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CONNECTING THE DOTS:
Design Trend Forecast 2012
        IN CONTEXT




             WITH
     BILL INDURSKY
          CO-FOUNDER OF
But first…
?
                 ?
          ?
 How Do You Come Up
With The Trend Forecast?
Do You Just Make It Up?
Do You Divine It From God?
NOPE!
Follow Basic
Trend Forecasting
       Rules
What Exactly Is A Trend?
“…any form of behavior that develops
     among a large population and is
collectively followed with enthusiasm for
              some period…”
TREND
      =
 People
      +
Influence
Identifying
Influences
RULE#1
Find Out Where You Have Been.
Major Cultural Trends
Major News Stories
 for the Last Year
                   2011
       Injustice   Casey Anthony Trial
 Death/Disaster    Japan Earthquake and Tsunami
         Joyous    Royal Wedding
          Death    Death of Osama bin Laden
      Economic     Unemployment
          Death    Arizona Shooting
          Death    Death of Amy Winehouse
       Injustice   Arab Spring
 Death/Injustice   Libya/Death of Moammar Gadhafi
       Injustice   Occupy Wall Street
Injustice
Top Grossing Films
             for the Last Year
                                   2011
       Little Guy Wins/Fantasy     Harry Potter & the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
             Unjust War/Sci-Fy     Transformers: Dark of the Moon
             Funny/Romantism       Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
                    Romantism      The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1
                Little Guy Wins    Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol
                Little Guy Wins    Kung Fu Panda 2
Little Guy Wins/Rights Injustice   Fast Five
                         Funny     The Hangover Part II
                        Fantasy    The Smurfs
                        Fantasy    Cars 2
Little Guy Wins
        +
     Fantasy
Top Rated TV Shows
     for the Last Year
                       2010-2011
Little Guy Wins/Anyone Can Be Star    American Idol
                       War/Battle     NBC Sunday Night Football
Little Guy Wins/Anyone Can Be Star    American Idol
            Little Guy Wins/Justice   The Voice
                            Funny     Modern Family
               Anyone Can Be Star     Dancing with the Stars
            Funny/Little Guy Wins     The Big Bang Theory
                       Funny/Sexy     Grey’s Anatomy
               Anyone Can Be Star     Survivor: Nicaragua
                          Mystery     NCIS
Little Guy Wins
          +
Anyone Can Be A Star
2011




Injustice   Little Guy Wins     Little Guy Wins
                    +                   +
                 Fantasy      Anyone Can Be A Star
Major Cultural Trends
       Go Big.
Anyone Can Be A Star
  1936 - First freely programmable computer.
  1964 - Computer Mouse & Windows
  1974 - The first consumer computers/first email
  1976 - Apple I, II & TRS-80
  1979 - Word Processors
  1981 - Microsoft MS-DOS Computer Operating System
  1984 - Apple Macintosh Computer/Domain Names
  1985 - Microsoft Windows
  1989 - AOL
  1991 - First Web Page
  1993 - First Browser
  1998 - Google Begins
  2001 - Wikipedia
  2004 - Web 2.0
  2005 - YouTube
  2007 - iPhone

    The Empowerment of the Individual
     Thanks To Computers/Technology
Major Cultural Trends
     Economic




      Conservative - Middle
2011




      Injustice         Little Guy Wins     Little Guy Wins
                                +                   +
                             Fantasy      Anyone Can Be A Star

Conservative - Middle          Individual Power by Technology
Fashion Trends
  Go Small.
Fashion
for the Last Year
        2011
     Fur
     Suiting/Structure
     Perforations
     Punk/Goth
     Chains/Spikes/Studs
     Graphic
     Black & White
     Neon
     Sparkle
Fashion Trends
Repeat Every 25-30 years.
Interiors
for the Last Year
        2011
     Dark
     Rich
     Traditional
     Clean
     Quirky/Sculptural
2011




            Injustice       Little Guy Wins     Little Guy Wins
                                    +                   +
                                 Fantasy      Anyone Can Be A Star

