The document provides an overview of economic trends in Korea and other major economies for February 2020. It notes that in December 2019, mining and manufacturing production, retail sales, facilities investment and construction investment improved in Korea, while services slowed somewhat. It also summarizes recent economic indicators and performance in the US, China, and other countries. Key data points on GDP growth, industrial production, employment, trade, housing, inflation and other metrics are presented for different periods. The document aims to analyze current economic conditions in Korea and other major economies.
Anthony Leddin and Paul Egan, Ireland’s national wage agreements & macroecon...NUI Galway
Dr Anthony Leddin, University of Limerick and Dr Paul Egan, University of St Andrews, Scotland, Ireland’s national wage agreements & macroeconomic performance: 1988 - 2008 presented at the 6th Annual NERI Labour Market Conference in association with the Whitaker Institute, NUI Galway, 22nd May, 2018.
2020 Economic Review Final: An Annual Review of New Jersey's EconomyNicoleMSandelier
2020 was a year unlike any other we’ve experienced during our lifetime. The novel coronavirus pandemic caused havoc on New Jersey’s public health and economy. The pandemic caused government-mandated, nonessential business closures and stay-at-home orders that were in effect from mid-March to mid-June 2020 in the Garden State with many businesses continuing to operate at restricted capacity through year end.
➢ This resulted in record high unemployment rates and record contraction in GDP.
➢ Small businesses were devastated and many were forced to shut their doors, either temporarily or permanently.
➢ Early data indicates that the pandemic had a disproportional impact on minority workers and workers of color.
➢ In total, over 1.9 million people filed unemployment claims and received more than $20 billion in unemployment benefits.
➢ Personal income increased despite record high unemployment, due to state unemployment benefits, extended benefits, and federal stimulus monies.
The goal of this research is to provide readers with a detailed review of key statistics on New Jersey’s economic activity, otherwise known as economic indicators. These indicators help to judge the overall health of an economy. Many sources have yet to report 2020 data, including the U.S. Census Bureau. As such, this is a working document that will be modified to include statistics relating to race, gender and households when updated data becomes available.
Anthony Leddin and Paul Egan, Ireland’s national wage agreements & macroecon...NUI Galway
Dr Anthony Leddin, University of Limerick and Dr Paul Egan, University of St Andrews, Scotland, Ireland’s national wage agreements & macroeconomic performance: 1988 - 2008 presented at the 6th Annual NERI Labour Market Conference in association with the Whitaker Institute, NUI Galway, 22nd May, 2018.
2020 Economic Review Final: An Annual Review of New Jersey's EconomyNicoleMSandelier
2020 was a year unlike any other we’ve experienced during our lifetime. The novel coronavirus pandemic caused havoc on New Jersey’s public health and economy. The pandemic caused government-mandated, nonessential business closures and stay-at-home orders that were in effect from mid-March to mid-June 2020 in the Garden State with many businesses continuing to operate at restricted capacity through year end.
➢ This resulted in record high unemployment rates and record contraction in GDP.
➢ Small businesses were devastated and many were forced to shut their doors, either temporarily or permanently.
➢ Early data indicates that the pandemic had a disproportional impact on minority workers and workers of color.
➢ In total, over 1.9 million people filed unemployment claims and received more than $20 billion in unemployment benefits.
➢ Personal income increased despite record high unemployment, due to state unemployment benefits, extended benefits, and federal stimulus monies.
The goal of this research is to provide readers with a detailed review of key statistics on New Jersey’s economic activity, otherwise known as economic indicators. These indicators help to judge the overall health of an economy. Many sources have yet to report 2020 data, including the U.S. Census Bureau. As such, this is a working document that will be modified to include statistics relating to race, gender and households when updated data becomes available.
Recent economic trends in Trentino and South Tyrol - Antonio AccetturoOECD CFE
Presentation by Antonio Accetturo, Head, Economic Research Unit, Bank of Italy - Trento branch at the sixth meeting of the Spatial productivity Lab of the OECD Trento Centre held on 11 December 2019.
More info http://oe.cd/SPL
Ukraine Monthly Economic Review, June 2017 DIXI Group
Highlights
The government drafted a pension reform and introduced the bills to the Parliament. In its updated memorandum, the IMF is also demanding a land reform and additional measures against corruption. We think the next IMF tranche may be released after the summer break, likely in autumn 2017.
Recent economic indicators point to better economic conditions: Q1 GDP has been slightly revised upwards to 2.5% yoy, and the May figures for industrial production (1.2% yoy) and retail sales (10.7% yoy) have been better than expected. Nevertheless, with cumulative industrial output down in the first five months of 2017, we lowered our GDP growth estimate for 2017 from 2% to 1.5% yoy.
The inflation rate accelerated to 13.5 % yoy in May, due to higher food prices. Nevertheless, the National Bank may cut the key interest rate further by 50bp to 12% in order to support economic growth at its next meeting on Thursday, 6 July.
FX reserves reached USD 17.6 bn in end-May, given a favourable situation on the FX market allowing for FX purchases. The exchange rate traded rather stable around USD/UAH 26.
The NBU tweaked FX market regulation, simplifying investment abroad and FX forward transactions as well as introducing electronic FX transfer licenses for individuals.
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Agribusiness | Q4 2019 | Segment: Agriculture T...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital's Agribusiness Industry newsletter provides perspective on valuation issues. Each newsletter also includes a sector focus, commodity pricing, comparable public company metrics, and key indices of the top agribusinesses.
Macroeconomic trends in Italy and in Trentino - Jasmine MondoloOECD CFE
Presentation by Jasmine Mondolo, Post-doc Research Fellow, School of International Studies, University of Trento, Italy at the sixth meeting of the Spatial productivity Lab of the OECD Trento Centre held on 11 December 2019.
More info http://oe.cd/SPL
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Construction and Building Materials | Q1 2020 |...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital's Construction Industry newsletter provides a broad range of specialized valuation and transaction advisory services to the construction industry, including residential, commercial, civil, paving, concrete, and more. Each issue includes a segment focus, market overview, mergers and acquisitions review, and more.
Monthly statistical e-bulletin comprising a quick review of the economy and about 30 tables and some charts with the latest available economic/financial market indicators, both Indian and Global.
Triggers to watch out for:
1. Breaking down GDP Numbers
2. Equity Valuations Update
3. Why ICICI Prudential Accrual Funds
4. Investment Philosophy
Have a detailed insight into a monthly equity and fixed income market outlook.
Read the full document to know more.
Ten years of job growth were wiped out in one month, when 20.8 million jobs were lost in April 2020. In comparison, a total of 8.7 million jobs were lost during the Great Recession. The economy added back 1.8 million jobs in July 2020, marketing the third consecutive month of jobs gains, yet remained 12.8 million jobs below the pre-pandemic level.
Faisal Basri, Economic Outlook 2018-2019: "Climbing Amid Global Turmoil"Muhammad Sirod
Faisal Basri, Economic Outlook 2018-2019: "Climbing Amid Global Turmoil"
> The Fed akan terus menaikkan suku bunga acuan sekali lagi tahun ini dan sekitar 3X tahun depan
> BI pun sudah menaikkan 7-day Repo Rate 5X pada era Gubernur BI yang baru
> LDR merangkak naik mendekati 100%, likuiditas perbankan semakin ketat
> Kenaikan utang pemerintah menyebabkan crowding-out effect
> Laju Inflasi akan lebih tinggi tahun depan karena penyesuaian harga BBM dan tarif listrik.
Basic introduction to IIP, importance and structure Trends of IIP in 2020Mohit Singla
Basic introduction to IIP, importance and structure
Contribution of different industries towards IIP
Trends of IIP in 2020 wrt. GDP
Pre Covid-19 Trends and Effects of Covid-19
Recent economic trends in Trentino and South Tyrol - Antonio AccetturoOECD CFE
Presentation by Antonio Accetturo, Head, Economic Research Unit, Bank of Italy - Trento branch at the sixth meeting of the Spatial productivity Lab of the OECD Trento Centre held on 11 December 2019.
More info http://oe.cd/SPL
Ukraine Monthly Economic Review, June 2017 DIXI Group
Highlights
The government drafted a pension reform and introduced the bills to the Parliament. In its updated memorandum, the IMF is also demanding a land reform and additional measures against corruption. We think the next IMF tranche may be released after the summer break, likely in autumn 2017.
Recent economic indicators point to better economic conditions: Q1 GDP has been slightly revised upwards to 2.5% yoy, and the May figures for industrial production (1.2% yoy) and retail sales (10.7% yoy) have been better than expected. Nevertheless, with cumulative industrial output down in the first five months of 2017, we lowered our GDP growth estimate for 2017 from 2% to 1.5% yoy.
The inflation rate accelerated to 13.5 % yoy in May, due to higher food prices. Nevertheless, the National Bank may cut the key interest rate further by 50bp to 12% in order to support economic growth at its next meeting on Thursday, 6 July.
FX reserves reached USD 17.6 bn in end-May, given a favourable situation on the FX market allowing for FX purchases. The exchange rate traded rather stable around USD/UAH 26.
The NBU tweaked FX market regulation, simplifying investment abroad and FX forward transactions as well as introducing electronic FX transfer licenses for individuals.
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Agribusiness | Q4 2019 | Segment: Agriculture T...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital's Agribusiness Industry newsletter provides perspective on valuation issues. Each newsletter also includes a sector focus, commodity pricing, comparable public company metrics, and key indices of the top agribusinesses.
Macroeconomic trends in Italy and in Trentino - Jasmine MondoloOECD CFE
Presentation by Jasmine Mondolo, Post-doc Research Fellow, School of International Studies, University of Trento, Italy at the sixth meeting of the Spatial productivity Lab of the OECD Trento Centre held on 11 December 2019.
More info http://oe.cd/SPL
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Construction and Building Materials | Q1 2020 |...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital's Construction Industry newsletter provides a broad range of specialized valuation and transaction advisory services to the construction industry, including residential, commercial, civil, paving, concrete, and more. Each issue includes a segment focus, market overview, mergers and acquisitions review, and more.
Monthly statistical e-bulletin comprising a quick review of the economy and about 30 tables and some charts with the latest available economic/financial market indicators, both Indian and Global.
Triggers to watch out for:
1. Breaking down GDP Numbers
2. Equity Valuations Update
3. Why ICICI Prudential Accrual Funds
4. Investment Philosophy
Have a detailed insight into a monthly equity and fixed income market outlook.
Read the full document to know more.
