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QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012
Th
                                                                                                                                                                 e                                                                     QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012




EMPLOYMENT, LABOR FORCE, UNEMPLOYMENT RATES

                                                                TOTAL PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT                                                                                                                                             COLUMBUS REGION UNEMPLOYMENT
Columbus MSA employment increased sharply during the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     RATE
first quarter, gaining 9,400 jobs (1.0%). Ohio employment
increased 0.8% and national employment rose 0.5%. The 11-                                                                                                                                                                             12%
                                                                                           102.0
                                      -adjusted                                            100.0                                                                                                                                      10%




                                                                     Index: 1/08 = 100.0
unemployment rate rose to 7.0% in March from 6.8%, but                                      98.0                                                                                                                                       8%
remained well below the 7.5% state rate and the 8.2% U.S.                                   96.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       6%
rate. As shown in the chart at the left, the number of active                               94.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4%
local job-seekers increased during the quarter, despite a                                   92.0
decline in March. This was the primary reason for the                                       90.0                                                                                                                                       2%

increase in the regional unemployment rate and suggests                                     88.0                                                                                                                                      0%




                                                                                                                                          4/09
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increasing optimism. Still, the difference between reported
labor force and the level assuming normal growth indicates
                                                                                                            Columbus MSA                                                  Ohio                                       US                                    Columbus Region                                           Ohio                               U.S.
that many discouraged workers remain on the sidelines.
                                                                Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.                                                                                              Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Stats.
                                                                Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC.                                                                                                            Seasonal adjustment of regional rate by Regionomics LLC.




                                                                COLUMBUS REGION LABOR FORCE

                                                                                           1,120


                                                                                           1,070
                                                                Thousands




                                                                                           1,020


                                                                                            970


                                                                                            920
                                                                                                                                                                                         4/11
                                                                                                          4/08


                                                                                                                        10/08


                                                                                                                                4/09


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                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1/12



                                                                                                                          Labor force
                                                                                                                          Labor force, normal growth
                                                                                                                          Resident employment

                                                                Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Stats.
                                                                Seasonal adjustment of regional rate by Regionomics LLC.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1
QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012




EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY

                                                                TRANSPORTATION, WAREHOUSING &                                                                                                                                         MANUFACTURING
The charts on this and the next page highlight employment
                                                                WHOLESALE

                                                                                                110.0                                                                                                                                                           110.0
Distribution industries (including transportation,
                                                                                                105.0                                                                                                                                                          105.0
warehousing, and wholesale trade) added 1,000 jobs (1.3%)




                                                                 Index: 1/08 = 100.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Index: 1/08 = 100.0
                                                                                                100.0                                                                                                                                                          100.0
during the first quarter versus statewide growth of 1.9% and
                                                                                                95.0                                                                                                                                                            95.0
0.6% nationwide. Manufacturing lost 3,300 jobs (5.0%)                                           90.0                                                                                                                                                            90.0
while Ohio employment increased 1.3% and U.S.                                                   85.0                                                                                                                                                            85.0
employment rose 1.0%. The weakness in local                                                     80.0                                                                                                                                                            80.0

manufacturing employment growth seems to be due to                                               75.0                                                                                                                                                           75.0
                                                                                                70.0                                                                                                                                                            70.0
improving efficiency rather than weakness in the sector




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itself. However, Columbus Region manufacturers are likely
to reach the limit of their productivity growth and will need
                                                                                                                Columbus MSA                                               Ohio                                 US                                                         Columbus MSA                                                       Ohio                                  US
to increase employment, as their counterparts have
elsewhere. Business service employment increased 2,300
(1.6%), better than the statewide gain of 0.5% and the U.S.
gain of 1.1%. Finance and insurance lost 400 jobs (0.6%),
compared to gains of 0.5% in Ohio and 0.2% nationwide.

