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3001IBA Lecture Notes 5/Week 5
Topic 3.2 Economic Integration/Regionalism/
The WTO
Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th
Edition
Regional Trading Arrangements
1
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Learning Objectives
Discuss Economic Integration – the types of regional
agreements
Discuss and analyse the Static economic effects of economic
integration:
Trade creation and welfare
Trade diversion and welfare
3. Discuss the Dynamic economic effects of regional
integration
Give a Brief overall assessment of the effects of economic
integration
Provide a Case Study of the European Union
Briefly discuss the WTO
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Types of Regional Trading Arrangements
Economic integration
Process of eliminating restrictions on international trade,
payments, and factor mobility
Results in the uniting of two or more national economies in a
regional trading arrangement
Motivations for regional trading arrangements
Prospect of enhanced economic growth
Economies of large-scale production & attract foreign
investment
Foster a variety of noneconomic objectives
Managing immigration flows
Promoting regional security
Enhance & solidify domestic economic reforms
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Types of Regional Trading Arrangements
Free-trade area
Association of trading nations
Members agree to remove all tariff and nontariff barriers among
themselves
Each member maintains its own set of trade restrictions against
outsiders
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
Canada, Mexico, and the United States
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Types of Regional Trading Arrangements
Free-trade area (continued)
Association of trading nations
Agreement among members to remove trade barriers among
members while retaining independence in forming trade policies
with nonmembers.
Examples: multilateral - N(orth) A(merican) F(ree) T(rade)
A(greement) Canada, Mexico, and the United States; bilateral –
recent Australia-US FTA.
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Types of Regional Trading Arrangements
Customs union
Agreement among two or more trading partners
To remove all tariff and nontariff trade barriers between
themselves
Each member nation imposes identical trade restrictions against
nonparticipants
Example:
Benelux
Belgium, the Netherlands, and Luxembourg – formed 1947;
absorbed into ECM 1958
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Types of Regional Trading Arrangements
Common market
Group of trading nations
Customs union plus agreement that permits (1) free trade
among members; (2) common external trade restrictions; and (3)
free movement of factors of production
Example: E(uropean) C(ommon) M(arket) before it
evolved to the next type of arrangement
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Types of Regional Trading Arrangements
Economic union
Common market agreement plus:
unification of main economic institutions and coordination
of economic policy between members.
Early example: Belgium and Luxembourg 1920s
National, social, taxation, and fiscal policies are harmonized
and administered by a supranational institution
Requires an agreement to transfer economic sovereignty to a
supranational authority
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Types of Regional Trading Arrangements
Monetary union
Ultimate degree of economic union
So is economic union plus:
Unification of national monetary policies
Acceptance of a common currency administered by a
supranational monetary authority
Examples: United States, E(uropean) U(nion)
So all of above Types include trade liberalization for 2 or more
countries.
Question: What is APEC, & which above type does it
represent? (www.apec.org)
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Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement
Static effects of economic integration
On productive efficiency
And consumer welfare
Trade creation takes place when there is a shift in product
origin from a higher-resource-cost domestic producer to a
lower-resource-cost member country producer. The shift
represents movement towards the free trade allocation.
Trade diversion takes place when there is a shift in product
origin from a lower-resource-cost nonmember producer to a
higher-resource-cost member country producer. The shift
represents movement away from the free trade allocation.
Dynamic effects of economic integration
Relate to long-term rates of growth
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Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement
Static effects
Trade-creation effect
Welfare gain
Some domestic production of one customs-union member
Replaced by another member’s lower-cost imports
Consumption effect
Production effect
Trade-diversion effect
Welfare loss
Imports from a low-cost supplier outside the union
Are replaced by purchases from a higher-cost supplier within
the union
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Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement
Trade creation and welfare
Consider a Customs Union (as defined previously), CU
Assume:
(1) Three countries L(uxembourg), US & G(ermany).
(2). No transportation costs
(3). Single good, produced in Countries US, G, and L.
SU.S. is the world price (faced by L, a price taker, (small
country). Under current trade arrangements (without a CU), L
imposes tariffs on imported grain – US is L’s lower cost
supplier at SU.S. + tariff, (since G’s supply price is SG + tariff)
Now L joins a CU with Country G, so it removes its tariff on
G’s grain exports (- which is now, at price SG, the lower-
resource-cost member). Since U.S. is a non-member of the CU,
the price of its grain exports to L is still SU.S. + tariff.
Welfare effects for trade creation (see diagram FIGURE 8.1)
There is Consumer surplus gain, a loss of producer surplus, and
a loss of tariff revenue
Adding all of these, the welfare gains = a + b which is positive
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Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement
Trade diversion and welfare
Again, Consider a Customs Union (as defined previously)
Assume same countries and product (grain) as previously.
Under current trade arrangements (without a CU), L
imposes a tariff only on imported grain from G – so US is L’s
lower cost supplier at SU.S. (the world free trade price), since
G’s supply price is SG + tariff.
Now L joins a CU with Country G, so it removes its tariff on
imported grain from G (- which is now, at price SG, the lower-
resource-cost member). Since U.S. is a non-member of the CU,
L imposes a tariff on imports of grain from the U.S. so the price
of its grain exports to L is now SU.S. + tariff.
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Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement
Welfare effects for trade diversion (see diagram FIGURE 8.1
page 267, Text 14th edition)
There is Consumer surplus gain, a loss of producer surplus, and
a loss of tariff revenue from G’s imports, as well as a further
loss from the tariff now imposed on U.S. grain imports.
Adding all of these, the welfare gain/loss = a + b - c which may
be positive or negative – if negative it is trade diversion.
The closer is the CU partner (Country G) price SG to the low-
cost world (Country U.S.) price SU.S., (i.e. the smaller is c,)
the more likely that the impact of integration is positive for
Country L.
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The formation of a customs union leads to a welfare-increasing
trade creation effect and a welfare-decreasing trade diversion
effect. The overall effect of the customs union on the welfare of
its members, as well as on the world as a whole, depends on the
relative strength of these two opposing forces.
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Static welfare effects of a customs union
FIGURE 8.1
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Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement
Dynamic effects
Greater competition – increased number of producers makes
collusion less likely and forces firms to become more efficient
Economies of scale – access to a larger market allows producers
to become more efficient through greater specialization, better
equipment, and usage of by-products
Stimulus of investment – because of increased rate of return and
ability to spread R&D costs trade makes greater levels of
investment more likely
Dynamic benefits from increased factor mobility among the
members – both labour and capital can move more freely from
areas of surplus to areas of scarcity – higher factor incomes and
increased economic efficiency.
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Brief Overall Assessment of Regional Integration
Likely positive net effects:
The higher pre-customs union tariffs and the lower the common
external tariff
The more elastic supply and demand are in member countries
The greater the numbers of participating members and the larger
the group size
The greater the ease in shifting from a higher cost domestic
source to a lower cost member source, and the more preunion
per-unit cost differences between sources (and the greater the
scope for economies of scale and higher foreign investment and
technology – dynamic effects).
The lower are the transport costs between members –
geographic proximity.
Possible negatives:
The distribution of benefits among member countries is
unknown.
Product suitability and choice for the integration arrangements.
Historical trade connections are often lacking for small
potential member countries.
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Brief Overall Assessment of Regional Integration
Possible negatives cont.:
Increasing emphasis on regional integration (-e.g. appears to be
deepening in the Asia-Pacific area – APEC -) may provide
stumbling blocks to a multilateral trading system and trade
liberalisation as embodied in the W(orld) T(rade)
O(rganisation), given the discrimination from within the
regional groups:
In particular:
trade barriers may be reduced for a relatively small group of
member countries; the regional group may further raise trade
barriers to outside non-members:
economies of scale may not be obtained – relatively small
markets;
the group members may concentrate on regional trade
negotiations instead of participating globally:
domestic economic policies can be more difficult due to loss of
control, and lessened sovereignty and independence, for the
members.
Question: Any example(s) of difficulties, failed
economic integration?