Ten years of job growth were wiped out in one month, when 20.8 million jobs were lost in April 2020. In comparison, a total of 8.7 million jobs were lost during the Great Recession. The economy added back 1.8 million jobs in July 2020, marketing the third consecutive month of jobs gains, yet remained 12.8 million jobs below the pre-pandemic level.
Faisal Basri, Economic Outlook 2018-2019: "Climbing Amid Global Turmoil"Muhammad Sirod
Faisal Basri, Economic Outlook 2018-2019: "Climbing Amid Global Turmoil"
> The Fed akan terus menaikkan suku bunga acuan sekali lagi tahun ini dan sekitar 3X tahun depan
> BI pun sudah menaikkan 7-day Repo Rate 5X pada era Gubernur BI yang baru
> LDR merangkak naik mendekati 100%, likuiditas perbankan semakin ketat
> Kenaikan utang pemerintah menyebabkan crowding-out effect
> Laju Inflasi akan lebih tinggi tahun depan karena penyesuaian harga BBM dan tarif listrik.
Basic introduction to IIP, importance and structure Trends of IIP in 2020Mohit Singla
Basic introduction to IIP, importance and structure
Contribution of different industries towards IIP
Trends of IIP in 2020 wrt. GDP
Pre Covid-19 Trends and Effects of Covid-19
An overview of india japan trade relation today and tomorrowmarketxceldata
Economic relations between India and Japan have vast potential for growth, given the obvious complementarities that exist between the two Asian economies. Japan's interest in India is increasing due to a variety of reasons including India's big and growing market and its resources, especially the human resources. The signing of the historic India-Japan Comprehensive Economic PartnershipAgreement (CEPA) and its implementation from August 2011 has accelerated economic and commercial relations between the two countries.
For Inquiry Visit Us: https://www.market-xcel.com/contact.html
On the domestic front, Indian equities corrected sharply post the FY20 Union Budget announcement on 5th July 2019 due to uncertainty emanating from a couple of proposals pertaining to: 1) Increase in taxes for FPIs accessing the Indian equity markets through the ‘Trust’ route; and 2) potential supply side pressures for equity markets (increase in free float requirement from 25% to 35% coupled with relaxation on minimum threshold of 51% Government ownership for PSUs including the shareholding of Government controlled institutions). Post the budget, equity and bond markets have witnessed divergent trends.
Read the full document to know more.
Union Budget- MACRO-ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK STATEMENT 2020-21
Highlights & Key features of budget 2020-21 pdf. Presented by Hon FM Nirmala Sitharaman
Sources: https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/doc/frbm1.pdf
Did you know total nonfarm payroll employment fell by 701,000 in March 2020, measuring the effects of COVID-19 and efforts to contain it? Employment in leisure and hospitality fell by 459,000, mainly in food services and drinking places. Notable declines also occurred in health care and social assistance, professional and business services, retail trade, and construction.
My late mother's spirits are consist of accepting her life destiny, hard work and patience, frugality, sacrificing her life for her offsprings, and harmony with people.
Yes of course, you can easily start mining pi network coin today and sell to legit pi vendors in the United States.
Here the telegram contact of my personal vendor.
@Pi_vendor_247
#pi network #pi coins #legit #passive income
#US
Even tho Pi network is not listed on any exchange yet.
Buying/Selling or investing in pi network coins is highly possible through the help of vendors. You can buy from vendors[ buy directly from the pi network miners and resell it]. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal vendor.
@Pi_vendor_247
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
Pi has not yet been launched on any exchange because we are currently using the confined Mainnet. The planned launch date for Pi is June 28, 2026.
Reselling to investors who want to hold until the mainnet launch in 2026 is currently the sole way to sell.
Consequently, right now. All you need to do is select the right pi network provider.
Who is a pi merchant?
An individual who buys coins from miners on the pi network and resells them to investors hoping to hang onto them until the mainnet is launched is known as a pi merchant.
debuts.
I'll provide you the Telegram username
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.DOT TECH
Where can I sell my pi coins at a high rate.
Pi is not launched yet on any exchange. But one can easily sell his or her pi coins to investors who want to hold pi till mainnet launch.
This means crypto whales want to hold pi. And you can get a good rate for selling pi to them. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor below.
A vendor is someone who buys from a miner and resell it to a holder or crypto whale.
Here is the telegram contact of my vendor:
@Pi_vendor_247
Lecture slide titled Fraud Risk Mitigation, Webinar Lecture Delivered at the Society for West African Internal Audit Practitioners (SWAIAP) on Wednesday, November 8, 2023.
Seminar: Gender Board Diversity through Ownership NetworksGRAPE
Seminar on gender diversity spillovers through ownership networks at FAME|GRAPE. Presenting novel research. Studies in economics and management using econometrics methods.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
1. eb.kdi.re.kr ISSN 2287-7266
Republic of Korea
Economic Bulletin
February 2020
Vol.42 No.2
The Green Book:
Current Economic Trends
Policy Issue
2020 Work Report
Statistical Appendices
Economic News Briefing
Government Posts a 2.1 Trillion Won
Surplus in 2019
Korea to Help Exporters Hit by COVID-19
Outbreak
External Debt Amounts to US $467.0
Billion in 2019
2. Dalmaji (seeing the first full moon of the year rising)
Painter unknown, kept in the National Folk Museum of Korea.
Old Koreans used to climb the hills near their neighborhoods to see the year’s first full
moon rise. They wanted to see the moon’s rise from the very beginning, believing that
this would make their wishes come true. Seeing the moon rising, people usually wished
for good luck all around the year and good harvest.
3. Contents
2020
February
Statistical Appendices45
02 The Green Book: Current Economic Trends
Overview 03
01. External economic situation 04
02. Private consumption 09
03. Facility investment 11
04. Construction investment 13
05. Exports and imports 15
06. Mining and manufacturing production 17
07. Service sector activity 19
08. Employment 21
09. Financial markets 25
9.1 Stock market 25
9.2 Exchange rate 25
9.3 Bond market 26
9.4 Money supply and money market 27
10. Balance of payments 28
11. Prices 30
11.1 Consumer prices 30
11.2 International oil and commodity prices 32
12. Real estate market 34
12.1 Housing market 34
12.2 Land market 36
13. Composite indices of business cycle indicators 38
42 Economic News Briefing
Government posts a 2.1 trillion won surplus in 2019
Korea to help exporters hit by COVID-19 outbreak
External debt amounts to US $467.0 billion in 2019
40 Policy Issue
2020 work report
Editor-in-Chief
Suh Joong-Hae (KDI)
Kim Yoon-Sang (MOEF)
Editorial Board
Suk Ran (MOEF)
Lee Jae-Yeal (KDI)
Yu Seong-Im (KDI)
Coordinators
Kim Dae-Hyun (MOEF)
Lee Hyun-Jin (KDI)
Editors
Shin Dong-Gyun (MOEF)
Joo Moo-Kyung (MOEF)
Republic of Korea
Economic Bulletin
4. 02
The Green Book
The
Green
Book:
Current Economic Trends
Overview
01 External economic situation
02 Private consumption
03 Facility investment
04 Construction investment
05 Exports and imports
06 Mining and manufacturing production
07 Service sector activity
08 Employment
09 Financial markets
10 Balance of payments
11 Prices
12 Real estate market
13 Composite indices of business cycle indicators
5. 03
Economic Bulletin February 2020
Mining and manufacturing, retail sales, facilities investment and construction
investment improved in December 2020. Services slowed somewhat.
Industrial production rose 1.4 percent from the previous month in December due to strong
mining and manufacturing (up 3.5%, m-o-m and up 4.2%, y-o-y). Services edged down
(down 0.1%, m-o-m and up 2.8%, y-o-y). Industrial production rose 3.2 percent year on year.
Retail sales (up 0.3%, m-o-m and up 4.6%, y-o-y), facilities investment (up 10.9%, m-o-m
and up 11.1%, y-o-y) and construction investment (up 4.1%, m-o-m and down 2.1%, y-o-y)
all improved from the previous month in December.
Exports continued to decline in January 2020, going down 6.1 percent year-on-year. The
decline, however, was due to fewer days worked (2.5 days). Average daily exports, an
indicator calculated according to the days worked, improved (US $1.92 billion (Jan 2019) →
US $2.02 billion (Jan 2020).
The consumer sentiment index (CSI) rose 3.7 points in January 2020 to 104.2. The business
sentiment index (BSI) for the manufacturing sector increased 2 points to 76, the outlook
for February improving 4 points to 77.
The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index in December improved 0.2 points
to 99.5, and the cyclical indicator of the leading composite index rose 0.4 points to 99.6.
The economy added 568,000 jobs year-on-year in January 2020 backed by the service
sector. The unemployment rate fell 0.4 percentage points from a year ago to 4.1 percent.
Consumer prices rose 1.5 percent year-on-year in January 2020. Fresh food prices turned
to an increase, petroleum prices staying on an upward track. Core inflation rose 0.9 percent.
KOSPI fell in January 2020. The won weakened and Korea treasury yields declined.
In January 2020, housing prices continued to rise (up 0.38% → up 0.28%, m-o-m), as well as
Jeonse (lump-sum deposits with no monthly payments) prices (up 0.22% → up 0.28%, m-o-m).
The economy has been recovering. Production, consumption and facilities investment
rose in the fourth quarter of 2019, and the cyclical indicators of both the coincident
composite and leading composite indexes improved in December.
Although there are signs of global economic recovery, such as rising DRAM contract prices
in January, uncertainties remain in the economy as to how COVID-19 will influence the
global economy, including the Chinese economy.
The government will continue to work to thoroughly control the disease and provide
support for businesses affected by the COVID-19 outbreak. The government will work to
successfully implement measures planned in the 2020 economic policies, those aimed at
the economy’s gaining recovery momentum through increased investment, consumption
and exports.
Overview
6. 04
The Green Book
The US economy grew 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019, expanding 2.3 percent
annually. Corporate investment and industrial production slowed in the fourth quarter.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 225,000 in January 2020 and the labor force participation
rate improved to 63.4 percent. The unemployment rate rose somewhat to 3.6 percent.