                                                                PROFESSIONAL & BUSINESS SERVICES                                                                                                                                      FINANCE & INSURANCE


                                                                                                 110.0                                                                                                                                                         110.0

                                                                                                105.0                                                                                                                                                          105.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Index: 1/08 = 100.0
                                                                          Index: 1/08 = 100.0




                                                                                                100.0                                                                                                                                                          100.0

                                                                                                 95.0                                                                                                                                                          95.0

                                                                                                 90.0                                                                                                                                                          90.0

                                                                                                 85.0                                                                                                                                                          85.0

                                                                                                 80.0                                                                                                                                                          80.0

                                                                                                 75.0                                                                                                                                                           75.0

                                                                                                 70.0                                                                                                                                                          70.0




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                                                                                                                Columbus MSA                                               Ohio                                 US                                                             Columbus MSA                                                   Ohio                                US


                                                                Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
                                                                Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2
QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012




EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY (continued)

                                                                HEALTHCARE & SOCIAL ASSISTANCE                                            LEISURE & HOSPITALITY
Columbus MSA healthcare employment enjoyed
particularly strong growth, gaining 2,700 jobs (2.4%) versus
                                                                                          125.0                                                                          110.0
Ohio and U.S growth of 1.4% and 0.7%, respectively. While
                                                                                          120.0                                                                          105.0
it is possible that the Bureau of Labor Statistics may revise




                                                                                                                                          Index: 1/08 = 100.0
                                                                    Index: 1/08 = 100.0
                                                                                           115.0                                                                     100.0
these estimates downward later , the latest increase in                                                                                                                  95.0
                                                                                           110.0
healthcare employment is part of a longer-term trend.                                     105.0                                                                          90.0
Leisure and hospitality lost 500 jobs (0.5%), compared to                                 100.0                                                                          85.0
statewide growth of 0.1% and U.S. growth of 0.9%.                                          95.0                                                                          80.0

Government employment was essentially unchanged in the                                     90.0                                                                          75.0
                                                                                           85.0                                                                          70.0
Columbus MSA after a sustained decline in 2011.




                                                                                                   10/08

                                                                                                    4/09
                                                                                                    4/08
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Nationwide government employment was also unchanged
but the sector gained 0.2% in Ohio. Columbus MSA retail
                                                                                                   Columbus MSA   Ohio     US                                                               Columbus MSA                                                                 Ohio                                          US
added a massive 3,400 jobs (3.5%) while Ohio gained 1.6%
and the U.S. lost 0.3%. The $28.4 billion in taxable sales in
the Region during 2011 represented an after-inflation
increase of 2.8% from the 2010 level.


                                                                GOVERNMENT                                                                RETAIL

                                                                                          110.0
                                                                                                                                                                          110.0
                                                                                          105.0
                                                                                                                                                                         105.0
                                                                Index: 1/08 = 100.0




                                                                                                                                                   Index: 1/08 = 100.0
                                                                                          100.0                                                                          100.0
                                                                                          95.0                                                                            95.0
                                                                                          90.0                                                                            90.0
                                                                                          85.0                                                                            85.0
                                                                                          80.0                                                                            80.0
                                                                                           75.0                                                                           75.0

                                                                                          70.0                                                                            70.0




                                                                                                                                                                                           4/08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  7/11
                                                                                                                                                                                                            10/08


                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4/09


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4/10




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                                                                                                   10/08




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                                                                                                    10/10



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                                                                                                   Columbus MSA   Ohio     US                                                                Columbus MSA                                                                  Ohio                                           US

                                                                Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
                                                                Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3
QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012




CURRENT EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS REVISIONS

                                                                          TOTAL PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT                                                       CONSTRUCTION
 Each March the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses more
 accurate information to correct the previous two years of                            950.0                                                                             40.0

 Current Employment Statistics estimates. The corrections                                                                                                               38.0
                                                                                      940.0                                                                             36.0
 this year increased 2011 employment significantly
                                                                                                                                                                        34.0
                                                                                      930.0




                                                                                                                                                        Thousands
                                                                          Thousands
 particularly in the second half, as shown in the monthly                                                                                                               32.0
 employment chart below. Average employment in 2011 is                                920.0                                                                             30.0
                                                                                                                                                                        28.0
 now estimated as 916,900, an increase of 6,500 from the                              910.0
                                                                                                                                                                        26.0
 original estimate. December employment was increased by
                                                                                      900.0                                                                             24.0
 9,200. Growth for the year is now estimated at 13,600 jobs                                                                                                             22.0
 1.5% rather than 0.7%. Annual estimates were increased by                            890.0                                                                             20.0




                                                                                                                                          2010




                                                                                                                                                 2011
                                                                                                        2008




                                                                                                                            2009
                                                                                               2007




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2010
                                                                                                                                                                                2007




                                                                                                                                                                                                          2009
                                                                                                                                                                                        2008
 6,400 for education and healthcare, 2,100 for manufacturing,
 and 1,200 for financial activities. The largest downward                                               Post-rev.                  Pre-rev.                                             Post-rev.                       Pre-rev.
 revisions were in construction (1,700) and business services
 (1,600).




