S. V. Cao
Kyoto University
(On behalf of the T2K collaboration )
Neutrino Oscillation Physics Potential of
T2K Phase 2 - a Possible Extension of The
T2K Experiment
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond
T2K experiment
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond
 High intensity, almost pure muon (anti) neutrino beam from J-PARC
 The world’s first off-axis designed neutrino experiment
 Far Detector (SK) is 2.50 off the beam’s axis
 Narrow band beam, peaked at oscillation maximum (0.6 GeV)
5
10
5
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
Angle(degrees)
Data
Best fit
Background component
Momentum (MeV/c)
0 500 1000 1500
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
Data
Best fit
(km/GeV)Recon.L/E
2
10 3
10
0
0.5
1
1.5
Ratiotono
oscillations
Events/0.1GeV
0
20
40
60
DATA
Best-fit MC with Oscillations
MC without Oscillations
0
Events/100MeV
2
4
6
8
10
12
14 No oscillation
Best fit spectra
Data
Energy (GeV)mnReconstructed
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
Ratio
0.5
1
1.5
PRL. 112, 181801 (2014)PRL 112, 061802 (2014)
 Primary goal is to measure precisely neutrino oscillations
Stay tuned for:
 Observe
 CP phase
 Unknowns…
T2K Preliminary
T2K Preliminary
2
See Christine’s talk
arXiv:1515.02495Paper in preparation
T2K Phase 2 proposal
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond
 Approved T2K statistics, 7.8 x1021
POT, can be accumulated by JFY2020
 Hyper-K and DUNE are expected to
start around 2026
 T2K Phase 2, if extended to JFY2026,
collects ~ 20x1021 POT
 Neutrino beamline upgrade &
analysis improvements (SK fiducial
volume, add new event sample)
 Effectively add 50% statistics
 Reduction of systematic uncertainties
to enhance CPV sensitivity
3
Number of events expected at T2K far detector
with full proposed T2K Phase 2 exposure
J-PARC Main Ring expected beam power
& T2K Phase 2 accumulation scenario
T2K Phase 2 sensitivity to CPV
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond
 2016 work-in-progress systematic uncertainty is implemented
 ~ 3𝜎 significance sensitivity to CP violation if 𝛿CP= - 𝜋/2
 99% C.L. significance for more than 35% of the possible true values of 𝛿CP
4
)21
Protons-on-Target (x10
0 5 10 15 20
=0CPdtoexcludesin2
cD
0
5
10
15 =0.4323
q2
True sin
=0.5023
q2
True sin
=0.6023
q2
True sin
90% C.L.
99% C.L.
C.L.s3
w/ eff. stat. improvements (no sys. errs.)
w/ 2016 sys. errs.
Work in Progress
)°(CPdTrue
200- 100- 0 100 200
=0CPdtoexcludesin2
cD
0
5
10
15
20
=0.4323q2
True sin
=0.5023q2
True sin
=0.6023q2
True sin
90% C.L.
99% C.L.
C.L.s3
POT w/ eff. stat. improvements & 2016 sys. errs.21
20x10
POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21
7.8x10
Work in Progress
T2K Phase 2 sensitivity to CPV
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond 5
)21
Protons-on-Target (x10
0 5 10 15 20
=0CPdtoexcludesin2
cD
0
5
10
15 =0.4323
q2
True sin
=0.5023
q2
True sin
=0.6023
q2
True sin
90% C.L.
99% C.L.
C.L.s3
w/ eff. stat. improvements (no sys. errors)
w/ eff. stat. & sys. improvements
Work in Progress
)°(CPdTrue
200- 100- 0 100 200
=0CPdtoexcludesin2
cD
0
5
10
15
20
=0.4323q2
True sin
=0.5023q2
True sin
=0.6023q2
True sin
90% C.L.
99% C.L.