Labor force participation rate (%)
63.0 (Jul 2019) → 63.2 (Aug) → 63.2 (Sep) → 63.3 (Oct) → 63.2 (Nov) → 63.2 (Dec) → 63.4 (Jan 2020)
Nonfarm payroll increase (m-o-m, thousand)
194 (Jul 2019) → 207(Aug) → 208 (Sep) → 185 (Oct) → 261 (Nov) → 147 (Dec) → 225 (Jan 2020)
Unemployment rate (%)
4.0 (Jan 2019) → 3.8 (Feb) → 3.8 (Mar) → 3.6 (Apr) → 3.6 (May) → 3.7 (Jun) → 3.7 (Jul) → 3.7 (Aug) → 3.5
(Sep) → 3.6 (Oct) → 3.5 (Nov) → 3.5 (Dec) → 3.6 (Jan 2020)
Retail sales grew 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter, rising at a slower rate compared to the
previous quarter. Consumer confidence in January 2020 rebounded to 131.6.
Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index (1985=100)
135.8 (Jul 2019) → 134.2 (Aug) → 126.3 (Sep) → 126.1 (Oct) → 126.8 (Nov) → 128.2 (Dec) → 131.6 (Jan
2020)
Industrial production in the fourth quarter fell 0.1 percent from the previous quarter due
to the GM strikes. The ISM Manufacturing index rose above 50 in January 2020 backed by
the US-China phase-one trade agreement.
ISM Manufacturing Index (base=50)
51.3 (Jul 2019) → 48.8 (Aug) → 48.2 (Sep) → 48.5 (Oct) → 48.1 (Nov) → 47.8 (Dec) → 50.9 (Jan 2020)
Existing home sales rose 3.6 percent month-on-month in December to an annual rate of
5,540,000 homes (up 10.8%, y-o-y). New home sales fell 0.4 percent month-on-month to
an annual rate of 690,000 units (up 23.0%, y-o-y).
Case-Shiller Home Price Index (y-o-y, %)
3.4 (Jan 2019) → 2.8 (Feb) → 2.5 (Mar) → 2.5 (Apr) → 2.3 (May) → 2.1 (Jun) → 2.0 (Jul) → 2.0 (Aug) → 2.1
(Sep) → 2.2 (Oct) → 2.6 (Nov)
New home sales (m-o-m, %)
14.2 (Jan 2019) → 3.9 (Feb) → 3.6 (Mar) → -5.3 (Apr) → -8.8 (May) → 21.9 (Jun) → -9.5 (Jul) → 7.3 (Aug) →
2.4 (Sep) → -2.8 (Oct) → -1.1 (Nov) → -0.4 (Dec)
US
1. External economic situation
8. 06
The Green Book
China’s GDP growth and fixed asset investment
0
10
20
30
40
50
4
6
8
10
12
14
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
(%) (%)
Source: China National Bureau of Statistics
GDP (y-o-y, left) Fixed asset investment (accumulated, y-o-y,right)
China’s economy grew 6.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 from a year ago, the year
2019 posting a growth of 6.1 percent. The economy is expected to slow down in the first
quarter of 2020 due to the COVID-19 outbreak.
Exports (y-o-y, %)
9.3 (Jan 2019) → -20.7 (Feb) → 14.0 (Mar) → -2.7 (Apr) → 1.1 (May) → -1.5 (Jun) → 3.4 (Jul) → -1.0 (Aug)
→ -3.2 (Sep) → -0.8 (Oct) → -1.3 (Nov) → 7.9 (Dec)
Imports (y-o-y, %)
-0.9 (Jan 2019) → -4.4 (Feb) → -7.2 (Mar) → 4.5 (Apr) → -8.2 (May) → -6.8 (Jun) → -4.9 (Jul) → -5.5 (Aug)
→ -8.2 (Sep) → -6.2 (Oct) → 0.8 (Nov) → 16.5 (Dec)
China
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2017 2018 2019 2020
Annual Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Jan
Real GDP 6.9 6.7 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.5 6.1 6.4 6.2 6.0 6.0 -
Industrial production 6.6 6.2 6.8 6.6 6.0 5.7 5.7 6.5 5.6 5.0 5.9 -
Fixed asset investment
(accumulated, nominal)
7.2 5.9 7.5 6.0 5.4 5.9 5.4 6.3 5.8 5.4 5.4 -
Retail sales (nominal) 10.2 9.0 9.8 9.0 9.0 8.3 8.0 8.3 8.5 7.6 7.7 -
Exports 7.9 9.9 13.7 11.5 11.7 3.9 0.5 1.4 -1.0 -0.3 1.9 -
Consumer prices1
1.6 2.1 2.2 1.8 2.3 2.2 2.9 1.8 2.6 2.9 4.3 5.4
Producer prices1
6.3 3.5 3.7 4.1 4.1 2.3 -0.3 0.2 0.5 -0.8 -1.2 0.1
1. Quarterly data show an average of monthly data
Source: China National Bureau of Statistics
9. 07
Economic Bulletin February 2020
2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Real GDP 2.2 0.3 -0.5 0.5 -0.6 0.3 - 0.6 0.5 0.4 -
Industrial production 2.9 1.0 -0.9 0.8 -0.7 1.3 -2.4 -2.5 0.7 -0.5 -0.4
Retail sales (nominal) 1.2 1.7 -0.4 0.5 0.9 0.7 -2.8 -1.3 0.4 3.2 -6.1
Exports (y-o-y) 11.8 4.1 4.9 7.5 2.9 1.3 -5.6 -3.9 -5.6 -5.0 -7.8
Consumer prices (y-o-y) 0.5 1.0 1.3 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.5
Sources: Japan's Cabinet Office, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Ministry of Finance, Statistics Bureau of Japan
(Percentage change from previous period)
Japan’s GDP growth and industrial production
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
(%) (%)
Sources: Japan's Cabinet Office, Ministry of Economy Trade and Industry, Ministry of Finance, Statistics Bureau of Japan
GDP (q-o-q, left) Industrial production (q-o-q, right)
Japan’s job markets have been tight, the unemployment rate staying at 2.2 percent in
December 2019. Industrial production and retail sales fell in the fourth quarter of 2019 due
to the sale tax hike in October.
Unemployment rate (%)
2.5 (Jan 2019) → 2.3 (Feb) → 2.5 (Mar) → 2.4 (Apr) → 2.4 (May) → 2.3 (Jun) → 2.2 (Jul) → 2.2 (Aug) → 2.4
(Sep) → 2.4 (Oct) → 2.2 (Nov) → 2.2 (Dec)
Industrial production (y-o-y, %)
-4.3 (Mar 2019) → -1.1 (Apr) → -2.1 (May) → -3.8 (Jun) → 0.7 (Jul) → -4.7 (Aug) → 1.3 (Sep) → -7.7 (Oct)
→ -8.2 (Nov) → -3.0 (Dec)
Retail sales (y-o-y, %)
1.0 (Mar 2019) → 0.4 (Apr) → 1.3 (May) → 0.5 (Jun) → -2.0 (Jul) → 1.8 (Aug) → 9.1 (Sep) → -7.0 (Oct) → -2.1
(Nov) → -2.6 (Dec)
Japan
10. 08
The Green Book
Eurozone’s GDP growth and industrial production
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
(%) (%)
Source: Eurostat
GDP (q-o-q, left) Industrial production (q-o-q, right)
(Percentage change from previous period)
2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Oct Nov Dec
Real GDP 2.5 1.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 - - -
Industrial production 2.9 0.9 -1.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.8 -1.7 0.3 -0.8 -0.8 -1.4 -0.9 0.0 -2.1
Retail sales 2.5 1.6 0.1 0.9 -0.1 0.8 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 -0.1 0.8 -1.6
Exports (y-o-y) 7.1 4.0 2.5 4.6 5.1 4.0 - 3.7 2.1 3.2 - 4.4 -2.9 -
Consumer prices (y-o-y) 1.5 1.8 1.3 1.7 2.1 1.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.0 1.3
Sources: Eurostat, Bloomberg
The eurozone economy grew 0.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019, expanding
1.2 percent over the year, the slowest annual growth since the European debt crisis.
Manufacturing PMI remained below 50, continuing, though, an improving path since
September 2019 when the index hit 45.7.
Unemployment rate (%)
7.8 (Jan 2019) → 7.8 (Feb) → 7.7 (Mar) → 7.6 (Apr) → 7.6 (May) → 7.5 (Jun) → 7.6 (Jul) → 7.5 (Aug) → 7.5
(Sep) → 7.5 (Oct) → 7.5 (Nov) → 7.4 (Dec)
Manufacturing PMI (base=50)
50.5 (Jan 2019) → 49.3 (Feb) → 47.5 (Mar) → 47.9 (Apr) → 47.7 (May) → 47.6 (Jun) → 46.5 (Jul) → 47.0 (Aug)
→ 45.7 (Sep) → 45.9 (Oct) → 46.9 (Nov) → 46.3 (Dec) → 47.9 (Jan 2020)
Eurozone
11. 09
Economic Bulletin February 2020
(Percentage change from previous period)
2016 2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual1
Q11
Q21
Q31
Q41
Annual1
Q11
Q21
Q31
Q41
Private consumption2
2.6 2.8 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.6 2.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.9 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.7
(y-o-y) - - 2.1 2.7 3.0 3.2 - 3.6 2.9 2.3 2.4 - 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.7
1. Preliminary 2. National accounts Source: The Bank of Korea
Private consumption (preliminary) in the fourth quarter of 2019 rose 0.7 percent from the
previous quarter and 1.7 percent compared with a year ago.
Retail sales rose 0.3 percent from the previous month in December: Sales of semi-durable
goods (down 2.2%) and nondurable goods (down 0.6 %) declined, while durable goods sales
(up 3.9%) rose. The index increased 4.6 percent year-on-year.
