The document provides updates on the Indian economy from various news sources:
- GDP growth in the April-June quarter rose to 20.1% year-on-year due to a very low base in the same period last year during the national lockdown. While recovery is underway, the economy has not fully recovered.
- High-frequency indicators in August like GST collections, auto sales, rail freight, electricity demand showed continued economic recovery, though manufacturing PMI declined slightly.
- The chief economic adviser indicated that double-digit GDP growth is possible in the current fiscal year based on trends and forecasts. However, a potential third COVID wave could impact the recovery.
- Eight core infrastructure sectors expanded
Highlights
• 6.1% growth in 2009-10Q1, drought restricts potential ahead
• Construction and services power growth while manufacturing picks up
• Need to target rabi crop as monsoon deficit stands currently at 25%
• Growth estimated at 6.6% this fiscal, inflation bigger worry
• While food price pressure will ease by winter, commodities set to rise e.g steel
India: Kal, aaj aur kal
Throughout the gloom of last year, we have been optimistic about the growth in India, our estimates of more than 6% growth this year were amongst the highest while finance whizzes were busy forecasting dire numbers in the range of 4-6%. In our January newsletter we had said that by the second half of this year, there would be an overall improvement. We had also cautioned that a deflationary situation that was being discussed was of little import here where inflation would be the prime worry. As the months passed and the revival became more apparent, estimates were rapidly revised upwards, both of growth and inflation. Though some find this surprising, we maintain, that this was all predictable, as was the downturn, and as is the inflationary environment in coming months.
As we go ahead, growth will show ‘surprising’ levels, e.g. the IIP numbers can get close to 10% - on the back of low base of last year, electricity and mining are doing better this year, vehicle sales are soaring with domestic festival demand etc. We see no reason to cheer though. The past year has taken a heavy toll on the finances of the government and investment plans in the private sector, consumer confidence has also been hit hard, while inflation has eaten gaping holes in the common man’s wallet. Moreover, the true impact of the poor monsoon will be known only by the year end. The financial sector types meanwhile are having a field day once more, rapidly pushing up spirits and stock markets. Some are even getting into debates on whether this slowdown would take the shape of a V, U, W, or the Riemann’s zeta function, as Bloomberg columnist Moynihan quipped.
It is important to remember though that the ‘green shoots’ which are growing tall now have sprung up in response to fiscal stimuli and rate cuts worldwide, not through any change in fundamental factors. Work is on towards changing standards of regulation and supervision internationally, but these will take time to be implemented. In the meanwhile, we have to point out that we are now tired of stressing on one issue - that such high levels of expenditures, in India and abroad, are inflationary whatever way one tries to handle it. Expectedly, the rational components of financial markets recognize this problem and we are seeing significant upward pressure on interest rates. This is a natural outcome of government over-spending.
There is a possibility that to get around this problem this government may try to borrow from abroad. And if that happens on a large enough scale, the final degree of freedom that the government will have, would have been used up. We therefore do not support such an initiative, despite its short term advantages of keeping upward interest rate pressures under check. Note that India has done something similar in the past (during the Rajiv Gandhi years) when it borrowed internationally and spent on unproductive activities. For a few years things looked very good, but pressures were building. The ruling conglomeration in the post Rajiv Gandhi years just did not have the ability to handle the pressures so generated. We all know the final outcome.
At the end of the day we cannot spend this much without paying for it one way or another. And it is better to pay by way of lower investment, higher interest and prices, rather than macro-economic instability. But the first best solution remains the same - don’t spend on unproductive activities please.
PS. Please visit our new homepage for interactive time series graphs of economic indicators
September 2016 U.S. employment update and outlookJLL
Despite employment growth in August falling below expectations, the overall U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.9 percent as growth in the workforce aligned with employment gains.
October 2016 U.S. employment update and outlookJLL
While September saw relatively average job growth, market fundamentals are steady and momentum remains as wage growth rose once again and consumer confidence continued its rise.
October 2017 U.S. employment update and outlookJLL
After more than 80 consecutive months of growth, the U.S. labor market saw its first contraction, losing 33,000 jobs in net terms, largely a result of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. The overwhelming majority of losses were concentrated in the leisure and hospitality sector, particularly in Florida (Puerto Rico is not counted in monthly figures), further exacerbating this contraction.
The organized sector in India created 346,000 jobs between July and September 2011 and is expected to add another 326,400 by end 2011, according to the latest findings of Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey – Wave 3.
The survey was conducted among 676 companies across 13 industry segments panning 8 Indian cities. The feedback was gathered from the top HR personnel and senior management of companies, who shared valuable insights on the job creation during the last (July – September) and the current (October – December) quarters of 2011.
The current slowdown in the economy and increasing domestic inflation has resulted in sectoral variation in the employment outlook among sectors and although new jobs continue to be added, it is at a slower pace. According to the survey, the Healthcare sector continues to lead in job generation by adding 60,400 jobs in Q3 (July – September) 2011, followed by Hospitality sector with 48,400 jobs and IT & ITeS sector with 46,600 jobs during the same period.
This is however lesser than the numbers (Healthcare - 63,800 / Hospitality - 54,400 / IT & ITeS - 55,500) predicted at the beginning of the quarter three. These sectors are expected to continue as the lead job generators in the coming quarter with Healthcare expecting to add 58,700 jobs followed by Hospitality & ITeS adding 40,000 plus jobs each.