C.L.s3
POT w/ eff. stat. & sys. improvements21
20x10
POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21
7.8x10
Work in Progress
 Improvement of systematic uncertainty is considered
 > 3𝜎 significance sensitivity to CP violation if 𝛿CP= - 𝜋/2
 99% C.L. significance for more than 45% of the possible true values of 𝛿CP
T2K Phase 2 sensitivity to atmospheric parameters
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond
 1% precision of 𝛥m2
23
 0.5o - 1.7o precision of 𝜃23 depending on its true value
 ~3𝜎 significance for resolving 𝜃23 octant
if sin2 𝜃23 >0.6 or sin2 𝜃23 <0.43
23
q2
sin
0.4 0.5 0.6
32
2
mD
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3-
10´
Current POT , 90% C.L
POT, 90% C.L21
7.8x10
POT w/improvement, 90% C.L21
20x10
Stat. only
Systematics
Work in Progress
23
q2
sin
0.4 0.5 0.6
32
2
mD
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3-
10´
Current POT , 90% C.L
POT, 90% C.L21
7.8x10
POT w/improvement, 90% C.L21
20x10
Stat. only
Systematics
Work in Progress
6
Other prospects of T2K Phase 2 & Summary
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond
 Various new physics opportunities
 Sterile neutrino search
 Non-standard interactions with matter
 CPT and Lorentz invariance test
 Other unknowns
 Understand neutrino interactions
Explore currently statistic-limited channels
Build a proper model for neutrino interactions
 The proposed T2K Phase 2 attracts a strong interest from the T2K
collaboration to pursue exploration of CP violation in a wide range of 𝛿CP,
3𝜎 or higher at maximum CP violation, precise measurement of neutrino
parameters and possibility for new physics search.
7
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond 8
Thank you!
Backup: T2K sensitivity to CPV
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond 9
)21
Protons-on-Target (x10
0 2 4 6
=0CPdtoexcludesin2
cD
0
1
2
3
4
5
=0.4323
q2
True sin
=0.5023
q2
True sin
=0.6023
q2
True sin
90% C.L.
w/ no systematic error
w/ 2016 systematic error
Work in Progress
Backup: Systematic uncertainty
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond
 Current systematics is 5.5% to 6.8%
 Projected systematic error is ~4%
10
Backup: Unknown & known MH
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond 11
)°(CPdTrue
200- 100- 0 100 200
=0CPdtoexcludesin2
cD
0
5
10
15
20
=0.4323q2
True sin
=0.5023q2
True sin
=0.6023q2
True sin
90% C.L.
99% C.L.
C.L.s3
POT w/ eff. stat. & sys. improvements21
20x10
POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21
7.8x10
Work in Progress
)°(CPdTrue
200- 100- 0 100 200=0CPdtoexcludesin2
cD
0
5
10
15
20
=0.4323q2
True sin
=0.5023q2
True sin
=0.6023q2
True sin
POT w/ eff. stat. & sys. improvements21
20x10
POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21
7.8x10
90% C.L.
99% C.L.
C.L.s3
Work in Progress
With systematic improvements
Backup: Unknown & known MH
3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond 12
)°(CPdTrue
200- 100- 0 100 200
=0CPdtoexcludesin2
cD
0
5
10
15
20
=0.4323q2
True sin
=0.5023q2
True sin
=0.6023q2
True sin
90% C.L.
99% C.L.
C.L.s3
POT w/ eff. stat. improvements & 2016 sys. errs.21
20x10
POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21
7.8x10
Work in Progress
)°(CPdTrue
200- 100- 0 100 200=0CPdtoexcludesin2
cD
0
5
10
15
20
=0.4323q2
True sin
=0.5023q2
True sin
=0.6023q2
True sin
POT w/ eff. stat. improvements & 2016 sys. errs.21
20x10
POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21
7.8x10
90% C.L.
99% C.L.
C.L.s3
Work in Progress
Without systematic improvements

Neutrino Oscillation Physics Potential of T2K Phase 2 - a Possible Extension of The T2K Experiment

  • 1.
    S. V. Cao KyotoUniversity (On behalf of the T2K collaboration ) Neutrino Oscillation Physics Potential of T2K Phase 2 - a Possible Extension of The T2K Experiment 3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond
  • 2.
