DFC is Proposed in 2041 from Itarsi to Chennai and extended to Palwal in 2051 • ABS+TCAS+CTC Signaling is proposed for entire corridor • Enabling infrastructure for achieving a Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 10 Bypasses & 10 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure
  • 32.
    32 HDN 6 Configuration Conversion Network Km Line KM Triple toQuadruple Line 22 22 Total 22 22 Doubling works • East Coast DFC is Proposed in 2031 from Kharagpur to Vijayawada • ABS+TCAS+CT C • Enabling Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 1 Bypass & 4 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure
  • 33.
    33 HDN 7 Configuration Conversion Networ k Km Line KM Doubleto Triple Line 542 542 Triple to Quadruple Line 32 32 Quadruple Line to 6 Lines 38 76 Total 611 650 Doubling works • No parallel DFC is Proposed in except Renigunta to Arakkonam in 2041 N-S DFC Proposed • ABS+TCAS+CTC Signaling is proposed for entire corridor • Enabling infrastructure for achieving a Speed 160 Kmph by 2031 • 2 Bypasses & 8 Flyovers Proposed along the corridor Major Infrastructure
  • 34.
    HUN Network S.NO HUNRoutes Total Length (km) HUN 1 Amrit Sagar Sampark Corridor 3,049 HUN 2 Bengal Arab Sagar Sampark Corridor 3,035 HUN 3 Kathiawar Shivalik Sampark Corridor 1,685 HUN 4 Sagar Sutlej Sampark Corridor 1,529 HUN 5 Bundelkhand Tarai Sampark Corridor 2,151 HUN 6 Sagar Purvodaya Sampark Corridor 1,490 HUN 7 Sagar Chambal Sampark Corridor 2,737 HUN 8 Purv Paschim Deccan Sampark Corridor 1,501 HUN 9 Aravali Dakshin Sampark Corridor 2,803 HUN 10 Satpura Coromandel Sampark Corridor 2,232 HUN 11 Konkan Malabar Sampark Corridor 1,134 Total 23,347 HUN 1 HUN 3 HUN 2 HUN 4 HUN 5 HUN 6 HUN 7 HUN 8 HUN 9 HUN 10 HUN 11 34
  • 35.
    HUN 1 HUN 1 Networkkm % Share 2026 2031 2041 2051 2026 2031 2041 2051 3. 2+ NRP Line Upgradatio n Proposals 0%-70% 2501 2784 1827 2098 68% 76% 50% 57% 70%-100% 1147 774 1802 1573 31% 21% 49% 43% 100%- 150% 23 113 42 0 1% 3% 1% 0% >150% 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% Existing 2026 2031 2041 2051 Total Line KM 7035 7676 8002 8575 9760 3 Bypasses and 1 Flyover are proposed on HUN 1, 1814 km upgraded to TCAS Signaling Conversio n Network KM Line KM 202620312041 2051 Total 2026 2031 2041 2051 Total 2L-3L 98 102 298 133 631 98 102 298 133 631 2L-4L 46 103 41 394 584 92 206 82 789 1168 3L-4L 43 19 193 183 437 43 19 193 183 437 4L-6L 0 0 0 40 40 0 0 0 80 80 Total 186 224 532 751 1693 232 327 573 1185 2317 Patha nkot Bhagal pur Jamui 35
  • 36.
    HUN 2 HUN 2 Networkkm % Share 2026 2031 2041 2051 2026 2031 2041 2051 3. 2+ NRP Line Upgradatio n Proposals 0%-70% 2317 2337 2364 1504 66% 67% 67% 43% 70%-100% 787 1170 1143 1970 22% 33% 33% 56% 100%- 150% 127 0 0 33 4% 0% 0% 1% >150% 276 0 0 0 8% 0% 0% 0% Existing 2026 2031 2041 2051 Total Line KM 7038 7309 7493 8462 8736 1 Bypass is proposed on HUN 2 2384 km TCAS signaling provided Conversi on Network KM Line KM 202 6 203 1 204 1 205 1 Total 202 6 203 1 204 1 205 1 Total 2L-3L 0 184 500 273 957 0 184 500 273 957 2L-4L 0 0 227 0 227 0 0 454 0 454 3L-4L 0 0 16 0 16 0 0 16 0 16 Total 0 184 742 273 1199 0 184 969 273 1426 Nandur bar Jabalp ur Obra Dam 36
  • 37.
    37 Train Assignment forFreight Trains on Network - 2051 Identify DFC Master Plan Identify “Top Corridors” for Freight Movement which carry 60% of total Freight on the Network Identify HSR Master Plan Identify  Major Passenger Movement Corridors,  Regional Connectivity Issues  Tourism Potential Places  AC Passenger Share  OD pairs with Air Connectivity restrictions Investment interventions are divided into two parts, Major ( DFC, HSR etc) and Others (3rd line/4th line, Signalling) Train Assignment for Passenger Trains on Network - 2051 Identification of Major Interventions DFC HSR
  • 38.