Among the cities, Mumbai added 28,500 jobs, followed by Delhi & NCR adding 27,000 and Chennai adding 15,500. However, the total job generation by these 3 cities was lower by 6,100 jobs, against the original prediction (Mumbai - 32,300 / New Delhi & NCR – 27,900 / Chennai – 16,900) at the beginning of Q3. These cities are expected to generate a total of 69,200 jobs in the current quarter.
Highlights
• 6.1% growth in 2009-10Q1, drought restricts potential ahead
• Construction and services power growth while manufacturing picks up
• Need to target rabi crop as monsoon deficit stands currently at 25%
• Growth estimated at 6.6% this fiscal, inflation bigger worry
• While food price pressure will ease by winter, commodities set to rise e.g steel
India: Kal, aaj aur kal
Throughout the gloom of last year, we have been optimistic about the growth in India, our estimates of more than 6% growth this year were amongst the highest while finance whizzes were busy forecasting dire numbers in the range of 4-6%. In our January newsletter we had said that by the second half of this year, there would be an overall improvement. We had also cautioned that a deflationary situation that was being discussed was of little import here where inflation would be the prime worry. As the months passed and the revival became more apparent, estimates were rapidly revised upwards, both of growth and inflation. Though some find this surprising, we maintain, that this was all predictable, as was the downturn, and as is the inflationary environment in coming months.
As we go ahead, growth will show ‘surprising’ levels, e.g. the IIP numbers can get close to 10% - on the back of low base of last year, electricity and mining are doing better this year, vehicle sales are soaring with domestic festival demand etc. We see no reason to cheer though. The past year has taken a heavy toll on the finances of the government and investment plans in the private sector, consumer confidence has also been hit hard, while inflation has eaten gaping holes in the common man’s wallet. Moreover, the true impact of the poor monsoon will be known only by the year end. The financial sector types meanwhile are having a field day once more, rapidly pushing up spirits and stock markets. Some are even getting into debates on whether this slowdown would take the shape of a V, U, W, or the Riemann’s zeta function, as Bloomberg columnist Moynihan quipped.
It is important to remember though that the ‘green shoots’ which are growing tall now have sprung up in response to fiscal stimuli and rate cuts worldwide, not through any change in fundamental factors. Work is on towards changing standards of regulation and supervision internationally, but these will take time to be implemented. In the meanwhile, we have to point out that we are now tired of stressing on one issue - that such high levels of expenditures, in India and abroad, are inflationary whatever way one tries to handle it. Expectedly, the rational components of financial markets recognize this problem and we are seeing significant upward pressure on interest rates. This is a natural outcome of government over-spending.
There is a possibility that to get around this problem this government may try to borrow from abroad. And if that happens on a large enough scale, the final degree of freedom that the government will have, would have been used up. We therefore do not support such an initiative, despite its short term advantages of keeping upward interest rate pressures under check. Note that India has done something similar in the past (during the Rajiv Gandhi years) when it borrowed internationally and spent on unproductive activities. For a few years things looked very good, but pressures were building. The ruling conglomeration in the post Rajiv Gandhi years just did not have the ability to handle the pressures so generated. We all know the final outcome.
At the end of the day we cannot spend this much without paying for it one way or another. And it is better to pay by way of lower investment, higher interest and prices, rather than macro-economic instability. But the first best solution remains the same - don’t spend on unproductive activities please.
PS. Please visit our new homepage for interactive time series graphs of economic indicators
September 2016 U.S. employment update and outlookJLL
Despite employment growth in August falling below expectations, the overall U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.9 percent as growth in the workforce aligned with employment gains.
October 2016 U.S. employment update and outlookJLL
While September saw relatively average job growth, market fundamentals are steady and momentum remains as wage growth rose once again and consumer confidence continued its rise.
October 2017 U.S. employment update and outlookJLL
After more than 80 consecutive months of growth, the U.S. labor market saw its first contraction, losing 33,000 jobs in net terms, largely a result of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. The overwhelming majority of losses were concentrated in the leisure and hospitality sector, particularly in Florida (Puerto Rico is not counted in monthly figures), further exacerbating this contraction.
The organized sector in India created 346,000 jobs between July and September 2011 and is expected to add another 326,400 by end 2011, according to the latest findings of Ma Foi Randstad Employment Trends Survey – Wave 3.
The survey was conducted among 676 companies across 13 industry segments panning 8 Indian cities. The feedback was gathered from the top HR personnel and senior management of companies, who shared valuable insights on the job creation during the last (July – September) and the current (October – December) quarters of 2011.
The current slowdown in the economy and increasing domestic inflation has resulted in sectoral variation in the employment outlook among sectors and although new jobs continue to be added, it is at a slower pace. According to the survey, the Healthcare sector continues to lead in job generation by adding 60,400 jobs in Q3 (July – September) 2011, followed by Hospitality sector with 48,400 jobs and IT & ITeS sector with 46,600 jobs during the same period.
This is however lesser than the numbers (Healthcare - 63,800 / Hospitality - 54,400 / IT & ITeS - 55,500) predicted at the beginning of the quarter three. These sectors are expected to continue as the lead job generators in the coming quarter with Healthcare expecting to add 58,700 jobs followed by Hospitality & ITeS adding 40,000 plus jobs each.