2. Private consumption
2016 2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q41
Nov1
Dec1
Retail sales 3.9 1.9 4.3 2.1 0.6 -0.2 -0.1 2.4 1.3 1.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 0.3
(y-o-y) - - - 5.3 5.0 3.8 3.0 - 1.7 2.0 2.3 3.4 3.6 4.6
- Durable goods2
4.6 5.3 5.6 4.7 0.2 -2.6 0.3 1.8 2.0 -0.4 0.9 3.7 3.4 3.9
· Automobiles 2.8 0.9 8.2 10.1 1.0 -4.4 0.6 2.8 -1.1 1.0 6.0 6.0 6.3 7.6
- Semi-durable goods3
2.3 -1.1 5.9 0.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.6 -2.4 3.6 -1.9 -2.0 5.6 -2.2
- Nondurable goods4
4.2 1.8 2.9 1.5 -0.2 0.4 -0.5 3.3 2.5 0.4 0.7 1.6 1.9 -0.6
1. Preliminary
2. Durable goods: Automobiles, electronic appliances, furniture, telecommunications devices and etc.
3. Semi-durable goods: Clothing, footwear and etc.
4. Nondurable goods: Food, medicine, cosmetics, fuel, tobacco and etc.
Source: Statistics Korea
(Percentage change from previous period)
2019 2020
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Car sales at home (y-o-y, %) -4.9 -3.7 -6.8 7.3 -1.1 -0.9 6.6 -15.7
Department store sales (y-o-y, %) 2.6 -3.4 4.5 -5.1 -3.7 3.3 -3.3 -0.3
Large discount store sales (y-o-y, %) -2.1 -10.7 0.4 -7.7 -3.2 2.5 -5.9 7.3
Online sales (y-o-y, %) 3.7 1.7 9.2 4.3 5.4 2.9 5.1 3.3
Credit card use at home (y-o-y, %) 4.6 3.8 6.3 6.4 4.6 7.6 9.6 3.9
Consumer sentiment index 97.6 95.9 92.4 97.0 98.6 101.0 100.5 104.2
Number of Chinese tourists (y-o-y, %) 25.0 26.6 26.9 24.9 24.2 30.0 26.9 23.81
1. An advance estimate based on all Chinese entries, which can be different from the statistic released by the Ministry of Culture,
Sports and Tourism as it excludes diplomatic and military personnel
Sources: Bank of Korea, Credit Finance Association of Korea, Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association, data provided by retail
industries
In January, online sales, large discount store sales and the number of Chinese tourists
increased, while car sales at home and department store sales fell.
13. 11
Economic Bulletin February 2020
2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Oct Nov1
Dec1
Domestic machinery
orders received
19.7 1.9 7.6 1.0 -1.0 0.2 4.4 -2.8 0.5 -0.6 1.4 17.9 40.9
(q-o-q, m-o-m) - - -3.5 2.9 0.4 0.6 - -5.8 4.9 -1.8 0.4 6.0 46.9
-Public -20.8 8.8 -12.7 18.8 7.3 26.5 -8.1 -37.4 -38.4 -46.6 -49.5 63.4 136.0
-Private 24.6 1.4 9.6 -0.3 -1.5 -1.9 5.5 -0.1 3.7 2.6 6.5 16.6 25.1
Machinery imports 18.8 -0.9 21.0 -1.2 -13.1 -8.2 -12.2 -25.5 -13.0 -4.9 -12.0 -6.3 11.4
Capacity utilization rate
(% to potential outcome)
73.3 73.5 72.8 73.9 74.2 73.1 72.9 71.8 72.3 74.6 73.2 71.9 74.3
Facility investment pressure2
1.1 1.4 -1.2 2.3 0.1 4.9 0.5 -1.7 0.2 1.2 0.0 1.0 5.6
1. Preliminary
2. Production growth rate minus production capacity growth rate in the manufacturing sector (%p)
Sources: Statistics Korea, Korea International Trade Association
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
(Percentage change from previous period)
2017 2018 2019
Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual1
Q11
Q21
Q31
Q41
Annual1
Q11
Q21
Q31
Q41
Private consumption2
16.5 4.6 5.1 1.5 -1.2 -2.4 4.3 -8.4 -4.0 3.2 -8.1 -9.1 3.2 0.6 1.5
(y-o-y) - 19.8 19.2 17.4 10.4 - 10.2 -4.3 -9.4 -5.3 - -17.4 -7.0 -2.6 -4.2
- Machinery 23.0 10.4 0.8 4.9 -0.9 -5.0 5.7 -11.1 -7.9 0.1 - -5.0 -0.4 -2.6 -
-Transportation equipment -1.9 -12.9 21.5 -9.2 -2.2 6.7 -0.5 1.6 9.2 12.1 - -19.5 13.9 8.6 -
1. Preliminary 2. National accounts Source: Bank of Korea
(Percentage change from previous period)
2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Oct Nov1
Dec1
Facility investment index 14.5 -3.5 6.0 -8.7 -5.4 -1.1 -7.6 -5.4 1.2 1.2 -0.5 0.8 10.9
(y-o-y) - - 10.6 -4.8 -11.8 -6.6 - -19.6 -8.7 -3.7 -3.5 -0.1 11.1
- Machinery 20.0 -5.2 6.5 -8.6 -6.6 -2.9 -8.8 -4.0 2.0 -0.8 -1.9 -0.9 9.1
- Transportation equipment -0.1 1.7 4.7 -8.9 -1.6 4.4 -4.1 -9.6 -1.2 6.9 3.6 5.2 15.7
1. Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
Facility investment (advance estimate of GDP) in the fourth quarter of 2019 rose 1.5
percent quarter-on-quarter and fell 4.2 percent year-on-year.
3. Facility investment
The facility investment index in December rose 10.9 percent month-on-month as
investment in machinery and transportation equipment increased. The index rose 11.1
percent year-on-year.
Leading indicators improved in December 2019, such as domestic machinery orders
received, machinery imports, capacity utilization rates and facility investment pressure.
The BSI outlook in the manufacturing sector has been on the rise since December.
BSI outlook in the manufacturing sector (base=100, Bank of Korea)
76 (Mar 2019) → 76 (Apr) → 77 (May) → 73 (Jun) → 75 (Jul) → 71 (Aug) → 72 (Sep) → 73 (Oct) → 72 (Nov)
→ 71 (Dec) → 73 (Jan 2020) → 77 (Feb)
14. 12
The Green Book
Facility investment
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
2009.Q1 2010.Q1 2011.Q1 2012.Q1 2013.Q1 2014.Q1 2015.Q1 2016.Q1 2017.Q1 2018.Q1 2019.Q1
(%)
Source: Bank of Korea (national accounts)
Facility investment (y-o-y) Facility investment (q-o-q)
Leading indicators of facility investment
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2009.Q1 2010.Q1 2011.Q1 2012.Q1 2013.Q1 2014.Q1 2015.Q1 2016.Q1 2017.Q1 2018.Q1 2019.Q1
(trillion won) (y-o-y, %)
Sources: Statistics Korea (machinery orders), Korea International Trade Association (machinery imports)
Machinery imports (right) Machinery orders (left)
Facility investment by type
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
2009.Q1 2010.Q1 2011.Q1 2012.Q1 2013.Q1 2014.Q1 2015.Q1 2016.Q1 2017.Q1 2018.Q1 2019.Q1
(y-o-y, %)
Source: Bank of Korea (national accounts)
Transportation equipment Machinery
15. 13
Economic Bulletin February 2020
2017 2018 2019
Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual1
Q11
Q21
Q31
Q41
Annual1
Q11
Q21
Q31
Q41
Construction investment2
7.3 3.4 1.2 0.1 -1.5 -4.3 0.9 -2.5 -6.0 1.8 -3.3 -0.8 1.4 -6.0 6.3
(y-o-y) - 10.7 9.6 6.9 3.1 - 1.2 -2.5 -8.7 -5.7 - -7.2 -3.5 -3.7 0.5
- Building construction 12.4 3.9 2.1 2.0 -1.5 -3.8 0.2 -2.4 -5.5 0.7 - -0.7 -0.6 -6.4 -
- Civil engineering works -4.7 2.0 -1.0 -5.0 -1.5 -5.7 2.9 -2.8 -7.4 5.1 - -1.2 6.9 -4.9 -
1. Preliminary 2. National accounts Source: Bank of Korea
(Percentage change from previous period)
2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Oct Nov1
Dec1
Construction completed (constant) 10.5 -5.3 0.8 -4.1 -3.8 -3.7 -6.7 1.8 -1.8 -4.3 2.7 -2.1 4.1
(y-o-y) - - 0.8 -3.5 -9.7 -7.9 - -9.5 -6.4 -7.9 -3.5 -4.8 -2.1
- Building construction 18.5 -4.0 0.6 -2.9 -4.4 -3.8 -9.4 2.2 -4.5 -6.1 4.0 -3.6 5.5
- Civil engineering works -7.6 -8.9 1.5 -7.6 -2.2 -3.5 1.6 0.5 6.6 0.6 -0.6 1.8 0.6
1. Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
(Percentage change from previous period)
2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Oct Nov1
Dec1
Construction orders
received (current value)
-1.7 -2.2 14.4 -12.4 -10.0 2.1 5.4 -4.2 -2.3 -0.2 50.5 16.3 13.2
(q-o-q, m-o-m) - - 3.2 -7.8 -4.0 3.2 - 4.1 -8.2 -0.1 -5.1 -11.5 13.0
- Building construction -4.7 -7.7 14.9 -10.5 -28.2 -1.9 5.6 -4.9 0.3 5.1 43.3 8.7 8.1
- Civil engineering works 9.6 15.6 13.3 -18.8 65.7 16.8 4.9 -2.6 -11.4 -10.3 84.6 48.0 25.0
Building permits2
-4.0 -6.3 3.7 -7.2 -10.2 -10.4 -10.4 -12.6 -18.3 -12.2 9.5 -11.1 8.3
Apartment presales (thousand)3
327 297 50 111 66 71 342 53 93 76 41 34 45
1. Preliminary 2. Floor area 3. Number of apartments sold for the period
Sources: Statistics Korea, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Real Estate 114
(Percentage change from same period in previous year, housing units)
Construction investment (advance estimate of GDP) in the fourth quarter of 2019 rose 6.3
percent quarter-on-quarter and 0.5 percent year-on-year.
4. Construction investment
Construction completed (constant) rose 4.1 percent month-on-month in December 2019
as both building construction and civil engineering works increased. The index fell 2.1
percent year-on-year.
Leading indicators improved in December 2019, such as construction orders received,
apartment presales and building permits. Government spending on SOC is expected to
increase in 2020.
