2008predictionssurveyresults
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The document summarizes the results of the National Venture Capital Association's 2008 predictions survey. Over 170 venture capital professionals provided their predictions for 2008 in areas such as venture investment levels, high growth industries, the IPO and M&A markets, fundraising, US economic conditions, and historical venture capital trends. The survey aimed to gauge expert opinions on the outlook for the venture capital industry and broader economy in 2008.
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2008predictionssurveyresults
- 1. National Venture Capital Association 2008 Predictions Survey All data embargoed until: December 17, 2007
- 4. How much will venture capitalists invest in 2008? Mean = $26.8 billion Median = $27 billion Range: $18 – 43 billion Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 5. Of which single global investment region are you most leery? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 6. Predictions for high growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 7. Predictions for moderate growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 8. Predictions for lower growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 9. Which single industry will be overvalued in 2008? Source: NVCA 2007 Predictions Survey
- 10. Which single industry will be undervalued in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 11. Venture Exits
- 12. In 2008, the venture-backed U.S. IPO market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey 15 % faster pace than 2007 20 % slower pace to 2007 24 % equal pace to 2007
- 13. Which stock exchanges hold the most promise for growth for venture backed companies in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 14. In 2008, transaction volume in the venture-backed M&A market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 15. In 2008, transaction value in the venture-backed M&A market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 17. On average, venture capital funds raised in 2008 will be … Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 18. In 2008, we will see the number of venture capital firms… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 20. How will venture capital performance change over time? Short Term Returns (1-5 years) Long Term Returns (5-10 years) Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 21. US Economic and Political Predictions
- 22. How will the US economy trend in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 23. Will the sub-prime credit woes be contained in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 24. Where will the price of oil be in December 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 25. What will happen to the value of the US dollar in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 26. Who will be sworn in as US president in January 2009? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
- 27. Venture Capital Historical Data
- 28. VC Fundraising 1996 – 2007 (thru Q3) Source: VentureXpert™ Database by VE & NVCA
- 29. Venture Capital Investment 1995 – Q3 2007 Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report; Data: Thomson Financial
- 30. Venture Exit Counts- IPOs and M&A by Year Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association
- 31. Private Equity Returns As of 6/30/07 Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association Fund Type 1yr 5 yr 10 yr 20 yr Early VC 8% -1% 40% 21% Balanced VC 25% 6% 18% 14% Later VC 24% 5% 10% 14% > All VC 18% 3% 21% 16% Buyouts 22% 11% 9% 13% All PE 21% 9% 11% 14% S&P 500 10% 4% 7% 8% NASDAQ 4% 6% 7% 9%
- 32. www.nvca.org