SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 89
Download to read offline
Capturing the alfalfa opportunity in Gansu
Lanzhou, China July 2014
Table of Contents
C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
D Strategy & Business Model
E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
F Organisation Structure & Governance
B Market and Industry Background
G Finance & Investments
H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
1
A Introduction
Executive Summary
5
9
20
2
65
30
54
78
85
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2
Executive Summary (1/2)
Executive Summary
3
 Capitlising on growing demand for high quality feed to support China’s increasing meat and
dairy consumption, Gansu Modern Forage Development Co., Ltd. (GMF) aims to be China’s
top commercial producer of alfalfa and alfalfa products. GMF’s business model is aligned with
government policy and supports rural development by improving farmers’ livelihoods and
reviving unused or underutilized arid land in Gansu Province.
 GMF’s current operational hub is in Dingxi Prefecture, one of China’s least developed areas
situated less than 100km from Gansu’s provincial capital Lanzhou. The provincial and local
government strongly supports alfalfa cultivation through favorable policies such as
landscaping, transfer of land use rights and other incentives.
 GMF must overcome a number of challenges to achieve its goal including insufficient supply
and inconsistent quality of alfalfa, weak and fragmented supply chains and a lack of
mechanization suited to mountainous terrain to support more efficient harvesting. GMF must
also secure the talent and funding, engage in the partnerships and institute the governance
mechanisms required to support the rapid growth of the business.
 GMF has an opportunity to grow 50% p.a through 2019, see a tenfold increase sales volume
and achieve sales and net profit of RMB1.3B and RMB144M respectively.
 External capital is required to fund expansion and can be secured in the form of investment
from socially-oriented investors interested in rural development and financing from local
banks.
 The estimated total investment needed is RMB 30M over the next 5 years before breakeven.
Executive Summary (2/2)
Executive Summary
4
Key recommendations to GMF are:
– Focus on the production of alfalfa pellets to take advantage of rising demand from
the animal husbandry sector, using as raw material medium quality alfalfa which can
be cultivated on large tracts of rain fed mountainous land in Gansu
– Differentiate through an inclusive business model by establishing cooperatives of
alfalfa collectors and farmers and offering these key stakeholders shareholding in the
parent company to strengthen the value chain and secure consistent supply
– Enter into a strategic partnership with an agricultural machinery provider to develop
and distribute appropriate technology such as alfalfa harvesters customised for use
on mountainous terrain and pulley systems for more efficient transport of alfalfa
– Acquire and retain a strong management team and offer shareholding to instil a
sense of ownership and shared success
– Work alongside the government and farming communities to promote the utilisation
of unused mountainous land for alfalfa cultivation by demonstrating through its
business model the potential benefits of the alfalfa market for rural development.
Note: Financial models and assumptions available upon request
Table of Contents
C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
D Strategy & Business Model
E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
F Organisation Structure & Governance
Executive Summary
B Market and Industry Background
G Finance & Investments
H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
5
A Introduction
GIFT Global Leaders Programme
 The Global Institute For Tomorrow (GIFT) is an independent pan-Asian think tank
focused on advancing a deeper understanding of global issues including the shift of
economic and political influence from the West to Asia, the dynamic relationship
between business and society, and the reshaping of the rules of global capitalism.
 The Global Leaders Programme is the flagship executive education programme offered
by GIFT for leading global organisations.
6
Introduction
Global team works on real-world field project
 24 participants from 8 countries and 14 organisations traveled to Gansu to develop
strategic recommendations to support GMF expansion.
 The group engaged in site visits, field research and stakeholder meetings and focus
groups with GMF Chairman and employees, government officials, farmers,
collectors and cooperatives and strategic partners including financial institutions
and machinery providers.
7
Introduction
Project objectives and scope
Development of five-year expansion strategy for GMF
Analysis of current
status
Business Plan
Implementation
 Forage market and industry based on own research
and interviews with stakeholders
 GMF current status and operational model
 Opportunities and challenges
 Business model for different growth scenarios
 Recommended actions for
– Operations and supply chain
– Stakeholder management
– Organizational structure and governance
– Finance and investment
 Time line and implementation
8
Introduction
Table of Contents
C Gansu Modern Forage - Current Status
D Strategy & Business Model
E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
F Organisation Structure & Governance
Executive Summary
G Finance & Investments
H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
9
A Introduction
B Market and Industry Background
This section will cover 3 areas
10
Rural
development
Section
Alfalfa industry
as an opportunity
Alfalfa market
outlook
Description/Objectives
Importance of agriculture in bringing
prosperity to underdeveloped areas of China
such as Gansu
Opportunities and challenges of the growing
market for alfalfa in rural Gansu
Growth in demand for alfalfa in China
Market and Industry Background
Rural development policies make investment attractive
11
Central Government: President Xi Jingping: “Building a harmonious society is crucial for realizing
China Dream,” Xi further emphasized in 18th National Congress “Three-Rural Issues”(agriculture,
rural development and farmers)to be addressed by reforming rural economies, developing
modern technology and better “social management” in rural areas.
Agriculture
-- Annual grain production capacity to be no less than 540 million tons
-- Farmland reserves to be no less than 1.818 billion mu; *one mu = 666.7 square metres
Livelihoods
-- Pension schemes to cover all rural residents
-- Construction and Renovation of 36 million apartments for low-income families
Social management
-- Improved public service for rural residents
-- Better social management system for greater social harmony
Reform
-- In-depth reform in monopoly industries for easier market entry and more competition
-- Improved government efficiency and credibility.
Market and Industry Background – Rural Development
National and provincial government policies support
agricultural sector growth
12
 National Policies:
– Improve productivity of food crops
– Enhance agri-tech and equipment access
– Optimize agribusiness and agri-economic
structure
– Develop rural public services and
infrastructure
– Innovate rural developmental schemes
– Intensify environmental protection
 Gansu Provincial Policies:
– Subsidy for grassland ecology conservation
– Support dairy-alfalfa sector growth
– Loess Plateau rehabilitation scheme
– Enhance agricultural sector, improve
farmers’ income through restructuring,
technological support, and procedural
innovation
– Become a leader in the forage industry
Market and Industry Background – Rural Development
Gansu well suited for alfalfa cultivation with significant
amounts of arid but potentially arable land
13
Large but Low Quality
Farmland Available
 Arable land: 80M Mu
 80% of farmland is medium
to low quality
 Elevation 1000m+
 Low annual rainfall
- Avg 300mm
Large Rural Population
 26 million Population
 61% Rural population
- Low annual Income RMB 5,000
 39% Urban population
- Annual income RMB 20,000
Underdeveloped
 GDP: RMB 627bn (Rank 27th)
 GDP per capita: Rank 30th of 31
provinces in China
Gansu can benefit from a new growth sector
Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
Emerging middle class driving growth in demand for
forage crops
14
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Milk Cattle Rabbit Sheep Goat Chicken
Source: United Nations, FAOSTAT own calculations
Chinese production of animal products (million tons)
Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
 Perennial flowering legume cultivated globally. Highly palatable and
primarily used as feed for high producing dairy cows because of its high
protein content and highly digestible fiber compared to grass
 Can be harvested three to four times a year (twice a year in most parts of
Gansu due to environmental conditions and cultivation techniques)
 Requires minimal crop management and does not need to be replanted
for approx ten years – quality peaks seven to eight years after planting
 High vitamin and mineral content make alfalfa the best forage for
maximizing productivity in dairy cattle. Alfalfa has been scientifically
proven to positively impact milk production yields, protein content and
overall cattle health
 Alfalfa quality is primarily defined by crude protein content and fiber
content. Its yield and quality are significantly impacted by the stage of
maturity at cut and number of previous cuts.
 The Relative Feed Value (RFV), Crude Protein Content (CP) and Total
Digestible Nutrients (TDN) are highest in pre- to mid-bloom with lower
Acid Detergent Fibre (ADF) and Neutral Detergent Fibre (NDF) fibre
content.
Alfalfa – The Queen of forages
15
Source: University of Kentucky Dept. of Agronomy
Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
Alfalfa uniquely positioned as an economic growth
pillar for Gansu with strong government support
16
Alfalfa
 Strong central government
support
 Strong provincial support to
make forage a pillar of economic
growth
 Chinese domestic milk
production back on growth track
after melamine scandal
 Economic growth and emerging
middle class resulting in higher
meat and dairy consumption
Regulatory
Environment
Huge Market Potential
Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
The early stage
1999-2003
 Informal market began in 2001
 Companies with Competitive
advantages in production,
quality, geography or logistics
flourished
 Market Situation: Supply
surplus and low quality crop
 Small area of land dedicated to
cultivation (500K mu)
Alfalfa has gone through 3 major development stages in
China and is now on a positive path with great potential
17
The challenging stage
2003-2006
Great Horizon Stage
2006 - now
 Regulatory change in
government subsidy impacted
attractiveness of growing
alfalfa compared to other crops
(i.e. corn and potato)
 Poor quality: Chinese alfalfa
was often “mouldy” and alfalfa
products often “impure” due
to mixing other ingredients
 Increased demand due to
standardization/consolidation
of large scale animal husbandry
driven by growth in dairy
consumption
 Increase in alfalfa prices
attracted more farmers
 Domestic companies realised
need to provide good quality
and sustainable supply to
compete with imported alfalfa
 Enhanced government support
linked to poverty alleviation,
reversing desertification and
and rural development
Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
Market and Industry Background – Market Outlook
18
China’s 34 million ton Alfalfa market potential:
Dairy, Sheep and Goat production biggest consumers
Sources:
http://en.cnki.com.cn/Article_en/CJFDTOTAL-GWXK201011004.htm
http://www.chinadailyasia.com/business/2014-
02/07/content_15116592.html
United Nations FAOSTAT
Estimations from calculations using available data
3% 4%
8%
15%
19%23%
28%
Rabbits Chicken
Pigs Beef
Milk cows Goats
Sheep
Market split If Alfalfa is industry’s forage of choice
Sectors
Estimated alfalfa input
needed for animal feed
(in million tons)
Sheep 9.3
Goats 7.6
Milk cows 6.5
Beef 5.2
Pigs 2.8
Chicken 1.4
Rabbits 1.0
Total 33.8
Alfalfa industry: Positive growth outlook
19
Alfalfa market in China (million tons)
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2013-2019: Forecast
Market and Industry Background – Market Outlook
Table of Contents
D Strategy & Business Model
E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
F Organisation Structure & Governance
Executive Summary
B Market and Industry Background
G Finance & Investments
H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
20
A Introduction
C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
This section will cover 3 areas
Gansu Modern
Forage – current
position
Section
Current business
analysis
Business model
Description/Objectives
Gansu Modern Forage’s (GMF) unique
position in the Chinese alfalfa market
Strong financial position of the company
Established business value chain
Gansu Modern Forage’s current business
model and competitors
21
Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
Gansu Modern Forage: Well positioned to take
advantage of the growing market for alfalfa
22
Early rapid
growth
Description
 Founded in 2009, grew rapidly in first three years from
4,300 tons to 65,000 tons
Chairman’s
experience
 Founder and Chairman, Zhang Yuping is a 25 year
veteran of the domestic dairy industry and initial
shareholder at leading dairy company Mengniu
 Mr. Zhang is a member of the “Corporation Decision
Commission” at Mengniu and one of their major
distributors in northwest China
Scientific
Approach
 Utilizes modern scientific forage research and crop
management techniques to standardize and
maximize production and quality of domestically
grown alfalfa
Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
GMF at an inflection point after successful start-up
23
GMF: at an inflection point
 GMF has successfully ramped up sales
 Stable profits with good outlook
 Established value chain
 The company is now at an inflection point where it would
significantly grow and benefit from further investments
and improvements to its business, financing model and
mgmt structure
Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
Current Alfalfa products include domestic and imported
hay and high-grade alfalfa pellets
24
Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
Well established, concentrated customer base leaves
room for expansion with existing and new customers
25
40%
Other
13%
15%
23%
40%
New customers: focus areas
Moving into high-grade pellet feed is key:
 Rabbit feed
 Specialized poultry feed
 Specialized lamb feed
Additional dairy firms can help to diversify risk of having sales
portfolio tied up into few big customers
Opportunity to explore niche products i.e. alfalfa tea and
supplements
Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
Currently a small percentage of total supply
Harvesting services
FINANCIERS
Banks, Credit unions,
micro-finance institutions
MACHINERY
PROVIDERS
GMF FARMS
“Company-
leased land”
COLLECTORS &
COOPERATIVES
Considered
“land under
cultivation”
Own / acquire / consolidate land
Employees
CUSTOMERS
Dairy farms, Meat
producers, Feed
companies, etc
GMF
Flow of Cash
Flow of Goods & Services
DOMESTIC ALFALFA SUPPLY
Landowners
SMALLHOLDER FARMERS
US-BASED
ALFALFA
IMPORTERS
(higher quality
+ price)
Existing Business model
Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
Producing Area N.A.
Production ~50,000 metric ton per annum
Locations Beijing
Key products Alfalfa hay products (bales, pellets)
Producing Area 42,000 mu (6,919 acre)
Production N.A.
Locations Beijing, Gansu
Key products Alfalfa hay products (bales, cubes) and other animal
feed products
Producing Area N.A.
Planned production
capacity
<200,000 metric ton per annum (historical forecast,
current capacity expected to be significantly lower)
Locations Sichuan, Gansu
Key products Alfalfa hay products (bales, pellets) and grass
products
Planned producing
Area
60,000 mu (9,884 acre)
Production capacity N.A.
Locations Inner Mongolia
Key products Alfalfa hay products (bales, cubes)
27
Competitive Analysis: main competitors
Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
Gansu Modern Forage is uniquely positioned for
growth in the alfalfa market
Progressive
Management
Business
Performance
Geographical
Location
 Experienced Chairman with 25 years industry experience
 Committed to growing the company in a socially responsible way
 Strong financial standing with stable business performance
 Existing capacity to ramp up production of pellets to meet demand
 Company assets located in heart of alfalfa cultivation areas with good
infrastructure links (e.g. railways and roads)
 Strategically located in areas with ample supply of cheap and unused land
ideal for growing alfalfa suitable for pellet production
 Aligned with government policy to alleviate poverty in rural Gansu
through development of the agricultural sector
28
Regulatory
Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
Key opportunities for Gansu Modern Forage’s future
29
Product mix
Area
Supply Chain
Opportunities
 Significantly scale up and increase
proportion of alfalfa pellet
production in order to capture
rising demand in Chinese market
 Increase amount of land covered
in supply chain and expand
supplier network thus increase
supply of raw materials
Partnerships
 Differentiate through innovations to
current business model to enable
growth
 Secure financing and/or capital for
five year expansion plan
Proposed Solution
 Acquire cheap underutilised
mountainous land
 Form new cooperatives
 Appropriate technology i.e.
harvester and pulley system
 Offer key cooperatives
shareholding in GMF
 Seek external investors
and/or partnerships with
local banks
 Utilise lower quality alfalfa
which can be grown on
mountainous terrain
Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
Table of Contents
C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
F Organisation Structure & Governance
Executive Summary
B Market and Industry Background
G Finance & Investments
H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
30
A Introduction
D Strategy & Business Model
This section will cover three areas
Business model
Section
Market strategy
Supply chain
Description/Objectives
Key elements of the proposed business model
for GMF
Suggested GMF market strategy and business
growth scenarios
Recommendations on expansion of GMF’s
alfalfa supply chain
31
Strategy & Business Model
Proposed business model must significantly grow
GMF’s alfalfa business
Going forward, GMF should therefore focus
increasingly on the production of alfalfa pellets
and significantly scale-up its operations through
enhanced access to raw materials
 Pellets to contribute 75% of alfalfa business,
capturing demand growth in Chinese meat
production industry
 Through pellet production GMF can
differentiate and diversify its business model
from pure collector-distributor competitors
models, and realize higher margins
 GMF can utilize lower quality alfalfa to
produce Alfalfa pellets. The supply of lower
quality alfalfa can be scaled up significantly
by expanding alfalfa cultivation into currently
underutilised land in Gansu province
Strategy & Business Model – Business Model
32
Strategic partnerships must play a key role in proposed
business model
GMF must therefore engage in strategic
partnerships to increase access to alfalfa supply.
 Collectors: to form cooperatives and offer
“sweat equity” to support increased alfalfa
cultivation and supply. Coops can organise
farmers and provide value-added services
 Machinery providers: to co-develop
customized harvesters and potentially a
pulley system for efficient transport
 Banks: to finance GMF and key suppliers
working capital to support scaling up
 Government: to continue to develop local
alfalfa industry via:
– Landscaping of arable land
– Subsidies for new machinery deployment
– Financial support for collectors
33
Strategy & Business Model – Business Model
Future business model
GMF
GMF leased farmland Cooperatives
Domestic suppliers
Farmers & collectors
Dairy farms, Meat
producers, Feed
companies
Customers
Government
Banks
Machinery COs.
Strategic Partners
Flow of Alfalfa
Flow of cash
34
Changes to existing model
 Focus on alfalfa pellets production
 Establish collectors cooperative
 Strategic partnerships with government,
machinery providers and banks
Sweat
equity
Customised
harvesters
Strategy & Business Model – Business Model
Business model
Section
Market strategy
Supply chain
Description/Objectives
Key elements of the proposed business model
for GMF
Suggested GMF market positioning and
business growth scenarios
Recommendations on expansion of GMF’s
alfalfa supply chain
35
Strategy & Business Model
Three main scenarios evaluated: significant growth
within reach if recommendations implemented
36
Proposed
Base case
Vision
(Best case)
 Reach one million ton production
/year by 2019
 Realising GMF mgmt team long term
vision by successful implementation
all key recommendations
 Achieve 0.6 million ton production/
year by 2019
 Implementing majority of key
recommendations within proposed
timeline
 Continued organic growth without
significant changes to current
business model
 Negligible growth in production
S cenario
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
000’stons
vision proposed base
Strategy & Business Model – Market Strategy
Three five-year business scenarios for GMF expansion
based on key parameters
Base case Proposed Case
 120,000
 62,000
 134,084,000
 4%
 2,000,000
 1,000,000
 2,298,684,000
 70%
Government
landscaping
support
 Current levels of
landscaping maintained
Attractiveness
to and loyalty
of collectors
 Current level
Vision
(Best Case)
 1,200,000
 602,000
 1,379,084,000
 50%
 Profit sharing scheme
with collectors in place
 Medium-scale outreach
 Minimal, current level  70% mechanization
(highest feasible case)
Technical
support &
education for
farmers
 No outreach program
 Up to 50%
mechanization
 Medium-scale outreach
program in collaboration
with government
extension office
Land base (mu)
Sales vol (mt)
Revenue RMB
Growth rate
Strategy & Business Model – Market Strategy
37
Mechanization
 Profit sharing scheme
with collectors in place
 Maximum outreach
 At least 50% of Gansu’s
counties under active
landscaping program
 100% of Gansu’s
counties under active
landscaping program
 Massive, large scale
outreach program in
collaboration with
government extension
office
GMF strategy to focus on alfalfa pellets to capture value
Product
Price
Customer
 Shift Focus to Alfalfa pellet production
– Lower protein content requirement
– Suitable for rain fed crops grown in lower protein
content crops of Gansu soil
 Forecasted prices by 2019
– Alfalfa pellet 2.300RMB/ton
– Alfalfa hay 2.500RMB/ton
 Lower margin but high volume makes up for profit
 They should focus on two main types of customer
– Feed manufacturers
– Directly to farms
▪ Cattle, Rabbit, Sheep, Goat, and Dairy
1
2
3
7%
1%
5%
1%
86%
Domestic alfafa hay
Imported alfafa hay
Domestic oat hay
Corn Silage
alfafa pellets
Competitor4
 Expect more competition in alfalfa hays due to
– High margin
– Easy access to imports
 Competitive advantage for GMF when Gansu supply base is formalised
38
Proposed product mix
Strategy & Business Model – Market Strategy
Business model
Section
Market strategy
Supply chain
Description/Objectives
Key elements of the proposed business model
for GMF
Suggested GMF market positioning and
business growth scenarios
Recommendations on expansion of GMF’s
alfalfa supply chain
39
Strategy & Business Model
 If land base in supply chain is to be increased ten-fold the current model is not viable to
manage increase in amount of company-leased land or number of farmers and collectors
 Farmers and collectors not adequately organised, equipped, financed or trained to
increase quantity and quality of supply
 Current levels and modes of mechanisation insufficient for projected volume and
required quality of alfalfa
Current supply chain model
40
Key
challenges
Current
model and
constraints
Supportive
policies i.e.
landscaping
(Government)
Farming families
Current > 6k
Future > 20k-60k
Alfalfa collectors
Current > 50
Future > 300-1k
GMF
Lack of labor to work
land due largely to
urbanisation and
stigma attached to
farming as “primitive”
Large and segmented base of
producers with limited access
to mechanisation, knowledge
of best practice and market
information
Lack of working capital at
harvest time makes purchasing
large quantities difficult. Low
levels of loyalty to buyers among
most collectors
Majority of current
harvesters not well-
suited to mountainous
terrain
Flow of alfalfa
Model of purchasing
machinery for use on company
land and then leasing to
collectors is constrained
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain
Challenges and Recommendations
Capability &
availability of
appropriate
technology
for harvesting
Description Recommendation
 Availability of harvesting machinery
affecting productivity and quality of
harvest due to short window of time to
ensure optimum protein content and avoid
spoilage of crop
 Current harvesting equipment not suitable
for the terrain in Gansu
 GMF to lead initiative for introduction of
appropriate equipment - JV with
manufacturer, establish distribution
network and leasing mechanism
 Explore potential for pulley system to
transport large quantities of alfalfa
around mountains more efficiently
 Low level of loyalty from cooperatives,
collectors and farmers
 Capacity and capability of cooperatives and
collectors to manage farmers to achieve
targeted increase in land area utilized for
alfalfa cultivation
 Implementation of a scalable a
supply chain model leveraging
cooperatives to drive increase in
quantity/quality of alfalfa supply and
loyalty to GMF
– Shareholding scheme
– Structured communication model
– Access to mechanisation, market
information and financial
resources
Informal
relationships
with key
suppliers
Challenges
41
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain
Proposed supply chain model
42
Key
Elements
of Model
 GMF to act as a development partner to support government in new landscaping
 Technology: Partnership with machinery manufacturers to produce and distribute
mountainous harvester and baling machine and explore viability of pulley system
 Forming / strengthening cooperatives is critical
 Set up standard Information sharing, quality promotion, and deal process via
cooperatives with collectors and farmers.
Proposed
Model Supportive
policies i.e.
landscaping
(Government)
Farming
families Current
> 6k Future >
20k-60k
Alfalfa
collectors
Current > 50
Future > 300-1k
Collector &
farmer
cooperatives
GMF
Machinery
suppliers
Flow of alfalfa
“GMF Machinery”
leases harvesters to
key co-ops
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain
Supply chain challenges: three key focus areas
Suggested increase in GMF leased farmland
and leverage cooperative model to expand
land base in supply chain
Appropriate
technology
Cooperative
model
Land expansion
Deployment of cooperative model to
incentivise collectors and farmers and provide
value-added services to key suppliers
Development of appropriate technology to
improve quality and efficiency in supply chain
whist keeping capital costs down
Focus area Description/Objectives
43
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain
Land expansion is supported by favorable government
policies
Landscaping
Description Importance for GMF
 Landscaping mountainous land and
enhancing previously landscaped land to
increase area available for farming
– Example: 50k to 80k mu/year in Dingxi
covering newly landscaped land as
well as enhanced land
 Additional arable land necessary for
alfalfa cultivation
 Land where alfalfa suitable for pellets can
be grown is a strategic advantage for GMF
 Promotion of social and environmental
benefits enhances company profile
 Ability of GMF and farmers to secure
newly available as well as discarded land
use rights (30yr lease from government)
 Government incentives to promote alfalfa
cultivation as alternative or complement
to other crops such as corn and potato
 Corn and potato cultivated on approx 25
to 100% of actively farmed lands
 As above, increased alfalfa supply
essential to drive GMF business
growth and to promote rural
economic development
Acquisition
Utilization
 Transfer of land use rights are central to
GMF’s goal of increasing both company-
leased farmland and the amount of land
being used to cultivate alfalfa
Issues
44
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Land expansion
Government support can drastically increase land used for
alfalfa cultivation in next 15 years
Landscaping
Recommendation
 GMF to coordinate with local government on approach and prioritization of landscaped
area aligned with requirements
– Identification of areas more accessible logistically, within existing collector’s coverage,
soil/climate considerations
– GMF to seek favorable landscaping specifications including integration of pulley
system as part of land improvements
Acquisition
Utilization
 Gain government support on proclamation of policies allowing for supplementary land
acquisition for Alfalfa farming
– GMF to increase land ownership
 By 220% YoY from 5 thousand to 250 thousand mu in five years to achieve sales
volume of one million tons
 By 1649% YoY to two million mu in 13 – 15 years (10% of total land in supply
chain)
– Influence farming community to acquire at least 1.3M mu in the next five years
Issues
 GMF to encourage government for more incentive to support Alfalfa cultivation in newly
landscaped and discarded land
– Subsidies for seeds and other inputs
– Improved infrastructure
45
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Land expansion
Cooperative model addresses multiple supply chain
challenges
Cooperative
(shareholders of GMF)
Collector
FarmerFarmer Farmer
Collector Collector
GMF
Farmer Farmer Farmer
Township
Level
Village
Level
Individual
Level
46
Current
Supply
Chain
GMF
 Shortage & low quality of Alfalfa
 Limited resources to cover fragmented
suppliers
 Difficulty in accessing finance
 Lack of access and finance for machinery
 Insufficient incentive to sell to GMF
Collectors/Farmers
Cooperative
Model
 Consolidation ensures stable supply and
pooled resources improves quality
 Simplify supplier management
 Offer co-ops shareholding in GMF
 Cash advances and credit
guarantees from GMF
 Mechanization and storage
 Purchase price incentive
Farmers Cooperatives exist as independent
commercial entities, they not only function as
collectors to provide alfalfa to GMF, but also
channel GMF’s incentives to individual
collectors and farmers such as harvesting
services, financial services, market information,
and technical support
How Cooperatives Work
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Cooperative model
GMF must strengthen supply chain relationships
Mobile
based info
network
Annual
event and
ranking
Hardship
fund
Provide
covers and
basic
storage
SMS service to relay information on pricing,
weather, industry news, etc to cooperatives,
collectors and farmers directly and frequently
“Alfalfa Awards” brings together suppliers for
festival where ranking of cooperatives based on
quality & quantity is announced and new
industry developments are shared
One per cent of profit from GMF earmarked for
cooperative hardship fund to be used for
disaster relief, offset poor harvests, etc
To protect harvest from rain and reduce spoilage
• Build trust and
loyalty
• Increased
productivity and
quality
• Tighter
communication
• Create social
cohesion and
community of
alfalfa growers
47
Options Purpose
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Cooperative model
Appropriate technology is crucial to achieve scale
Challenges Specialized mechanization advantage
Low efficiency of
hand harvesting,
5mu/person/day
Low quality of hand
harvested alfalfa
Large amounts of
land and shortage of
labour
Current machines not
suitable for
mountainous land
High efficiency of mechanisation, target to achieve
100mu/day
Alfalfa quality will be improved due to timely and precise
harvesting
Mechanization is not labor intensive
Specialized machine can access and work effectively on
mountainous terrain
48
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Appropriate technology
Head mounted side- mounted Rear mounted Hand held
2m wide 4m wide 2m wide -----
250hp 500hp 250hp 1hp
Low harvesting
capacity (small
cutter)
High harvesting
capacity
Low harvesting
capacity
Extremely low
harvesting capacity
70-80K RMB 200K RMB 70-80K RMB 1K RMB
--- Pressing function --- ---
49
 Harvesters in use are either too big, have inadequate harvesting capacity or lack key
features such as hay pressing in order too shorten drying time