    Conservative - Middle           Individual Power by Technology
Dark/Punk                     Fur                            Perforated
              Traditional               Quirky/Sculptural
RULE#2
You Can’t Please Everyone.
RULE#3
Home Décor Needs Materials
RULE#4
Materials Have Color.
RULE#5
 2 Major Trends For Style/Year
1 Major Trend For Material/Year
  1 Major Trend For Color/Year
RULE#6
Trends Have Sub-Trends.
RULE#7
 From Year To Year Trends
Continue in Various Versions
  Or Sub-Trends Shoot Up
TOP TREND
Feudal Fortitude
  Q4 2011 – Q1 2012
High Back Seating
Nail Heads
Goblets/Chalices
Dark Dramatically Lit Interiors
Brocade/Damask
Architectural Models/Plans
Pelts
Shadow Boxes
 & Mechanica
Dark Kitsch
TOP TREND
Technoganic
Q2 2012 – Q3 2012
What does this mean
   for Interiors?
Fabric Structures
Perforations
String, Filament,
& Stick Structures
Fractal & Prismatic
Terrariums
Structural Sculptural Clarity
TOP TREND
Barbie Glam
Q2 2012 - Q3 2012
What does this mean
   for Interiors?
Exaggerated Forms
Solarized Color
Tough Girl Bling
Baroque Bejeweling
Pleats
Peacocks
Large Scale Scenic Prints
TOP TREND
Euro-Centric
Q4 2012 – Q1 2013
“I have recently re-discovered VandM and have a hard time keeping my hands off it.” – Nate Berkus

"Try searching the modern design site VandM.com, which carries pieces by well-known designers similar to
                those on 1stdibs but usually at slightly lower prices." - The New York Times

                      “The best vintage shopping on the web.” – The Los Angeles Times

“With finds ranging from furniture to jewelry to unique collectibles, this is one of my favorite sites to visit.” –
                                         New York Spaces Magazine

                                        “A must place to shop.” – Vogue

                             “One of our favorite shopping sites.” – Rue Magazine

                                     “Dream Source” – Apartment Therapy

             “VandM is revolutionizing the way people shop for unique vintage pieces.” – Gentry

                    “Vintage and Modern is my new 1stdibs.” – Chicago Home and Garden

 “Nothing gets my creative juices flowing like reading the site! Love the mix of items to buy along with the
                                 editorial inside DESIGNinTELL Magazine.”
                       – DJ Carey, Editor-in-Chief, Connecticut Cottages & Gardens

                      “My new favorite website for fresh vintage finds.” – The Decorista

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How To Predict Home Trends by V&M Founder Bill Indursky Presented at High Point Fall Furniture Market

