The document discusses emerging trends in technology including the Internet of Things (IoT), artificial intelligence (AI), and their impacts. It notes that by 2020, IoT will include 26 billion connected devices, and AI is powering advances in areas like self-driving cars, medical services, and more. The document argues that Taiwan should seize opportunities from these new technologies by focusing on areas like becoming "The Heart of IoT/AI" through technical expertise, rather than continuing to focus only on manufacturing.

1. 萬物聯網 台灣機會
簡立峰

2. Google Confidential and Proprietary
SEE THE FUTURE
2

3. Mobile Everywhere & Impacts
2007
. iPhone
. Android
. Facebook
. Youtube
…

4. Millions of Apps

5. 新經濟!
● The new economy is the result of the transition from a
manufacturing-based economy to a service-based
economy.

6. Google Confidential and Proprietary
2007 (10 years ago)
. iPhone
. Android
. Facebook
. Youtube
. Google Maps
…
Cloud Services

7. Software is Eating the World
• Winners: digital platforms
– Amazon, bookseller
– Netflix, video service
– Apple’s iTunes, music site
– Pixar, movie production
– Google, marketing platform
– Skype, telecom
– LinkedIn, recruiting firm
– Airbnb, hotel
– Uber, taxi
• All software/internet companies
Marc Andreessen

8. Top 15 Internet Companies
(美國與中國主導, 歐日困難)

9. 新經濟成功方程式
• User, User, User (人口紅利, 大國崛起)
• Data, Data, Data (智慧服務基礎)
• Disruptive business model: 羊毛出在狗身上豬來買單
• Winner takes all, 贏者全拿

10. Google Confidential and Proprietary
Next 5 Billion Users
10
Source: Internet Live Stats

11. Google Confidential and Proprietary

12. 1
2
Paradigm Shift

13. Behavior is Converging

14. Electronics Brands Decline

16. Google Confidential and Proprietary
Mobile First

17. Internet of Things
• Gartner: By 2020 IoT Will Include 26 Billion Units
Source: Mary Meeker

18. Wearable …

19. Google Confidential and Proprietary

20. Smart Home

21. The Internet of Cars

22. Self Driving

23. Artificial Intelligence:
the Future of Smartphone?

24. AlphaGo & Google DeepMind
Enable New Wave of AI

25. Source: http://www.investors.com/

26. AI is not New
• Spam mails catching (use ML to improve rules)
– Spam rate is down to 0.1 %
– False positive rate to 0.05 %
• Smart services using AI
– Machine translation
– Speech recognition
– Image recognition
• Computer vision on self-driving car

27. Why does AI matter?
• Deep Learning algorithms show promising results
• Big Data is rapidly growing
• Scalable machine learning tools/platforms available
– Tensorflow, open source software lib for ML

28. Progress in AI (wiki)
• Super-Human
– Chess, Go
– Driving a car
• Par-Human
– OCR, Classification of images
• Sub-Human
– Handwriting recognition
– Translation
– Speech recognition
– Natural Language Understanding
– Many challenging problems for AI

29. Huge Investment in AI Startups

31. What AI is and isn’t ?
• Domains that AI works well
– Modern AI can match or exceed human
in narrow domains
– Knowedge that is trainable by data
– Behavior that is predictable
• Domains that AI didnt’ work well
– AI still lacks the flexibility and
generality of the human mind
– Semantic-level understanding
– …

32. 3
2
New Trends:
Driven by AI
and IoT

33. Trends:
Smartphone as AI Supercomputer
• Tim Cook: AI is the future of smartphone
• For privacy and latency reasons, some AI will run on a phone
• Instantaneous AI will take augmented reality far beyond
Pokémon Go

34. Trends: Hardware Accelerates AI
• Google’s Tensor Processing Unit
(TPU) in the cloud
• NVIDIA’s GPUs power deep
learning neural networks
• Intel acquires AI company,
Nervana and Movidius
• MIT: created chipset to perform
AI tasks without being connected
to the internet
• More efforts will move deep
learning from cloud to phones,
smart cars, robots, …

35. Trends: AI at Home

36. Trends: AI on Car

37. Trends:
Drone: Next Camera Follows You

39. Robotics
3
9

41. BMWs’ Car Factory

43. On Medical Service

44. Taiwan’s Opportunities
44

51. 換個角度看台灣

52. 大國旁小國

53. 集中單一產業

55. 技術輸出? 代工生產?

56. The Heart of …..

57. Mindshare?

58. 58
Google
yourself !