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European Union: 1960 - 1985
Treaty of Rome – 1957 – established European Community –
precursor to EU
EU members removed tariffs in 1968 leading to fivefold
increase in trade
EU adopted common external tariffs in 1970 making it a
customs union
trade creation: machinery, transportation equipment, chemicals
& raw materials
trade diversion: agricultural commodities and raw materials
trade creation exceeded trade diversion
EU saw increases in economies of scale, competition,
investment
1985 EU eliminated nontariff barriers resulting in creation of
European common market
European Union & Maastricht
1991 Maastricht Treaty established monetary union and euro as
common currency by 2002
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European Monetary Union
A common currency also implied the need for a single European
Central Bank responsible for all monetary and exchange rate
policies of the EMU.
advantages:
eliminated exchange rate risk
reduced currency conversion costs
insulation from monetary disturbance & speculation
disadvantages:
loss of individual monetary authority
transition to common currency could lead to speculative attacks
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World Trade Organization
Does WTO Reduce National Sovereignty?
Yes – because of WTO disputes settlement
No – because findings of a WTO dispute-settlement panel
cannot force the United States to change its laws
Retaliatory tariffs for WTO enforcement?
Small country impose retaliatory tariffs
Relatively more costly to initiate
No favorable movements in its terms of trade
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TRADE CONFLICTS
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World Trade Organization
Trade liberalization - harms the environment?
“Race to the bottom” in environmental standards
Social preferences
Trade liberalization - improves the environment?
Trade stimulates economic growth
Key factors in societies’ demand for a cleaner environment
Tougher environmental laws
Trade and growth
Development and dissemination of environmentally friendly
production techniques
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TRADE CONFLICTS
The WTO
January 1, 1995, GATT transformed into WTO
WTO
153 nations, 97% of world trade
International organization, headquartered in Geneva,
Switzerland
Multilateral trading system
Trade in services, intellectual property, and investment
Administers a unified package of agreements to which all
members are committed
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TRADE CONFLICTS
The WTO (cont.)
WTO
Reverses policies of protection in certain “sensitive” areas
Settling trade disputes
Is not a government
Individual nations - free to set their own appropriate levels of
environment, labor, health, and safety protections
Various councils and committees
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TRADE CONFLICTS
1
3001BA
Lecture Notes 4 Week 4
Topic: Trade Policy and Competition
Tariffs & Nontariff Trade Barriers
Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th
Edition
Chapters 4 & 5 and 6 (pp. 188-191)
Copyright © 2009 South-Western, a division of Cengage
Learning. All rights reserved.
Learning Objectives
Define the instruments of Trade Policy
Discuss in detail tariffs with examples
Explain the basic concepts of Consumer & Producer Surplus
Analyse the economic or trade welfare effects of tariffs
Discuss traditional arguments for trade restrictions
Analyse the economic welfare effects of non-tariffs – quotas &
subsidies
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2
Restricted Trade and Instruments
Strategic Trade Policy
Is a set of government policies which interfere with free trade
flows, in order to protect or promote certain industries. (Why
choose? – “winners”
Strategic trade policy theories suggest how individual countries
can benefit over time from the active use of trade policy
instruments
The major trade Policy instruments are tariffs and non-tariffs –
examples of the latter being import and export quotas and
production subsidies
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The Tariff
Tariff
Definition A tax (duty) levied on a product when it crosses
national boundaries
Import tariff – much more common
Tax levied on an imported product
Export tariff –less common mainly used as an additional
revenue source
Tax imposed on an exported product
Often used by developing nations
Raise revenue, increase the world price
Purposes
Protective tariff – designed to reduce the amount of imports
entering a country; increases sales for domestic producers
Revenue tariff – designed to generate additional funds for
domestic governments
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5
Types of Tariffs
specific tariff (T) – fixed monetary amount per unit of the
imported good; P = Pw + T where P is price and Pw is the world
price
ad valorem tariff (t) – fixed percentage of the value of the
imported good; P = Pw.(1 + t)
customs valuation – process of determining the value of an
imported good
free-on-board (FOB) valuation – tariff applied as product leaves
country
cost-insurance-freight (CIF)valuation – tariff applied as
product enters country
compound tariff – combines the elements of both specific and
ad valorem tariffs
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6
Tariff revenues as a percentage of government revenues, 2007:
selected countries
TABLE 4.1Developing CountriesPercentageIndustrial Countries
PercentageThe Bahamas
Guinea
Ethiopia
Ghana
Sierra Leone
Madagascar
Dominican Republic
Jordan
51.2
47.9
33.5
28.5
27.6
26.9
20.9
11.3New Zealand
Australia
Japan
Canada
Switzerland
United States
United Kingdom
Iceland
2.6
2.5
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.0
1.0
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Examples of tariffs, selected countries (in %)
TABLE 4.3
Effective Rate of Protection
Nominal tariff rate
Published in the country’s tariff schedule
Applies to the value of a finished product that is imported into a
country
Effective tariff rate
Takes into account the nominal tariff rate
On a finished product
And any tariff rate applied to imported inputs
Used in producing the finished product
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Effective Rate of Protection
Effective tariff rate, e
e = The effective rate of protection
n = the nominal tariff rate on the final product
a = the ratio of the value of the imported input to the value of
the finished product
b = the nominal tariff rate on the imported input
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10
Effective Tariff Rate – Example
TABLE 4.4 p. 116 of Carbaugh
e = = = 0.5 = 50%
(n-ab)
(1-a)
0.1-0.8(0)
1-0.8
for this example:
n = $50/($100 + $400) = 0.1 = 10%
a = $400/($100 + $400) = 0.8
b = $0/($400) = 0
So in this case, e is much larger than n
11
Tariff Escalation
tariff escalation – higher tariffs on intermediate and finished
goods and lower tariffs on raw materials examples – cases at
right from the TABLE:
incentive for developing nations to expand production
of raw materials
disincentive for developing nations to compete in market for
finished goods
Tariffs often rise significantly with the level of processing
(tariff escalation) in many industrial countries. This is
especially true for agricultural products. Tariff escalation in
industrial countries has the potential of reducing demand for
processed imports from developing countries, hampering
diversification into higher-value added exports.
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Tariff escalation on industrial countries’ imports from
developing countries
FIGURE 4.1
Outsourcing and Offshore-Assembly Provision
Outsourcing
Certain aspects of a product’s manufacture are performed in
more than one country
Low costs labor intensive produc
OAP - tariffs applied only to portion of production occurring in
another country
reduces effective tariff rate for domestic consumers
incentive for foreign producers to use home country components
in production
detrimental to home country workers who also produce the same
finished goods
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Postponing Import Tariffs
Bonded warehouse
Dutiable imports can be brought into the U.S. and temporarily
left in a bonded warehouse, duty-free
Imported goods - stored, repacked, or further processed - for up
to five years
No customs duties are owed until the goods are withdrawn for
domestic consumption
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Postponing Import Tariffs
Foreign-trade zone (FTZ)
An area within the U.S.
Business can operate without the responsibility of paying
customs duties on imported products or materials
For as long as they remain within this area
And do not enter the U.S. marketplace
Customs duties are due when goods are transferred from the
FTZ for U.S. consumption
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Postponing Import Tariffs
Foreign-trade zone (FTZ)
No time limit on how long goods can be stored
General-purpose zones
Public facilities
Used by more than one firm
Subzones
A single firm’s site
Used for more extensive manufacturing or assembly
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17
Tariff welfare effects. Basic Concepts - Consumer & Producer
Surplus
1) consumer surplus – additional benefit obtained by the buyer
of a good
difference between the maximum that the buyer is willing to pay
and the actual price
area below demand and above price
2) producer surplus – additional benefit obtained by the seller
of a good
difference between the minimum that the seller is willing to
accept and the actual price
area above supply and below price
Consumer surplus is the difference between the maximum
amount buyers are willing to pay for a given quantity of a good
and the amount actually paid. Graphically, consumer surplus is
represented by the area under the demand curve and above the
good’s market price. Producer surplus is the revenue producers
receive over and above the minimum necessary for production.
Graphically, producer surplus is the area above the supply curve
and below the good’s market price.
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Consumer surplus and producer surplus
FIGURE 4.2
Tariff Welfare Effects: Small-Nation Model
Small nation
Its imports - a very small portion of the world market supply
Price taker
Tariff effects
Raises the home price of imports by the full amount of the duty
Higher domestic production
Lower domestic consumption
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Tariff Welfare Effects: Small-Nation Model
Small nation - Tariff effects on nation’s welfare
Consumer surplus falls
Welfare effects of a tariff
Revenue effect
Redistribution effect
Protective effect
Consumption effect
Additional tax revenue
Benefits domestic producers
Wastes resources
Harms the domestic consumer
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For a small nation, a tariff placed on an imported product is
shifted totally to the domestic consumer via a higher product
price. Consumer surplus falls as a result of the price increase.