TOTAL SEASONALLY ADJUSTED PAYROLL                                         MANUFACTURING                                                                  WHOLESALE TRADE
EMPLOYMENT, MONTHLY

              930.0                                                                   80.0
                                                                                                                                                                         39.5
                                                                                      78.0
              920.0                                                                   76.0                                                                              39.0
                                                                                      74.0                                                                               38.5
              910.0
                                                                          Thousands
  Thousands




                                                                                                                                                            Thousands
                                                                                      72.0
                                                                                                                                                                        38.0
              900.0                                                                   70.0
                                                                                      68.0                                                                               37.5
              890.0                                                                   66.0
                                                                                                                                                                        37.0
              880.0                                                                   64.0
                                                                                      62.0                                                                               36.5
              870.0                                                                   60.0                                                                              36.0
                                                                                                                                         2010




                                                                                                                                                 2011
                                                                                                      2008
                                                                                             2007




                                                                                                                           2009




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2010
                                                                                                                                                                                 2007




                                                                                                                                                                                           2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2009
                              Post-rev.               Pre-rev.                                                 Post-rev.            Pre-rev.                                                      Post-rev.                 Pre-rev.

Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.   Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4
QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012




CURRENT EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS REVISIONS (continued)

RETAIL TRADE                                                            TRANSPORTATION & WAREHOUSING                                                        FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES                                      PROFESSIONAL & BUSINESS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      SERVICES
             104.0                                                                     52.0                                                                   74.0                                                                 156.0
             103.0                                                                                                                                            73.0
             102.0                                                                     50.0                                                                                                                                        154.0
                                                                                                                                                              72.0
             101.0
                                                                                       48.0                                                                                                                                        152.0
 Thousands




                                                                                                                                                  Thousands




                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Thousands
                                                                                                                                                               71.0



                                                                        Thousands
             100.0
              99.0                                                                     46.0                                                                   70.0                                                                 150.0
              98.0
                                                                                                                                                              69.0
              97.0                                                                     44.0                                                                                                                                        148.0
                                                                                                                                                              68.0
              96.0
                                                                                       42.0                                                                                                                                        146.0
              95.0                                                                                                                                            67.0
              94.0                                                                     40.0                                                                   66.0                                                                 144.0
                                                        2010




                                                                 2011
                     2007




                                2008




                                          2009




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2010




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2007
                                                                                                                                                                                                      2010




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                               2011
                                                                                                                                                                       2007




                                                                                                                                                                                          2009
                                                                                                                                                                                2008
                                                                                                                                 2010




                                                                                                                                         2011
                                                                                              2007




                                                                                                        2008




                                                                                                                    2009
                             Post-rev.             Pre-rev.                                             Post-rev.            Pre-rev.                                         Post-rev.          Pre-rev.                                         Post-rev.           Pre-rev.




EDUCATION & HEALTH SERVICES                                             LEISURE & HOSPITALITY                                                               OTHER SERVICES                                            GOVERNMENT


             135.0                                                                     90.0                                                                   38.0                                                                 160.0
                                                                                                                                                              37.5
             130.0                                                                     89.0                                                                                                                                        159.0
                                                                                                                                                              37.0
             125.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                 158.0
                                                                                                                                                Thousands




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Thousands
                                                                                       88.0
Thousands




                                                                                                                                                              36.5
                                                                           Thousands




             120.0                                                                     87.0                                                                   36.0                                                                 157.0
                                                                                                                                                              35.5
             115.0                                                                     86.0                                                                                                                                        156.0
                                                                                                                                                              35.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   155.0
             110.0                                                                     85.0                                                                   34.5
                                                                                                                                                              34.0                                                                 154.0
             105.0                                                                     84.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2007
                                                                                                                                                                                                     2010




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                               2011
                                                                                                                                                                      2007




                                                                                                                                                                                2008




                                                                                                                                                                                          2009
                                                                                                                                2010




                                                                                                                                        2011
                                                                                               2007




                                                                                                         2008




                                                                                                                    2009
                                                      2010




                                                               2011
                               2008




                                         2009
                     2007




                            Post-rev.            Pre-rev.                                                                                                                     Post-rev.          Pre-rev.                                         Post-rev.           Pre-rev.
                                                                                                      Post-rev.            Pre-rev.


Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  5
QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012




COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                AIRPORT PASSENGERS & CARGO

INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE VACANCY RATES                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  PORT COLUMBUS INTL. AIRPORT PASSENGERS

              25.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1,800




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Thousands of passengers
              20.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1,600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1,400
 Percent




              15.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1,200
              10.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    800
               5.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    400
               0.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  200
                                                                                                                                                                                                               2011-Q1




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2012-Q1
                                                                                             2008-Q3


                                                                                                                 2009-Q1
                                                                                                                           2009-Q2
                                                                                                                                      2009-Q3
                                                                                                                                                 2009-Q4
                                                                       2008-Q1
                                                                                  2008-Q2


                                                                                                       2008-Q4
                     2007-Q1
                                  2007-Q2
                                               2007-Q3
                                                           2007-Q4




                                                                                                                                                                                     2010-Q3
                                                                                                                                                             2010-Q1
                                                                                                                                                                         2010-Q2


                                                                                                                                                                                                  2010-Q4


                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2011-Q2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2011-Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2011-Q4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Q1               Q2                 Q3           Q4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2008     2009     2010      2011      2012
                                                                                              Columbus                                                                 U.S.

Source: CB Richard Ellis.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Source: Columbus Regional Airport Authority.




OFFICE VACANCY RATES                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  RICKENBACKER INTL. AIRPORT CARGO HANDLED


               25.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               60,000

              20.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                50,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Thousands of pounds
    Percent




               15.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               40,000

               10.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30,000

                5.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               20,000

               0.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                10,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                            2011-Q1




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2012-Q1
                                                                                             2008-Q3


                                                                                                                 2009-Q1
                                                                                                                           2009-Q2


                                                                                                                                                2009-Q4
                                                                                                                                     2009-Q3
                                                                        2008-Q1
                                                                                   2008-Q2


                                                                                                       2008-Q4
                        2007-Q1
                                     2007-Q2


                                                             2007-Q4
                                                 2007-Q3




                                                                                                                                                                                   2010-Q3
                                                                                                                                                           2010-Q1
                                                                                                                                                                       2010-Q2


                                                                                                                                                                                               2010-Q4



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2011-Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2011-Q2


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2011-Q4




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Q1              Q2                 Q3           Q4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2008       2009         2010      2011      2012
                                                                                                Columbus                                                             U.S.

Source: CB Richard Ellis.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Source: Columbus Regional Airport Authority.




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Q1 ECONOMIC
Q1 ECONOMIC
Q1 ECONOMIC
Q1 ECONOMIC
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Q1 ECONOMIC