Government SOC budgets (trillion won)
19.0 (2018) → 19.8 (2019) → 23.2 (2020)
16. 14
The Green Book
Construction investment
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2009.Q1 2010.Q1 2011.Q1 2012.Q1 2013.Q1 2014.Q1 2015.Q1 2016.Q1 2017.Q1 2018.Q1 2019.Q1
(%)
Source: Bank of Korea (national accounts)
Construction investment (y-o-y) Construction investment (q-o-q)
Construction investment by type
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
2009.Q1 2010.Q1 2011.Q1 2012.Q1 2013.Q1 2014.Q1 2015.Q1 2016.Q1 2017.Q1 2018.Q1 2019.Q1
(y-o-y, %)
Source: Bank of Korea (national accounts)
Building construction Civil engineering worksResidential buildings
Leading indicators of construction investment
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2019.1
(y-o-y, %)
Sources: Statistics Korea (construction orders), Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (building permit area)
Construction orders Building permit area
17. 15
Economic Bulletin February 2020
(US $ billion)
2017 2018 2019 2020
Annual Annual Annual Q1 Jan Q2 Q3 Q4 Nov Dec Jan¹
Exports 573.69 604.86 542.33 132.66 46.17 138.50 134.75 136.43 44.05 45.71 43.35
(y-o-y, %) 15.8 5.4 -10.3 -8.5 -6.2 -8.7 -12.3 -11.7 -14.4 -5.2 -6.1
Average daily exports 2.13 2.24 1.99 2.03 1.92 2.02 1.95 1.96 1.87 1.99 2.02
1. Preliminary Source: Korea Customs Service
(US $ billion)
2017 2018 2019 2020
Annual Annual Annual Q1 Jan Q2 Q3 Q4 Nov Dec Jan¹
Imports 478.48 535.20 503.26 123.73 45.13 128.78 124.94 125.81 40.72 43.70 42.73
(y-o-y, %) 17.8 11.9 -6.0 -6.6 -1.5 -3.3 -4.1 -9.7 -13.0 -0.7 -5.3
Average daily imports 1.78 1.98 1.85 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.81 1.81 1.73 1.90 1.99
1. Preliminary Source: Korea Customs Service
Exports (preliminary) decreased 6.1 percent year-on-year to US $43.35 billion in January.
Byitem,vesselsandcomputersrose,whilepetroleumproducts,semiconductors,machinery,
automobiles and petrochemicals fell. By region, shipments to the ASEAN countries
increased, while exports to Japan, the US, the Middle East, China, the EU and Latin America
declined.
Export growth by item (y-o-y, %)
59.0 (vessels), 43.7 (computers), -2.2 (petroleum products), -3.4 (semiconductors), -4.8 (machinery),
-17.1 (petrochemicals), -22.2 (automobiles)
Export growth by region (y-o-y, %)
9.9 (ASEAN countries), -6.4 (Japan), -7.0 (US), -9.9 (Middle East), -10.5 (China), -16.2 (EU), -30.3 (Latin
America)
Average daily exports, an indicator calculated according to the days worked, rose 4.8
percent year-on-year to US $2.02 billion.
Growth in average daily exports (y-o-y, %)
-6.5 (Q1 2019) → -12.0 (Q2) → -14.2 (Q3) → -11.7 (Q4) → -12.6 (Nov 2019) → -7.2 (Dec) → 4.8 (Jan 2020)
5. Exports and imports
Imports (preliminary) in January fell 5.3 percent year-on-year to US $42.73 billion.
Consumer and capital goods imports dropped, and commodities imports continued to
decline.
Import growth by category (y-o-y, %, Dec 2019 → Jan 2020)
10.0 → -8.9 (consumer goods), -4.9 → -3.3 (commodities), 0.9 → -6.7 (capital goods)
18. 16
The Green Book
Exports by item
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(y-o-y, %)
Sources: Korea Customs Service, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (export and import trends)
Export growth rate Semiconductors SteelAutomobiles
Imports by category
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(y-o-y, %)
Sources: Korea Customs Service, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (export and import trends)
Import growth rate Capital goodsCommodities
(US $ billion)
2017 2018 2019 2020
Annual Annual Annual Q1 Jan Q2 Q3 Q4 Nov Dec Jan1
Trade balance 95.22 69.66 39.07 8.93 1.04 9.71 9.81 10.62 3.33 2.02 0.62
1. Preliminary Source: Korea Customs Service
The trade balance (preliminary) posted a surplus of US $0.62 billion in January, staying in
the black for the 96th
consecutive month. Surpluses decreased month-on-month.
19. 17
Economic Bulletin February 2020
(Percentage change from previous period)
2018 2019
Annual Q4 Dec Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q41
Nov1
Dec1
Mining and
manufacturing2
(q-o-q, m-o-m) - -1.5 -0.8 - -2.9 1.4 2.0 0.3 -0.5 3.5
(y-o-y) 1.3 4.3 0.7 -0.7 -2.1 -0.7 -0.7 0.6 -0.2 4.2
Manufacturing
Production
(q-o-q, m-o-m) - -1.4 -0.9 - -3.0 1.6 1.9 0.6 -0.7 3.8
(y-o-y) 1.2 4.6 1.2 -0.7 -2.1 -0.8 -0.6 0.8 0.0 4.8
Inventory3
8.0 5.7 -2.7 -1.8 -1.6 3.2 0.9 -3.8 -1.1 -2.7
Shipments -0.2 -1.5 -1.6 -1.0 -1.9 0.0 2.7 -0.6 -1.7 4.5
Capacity utilization rate 73.5 73.1 72.2 72.9 71.8 72.3 74.6 73.1 71.9 74.3
Production capacity (y-o-y) -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -1.2 -0.4 -1.1 -1.8 -1.3 -1.0 -0.9
1. Preliminary
2. Including mining, manufacturing, and electricity and gas supply
3. End-period
Source: Statistics Korea
Mining and manufacturing rose 3.5 percent month-on-month in December: Mining and
manufacturing improved, and gas and electricity production fell. Year-on-year, the index
rose 4.2 percent.
Compared to the previous month, mechanical equipment (up 12.6%), electrical equipment
(up 8.9%) and automobiles (up 3.4%) rose, while broadcasting and communications
equipment (down 9.7%), primary metals (down 0.5%), and audiovisual equipment (down
1.7%) declined.
Compared to a year ago, semiconductors (up 33.8%), mechanical equipment (up 15.7%)
and other transportation equipment (up 9.4%) rose, while electronic parts (down 13.8%),
automobiles (down 4.9%), and rubber and plastics (down 4.8%) declined.
The manufacturing inventory-shipment ratio fell 7.9 percentage points month-on-month
to 107.8 percent as inventories fell 2.7 percent and shipments rose 4.5 percent.
Inventories of automobiles (up 3.7%), processed metals (up 4.2%), and broadcasting
and communications equipment (up 8.6%) rose, while semiconductors (down 13.3%),
mechanical equipment (down 7.1%) and primary metals (down 3.9%) declined.
Shipments of semiconductors (up 13.5%), mechanical equipment (up 11.1%) and chemical
products (up 4.7%) rose, while broadcasting and communications equipment (down 25.9%),
shoes and leather (down 7.1%), and clothing and furs (down 0.4%) fell.
The capacity utilization rate of the manufacturing sector improved 2.4 percentage points
from the previous month to 74.3 percent.
6. Mining and manufacturing production
25. 23
Economic Bulletin February 2020
2018 2019 2020
Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual Q1 Jan Q2 Q3 Q4 Dec Jan
Number of unemployed
(thousand)
1,073 1,181 1,105 1,065 942 1,063 1,241 1,224 1,176 946 891 942 1,153
Unemployment growth
(y-o-y, thousand)
50 19 31 102 50 -10 61 204 71 -119 -51 -3 -71
- Male 23 13 15 42 24 -3 38 112 53 -66 -39 -51 -67
- Female 27 6 17 60 25 -6 22 92 18 -53 -12 48 -4
Unemployment rate (%) 3.8 4.3 3.9 3.8 3.4 3.8 4.5 4.5 4.1 3.3 3.1 3.4 4.1
(Seasonally adjusted) 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.9 4.3 4.0 3.5 3.6 3.7 4.0
- 15 to 29 9.5 10.0 10.1 9.4 8.3 8.9 9.7 8.9 10.6 8.1 7.1 7.3 7.7
- 30 to 39 3.4 3.3 3.6 3.6 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.0 3.8 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.9
- 40 to 49 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.0
- 50 to 59 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.5 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.8
- 60 and above 3.1 5.4 2.5 2.3 2.4 3.4 5.7 7.4 3.1 2.3 2.8 4.2 7.1
Source: Statistics Korea
2018 2019 2020
Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual Q1 Jan Q2 Q3 Q4 Dec Jan
Economically inactive
population (million)
16.29 16.62 16.02 16.13 16.38 16.32 16.67 16.86 16.03 16.22 16.35 16.57 16.71
Labor force
participation rate (%)
63.1 62.3 63.7 63.5 63.0 63.3 62.4 61.9 63.9 63.6 63.4 62.9 62.6
(Seasonally adjusted) 63.1 63.2 63.1 63.1 63.2 63.3 63.3 63.5 63.3 63.2 63.5 63.7 64.1
Growth in economically
inactive population
(y-o-y, thousand)
104 68 110 126 112 31 44 23 18 90 -29 -168 -151
- Childcare -76 -80 -87 -86 -50 -15 -26 -40 -11 -1 -24 -27 8
- Housework 76 52 85 94 75 -137 -88 -65 -143 -150 -169 -213 -225
- Education -106 -58 -62 -128 -176 -127 -141 -158 -146 -92 -131 -138 -132
- Old age 15 35 6 16 4 3 28 22 -4 -3 -11 -35 -35
- Rest 118 107 127 137 103 238 152 133 224 299 277 193 195
- Job seeking 24 15 17 2 64 54 107 101 52 41 19 22 -24
Source: Statistics Korea
The number of unemployed persons in January 2020 fell 71,000 year-on-year to 1,153,000,
and the unemployment rate declined 0.4 percentage points to 4.1 percent.
The unemployment rate fell in all age groups from a year ago.
The economically inactive population in January 2020 decreased 151,000 from a year earlier
to 16,713,000, and the labor force participation rate rose 0.7 percentage points to 62.6
percent.
The number of persons economically inactive due to rest (up 195,000) increased, and those
due to education (down 132,000) and housework (down 225,000) decreased. Job seekers
went down by 24,000.
26. 24
The Green Book
Employment rate
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(%)
Source: Statistics Korea (Employment trends)
Seasonally adjusted rate Original data
Unemployment rate
2
3
4
5
6
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(%)
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)
Seasonally adjusted rate Original data
Labor force participation rate
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(%)
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)
Seasonally adjusted rate Original data
27. 25
Economic Bulletin February 2020
Stock prices
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
1,800
2,100
2,400
2,700
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(monthly average, points)
Source: Korea Exchange
KOSPI KOSDAQ
KOSPI KOSDAQ
Dec 2019 Jan 2020 Change1
Dec 2019 Jan 2020 Change1
Stock price index (points) 2,197.70 2,119.0 -79 (-3.6%) 669.8 642.5 -27.3 (-4.1%)
Market capitalization (trillion won) 1,475.9 1,427.0 -49 (-3.3%) 241.3 232.5 -8.8 (-3.6%)
Daily trade (trillion won) 5.1 6.4 1.3 (25.5%) 4.1 5.4 1 (32%)
Foreign stock ownership (%, %p) 38.18 38.95 0.77 (2%) 10.52 10.57 0.05 (0%)
1. Change from the end of the previous month as of end-January 2020 Source: Korea Exchange
(Closing rate)
9.1 Stock market
In January 2020 KOSPI and KOSDAQ fell 3.6 percent and 4.1 percent, respectively, from the
previous month due to concerns over the COVID-19 outbreak.