Among the cities, Mumbai added 28,500 jobs, followed by Delhi & NCR adding 27,000 and Chennai adding 15,500. However, the total job generation by these 3 cities was lower by 6,100 jobs, against the original prediction (Mumbai - 32,300 / New Delhi & NCR – 27,900 / Chennai – 16,900) at the beginning of Q3. These cities are expected to generate a total of 69,200 jobs in the current quarter.
Highlights
• Economic slump has bottomed out – expect slow recovery ahead
• 2009-10 growth forecasts will be revised upwards by most as the year progresses
• Expectations of global growth resurgence fuels commodities and crude prices
• Dollar dives, rupee surges to 47 - more trouble for exporters ahead
• Fuel price deregulation on the cards
• But all is not well – and overheated stock markets need to cool a bit
India: Kal, aaj aur kal
The numbers all seem to be looking up, the stock markets all seem to be rising once again, and cheer is back. There is spring in the air. One wonders what happened suddenly to make everything so nice. Anyhow, things as predicted are improving – largely because of heavy government interventions internationally. The lower interest rates in India are also starting to have their impact – this was all predicted, as interest rate reductions take some time to play out. But what is also predicted is that things will take a few months more to stabilise - we estimate growth for this financial year to be an unexciting 6.6%.
Daily Media Update - 26.02.2024. This document comprises news clips from vari...BalmerLawrie
Daily Media Update - 26.02.2024. This document comprises news clips from various media in which Balmer Lawrie is mentioned, news related to GOI and PSEs, and news from the verticals that we do business in.
Weekly Media Update_19_02_2024. This document comprises news clips from vario...BalmerLawrie
Weekly Media Update_19_02_2024. This document comprises news clips from various media in which Balmer Lawrie is mentioned, news related to GOI and PSEs, and news from the verticals that we do business in.
Weekly Media Update_05_02_2024. This document comprises news clips from vario...BalmerLawrie
Weekly Media Update_05_02_2024. This document comprises news clips from various media in which Balmer Lawrie is mentioned, news related to GOI and PSEs, and news from the verticals that we do business in.
Weekly Media Update_02_01_2024. This document comprises news clips from vario...BalmerLawrie
Weekly Media Update_02_01_2024. This document comprises news clips from various media in which Balmer Lawrie is mentioned, news related to GOI and PSEs, and news from the verticals that we do business in.
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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#First_India_NewsPaper
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
1. 670
(This document comprises news clips from various media in which Balmer Lawrie is mentioned, news
related to GOI and PSEs, and news from the verticals that we do business in. This will be uploaded on
intranet and website every Monday.)
GDP growth in Q1 records 20.1%
recovery on low base
Economic growth soared to a record high in the
April-June quarter due to a low base and a
rebound in manufacturing and construction, as
well as robust growth in agriculture, which has
remained resilient throughout the pandemic. Data
released by the National Statistical Office (NSO)
on Tuesday showed GDP growth rose 20.1% in the
three months to June, the first quarter of the
2021-22 fiscal year, compared with a record
contraction of 24.4% in the yearago period. It was
also higher than 1.6% growth recorded in
January-March 2021. Experts said while the
recovery is gathering momentum, the first quarter
numbers should be interpreted with some caution
as the economy is still to recover lost ground after
the bruising impact of the lockdowns and curbs to
prevent the spread of the Covid-19 infection. The
latest June quarter numbers are close to the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) forecast of 21.4%. A
spate of indicators in the past few months have
shown that several sectors have staged a robust
rebound although some sectors, particularly in the
crucial services segment, are yet to recover fully.
The Times of India - 01.09.2021
https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/Times
OfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIKM%2
F2021%2F09%2F01&entity=Ar00514&sk=9F7AA
441&mode=text
August numbers show economic
recovery on track
India’s economic recovery remained on track in
August with goods and services tax (GST)
collections staying in excess of Rs 1 lakh crore
while automakers sold more cars than in the
year earlier despite a semiconductor and parts
shortage. Petrol and diesel demand increased
16% and 14%, respectively, the railways
carried 16.9% more freight and electricity
demand rose 18.6%, suggesting greater
movement of goods and people in the just-
concluded month. Unified Payments Interface
(UPI) transactions increased 9.6% to 3.55
billion from July, data released by the National
Payments Corporation of India on Wednesday
showed, indicating greater adoption and more
economic activity. However, factory output
moderated slightly with the manufacturing
purchasing managers’ index (PMI) declining to
52.3 from 55.3 in July. "Looking ahead, high-
frequency data suggest that a swift recovery
from the second-wave lows is already
underway, which supports a sequential rebound
in Q3," Nomura said in a note on Wednesday.
August GST collection amounted to Rs1.12 lakh
crore, 30% more than a year ago.
The Economic Times - 02.09.2021
https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/Th
eEconomicTimes/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc
=ETKM%2F2021%2F09%2F02&entity=Ar0031
4&sk=8A598ECA&mode=text
CEA: Eco may grow at double-digit rates
Chief economic adviser Krishnamurthy
Subramanian on Tuesday indicated that the Indian
economy may grow at double-digit rates, while
maintaining that a withdrawal of stimulus in
several countries may not have a significant
impact, given that India’s macro-economic
fundamentals were strong. “Growth will be higher
than the pre-Covid level. The predictions in the
Economic Survey and the budget should be
achieved, based on trends from the first quarter.