    T2K experiment 3/14/16 51stRenconstres de Moriond  High intensity, almost pure muon (anti) neutrino beam from J-PARC  The world’s first off-axis designed neutrino experiment  Far Detector (SK) is 2.50 off the beam’s axis  Narrow band beam, peaked at oscillation maximum (0.6 GeV) 5 10 5 0 30 60 90 120 150 180 Angle(degrees) Data Best fit Background component Momentum (MeV/c) 0 500 1000 1500 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 Data Best fit (km/GeV)Recon.L/E 2 10 3 10 0 0.5 1 1.5 Ratiotono oscillations Events/0.1GeV 0 20 40 60 DATA Best-fit MC with Oscillations MC without Oscillations 0 Events/100MeV 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 No oscillation Best fit spectra Data Energy (GeV)mnReconstructed 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Ratio 0.5 1 1.5 PRL. 112, 181801 (2014)PRL 112, 061802 (2014)  Primary goal is to measure precisely neutrino oscillations Stay tuned for:  Observe  CP phase  Unknowns… T2K Preliminary T2K Preliminary 2 See Christine’s talk arXiv:1515.02495Paper in preparation
  • 3.
    T2K Phase 2proposal 3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond  Approved T2K statistics, 7.8 x1021 POT, can be accumulated by JFY2020  Hyper-K and DUNE are expected to start around 2026  T2K Phase 2, if extended to JFY2026, collects ~ 20x1021 POT  Neutrino beamline upgrade & analysis improvements (SK fiducial volume, add new event sample)  Effectively add 50% statistics  Reduction of systematic uncertainties to enhance CPV sensitivity 3 Number of events expected at T2K far detector with full proposed T2K Phase 2 exposure J-PARC Main Ring expected beam power & T2K Phase 2 accumulation scenario
  • 4.
    T2K Phase 2sensitivity to CPV 3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond  2016 work-in-progress systematic uncertainty is implemented  ~ 3𝜎 significance sensitivity to CP violation if 𝛿CP= - 𝜋/2  99% C.L. significance for more than 35% of the possible true values of 𝛿CP 4 )21 Protons-on-Target (x10 0 5 10 15 20 =0CPdtoexcludesin2 cD 0 5 10 15 =0.4323 q2 True sin =0.5023 q2 True sin =0.6023 q2 True sin 90% C.L. 99% C.L. C.L.s3 w/ eff. stat. improvements (no sys. errs.) w/ 2016 sys. errs. Work in Progress )°(CPdTrue 200- 100- 0 100 200 =0CPdtoexcludesin2 cD 0 5 10 15 20 =0.4323q2 True sin =0.5023q2 True sin =0.6023q2 True sin 90% C.L. 99% C.L. C.L.s3 POT w/ eff. stat. improvements & 2016 sys. errs.21 20x10 POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21 7.8x10 Work in Progress
  • 5.
    T2K Phase 2sensitivity to CPV 3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond 5 )21 Protons-on-Target (x10 0 5 10 15 20 =0CPdtoexcludesin2 cD 0 5 10 15 =0.4323 q2 True sin =0.5023 q2 True sin =0.6023 q2 True sin 90% C.L. 99% C.L. C.L.s3 w/ eff. stat. improvements (no sys. errors) w/ eff. stat. & sys. improvements Work in Progress )°(CPdTrue 200- 100- 0 100 200 =0CPdtoexcludesin2 cD 0 5 10 15 20 =0.4323q2 True sin =0.5023q2 True sin =0.6023q2 True sin 90% C.L. 99% C.L. C.L.s3 POT w/ eff. stat. & sys. improvements21 20x10 POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21 7.8x10 Work in Progress  Improvement of systematic uncertainty is considered  > 3𝜎 significance sensitivity to CP violation if 𝛿CP= - 𝜋/2  99% C.L. significance for more than 45% of the possible true values of 𝛿CP
  • 6.