The small nation’s welfare decreases by an amount equal to the
protective effect and consumption effect, the so-called
deadweight losses due to a tariff.
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Tariff trade and welfare effects: small nation model
FIGURE 4.3
22
Tariff Welfare Effects – Small Nation
Have small countries and large countries – small countries are
defined as those too insignificant in a market to influence the
world price. (Large countries definition?) Also, partial
equilibrium effects – only 1 industry is considered, not the 2 or
more industries in the country’s whole economy
Before Trade:
Home country consumer surplus is area in red.
Home country producer surplus is area in green.
23
Tariff Welfare Effects – Small Nation
With Free Trade:
CS increases by total area a+b+c+d+e+f
Producer surplus decreases by areas a+e
The overall increase in welfare is [a+b+c+d+e+f] –(a+e) i.e.
b+c+d+f.
24
Tariff Welfare Effects – Small Nation
With Tariff:
CS decreases by a+b+c+d
c = revenue effect = now government revenue.
PS increases by a
= redistributive effect = shift from CS to PS
Total effect of tariff is
a+c –(a+b+c+d) = -(b+d)
a negative effect overall
b + d = deadweight loss = benefits lost to all parties
b = protective effect
d = consumption effect
Trade protectionism intensifies as global economy falls into
recession
Global economic downturns - catalyst for trade protectionism;
2007–2009,
Decrease in the demand for goods and services
Decline in international trade
Credit crunch - extra squeeze on trade
Shortfall of some $100 billion in trade finance – 90% of world
trade
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25
GLOBALIZATION
Trade protectionism intensifies as global economy falls into
recession
Indiscriminate decrease in trade
Exports declined by 30 %
China - targeted by the most governments for protectionist
measures
Russia
Increased tariffs on imported automobiles
India
Raised tariffs on steel imports
Argentina
New obstacles to imported auto parts and shoes
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GLOBALIZATION
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Creeping protectionism during global economic downturn of
2008–2009: number of protectionist measures initiated*
TABLE 4.6
Arguments for Trade Restrictions
Free-trade argument
If each nation produces what it does best and permits trade
In the long term
Lower prices
Higher levels of output, income, and consumption
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Arguments for Trade Restrictions
1) Job protection argument
preserve jobs in some industries but decrease employment in
others
increased cost to consumer greater than average salary for
worker whose job was saved
Job gains for only a few industries
Job losses spread across many industries
Each job saved
Ends up costing domestic consumers more than the worker’s
salary
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Arguments for Trade Restrictions
2) Protection against cheap foreign labor
productivity and cost relevant factors
relevant to labor intensive production only
Low wages by themselves do not guarantee low production
costs
3) Fairness in trade – level playing field
other nations lack of environmental regulations
response to trade barriers of other nations
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Arguments for Trade Restrictions
4) Maintenance of the domestic standard of living
One nation imposes a tariff that improves its income and
employment
restrictions only improve standard of living at the expense of
trading partners
5) equalized production costs
scientific tariff – tariff to offset cost differentials
subsidizes inefficient domestic production
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Arguments for Trade Restrictions
6) Infant-industry argument
Trading nations should temporarily shield their newly
developing industries from foreign competition
short run protection for new domestic industries against
developed foreign competition
7) Noneconomic arguments
National security argument, Cultural and sociological
considerations
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Arguments for Trade Restrictions
Supply of protectionism
By the domestic government
Depends on:
The costs to society
The political importance of import-competing producers
Adjustment costs
Public sympathy
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Import Quota
Import quota
Physical restriction on the quantity of goods that can be
imported during a specific time period
Require an import license
Specifies the total volume of imports allowed
On manufactured goods
Outlawed by the World Trade Organization
Global quota
Permits a specified number of goods to be imported each year
Does not specify from where the product is shipped or who is
permitted to import
Plagued by accusations of favoritism
Selective quota
Import quota allocated to specific countries
May lead to a domestic monopoly of production and higher
prices
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35
Examples of U.S. import quotas*
TABLE 5.1
36
Import Quota Welfare Effects
With Import Quota:
a = redistributive effect = shift from CS to PS
b + d = deadweight loss
b = protective effect
d = consumption effect
c = revenue effect
“windfall profit”/
“quota rent”
portion to foreign exporters and portion to home country
importers
Total effect of quota is
c – (b+d)
37
Import Licenses
With an import quota, the government must find method to
allocate limited supply of imports to domestic importers.
historical market share – bias against new importers
pro rata – each importer receives fraction of its demand
auction import licenses to highest bidder(s) – allows the
domestic government to capture the windfall profits (area c =
revenue effect)
If import quota = area c, effects are same as tariff except
government does not have tariff revenue. However, if the quota
is auctioned, the government gains area c and the welfare loss is
same as in the tariff case.
If the quota is not auctioned, the rent-seeking loss = area c
Quota vs. tariff:
Initially similar - however if demand increases, tariff leads to
more imports at the same price, whereas quota leads to a higher
price & more imports
Thus an import quota can be more restrictive.
38
Tariff-Rate Quota
allows specified number of goods at one tariff rate – “within
quota rate”
additional imports are subject to higher tariff rate – “over quota
rate”
in principle - less restrictive than a quota
in practice - may be as restrictive if the over quota rate is
prohibitively high
license on demand allocation – importers apply for licenses on
first come-first served basis – if demand exceeds quota, volume
is reduced proportionally for all importers
39
Export Quota
domestic government limiting the exports of a certain good to
another country
voluntary export restraint (VER) agreement or orderly
marketing agreement – administered by the exporting country.
economic impact identical to import quota, although area c (see
previous diagrams) may be lost to the foreign exporters)
common on television sets, steel, textiles, autos and ships
increases costs to consumers
translates to higher profits for foreign exporters
40
Domestic Content Requirement
minimum percentage of product’s total value produced
domestically required to qualify for zero tariff rate
popular argument for organized labor
common in auto industry
41
Subsidies
government funding to domestic producers
include: tax concession, low interest loans, insurance
arrangement & cash disbursements
allows producers to sell goods for a lesser price
domestic production subsidy – granted to producers of import
competing goods
export subsidy – granted to producers of goods that are to be
sold in other countries – will consider later, in Part II Topic 4.0
42
Domestic Production Subsidy-Welfare Effects
With Domestic Production Subsidy
increases domestic supply but price does not change
PS increases due to greater sales; this increase was partially
redistributed consumer surplus
and partially protective effect/deadweight loss
Result: *Subsidies do not decrease welfare as much as tariffs or
quotas
Using areas from Tariff/Quota graphs:
PS increases by a+b
CS decreases by b
Govt. subsidy paid is a+b
Total effect is a+b –b – (a+b) = -b (*smaller loss than –(b+d))
43
Product Dumping
charging foreign buyers a lower price than domestic buyers for
an identical product
also called international price discrimination – is a further type
of trade restriction
sporadic dumping – firm disposes of excess inventory on
foreign markets
predatory dumping – temporary reduction in price designed to
force foreign competitors out of business to gain monopoly
power
persistent dumping – indefinite reduction in foreign price in
order to maximize profits
Generally prohibited under WTO rules and under various
countries’ regulations
Is Antidumping Law Unfair?
Antidumping laws
Ensure a level playing field by offsetting artificial sources of
competitive advantage
Protected industries gain
Consumers of the protected good lose more
Whole economy lose more
Dumping
When a foreign producer sells goods in U.S. at less than fair
value
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45
Other Nontariff Trade Barriers
Government Procurement Policies: National and local
governments buy many goods but many have buy-national
policies giving preference to domestic over foreign goods.
Social Regulations: Governments attempt to correct health and
environmental side effects of trade; examples: fuel economy
standards and limits on hormone-treated meats
Sea Transport & Freight Regulations: Nations can use
restrictive practices on unloading cargo to serve as a barrier to
trade.