 




Existing harvesters unsuitable for mountainous terrain
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Appropriate technology
GMF can develop and distribute a customised
harvester
Suitable size for
mountain land
Powerful engine
Pressing / Baling
function is
necessary
Head mounted, max 2m wide with cutter
500HP Power, with high harvesting capacity
Shorten the drying time of the hay and prevent
spoilage
Machinery requirements for GMF
Recommendations
 GMF to form a joint-venture with leading Japanese or German machine
manufacturer in Gansu to produce specialized machine for alfalfa harvesting.
 Government support in order to allow for production in China as competitive
costs will be critical.
 Possibility of selling nationwide with government support and potentially public
sector contracts will be very attractive to potential JV partner
50
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Appropriate technology
51
Challenges of conventional transportation:
 Collection and transpiration of alfalfa in steep step fields requires
significant:
– Manpower
– Fuel
– Time
Solution:
 Implementation of pulley systems will lead to:
– Less labour-intensive harvesting and transport of alfalfa
– More efficient transportation of harvested alfalfa improving
quality and reducing spoilage
Implementation:
– Pulley system may be established by cooperatives, collectors,
government or through joint efforts
– Government support for this initiative will be vital and they
should be engaged as early as possible
Why pulley system is recommended
Pulley Systems
GMF can also promote simple pulley systems such as those used in Japan to improve efficiency of
alfalfa collection and transport in mountainous areas
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Appropriate technology
Key milestones for mechanisation & supply chain
52
Set up
(~1 year)
Phase1
(1~3 years)
Phase2
(3 years~)
 Set up JV with leading
machinery company
 R&D
 Harvester units >20
 Manufacturing equipment
 Set up Leasing Co.
 Harvester units >125
 Network expansion
 Equipment supply increase
 Harvester units >200
Mechanisation
Supply chain  Networking with
cooperative
 Farming families >6,000
 Collectors > 100
 Cooperatives >40
 Farming families >20,000
 Collectors > 300
 Cooperatives >140
 Farmer families >60,000
 Collectors > 1,000
 Cooperatives >400
 The action plan for mechanization & supply chain restructuring will enhance the overall
alfalfa sourcing capacity thereby allow for rapid and sustainable business development.
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Key milestones
Landscaping, supplier loyalty, appropriate technology
and financing critical for expansion
 Landscaping to make new arable land available and
enhance previously landscaped land is vital to
increase amount of alfalfa cultivation
 Introduction of scalable supply chain model which
leverages cooperatives with shareholding in GMF
and provides valuable services to key suppliers will
build trust and loyalty and increase quality
 JV with leading machinery company to develop and
distribute harvesters suitable for mountainous
terrain through a leasing model is crucial for
expansion
 Formalising relationship with key suppliers makes
access to financing in the supply chain easier
53
Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Conclusion
Table of Contents
C Gansu Modern Forage Current Status
D Strategy & Business Model
F Organisation Structure & Governance
Executive Summary
B Market and Industry Background
G Finance & Investments
H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
54
A Introduction
E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
Stakeholder analysis & partnerships covers two areas
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
Section
Partnerships
Communication
plan
Description/ Objectives
Suggestion for partnerships that can support
GMF in achieving its strategic objectives
Summary of key points for GMF Management
for communication with key stakeholders
55
GMF’s interests need to be aligned with its
stakeholders, leading to partnership opportunities
GMF
Collectors
Stakeholders’ Objectives Suggested Partnerships
 Increase supply of Alfalfa for business growth
 Improve alfalfa quality
2.Technology: Help collectors to
gain access to appropriate
technology by partnering with
machinery providers
Government
Machine
Providers
Banks
Stakeholders
3. Financial support: Partner with
banks and government to provide
collectors finance for business
expansion
1. Supply Side: Increase Alfalfa
production by establishing
collectors cooperative and
partnering with government
 Promote Alfalfa production
 Enhance rural livelihoods
 Foster economic growth
 Improve income
 Grow business
 Develop new appropriate technology
 Gain access to new market with significant
growth potential
 Capture growth in agriculture sector
 Grow loan book within risk appetite
56
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
Supply side: GMF must partner with local government
and collectors to expand alfalfa cultivation
 Increase alfalfa raw
material input accessible
to GMF
– Increase area of
arable land accessible
for alfalfa farming
– Organize labor to
cultivate land
Objective of partnership
 Establish preferred partnership between GMF and
government bodies on alfalfa development
 Become thought leader to define and drive
government’s long-term agenda
 GMF to share preferred approach/ priorities for
landscaping with government
– Which areas should be landscaped first (e.g., more
accessible logistically, within existing collector’s
coverage, soil/ climate considerations)
– Approach and specification of landscaped land
aligned with GMF’s requirements
Action areas
 Local government
bodies
 Collectors
Partners
Land-
scaping
Land
cultivation
 Partner with collectors and government to cultivate
currently unutilised/ newly accessible land
 Establish collectors cooperative
– Facilitate scaling of business model
– Create organizational structure to deploy
machinery
– Facilitate access to financing
57
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships – Government & collectors
GMF must partner with technology partner to develop
customized harvesting machinery
 Develop customized
alfalfa harvesting
equipment
– Support expansion of
production base
– Reduce dependency
on manual labour
– Enhance efficiency
and quality
 Equipment to automate
cutting, pressing and
baling of alfalfa in
terraced land
Objective or partnership
 Identify suitable project partner for
R&D (new development or
modification of existing design) and
manufacturing
 Partners could include manufacturers
or research institutes
Action areas
 Manufacturers/
research institutes
 Government
Partners
Identifi-
cation of
partner(s)
Develop
equipment
Roll-out/
scaling of
model
 Phased roll-out of harvesting
equipment across GMF footprint
Time frame
 3-6 months
 Agree on detailed technical
specifications and timeline
 Negotiate long-term partnership
contract building on scale of market
opportunity
 Obtain government subsidies for
R&D / procurement
 Launch prototype tests
 6-12
months
 >12
months
58
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships – Appropriate technology
Potential appropriate technology partners
 Established in 1926 as a manufacturer specializing in agriculture machinery
 Third largest agriculture machinery providers in Japan
 Advantage of R&D on the practical application of specific technology
Description
 Established in 1890 as a manufacturer of casting
 No.1 agriculture machinery providers in Japan
 Exploring a strategic partnerships in China for further business expansion
 Key potential provider for GMF
 Established in 1897 as a manufacturer of agriculture machinery
 One of the largest of agriculture machinery providers in Germany
 Providing a wide range of farming equipments including harvesting
 A Sino-Italy JV in Shanghai between FIAT & SAIC since 2002
 Specialized in small sized tractors machines
 Capable of developing harvesting machine
Recommendation: GMF to invite bids from all four companies as part of a tender for
the necessary equipment, with backing from government.
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
59
GMF must partner with banks to provide financial
support to collectors cooperative
60
 Increase raw material
supply to GMF via
– Supporting collector
cooperative to scale
up their operations
– Facilitate start of new
collector businesses
to expand coverage
 Provide value-add to
collectors to tie them
closer to GMF
Objective of partnership
 Agree with banks on scalable financial support
model for collector cooperative
– Working capital solutions to finance harvest
– Leasing/ financing of harvesting equipment
– Product bundles for new business launch
 Negotiate advantageous conditions for GMF
business partners
– Preferential rates (‘cooperative rate’)
– Flexible approach towards collateral (e.g., harvest)
– Potentially supported by GMF guarantees
Action areas
 Collectors
 Banks
 Government
Partners
Agree on
model with
banks
Government
assistance
Detail
collector
needs
 Quantify financial support collectors would require
to significantly scale up their operations
 Detail out key constraints faced by collectors today
(e.g., bank’s collateral / guarantee requirements)
 Negotiate government support to cooperative’s
financing (e.g., partial loss coverage, insurance)
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
Government communication plan
 Landscaping
– Shared plan
– Agree on development priorities
– Establish preferred partnership
 Subsidies
– Support development and procurement of
technology
– Financing of collectors
 GMF supports the government agenda for
rural development in Gansu province
 Improving livelihood of rural population
– Raise farmers and collectors’ income
– Creating new work opportunities
▪ Farming / Collecting
▪ Production / Management
 Enhancing productivity of local economy
– Drive technological innovation
– Utilizing landscaped areas
– Free up manual labour resources for
higher productive economic activities
 Fostering economic growth
– Attracting investment into region
– Support growth in down-stream
industries (e.g., meat production, dairy)
Benefits to stakeholder Areas of support to GMF
Talking points for GMF chairman
61
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
Collectors communication plan
 Commitment to preferred partnership
with GMF
 Organize farmers to increase land
coverage
 Support/ coordinate roll-out
technology / education of farmers
 Support alfalfa quality control
 Collaboration with GMF in cooperative
model allows collectors to expand
business and increase incomes
– Support through machinery
deployment and technology (e.g.,
SMS)
– Easier access to financing
– Information platform (mobile SMS
based)
Benefits to stakeholder Areas of support to GMF
Talking points for GMF chairman
62
Cooperative
Collector
FarmerFarmer Farmer
Collector Collector
GMF
Farmer Farmer Farmer
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
Technology provider communication plan
 R&D cooperation on customized
harvesting and pressing equipment in
line with GMF’s requirements
 Support in testing and deployment of
prototypes
 Dedicated resources to implement with
18 month time frame
 Ability to scale up production to meet
GMF’s expansion plans
 Commitment to long term partnership
Benefits to stakeholder Areas of support to GMF
 Significant new market opportunity
providing stable source of long term
revenue growth
– Significant amount of land with
potential for alfalfa cultivation in
Gansu
– Opportunity to establish / expand
footprint in Chinese machinery
market
– Development of new technology
that could be distributed in other
markets
 Government commitment to support
through subsidies, e.g., supporting
R&D or procurement
Talking points for GMF chairman
63
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
Banks communication plan
 Agree on scalable financial support
model for collector cooperative
– Working capital solutions to finance
harvest
– Leasing/ financing of harvesting
equipment
– Product bundles for new business
launch
 Negotiate advantageous conditions for
GMF business partners
– Preferential rates (‘cooperative rate’)
– Flexible approach towards collateral
(e.g., harvest)
– Potentially supported by GMF
guarantees
 Provide long term business growth
opportunity of significant scale
 Better management of credit risk
exposure to collectors through
cooperative model
 Allow to contribute to government’s
agenda to develop rural community
Benefits to Banks Areas of support to GMF
Talking points for GMF chairman
64
Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
Table of Contents
C Gansu Modern Forage - Current Status
D Strategy & Business Model
E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
Executive Summary
B Market and Industry Background
G Finance & Investments
H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
65
A Introduction
F Organisation Structure & Governance
Organisation structure & Governance section overview
Organisation Structure & Governance
Current status and
challenges
Section
Proposed
organisation
Objectives
Understanding the challenges, constraints and
opportunities
New structure with additional functions to address
current challenges and capture growth
opportunities
66
Shareholding Participation criteria and structure
Board of Directors Effective governance and risk management
Talent
Development
 Building effective management team
 Retain core employees
 Develop competencies
Current organization is constrained in overcoming the
challenges of rapid expansion
67
 Lack of experienced middle
management
 Business development
capabilities stretched
 Ad hoc approach to acquiring
land and dealing with new
farmers and collectors
 Lack of agriculture and
technical experts to improve
quality of Alfalfa
 No mechanical engineering and
technology competency
 Building the capabilities in house
to capture opportunities
presented by growing demand
 Establishing and maintaining
good relationships with key
suppliers and government
stakeholders
 Proper mechanization to ensure
improved quality and increased
volume of alfalfa production
 Creating the right organizational
structure and governance to
manage sustainable growth
Status Challenges
Note: Too reliant on Chairman
Organisation Structure & Governance
 Setup new functions and strategic
positions to support expansion
 Development of key competencies with
structured Human Resources
Management
 Introduce a shareholding structure to
attract investors and intensify
partnerships with key stakeholders
 Set up of a board with executive and non
executive directors
 Create an organisation with a strong
management team that is less reliant on
the Chairman and founder for key
decision-making and business
development
68
Proposed key measures
Participants discuss GMF with Chairman Zhang
Organisation Structure & Governance
New roles required to support expansion
 Strong management team
 Strong relationship &
collaboration with key
stakeholders:
– Collectors
– Bank / Investors
– Machinery providers
– Government
 Land acquisition &
management
 Strong capabilities in sales &
marketing, production & supply
chain management
Expansion of GMF requires Additional responsibilities for key roles
 Managing Director:
– Strategic planning & business management
– Relationship with key stakeholders
 Business Development Director:
– Land acquisition
– Co-operative management
 Production & Logistics Director
– Alfalfa products supply chain
– Mechanisation
– Pellet production
 Marketing and Sales Director
– New customer and market development
 Finance & Admin Director
– Developing financial reporting systems that are reliable
and auditable
– Managing investor relations
– Independent function to ensure investor interests are
secure
69
Organisation Structure & Governance
Proposed Organizational Structure
70
Existing function
New function
Board of Directors
Managing Director
Production &
Logistics Director
Mechanisation
Plant 1 Manager
Plant 2 Manager
Plant .. Manager
Finance & Admin
Director
Marketing & Sales
Director
Business Development
Director
Cooperatives
Manager
Government
Relationship Legal
Company Farm
Management
R&D Management
Dairy Farm
Feed Producer
Primary Meat
Producer
Accounting
Office
HR Dept
Organisation Structure & Governance
Three Reasons to Introduce Shareholding
71
 Business expansion requires funding for:
– Land acquisition
– Machinery, production, logistics assets
– Hiring
1. Attracting new investors
 Provide incentives for key suppliers (collectors/cooperatives) to supply alfalfa to
GMF. This can be achieved by providing shareholding
2. Increasing and stabilizing alfalfa supply
 Provide incentives for the management team members by offering equity
3. Acquiring and retaining talent
In broadening the shareholder base, the following key areas need to be considered:
Organisation Structure & Governance
Shareholding Participation Criteria
72
 Socially oriented investors willing to accept long-term return
 Shared vision to develop the agricultural sector and improve rural economies
Investors
 “Sweat equity” for cooperatives under certain conditions such as volume
commitments over time in order to secure shareholding
 Basis for community engagement and social responsibility
Key Suppliers (Collectors/Cooperatives)
 Attract management team member who are aligned with company’s vision
 Dividend plan that provides incentive for management team member to make
long-term commitment
 If he/she leaves GMF they needs to sell back shares to company
Management Team Members
In broadening the shareholder base, the following criteria can be applied
Organisation Structure & Governance
Shareholding Structure
73
Current majority
shareholder
(up to 60%)Investors
(up to 30%)
Cooperatives
(up to 20%)
Management
Team Members
(up to 10%)
Suggested shareholder distribution for growth, strong governance and incentives
 As founder, Chairman may wish to retain
majority stake
 Sufficient investment needed to support
expansion
 Providing shares to each of the key
cooperatives secures supply of alfalfa
 Providing sufficient shares to
management team members instils
sense of ownership and shared success
Rationale
Organisation Structure & Governance
Note: Could be more depending
on investment level and
negotiations with major
shareholder
Inclusion of non-executive members who can provide
strategic insights on board of directors will benefit GMF
74
 Chairman Zhang
 Managing Director
Executive Members
 Investors
 Expert in the area of rural government
policies
 Agricultural machinery providers
 Feed industry expert
Non-Executive Members
Organisation Structure & Governance
Board of Directors - Roles and Responsibilities
75
Business expansion requires strong corporate governance and external expertise
and relationships
 Monitor company’s performance and growth
 Balance the interests between Investors and company’s long-term vision
 Legal compliance, land acquisition in particular
 Preventing malfeasance and poor governance practices
Governance
External expertise and relationships
 Land Acquisition
 Local Government Policies
 Machinery technology and industry
 Agricultural technology and industry
 Feed industry
Organisation Structure & Governance
Talent Development
Hiring
Management
Talent
76
Hiring and
retaining
technical experts
 Identify executives and initiate a search
across various Chinese agricultural
industry platforms and bodies
 Offer attractive package with shareholding
incentive
 Focus on personal development and
career perspectives
 Some key personnel can be based in
Lanzhou headquarters if needed to make
it more attractive
 Hire young engineers and business
administration professionals by using the
internet and targeting the top agricultural
schools in China.
Hiring and retaining employees in Dingxi will pose various challenges. A comprehensive talent
development strategy is necessary. For all of these, the search should include leading universities
across China since the talent pool is large.
Hiring and
retaining experts
for new functions
Challenges Measures
 Lack of candidates in-house
and time for development
 Dingxi is not a preferred base
 Technical experts get higher
salaries in other industries
 Dingxi is not a preferred base
 Experts such as lawyer or HR
professional have better
opportunities in other industries
 Dingxi is not a preferred base
Organisation Structure & Governance
Key Competencies
 Clear communication on strategic directions to all levels and among all functions
 Building strong relationship with all stakeholders
 Create open culture to enable new suggestions and improvement
 Identify new markets and key clients
Sales and Marketing
77
 Ability to connect the dots and deal with the complexity from land acquisition to
alignment with all stakeholders interests
 Identify and solve key issues along the value chain
 Identify new markets and key clients
Business management skills
 Technical know how on alfalfa
 Improvement of production processes for pellets
 Stay updated about new machinery
 Know how on seeds and formulations
Agricultural engineering
Equip employees with continuous development to meet the needs of a rapidly growing
business
Organisation Structure & Governance
Table of Contents
C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
D Strategy & Business Model
E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
F Organization Structure & Governance
Executive Summary
B Market and Industry Background
H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
78
A Introduction
G Finance & Investments
Finance and investment requirements cover four areas
Financial highlight
and projection
Section
Cash flow
projection
Capital structure
and investment
requirements
Description/ Objectives
Risks &
mitigations
Risks assessment and mitigations
Debt and equity structure analysis, funding
needs and solution
Cash flow position in line with expansion plan
Revenue and Profit projection
Finance & Investments
79
Revenue and profit projection under three scenarios
2,134
1,267
Base2013
+8%
+72%
113
2,247
23 60
1,327
51
19 32
82
Proposed
60
+88%
Vision
Hay
Pellets
5 9 144 241
2019 growth scenarios
Net profit1
1 Incl. estimated revenue and cost growth for non-alfalfa products
Revenue from alfalfa products
RMB’m
…
2013-2019 annual
growth rate
Scenario used in
following pages
Finance & Investments
80
Cash flow Projection – Investment will be required to
avoid high gearing.
Finance & Investments
RMB (million)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2014-19
Net profit 6.4 14.7 27.1 48.5 88.0 144.0 329
Adjustment for Depreciation 1.0 3.1 4.4 6.7 9.1 13.6 38
Cashflow from changes in AR (3.1) (5.9) (11.5) (18.6) (29.4) (36.6) (105)
Cashflow from changes in AP 0.9 1.5 2.9 4.7 7.3 9.0 26
Cashflow from changes in inventory (8.2) (5.9) (11.5) (18.4) (28.6) (35.0) (108)
Capital expenditure - Harvest machine (2.6) (2.6) (2.6) (2.6) (10)
Capital expenditure - Pellet machine (22.0) (22.0) (22.0) (22.0) (33.0) (121)
Capital expenditure - Land (6.8) (3.8) (5.6) (8.4) (12.7) (37)
Advances to collectors/co-ops (19.0) (28.6) (47.2) (77.0) (123.4) (180.2) (475)
Net Cashflow (22.1) (49.9) (64.1) (84.3) (109.9) (133.4) (464)
Beginning cash balance 1.8 (20.3) (70.1) (134.2) (218.5) (328.4)
Ending cash balance (20.3) (70.1) (134.2) (218.5) (328.4) (461.9)
Total Liabilities (from Balance shset) 15.6 16.5 18.0 20.9 25.6 32.9
Cash deficit as bank loan 22.1 49.9 64.1 84.3 109.9 133.4
Equity 29.1 35.5 50.2 77.3 125.8 213.8
Debt/equity ratio 1.292 1.868 1.635 1.361 1.078 0.778
Total investment needed over the next 5 years before breakeven is RMB 30M.
81
Key assumptions for scenarios
Finance & Investments
82
2014 2019 2014 2019 2014 2019
Price (RMB/ton)
Alfalfa Pellets 2,150 2,300 2,150 2,300 2,150 2,300
Alfalfa Hay 2,350 2,500 2,350 2,500 2,350 2,500
Volume (Thousand ton)
Alfalfa Pellets 16 26 30 551 29 928
Alfalfa Hay 9 9 10 24 11 45
COG (RMB/ton)
Alfalfa Pellets 1984 2000 1984 2000 1984 2000
Alfalfa Hay 2067 2199.5 2067 2199.5 2067 2199.5
(RMB million)
Staff expense 0.49 0.54 1.39 9.08 1.35 13.16
Pellet machines 0.99 4.95 11.88 2.97 18.81
Harvest machines 0.02 0.18 0.94 0.02 3.55
Land leasing 0.01 0.05 0.74 2.87
Cost
Revenue
Base Proposed Vision
Expense
Risk analysis and mitigations (1/2)
Finance & Investments
83
Risks
Functional
area
Likelihood Impact Mitigations
Market competition
with local and overseas
players
Marketing High High
 Leadership position in Northern China
 Well established clientele base,
 Scaling, landscaping and mechanisation
Capital constraint to
support growth
Finance High High
 Introduction of new investment partners
 Government’s stimulus policy
 Establish relationship with banks
RMB appreciation
against USD impacts its
market share
Finance Medium Medium
 RMB appreciation reduces import raw
material cost
 Import tariff
Default risks on
collectors
Finance Medium Medium
 Collateral arrangement equipment leasing, eg.
asset collateralization, personal guarantee etc.
 Internal credit monitoring system set up for
collectors
 Progress payment to collectors
Risk analysis and mitigations (2/2)
Finance & Investments
84
Risks
Functional
area
Likelihood Impact Mitigations
Market price volatility Marketing High High
 Product mix improvement
 Diversification of sourcing channel
Customer concentration Marketing High High
 Diversify customer base via new in-house
sales and marketing capabilities
Limited labor force
constrains alfalfa plantation
Organization Medium High
 Consolidate land
 Mechanisation
Technical knowledge
insufficiency
Supply chain Medium Medium  Introduction of joint venture partner
Climate impact on productionSupply chain Medium High
 Insurance scheme
 Hardship fund
Table of Contents
C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
D Strategy & Business Model
E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
F Organisation Structure & Governance
Executive Summary
B Market and Industry Background
G Finance & Investments
85
A Introduction
H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
Indicative implementation plan
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Bank partnership
- Initiate discussions
- Agree and formalize framework
- Develop equipment
- Launch financing model
- Set up Management Team
and Board of directors
- Add new key roles to support
business expansion
Organization & HR
Collector cooperative
Activity
- Initiative discussions
- Launch Cooperative
Government partnership
Mechanization
- Identification of partner(s)
- Phased roll-out
Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
86
Conclusions
Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
87
 The forage industry and alfalfa in particular presents a massive opportunity not
only for commercial success but also to support rural development and bring
prosperity to some of China’s most underdeveloped areas.
 Industry and consumer trends and government policy have created an
environment suited for investments in alfalfa cultivation
 GMF is well positioned to take advantage of this opportunity and drastically
scale up its business in the coming five years
 Expansion of the business will require fundamental changes to the business
model and key partnerships along the value chain. By entering into a JV with a
machinery provider and offering cooperatives shareholding in the business
GMF can secure the quality and quantity of alfalfa required to take advantage
of rising domestic demand and achieve long-term profitability
 Capital will be required to fill the gap in funding and therefore external
investors and financial institutions should be cultivated
 Business and operation risks should be mitigated and anticipated with proper
governance and risk management standard procedures.
88
Thank You!