The budget estimate should be correct. The level
(of economic activity) should be back next year,
but we need to analyse the data,” the
government’s chief economist told reporters. The
Core sector expands 9.4%, fiscal
deficit 21.3% of target
The eight key infrastructure sectors continued a
recovery in July, driven largely by a robust
expansion in steel, cement, natural gas, coal
and electricity, prompting economists to say
that the government’s infrastructure push and
a low base had helped. Data released by the
department for promotion of industry and
internal trade (DPIIT) on Tuesday showed the
eight core sectors — spanning coals, crude oil,
natural gas, petroleum & refinery products,
fertilisers, steel, cement and electricity — rose
an annual 9.4% in July compared to a
contraction of 7.6% in the same month last year
WEEKLY MEDIA UPDATE
Issue 517
06 September, 2021
Monday
2. Economic Survey had projected 11% GDP growth
during the year, while the budget estimated it at
10.5%. Asked if the 20.1% growth estimated
during the April-June quarter was on the account
of a sharp contraction in the economy last year
when a nationwide lockdown had been imposed,
Krishnamurthy said: “Of course, there is a base
effect. At the same time, this has happened during
a much more intense second wave, which was far
more intense from a health perspective. There is
across the board improvement as seen in a lot of
high frequency indicators.”
The Times of India - 01.09.2021
https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/Times
OfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIKM%2
F2021%2F09%2F01&entity=Ar01805&sk=1571D
C87&mode=text
and marginally higher than the previous
month’s 9.3% expansion. This is the fifth
consecutive month that the sector has
maintained its growth momentum. “Based on
this growth rate of 9.4%, we can expect IIP
growth in July to be between 12-14%,” said
Madan Sabnavis, chief economist at Care
Ratings. Separate data showed the fiscal deficit
at the end of July was at Rs 3.2 lakh crore or
21.3% of the full year target. In the
corresponding period of last year, it was at
103.1% of the full year target.
The Times of India - 01.09.2021
https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/Ti
mesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOI
KM%2F2021%2F09%2F01&entity=Ar01808&s
k=9F51CF58&mode=text
Economic activity expands at slower
pace in Aug, fear of third wave looms
Economic activity continues to expand in the
country but its pace has slowed this month,
according to Nomura India Business Resumption
Index (NIBRI) that rose to 102.7 for the week
ended August 29 from 101.3 the previous week.
“NIBRI has now been above pre-pandemic levels
for three consecutive weeks,” Japanese financial
holding company Nomura said on Monday.
However, the pace of recovery slowed in August
when the index gained 5.6 percentage points (pp)
after a 17.1 pp rise in July and a 15 pp rise in June,
it said. Stating that news on the pandemic has
been mixed, Nomura cautioned that a potential
third wave cannot be ruled out, especially with the
festive season approaching. Nomura compiles
various high-frequency data such as retail sales,
power demand and labour participation from
different providers to determine NIBRI. Google
retail and recreation and Apple driving indices rose
by 0.6 pp and 10 pp, respectively, although
workplace mobility surprisingly fell by 3.7 pp last
week, as per its report. Power demand rose by
0.1% week on week after a 3.4% contraction in
the previous, while the labour participation rate
inched up to 40.8% from 40%.
The Economic Times - 31.08.2021
https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TheEc
onomicTimes/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=ETK
M%2F2021%2F08%2F31&entity=Ar00412&sk=5
CDFF04F&mode=text
Aug services PMI at 18-month high on
vax drive, footfalls
India’s services activity grew for the first time
in four months to a one and a half- year high in
August as vaccine access improved and
consumer footfall rose following reopening of
several establishments, a private survey
showed Friday. The IHS Markit Purchasing
Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 56.7 in August
from 45.4 in the previous month. A reading
above 50 shows expansion and one below that
indicates contraction. Apart from re-opening of
many establishments and increase in footfall,
companies also attributed the rise in activities
to successful advertising besides strong inflows
of new work and improved demand conditions.
As per the survey, new orders placed with
service providers rose in August, ending a
three-month sequence of reduction. Moreover,
the pace of expansion was marked and the
quickest in over eight-and-a-half years.
“Services firms outperformed manufacturers for
the first time in over three years,” IHS Markit
said. While demand conditions in the domestic
market were generally conducive for growth,
firms saw a further decline in new export
orders. The downturn was associated with the
Covid-19 pandemic and travel restrictions.
The Economic Times - 04.09.2021
https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/Th
eEconomicTimes/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc
=ETKM%2F2021%2F09%2F04&entity=Ar0071
4&sk=C8710075&mode=text
Retail inflation for industrial workers
eases marginally to 5.27% in July
Retail inflation for industrial workers eased
marginally to 5.27 per cent in July, mainly due to
lower prices of certain food items. “Year-on-year
inflation for the month stood at 5.27 per cent
Exports up 45 per cent to USD 33.14
billion in August
India's exports jumped 45.17 per cent to USD
33.14 billion in August on account of healthy
growth in segments like engineering, petroleum
products, gems and jewellery and chemicals,
3. compared to 5.57 per cent for the previous month
(June 2021) and 5.33 per cent during the
corresponding month a year before (July 2020),”
a labour ministry statement said. Food inflation
stood at 4.91 per cent against 5.61 per cent in
June 2021 and 6.38 per cent in July of last year.
