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1
The good…
…the bad…
…and the unfulfilled potential

2
The good…

3
Access to affordable infrastructure is increasing

75% >30% 1.38%
Mobile penetration in
Nigeria. 63% in Africa –
growing from 0.5% in 1998
to 63% in 2013

of Nigerians are online
and this number is
growing… particularly due
to mobile internet

increase in GDP for every 10%
increase in broadband across
sub-Saharan African countries

“In 10 short years, what was once an object of luxury and privilege, the
mobile phone, has become a basic necessity in Africa”
Paul Kagame

4

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators database
Innovation is driving infrastructure investment and further extending access

5
Social media is creating millions of connections across the continent, particularly
as delivered through mobile enabled devices

Web-based

Phone enabled (through apps)

6
There is no shortage of innovative ideas and early indications of impact…
Our study surveyed over 1300 businesses across four countries and considered more than 900 deployments of Internet
enabled solutions across six sectors and eight impact areas

7
Impact is being delivered in both social and economic terms
Access to education:
Digital books are creating access
to reading and learning

>10.1M annual page reads
in Nigeria and over 190,000 readers across
Africa

Access to job opportunities:
Access to financial services:
Correcting information asymmetry eCommerce and payment platforms
related to employment options

Nearly

1M users

No. jobs
facilitated

0.87

80K

N18bn

>40K jobs

transacted by
Mar2013

facilitated by 2013

0.36 million

0.04 million

Total jobs
advertised

Initial
Users after
user base first year of
operation

Users
Sep2013

8
Public, private and philanthropic investors are making big bets

9
…the bad…

10
Challenges related to access, innovation, and policy are holding back growth
1. ACCESS

2. SCALE

3. POLICY & INNOVATION

<35% Internet penetration in
Nigeria

We’re suffering from ‘pilotitous’…

Are policies driving innovation?

Pilots must lead to next wave
growth and large scale impact

Are policies aligned to fully
leverage the information
economy to drive growth?

<10% African businesses online

Technology policy

Sectorspecific policy

Business/
enterprise
policy

11
Reputation of the ICT and general business environment isn’t great

12
…and the unfulfilled potential

13
How do we drive meaningful access? What are the conditions for success?
Two key pillars provide the basis for a well-functioning Internet economy: “core infrastructure” and
“conditions for use”
Core and Usage Index

Environmental
characteristics

Physical
infrastructure

Means to use
Internet
infrastructure

Business
environment

Availability

Accessibility

Usage
Index

Core
Index
Citizen
demographics
Stakeholder
characteristics
Business
demographics

Awareness
Desire to use
Internet
infrastructure

Attractiveness

Countries that wish to reap the Internet’s potential for social and economic gains must
continue to invest in infrastructure and the broader ecosystem for innovation.
Source: Dalberg research and analysis

14
Continuous investment in infrastructure is critical
Mapping of countries based on conditions for Internet use and core infrastructure

Sub-Saharan Africa is on the right trajectory but, absent a minimum investment in core
infrastructure, countries face a ceiling to progress on usage conditions

15
Three recommendations for Nigeria

1.

Impact: Look toward payment platforms to unlock the next wave of African
online consumers and translate virtual connections into meaningful
economic value

2.

Access: Continue to invest in infrastructure by looking for opportunities to
align incentives between public and private sector

3. Ecosystem: Invest in creating policy the drives innovation…and explore how
ICT can enable that innovation

16
Twitter: _robinmiller
Email: robin.miller@dalberg.com17
Dalberg is an advisory firm dedicated to global development
Global presence

San
Francisco

New York
Washington DC
Dakar

Bogota

Areas of expertise

Copenhagen
Geneva

Mumbai
Nairobi

Bogota
Johannesburg

Services provided
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

Analysis of market needs, gaps and opportunities
Business case development for new initiatives
Creation of innovative financing mechanisms
Entry strategies for products and services to emerging and
frontier markets
Evaluation and performance management
Facilitation of public-private partnerships
Mobile channel strategy and implementation plans
Organizational reform to strengthen accountability,
efficiency and effectiveness
Policy and advocacy support

•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

Access to finance
Agricultural development
Capital advisory services
Climate change, conservation and energy
Education
Emerging and bottom-of-pyramid markets
Global health
Human rights
Mobile and ICT applications in development
Programs in conflict areas and post-conflict recovery

Sampling of clients served

World Bank

18
Dalberg’s services address a range development issues, which give us a unique
perspective on the application of technology for development

19

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Impact of the Internet in Nigeria - Mobile Monday Nigeria