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3001IBA Lecture Notes Week 3
2.0 Economies of Scale, Geography & Trade
Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th
Edition
Sources of Comparative
Advantage
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Learning Objectives
Discuss the Heckscher-Ohlin (H-O) theory of international
trade, based on factor endowments
Briefly discuss applications & criticisms of H-O
Explain the Increasing Returns to Scale theory
Discuss the theory of Overlapping Demands
Explain the basis for Intra-industry Trade
Discuss the Product Life Cycle Theory of international trade
Factor Endowments
Factor-endowment theory
Economists Heckscher and Ohlin formulated this theory in the
1920s and 1930s.
Immediate basis for trade: difference between pre-trade relative
product prices of trading nations
Prices depend on the production possibilities curves and tastes
and preferences (demand conditions) in the trading countries
Production possibilities curves depend on technology and
resource endowments
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Factor Endowments
Factor-endowment theory
Ultimate determinants of comparative advantage
Technology
Resource endowments
Demand
Assumption: technology and demand are approximately the
same between countries
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Factor Endowments
Factor-endowment theory
Resource-endowment ratio
Determines comparative advantage
Export the product that uses a large amount of its relatively
abundant resource
Import the product which in production uses the relatively
scarce resource
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H-O Factor Endowments – Example
TABLE 3.1 p. 67 of Carbaugh
U.S.: capital/labor (K/L) ratio = 0.5 (100/200)
China: capital/labor (K/L) ratio = 0.02 (20/1,000)
Since the U.S. has relatively more abundant capital (i.e. higher
K/L ratio), the U.S. will produce capital-intensive goods, with
China producing goods that are more labor-intensive.
6
Factor Endowments
Effect of resource endowments on comparative advantage
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Capital stock per worker of selected countries, 1997*
TABLE 3.2
A country exports the good whose production is intensive in its
relatively abundant factor. It imports the good whose production
is intensive in its relatively scarce factor.
U.S. MRT = 0.33, China’s MRT = 4.0 - implication is that U.S.
has a lower relative price of aircraft
so U.S. has comparative advantage in aircraft & China has
comparative advantage in textiles
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The factor-endowment theory
FIGURE 3.1
Factor Endowments
Factor-endowment theory, U.S.-China trade
United States
Relatively abundant: human capital (skills), scientific talent,
and engineering talent are relatively abundant
Relatively scarce: unskilled labor is relatively scarce
China
Relatively rich: unskilled labor
Relatively scarce: scientific and engineering talent
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Factor Endowments
Factor-endowment theory, U.S.-China trade
United States exports to China
Goods embodying relatively large amounts of skilled labor and
technology
Aircraft, software, pharmaceuticals, and high-tech components
of electrical machinery and equipment
China exports to the United States
Goods for which a relatively large amount of unskilled labor is
used
Apparel, footwear, toys, and the final assembly of electronic
machinery and equipment
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U.S.-China trade: top ten products, 2007 (thousand of dollars)
TABLE 3.3
Skill as Source of Comparative Advantage
Leontief paradox
Capital/labor ratios, 200 export industries and import-competing
industries, 1947
Capital/labor ratio for U.S. export industries
Lower than that of its import-competing industries
Exports - less capital intensive than import-competing goods
Import-competing goods - more capital intensive than U.S.
exports
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14
Factor content of U.S. Trade: capital and labor requirements per
million dollars of U.S. Exports and import substitutes
TABLE 3.5
Economies of Scale
Increasing Returns to Scale
Internal economies of scale
Largely based on Krugman’s work in the 1970s and 1980s
Nations with similar factor endowments
Negligible comparative-advantage differences
May find it beneficial to trade
Because they can take advantage of massive economies of scale
Produce that good in great quantity at low average unit costs
Trade those low-cost goods to other nations
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By adding to the size of the domestic market, international trade
permits longer production runs by domestic firms, which can
lead to greater efficiency and reductions in unit costs.
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Economies of scale as a basis for trade
FIGURE 3.5
External Economies of Scale
External economies of scale
The average cost of the typical firm decreases
As the output of the industry within this area increases
Concentration of an industry’s firms in a particular geographic
area
Larger pools of a specialized type of worker
New knowledge about production technology spreads among
firms in the area
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17
Overlapping Demands as a Basis for Trade
Theory of overlapping demands, Linder, 1960s
Factor-endowment theory - explains trade in primary products
and agricultural goods
Not trade in manufactured goods
Force influencing manufactured-good trade
Domestic demand conditions
Firms within a country – manufacture goods for which there is a
large domestic market
A nation’s exports - extension of the production for the
domestic market
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Overlapping Demands as a Basis for Trade
Theory of overlapping demands, Linder, 1960s
Consumer demand - conditioned strongly by income levels
A country’s average or per capita income will yield a particular
pattern of demand
Nations with high per capita incomes will demand high-quality
manufactured goods (luxuries)
Nations with low per capita incomes will demand lower-quality
goods (necessities)
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Overlapping Demands as a Basis for Trade
Theory of overlapping demands, Linder, 1960s
Nations with similar per capita incomes
Overlapping demand structures
Consume similar types of manufactured goods
Wealthy (industrial) nations
More likely to trade with other wealthy nations
Poor (developing) nations
More likely to trade with other poor nations
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Intra-industry Trade
Intra-industry specialization, trade
Trade models so far have dealt with inter-industry trade and CA
Production of particular products or groups of products within a
given industry
The opening up of trade does not generally result in the
elimination or wholesale contraction of entire industries within
a nation
The range of products produced and sold by each nation changes
Emphasized by advanced industrial nations
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Intra-industry Trade
Intra-industry specialization, trade
Involves flows of goods with similar factor requirements
Conducted mostly among industrial countries with similar
resource endowments
Firms – in oligopolies (markets with only a few firms)
Trade in homogeneous goods
Transportation costs may be lowered
Seasonal
Trade in differentiated products
Unmet need
Overlapping demand segments in trading nations
Economies of scale
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23
Intra-industry trade examples: selected U.S. exports and
imports, 2007 (in millions of dollars)
TABLE 3.6
Technology: The Product Cycle Theory
Technological innovations
Different nations, at different rates of speed
Result in:
New methods of producing existing commodities
Production of new commodities
Commodity improvements
Often transitory
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Technology: The Product Cycle Theory
Product life cycle theory
Predictable trade cycle:
Manufactured good is introduced to home market
Domestic industry shows export strength.
Foreign production begins
Domestic industry loses competitive advantage
Import competition begins
International product cycle
U.S. and Japanese radio manufacturers
U.S. and Japanese pocket calculators manufacturers
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FIGURE 2.3
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3001IBA Lecture Notes Week 2
Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th
Edition
Foundations of
Modern Trade Theory:
Comparative Advantage
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2
Learning Objectives
History of Trade Theories:
Mercantilists (1500-1800)
Absolute Advantage – Adam Smith (1776)
Define principle of Comparative Advantage (CA)
Explain the basis for trade
Analyze the (comparative static) gains from trade with constant
& increasing opportunity costs
Discuss the dynamic gains from trade
Consider the limitations of CA
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Historical Development of Modern Trade Theory
Principle of comparative advantage
- Even if a nation has an absolute cost disadvantage in the
production of both goods
-- The less efficient nation
Specialize in and export the good in which it is relatively less
inefficient
Where its absolute disadvantage is least
--The more efficient nation
Specialize in and export that good in which it is relatively more
efficient
Where its absolute advantage is greatest
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Principle of comparative advantage, simplified model -
assumptions
1. The world consists of two nations
Each uses a single input, produces two commodities
2. In each nation, labor is the only input
Fixed endowment of labor
Labor is fully employed and homogeneous
3. Labor can move freely among industries
Within a nation, but is incapable of moving between nations
4. Technology - fixed for both nations
Different nations may use different technologies
All firms within each nation - a common production method for
each commodity
5. Costs do not vary with the level of production
Proportional to the amount of labor used
6. Perfect competition prevails in all markets
All are price takers
Identical products
Free entry to and exit from an industry
Price of each product = product’s marginal cost of production
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Principle of comparative advantage, simplified model -
assumptions
7. Free trade occurs between nations
No government barriers to trade
8. Transportation costs are zero
Consumers - indifferent between domestically produced and
imported versions of a product if the domestic prices of the two
products are identical
9. Firms make production decisions in an attempt to maximize
profits
Consumers maximize satisfaction through their consumption
decisions
10. There is no money illusion
When consumers make their consumption choices and firms
make their production decisions, they take into account the
behavior of all prices
11. Trade is balanced i.e. exports must pay for imports
This rules out flows of money between nations
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Comparative Advantage - Example
Assume 2 countries each producing 2 goods
The U.S. can produce twice as much wine as the U.K. but four
times as much cloth. Therefore the U.S. should specialize in
producing cloth while the U.K. specializes in producing wine.