The all-India CPI-IW (Consumer Price Index-
Industrial Workers) for July 2021 increased by 1.1
points and stood at 122.8 points. It was 121.7
points in June 2021. The maximum upward
pressure on the index came from the
‘miscellaneous group’, contributing 0.42
percentage points to the total change. At item
level, dairy milk, poultry/chicken, mango, carrot,
cauliflower, onion, tomato, cooking gas, doctor’s/
surgeon’s fee, allopathic medicines, auto
rickshaw/ scooter fare, bus fare, rail fare, petrol,
housing, among others, contributed to the price
rise.
The Financial Express - 01.09.2021
https://www.financialexpress.com/economy/retai
l-inflation-for-industrial-workers-eases-
marginally-to-5-27-in-july/2321314/
even as the trade deficit widened to USD 13.87
billion, according to the commerce ministry's
provisional data. Imports in August rose 51.47
per cent to USD 47.01 billion, as against USD
31.03 billion in the corresponding month of
2020. The trade deficit in August 2020 was USD
8.2 billion. It stood at USD 55.9 billion during
April-August this fiscal as compared to USD
22.7 billion during the same period of the
previous year. Exports during April-August
2021 grew by 66.92 per cent to USD 163.67
billion, the data showed. Imports during April-
August this fiscal rose by 81.75 per cent to USD
219.54 billion. Oil imports in August rose 80.38
per cent to USD 11.64 billion, while gold imports
jumped 82.22 per cent to USD 6.75 billion.
Exports of engineering, petroleum products,
gems and jewellery and chemicals rose by
about 59 per cent to USD 9.63 billion, 140 per
cent to USD 4.55 billion, 88 per cent to USD
3.43 billion, and 35.75 per cent to USD 2.23
billion, respectively.
The Economic Times - 02.09.2021
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/e
conomy/foreign-trade/exports-up-45-per-cent-
to-usd-33-14-billion-in-
august/articleshow/85866539.cms
Govt's excise collection jumps 48 per
cent in Apr-July; already 3x of full fiscal
oil bond liability
The government's collections from levy of excise
duty on petroleum products have jumped 48 per
cent in the first four months of the current fiscal
year, with the incremental mop-up being 3-times
of the repayment liability of legacy oil bonds in the
full fiscal, official data showed. Data available from
the Controller General of Accounts in the Union
Ministry of Finance showed excise duty collections
during April-July 2021 surging to over Rs 1 lakh
crore, from Rs 67,895 crore mop-up in the same
period of the previous fiscal. After the introduction
of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) regime,
excise duty is levied only on petrol, diesel, ATF and
natural gas. Barring these products, all other
goods and services are under the GST regime. The
incremental collections of Rs 32,492 crore in the
first four months of the fiscal year 2021-22 (April
2021 to March 2022) is three-times the Rs 10,000
crore liability that the government has in the full
year towards repayment of oil bonds that were
issued by the previous Congress-led UPA
government to subsidise fuel.
The Economic Times - 06.09.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne
ws/oil-and-gas/govts-excise-collection-jumps-48-
per-cent-in-apr-july-already-3x-of-full-fiscal-oil-
bond-liability/85965196
Diesel sales see sharpest monthly fall
since May
India’s August diesel sales recorded the
sharpest monthly fall since May as the monsoon
rains hit demand from the farm, trucking and
construction sectors but petrol consumption
continued to grow as people preferred personal
vehicles as they returned on the streets or hit
the highways after Covid restrictions were
lifted. Industry executives played down the dip
in diesel sales, describing it as a seasonal
phenomenon and exuding confidence demand
will be back to pre-Covid level within a quarter
as the fundamentals are intact. True to that
estimation, market data shows August diesel
sales were 16% more than the same month of
2020 but 9.7% down from the pre-pandemic
2019, the general resistance level shown by the
largest-selling fuel. Data shows uptrend
continuing for petrol sales, which shot past the
August 2019 sales by nearly 5% and posted a
2.5% growth over July. Jet fuel sales rose 20%
over July as cooped-up tourists took to the sky
with a vengeance as states eased curbs. The
sales were, however, 45% lower than August
2019, which can be termed as an improvement
over a dip of roughly 60% earlier.
The Times of India - 02.09.2021
https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/Ti
mesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOI
KM%2F2021%2F09%2F02&entity=Ar01508&s
k=7B5C03E4&mode=text
4. Low fuel demand growth: HSBC cuts
earnings forecasts for OMCs
Analysts at HSBC have trimmed their earnings
forecasts for state-run oil marketing companies
(OMCs) for FY22 and FY23 from earlier
projections, citing lower-than-anticipated growth
in the country’s auto fuel consumption. The core
profit after tax of Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) in
FY22 will be Rs 13,514.2 crore, down 5% from the
earlier estimate, according to a note by HSBC. The
profit projected for FY23 now stands at Rs
16,467.2 crore, 6% lower than the previous
forecast. For Hindustan Petroleum Corporation
(HPCL), FY22 profit is seen at Rs 6,424.9 crore,
9% lower than the earlier forecast. Profit
projection of Rs 7,230.5 crore for Bharat
Petroleum Corporation (BPCL) for FY22 is 15%
lower than the previous estimate. The sharp fall in
profit projection for BPCL takes into account the
sale of its entire 61.7% stake in Numaligarh
Refinery. “We now expect lower refining
throughput and sales volumes,” HSBC said. Total
sales of petroleum products in FY22 is estimated
to be 206.3 million tonne (MT) — around 6%
higher than the demand in FY21 when
consumption was muted amid lockdowns to
contain the coronavirus, but lower than the 214.1
MT of product sold in FY20. Demand for petrol for
the first half of August exceeded the level of
August 2019 by 3.74%, but diesel still lagged by
7.8%.