More Related Content

What's hot

Identification and damage to store grain by coleopteran pests and its management
Identification and damage to store grain by coleopteran pests and its managementIdentification and damage to store grain by coleopteran pests and its management
Identification and damage to store grain by coleopteran pests and its managementMilindLimbachiya
 
Foundation and certified seed production of Black gram, Green gram and bengal...
Foundation and certified seed production of Black gram, Green gram and bengal...Foundation and certified seed production of Black gram, Green gram and bengal...
Foundation and certified seed production of Black gram, Green gram and bengal...NSStudents
 
Impact of TPS 5 Rice Variety in Kanyakumari District, Tamilnadu, INDIA
Impact of TPS 5 Rice Variety in Kanyakumari District, Tamilnadu, INDIAImpact of TPS 5 Rice Variety in Kanyakumari District, Tamilnadu, INDIA
Impact of TPS 5 Rice Variety in Kanyakumari District, Tamilnadu, INDIALatha R.
 
Crop Production in Ethiopia: A Spatial–Structural Analysis
Crop Production in Ethiopia: A Spatial–Structural AnalysisCrop Production in Ethiopia: A Spatial–Structural Analysis
Crop Production in Ethiopia: A Spatial–Structural Analysisessp2
 
PROFILE OF INDIAN AGRICULTURE
PROFILE OF INDIAN AGRICULTUREPROFILE OF INDIAN AGRICULTURE
PROFILE OF INDIAN AGRICULTUREsweetymittu
 
Fertilizer Sector in Pakistan (2015)
Fertilizer Sector in Pakistan (2015)Fertilizer Sector in Pakistan (2015)
Fertilizer Sector in Pakistan (2015)Taha Ekram
 
The dssat cropping system model
The dssat cropping system modelThe dssat cropping system model
The dssat cropping system modelMayur Shitap
 
Sheep and goats housing management
Sheep and goats housing managementSheep and goats housing management
Sheep and goats housing managementKabul University
 
Cement Industry
Cement IndustryCement Industry
Cement IndustrySaadHabib
 
Poultry Farming and problems
Poultry Farming and problemsPoultry Farming and problems
Poultry Farming and problemsZaid Asif
 
Assignment case studies in agri entrepreneurs
Assignment case studies in agri entrepreneursAssignment case studies in agri entrepreneurs
Assignment case studies in agri entrepreneursMahesh Kadam
 
Important Agricultural Institutes
Important Agricultural InstitutesImportant Agricultural Institutes
Important Agricultural Institutesanindita moitra
 

What's hot (20)

Identification and damage to store grain by coleopteran pests and its management
Identification and damage to store grain by coleopteran pests and its managementIdentification and damage to store grain by coleopteran pests and its management
Identification and damage to store grain by coleopteran pests and its management
 
Foundation and certified seed production of Black gram, Green gram and bengal...
Foundation and certified seed production of Black gram, Green gram and bengal...Foundation and certified seed production of Black gram, Green gram and bengal...
Foundation and certified seed production of Black gram, Green gram and bengal...
 
Impact of TPS 5 Rice Variety in Kanyakumari District, Tamilnadu, INDIA
Impact of TPS 5 Rice Variety in Kanyakumari District, Tamilnadu, INDIAImpact of TPS 5 Rice Variety in Kanyakumari District, Tamilnadu, INDIA
Impact of TPS 5 Rice Variety in Kanyakumari District, Tamilnadu, INDIA
 
Crop Production in Ethiopia: A Spatial–Structural Analysis
Crop Production in Ethiopia: A Spatial–Structural AnalysisCrop Production in Ethiopia: A Spatial–Structural Analysis
Crop Production in Ethiopia: A Spatial–Structural Analysis
 
PROFILE OF INDIAN AGRICULTURE
PROFILE OF INDIAN AGRICULTUREPROFILE OF INDIAN AGRICULTURE
PROFILE OF INDIAN AGRICULTURE
 
Fertilizer Sector in Pakistan (2015)
Fertilizer Sector in Pakistan (2015)Fertilizer Sector in Pakistan (2015)
Fertilizer Sector in Pakistan (2015)
 
Eadd: Feeding Dairy Cattle in East Africa
Eadd: Feeding Dairy Cattle in East AfricaEadd: Feeding Dairy Cattle in East Africa
Eadd: Feeding Dairy Cattle in East Africa
 
The dssat cropping system model
The dssat cropping system modelThe dssat cropping system model
The dssat cropping system model
 
Ssi training manual on sugarcane cultivation
Ssi training manual on sugarcane cultivationSsi training manual on sugarcane cultivation
Ssi training manual on sugarcane cultivation
 
National Plan for Low Carbon Emissions in Agriculture - ABC Plan in Brazil
National Plan for Low Carbon Emissions in Agriculture - ABC Plan in Brazil  National Plan for Low Carbon Emissions in Agriculture - ABC Plan in Brazil
National Plan for Low Carbon Emissions in Agriculture - ABC Plan in Brazil
 
Luffa
LuffaLuffa
Luffa
 
Research report
Research reportResearch report
Research report
 
Overview of the Organic JAS System
Overview of the Organic JAS SystemOverview of the Organic JAS System
Overview of the Organic JAS System
 
Sheep and goats housing management
Sheep and goats housing managementSheep and goats housing management
Sheep and goats housing management
 
Cement Industry
Cement IndustryCement Industry
Cement Industry
 
Broiler Brooder management
Broiler Brooder managementBroiler Brooder management
Broiler Brooder management
 
Poultry Farming and problems
Poultry Farming and problemsPoultry Farming and problems
Poultry Farming and problems
 
All Details About Cotton
All Details About CottonAll Details About Cotton
All Details About Cotton
 
Assignment case studies in agri entrepreneurs
Assignment case studies in agri entrepreneursAssignment case studies in agri entrepreneurs
Assignment case studies in agri entrepreneurs
 
Important Agricultural Institutes
Important Agricultural InstitutesImportant Agricultural Institutes
Important Agricultural Institutes
 

Viewers also liked (8)

Pasture Research - What's New?
Pasture Research - What's New?Pasture Research - What's New?
Pasture Research - What's New?
 
Patent Landscape Study for Patents Filed in Cardiac Stents Medical Device Ca...
 Patent Landscape Study for Patents Filed in Cardiac Stents Medical Device Ca... Patent Landscape Study for Patents Filed in Cardiac Stents Medical Device Ca...
Patent Landscape Study for Patents Filed in Cardiac Stents Medical Device Ca...
 
New microsoft power point presentation
New microsoft power point presentationNew microsoft power point presentation
New microsoft power point presentation
 
China 2020: Medical Devices Sector
China 2020:  Medical Devices Sector China 2020:  Medical Devices Sector
China 2020: Medical Devices Sector
 
Final Presentation
Final PresentationFinal Presentation
Final Presentation
 
Lucerne
LucerneLucerne
Lucerne
 
Fodder crops
Fodder cropsFodder crops
Fodder crops
 
Sugarcane Ppt
Sugarcane PptSugarcane Ppt
Sugarcane Ppt
 

Similar to Gansu Modern Forage, Alfalfa production in Gansu, China 2014

Post Harvest Solutions for Cambodia's Rice Farmers
Post Harvest Solutions for Cambodia's Rice FarmersPost Harvest Solutions for Cambodia's Rice Farmers
Post Harvest Solutions for Cambodia's Rice FarmersEric Stryson
 
Postharvest Solutions for Cambodian Rice Sector, Nov 2013
Postharvest Solutions for Cambodian Rice Sector, Nov 2013 Postharvest Solutions for Cambodian Rice Sector, Nov 2013
Postharvest Solutions for Cambodian Rice Sector, Nov 2013 Global Institute For Tomorrow
 
FairSmart Agri: Strengthening the Rice Industry in Cambodia
FairSmart Agri: Strengthening the Rice Industry in CambodiaFairSmart Agri: Strengthening the Rice Industry in Cambodia
FairSmart Agri: Strengthening the Rice Industry in CambodiaEric Stryson
 
The Maziwa Zaidi R4D Program (Tanzania smallholder dairy value chain R4D prog...
The Maziwa Zaidi R4D Program (Tanzania smallholder dairy value chain R4D prog...The Maziwa Zaidi R4D Program (Tanzania smallholder dairy value chain R4D prog...
The Maziwa Zaidi R4D Program (Tanzania smallholder dairy value chain R4D prog...ILRI
 
Opportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in Africa
Opportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in AfricaOpportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in Africa
Opportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in AfricaILRI
 
Potential Synergies between CAADP National Investment Planning and Farming Sy...
Potential Synergies between CAADP National Investment Planning and Farming Sy...Potential Synergies between CAADP National Investment Planning and Farming Sy...
Potential Synergies between CAADP National Investment Planning and Farming Sy...FMNR Hub
 
Key food __agriculture_and_livestock_issues___agriculture_for_economic_growth...
Key food __agriculture_and_livestock_issues___agriculture_for_economic_growth...Key food __agriculture_and_livestock_issues___agriculture_for_economic_growth...
Key food __agriculture_and_livestock_issues___agriculture_for_economic_growth...Malik Khalid Mehmood
 
Assessing ex-ante impact of the complementary dairy improvement interventions...
Assessing ex-ante impact of the complementary dairy improvement interventions...Assessing ex-ante impact of the complementary dairy improvement interventions...
Assessing ex-ante impact of the complementary dairy improvement interventions...ILRI
 
Innovative Development Model for Rural Prosperity in Shanxi, July 2009
Innovative Development Model for Rural Prosperity in Shanxi, July 2009Innovative Development Model for Rural Prosperity in Shanxi, July 2009
Innovative Development Model for Rural Prosperity in Shanxi, July 2009Global Institute For Tomorrow
 
Regional markets outlook and lessons for the dairy sector in Tanzania
Regional markets outlook and lessons for the dairy sector in Tanzania Regional markets outlook and lessons for the dairy sector in Tanzania
Regional markets outlook and lessons for the dairy sector in Tanzania ILRI
 
Export Competiveness
Export CompetivenessExport Competiveness
Export Competivenessrehan23may
 
Application of the principles of Sustainable Intensification (SI) on smallhol...
Application of the principles of Sustainable Intensification (SI) on smallhol...Application of the principles of Sustainable Intensification (SI) on smallhol...
Application of the principles of Sustainable Intensification (SI) on smallhol...ILRI
 
Review of agriculture development strategy (ADS) and its link with PMAMP
Review of agriculture development strategy (ADS) and its link with PMAMPReview of agriculture development strategy (ADS) and its link with PMAMP
Review of agriculture development strategy (ADS) and its link with PMAMPSuresh Simkhada
 
Accelerating sustainable smallholder dairy value chain development in Tanzania
Accelerating sustainable smallholder dairy value chain development in TanzaniaAccelerating sustainable smallholder dairy value chain development in Tanzania
Accelerating sustainable smallholder dairy value chain development in TanzaniaILRI
 
Fairtrade Value Chain for Negros Agrarian Reform Beneficiaries
Fairtrade Value Chain for Negros Agrarian Reform Beneficiaries Fairtrade Value Chain for Negros Agrarian Reform Beneficiaries
Fairtrade Value Chain for Negros Agrarian Reform Beneficiaries Alter Trade Foundation Inc.
 