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Production Possibilities Schedules
Modern trade theory
- More generalized theory of comparative advantage
- Use a production possibilities schedule PPS
-- Transformation schedule
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Production Possibilities Schedules
Production possibilities schedule shows
Various alternative combinations of two goods
a nation can produce
- When all of its factor inputs
-- Labour (L), capital (K), [generally assume these 2] and land,
entrepreneurship, (technology) are used in their most efficient
manner
- Maximum output possibilities of a nation
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Production Possibilities Schedules
Marginal rate of transformation, MRT
- The amount of one product a nation must sacrifice to get one
additional unit of the other product
-- Rate of sacrifice = opportunity cost of a product
- Absolute value of the slope of production possibilities
schedule
For Figure 2.1
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In graph (a) the MRT in the US equals 0.5 because wheat output
falls by 20 (e.g. from 60 to 40) when auto output rises by 40
(e.g. from 0 to 40). In graph (b) the MRT in Canada equals 2.0
because wheat output falls by 40 (from 80 to 40) when auto
output rises by 20 (from 40 to 60)
So 1 additional auto in the U.S. => loss of 0.5 bushel of wheat
Whereas 1 additional auto in Canada => loss of 2 bushels of
wheat
Since the U.S. has a lower opportunity cost of auto production,
it will be mutually beneficial for the U.S. to produce autos and
trade them to Canada for wheat.
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Trading under constant opportunity costs
FIGURE 2.1
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Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions
Basis for Trade
- Principle of comparative advantage
Direction of Trade
- Specialize and export the good with the lowest opportunity
cost
Production Gains from Specialization
- Production gains for both countries
-- Arise from the reallocation of existing resources
-- Static gains from specialization
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Gains from specialization & trade: constant opportunity costs
TABLE 2.4
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Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions
Consumption Gains from Trade
- Trade = consumption gains for both countries
- Consumption points
-- Outside domestic production possibilities schedules
-- Consume more of both goods
Terms of trade
Rate at which a country’s export product is traded for the other
country’s export product
Define the relative prices of the two products
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Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions
Trading possibilities line
International terms of trade for both countries
Trade triangle for a country
Exports – along the horizontal axis
Imports – along the vertical axis
Terms of trade – the slope
Complete specialization
Produce only one product
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Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions
Domestic cost ratio
Negatively sloped production possibilities schedule
Transform into a positively sloped cost-ratio line
Outer limits for the equilibrium terms of trade
Becomes no-trade boundary
Region of mutually beneficial trade
Bounded by the cost ratios of the two countries
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The supply-side analysis of Ricardo describes the outer limits
within which the equilibrium terms of trade must fall. The
domestic cost ratios set the outer limits for the equilibrium
terms of trade. Mutually beneficial trade for both nations occurs
if the equilibrium terms of trade lies between the two nations’
domestic cost ratios. According to the theory of reciprocal
demand, the actual exchange ratio at which trade occurs
depends on the trading partners’ interacting demands.
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Equilibrium terms-of-trade limits
FIGURE 2.2
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Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions
Equilibrium Terms of Trade, John Stuart Mill (1806–1873)
Add the intensity of the trading partners’ demands
Determine the actual terms of trade
The theory of reciprocal demand
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Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions
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TRADE CONFLICTS
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Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions
Improvement in a nation’s terms of trade
Rise in its export prices
Relative to its import prices
A smaller quantity of export goods sold abroad
Required to obtain a given quantity of imports
Deterioration in a nation’s terms of trade
Rise in its import prices
Relative to its export prices
Purchase of a given quantity of imports
Sacrifice of a greater quantity of exports
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Commodity terms of trade, 2008 (2000 = 100)
TABLE 2.5
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Dynamic Gains From Trade
Dynamic gains from international trade
More efficient use of an economy’s resources
Higher output and income
More saving, More investment
Higher rate of economic growth
Higher productivity
Economies of large-scale production
Increased competition
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Changing Comparative Advantage
Patterns of comparative advantage change over time
Productivity increases
Production possibilities schedule changes
More output can be produced - with the same amount of
resources
Producers - need to hone their skills to compete in more
profitable areas
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If productivity in the Japanese computer industry grows faster
than it does in the U.S. computer industry, the opportunity cost
of each computer produced in the United States increases
relative to the opportunity cost of the Japanese. For the United
States, comparative advantage shifts from computers to autos.
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Changing comparative advantage
FIGURE 2.3
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Trading Under Increasing-Cost Conditions
Increasing opportunity costs
Concave production possibilities schedule
Bowed outward from the diagram’s origin
Inputs are imperfect substitutes for each other
MRT rises
Absolute slope of the production possibilities schedule
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Increasing opportunity costs lead to a production possibilities
schedule that is concave, viewed from the diagram’s origin.
The marginal rate of transformation equals the (absolute) slope
of the production possibilities schedule at a particular point
along the schedule.
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Production possibilities schedule; increasing-cost conditions
FIGURE 2.4
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Trading Under Increasing-Cost Conditions
Increasing-Cost Trading Case
One country specializes in producing one good
The other country specializes in producing the other good
Specialization continues in both nations until
Relative cost of one good is identical in both nations
One country’s exports of one good are precisely equal to the
other country’s imports of the good
Same domestic rates of transformation
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With increasing opportunity costs, comparative product prices
in each country are determined by both supply and demand
factors. A country tends to partially specialize in the product of
its comparative advantage under increasing cost conditions.
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Trading under increasing opportunity costs
FIGURE 2.5
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Trading Under Increasing-Cost Conditions
Production gains
More of each good is being produced
Consumption gains
Both countries consume more of at least one good
The trade triangle
Exports, imports, and terms of trade
Same for both countries
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Gains from specialization and trade: increasing opportunity
costs
TABLE 2.6
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The Impact of Trade on Jobs
Extent to which an economy is open
Influences the mix of jobs within an economy
Can cause dislocation in certain areas or industries
Little effect on the overall level of employment
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Increased international trade tends to neither inhibit overall job
creation nor contribute to an increase in the overall rate of
unemployment. As seen in the figure, the increase in U.S.
imports as a percentage of GDP over the past several decades
has not led to any significant trend in the overall unemployment
for Americans.
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The impact of trade on jobs
FIGURE 2.6
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Comparative Advantage Extended to Many Products and
Countries
More Than Two Products
Comparative advantage
Rank the goods by the degree of comparative cost
Each country exports the product(s)
Has the greatest comparative advantage
Each country imports the product(s)
Has greatest comparative disadvantage
Cutoff point between exports and imports
Relative strength of international demand
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When a large number of goods is produced by two countries,
operation of the comparative-advantage principle requires the
goods to be ranked by the degree of comparative cost. Each
country exports the product(s) in which its comparative
advantage is strongest. Each country imports the product(s) in
which its comparative advantage is weakest.
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Hypothetical spectrum of comparative advantages, U.S. and
Japan
FIGURE 2.7
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Comparative Advantage Extended to Many Products and
Countries
More Than Two Countries
Multilateral trading relations
Bilateral balance should not pertain to any two trading partners
Trade surplus
With trading partners that buy a lot of the things that it supplies
at low cost
Trade deficit
With trading partners that are low-cost suppliers of goods that it
imports intensely
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When many countries are involved in international trade, the
home country will likely find it advantageous to enter into
multilateral trading relations with a number of countries. This
figure illustrates the process of multilateral trade for the United
States, Japan, and OPEC.
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Multilateral trade: U.S., Japan, and OPEC
FIGURE 2.8
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Outsourcing: Pros & Cons
Pros
reduced costs and increased competitiveness for domestic
companies
increased exports to countries in which new jobs are created
higher level of repatriated earnings reinvested into domestic
economy
Cons
reduced employment in specific industries
lower wages, particularly for unskilled workers
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National Competitive Advantage: Porter’s Diamond
Existing theories of international trade can be argued to be too
narrow and inadequate. Porter’s theory focuses on explaining
the success of a particular industry of a country. Rather than
Comparative Advantage, the theories of Porter [Michael E.