The Financial Express - 01.09.2021
https://www.financialexpress.com/industry/low-
fuel-demand-growth-hsbc-cuts-earnings-
forecasts-for-omcs/2320701/
India's ATF demand faces rough patch
amid 3rd wave fears: S&P Global Platts
India's aviation turbine fuel demand is expected
to remain subdued in the near-term as fears of
a third wave of Covid-19 infections lurk in the
country ahead of the upcoming festival season,
S&P Global Platts Analytics said on Friday.
Industry sources anticipate jet fuel prices to be
weighed by fresh movement restrictions if cases
soar. S&P said while domestic travel has picked
up in recent months, a potential spike in cases
could derail this recovery. Meanwhile,
international travel remains mostly out of bound
as many countries worldwide persist with a
travel ban on India. Jet fuel production
extended further declines in July as refineries
capped production of aviation fuels on
underwhelming jet fuel demand. The production
fell 10.39 per cent month-on-month to 604,000
tonnes. This marked the fourth consecutive
decline since March with production last seen
lower in October when it was 548,000 tonnes.
Still, August data showed signs of
improvement. Based on preliminary data from
state-owned refiners, sales of jet fuel increased
by nearly 20 per cent month-on-month in
August.
The Economic Times - 06.09.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/
news/oil-and-gas/indias-atf-demand-faces-
rough-patch-amid-3rd-wave-fears-sp-global-
platts/85917209
India's gasoline demand seen hitting
record as COVID curbs ease
India's gasoline demand is set to hit a record this
fiscal year, with consumption accelerating as more
people hit the road for business and leisure travel
after easing of COVID-19 curbs. Shunning trains,
buses and planes, safety-conscious Indians are
buying more cars and increasingly using personal
vehicles to commute as they embark on 'revenge
travel' - flocking to tourist destinations after
months of restrictions, despite record high fuel
prices. Annual passenger vehicle sales in India
rose by 45 per cent to 264,442 units in July, driven
by pent-up demand, according to data from the
Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers. The
stronger-than-expected gasoline consumption
growth could prompt Indian refiners to import the
fuel or boost gasoil exports in coming months.
Indian refineries are traditionally configured to
maximise production of diesel, where demand is
still below pre-COVID levels, hurt by an uneven
OPEC+ sees tighter oil market until
May 2022
OPEC+ expects the oil market to be in deficit at
least until the end of 2021 and stocks to stay
relatively low until May 2022, OPEC+ sources
said on Tuesday, a day ahead of a policy
meeting amid U.S. pressure to raise production.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC) and allies led by Russia,
collectively known as OPEC+, meet on
Wednesday at 1500 GMT to set policy. Sources
told Reuters the meeting is likely to roll over
existing policies despite pressure from the
United States to pump more oil. Still, the
forecast for a tighter market strengthens the
case for a speedier output increases by OPEC+
as benchmark Brent oil prices trade close to $73
per barrel - not far off their multi-year highs.
The comments from sources came as experts
from the OPEC+ joint technical committee (JTC)
presented an updated report on the state of the
5. economic recovery. "We may have to import some
quantity of petrol if momentum in demand
continues," said an official at an Indian state-run
refiner, who declined to be identified as he is not
authorised to speak to the media.
The Economic Times - 02.09.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne
ws/oil-and-gas/indias-gasoline-demand-seen-
hitting-record-as-covid-curbs-ease/85864360
oil markets in 2021-2022. According to the
sources, the report, which has not been made
public, forecasts a 0.9 million barrel per day
(bpd) deficit this year as global demand
recovers from the coronavirus pandemic while
OPEC+ gradually brings back production.
The Economic Times - 01.09.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/
news/oil-and-gas/opec-sees-tighter-oil-
market-until-may-2022/85821207
Major oil producers uphold small output
increase
The world's leading oil producers on Wednesday
upheld a deal reached just over a month ago to
boost output gradually despite US pressure to go
further. After weeks of wrangling, members of the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
along with allies such as Russia -- known
collectively as OPEC+ -- agreed in July to raise
output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) from
August. The move is aimed at supporting a global
economic recovery, which has been battered by
the coronavirus pandemic -- a crisis that sent oil
demand plummeting last year. The
videoconference on Wednesday of the 23
members of OPEC+ lasted less than an hour to
"reaffirm the decision" taken in July, according to
a statement by the group. "While the effects of the
Covid-19 pandemic continue to cast some
uncertainty, market fundamentals have
strengthened," it said, adding the next meeting
would be held on October 4. US national security
adviser Jake Sullivan said last month that the
production boost agreed in July was "simply not
enough" to fuel a global recovery.