  • 2. Th e QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012 EMPLOYMENT, LABOR FORCE, UNEMPLOYMENT RATES TOTAL PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT COLUMBUS REGION UNEMPLOYMENT Columbus MSA employment increased sharply during the RATE first quarter, gaining 9,400 jobs (1.0%). Ohio employment increased 0.8% and national employment rose 0.5%. The 11- 12% 102.0 -adjusted 100.0 10% Index: 1/08 = 100.0 unemployment rate rose to 7.0% in March from 6.8%, but 98.0 8% remained well below the 7.5% state rate and the 8.2% U.S. 96.0 6% rate. As shown in the chart at the left, the number of active 94.0 4% local job-seekers increased during the quarter, despite a 92.0 decline in March. This was the primary reason for the 90.0 2% increase in the regional unemployment rate and suggests 88.0 0% 4/09 4/08 7/08 10/08 7/09 10/09 4/10 1/08 1/09 4/11 10/11 7/10 10/10 7/11 1/10 1/11 1/12 10/08 4/09 4/08 7/08 7/09 10/09 4/10 1/08 1/09 4/11 10/11 7/10 10/10 7/11 1/10 1/11 1/12 increasing optimism. Still, the difference between reported labor force and the level assuming normal growth indicates Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus Region Ohio U.S. that many discouraged workers remain on the sidelines. Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Stats. Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC. Seasonal adjustment of regional rate by Regionomics LLC. COLUMBUS REGION LABOR FORCE 1,120 1,070 Thousands 1,020 970 920 4/11 4/08 10/08 4/09 10/09 1/10 1/08 7/09 7/08 4/10 10/10 1/09 10/11 7/10 1/11 7/11 1/12 Labor force Labor force, normal growth Resident employment Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Stats. Seasonal adjustment of regional rate by Regionomics LLC. 1
  • 3. QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012 EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY TRANSPORTATION, WAREHOUSING & MANUFACTURING The charts on this and the next page highlight employment WHOLESALE 110.0 110.0 Distribution industries (including transportation, 105.0 105.0 warehousing, and wholesale trade) added 1,000 jobs (1.3%) Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 100.0 100.0 during the first quarter versus statewide growth of 1.9% and 95.0 95.0 0.6% nationwide. Manufacturing lost 3,300 jobs (5.0%) 90.0 90.0 while Ohio employment increased 1.3% and U.S. 85.0 85.0 employment rose 1.0%. The weakness in local 80.0 80.0 manufacturing employment growth seems to be due to 75.0 75.0 70.0 70.0 improving efficiency rather than weakness in the sector 4/09 4/08 10/08 1/11 7/08 7/09 10/09 4/10 10/10 1/08 1/09 4/11 10/11 7/10 7/11 1/10 1/12 4/09 4/08 10/08 1/11 7/08 7/09 10/09 1/09 4/10 10/10 4/11 10/11 1/08 7/10 7/11 1/10 1/12 itself. However, Columbus Region manufacturers are likely to reach the limit of their productivity growth and will need Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus MSA Ohio US to increase employment, as their counterparts have elsewhere. Business service employment increased 2,300 (1.6%), better than the statewide gain of 0.5% and the U.S. gain of 1.1%. Finance and insurance lost 400 jobs (0.6%), compared to gains of 0.5% in Ohio and 0.2% nationwide. PROFESSIONAL & BUSINESS SERVICES FINANCE & INSURANCE 110.0 110.0 105.0 105.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 100.0 100.0 95.0 95.0 90.0 90.0 85.0 85.0 80.0 80.0 75.0 75.0 70.0 70.0 10/11 4/08 4/09 7/08 10/08 7/09 10/09 4/10 1/08 1/09 4/11 7/10 10/10 7/11 1/10 1/11 1/12 10/11 4/08 4/09 7/08 10/08 7/09 10/09 4/10 4/11 1/08 1/09 7/10 10/10 7/11 1/10 1/11 1/12 Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus MSA Ohio US Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC. 2
  • 4. QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012 EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY (continued) HEALTHCARE & SOCIAL ASSISTANCE LEISURE & HOSPITALITY Columbus MSA healthcare employment enjoyed particularly strong growth, gaining 2,700 jobs (2.4%) versus 125.0 110.0 Ohio and U.S growth of 1.4% and 0.7%, respectively. While 120.0 105.0 it is possible that the Bureau of Labor Statistics may revise Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 115.0 100.0 these estimates downward later , the latest increase in 95.0 110.0 healthcare employment is part of a longer-term trend. 105.0 90.0 Leisure and hospitality lost 500 jobs (0.5%), compared to 100.0 85.0 statewide growth of 0.1% and U.S. growth of 0.9%. 95.0 80.0 Government employment was essentially unchanged in the 90.0 75.0 85.0 70.0 Columbus MSA after a sustained decline in 2011. 