9. Financial markets
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Jan Change²
Dollar-Won 1,099.3 1,172.5 1,207.7 1,070.5 1,115.7 1,156.4 1,191.8 -3.0
100 Yen-Won 913.0 974.1 1,035.4 949.3 1,008.9 1,059.8 1,093.1 -3.1
1. The exchange rate is based on the closing price at 3:30 p.m., local time.
2. Appreciation from the end of the previous month as of January 2020 (%) Source: Bank of Korea
(Closing rate¹)
9.2 Exchange rate
The dollar-won exchange rate rose to 1,191.8 won in January 2020 as the COVID-19
outbreak curbed risk appetite.
The 100 yen-won exchange rate rose to 1,093.1 won due to a strong yen.
28. 26
The Green Book
Foreign exchange rates
800
1,000
900
1,200
1,100
1,400
1,300
1,600
1,500
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(month-end, ₩)
Source: Bank of Korea
Dollar-Won 100 Yen-Won
Interest rates
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(monthly average, yearly, %)
Source: Bank of Korea
Overnight call rate (daily) 3-yr corporate bond yield3-yr Treasury bond yield
9.3 Bond market
Korea treasury yields fell in January 2020 as investors turned to the safety of sovereign
debt after the COVID-19 outbreak.
Yield to maturity (m-o-m, basis points)
-6 (3 yrs), -10 (5 yrs), -13 (10 yrs), -10 (20 yrs), -10 (30 yrs)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Oct Nov Dec Jan Change1
Call rate (1 day) 2.52 2.03 1.52 1.27 1.58 1.89 1.29 1.28 1.39 1.25 -14
CD (91 days) 2.66 2.13 1.67 1.52 1.66 1.93 1.44 1.53 1.53 1.42 -11
Treasury bonds (3 yrs) 2.86 2.10 1.66 1.64 2.14 1.82 1.47 1.39 1.36 1.30 -6
Corporate bonds (3 yrs) 3.29 2.43 2.11 2.13 2.68 2.29 1.97 1.92 1.94 1.90 -4
Treasury bonds (5 yrs) 3.23 2.28 1.81 1.80 2.34 1.88 1.58 1.48 1.48 1.38 -10
1. Basis points, change from the previous month as of end-January 2020 Source: Bank of Korea
(Closing rate, %)
29. 27
Economic Bulletin February 2020
(Percentage change from same period in previous year, average)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Sep Oct Nov Dec1
Dec2
M13
3.8 9.5 10.9 18.6 15.4 9.2 4.9 5.0 5.3 7.0 9.6 927.1
M2 5.2 4.8 6.6 8.6 7.3 5.5 6.3 7.6 7.5 7.7 7.9 2,912.4
Lf4
7.8 6.9 7.0 9.7 8.1 6.7 7.0 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.2 4,121.8
1. Preliminary
2. Balance at end-December 2019, trillion won
3. M1 excludes corporate MMFs and individual MMFs, and includes CMAs
4. Liquidity aggregates of financial institutions (mostly identical with M3)
Source: Bank of Korea
9.4 Money supply and money market
M2 (monthly average) in December 2019 rose 7.9 percent from a year ago, continuing to
expand since September 2017.
Bank deposits fell at a faster rate in January (down 0.2 trillion won → down 15.1 trillion won):
Time deposits increased somewhat (down 27.3 trillion won → up 1.5 trillion won). Instant
access deposits declined (up 33.4 trillion won → down 17.4 trillion won) due to value added
tax payments.
Asset management company (AMC) deposits surged (down 8.1 trillion won → up 22.9 trillion
won). MMFs rebounded (down 15.8 trillion won → up 23.5 trillion won) as bank funds and
Treasury funds flowed back in, which had been withdrawn to meet year-end requirements.
Bond funds increased (down 2.9 trillion won → up 1.0 trillion won) and stock funds declined
(up 6.3 trillion won → down 2.8 trillion won), as risk appetite weakened.
(Change from the end of the previous period, trillion won)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan1
Bank deposits 37.0 41.0 115.4 100.3 80.8 79.5 91.6 5.7 4.8 30.3 -0.2 -15.1 1,734.2
AMC deposits 18.8 17.7 42.4 44.4 47.6 27.9 53.8 -4.0 17.2 9.6 -8.1 22.9 672.6
1. Balance at end-January 2020 Source: Bank of Korea
Total money supply
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2019.1
(y-o-y, monthly average balance, %)
Source: Bank of Korea
Reserve money LfM1
30. 28
The Green Book
(US $ billion)
2018 2019
Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Dec Annual1
Q11
Q21
Q31
Q41
Dec1
Current account 77.47 10.99 18.26 28.69 19.52 4.91 59.97 12.19 10.45 19.20 18.13 4.33
- Goods balance 110.09 21.35 29.37 34.72 24.66 6.66 76.86 19.52 17.38 19.51 20.45 5.03
- Services balance -29.37 -9.69 -6.13 -7.44 -6.10 -1.85 -23.02 -7.18 -4.36 -5.37 -6.12 -2.50
- Primary income
balance
4.90 2.09 -3.00 3.18 2.64 0.88 12.20 1.52 -0.82 6.03 5.47 2.06
- Secondary
income balance
-8.15 -2.75 -1.96 -1.77 -1.67 -0.74 -6.06 -1.67 -1.75 -0.97 -1.67 -0.87
1. Preliminary Source: Bank of Korea
Korea’s current account (preliminary) posted a surplus of US $4.33 billion in December 2019.
Goods account surpluses decreased compared to a year ago from US $6.63 billion to US $5.03
billion.
Growth in goods exports (US $ billion, Dec 2018 → Dec 2019)
49.77 → 48.04 (-3.5%)
Growth in goods imports (US $ billion, Dec 2018 → Dec 2019)
43.15 → 43.01 (-0.3%)
Export growth by item in December (y-o-y, %, customs clearance basis)
0.3 (automobiles), -6.7 (petroleum products), -5.8 (petrochemicals), -17.7 (semiconductors), -57.9 (vessels)
Import growth by category in December (y-o-y, %, customs clearance basis)
10.0 (consumer goods), -4.9 (commodities), 0.9 (capital goods)
Services account deficits increased year-on-year from US $1.85 billion to US $2.50 billion.
Services balance (US $ billion, Dec 2018 → Dec 2019)
-1.46 → -1.13 (travel), 0.06 → -0.29 (transportation), 1.16 → 1.04 (construction), -0.02 → -0.23 (intellectual
property rights), -0.59 → -0.47 (manufacturing), -1.05 → -1.35 (others)
Surpluses increased in the primary income account from US $0.88 billion to US $2.68 billion
year-on-year. Deficits in the secondary income account increased from US $0.74 billion to
US $0.87 billion.
10. Balance of payments
The capital and financial account in December 2019 (preliminary) posted an outflow of
US $5.71 billion.
Net flows in capital financial account* (US $ billion)
8.51 (Aug 2018) → 9.88 (Sep) → 10.66 (Oct) → 3.41 (Nov) → 6.66 (Dec) → 4.17 (Aug 2019) → 6.07 (Sep) →
10.24 (Oct) → 5.34 (Nov) → 5.71 (Dec)
* Positive figures represent net outflows, and negative figures represent net inflows.
31. 29
Economic Bulletin February 2020
Net outflows in foreign direct investment (FDI) decreased from a year earlier (US $1.97
billion → US $0.76 billion): Inbound FDI (US $1.31 inflows → US $3.40 billion inflows) grew
faster than Korean FDI (US $3.28 billion outflows → US $4.16 billion outflows).
Net outflows in portfolio investment increased from a year earlier (US $7.21 billion → US $9.24
billion): Foreign investment in Korean shares (US $1.66 billion outflows → US $5.51 billion
outflows) declined faster than Korean investment in foreign shares (US $5.55 billion outflows
→ US $3.73 billion outflows).
Net outflows in financial derivatives investment increased from a year earlier (US $0.15
billion → US $0.22 billion). Net inflows in other investment increased (US $3.31 billion →
US $3.96 billion).
Current account surpluses are expected to decrease month-on-month in January given a
fall in trade surpluses (US $2.0 billion → US $0.6 billion).
Current account balance
-6
-3
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2019.1
(US $ billion)
Source: Bank of Korea (balance of payments trends)
Current account Services accountGoods account
Capital financial account balance
-12
-9
-6
-3
0
3
6
9
12
15
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2019.1
(US $ billion)
Source: Bank of Korea (balance of payments trends)
Capital financial account Financial derivativesDirect investmentPortfolio investment
32. 30
The Green Book
(Percentage change)
2019 2020
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Consumerpriceinflation(m-o-m) -0.1 0.4 -0.2 0.4 0.2 -0.2 -0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 -0.6 0.2 0.6
(y-o-y) 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.0 -0.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5
Source: Statistics Korea
Total
Farm and fishery
products
Manufactured
products
Public
utilities
Housing
rents
Public
services
Personal
services
Oil
products
Dec 2019 (y-o-y, %) 0.7 -0.8 1.1 3.8 1.5 -0.2 -0.9 1.6
Jan 2020 (y-o-y, %) 1.5 2.5 2.3 12.4 1.5 -0.2 -0.5 1.7
- Contribution (%p) - 0.19 0.76 0.49 0.06 -0.01 -0.07 0.55
Source: Statistics Korea
Consumer price inflation in major sectors
11.1 Consumer prices
Consumer prices in January 2020 rose 0.6 percent from the previous month and
increased 1.5 percent from a year ago.
11. Prices
Farm and fishery product prices rose 2.5 percent year-on-year.