Porter (1990), The Competitive Advantage of Nations, New
York: Free Press] and others focus on Competitive Advantage,
which refers to industries (groups of firms) producing goods
and services of greater value than their international
competitors, where value is determined by a range of attributes
in addition to lower relative costs of production/higher relative
factor abundance. Many countries with similar relative factor
endowments have competitive advantages in different industries
– e.g.s: Switzerland excels in precision instruments (such as
watches), Germany in chemical industry, and Japan in
household electronic products.
Four attributes promoting or impeding the creation of
competitive advantage:
Factor Endowments such as skilled labour or the infrastructure
(power for IT industry) necessary to compete in a given
industry
Demand Conditions—nature of home demand for the industry’s
products
Related and Supporting Industries—supplier industries and
related industries that are internationally competitive
Firm Strategy, Structure and Rivalry—conditions in the country
determining how firms are created, organized and managed and
the nature of domestic rivalry.
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National Competitive Advantage: Porter’s Diamond
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National Competitive Advantage: Porter’s Diamond
Challenges of Globalization
Rapid increases in international economic activity,
including the communications revolution, has reduced the intra-
country significance of Porter’s Diamond – factors above still
important but globally, not just domestically. E.g.; Demand
conditions attribute – the nature of international demand for the
industry’s products is important also.
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Porter’s Diamond
Criticism on Porter's national diamond model resolves around a
number of assumptions that underlie it. As described by Davies
and Ellis:
"sustained prosperity may be achieved without a nation
becoming 'innovation-driven', strong 'diamonds' are not in place
in the home bases of many internationally successful industries
and inward foreign direct investment does not indicate a lack of
'competitiveness' or low national productivity".
Porter generalised from the American case; for developing
countries the model may be wrong.
Michael E. Porter (1990), The Competitive Advantage of
Nations, New York: Free Press
Wheat
MRT
Autos
D
=
D
100
Export Price Index
Terms of trade =
Import Price Index
´
Factor
Endowments
Firm Strategy,
Structure and
Rivalry
Demand
Conditions
Related
and
Supporting
Industries
Factor Endowments
Related and Supporting
Industries
Firm Strategy, Structure and Rivalry
Demand Conditions
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1
3001IBA Lecture Notes Week 1
Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th
Edition
The International Economy
and Globalization
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LECTURE NOTES – INTRODUCTION - WEEK 1 CONTENTS
Discussion of course details from Course Profile including
aims, content, & assessment
The International Economy and Globalization
Global Financial Crisis and Recovery
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Course Content
Course examines how nations and companies promote and retain
competitiveness in a globalized world economy.
National level focus on international trade and national
competitiveness.
Company level focus on company operations, participating
strategies and competitiveness.
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for
classroom use
4
Learning Objectives
Explain globalization
Discuss the importance of globalization
Discuss criticisms of globalization
Briefly describe the Global Financial Crisis and Recovery
Discuss history of international trade – Mercantilists, David
Hume, Adam Smith and Absolute Advantage
Define the principle of Comparative Advantage (CA)
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for
classroom use
5
The International Economy
High degree of economic interdependence
Steps toward international cooperation
Mutually advantageous for trading nations
Specialization, efficiencies of large scale production
Wider variety of products at lower cost
Protectionist pressures
Financial flows and exchange rates
Developing nations
Liberalized trading system - serves to keep the developing
nations in poverty?
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for
classroom use
5
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for
classroom use
6
Globalization of Economic Activity
Globalization
A (continuing) process of greater interdependence among
nations (countries and their citizens)
International flows
Goods and services
People
Investments in equipment, factories, etc.; financial investments
in stocks, bonds, etc.
Non-economic elements
Culture and the environment
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx
13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5  Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx

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13001IBA Lecture Notes 5Week 5 Topic 3.2 Economic Integr.docx

  • 1. 1 3001IBA Lecture Notes 5/Week 5 Topic 3.2 Economic Integration/Regionalism/ The WTO Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th Edition Regional Trading Arrangements 1 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 2 Learning Objectives Discuss Economic Integration – the types of regional agreements Discuss and analyse the Static economic effects of economic integration: Trade creation and welfare Trade diversion and welfare 3. Discuss the Dynamic economic effects of regional integration Give a Brief overall assessment of the effects of economic integration Provide a Case Study of the European Union Briefly discuss the WTO
  • 2. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 3 Types of Regional Trading Arrangements Economic integration Process of eliminating restrictions on international trade, payments, and factor mobility Results in the uniting of two or more national economies in a regional trading arrangement Motivations for regional trading arrangements Prospect of enhanced economic growth Economies of large-scale production & attract foreign investment Foster a variety of noneconomic objectives Managing immigration flows Promoting regional security Enhance & solidify domestic economic reforms © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 3 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use
  • 3. 4 Types of Regional Trading Arrangements Free-trade area Association of trading nations Members agree to remove all tariff and nontariff barriers among themselves Each member maintains its own set of trade restrictions against outsiders North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) Canada, Mexico, and the United States © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 4 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 5 Types of Regional Trading Arrangements Free-trade area (continued) Association of trading nations Agreement among members to remove trade barriers among members while retaining independence in forming trade policies with nonmembers. Examples: multilateral - N(orth) A(merican) F(ree) T(rade) A(greement) Canada, Mexico, and the United States; bilateral – recent Australia-US FTA. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 4. or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 5 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 6 Types of Regional Trading Arrangements Customs union Agreement among two or more trading partners To remove all tariff and nontariff trade barriers between themselves Each member nation imposes identical trade restrictions against nonparticipants Example: Benelux Belgium, the Netherlands, and Luxembourg – formed 1947; absorbed into ECM 1958 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 6 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 7
  • 5. Types of Regional Trading Arrangements Common market Group of trading nations Customs union plus agreement that permits (1) free trade among members; (2) common external trade restrictions; and (3) free movement of factors of production Example: E(uropean) C(ommon) M(arket) before it evolved to the next type of arrangement © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 7 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 8 Types of Regional Trading Arrangements Economic union Common market agreement plus: unification of main economic institutions and coordination of economic policy between members. Early example: Belgium and Luxembourg 1920s National, social, taxation, and fiscal policies are harmonized and administered by a supranational institution Requires an agreement to transfer economic sovereignty to a supranational authority © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for
  • 6. classroom use 8 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 9 Types of Regional Trading Arrangements Monetary union Ultimate degree of economic union So is economic union plus: Unification of national monetary policies Acceptance of a common currency administered by a supranational monetary authority Examples: United States, E(uropean) U(nion) So all of above Types include trade liberalization for 2 or more countries. Question: What is APEC, & which above type does it represent? (www.apec.org) © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 9 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 10
  • 7. Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement Static effects of economic integration On productive efficiency And consumer welfare Trade creation takes place when there is a shift in product origin from a higher-resource-cost domestic producer to a lower-resource-cost member country producer. The shift represents movement towards the free trade allocation. Trade diversion takes place when there is a shift in product origin from a lower-resource-cost nonmember producer to a higher-resource-cost member country producer. The shift represents movement away from the free trade allocation. Dynamic effects of economic integration Relate to long-term rates of growth © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 10 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 11 Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement Static effects Trade-creation effect Welfare gain Some domestic production of one customs-union member Replaced by another member’s lower-cost imports Consumption effect
  • 8. Production effect Trade-diversion effect Welfare loss Imports from a low-cost supplier outside the union Are replaced by purchases from a higher-cost supplier within the union © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 11 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 12 Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement Trade creation and welfare Consider a Customs Union (as defined previously), CU Assume: (1) Three countries L(uxembourg), US & G(ermany). (2). No transportation costs (3). Single good, produced in Countries US, G, and L. SU.S. is the world price (faced by L, a price taker, (small country). Under current trade arrangements (without a CU), L imposes tariffs on imported grain – US is L’s lower cost supplier at SU.S. + tariff, (since G’s supply price is SG + tariff) Now L joins a CU with Country G, so it removes its tariff on G’s grain exports (- which is now, at price SG, the lower- resource-cost member). Since U.S. is a non-member of the CU, the price of its grain exports to L is still SU.S. + tariff.