  • 1. 1
  • 2. The good… …the bad… …and the unfulfilled potential 2
  • 4. Access to affordable infrastructure is increasing 75% >30% 1.38% Mobile penetration in Nigeria. 63% in Africa – growing from 0.5% in 1998 to 63% in 2013 of Nigerians are online and this number is growing… particularly due to mobile internet increase in GDP for every 10% increase in broadband across sub-Saharan African countries “In 10 short years, what was once an object of luxury and privilege, the mobile phone, has become a basic necessity in Africa” Paul Kagame 4 Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators database
  • 5. Innovation is driving infrastructure investment and further extending access 5
  • 6. Social media is creating millions of connections across the continent, particularly as delivered through mobile enabled devices Web-based Phone enabled (through apps) 6
  • 7. There is no shortage of innovative ideas and early indications of impact… Our study surveyed over 1300 businesses across four countries and considered more than 900 deployments of Internet enabled solutions across six sectors and eight impact areas 7
  • 8. Impact is being delivered in both social and economic terms Access to education: Digital books are creating access to reading and learning >10.1M annual page reads in Nigeria and over 190,000 readers across Africa Access to job opportunities: Access to financial services: Correcting information asymmetry eCommerce and payment platforms related to employment options Nearly 1M users No. jobs facilitated 0.87 80K N18bn >40K jobs transacted by Mar2013 facilitated by 2013 0.36 million 0.04 million Total jobs advertised Initial Users after user base first year of operation Users Sep2013 8
  • 9. Public, private and philanthropic investors are making big bets 9
  • 11. Challenges related to access, innovation, and policy are holding back growth 1. ACCESS 2. SCALE 3. POLICY & INNOVATION <35% Internet penetration in Nigeria We’re suffering from ‘pilotitous’… Are policies driving innovation? Pilots must lead to next wave growth and large scale impact Are policies aligned to fully leverage the information economy to drive growth? <10% African businesses online Technology policy Sectorspecific policy Business/ enterprise policy 11
  • 12. Reputation of the ICT and general business environment isn’t great 12
  • 13. …and the unfulfilled potential 13
  • 14. How do we drive meaningful access? What are the conditions for success? Two key pillars provide the basis for a well-functioning Internet economy: “core infrastructure” and “conditions for use” Core and Usage Index Environmental characteristics Physical infrastructure Means to use Internet infrastructure Business environment Availability Accessibility Usage Index Core Index Citizen demographics Stakeholder characteristics Business demographics Awareness Desire to use Internet infrastructure Attractiveness Countries that wish to reap the Internet’s potential for social and economic gains must continue to invest in infrastructure and the broader ecosystem for innovation. Source: Dalberg research and analysis 14
  • 15. Continuous investment in infrastructure is critical Mapping of countries based on conditions for Internet use and core infrastructure Sub-Saharan Africa is on the right trajectory but, absent a minimum investment in core infrastructure, countries face a ceiling to progress on usage conditions 15
  • 16. Three recommendations for Nigeria 1. Impact: Look toward payment platforms to unlock the next wave of African online consumers and translate virtual connections into meaningful economic value 2. Access: Continue to invest in infrastructure by looking for opportunities to align incentives between public and private sector 3. Ecosystem: Invest in creating policy the drives innovation…and explore how ICT can enable that innovation 16
  • 18. Dalberg is an advisory firm dedicated to global development Global presence San Francisco New York Washington DC Dakar Bogota Areas of expertise Copenhagen Geneva Mumbai Nairobi Bogota Johannesburg Services provided • • • • • • • • • Analysis of market needs, gaps and opportunities Business case development for new initiatives Creation of innovative financing mechanisms Entry strategies for products and services to emerging and frontier markets Evaluation and performance management Facilitation of public-private partnerships Mobile channel strategy and implementation plans Organizational reform to strengthen accountability, efficiency and effectiveness Policy and advocacy support • • • • • • • • • • Access to finance Agricultural development Capital advisory services Climate change, conservation and energy Education Emerging and bottom-of-pyramid markets Global health Human rights Mobile and ICT applications in development Programs in conflict areas and post-conflict recovery Sampling of clients served World Bank 18
  • 19. Dalberg’s services address a range development issues, which give us a unique perspective on the application of technology for development 19

Editor's Notes

  1. Source: I TU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators database
  2. Google’s investment in whitespaces; Project Isizwe’s investment to deliver free wi-fi with the city of Tshwane; TEAMS cable PPP in Kenya; etc. Public private partnerships such as the investment in the East African TEAMS cables, Project Isizwe and Google’s use of white spaces are dramatically opening up access
  3. Over 60 web based platforms in Africa; International and African solutions competing on mobile…