HSAD Socio-economics and policy research
HSAD Socio-economics and policy researchHSAD Socio-economics and policy research
HSAD Socio-economics and policy researchICARDA
 

Similar to Gansu Modern Forage, Alfalfa production in Gansu, China 2014 (20)

Post Harvest Solutions for Cambodia's Rice Farmers
Post Harvest Solutions for Cambodia's Rice FarmersPost Harvest Solutions for Cambodia's Rice Farmers
Post Harvest Solutions for Cambodia's Rice Farmers
 
Postharvest Solutions for Cambodian Rice Sector, Nov 2013
Postharvest Solutions for Cambodian Rice Sector, Nov 2013 Postharvest Solutions for Cambodian Rice Sector, Nov 2013
Postharvest Solutions for Cambodian Rice Sector, Nov 2013
 
Opportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in africa
Opportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in africaOpportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in africa
Opportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in africa
 
FairSmart Agri: Strengthening the Rice Industry in Cambodia
FairSmart Agri: Strengthening the Rice Industry in CambodiaFairSmart Agri: Strengthening the Rice Industry in Cambodia
FairSmart Agri: Strengthening the Rice Industry in Cambodia
 
MordernTheorists
MordernTheoristsMordernTheorists
MordernTheorists
 
The Maziwa Zaidi R4D Program (Tanzania smallholder dairy value chain R4D prog...
The Maziwa Zaidi R4D Program (Tanzania smallholder dairy value chain R4D prog...The Maziwa Zaidi R4D Program (Tanzania smallholder dairy value chain R4D prog...
The Maziwa Zaidi R4D Program (Tanzania smallholder dairy value chain R4D prog...
 
Opportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in Africa
Opportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in AfricaOpportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in Africa
Opportunities for a sustainable and competitive livestock sector in Africa
 
Potential Synergies between CAADP National Investment Planning and Farming Sy...
Potential Synergies between CAADP National Investment Planning and Farming Sy...Potential Synergies between CAADP National Investment Planning and Farming Sy...
Potential Synergies between CAADP National Investment Planning and Farming Sy...
 
Key food __agriculture_and_livestock_issues___agriculture_for_economic_growth...
Key food __agriculture_and_livestock_issues___agriculture_for_economic_growth...Key food __agriculture_and_livestock_issues___agriculture_for_economic_growth...
Key food __agriculture_and_livestock_issues___agriculture_for_economic_growth...
 
Assessing ex-ante impact of the complementary dairy improvement interventions...
Assessing ex-ante impact of the complementary dairy improvement interventions...Assessing ex-ante impact of the complementary dairy improvement interventions...
Assessing ex-ante impact of the complementary dairy improvement interventions...
 
Innovative Development Model for Rural Prosperity in Shanxi, July 2009
Innovative Development Model for Rural Prosperity in Shanxi, July 2009Innovative Development Model for Rural Prosperity in Shanxi, July 2009
Innovative Development Model for Rural Prosperity in Shanxi, July 2009
 
Regional markets outlook and lessons for the dairy sector in Tanzania
Regional markets outlook and lessons for the dairy sector in Tanzania Regional markets outlook and lessons for the dairy sector in Tanzania
Regional markets outlook and lessons for the dairy sector in Tanzania
 
Scaling Resilient Agricultural Technologies for Smallholder Farmers in Africa...
Scaling Resilient Agricultural Technologies for Smallholder Farmers in Africa...Scaling Resilient Agricultural Technologies for Smallholder Farmers in Africa...
Scaling Resilient Agricultural Technologies for Smallholder Farmers in Africa...
 
Export Competiveness
Export CompetivenessExport Competiveness
Export Competiveness
 
Application of the principles of Sustainable Intensification (SI) on smallhol...
Application of the principles of Sustainable Intensification (SI) on smallhol...Application of the principles of Sustainable Intensification (SI) on smallhol...
Application of the principles of Sustainable Intensification (SI) on smallhol...
 
Review of agriculture development strategy (ADS) and its link with PMAMP
Review of agriculture development strategy (ADS) and its link with PMAMPReview of agriculture development strategy (ADS) and its link with PMAMP
Review of agriculture development strategy (ADS) and its link with PMAMP
 
Accelerating sustainable smallholder dairy value chain development in Tanzania
Accelerating sustainable smallholder dairy value chain development in TanzaniaAccelerating sustainable smallholder dairy value chain development in Tanzania
Accelerating sustainable smallholder dairy value chain development in Tanzania
 
Fairtrade Value Chain for Negros Agrarian Reform Beneficiaries
Fairtrade Value Chain for Negros Agrarian Reform Beneficiaries Fairtrade Value Chain for Negros Agrarian Reform Beneficiaries
Fairtrade Value Chain for Negros Agrarian Reform Beneficiaries
 
HSAD Socio-economics and policy research
HSAD Socio-economics and policy researchHSAD Socio-economics and policy research
HSAD Socio-economics and policy research
 
3.5 tristan armstrong final usyd s lides 190815
3.5 tristan armstrong final usyd s lides  1908153.5 tristan armstrong final usyd s lides  190815
3.5 tristan armstrong final usyd s lides 190815
 

More from Eric Stryson

Innovations to Drive Quality of Life in the Greater Bay Area
Innovations to Drive Quality of Life in the Greater Bay AreaInnovations to Drive Quality of Life in the Greater Bay Area
Innovations to Drive Quality of Life in the Greater Bay AreaEric Stryson
 
5 Questions to Ask of Experiential Learning Programmes
5 Questions to Ask of Experiential Learning Programmes5 Questions to Ask of Experiential Learning Programmes
5 Questions to Ask of Experiential Learning ProgrammesEric Stryson
 
The PRISM of High Performance
The PRISM of High PerformanceThe PRISM of High Performance
The PRISM of High PerformanceEric Stryson
 
GIFT Business Modelling 101
GIFT Business Modelling 101GIFT Business Modelling 101
GIFT Business Modelling 101Eric Stryson
 
Community Sports Hubs in Hong Kong
Community Sports Hubs in Hong KongCommunity Sports Hubs in Hong Kong
Community Sports Hubs in Hong KongEric Stryson
 
2017 India Emergency Response: One Touch Health Solutions
2017 India Emergency Response: One Touch Health Solutions2017 India Emergency Response: One Touch Health Solutions
2017 India Emergency Response: One Touch Health SolutionsEric Stryson
 
2017 India Inclusive Housing Finance
2017 India Inclusive Housing Finance2017 India Inclusive Housing Finance
2017 India Inclusive Housing FinanceEric Stryson
 
Building a Network of Community-based Sports Hubs in Malaysia
Building a Network of Community-based Sports Hubs in MalaysiaBuilding a Network of Community-based Sports Hubs in Malaysia
Building a Network of Community-based Sports Hubs in MalaysiaEric Stryson
 
Housing Affordability for the Next Generation in Hong Kong
Housing Affordability for the Next Generation in Hong KongHousing Affordability for the Next Generation in Hong Kong
Housing Affordability for the Next Generation in Hong KongEric Stryson
 
Hong Kong in Transition, Global Institute for Tomorrow (GIFT)
Hong Kong in Transition, Global Institute for Tomorrow (GIFT)Hong Kong in Transition, Global Institute for Tomorrow (GIFT)
Hong Kong in Transition, Global Institute for Tomorrow (GIFT)Eric Stryson
 
2015 iran glp photo overview
2015   iran glp photo overview2015   iran glp photo overview
2015 iran glp photo overviewEric Stryson
 
Appropriate Healthcare Technology in Emerging Markets, Vietnam 2014
Appropriate Healthcare Technology in Emerging Markets, Vietnam 2014Appropriate Healthcare Technology in Emerging Markets, Vietnam 2014
Appropriate Healthcare Technology in Emerging Markets, Vietnam 2014Eric Stryson
 
Impact Investment in Mini Hydropower, Indonesia 2013
Impact Investment in Mini Hydropower, Indonesia 2013Impact Investment in Mini Hydropower, Indonesia 2013
Impact Investment in Mini Hydropower, Indonesia 2013Eric Stryson
 
The other hundred slideshow
The other hundred slideshowThe other hundred slideshow
The other hundred slideshowEric Stryson
 
Changing the Role of Capital, India's Agricultural Supply Chains
Changing the Role of Capital, India's Agricultural Supply ChainsChanging the Role of Capital, India's Agricultural Supply Chains
Changing the Role of Capital, India's Agricultural Supply ChainsEric Stryson
 
Improving Cocoa Production in Aceh, Indonesia, 2009
Improving Cocoa Production in Aceh, Indonesia, 2009Improving Cocoa Production in Aceh, Indonesia, 2009
Improving Cocoa Production in Aceh, Indonesia, 2009Eric Stryson
 
Social Business Model for Agricultural Services Mobile Platform, Philippines,...
Social Business Model for Agricultural Services Mobile Platform, Philippines,...Social Business Model for Agricultural Services Mobile Platform, Philippines,...
Social Business Model for Agricultural Services Mobile Platform, Philippines,...Eric Stryson
 
Hubei, China - Integrated Farmers Association - Five Year Development Plan, 2011
Hubei, China - Integrated Farmers Association - Five Year Development Plan, 2011Hubei, China - Integrated Farmers Association - Five Year Development Plan, 2011
Hubei, China - Integrated Farmers Association - Five Year Development Plan, 2011Eric Stryson
 
Water Infrastructure Business - Cambodia, Feb 2012
Water Infrastructure Business - Cambodia, Feb 2012Water Infrastructure Business - Cambodia, Feb 2012
Water Infrastructure Business - Cambodia, Feb 2012Eric Stryson
 
National Library of Mongolia - Tibetan Books Preservation - Sponsorship Oppor...
National Library of Mongolia - Tibetan Books Preservation - Sponsorship Oppor...National Library of Mongolia - Tibetan Books Preservation - Sponsorship Oppor...
National Library of Mongolia - Tibetan Books Preservation - Sponsorship Oppor...Eric Stryson
 

More from Eric Stryson (20)

Innovations to Drive Quality of Life in the Greater Bay Area
Innovations to Drive Quality of Life in the Greater Bay AreaInnovations to Drive Quality of Life in the Greater Bay Area
Innovations to Drive Quality of Life in the Greater Bay Area
 
5 Questions to Ask of Experiential Learning Programmes
5 Questions to Ask of Experiential Learning Programmes5 Questions to Ask of Experiential Learning Programmes
5 Questions to Ask of Experiential Learning Programmes
 
The PRISM of High Performance
The PRISM of High PerformanceThe PRISM of High Performance
The PRISM of High Performance
 
GIFT Business Modelling 101
GIFT Business Modelling 101GIFT Business Modelling 101
GIFT Business Modelling 101
 
Community Sports Hubs in Hong Kong
Community Sports Hubs in Hong KongCommunity Sports Hubs in Hong Kong
Community Sports Hubs in Hong Kong
 
2017 India Emergency Response: One Touch Health Solutions
2017 India Emergency Response: One Touch Health Solutions2017 India Emergency Response: One Touch Health Solutions
2017 India Emergency Response: One Touch Health Solutions
 
2017 India Inclusive Housing Finance
2017 India Inclusive Housing Finance2017 India Inclusive Housing Finance
2017 India Inclusive Housing Finance
 
Building a Network of Community-based Sports Hubs in Malaysia
Building a Network of Community-based Sports Hubs in MalaysiaBuilding a Network of Community-based Sports Hubs in Malaysia
Building a Network of Community-based Sports Hubs in Malaysia
 
Housing Affordability for the Next Generation in Hong Kong
Housing Affordability for the Next Generation in Hong KongHousing Affordability for the Next Generation in Hong Kong
Housing Affordability for the Next Generation in Hong Kong
 
Hong Kong in Transition, Global Institute for Tomorrow (GIFT)
Hong Kong in Transition, Global Institute for Tomorrow (GIFT)Hong Kong in Transition, Global Institute for Tomorrow (GIFT)
Hong Kong in Transition, Global Institute for Tomorrow (GIFT)
 
2015 iran glp photo overview
2015   iran glp photo overview2015   iran glp photo overview
2015 iran glp photo overview
 
Appropriate Healthcare Technology in Emerging Markets, Vietnam 2014
Appropriate Healthcare Technology in Emerging Markets, Vietnam 2014Appropriate Healthcare Technology in Emerging Markets, Vietnam 2014
Appropriate Healthcare Technology in Emerging Markets, Vietnam 2014
 
Impact Investment in Mini Hydropower, Indonesia 2013
Impact Investment in Mini Hydropower, Indonesia 2013Impact Investment in Mini Hydropower, Indonesia 2013
Impact Investment in Mini Hydropower, Indonesia 2013
 
The other hundred slideshow
The other hundred slideshowThe other hundred slideshow
The other hundred slideshow
 
Changing the Role of Capital, India's Agricultural Supply Chains
Changing the Role of Capital, India's Agricultural Supply ChainsChanging the Role of Capital, India's Agricultural Supply Chains
Changing the Role of Capital, India's Agricultural Supply Chains
 
Improving Cocoa Production in Aceh, Indonesia, 2009
Improving Cocoa Production in Aceh, Indonesia, 2009Improving Cocoa Production in Aceh, Indonesia, 2009
Improving Cocoa Production in Aceh, Indonesia, 2009
 
Social Business Model for Agricultural Services Mobile Platform, Philippines,...
Social Business Model for Agricultural Services Mobile Platform, Philippines,...Social Business Model for Agricultural Services Mobile Platform, Philippines,...
Social Business Model for Agricultural Services Mobile Platform, Philippines,...
 
Hubei, China - Integrated Farmers Association - Five Year Development Plan, 2011
Hubei, China - Integrated Farmers Association - Five Year Development Plan, 2011Hubei, China - Integrated Farmers Association - Five Year Development Plan, 2011
Hubei, China - Integrated Farmers Association - Five Year Development Plan, 2011
 
Water Infrastructure Business - Cambodia, Feb 2012
Water Infrastructure Business - Cambodia, Feb 2012Water Infrastructure Business - Cambodia, Feb 2012
Water Infrastructure Business - Cambodia, Feb 2012
 
National Library of Mongolia - Tibetan Books Preservation - Sponsorship Oppor...
National Library of Mongolia - Tibetan Books Preservation - Sponsorship Oppor...National Library of Mongolia - Tibetan Books Preservation - Sponsorship Oppor...
National Library of Mongolia - Tibetan Books Preservation - Sponsorship Oppor...
 