  • 9. Welfare effects for trade creation (see diagram FIGURE 8.1) There is Consumer surplus gain, a loss of producer surplus, and a loss of tariff revenue Adding all of these, the welfare gains = a + b which is positive © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 13 Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement Trade diversion and welfare Again, Consider a Customs Union (as defined previously) Assume same countries and product (grain) as previously. Under current trade arrangements (without a CU), L imposes a tariff only on imported grain from G – so US is L’s lower cost supplier at SU.S. (the world free trade price), since G’s supply price is SG + tariff. Now L joins a CU with Country G, so it removes its tariff on imported grain from G (- which is now, at price SG, the lower- resource-cost member). Since U.S. is a non-member of the CU, L imposes a tariff on imports of grain from the U.S. so the price of its grain exports to L is now SU.S. + tariff. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 14 Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement Welfare effects for trade diversion (see diagram FIGURE 8.1
  • 10. page 267, Text 14th edition) There is Consumer surplus gain, a loss of producer surplus, and a loss of tariff revenue from G’s imports, as well as a further loss from the tariff now imposed on U.S. grain imports. Adding all of these, the welfare gain/loss = a + b - c which may be positive or negative – if negative it is trade diversion. The closer is the CU partner (Country G) price SG to the low- cost world (Country U.S.) price SU.S., (i.e. the smaller is c,) the more likely that the impact of integration is positive for Country L. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 15 The formation of a customs union leads to a welfare-increasing trade creation effect and a welfare-decreasing trade diversion effect. The overall effect of the customs union on the welfare of its members, as well as on the world as a whole, depends on the relative strength of these two opposing forces. © 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 15 Static welfare effects of a customs union FIGURE 8.1 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 11. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 16 Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement Dynamic effects Greater competition – increased number of producers makes collusion less likely and forces firms to become more efficient Economies of scale – access to a larger market allows producers to become more efficient through greater specialization, better equipment, and usage of by-products Stimulus of investment – because of increased rate of return and ability to spread R&D costs trade makes greater levels of investment more likely Dynamic benefits from increased factor mobility among the members – both labour and capital can move more freely from areas of surplus to areas of scarcity – higher factor incomes and increased economic efficiency. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 17 Brief Overall Assessment of Regional Integration Likely positive net effects: The higher pre-customs union tariffs and the lower the common external tariff The more elastic supply and demand are in member countries The greater the numbers of participating members and the larger the group size The greater the ease in shifting from a higher cost domestic
  • 12. source to a lower cost member source, and the more preunion per-unit cost differences between sources (and the greater the scope for economies of scale and higher foreign investment and technology – dynamic effects). The lower are the transport costs between members – geographic proximity. Possible negatives: The distribution of benefits among member countries is unknown. Product suitability and choice for the integration arrangements. Historical trade connections are often lacking for small potential member countries. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 18 Brief Overall Assessment of Regional Integration Possible negatives cont.: Increasing emphasis on regional integration (-e.g. appears to be deepening in the Asia-Pacific area – APEC -) may provide stumbling blocks to a multilateral trading system and trade liberalisation as embodied in the W(orld) T(rade) O(rganisation), given the discrimination from within the regional groups: In particular: trade barriers may be reduced for a relatively small group of member countries; the regional group may further raise trade barriers to outside non-members: economies of scale may not be obtained – relatively small markets; the group members may concentrate on regional trade
  • 13. negotiations instead of participating globally: domestic economic policies can be more difficult due to loss of control, and lessened sovereignty and independence, for the members. Question: Any example(s) of difficulties, failed economic integration? © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 19 European Union: 1960 - 1985 Treaty of Rome – 1957 – established European Community – precursor to EU EU members removed tariffs in 1968 leading to fivefold increase in trade EU adopted common external tariffs in 1970 making it a customs union trade creation: machinery, transportation equipment, chemicals & raw materials trade diversion: agricultural commodities and raw materials trade creation exceeded trade diversion EU saw increases in economies of scale, competition, investment 1985 EU eliminated nontariff barriers resulting in creation of European common market European Union & Maastricht 1991 Maastricht Treaty established monetary union and euro as common currency by 2002
  • 14. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 20 European Monetary Union A common currency also implied the need for a single European Central Bank responsible for all monetary and exchange rate policies of the EMU. advantages: eliminated exchange rate risk reduced currency conversion costs insulation from monetary disturbance & speculation disadvantages: loss of individual monetary authority transition to common currency could lead to speculative attacks © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 21 World Trade Organization Does WTO Reduce National Sovereignty? Yes – because of WTO disputes settlement No – because findings of a WTO dispute-settlement panel cannot force the United States to change its laws Retaliatory tariffs for WTO enforcement?
  • 15. Small country impose retaliatory tariffs Relatively more costly to initiate No favorable movements in its terms of trade © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 21 TRADE CONFLICTS © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 22 World Trade Organization Trade liberalization - harms the environment? “Race to the bottom” in environmental standards Social preferences Trade liberalization - improves the environment? Trade stimulates economic growth Key factors in societies’ demand for a cleaner environment Tougher environmental laws Trade and growth Development and dissemination of environmentally friendly production techniques © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 22
  • 16. TRADE CONFLICTS The WTO January 1, 1995, GATT transformed into WTO WTO 153 nations, 97% of world trade International organization, headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland Multilateral trading system Trade in services, intellectual property, and investment Administers a unified package of agreements to which all members are committed © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 23 TRADE CONFLICTS The WTO (cont.) WTO Reverses policies of protection in certain “sensitive” areas Settling trade disputes Is not a government Individual nations - free to set their own appropriate levels of environment, labor, health, and safety protections Various councils and committees © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for
  • 17. classroom use 24 TRADE CONFLICTS 1 3001BA Lecture Notes 4 Week 4 Topic: Trade Policy and Competition Tariffs & Nontariff Trade Barriers Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th Edition Chapters 4 & 5 and 6 (pp. 188-191) Copyright © 2009 South-Western, a division of Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. Learning Objectives Define the instruments of Trade Policy Discuss in detail tariffs with examples Explain the basic concepts of Consumer & Producer Surplus Analyse the economic or trade welfare effects of tariffs Discuss traditional arguments for trade restrictions Analyse the economic welfare effects of non-tariffs – quotas & subsidies © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use
  • 18. 2 Restricted Trade and Instruments Strategic Trade Policy Is a set of government policies which interfere with free trade flows, in order to protect or promote certain industries. (Why choose? – “winners” Strategic trade policy theories suggest how individual countries can benefit over time from the active use of trade policy instruments The major trade Policy instruments are tariffs and non-tariffs – examples of the latter being import and export quotas and production subsidies © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 3 The Tariff Tariff Definition A tax (duty) levied on a product when it crosses national boundaries Import tariff – much more common Tax levied on an imported product Export tariff –less common mainly used as an additional revenue source Tax imposed on an exported product Often used by developing nations Raise revenue, increase the world price Purposes Protective tariff – designed to reduce the amount of imports entering a country; increases sales for domestic producers
  • 19. Revenue tariff – designed to generate additional funds for domestic governments © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 4 5 Types of Tariffs specific tariff (T) – fixed monetary amount per unit of the imported good; P = Pw + T where P is price and Pw is the world price ad valorem tariff (t) – fixed percentage of the value of the imported good; P = Pw.(1 + t) customs valuation – process of determining the value of an imported good free-on-board (FOB) valuation – tariff applied as product leaves country cost-insurance-freight (CIF)valuation – tariff applied as product enters country compound tariff – combines the elements of both specific and ad valorem tariffs © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 20. or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 6 Tariff revenues as a percentage of government revenues, 2007: selected countries TABLE 4.1Developing CountriesPercentageIndustrial Countries PercentageThe Bahamas Guinea Ethiopia Ghana Sierra Leone Madagascar Dominican Republic Jordan 51.2 47.9 33.5 28.5 27.6 26.9 20.9 11.3New Zealand Australia Japan Canada Switzerland United States United Kingdom Iceland 2.6 2.5 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0
  • 21. 1.0 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 7 Examples of tariffs, selected countries (in %) TABLE 4.3 Effective Rate of Protection Nominal tariff rate Published in the country’s tariff schedule Applies to the value of a finished product that is imported into a country Effective tariff rate Takes into account the nominal tariff rate On a finished product And any tariff rate applied to imported inputs Used in producing the finished product © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 8 Effective Rate of Protection Effective tariff rate, e
  • 22. e = The effective rate of protection n = the nominal tariff rate on the final product a = the ratio of the value of the imported input to the value of the finished product b = the nominal tariff rate on the imported input © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 9 10 Effective Tariff Rate – Example TABLE 4.4 p. 116 of Carbaugh e = = = 0.5 = 50% (n-ab) (1-a) 0.1-0.8(0) 1-0.8 for this example: n = $50/($100 + $400) = 0.1 = 10% a = $400/($100 + $400) = 0.8 b = $0/($400) = 0 So in this case, e is much larger than n 11
  • 23. Tariff Escalation tariff escalation – higher tariffs on intermediate and finished goods and lower tariffs on raw materials examples – cases at right from the TABLE: incentive for developing nations to expand production of raw materials disincentive for developing nations to compete in market for finished goods Tariffs often rise significantly with the level of processing (tariff escalation) in many industrial countries. This is especially true for agricultural products. Tariff escalation in industrial countries has the potential of reducing demand for processed imports from developing countries, hampering diversification into higher-value added exports. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 12 Tariff escalation on industrial countries’ imports from developing countries FIGURE 4.1 Outsourcing and Offshore-Assembly Provision Outsourcing Certain aspects of a product’s manufacture are performed in more than one country Low costs labor intensive produc
  • 24. OAP - tariffs applied only to portion of production occurring in another country reduces effective tariff rate for domestic consumers incentive for foreign producers to use home country components in production detrimental to home country workers who also produce the same finished goods © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 13 Postponing Import Tariffs Bonded warehouse Dutiable imports can be brought into the U.S. and temporarily left in a bonded warehouse, duty-free Imported goods - stored, repacked, or further processed - for up to five years No customs duties are owed until the goods are withdrawn for domestic consumption © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 14 Postponing Import Tariffs Foreign-trade zone (FTZ) An area within the U.S.
