This is a summary of an essay "2065 - a viable new world" is about major changes that may take place in the next 50 years. The story is one scenario out of many, but doesn't belong to the science ficion category. All the major changes described are possible occurencies that may take place in the upcoming half a century.

1. The fourth revolution
Will exponential change lead to disruption or to a viable
world?

2. Will exponential change lead to disruption or
to a new viable world?
New technological developments are the major incubators for exponential change.
Every aspect of society is being affected by artificial intelligence, big data and a
whole range of other new technologies.
What will be the disruptive effects of these exponential changes?
Will it lead to a better viable world?

3. Agenda
Exponential change
New technologies
Senses
Big Data
Artificial Intelligence
The makeable World
Impact on society
Liberty, Equality and Fraternity
Shifting Powers
Disruptive forces
Wealth
Wellbeing
Culture
World Economic Forum:
The fourth industrial revolution

4. Exponential
change
New technologies
Senses
Big Data
Artificial Intelligence
The makeable World
ChangeVision
Roundtable
Exponential Change

5. New technologies
Energy supply is at a turning point,
away from fossil resources
Robotization will be everywhere
Engineering and usage of new materials changes
Transport and distribution will be affected
Food production will fundamentally change to
feeding nine billion people in a sustainable manner
Urban environments will be redesigned
Biomedical technologies will affect our lives

6. New technologies
Energy supply is at a turning point,
away from fossil resources
Robotization will be everywhere
Engineering and usage of new materials changes
Transport and distribution will be affected
Food production will fundamentally change to
feeding nine billion people in a sustainable manner
Urban environments will be redesigned
Biomedical technologies will affect our lives

7. New technologies
Energy supply is at a turning point,
away from fossil resources
Robotization will be everywhere
Engineering and usage of new materials changes
Transport and distribution will be affected
Food production will fundamentally change to
feeding nine billion people in a sustainable manner
Urban environments will be redesigned
Biomedical technologies will affect our lives

8. New technologies
Energy supply is at a turning point,
away from fossil resources
Robotization will be everywhere
Engineering and usage of new materials changes
Transport and distribution will be affected
Food production will fundamentally change to
feeding nine billion people in a sustainable manner
Urban environments will be redesigned
Biomedical technologies will affect our lives

9. New technologies
Energy supply is at a turning point,
away from fossil resources
Robotization will be everywhere
Engineering and usage of new materials changes
Transport and distribution will be affected
Food production will fundamentally change to
feeding nine billion people in a sustainable manner
Urban environments will be redesigned
Biomedical technologies will affect our lives

10. New technologies
Energy supply is at a turning point,
away from fossil resources
Robotization will be everywhere
Engineering and usage of new materials changes
Transport and distribution will be affected
Food production will fundamentally change to
feeding nine billion people in a sustainable manner
Urban environments will be redesigned
Biomedical technologies will affect our lives

11. New technologies
Energy supply is at a turning point,
away from fossil resources
Robotization will be everywhere
Engineering and usage of new materials changes
Transport and distribution will be affected
Food production will fundamentally change to
feeding nine billion people in a sustainable manner
Urban environments will be redesigned
Biomedical technologies will affect our lives

12. New technologies
Energy supply is at a turning point,
away from fossil resources
Robotization will be everywhere
Engineering and usage of new materials changes
Transport and distribution will be affected
Food production will fundamentally change to
feeding nine billion people in a sustainable manner
Urban environments will be redesigned
Biomedical technologies will affect our lives
All of these technologies will
lead to ethical debate.

13. Senses
Mankind has always stretched the reach of our
natural five senses.
Everything that can be measured will be
measured.

14. Senses
Mankind has always stretched the reach of our
natural five senses.
Everything that can be measured will be
measured.

15. Senses
Mankind has always stretched the reach of our
natural five senses.
Everything that can be measured will be
measured.

16. Senses
Mankind has always stretched the reach of our
natural five senses.
Everything that can be measured will be
measured.
Will this continue?
What will mankind do with the exponential
growth of data?

17. Big Data
Data analysis has always been causality based.
Big Data analysis is based on correlations using
neural technologies.
Understanding this difference is key to
understand the importance of Big Data.
Causality based: “If….. Then……”Correlasion based: “Neural networks Deep learning”

18. 2017 AlphaGo beats World best Go player !

19. Deep learning image recognition

20. Artificial Intelligence
Big data has become the fuel for new
developments.
Together with clever algorithms and enormous
processing power it is the enabler for Artificial
Intelligence and Deep Learning.
AI Examples:
virtual reality/gamingchatbots
Smart cities
Radiology
Smart delivery
quantum computingclever algorithms processing power

21. The makeable world
Society will become an "engineered social society"
and a product of technologies.
Will we be able to deal with these moral
responsibilities?
Can we leave that in the hands of scientists and
politicians?