Recently uploaded

2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis UsageNeil Kimberley
 
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts ServiceVip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Serviceankitnayak356677
 
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City GurgaonCall Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaoncallgirls2057
 
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCRsoniya singh
 
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / NcrCall Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncrdollysharma2066
 
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessSales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessAggregage
 
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort ServiceCall US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Servicecallgirls2057
 
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 EditionMarket Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 EditionMintel Group
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...lizamodels9
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesKeppelCorporation
 
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdfDigital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdfJos Voskuil
 
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130  Available With RoomVIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130  Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130 Available With Roomdivyansh0kumar0
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...lizamodels9
 
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024christinemoorman
 
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Kirill Klimov
 
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted VersionFuture Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted VersionMintel Group
 
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu MenzaYouth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menzaictsugar
 
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607dollysharma2066
 
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportIndia Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportMintel Group
 
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In.../:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...lizamodels9
 

Recently uploaded (20)

2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
 
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts ServiceVip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
 
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City GurgaonCall Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
 
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
 
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / NcrCall Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
 
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessSales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
 
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort ServiceCall US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
 
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 EditionMarket Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
 
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdfDigital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
 
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130  Available With RoomVIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130  Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
 
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
 
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
 
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted VersionFuture Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
 
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu MenzaYouth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
 
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
 
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportIndia Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
 
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In.../:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
 