  • 1. CONNECTING THE DOTS: Design Trend Forecast 2012 IN CONTEXT WITH BILL INDURSKY CO-FOUNDER OF
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  • 11. ? ? ? How Do You Come Up With The Trend Forecast?
  • 12. Do You Just Make It Up?
  • 13. Do You Divine It From God?
  • 14. NOPE!
  • 16. What Exactly Is A Trend?
  • 17. “…any form of behavior that develops among a large population and is collectively followed with enthusiasm for some period…”
  • 18. TREND = People + Influence
  • 20. RULE#1 Find Out Where You Have Been.
  • 22. Major News Stories for the Last Year 2011 Injustice Casey Anthony Trial Death/Disaster Japan Earthquake and Tsunami Joyous Royal Wedding Death Death of Osama bin Laden Economic Unemployment Death Arizona Shooting Death Death of Amy Winehouse Injustice Arab Spring Death/Injustice Libya/Death of Moammar Gadhafi Injustice Occupy Wall Street
  • 24. Top Grossing Films for the Last Year 2011 Little Guy Wins/Fantasy Harry Potter & the Deathly Hallows – Part 2 Unjust War/Sci-Fy Transformers: Dark of the Moon Funny/Romantism Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides Romantism The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1 Little Guy Wins Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol Little Guy Wins Kung Fu Panda 2 Little Guy Wins/Rights Injustice Fast Five Funny The Hangover Part II Fantasy The Smurfs Fantasy Cars 2
  • 25. Little Guy Wins + Fantasy
  • 26. Top Rated TV Shows for the Last Year 2010-2011 Little Guy Wins/Anyone Can Be Star American Idol War/Battle NBC Sunday Night Football Little Guy Wins/Anyone Can Be Star American Idol Little Guy Wins/Justice The Voice Funny Modern Family Anyone Can Be Star Dancing with the Stars Funny/Little Guy Wins The Big Bang Theory Funny/Sexy Grey’s Anatomy Anyone Can Be Star Survivor: Nicaragua Mystery NCIS
  • 27. Little Guy Wins + Anyone Can Be A Star
  • 28. 2011 Injustice Little Guy Wins Little Guy Wins + + Fantasy Anyone Can Be A Star
  • 30. Anyone Can Be A Star 1936 - First freely programmable computer. 1964 - Computer Mouse & Windows 1974 - The first consumer computers/first email 1976 - Apple I, II & TRS-80 1979 - Word Processors 1981 - Microsoft MS-DOS Computer Operating System 1984 - Apple Macintosh Computer/Domain Names 1985 - Microsoft Windows 1989 - AOL 1991 - First Web Page 1993 - First Browser 1998 - Google Begins 2001 - Wikipedia 2004 - Web 2.0 2005 - YouTube 2007 - iPhone The Empowerment of the Individual Thanks To Computers/Technology
  • 31. Major Cultural Trends Economic Conservative - Middle
  • 32. 2011 Injustice Little Guy Wins Little Guy Wins + + Fantasy Anyone Can Be A Star Conservative - Middle Individual Power by Technology
  • 33. Fashion Trends Go Small.
  • 34. Fashion for the Last Year 2011 Fur Suiting/Structure Perforations Punk/Goth Chains/Spikes/Studs Graphic Black & White Neon Sparkle
  • 36. Interiors for the Last Year 2011 Dark Rich Traditional Clean Quirky/Sculptural
  • 37. 2011 Injustice Little Guy Wins Little Guy Wins + + Fantasy Anyone Can Be A Star Conservative - Middle Individual Power by Technology Dark/Punk Fur Perforated Traditional Quirky/Sculptural
  • 41. RULE#5 2 Major Trends For Style/Year 1 Major Trend For Material/Year 1 Major Trend For Color/Year
  • 43. RULE#7 From Year To Year Trends Continue in Various Versions Or Sub-Trends Shoot Up
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  • 45. TOP TREND Feudal Fortitude Q4 2011 – Q1 2012
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  • 92. Pelts
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  • 103. Shadow Boxes & Mechanica
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  • 115. What does this mean for Interiors?
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  • 162. TOP TREND Barbie Glam Q2 2012 - Q3 2012
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  • 169. What does this mean for Interiors?
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  • 214. “I have recently re-discovered VandM and have a hard time keeping my hands off it.” – Nate Berkus "Try searching the modern design site VandM.com, which carries pieces by well-known designers similar to those on 1stdibs but usually at slightly lower prices." - The New York Times “The best vintage shopping on the web.” – The Los Angeles Times “With finds ranging from furniture to jewelry to unique collectibles, this is one of my favorite sites to visit.” – New York Spaces Magazine “A must place to shop.” – Vogue “One of our favorite shopping sites.” – Rue Magazine “Dream Source” – Apartment Therapy “VandM is revolutionizing the way people shop for unique vintage pieces.” – Gentry “Vintage and Modern is my new 1stdibs.” – Chicago Home and Garden “Nothing gets my creative juices flowing like reading the site! Love the mix of items to buy along with the editorial inside DESIGNinTELL Magazine.” – DJ Carey, Editor-in-Chief, Connecticut Cottages & Gardens “My new favorite website for fresh vintage finds.” – The Decorista