Farm and fishery product prices in January (y-o-y, %)
1.0 (crops), 3.4 (animal products), 6.0 (fishery products)
Crop prices (y-o-y, %)
14.8 (Nov 2018) → 10.7 (Dec) → 6.6 (Jan 2019) → -5.8 (Nov) → -4.0 (Dec) → 1.0 (Jan 2020)
Domestic oil prices rose (up 3.8% in December 2019 → up 12.4% in January 2020, y-o-y)
in line with rising international oil prices, as well as due to a low base effect from a year
ago of fuel tax cuts.
Public service prices continued to decline (down 0.9% in December 2019 → down 0.5% in
January 2020, y-o-y).
Personal service prices rose at a steady rate (up 1.6% in December 2019 → up 1.7% in
January 2020, y-o-y).
Core inflation, which excludes crops and oil products, rose at a faster rate in January (up
0.7% in December 2019 → up 0.9% in January 2020, y-o-y).
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2019 2020
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Consumer prices excluding crops and oil products 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.9
Consumer prices excluding food and energy 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8
Source: Statistics Korea
33. 31
Economic Bulletin February 2020
The basic necessities cost index (up 1.1% in December 2019 → up 2.1% in January 2020,
y-o-y) and the fresh food price index (down 2.2% in December 2019 → up 4.1% in January
2020, y-o-y) rose in January.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2019 2020
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Consumer prices for basic necessities 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 -0.4 -0.9 -0.3 0.2 1.1 2.1
Fresh food prices -5.2 -3.0 -2.7 -2.1 0.0 -1.6 -13.9 -15.3 -7.8 -5.3 -2.2 4.1
Source: Statistics Korea
Prices
-6
-3
0
3
6
9
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(y-o-y, %)
Sources: Statistics Korea (consumer price trends), Bank of Korea (producer prices)
Consumer price inflation Producer price inflationCore inflation
Contribution to consumer price inflation
-1
1
0
3
2
5
4
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20192018
(%p)
Source: Statistics Korea (consumer price trends)
Manufactured productsPublic utilities
Agricultural, livestock fishery products
Public services Housing rentsPersonal services
34. 32
The Green Book
(US $/barrel, period average)
2018 2019 2020
Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Oct Nov Dec Jan
Dubai crude 69.7 64.0 72.1 74.2 68.3 63.4 67.6 61.3 62.1 59.4 62.0 64.9 64.3
WTI crude 64.9 62.9 67.9 69.4 59.3 54.9 59.9 56.4 56.9 54.0 57.1 59.8 57.5
Brent crude 71.7 67.2 75.0 75.8 68.6 63.8 68.5 62.0 62.4 59.6 62.7 65.2 63.7
Source: Korea National Oil Corporation
(Won/liter, period average)
2018 2019 2020
Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Oct Nov Dec Jan
Gasoline prices 1,581 1,558 1,580 1,622 1,565 1,355 1,487 1,505 1,542 1,540 1,536 1,548 1,568
Diesel prices 1,392 1,353 1,380 1,423 1,411 1,254 1,361 1,361 1,385 1,388 1,381 1,385 1,398
Source: Korea National Oil Corporation
11.2 International oil and commodity prices
International oil prices fell in January 2020 on concerns that the COVID-19 outbreak may
shrink oil demand.
Dubai crude (US $/barrel)
67.1 (1st
week January) → 67.9 (2nd
week) → 65.0 (3rd
week) → 63.8 (4th
week) → 58.5 (5th
week)
Domestic gasoline prices rose in January due to the time lag (two weeks) between
domestic and international oil prices.
Domestic gasoline prices (won/liter)
1,559 (1st
week January) → 1,565 (2nd
week) → 1,571 (3rd
week) → 1,571 (4th
week) → 1,570 (5th
week)
Dubai crude (US $/barrel)
66.1 (3rd
week December) → 67.1 (4th
week) → 67.1 (1st
week January) → 67.9 (2nd
week) → 65.0 (3rd
week)
International corn and soybean prices rose on expectations for rising demand after the
US-China phase-one trade deal, and wheat prices went up on supply concerns.
International grain prices in January (monthly average prices, m-o-m, %)
0.7 (corn), 4.9 (wheat), 0.9 (soybeans)
Copper and nickel prices fell due to weak demand from China after the COVID-19 outbreak,
and aluminum prices rose on concerns about a production cut in China.
Nonferrous metal prices in January (monthly average prices, m-o-m, %)
-0.2 (copper), 0.1 (aluminum), -1.8 (nickel)
(Period average)
2018 2019 2020
Annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Oct Nov Dec Jan
Reuters Index1
(Sep 18, 1931=100)
2,337 2,342 2,317 2,309 2,382 2,374 2,352 2,312 2,397 2,347 2,390 2,457 2,487
1. A weighted average index of 17 major commodities Source: Korea PDS
35. 33
Economic Bulletin February 2020
International oil prices
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(US $/B)
Source: Korea National Oil Corporation
WTI Dubai crude
Dubai crude prices and import prices
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(US $/B)
Source: Korea National Oil Corporation
Dubai crude (import prices, left) Dubai international prices (right)
(US $/B)
International commodity prices
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2019.1
(points)
Source: Korea PDS
*CRB demonstrates a futures price index of 21 commodities listed on the US Commodity Transaction Market, including beans
and other crops, crude oil and jewelry.
CRB (left) Reuters index (right)
(points)
36. 34
The Green Book
Housing sales prices (Percentage change from previous period)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Jan Oct Nov Dec Jan
Nationwide 3.5 0.7 1.5 1.1 -0.4 -0.15 0.12 0.19 0.38 0.28
Seoul metropolitan area 4.4 1.3 2.4 3.3 0.5 -0.15 0.27 0.35 0.62 0.39
- Seoul 4.6 2.1 3.6 6.2 1.2 -0.20 0.44 0.50 0.86 0.34
· Gangnam1 5.2 2.5 4.4 6.5 1.4 -0.31 0.52 0.60 1.24 0.38
· Gangbuk2 3.9 1.8 2.9 5.9 1.1 -0.09 0.36 0.38 0.47 0.29
Areas excluding the Seoul
metropolitan area
2.7 0.2 0.7 -0.9 -1.1 -0.15 -0.02 0.04 0.16 0.17
1. Southern Seoul 2. Northern Seoul Source: Korea Appraisal Board
(Percentage change from previous period)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Jan Oct Nov Dec Jan
Nationwide 4.8 1.3 0.6 -1.8 -1.3 -0.22 0.09 0.14 0.22 0.28
Seoul metropolitan area 7.1 2.0 1.4 -1.5 -0.8 -0.28 0.25 0.29 0.37 0.39
- Seoul 7.2 2.0 2.0 0.3 -0.4 -0.32 0.23 0.27 0.38 0.43
· Gangnam1
7.9 1.8 2.6 -0.3 -0.5 -0.50 0.32 0.37 0.56 0.66
· Gangbuk2
6.5 2.1 1.5 0.8 -0.4 -0.13 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.19
Areas excluding the Seoul
metropolitan area
2.8 0.7 -0.1 -2.1 -1.7 -0.16 -0.06 0.01 0.08 0.17
1. Southern Seoul 2. Northern Seoul Source: Korea Appraisal Board
Housing rental prices
12.1 Housing market
Housing prices nationwide rose 0.28 percent month-on-month in January 2020.
Housing prices increased 0.39 percent in the Seoul metropolitan area, which includes Seoul
(up 0.34%), Gyeonggi Province (up 0.48%) and Incheon (up 0.20%).
Housing prices rose 0.39 percent in the five metropolitan cities and fell 0.02 percent in the
eight provinces.
Housing prices in five metropolitan cities (m-o-m, %)
Busan (0.18), Daegu (0.41), Gwangju (0.11), Daejeon (1.26), Ulsan (0.33)
12. Real estate market
Housing rental prices nationwide increased 0.28 percent month-on-month in January 2020.
Housing rental prices rose 0.39 percent in the Seoul metropolitan area and 0.17 percent in
areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area.
Housing rental prices in major districts in the Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %)
Gangnam (1.54), Seocho (0.92), Songpa (0.80), Yangcheon (0.98), Suji (2.41), Giheung (1.52)
37. 35
Economic Bulletin February 2020
There were 118,415 housing transactions in December 2019, up 28.1 percent from the
previous month (92,413) and up 112.7 percent from a year ago (55,681).
(Thousand)
2018 2019
Annual1
Dec Annual1
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Nationwide 71 56 67 50 43 51 57 57 55 67 67 64 82 92 118
1. Monthly average
Source: Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport
Housing transactions
Housing sales prices
-1
0
1
2
3
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(m-o-m, %)
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
Nationwide Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan areaSeoul metropolitan area
Housing rental prices
-1.0
0
1.0
0.5
-0.5
-1.5
2.0
3.0
2.5
1.5
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2020.12019.1
(m-o-m, %)
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
Nationwide Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan areaSeoul metropolitan area
38. 36
The Green Book
2016 2017 2018 2019
Annual Annual Annual Dec Annual Q3 Q4 Oct Nov Dec
Nationwide 2.70 3.88 4.58 0.34 3.91 0.99 1.01 0.34 0.34 0.34
Seoul metropolitan area 2.53 3.82 5.14 0.39 4.74 1.25 1.27 0.43 0.42 0.41
Seoul 2.97 4.32 6.11 0.43 5.29 1.47 1.45 0.48 0.49 0.47
Gyeonggi 2.23 3.45 4.42 0.36 4.29 1.07 1.11 0.38 0.36 0.36
Incheon 1.74 3.10 3.59 0.33 4.03 1.01 1.06 0.34 0.35 0.36
Areas excluding the Seoul
metropolitan area
2.97 3.97 3.65 0.25 2.51 0.54 0.57 0.18 0.19 0.20
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
(Percentage change from previous period)Land prices
(Land lots, thousand)
2017 2018 2019
Annual1
Annual1
Dec Annual1
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Nationwide 276 265 243 242 240 196 237 237 231 208 250 237 221 256 268 322
Seoul 32 30 21 25 22 15 20 20 21 23 28 27 24 29 30 39
Gyeonggi 75 79 67 70 68 57 67 65 67 61 74 71 66 82 80 86
Incheon 16 15 15 15 14 14 16 13 12 14 15 15 16 15 17 20
1. Monthly average
Source: Korea Land and Housing Corporation
Land transactions
12.2 Land market
Land prices nationwide rose 0.34 percent month-on-month in December 2019.
Land prices rose 0.41 percent in the Seoul metropolitan area, which includes Seoul (up
0.47%), Gyeonggi Province (up 0.36%) and Incheon (up 0.36%).
Land prices increased 0.20 percent in areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area.