Gansu Modern Forage, Alfalfa production in Gansu, China 2014

  • 1. Capturing the alfalfa opportunity in Gansu Lanzhou, China July 2014
  • 2. Table of Contents C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status D Strategy & Business Model E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships F Organisation Structure & Governance B Market and Industry Background G Finance & Investments H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 1 A Introduction Executive Summary 5 9 20 2 65 30 54 78 85
  • 4. Executive Summary (1/2) Executive Summary 3  Capitlising on growing demand for high quality feed to support China’s increasing meat and dairy consumption, Gansu Modern Forage Development Co., Ltd. (GMF) aims to be China’s top commercial producer of alfalfa and alfalfa products. GMF’s business model is aligned with government policy and supports rural development by improving farmers’ livelihoods and reviving unused or underutilized arid land in Gansu Province.  GMF’s current operational hub is in Dingxi Prefecture, one of China’s least developed areas situated less than 100km from Gansu’s provincial capital Lanzhou. The provincial and local government strongly supports alfalfa cultivation through favorable policies such as landscaping, transfer of land use rights and other incentives.  GMF must overcome a number of challenges to achieve its goal including insufficient supply and inconsistent quality of alfalfa, weak and fragmented supply chains and a lack of mechanization suited to mountainous terrain to support more efficient harvesting. GMF must also secure the talent and funding, engage in the partnerships and institute the governance mechanisms required to support the rapid growth of the business.  GMF has an opportunity to grow 50% p.a through 2019, see a tenfold increase sales volume and achieve sales and net profit of RMB1.3B and RMB144M respectively.  External capital is required to fund expansion and can be secured in the form of investment from socially-oriented investors interested in rural development and financing from local banks.  The estimated total investment needed is RMB 30M over the next 5 years before breakeven.
  • 5. Executive Summary (2/2) Executive Summary 4 Key recommendations to GMF are: – Focus on the production of alfalfa pellets to take advantage of rising demand from the animal husbandry sector, using as raw material medium quality alfalfa which can be cultivated on large tracts of rain fed mountainous land in Gansu – Differentiate through an inclusive business model by establishing cooperatives of alfalfa collectors and farmers and offering these key stakeholders shareholding in the parent company to strengthen the value chain and secure consistent supply – Enter into a strategic partnership with an agricultural machinery provider to develop and distribute appropriate technology such as alfalfa harvesters customised for use on mountainous terrain and pulley systems for more efficient transport of alfalfa – Acquire and retain a strong management team and offer shareholding to instil a sense of ownership and shared success – Work alongside the government and farming communities to promote the utilisation of unused mountainous land for alfalfa cultivation by demonstrating through its business model the potential benefits of the alfalfa market for rural development. Note: Financial models and assumptions available upon request
  • 6. Table of Contents C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status D Strategy & Business Model E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships F Organisation Structure & Governance Executive Summary B Market and Industry Background G Finance & Investments H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 5 A Introduction
  • 7. GIFT Global Leaders Programme  The Global Institute For Tomorrow (GIFT) is an independent pan-Asian think tank focused on advancing a deeper understanding of global issues including the shift of economic and political influence from the West to Asia, the dynamic relationship between business and society, and the reshaping of the rules of global capitalism.  The Global Leaders Programme is the flagship executive education programme offered by GIFT for leading global organisations. 6 Introduction
  • 8. Global team works on real-world field project  24 participants from 8 countries and 14 organisations traveled to Gansu to develop strategic recommendations to support GMF expansion.  The group engaged in site visits, field research and stakeholder meetings and focus groups with GMF Chairman and employees, government officials, farmers, collectors and cooperatives and strategic partners including financial institutions and machinery providers. 7 Introduction
  • 9. Project objectives and scope Development of five-year expansion strategy for GMF Analysis of current status Business Plan Implementation  Forage market and industry based on own research and interviews with stakeholders  GMF current status and operational model  Opportunities and challenges  Business model for different growth scenarios  Recommended actions for – Operations and supply chain – Stakeholder management – Organizational structure and governance – Finance and investment  Time line and implementation 8 Introduction
  • 10. Table of Contents C Gansu Modern Forage - Current Status D Strategy & Business Model E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships F Organisation Structure & Governance Executive Summary G Finance & Investments H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 9 A Introduction B Market and Industry Background
  • 11. This section will cover 3 areas 10 Rural development Section Alfalfa industry as an opportunity Alfalfa market outlook Description/Objectives Importance of agriculture in bringing prosperity to underdeveloped areas of China such as Gansu Opportunities and challenges of the growing market for alfalfa in rural Gansu Growth in demand for alfalfa in China Market and Industry Background
  • 12. Rural development policies make investment attractive 11 Central Government: President Xi Jingping: “Building a harmonious society is crucial for realizing China Dream,” Xi further emphasized in 18th National Congress “Three-Rural Issues”(agriculture, rural development and farmers)to be addressed by reforming rural economies, developing modern technology and better “social management” in rural areas. Agriculture -- Annual grain production capacity to be no less than 540 million tons -- Farmland reserves to be no less than 1.818 billion mu; *one mu = 666.7 square metres Livelihoods -- Pension schemes to cover all rural residents -- Construction and Renovation of 36 million apartments for low-income families Social management -- Improved public service for rural residents -- Better social management system for greater social harmony Reform -- In-depth reform in monopoly industries for easier market entry and more competition -- Improved government efficiency and credibility. Market and Industry Background – Rural Development
  • 13. National and provincial government policies support agricultural sector growth 12  National Policies: – Improve productivity of food crops – Enhance agri-tech and equipment access – Optimize agribusiness and agri-economic structure – Develop rural public services and infrastructure – Innovate rural developmental schemes – Intensify environmental protection  Gansu Provincial Policies: – Subsidy for grassland ecology conservation – Support dairy-alfalfa sector growth – Loess Plateau rehabilitation scheme – Enhance agricultural sector, improve farmers’ income through restructuring, technological support, and procedural innovation – Become a leader in the forage industry Market and Industry Background – Rural Development
  • 14. Gansu well suited for alfalfa cultivation with significant amounts of arid but potentially arable land 13 Large but Low Quality Farmland Available  Arable land: 80M Mu  80% of farmland is medium to low quality  Elevation 1000m+  Low annual rainfall - Avg 300mm Large Rural Population  26 million Population  61% Rural population - Low annual Income RMB 5,000  39% Urban population - Annual income RMB 20,000 Underdeveloped  GDP: RMB 627bn (Rank 27th)  GDP per capita: Rank 30th of 31 provinces in China Gansu can benefit from a new growth sector Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
  • 15. Emerging middle class driving growth in demand for forage crops 14 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Milk Cattle Rabbit Sheep Goat Chicken Source: United Nations, FAOSTAT own calculations Chinese production of animal products (million tons) Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
  • 16.  Perennial flowering legume cultivated globally. Highly palatable and primarily used as feed for high producing dairy cows because of its high protein content and highly digestible fiber compared to grass  Can be harvested three to four times a year (twice a year in most parts of Gansu due to environmental conditions and cultivation techniques)  Requires minimal crop management and does not need to be replanted for approx ten years – quality peaks seven to eight years after planting  High vitamin and mineral content make alfalfa the best forage for maximizing productivity in dairy cattle. Alfalfa has been scientifically proven to positively impact milk production yields, protein content and overall cattle health  Alfalfa quality is primarily defined by crude protein content and fiber content. Its yield and quality are significantly impacted by the stage of maturity at cut and number of previous cuts.  The Relative Feed Value (RFV), Crude Protein Content (CP) and Total Digestible Nutrients (TDN) are highest in pre- to mid-bloom with lower Acid Detergent Fibre (ADF) and Neutral Detergent Fibre (NDF) fibre content. Alfalfa – The Queen of forages 15 Source: University of Kentucky Dept. of Agronomy Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
  • 17. Alfalfa uniquely positioned as an economic growth pillar for Gansu with strong government support 16 Alfalfa  Strong central government support  Strong provincial support to make forage a pillar of economic growth  Chinese domestic milk production back on growth track after melamine scandal  Economic growth and emerging middle class resulting in higher meat and dairy consumption Regulatory Environment Huge Market Potential Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
  • 18. The early stage 1999-2003  Informal market began in 2001  Companies with Competitive advantages in production, quality, geography or logistics flourished  Market Situation: Supply surplus and low quality crop  Small area of land dedicated to cultivation (500K mu) Alfalfa has gone through 3 major development stages in China and is now on a positive path with great potential 17 The challenging stage 2003-2006 Great Horizon Stage 2006 - now  Regulatory change in government subsidy impacted attractiveness of growing alfalfa compared to other crops (i.e. corn and potato)  Poor quality: Chinese alfalfa was often “mouldy” and alfalfa products often “impure” due to mixing other ingredients  Increased demand due to standardization/consolidation of large scale animal husbandry driven by growth in dairy consumption  Increase in alfalfa prices attracted more farmers  Domestic companies realised need to provide good quality and sustainable supply to compete with imported alfalfa  Enhanced government support linked to poverty alleviation, reversing desertification and and rural development Market and Industry Background – Alfalfa Industry
  • 19. Market and Industry Background – Market Outlook 18 China’s 34 million ton Alfalfa market potential: Dairy, Sheep and Goat production biggest consumers Sources: http://en.cnki.com.cn/Article_en/CJFDTOTAL-GWXK201011004.htm http://www.chinadailyasia.com/business/2014- 02/07/content_15116592.html United Nations FAOSTAT Estimations from calculations using available data 3% 4% 8% 15% 19%23% 28% Rabbits Chicken Pigs Beef Milk cows Goats Sheep Market split If Alfalfa is industry’s forage of choice Sectors Estimated alfalfa input needed for animal feed (in million tons) Sheep 9.3 Goats 7.6 Milk cows 6.5 Beef 5.2 Pigs 2.8 Chicken 1.4 Rabbits 1.0 Total 33.8
  • 20. Alfalfa industry: Positive growth outlook 19 Alfalfa market in China (million tons) 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2013-2019: Forecast Market and Industry Background – Market Outlook
  • 21. Table of Contents D Strategy & Business Model E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships F Organisation Structure & Governance Executive Summary B Market and Industry Background G Finance & Investments H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 20 A Introduction C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 22. This section will cover 3 areas Gansu Modern Forage – current position Section Current business analysis Business model Description/Objectives Gansu Modern Forage’s (GMF) unique position in the Chinese alfalfa market Strong financial position of the company Established business value chain Gansu Modern Forage’s current business model and competitors 21 Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 23. Gansu Modern Forage: Well positioned to take advantage of the growing market for alfalfa 22 Early rapid growth Description  Founded in 2009, grew rapidly in first three years from 4,300 tons to 65,000 tons Chairman’s experience  Founder and Chairman, Zhang Yuping is a 25 year veteran of the domestic dairy industry and initial shareholder at leading dairy company Mengniu  Mr. Zhang is a member of the “Corporation Decision Commission” at Mengniu and one of their major distributors in northwest China Scientific Approach  Utilizes modern scientific forage research and crop management techniques to standardize and maximize production and quality of domestically grown alfalfa Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 24. GMF at an inflection point after successful start-up 23 GMF: at an inflection point  GMF has successfully ramped up sales  Stable profits with good outlook  Established value chain  The company is now at an inflection point where it would significantly grow and benefit from further investments and improvements to its business, financing model and mgmt structure Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 25. Current Alfalfa products include domestic and imported hay and high-grade alfalfa pellets 24 Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 26. Well established, concentrated customer base leaves room for expansion with existing and new customers 25 40% Other 13% 15% 23% 40% New customers: focus areas Moving into high-grade pellet feed is key:  Rabbit feed  Specialized poultry feed  Specialized lamb feed Additional dairy firms can help to diversify risk of having sales portfolio tied up into few big customers Opportunity to explore niche products i.e. alfalfa tea and supplements Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 27. Currently a small percentage of total supply Harvesting services FINANCIERS Banks, Credit unions, micro-finance institutions MACHINERY PROVIDERS GMF FARMS “Company- leased land” COLLECTORS & COOPERATIVES Considered “land under cultivation” Own / acquire / consolidate land Employees CUSTOMERS Dairy farms, Meat producers, Feed companies, etc GMF Flow of Cash Flow of Goods & Services DOMESTIC ALFALFA SUPPLY Landowners SMALLHOLDER FARMERS US-BASED ALFALFA IMPORTERS (higher quality + price) Existing Business model Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 28. Producing Area N.A. Production ~50,000 metric ton per annum Locations Beijing Key products Alfalfa hay products (bales, pellets) Producing Area 42,000 mu (6,919 acre) Production N.A. Locations Beijing, Gansu Key products Alfalfa hay products (bales, cubes) and other animal feed products Producing Area N.A. Planned production capacity <200,000 metric ton per annum (historical forecast, current capacity expected to be significantly lower) Locations Sichuan, Gansu Key products Alfalfa hay products (bales, pellets) and grass products Planned producing Area 60,000 mu (9,884 acre) Production capacity N.A. Locations Inner Mongolia Key products Alfalfa hay products (bales, cubes) 27 Competitive Analysis: main competitors Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 29. Gansu Modern Forage is uniquely positioned for growth in the alfalfa market Progressive Management Business Performance Geographical Location  Experienced Chairman with 25 years industry experience  Committed to growing the company in a socially responsible way  Strong financial standing with stable business performance  Existing capacity to ramp up production of pellets to meet demand  Company assets located in heart of alfalfa cultivation areas with good infrastructure links (e.g. railways and roads)  Strategically located in areas with ample supply of cheap and unused land ideal for growing alfalfa suitable for pellet production  Aligned with government policy to alleviate poverty in rural Gansu through development of the agricultural sector 28 Regulatory Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 30. Key opportunities for Gansu Modern Forage’s future 29 Product mix Area Supply Chain Opportunities  Significantly scale up and increase proportion of alfalfa pellet production in order to capture rising demand in Chinese market  Increase amount of land covered in supply chain and expand supplier network thus increase supply of raw materials Partnerships  Differentiate through innovations to current business model to enable growth  Secure financing and/or capital for five year expansion plan Proposed Solution  Acquire cheap underutilised mountainous land  Form new cooperatives  Appropriate technology i.e. harvester and pulley system  Offer key cooperatives shareholding in GMF  Seek external investors and/or partnerships with local banks  Utilise lower quality alfalfa which can be grown on mountainous terrain Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status
  • 31. Table of Contents C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships F Organisation Structure & Governance Executive Summary B Market and Industry Background G Finance & Investments H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 30 A Introduction D Strategy & Business Model
  • 32. This section will cover three areas Business model Section Market strategy Supply chain Description/Objectives Key elements of the proposed business model for GMF Suggested GMF market strategy and business growth scenarios Recommendations on expansion of GMF’s alfalfa supply chain 31 Strategy & Business Model
  • 33. Proposed business model must significantly grow GMF’s alfalfa business Going forward, GMF should therefore focus increasingly on the production of alfalfa pellets and significantly scale-up its operations through enhanced access to raw materials  Pellets to contribute 75% of alfalfa business, capturing demand growth in Chinese meat production industry  Through pellet production GMF can differentiate and diversify its business model from pure collector-distributor competitors models, and realize higher margins  GMF can utilize lower quality alfalfa to produce Alfalfa pellets. The supply of lower quality alfalfa can be scaled up significantly by expanding alfalfa cultivation into currently underutilised land in Gansu province Strategy & Business Model – Business Model 32
  • 34. Strategic partnerships must play a key role in proposed business model GMF must therefore engage in strategic partnerships to increase access to alfalfa supply.  Collectors: to form cooperatives and offer “sweat equity” to support increased alfalfa cultivation and supply. Coops can organise farmers and provide value-added services  Machinery providers: to co-develop customized harvesters and potentially a pulley system for efficient transport  Banks: to finance GMF and key suppliers working capital to support scaling up  Government: to continue to develop local alfalfa industry via: – Landscaping of arable land – Subsidies for new machinery deployment – Financial support for collectors 33 Strategy & Business Model – Business Model