    T2K Phase 2sensitivity to atmospheric parameters 3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond  1% precision of 𝛥m2 23  0.5o - 1.7o precision of 𝜃23 depending on its true value  ~3𝜎 significance for resolving 𝜃23 octant if sin2 𝜃23 >0.6 or sin2 𝜃23 <0.43 23 q2 sin 0.4 0.5 0.6 32 2 mD 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3- 10´ Current POT , 90% C.L POT, 90% C.L21 7.8x10 POT w/improvement, 90% C.L21 20x10 Stat. only Systematics Work in Progress 23 q2 sin 0.4 0.5 0.6 32 2 mD 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3- 10´ Current POT , 90% C.L POT, 90% C.L21 7.8x10 POT w/improvement, 90% C.L21 20x10 Stat. only Systematics Work in Progress 6
  • 7.
    Other prospects ofT2K Phase 2 & Summary 3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond  Various new physics opportunities  Sterile neutrino search  Non-standard interactions with matter  CPT and Lorentz invariance test  Other unknowns  Understand neutrino interactions Explore currently statistic-limited channels Build a proper model for neutrino interactions  The proposed T2K Phase 2 attracts a strong interest from the T2K collaboration to pursue exploration of CP violation in a wide range of 𝛿CP, 3𝜎 or higher at maximum CP violation, precise measurement of neutrino parameters and possibility for new physics search. 7
  • 8.
    3/14/16 51st Renconstresde Moriond 8 Thank you!
  • 9.
    Backup: T2K sensitivityto CPV 3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond 9 )21 Protons-on-Target (x10 0 2 4 6 =0CPdtoexcludesin2 cD 0 1 2 3 4 5 =0.4323 q2 True sin =0.5023 q2 True sin =0.6023 q2 True sin 90% C.L. w/ no systematic error w/ 2016 systematic error Work in Progress
  • 10.
    Backup: Systematic uncertainty 3/14/1651st Renconstres de Moriond  Current systematics is 5.5% to 6.8%  Projected systematic error is ~4% 10
  • 11.
    Backup: Unknown &known MH 3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond 11 )°(CPdTrue 200- 100- 0 100 200 =0CPdtoexcludesin2 cD 0 5 10 15 20 =0.4323q2 True sin =0.5023q2 True sin =0.6023q2 True sin 90% C.L. 99% C.L. C.L.s3 POT w/ eff. stat. & sys. improvements21 20x10 POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21 7.8x10 Work in Progress )°(CPdTrue 200- 100- 0 100 200=0CPdtoexcludesin2 cD 0 5 10 15 20 =0.4323q2 True sin =0.5023q2 True sin =0.6023q2 True sin POT w/ eff. stat. & sys. improvements21 20x10 POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21 7.8x10 90% C.L. 99% C.L. C.L.s3 Work in Progress With systematic improvements
  • 12.
    Backup: Unknown &known MH 3/14/16 51st Renconstres de Moriond 12 )°(CPdTrue 200- 100- 0 100 200 =0CPdtoexcludesin2 cD 0 5 10 15 20 =0.4323q2 True sin =0.5023q2 True sin =0.6023q2 True sin 90% C.L. 99% C.L. C.L.s3 POT w/ eff. stat. improvements & 2016 sys. errs.21 20x10 POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21 7.8x10 Work in Progress )°(CPdTrue 200- 100- 0 100 200=0CPdtoexcludesin2 cD 0 5 10 15 20 =0.4323q2 True sin =0.5023q2 True sin =0.6023q2 True sin POT w/ eff. stat. improvements & 2016 sys. errs.21 20x10 POT w/ 2016 sys. errs.21 7.8x10 90% C.L. 99% C.L. C.L.s3 Work in Progress Without systematic improvements

Editor's Notes

  • #3 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #4 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #5 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #6 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #7 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #8 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #9 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #10 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #11 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #12 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)
  • #13 U_{\text{PMNS}}= \left( \begin{matrix} 1 & 0 & 0\\ 0 &c_{23} & s_{23}\\ 0 & -s_{23} & c_{23} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{13} & 0 & s_{13}e^{-i\delta_{\text{CP}}}\\ 0 &1 & 0\\ -s_{13}e^{i\delta_{\text{CP}}} & 0 & c_{13} \end{matrix} \right) \left( \begin{matrix} c_{12} & s_{12} & 0\\ -s_{12} &c_{12} & 0\\ 0 & 0 & 1 \end{matrix} \right)