22. Impact on
society
Liberty, Equality and Fraternity
Shifting Powers
Disruptive forces
Wealth
Wellbeing
Culture

23. Liberté, Égalité, Fraternité
The ideals of Enlightenment and French
Revolution have come closer in many parts of the
world.
In spite of wars, repressions and dictatorships,
liberty, equal rights and social cohesion improved
during the last two centuries.
Are we making progress on "Liberté, Egalité,
Fraternité"?
Will there be a fall-back?

24. Liberté
Is freedom of the mind becoming a myth?
Examples:
Guardian Oct 2016: Facebook users are more likely to
get news that fits political beliefs
Guardian Dec 2016: How Google's search algorithm
spreads false information with a right wing bias
MIT Technology Review Dec 2017: Can AI Win the
War Against Fake News?

25. Égalité
Are equal rights under pressure? Access to our DNA and other strictly personal
data will determine our chances for jobs, financial
services, etc.
Examples:
Governments like the Chinese and more to come,
will rank us on our status and behaviour

26. Fraternité
Is social cohesion paradoxically threatened by
social media?
Cultural diversity diminishes on social
media. People only follow their alikes
Example:

27. Shifting Powers
For a long time bipolarity dominated the world
power balance.
With globalisation and upcoming markets a
multipolar power distribution has begun.
But old powers remain captured in nationalism
and "friend or foe" thinking.
How will powers shift on a geo-political scale?
How will the powershift be influenced by big tech
companies and by public sentiments?
What will be the role of (scarce) resources?
(data, internet, precious metals, distribution channels,
food, water)
How fast can a mental, political and public shift take
place?
That is key to avoid uproar, ressentiment and extreme
nationalism.
Dilemma's:

28. Disruptive forces
Robotization, technology and globalization can be
a blessing, but they can also lead to major
disruption.
So far, there has been migration towards ever
expanding megacities. But production in low
wages countries becomes irrelevant due to a new
generation of robots. As a result unemployment
in megacities will increase dramatically.
Production will return to the vicinity of the
markets. Leading to changing distribution
patterns. And world trade shifting towards a
more regional focus.
Will boost in productivity lead to overheated
markets, excessive consumption and tensions
with sustainability goals?
Will structural global unemployment be one of
the results?
Will there be a change in migration patterns?
What can be done and must be done to avoid
repression and resentment?
Dilemma's:

29. Wealth
The wealthier we are, the better will be our
wellbeing. Both are measured in economic and
monetary values.
Our economic system is based on continuous
growth. GDP and GGP (Gross Global Product)
must grow to maintain the system.
The gap between the real economy and the
monetary economy has become enormous (x50)
The growth of capital leads implicitly to a
widening of the wealth gap.
Is it really that obvious that wealth and wellbeing
are interdependent?
How sustainable are the present economic and
the monetary system?
Will the circular economy (or the so called donut
economy) prevent the system from collapse?
What is the impact on related systems such as
pensions and the fiscal system?
Dilemma's:

30. Wellbeing
Topics that contribute to wellbeing are:
❏ food
❏ clean water
❏ health
❏ labour
❏ education
❏ culture
Global food production puts a heavy burden on
nature. It must change radically to a minimal
footprint by better recycling methods and
implementation of new technologies.
Desalination technologies and water reuse
Healthcare improvements through biochemical and
nano technologies, genetics, regeneration of
organic structures and mobile solutions for remote
diagnoses and curation
A new definition of labour is needed if half of the
global population is unemployed due to further
robotization.
A paid job is the norm. Other valuable
contributions to society get a lower appreciation.
Will basic income be enough to reach an equal
moral valuation of contributions to society?
Education is still based on the principles dating
back to the first industrial revolution. Were
learning for a lifetime job was the purpose.
Focus is now less on cognitive knowledge but on
empowerment, resilience, creativity and
collaboration.

31. Wellbeing
Topics that contribute to wellbeing are:
❏ food
❏ clean water
❏ health
❏ labour
❏ education
❏ culture
Mass consumer culture emerged since the
20th century.
Cultural sophistication has emerged over time.
Arts and sciences for the ‘social elite’.
Plenty of leisure due to robotization and
unemployment?
Role virtual and augmented reality in
entertainment?

32. Will exponential change lead to disruption or
to a new viable world?
Yes: New technologies will be the major incubators for exponential change
Yes: Every aspect of society is being affected
Yes: Disruptive effects will take place
Yes: A viable world is possible
Denial and disregard are no option
Wake-up-calls enough. Let’s do something