  • 35. Future business model GMF GMF leased farmland Cooperatives Domestic suppliers Farmers & collectors Dairy farms, Meat producers, Feed companies Customers Government Banks Machinery COs. Strategic Partners Flow of Alfalfa Flow of cash 34 Changes to existing model  Focus on alfalfa pellets production  Establish collectors cooperative  Strategic partnerships with government, machinery providers and banks Sweat equity Customised harvesters Strategy & Business Model – Business Model
  • 36. Business model Section Market strategy Supply chain Description/Objectives Key elements of the proposed business model for GMF Suggested GMF market positioning and business growth scenarios Recommendations on expansion of GMF’s alfalfa supply chain 35 Strategy & Business Model
  • 37. Three main scenarios evaluated: significant growth within reach if recommendations implemented 36 Proposed Base case Vision (Best case)  Reach one million ton production /year by 2019  Realising GMF mgmt team long term vision by successful implementation all key recommendations  Achieve 0.6 million ton production/ year by 2019  Implementing majority of key recommendations within proposed timeline  Continued organic growth without significant changes to current business model  Negligible growth in production S cenario 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 000’stons vision proposed base Strategy & Business Model – Market Strategy
  • 38. Three five-year business scenarios for GMF expansion based on key parameters Base case Proposed Case  120,000  62,000  134,084,000  4%  2,000,000  1,000,000  2,298,684,000  70% Government landscaping support  Current levels of landscaping maintained Attractiveness to and loyalty of collectors  Current level Vision (Best Case)  1,200,000  602,000  1,379,084,000  50%  Profit sharing scheme with collectors in place  Medium-scale outreach  Minimal, current level  70% mechanization (highest feasible case) Technical support & education for farmers  No outreach program  Up to 50% mechanization  Medium-scale outreach program in collaboration with government extension office Land base (mu) Sales vol (mt) Revenue RMB Growth rate Strategy & Business Model – Market Strategy 37 Mechanization  Profit sharing scheme with collectors in place  Maximum outreach  At least 50% of Gansu’s counties under active landscaping program  100% of Gansu’s counties under active landscaping program  Massive, large scale outreach program in collaboration with government extension office
  • 39. GMF strategy to focus on alfalfa pellets to capture value Product Price Customer  Shift Focus to Alfalfa pellet production – Lower protein content requirement – Suitable for rain fed crops grown in lower protein content crops of Gansu soil  Forecasted prices by 2019 – Alfalfa pellet 2.300RMB/ton – Alfalfa hay 2.500RMB/ton  Lower margin but high volume makes up for profit  They should focus on two main types of customer – Feed manufacturers – Directly to farms ▪ Cattle, Rabbit, Sheep, Goat, and Dairy 1 2 3 7% 1% 5% 1% 86% Domestic alfafa hay Imported alfafa hay Domestic oat hay Corn Silage alfafa pellets Competitor4  Expect more competition in alfalfa hays due to – High margin – Easy access to imports  Competitive advantage for GMF when Gansu supply base is formalised 38 Proposed product mix Strategy & Business Model – Market Strategy
  • 40. Business model Section Market strategy Supply chain Description/Objectives Key elements of the proposed business model for GMF Suggested GMF market positioning and business growth scenarios Recommendations on expansion of GMF’s alfalfa supply chain 39 Strategy & Business Model
  • 41.  If land base in supply chain is to be increased ten-fold the current model is not viable to manage increase in amount of company-leased land or number of farmers and collectors  Farmers and collectors not adequately organised, equipped, financed or trained to increase quantity and quality of supply  Current levels and modes of mechanisation insufficient for projected volume and required quality of alfalfa Current supply chain model 40 Key challenges Current model and constraints Supportive policies i.e. landscaping (Government) Farming families Current > 6k Future > 20k-60k Alfalfa collectors Current > 50 Future > 300-1k GMF Lack of labor to work land due largely to urbanisation and stigma attached to farming as “primitive” Large and segmented base of producers with limited access to mechanisation, knowledge of best practice and market information Lack of working capital at harvest time makes purchasing large quantities difficult. Low levels of loyalty to buyers among most collectors Majority of current harvesters not well- suited to mountainous terrain Flow of alfalfa Model of purchasing machinery for use on company land and then leasing to collectors is constrained Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain
  • 42. Challenges and Recommendations Capability & availability of appropriate technology for harvesting Description Recommendation  Availability of harvesting machinery affecting productivity and quality of harvest due to short window of time to ensure optimum protein content and avoid spoilage of crop  Current harvesting equipment not suitable for the terrain in Gansu  GMF to lead initiative for introduction of appropriate equipment - JV with manufacturer, establish distribution network and leasing mechanism  Explore potential for pulley system to transport large quantities of alfalfa around mountains more efficiently  Low level of loyalty from cooperatives, collectors and farmers  Capacity and capability of cooperatives and collectors to manage farmers to achieve targeted increase in land area utilized for alfalfa cultivation  Implementation of a scalable a supply chain model leveraging cooperatives to drive increase in quantity/quality of alfalfa supply and loyalty to GMF – Shareholding scheme – Structured communication model – Access to mechanisation, market information and financial resources Informal relationships with key suppliers Challenges 41 Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain
  • 43. Proposed supply chain model 42 Key Elements of Model  GMF to act as a development partner to support government in new landscaping  Technology: Partnership with machinery manufacturers to produce and distribute mountainous harvester and baling machine and explore viability of pulley system  Forming / strengthening cooperatives is critical  Set up standard Information sharing, quality promotion, and deal process via cooperatives with collectors and farmers. Proposed Model Supportive policies i.e. landscaping (Government) Farming families Current > 6k Future > 20k-60k Alfalfa collectors Current > 50 Future > 300-1k Collector & farmer cooperatives GMF Machinery suppliers Flow of alfalfa “GMF Machinery” leases harvesters to key co-ops Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain
  • 44. Supply chain challenges: three key focus areas Suggested increase in GMF leased farmland and leverage cooperative model to expand land base in supply chain Appropriate technology Cooperative model Land expansion Deployment of cooperative model to incentivise collectors and farmers and provide value-added services to key suppliers Development of appropriate technology to improve quality and efficiency in supply chain whist keeping capital costs down Focus area Description/Objectives 43 Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain
  • 45. Land expansion is supported by favorable government policies Landscaping Description Importance for GMF  Landscaping mountainous land and enhancing previously landscaped land to increase area available for farming – Example: 50k to 80k mu/year in Dingxi covering newly landscaped land as well as enhanced land  Additional arable land necessary for alfalfa cultivation  Land where alfalfa suitable for pellets can be grown is a strategic advantage for GMF  Promotion of social and environmental benefits enhances company profile  Ability of GMF and farmers to secure newly available as well as discarded land use rights (30yr lease from government)  Government incentives to promote alfalfa cultivation as alternative or complement to other crops such as corn and potato  Corn and potato cultivated on approx 25 to 100% of actively farmed lands  As above, increased alfalfa supply essential to drive GMF business growth and to promote rural economic development Acquisition Utilization  Transfer of land use rights are central to GMF’s goal of increasing both company- leased farmland and the amount of land being used to cultivate alfalfa Issues 44 Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Land expansion
  • 46. Government support can drastically increase land used for alfalfa cultivation in next 15 years Landscaping Recommendation  GMF to coordinate with local government on approach and prioritization of landscaped area aligned with requirements – Identification of areas more accessible logistically, within existing collector’s coverage, soil/climate considerations – GMF to seek favorable landscaping specifications including integration of pulley system as part of land improvements Acquisition Utilization  Gain government support on proclamation of policies allowing for supplementary land acquisition for Alfalfa farming – GMF to increase land ownership  By 220% YoY from 5 thousand to 250 thousand mu in five years to achieve sales volume of one million tons  By 1649% YoY to two million mu in 13 – 15 years (10% of total land in supply chain) – Influence farming community to acquire at least 1.3M mu in the next five years Issues  GMF to encourage government for more incentive to support Alfalfa cultivation in newly landscaped and discarded land – Subsidies for seeds and other inputs – Improved infrastructure 45 Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Land expansion
  • 47. Cooperative model addresses multiple supply chain challenges Cooperative (shareholders of GMF) Collector FarmerFarmer Farmer Collector Collector GMF Farmer Farmer Farmer Township Level Village Level Individual Level 46 Current Supply Chain GMF  Shortage & low quality of Alfalfa  Limited resources to cover fragmented suppliers  Difficulty in accessing finance  Lack of access and finance for machinery  Insufficient incentive to sell to GMF Collectors/Farmers Cooperative Model  Consolidation ensures stable supply and pooled resources improves quality  Simplify supplier management  Offer co-ops shareholding in GMF  Cash advances and credit guarantees from GMF  Mechanization and storage  Purchase price incentive Farmers Cooperatives exist as independent commercial entities, they not only function as collectors to provide alfalfa to GMF, but also channel GMF’s incentives to individual collectors and farmers such as harvesting services, financial services, market information, and technical support How Cooperatives Work Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Cooperative model
  • 48. GMF must strengthen supply chain relationships Mobile based info network Annual event and ranking Hardship fund Provide covers and basic storage SMS service to relay information on pricing, weather, industry news, etc to cooperatives, collectors and farmers directly and frequently “Alfalfa Awards” brings together suppliers for festival where ranking of cooperatives based on quality & quantity is announced and new industry developments are shared One per cent of profit from GMF earmarked for cooperative hardship fund to be used for disaster relief, offset poor harvests, etc To protect harvest from rain and reduce spoilage • Build trust and loyalty • Increased productivity and quality • Tighter communication • Create social cohesion and community of alfalfa growers 47 Options Purpose Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Cooperative model
  • 49. Appropriate technology is crucial to achieve scale Challenges Specialized mechanization advantage Low efficiency of hand harvesting, 5mu/person/day Low quality of hand harvested alfalfa Large amounts of land and shortage of labour Current machines not suitable for mountainous land High efficiency of mechanisation, target to achieve 100mu/day Alfalfa quality will be improved due to timely and precise harvesting Mechanization is not labor intensive Specialized machine can access and work effectively on mountainous terrain 48 Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Appropriate technology
  • 50. Head mounted side- mounted Rear mounted Hand held 2m wide 4m wide 2m wide ----- 250hp 500hp 250hp 1hp Low harvesting capacity (small cutter) High harvesting capacity Low harvesting capacity Extremely low harvesting capacity 70-80K RMB 200K RMB 70-80K RMB 1K RMB --- Pressing function --- --- 49  Harvesters in use are either too big, have inadequate harvesting capacity or lack key features such as hay pressing in order too shorten drying time                 Existing harvesters unsuitable for mountainous terrain Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Appropriate technology
  • 51. GMF can develop and distribute a customised harvester Suitable size for mountain land Powerful engine Pressing / Baling function is necessary Head mounted, max 2m wide with cutter 500HP Power, with high harvesting capacity Shorten the drying time of the hay and prevent spoilage Machinery requirements for GMF Recommendations  GMF to form a joint-venture with leading Japanese or German machine manufacturer in Gansu to produce specialized machine for alfalfa harvesting.  Government support in order to allow for production in China as competitive costs will be critical.  Possibility of selling nationwide with government support and potentially public sector contracts will be very attractive to potential JV partner 50 Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Appropriate technology
  • 52. 51 Challenges of conventional transportation:  Collection and transpiration of alfalfa in steep step fields requires significant: – Manpower – Fuel – Time Solution:  Implementation of pulley systems will lead to: – Less labour-intensive harvesting and transport of alfalfa – More efficient transportation of harvested alfalfa improving quality and reducing spoilage Implementation: – Pulley system may be established by cooperatives, collectors, government or through joint efforts – Government support for this initiative will be vital and they should be engaged as early as possible Why pulley system is recommended Pulley Systems GMF can also promote simple pulley systems such as those used in Japan to improve efficiency of alfalfa collection and transport in mountainous areas Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Appropriate technology
  • 53. Key milestones for mechanisation & supply chain 52 Set up (~1 year) Phase1 (1~3 years) Phase2 (3 years~)  Set up JV with leading machinery company  R&D  Harvester units >20  Manufacturing equipment  Set up Leasing Co.  Harvester units >125  Network expansion  Equipment supply increase  Harvester units >200 Mechanisation Supply chain  Networking with cooperative  Farming families >6,000  Collectors > 100  Cooperatives >40  Farming families >20,000  Collectors > 300  Cooperatives >140  Farmer families >60,000  Collectors > 1,000  Cooperatives >400  The action plan for mechanization & supply chain restructuring will enhance the overall alfalfa sourcing capacity thereby allow for rapid and sustainable business development. Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Key milestones
  • 54. Landscaping, supplier loyalty, appropriate technology and financing critical for expansion  Landscaping to make new arable land available and enhance previously landscaped land is vital to increase amount of alfalfa cultivation  Introduction of scalable supply chain model which leverages cooperatives with shareholding in GMF and provides valuable services to key suppliers will build trust and loyalty and increase quality  JV with leading machinery company to develop and distribute harvesters suitable for mountainous terrain through a leasing model is crucial for expansion  Formalising relationship with key suppliers makes access to financing in the supply chain easier 53 Strategy & Business Model – Supply Chain: Conclusion
  • 55. Table of Contents C Gansu Modern Forage Current Status D Strategy & Business Model F Organisation Structure & Governance Executive Summary B Market and Industry Background G Finance & Investments H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 54 A Introduction E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
  • 56. Stakeholder analysis & partnerships covers two areas Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships Section Partnerships Communication plan Description/ Objectives Suggestion for partnerships that can support GMF in achieving its strategic objectives Summary of key points for GMF Management for communication with key stakeholders 55
  • 57. GMF’s interests need to be aligned with its stakeholders, leading to partnership opportunities GMF Collectors Stakeholders’ Objectives Suggested Partnerships  Increase supply of Alfalfa for business growth  Improve alfalfa quality 2.Technology: Help collectors to gain access to appropriate technology by partnering with machinery providers Government Machine Providers Banks Stakeholders 3. Financial support: Partner with banks and government to provide collectors finance for business expansion 1. Supply Side: Increase Alfalfa production by establishing collectors cooperative and partnering with government  Promote Alfalfa production  Enhance rural livelihoods  Foster economic growth  Improve income  Grow business  Develop new appropriate technology  Gain access to new market with significant growth potential  Capture growth in agriculture sector  Grow loan book within risk appetite 56 Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
  • 58. Supply side: GMF must partner with local government and collectors to expand alfalfa cultivation  Increase alfalfa raw material input accessible to GMF – Increase area of arable land accessible for alfalfa farming – Organize labor to cultivate land Objective of partnership  Establish preferred partnership between GMF and government bodies on alfalfa development  Become thought leader to define and drive government’s long-term agenda  GMF to share preferred approach/ priorities for landscaping with government – Which areas should be landscaped first (e.g., more accessible logistically, within existing collector’s coverage, soil/ climate considerations) – Approach and specification of landscaped land aligned with GMF’s requirements Action areas  Local government bodies  Collectors Partners Land- scaping Land cultivation  Partner with collectors and government to cultivate currently unutilised/ newly accessible land  Establish collectors cooperative – Facilitate scaling of business model – Create organizational structure to deploy machinery – Facilitate access to financing 57 Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships – Government & collectors
  • 59. GMF must partner with technology partner to develop customized harvesting machinery  Develop customized alfalfa harvesting equipment – Support expansion of production base – Reduce dependency on manual labour – Enhance efficiency and quality  Equipment to automate cutting, pressing and baling of alfalfa in terraced land Objective or partnership  Identify suitable project partner for R&D (new development or modification of existing design) and manufacturing  Partners could include manufacturers or research institutes Action areas  Manufacturers/ research institutes  Government Partners Identifi- cation of partner(s) Develop equipment Roll-out/ scaling of model  Phased roll-out of harvesting equipment across GMF footprint Time frame  3-6 months  Agree on detailed technical specifications and timeline  Negotiate long-term partnership contract building on scale of market opportunity  Obtain government subsidies for R&D / procurement  Launch prototype tests  6-12 months  >12 months 58 Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships – Appropriate technology