10/08 4/09 4/08 7/08 7/09 10/09 1/09 4/10 4/11 10/11 1/08 7/10 10/10 7/11 1/10 1/11 1/12 10/10 4/08 10/08 4/09 1/11 7/09 10/09 7/08 4/10 1/08 1/09 4/11 10/11 7/10 7/11 1/10 1/12 Nationwide government employment was also unchanged but the sector gained 0.2% in Ohio. Columbus MSA retail Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus MSA Ohio US added a massive 3,400 jobs (3.5%) while Ohio gained 1.6% and the U.S. lost 0.3%. The $28.4 billion in taxable sales in the Region during 2011 represented an after-inflation increase of 2.8% from the 2010 level. GOVERNMENT RETAIL 110.0 110.0 105.0 105.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 100.0 100.0 95.0 95.0 90.0 90.0 85.0 85.0 80.0 80.0 75.0 75.0 70.0 70.0 4/08 7/11 10/08 4/09 10/09 4/10 4/11 1/08 1/09 7/08 7/09 10/10 10/11 1/10 7/10 1/11 1/12 4/09 4/08 10/08 10/09 4/10 4/11 1/08 1/09 7/08 7/09 10/10 7/11 10/11 1/10 7/10 1/11 1/12 Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus MSA Ohio US Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC. 3
  • 5. QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012 CURRENT EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS REVISIONS TOTAL PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT CONSTRUCTION Each March the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses more accurate information to correct the previous two years of 950.0 40.0 Current Employment Statistics estimates. The corrections 38.0 940.0 36.0 this year increased 2011 employment significantly 34.0 930.0 Thousands Thousands particularly in the second half, as shown in the monthly 32.0 employment chart below. Average employment in 2011 is 920.0 30.0 28.0 now estimated as 916,900, an increase of 6,500 from the 910.0 26.0 original estimate. December employment was increased by 900.0 24.0 9,200. Growth for the year is now estimated at 13,600 jobs 22.0 1.5% rather than 0.7%. Annual estimates were increased by 890.0 20.0 2010 2011 2008 2009 2007 2011 2010 2007 2009 2008 6,400 for education and healthcare, 2,100 for manufacturing, and 1,200 for financial activities. The largest downward Post-rev. Pre-rev. Post-rev. Pre-rev. revisions were in construction (1,700) and business services (1,600). TOTAL SEASONALLY ADJUSTED PAYROLL MANUFACTURING WHOLESALE TRADE EMPLOYMENT, MONTHLY 930.0 80.0 39.5 78.0 920.0 76.0 39.0 74.0 38.5 910.0 Thousands Thousands Thousands 72.0 38.0 900.0 70.0 68.0 37.5 890.0 66.0 37.0 880.0 64.0 62.0 36.5 870.0 60.0 36.0 2010 2011 2008 2007 2009 2011 2010 2007 2008 2009 Post-rev. Pre-rev. Post-rev. Pre-rev. Post-rev. Pre-rev. Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC. 4
  • 6. QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012 CURRENT EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS REVISIONS (continued) RETAIL TRADE TRANSPORTATION & WAREHOUSING FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES PROFESSIONAL & BUSINESS SERVICES 104.0 52.0 74.0 156.0 103.0 73.0 102.0 50.0 154.0 72.0 101.0 48.0 152.0 Thousands Thousands Thousands 71.0 Thousands 100.0 99.0 46.0 70.0 150.0 98.0 69.0 97.0 44.0 148.0 68.0 96.0 42.0 146.0 95.0 67.0 94.0 40.0 66.0 144.0 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2010 2008 2009 2011 2007 2009 2008 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 Post-rev. Pre-rev. Post-rev. Pre-rev. Post-rev. Pre-rev. Post-rev. Pre-rev. EDUCATION & HEALTH SERVICES LEISURE & HOSPITALITY OTHER SERVICES GOVERNMENT 135.0 90.0 38.0 160.0 37.5 130.0 89.0 159.0 37.0 125.0 158.0 Thousands Thousands 88.0 Thousands 36.5 Thousands 120.0 87.0 36.0 157.0 35.5 115.0 86.0 156.0 35.0 155.0 110.0 85.0 34.5 34.0 154.0 105.0 84.0 2011 2010 2007 2010 2008 2009 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2007 Post-rev. Pre-rev. Post-rev. Pre-rev. Post-rev. Pre-rev. Post-rev. Pre-rev. Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 5
  • 7. QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q1 2012 COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE AIRPORT PASSENGERS & CARGO INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE VACANCY RATES PORT COLUMBUS INTL. AIRPORT PASSENGERS 25.0 2,000 1,800 Thousands of passengers 20.0 1,600 1,400 Percent 15.0 1,200 10.0 1,000 800 5.0 600 400 0.0 200 2011-Q1 2012-Q1 2008-Q3 2009-Q1 2009-Q2 2009-Q3 2009-Q4 2008-Q1 2008-Q2 2008-Q4 2007-Q1 2007-Q2 2007-Q3 2007-Q4 2010-Q3 2010-Q1 2010-Q2 2010-Q4 2011-Q2 2011-Q3 2011-Q4 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Columbus U.S. Source: CB Richard Ellis. Source: Columbus Regional Airport Authority. OFFICE VACANCY RATES RICKENBACKER INTL. AIRPORT CARGO HANDLED 25.0 60,000 20.0 50,000 Thousands of pounds Percent 15.0 40,000 10.0 30,000 5.0 20,000 0.0 10,000 2011-Q1 2012-Q1 2008-Q3 2009-Q1 2009-Q2 2009-Q4 2009-Q3 2008-Q1 2008-Q2 2008-Q4 2007-Q1 2007-Q2 2007-Q4 2007-Q3 2010-Q3 2010-Q1 2010-Q2 2010-Q4 2011-Q3 2011-Q2 2011-Q4 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Columbus U.S. Source: CB Richard Ellis. Source: Columbus Regional Airport Authority. 6