The Economic Times - 02.09.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne
ws/oil-and-gas/major-oil-producers-uphold-
small-output-increase/85854455
Indian Oil lists foreign currency bonds
on IFSC exchanges at GIFT
Indian Oil listed has listed its foreign currency
bonds on IFSC (International Financial Services
Centre) exchanges at Gujarat International
Finance Tec-City (GIFT). "We are extremely
delighted to be here on the momentous
occasion of the listing ceremony of USD 1.4
billion and SGD 400 million on NSE IFSC and
India INX exchanges," Indian Oil Director-
Finance Sandeep Kumar Gupta was quoted as
saying in a statement issued by NSE IFSC on
Thursday. According to him, the advent of IFSC
at Gift City has provided an opportunity for
Indian companies to access offshore funds
within India. These bonds were listed on the
global securities market platform of India
International Exchange (India INX) and debt
securities market platform of NSE International
Exchange (NSE IFSC). These platforms were
launched for listing and trading of debt
securities in multiple foreign currency bonds,
green bonds, masala bonds, notes, among
others. The platforms provide an efficient
international listing process to issuers with
minimum turnaround time and investment
opportunities for investors from across the
world.
Business Standard - 02.09.2021
https://www.business-
standard.com/article/finance/indian-oil-lists-
foreign-currency-bonds-on-ifsc-exchanges-at-
gift-121090200671_1.html
Saudi Arabia lowers light crude prices to
Asia; US, Europe prices steady
Saudi Arabia lowered its light crude oil prices to
Asian customers in October versus September,
though left prices to north-western Europe and the
United States steady. Oil giant Saudi Aramco
lowered the price differential of light crude for
delivery to the Far East in October to a premium
of $1.7 per barrel versus the average of Oman and
Dubai crudes, according to a company pricing
document. The price differential in September was
a premium of $3 dollars per barrel. The company
kept the price differential of light crude to
Era of leaded petrol finally over
globally: UN
When service stations in Algeria stopped
providing leaded petrol in July, the use of leaded
petrol ended globally. This development follows
an almost two decades long campaign by the
UNEP-led global Partnership for Clean Fuels and
Vehicles (PCFV). Since 1922, the use of
tetraethyllead as a petrol additive to improve
engine performance has been a catastrophe for
the environment and public health. By the
1970s, almost all petrol produced around the
world contained lead. When the UN
6. northwest Europe unchanged, at a discount of
$1.7/barrel versus ICE Brent crude. It also kept
the price differential of light crude to the United
States unchanged at a premium of $1.35/barrel
versus ASCI.
The Economic Times - 06.09.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne
ws/oil-and-gas/saudi-arabia-lowers-light-crude-
prices-to-asia-us-europe-prices-steady/85965175
Environment Programme (UNEP) began its
campaign to eliminate lead in petrol in 2002, it
was one of the most serious environmental
threats to human health. The year 2021 has
marked the end of leaded petrol worldwide,
after it has contaminated air, dust, soil, drinking
water and food crops for the better part of a
century. Leaded petrol causes heart disease,
stroke and cancer.
The Economic Times - 31.08.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/
news/oil-and-gas/era-of-leaded-petrol-finally-
over-globally-un/85790404
OVL, IOC sign pact with Russia's
Gazprom
ONGC Videsh Ltd, India's flagship overseas oil and
gas firm, and the nation's largest refiner Indian Oil
Corporation (IOC) on Friday signed agreements
with Russia's Gazprom for cooperation in the
hydrocarbon sector. Indian oil and gas companies
are looking to acquire stakes in prolific oil and gas
areas in Russia as part of a larger strategy to
acquire equity oil and gas overseas that could
offset the country's huge 85 per cent dependence
on imports for meeting energy needs. OVL, the
overseas arm of state-owned Oil and Natural Gas
Corp (ONGC), inked MoUs on the sidelines of the
Eastern Economic Forum at Vladivostok, the
company tweeted. IOC also signed a similar MoU
for cooperation in the hydrocarbon sector. Oil
Minister Hardeep Singh Puri is leading an official
and business delegation to Russia to participate in
the 6th Eastern Economic Forum (EEF) Summit in
Vladivostok. Russia is also the largest investor in
India's oil and gas sector.
The Economic Times - 04.09.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne
ws/oil-and-gas/ovl-ioc-sign-pact-with-russias-
gazprom/85917020
Petronet looks to make foray into
petrochemical business, plans LNG
terminal in Odisha
Petronet LNG Ltd, India's largest gas importer,
plans to set up a petrochemical complex at
Dahej in Gujarat as it looks to make a foray into
high margin business to hedge gas trading
risks, Oil Secretary Tarun Kapoor said. Petronet,
which owns and operates to terminals at Dahej
and Kochi in Kerala for import of super-cooled
gas in ships, is also looking at setting up a
floating terminal at Gopalpur port in Odisha,
Kapoor, who is also chairman of the company,
said. In the firm's largest annual report, Kapoor
said Petronet "is embarking upon a major
diversification drive to broad base its business
activity and is exploring to have an ethane/
propane import facility at Dahej terminal."
Petronet "has also planned for setting up of a
petrochemical complex based on imported
propane at Dahej LNG Terminal", he said.