    38 DFC Master Plan& Phasing Phasing 2026 2031 2041 2051 Length (Km) 2,807 3,893 1,206 751 New DFC Corridor Eastern DFC, 1,324 Km (Under Constructi on till Sonnagar ) East Cost DFC, 1,265 Km (Kharagpur to Vijayawada) North South DFC, 1,206 Km (Itarsi to Chennai via Nagpur and Vijayawad a) North South DFC, 751 Km (Palwal to Itarsi) Western DFC 1,483 Km (Under Constructi on) East West DFC, 2,013 Km (Palghar to Dankuni and EDFC Connectors) Eastern DFC, 515 Km (Sonnagar to Dankuni) EDFC WDF C E-W DFC N-S DFC ECo DFC E-W DFC N-S DFC
  • 39.
    39 Phasing 2026 20312041 2051 Length (Km) 508 2,521 1473 3485 New HSR Corridor Mumbai Ahmedabad , 508 Km (As per NIP also) Delhi Varanasi via Ayodhya, 855 Km (As per NIP also, Ayodhya included) Hyderabad Bangalore, 618 Km (New) Mumbai Nagpur, 789 Km (As per NIP) Varanasi to Patna, 250 kms (New) Nagpur Varanasi, 855 Km (New) Mumbai Hyderabad, 709 Km Patna to Kolkata, 530 Km (New) Patna Guwahati 850 Km (New) Delhi Udaipur Ahmedabad 886 Km (As per NIP also) Delhi Chandigarh Amritsar, 485 Km Amritsar - Pathankot - Jammu, 190 Km (New) Chennai to Mysuru via Bangalore, 462 Km HSR Master Plan & Phasing Jammu Amritsar Chandiga rh Delhi Ahmedab ad Mumbai Nagpur Varanasi Patna Guwahati Kolkata Chennai Hyderaba d Bengalu ru Mysor e Lucknow
  • 40.
    Double Line withABS+TCAS+CTC Double Line with TCAS Signalling Triple Line with ABS+TCAS+CTC Triple Line with TCAS Signalling Quadruple Line with ABS+TCAS+CTC Quadruple Line with TCAS Signalling 6 Lines with ABS+TCAS+CTC 6 Lines with TCAS Signalling 8 Lines with ABS+TCAS+CTC Rail Network Proposals – Consolidated
  • 41.
    41 Proposed Terminal Locations Steel CementEXIM Container Domestic Container Multi Commodity Clusters
  • 42.
    Policy to attractinvestments & bring efficiencies Development of new terminals – PFTs / ICDs / private sidings • Reduce Transaction and Operating Costs • Lease for connectivity • Staff cost • Development charges • Transparent and time bound Upgradation of existing good sheds/terminals • Private investment in existing facilities • Open access for all types of traffic • Minimum Performance Standards New common user models • All Public land for common user facilities • IR to support on land acquisition / land as equity Terminals 42
  • 43.
    02 01 04 03 05 06 Single wagoninvestment policy – encouraging private investment A single policy covering all wagon types - encourage adoption of innovative designs; consider locomotive ownership over time Wagon ownership should not be linked with any license fee, as private sector is already investing (locking demand) Consistent haulage discount to be considered – to account for cost of ownership Wagon owners to be permitted to maintain their own rolling stock Haulage charge to not include cost of asset (wagons) A streamlined, automatic approval process Rolling Stock Strategies 43
  • 44.
    Terminals • Terminal AccessCharge Concessions • E-Drishti updation for goods sheds • Easing of Weighment Conditions • Non-levy of Terminal charges at some unloading points • Easing conditions for Advance Stacking • Promoting Lifton/Liftoff at CRTs for containers • Allowing Multiple Co- Users 1 Pricing Related Concessions 2 • Empty flow Rating • Long Term Contracts • Short Lead, Long Lead and Round Trip Rates • Removal of Busy Season Surcharge • Commodity Discounts – Flyash, Containers, More FAK commodities Transport Products and Ease of Business • Easing Trainload Benefits • Easing conditions for Mini Rakes • Electronic Registration of Demand • E-RR – Electronic transmission of RRs 3 In resonance with NRP recommendations toward improving transit and reducing cost IR initiatives 44
  • 45.
    Transit • Speed • Predictability Capacity •Network Access • Terminal Access • Rolling stock Service Provision • Costing • Product definition Modal Shift Enablers Travel time / Average speed Travel Cost Improvement 45
  • 46.
    TARIFF • Pricing • Classification •Busy Season Surcharge • Congestion Surcharge • Buffer end to Buffer end charging • Route Rationalization 1 NON TARIFF 2 • Demurrage/ Wharffage • Access charge • Land License • Staff Cost • Stabling Charges • Maintenance Charges • Road Bridging OPPURTUNITY • Electrification • DFC corridors • Higher Asset productivity • Speeds • Axle Load • Double Stack • RO-RO 4 • CAPACITY AHEAD OF DEMAND ; ENABLE INCREASE IN FREIGHT TRAIN SPEED FROM 25KMPH TO 50KMPH 46 • Cost of size of consignment • Cost of Restrictions • Cost of Investments • Cost of Maintenance practices • Cost of unpredictability LATENT/ HIDDEN 3 NRP – TARGETING 45% MODAL SHARE THROUGH CAPACITY • REDUCE COST OF RAIL TRANSPORT BY 30% - ACROSS THE COST SPECTRUM
  • 47.

Editor's Notes

  • #3 We need to change the tone from prepare to review. We need to double check that she has access to the tools mentioned in her CV.