Land prices in areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %)
Daejeon (0.44), Chungnam (0.18)
There were 322,000 land transactions in December 2019, up 20.1 percent from the previous
month (268,000) and up 32.5 percent from a year ago (243,000).
Land transactions (m-o-m, %)
Seoul (28.9), Busan (38.0), Daejeon (44.1), Sejong (56.2)
Vacant land transactions increased 18.0 percent from the previous month (84,000 →
100,000) accounting for 31.0 percent of the total land transactions. The index rose 1.8
percent compared with a year ago (98,000).
39. 37
Economic Bulletin February 2020
Land prices
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
20082007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20192018
(%)
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
Metropolitan city CountyCity National average
Land transactions
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2019.1
(thousand ㎡)
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
Seoul metropolitan areaAreas excluding Seoul metropolitan area
Land and consumer prices
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
(y-o-y, %)
Source: Korea Appraisal Board (land prices), Statistics Korea (consumer prices)
Land price inflation Consumer price inflation
40. 38
The Green Book
2019
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct1
Nov1
Dec1
Index of all industry production (m-o-m, %) -0.2 -0.7 1.6 0.2 -0.4 0.0 0.4 1.4
(y-o-y, %) 1.3 -0.9 0.7 0.0 0.5 -0.2 1.2 3.2
Coincident composite index (2015=100) 110.5 110.6 110.7 111.1 111.3 111.5 111.5 112.0
(m-o-m, %) 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4
Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index 99.5 99.4 99.3 99.5 99.5 99.4 99.3 99.5
(m-o-m, p) 0.3 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.2
Leading composite index (2015=100) 114.6 114.7 114.7 114.9 115.4 116.1 116.9 117.7
(m-o-m, %) 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7
Cyclical indicator of leading composite index 98.9 98.7 98.4 98.3 98.5 98.8 99.2 99.6
(m-o-m, p) -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4
1. Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
Industrial output went up 1.4 percent month-on-month in December 2019. Mining
manufacturing (up 3.5%) and construction (up 4.1%) increased, while services (down
0.1%) decreased. Compared to a year ago, the index rose 3.2 percent.
The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index rose 0.2 points to 99.5 from the
previous month. Six components of the index rose, while the other component fell.
Coincident composite index in December (m-o-m, %)
mining manufacturing production (0.5), service output (0.6), construction completed (1.5), retail sales
(0.9), value of domestic shipments (0.5), nonfarm payroll employment (0.2), imports (-0.9)
The cyclical indicator of the leading composite index rose 0.4 points month-on-month to
99.6. Five components of the index rose, while the other two components declined.
Leading composite index in December (m-o-m)
inventory circulation indicator (5.0%p), consumer expectations index (0.4p), domestic shipments of
machinery (4.1%), KOSPI (1.6%), spreads between long-term and short-term interest rates (0.12%p),
value of construction orders received (-1.8%), ratio of export to import prices (-0.5%p)
13. Composite indices of business cycle indicators
41. 39
Economic Bulletin February 2020
Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index
95
100
105
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2019.1
(points)
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
Cyclical indicator of leading composite index
95
100
105
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2019.1
(points)
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
Index of all industry production
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2009.1 2010.1 2011.1 2012.1 2013.1 2014.1 2015.1 2016.1 2017.1 2018.1 2019.1
(%)
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
Industrial output (m-o-m)Industrial output (y-o-y)
43. 41
Economic Bulletin February 2020
2020 Work Report: Promote Investment and
Support Industrial Innovation
The Ministry of Economy and Finance will help boost the economy over 2020 as it promotes investment and industrial
innovation. We will continue to seek inclusiveness and work on public sector efficiency.
1. Promote investment to help boost the economy
- Support domestic demand: Work for a total of 100 trillion won worth of projects1)
to start in 2020 and increase
tax support2)
to promote consumption
- Promote exports: Announce measures to expand service exports in March and measures to help win overseas
infrastructure projects in the first half
- Work to fully control COVID-19 epidemics and strengthen the management of other risks
2. Support industrial innovation
- Work to develop post-semiconductor growth engines, such as data technologies and bio technologies: Announce
plans to promote a data economy in March and action plans to develop bio technologies in the first half
- Improve regulations: Work with a taskforce on obsolete regulations to promote the 10 sectors3)
, work on the First
Step, a model to address conflicts between interest groups when new services are introduced, in which interest
groups work together towards a win-win outcome
- Improve the budget, tax and financial systems in a way to promote innovation, and support the development of
core technologies
3. Seek inclusiveness
- Work on job creation: Announce job creation measures for those in their 40s in the first quarter and provide
fiscal support to help create jobs
- Strengthen social safety nets: Increase basic pension benefits from 250,000 won per month to 300,000 won
and add 95,000 social service jobs
- Prepare for demographic challenges: Run taskforces to address low birth and ageing population, rising single-
person households and shrinking labor force, and draw up mid- to long-term plans to increase productivity and
improve the quality of living
4. Improve public-sector efficiency
- Work to increase government spending efficiency: Work on better budget allocation and spending, close
cooperation across the government and improved fiscal soundness
- Prepare for the global introduction of digital taxes and announce in July plans to impose taxes on the income
coming from virtual currency transactions
- Support the administration’s innovation-driven growth: Spend about one percent of public sector procurement,
about 410 billion won worth, on innovative products, and draw up by April a SME labor force support program,
the SME Sherpa, through which experienced employees with peak wage programs in their companies can be
sent to other companies, such as SMEs and startups, and provide their expertise
1) 25 trillion won worth of investment made by corporations, 60 trillion won worth of investment made by public institutions, 15 trillion won
worth of private sector investment in SOC projects
2) 70 percent tax cuts for new car purchases if they are made to replace old cars, 30 percent income tax deduction for the amount paid for
hotel rooms if the hotel is located in the country
3) Data and AI, future cars and mobility, new medical technologies, healthcare, fintech, tech startups, industrial complexes, recycling, tourism,
e-commerce and logistics
45. Economic Bulletin February 2020
43
The government ran a 2.1 trillion won surplus in 2019, which reflects 2.6 trillion
won expenditures carried over to the year. The general and special accounts
revenues amounted to 402.0 trillion won, and expenditures amounted to 397.3
trillion won.
The Korean government announced on February 20 that it would spend a total
of 260.3 trillion won in trade finance, an increase of 3.1 trillion won from the
original budget, to help local exporters hit by the COVID-19 outbreak. Out of the
260.3 trillion won, 156 trillion won is frontloaded in the first half and 105 trillion
won is earmarked to support smaller exporters.
The government will lower its tariff rates on air cargoes, usually 15 times more
expensive than those on marine shipping, to help local manufacturers acquire
in time the supplies they need, given the current disruption to global supply
chains, particularly those involved with China. Korea will also run a 24-hour
customs clearance service for manufacturing supplies and will keep an eye on
the supply of the six major supplies, such as semiconductors and display panels,
of which the demand is huge among its manufacturers.
Government posts a 2.1 trillion won surplus in 2019
Korea to help exporters hit by COVID-19 outbreak
Revenue
target (A)
Revenues
(B)
Revenue
surplus
(B-A)
Spending
(C)
Surplus
(B-C)
Spending
transferred
(D)
Balance
(B-C-D)
Unused
Total 404.1 402.0 -2.1 397.3 4.7 2.6 2.1 7.9
-General account 334.7 332.2 -2.4 330.9 1.4 1.3 0.1 4.1
-Special account 69.4 69.8 0.3 66.4 3.4 1.3 2.1 3.8
2019 revenues and expenditures (trillion won)
The national tax revenues amounted to 293.5 trillion won, falling 0.1 trillion won
from the previous year and falling short of the target by 1.3 trillion won*. Nontax
revenues totaled 108.5 trillion won, going up 17.1 trillion won from the previous
year and failing to reach the target by 0.8 trillion won.
* General account (-1.1 trillion won): -7.1 trillion won (corporate tax), -2.3 trillion won (customs and property tax)
and 8.2 trillion won (income tax)
Special account (-0.2 trillion won): -0.3 trillion won (special tax for rural development), 0.1 trillion won (liquor tax)
46. Economic News Briefing
44
Korea’s external debt amounted to US $467.0 billion as of the end of 2019, going
up US $25.8 billion from the previous year.
- Short-term debt: US $134.5 billion, up US $8.9 billion year-on-year
- Long-term debt: US $332.5 billion, up US $16.9 billion year-on-year
External debt amounts to US $467.0 billion in 2019, up US $25.8 billion
2015 2016 2017 2018
2019 Change
Mar Jun Sep Dec q-o-q y-o-y
Total 396.1 382.2 412.0 441.2 441.0 462.8 460.2 467.0 6.8 25.8
-Short-term 104.3 104.8 116.0 125.6 128.4 138.9 133.5 134.5 1.0 8.9
-Long-term 291.7 277.4 296.1 315.6 312.6 323.9 326.6 332.5 5.8 16.9
* Source: International Investment Position (IIP) at the end of 2019 (Bank of Korea, February 20, 2020)
External debt, 2019 (US $billion)
External debt rose as borrowings in the government, commercial banks, nonbank
financial institutions and corporations increased. Central bank borrowings fell
due to its redemption of foreigner-owned bonds at maturity.
Government debt (up US $8.3 billion) increased due to foreign investment in
Korea Treasuries. Commercial bank debt (up US $14.7 billion) rose as short-term
borrowings (up US $5.5 billion), deposits by non-residents (up US $5.0 billion)
and long-term foreign currency bonds (up US $3.3 billion) increased. Debt in
nonbank financial institutions and corporations (up US $5.5 billion) rose due
to the issuance of long-term foreign currency securities (up US $6.8 billion).
Central bank debt (down US $2.6 billion) decreased as it redeemed foreigner-
owned bonds at maturity.
External debt soundness indicators rose somewhat, but stayed stable at around
30 percent: The ratio of short-term external debt to total external debt rose
to 28.8 percent and the ratio of short-term external debt to foreign exchange
reserves rose to 32.9 percent.
47. Statistical
Appendices
01 National accounts
02 Production, shipment and inventory
03 Production capacity and operation ratio
04 Consumer goods sales index
05 Machinery orders received and facility investment index
06 Value of construction completed and domestic construction orders received
07 Composite indexes of business cycle indicators, CSI and BSI
08 Prices
09 Employment (I)
10 Employment (II)
11 Balance of payments (I)
12 Balance of payments (II)
13 Financial indicators
14 Monetary indicators
15 Exchange rates