The Economic Times - 04.09.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/
news/oil-and-gas/petronet-looks-to-make-
foray-into-petrochemical-business-plans-lng-
terminal-in-odisha/85906227
ICRA revises steel sector outlook on
strong Q1
Ratings agency ICRA on Thursday revised its
outlook from 'stable' to 'positive' for the domestic
steel sector, as all major listed steel companies
have delivered healthy financial performance
during the April-June 2021 quarter. After the
outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, ICRA
had assigned a 'negative' outlook on the sector
expecting a record fall of 20% in domestic steel
demand during the financial year ended March
2021. However, it later upgraded its outlook for
the sector to 'stable' on the back of improving
demand and prices. In a statement, ICRA on
Thursday said, "It has revised the steel sector's
outlook to 'positive' from 'stable' following all large
listed steel companies reporting their best-ever
MakeMyTrip refunded Rs 642 crore for
travel bookings during Mar 25-May 24,
2020
Leading online travel firm MakeMyTrip said it
has been able to disburse Rs 642 crore in
refunds for the travel bookings between March
25 and May 24, 2020, due to enormous efforts
put by its teams. "We have disbursed Rs 642
crore in refunds for travel bookings between
25th March to 24th May 2020. Over the past
eighteen months, our teams have spent
considerable number of hours to ensure that our
customers remain duly informed about the
progress of their refund requests," a
MakeMyTrip spokesperson said in a statement.
Besides this, MakeMyTrip has worked closely
with its partner airlines to help resolve pending
7. quarterly performance in Q1 (April-June period) of
financial year 2022, and the earnings outlook
remaining healthy for the remaining months of
FY2022." Given the strong earnings growth and
capital expenditure (capex) curtailments following
the pandemic-related uncertainty, steelmakers
started to aggressively de-leverage since the
second quarter of FY2021.
Mint - 02.09.2021
https://www.livemint.com/news/india/icra-
revises-outlook-on-steel-sector-from-stable-to-
positive-11630591926672.html
cases, it added. MakeMyTrip CEO Rajesh Magow
on August 28 had said that the domino effect of
flight cancellations leading to a massive pile up
of refund requests needed an extraordinary
effort to solve for flight plan changes, credit
shells, refunds and more. "We are humbled to
share that through the enormous effort made
by our team over the last several months,
almost 99.6 per cent impacted bookings during
the lockdown period stand resolved today," he
added.
The New Indian Express - 31.08.2021
https://www.newindianexpress.com/business/
2021/aug/30/makemytrip-refunded-rs-642-
crore-for-travel-bookings-during-mar-25-may-
24-2020-2351862.html
Airlines in Favour of Govt Setting Fare
Bands
Domestic ticket prices are set to remain high as all
local airlines are in favour of the government
continuing to set fare bands. The government has
been fixing upper and lower limits on the basis of
distance since airline operations resumed in May
last year after a twomonth stoppage as part of the
nationwide Covid lockdown. This has led to an
increase in fares by up to 35% from prepandemic
levels. The government has also been regulating
capacity since then, setting limits on how many
passengers can be carried. "Airlines are also in
favour of a fare cap and we will continue with the
regulation of fares," said one of the persons. The
industry is, however, divided on the issue of
restoration of domestic capacity to 100% of pre-
Covid levels from the current 72.5%. ET spoke to
government officials and airline executives on the
issue — none of them wanted to be named. While
IndiGo and Vistara are said to be in favour of full
restoration of capacity, Spicejet and GoAir are
against it. AirAsia India and Air India aren’t
pushing for changes but are said to be keen on
relaxing the capacity restriction.
The Economic Times - 06.09.2021
https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TheEc
onomicTimes/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=ETK
M%2F2021%2F09%2F06&entity=Ar01301&sk=B
75A8F5C&mode=text
Vartika Shukla becomes first woman
CMD of Engineers India Ltd
State-owned engineering consultancy firm
Engineers India Ltd (EIL) today announced
Vartika Shukla has assumed charge as the first
woman Chairperson & Managing Director of the
company with effect from today. A graduate in
Chemical Engineering from the Indian Institute
of Technology, Kanpur, Shukla joined EIL in
1988 and possesses consulting experience
comprising Design, Engineering and
implementation of complexes in Refining, Gas
Processing, Petrochemicals, Fertilizers sectors.
"While EIL’s leadership position in domestic
hydrocarbon sector is unparalleled, the
company will strive to consolidate its
international footprints by mapping high
potential geographies and forging strategic
alliances," Shukla said. She has been
spearheading the company’s initiatives in new
energy areas including Bio Fuels, Coal
Gasification, Waste to Fuel and Hydrogen.
The Economic Times - 01.09.2021
https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/
news/oil-and-gas/vartika-shukla-becomes-
first-woman-cmd-of-engineers-india-
ltd/85832234
Shri Pankaj Kumar takes over as ONGC Director (Offshore)
Shri Pankaj Kumar took over charge of Director (Offshore) of Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited
(ONGC) on 4 September 2021. As Director (Offshore), Mr. Kumar will be responsible for the entire
gamut of Offshore Oil & Gas fields contributing around 70 per cent of Crude Oil and 78 percent of
Natural Gas production of the Maharatna ONGC. Shri Kumar is a thorough Oil & Gas industry
professional with more than 34 years of experience across ONGC’s business functions. He has held key
positions as Chief of Corporate Strategy & Planning group of ONGC and Asset Manager of Cambay and
Ahmedabad Asset. Sustainable production enhancement from mature fields of Ahmedabad and
Cambay . He has been instrumental in bringing numerous technological advances by working with
various Assets across the Energy major. During his recent tenure as Asset Manager of one of the
8. largest onshore Assets of ONGC at Ahmedabad, the country faced the worst-ever pandemic and lock
down. Under his dynamic leadership, during this severe lock-conditions, the Asset with 67 installations
continued production round-the-clock.
PSU Connect - 06.09.2021
https://www.psuconnect.in/news/Shri-Pankaj-Kumar-takes-over-as-ONGC-Director-Offshore/29244