  • 60. Potential appropriate technology partners  Established in 1926 as a manufacturer specializing in agriculture machinery  Third largest agriculture machinery providers in Japan  Advantage of R&D on the practical application of specific technology Description  Established in 1890 as a manufacturer of casting  No.1 agriculture machinery providers in Japan  Exploring a strategic partnerships in China for further business expansion  Key potential provider for GMF  Established in 1897 as a manufacturer of agriculture machinery  One of the largest of agriculture machinery providers in Germany  Providing a wide range of farming equipments including harvesting  A Sino-Italy JV in Shanghai between FIAT & SAIC since 2002  Specialized in small sized tractors machines  Capable of developing harvesting machine Recommendation: GMF to invite bids from all four companies as part of a tender for the necessary equipment, with backing from government. Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships 59
  • 61. GMF must partner with banks to provide financial support to collectors cooperative 60  Increase raw material supply to GMF via – Supporting collector cooperative to scale up their operations – Facilitate start of new collector businesses to expand coverage  Provide value-add to collectors to tie them closer to GMF Objective of partnership  Agree with banks on scalable financial support model for collector cooperative – Working capital solutions to finance harvest – Leasing/ financing of harvesting equipment – Product bundles for new business launch  Negotiate advantageous conditions for GMF business partners – Preferential rates (‘cooperative rate’) – Flexible approach towards collateral (e.g., harvest) – Potentially supported by GMF guarantees Action areas  Collectors  Banks  Government Partners Agree on model with banks Government assistance Detail collector needs  Quantify financial support collectors would require to significantly scale up their operations  Detail out key constraints faced by collectors today (e.g., bank’s collateral / guarantee requirements)  Negotiate government support to cooperative’s financing (e.g., partial loss coverage, insurance) Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
  • 62. Government communication plan  Landscaping – Shared plan – Agree on development priorities – Establish preferred partnership  Subsidies – Support development and procurement of technology – Financing of collectors  GMF supports the government agenda for rural development in Gansu province  Improving livelihood of rural population – Raise farmers and collectors’ income – Creating new work opportunities ▪ Farming / Collecting ▪ Production / Management  Enhancing productivity of local economy – Drive technological innovation – Utilizing landscaped areas – Free up manual labour resources for higher productive economic activities  Fostering economic growth – Attracting investment into region – Support growth in down-stream industries (e.g., meat production, dairy) Benefits to stakeholder Areas of support to GMF Talking points for GMF chairman 61 Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
  • 63. Collectors communication plan  Commitment to preferred partnership with GMF  Organize farmers to increase land coverage  Support/ coordinate roll-out technology / education of farmers  Support alfalfa quality control  Collaboration with GMF in cooperative model allows collectors to expand business and increase incomes – Support through machinery deployment and technology (e.g., SMS) – Easier access to financing – Information platform (mobile SMS based) Benefits to stakeholder Areas of support to GMF Talking points for GMF chairman 62 Cooperative Collector FarmerFarmer Farmer Collector Collector GMF Farmer Farmer Farmer Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
  • 64. Technology provider communication plan  R&D cooperation on customized harvesting and pressing equipment in line with GMF’s requirements  Support in testing and deployment of prototypes  Dedicated resources to implement with 18 month time frame  Ability to scale up production to meet GMF’s expansion plans  Commitment to long term partnership Benefits to stakeholder Areas of support to GMF  Significant new market opportunity providing stable source of long term revenue growth – Significant amount of land with potential for alfalfa cultivation in Gansu – Opportunity to establish / expand footprint in Chinese machinery market – Development of new technology that could be distributed in other markets  Government commitment to support through subsidies, e.g., supporting R&D or procurement Talking points for GMF chairman 63 Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
  • 65. Banks communication plan  Agree on scalable financial support model for collector cooperative – Working capital solutions to finance harvest – Leasing/ financing of harvesting equipment – Product bundles for new business launch  Negotiate advantageous conditions for GMF business partners – Preferential rates (‘cooperative rate’) – Flexible approach towards collateral (e.g., harvest) – Potentially supported by GMF guarantees  Provide long term business growth opportunity of significant scale  Better management of credit risk exposure to collectors through cooperative model  Allow to contribute to government’s agenda to develop rural community Benefits to Banks Areas of support to GMF Talking points for GMF chairman 64 Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships
  • 66. Table of Contents C Gansu Modern Forage - Current Status D Strategy & Business Model E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships Executive Summary B Market and Industry Background G Finance & Investments H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 65 A Introduction F Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 67. Organisation structure & Governance section overview Organisation Structure & Governance Current status and challenges Section Proposed organisation Objectives Understanding the challenges, constraints and opportunities New structure with additional functions to address current challenges and capture growth opportunities 66 Shareholding Participation criteria and structure Board of Directors Effective governance and risk management Talent Development  Building effective management team  Retain core employees  Develop competencies
  • 68. Current organization is constrained in overcoming the challenges of rapid expansion 67  Lack of experienced middle management  Business development capabilities stretched  Ad hoc approach to acquiring land and dealing with new farmers and collectors  Lack of agriculture and technical experts to improve quality of Alfalfa  No mechanical engineering and technology competency  Building the capabilities in house to capture opportunities presented by growing demand  Establishing and maintaining good relationships with key suppliers and government stakeholders  Proper mechanization to ensure improved quality and increased volume of alfalfa production  Creating the right organizational structure and governance to manage sustainable growth Status Challenges Note: Too reliant on Chairman Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 69.  Setup new functions and strategic positions to support expansion  Development of key competencies with structured Human Resources Management  Introduce a shareholding structure to attract investors and intensify partnerships with key stakeholders  Set up of a board with executive and non executive directors  Create an organisation with a strong management team that is less reliant on the Chairman and founder for key decision-making and business development 68 Proposed key measures Participants discuss GMF with Chairman Zhang Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 70. New roles required to support expansion  Strong management team  Strong relationship & collaboration with key stakeholders: – Collectors – Bank / Investors – Machinery providers – Government  Land acquisition & management  Strong capabilities in sales & marketing, production & supply chain management Expansion of GMF requires Additional responsibilities for key roles  Managing Director: – Strategic planning & business management – Relationship with key stakeholders  Business Development Director: – Land acquisition – Co-operative management  Production & Logistics Director – Alfalfa products supply chain – Mechanisation – Pellet production  Marketing and Sales Director – New customer and market development  Finance & Admin Director – Developing financial reporting systems that are reliable and auditable – Managing investor relations – Independent function to ensure investor interests are secure 69 Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 71. Proposed Organizational Structure 70 Existing function New function Board of Directors Managing Director Production & Logistics Director Mechanisation Plant 1 Manager Plant 2 Manager Plant .. Manager Finance & Admin Director Marketing & Sales Director Business Development Director Cooperatives Manager Government Relationship Legal Company Farm Management R&D Management Dairy Farm Feed Producer Primary Meat Producer Accounting Office HR Dept Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 72. Three Reasons to Introduce Shareholding 71  Business expansion requires funding for: – Land acquisition – Machinery, production, logistics assets – Hiring 1. Attracting new investors  Provide incentives for key suppliers (collectors/cooperatives) to supply alfalfa to GMF. This can be achieved by providing shareholding 2. Increasing and stabilizing alfalfa supply  Provide incentives for the management team members by offering equity 3. Acquiring and retaining talent In broadening the shareholder base, the following key areas need to be considered: Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 73. Shareholding Participation Criteria 72  Socially oriented investors willing to accept long-term return  Shared vision to develop the agricultural sector and improve rural economies Investors  “Sweat equity” for cooperatives under certain conditions such as volume commitments over time in order to secure shareholding  Basis for community engagement and social responsibility Key Suppliers (Collectors/Cooperatives)  Attract management team member who are aligned with company’s vision  Dividend plan that provides incentive for management team member to make long-term commitment  If he/she leaves GMF they needs to sell back shares to company Management Team Members In broadening the shareholder base, the following criteria can be applied Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 74. Shareholding Structure 73 Current majority shareholder (up to 60%)Investors (up to 30%) Cooperatives (up to 20%) Management Team Members (up to 10%) Suggested shareholder distribution for growth, strong governance and incentives  As founder, Chairman may wish to retain majority stake  Sufficient investment needed to support expansion  Providing shares to each of the key cooperatives secures supply of alfalfa  Providing sufficient shares to management team members instils sense of ownership and shared success Rationale Organisation Structure & Governance Note: Could be more depending on investment level and negotiations with major shareholder
  • 75. Inclusion of non-executive members who can provide strategic insights on board of directors will benefit GMF 74  Chairman Zhang  Managing Director Executive Members  Investors  Expert in the area of rural government policies  Agricultural machinery providers  Feed industry expert Non-Executive Members Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 76. Board of Directors - Roles and Responsibilities 75 Business expansion requires strong corporate governance and external expertise and relationships  Monitor company’s performance and growth  Balance the interests between Investors and company’s long-term vision  Legal compliance, land acquisition in particular  Preventing malfeasance and poor governance practices Governance External expertise and relationships  Land Acquisition  Local Government Policies  Machinery technology and industry  Agricultural technology and industry  Feed industry Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 77. Talent Development Hiring Management Talent 76 Hiring and retaining technical experts  Identify executives and initiate a search across various Chinese agricultural industry platforms and bodies  Offer attractive package with shareholding incentive  Focus on personal development and career perspectives  Some key personnel can be based in Lanzhou headquarters if needed to make it more attractive  Hire young engineers and business administration professionals by using the internet and targeting the top agricultural schools in China. Hiring and retaining employees in Dingxi will pose various challenges. A comprehensive talent development strategy is necessary. For all of these, the search should include leading universities across China since the talent pool is large. Hiring and retaining experts for new functions Challenges Measures  Lack of candidates in-house and time for development  Dingxi is not a preferred base  Technical experts get higher salaries in other industries  Dingxi is not a preferred base  Experts such as lawyer or HR professional have better opportunities in other industries  Dingxi is not a preferred base Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 78. Key Competencies  Clear communication on strategic directions to all levels and among all functions  Building strong relationship with all stakeholders  Create open culture to enable new suggestions and improvement  Identify new markets and key clients Sales and Marketing 77  Ability to connect the dots and deal with the complexity from land acquisition to alignment with all stakeholders interests  Identify and solve key issues along the value chain  Identify new markets and key clients Business management skills  Technical know how on alfalfa  Improvement of production processes for pellets  Stay updated about new machinery  Know how on seeds and formulations Agricultural engineering Equip employees with continuous development to meet the needs of a rapidly growing business Organisation Structure & Governance
  • 79. Table of Contents C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status D Strategy & Business Model E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships F Organization Structure & Governance Executive Summary B Market and Industry Background H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 78 A Introduction G Finance & Investments
  • 80. Finance and investment requirements cover four areas Financial highlight and projection Section Cash flow projection Capital structure and investment requirements Description/ Objectives Risks & mitigations Risks assessment and mitigations Debt and equity structure analysis, funding needs and solution Cash flow position in line with expansion plan Revenue and Profit projection Finance & Investments 79
  • 81. Revenue and profit projection under three scenarios 2,134 1,267 Base2013 +8% +72% 113 2,247 23 60 1,327 51 19 32 82 Proposed 60 +88% Vision Hay Pellets 5 9 144 241 2019 growth scenarios Net profit1 1 Incl. estimated revenue and cost growth for non-alfalfa products Revenue from alfalfa products RMB’m … 2013-2019 annual growth rate Scenario used in following pages Finance & Investments 80
  • 82. Cash flow Projection – Investment will be required to avoid high gearing. Finance & Investments RMB (million) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2014-19 Net profit 6.4 14.7 27.1 48.5 88.0 144.0 329 Adjustment for Depreciation 1.0 3.1 4.4 6.7 9.1 13.6 38 Cashflow from changes in AR (3.1) (5.9) (11.5) (18.6) (29.4) (36.6) (105) Cashflow from changes in AP 0.9 1.5 2.9 4.7 7.3 9.0 26 Cashflow from changes in inventory (8.2) (5.9) (11.5) (18.4) (28.6) (35.0) (108) Capital expenditure - Harvest machine (2.6) (2.6) (2.6) (2.6) (10) Capital expenditure - Pellet machine (22.0) (22.0) (22.0) (22.0) (33.0) (121) Capital expenditure - Land (6.8) (3.8) (5.6) (8.4) (12.7) (37) Advances to collectors/co-ops (19.0) (28.6) (47.2) (77.0) (123.4) (180.2) (475) Net Cashflow (22.1) (49.9) (64.1) (84.3) (109.9) (133.4) (464) Beginning cash balance 1.8 (20.3) (70.1) (134.2) (218.5) (328.4) Ending cash balance (20.3) (70.1) (134.2) (218.5) (328.4) (461.9) Total Liabilities (from Balance shset) 15.6 16.5 18.0 20.9 25.6 32.9 Cash deficit as bank loan 22.1 49.9 64.1 84.3 109.9 133.4 Equity 29.1 35.5 50.2 77.3 125.8 213.8 Debt/equity ratio 1.292 1.868 1.635 1.361 1.078 0.778 Total investment needed over the next 5 years before breakeven is RMB 30M. 81
  • 83. Key assumptions for scenarios Finance & Investments 82 2014 2019 2014 2019 2014 2019 Price (RMB/ton) Alfalfa Pellets 2,150 2,300 2,150 2,300 2,150 2,300 Alfalfa Hay 2,350 2,500 2,350 2,500 2,350 2,500 Volume (Thousand ton) Alfalfa Pellets 16 26 30 551 29 928 Alfalfa Hay 9 9 10 24 11 45 COG (RMB/ton) Alfalfa Pellets 1984 2000 1984 2000 1984 2000 Alfalfa Hay 2067 2199.5 2067 2199.5 2067 2199.5 (RMB million) Staff expense 0.49 0.54 1.39 9.08 1.35 13.16 Pellet machines 0.99 4.95 11.88 2.97 18.81 Harvest machines 0.02 0.18 0.94 0.02 3.55 Land leasing 0.01 0.05 0.74 2.87 Cost Revenue Base Proposed Vision Expense
  • 84. Risk analysis and mitigations (1/2) Finance & Investments 83 Risks Functional area Likelihood Impact Mitigations Market competition with local and overseas players Marketing High High  Leadership position in Northern China  Well established clientele base,  Scaling, landscaping and mechanisation Capital constraint to support growth Finance High High  Introduction of new investment partners  Government’s stimulus policy  Establish relationship with banks RMB appreciation against USD impacts its market share Finance Medium Medium  RMB appreciation reduces import raw material cost  Import tariff Default risks on collectors Finance Medium Medium  Collateral arrangement equipment leasing, eg. asset collateralization, personal guarantee etc.  Internal credit monitoring system set up for collectors  Progress payment to collectors
  • 85. Risk analysis and mitigations (2/2) Finance & Investments 84 Risks Functional area Likelihood Impact Mitigations Market price volatility Marketing High High  Product mix improvement  Diversification of sourcing channel Customer concentration Marketing High High  Diversify customer base via new in-house sales and marketing capabilities Limited labor force constrains alfalfa plantation Organization Medium High  Consolidate land  Mechanisation Technical knowledge insufficiency Supply chain Medium Medium  Introduction of joint venture partner Climate impact on productionSupply chain Medium High  Insurance scheme  Hardship fund
  • 86. Table of Contents C Gansu Modern Forage – Current Status D Strategy & Business Model E Stakeholder Analysis & Partnerships F Organisation Structure & Governance Executive Summary B Market and Industry Background G Finance & Investments 85 A Introduction H Implementation Timeline & Conclusion
  • 87. Indicative implementation plan 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Bank partnership - Initiate discussions - Agree and formalize framework - Develop equipment - Launch financing model - Set up Management Team and Board of directors - Add new key roles to support business expansion Organization & HR Collector cooperative Activity - Initiative discussions - Launch Cooperative Government partnership Mechanization - Identification of partner(s) - Phased roll-out Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 86
  • 88. Conclusions Implementation Timeline & Conclusion 87  The forage industry and alfalfa in particular presents a massive opportunity not only for commercial success but also to support rural development and bring prosperity to some of China’s most underdeveloped areas.  Industry and consumer trends and government policy have created an environment suited for investments in alfalfa cultivation  GMF is well positioned to take advantage of this opportunity and drastically scale up its business in the coming five years  Expansion of the business will require fundamental changes to the business model and key partnerships along the value chain. By entering into a JV with a machinery provider and offering cooperatives shareholding in the business GMF can secure the quality and quantity of alfalfa required to take advantage of rising domestic demand and achieve long-term profitability  Capital will be required to fill the gap in funding and therefore external investors and financial institutions should be cultivated  Business and operation risks should be mitigated and anticipated with proper governance and risk management standard procedures.