  • 25. Business can operate without the responsibility of paying customs duties on imported products or materials For as long as they remain within this area And do not enter the U.S. marketplace Customs duties are due when goods are transferred from the FTZ for U.S. consumption © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 15 Postponing Import Tariffs Foreign-trade zone (FTZ) No time limit on how long goods can be stored General-purpose zones Public facilities Used by more than one firm Subzones A single firm’s site Used for more extensive manufacturing or assembly © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 16 17 Tariff welfare effects. Basic Concepts - Consumer & Producer Surplus
  • 26. 1) consumer surplus – additional benefit obtained by the buyer of a good difference between the maximum that the buyer is willing to pay and the actual price area below demand and above price 2) producer surplus – additional benefit obtained by the seller of a good difference between the minimum that the seller is willing to accept and the actual price area above supply and below price Consumer surplus is the difference between the maximum amount buyers are willing to pay for a given quantity of a good and the amount actually paid. Graphically, consumer surplus is represented by the area under the demand curve and above the good’s market price. Producer surplus is the revenue producers receive over and above the minimum necessary for production. Graphically, producer surplus is the area above the supply curve and below the good’s market price. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 18 Consumer surplus and producer surplus FIGURE 4.2 Tariff Welfare Effects: Small-Nation Model Small nation Its imports - a very small portion of the world market supply Price taker
  • 27. Tariff effects Raises the home price of imports by the full amount of the duty Higher domestic production Lower domestic consumption © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 19 Tariff Welfare Effects: Small-Nation Model Small nation - Tariff effects on nation’s welfare Consumer surplus falls Welfare effects of a tariff Revenue effect Redistribution effect Protective effect Consumption effect Additional tax revenue Benefits domestic producers Wastes resources Harms the domestic consumer © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 20 For a small nation, a tariff placed on an imported product is shifted totally to the domestic consumer via a higher product
  • 28. price. Consumer surplus falls as a result of the price increase. The small nation’s welfare decreases by an amount equal to the protective effect and consumption effect, the so-called deadweight losses due to a tariff. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 21 Tariff trade and welfare effects: small nation model FIGURE 4.3 22 Tariff Welfare Effects – Small Nation Have small countries and large countries – small countries are defined as those too insignificant in a market to influence the world price. (Large countries definition?) Also, partial equilibrium effects – only 1 industry is considered, not the 2 or more industries in the country’s whole economy Before Trade: Home country consumer surplus is area in red. Home country producer surplus is area in green. 23 Tariff Welfare Effects – Small Nation
  • 29. With Free Trade: CS increases by total area a+b+c+d+e+f Producer surplus decreases by areas a+e The overall increase in welfare is [a+b+c+d+e+f] –(a+e) i.e. b+c+d+f. 24 Tariff Welfare Effects – Small Nation With Tariff: CS decreases by a+b+c+d c = revenue effect = now government revenue. PS increases by a = redistributive effect = shift from CS to PS Total effect of tariff is a+c –(a+b+c+d) = -(b+d) a negative effect overall b + d = deadweight loss = benefits lost to all parties b = protective effect d = consumption effect
  • 30. Trade protectionism intensifies as global economy falls into recession Global economic downturns - catalyst for trade protectionism; 2007–2009, Decrease in the demand for goods and services Decline in international trade Credit crunch - extra squeeze on trade Shortfall of some $100 billion in trade finance – 90% of world trade © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 25 GLOBALIZATION Trade protectionism intensifies as global economy falls into recession Indiscriminate decrease in trade Exports declined by 30 % China - targeted by the most governments for protectionist measures Russia Increased tariffs on imported automobiles India Raised tariffs on steel imports Argentina New obstacles to imported auto parts and shoes © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
  • 31. use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 26 GLOBALIZATION © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 27 Creeping protectionism during global economic downturn of 2008–2009: number of protectionist measures initiated* TABLE 4.6 Arguments for Trade Restrictions Free-trade argument If each nation produces what it does best and permits trade In the long term Lower prices Higher levels of output, income, and consumption © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 28 Arguments for Trade Restrictions 1) Job protection argument
  • 32. preserve jobs in some industries but decrease employment in others increased cost to consumer greater than average salary for worker whose job was saved Job gains for only a few industries Job losses spread across many industries Each job saved Ends up costing domestic consumers more than the worker’s salary © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 29 Arguments for Trade Restrictions 2) Protection against cheap foreign labor productivity and cost relevant factors relevant to labor intensive production only Low wages by themselves do not guarantee low production costs 3) Fairness in trade – level playing field other nations lack of environmental regulations response to trade barriers of other nations © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 30
  • 33. Arguments for Trade Restrictions 4) Maintenance of the domestic standard of living One nation imposes a tariff that improves its income and employment restrictions only improve standard of living at the expense of trading partners 5) equalized production costs scientific tariff – tariff to offset cost differentials subsidizes inefficient domestic production © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 31 Arguments for Trade Restrictions 6) Infant-industry argument Trading nations should temporarily shield their newly developing industries from foreign competition short run protection for new domestic industries against developed foreign competition 7) Noneconomic arguments National security argument, Cultural and sociological considerations © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for
  • 34. classroom use 32 Arguments for Trade Restrictions Supply of protectionism By the domestic government Depends on: The costs to society The political importance of import-competing producers Adjustment costs Public sympathy © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 33 Import Quota Import quota Physical restriction on the quantity of goods that can be imported during a specific time period Require an import license Specifies the total volume of imports allowed On manufactured goods Outlawed by the World Trade Organization Global quota Permits a specified number of goods to be imported each year Does not specify from where the product is shipped or who is permitted to import Plagued by accusations of favoritism Selective quota Import quota allocated to specific countries May lead to a domestic monopoly of production and higher
  • 35. prices © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 34 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 35 Examples of U.S. import quotas* TABLE 5.1 36 Import Quota Welfare Effects With Import Quota: a = redistributive effect = shift from CS to PS b + d = deadweight loss b = protective effect d = consumption effect c = revenue effect “windfall profit”/ “quota rent” portion to foreign exporters and portion to home country importers
  • 36. Total effect of quota is c – (b+d) 37 Import Licenses With an import quota, the government must find method to allocate limited supply of imports to domestic importers. historical market share – bias against new importers pro rata – each importer receives fraction of its demand auction import licenses to highest bidder(s) – allows the domestic government to capture the windfall profits (area c = revenue effect) If import quota = area c, effects are same as tariff except government does not have tariff revenue. However, if the quota is auctioned, the government gains area c and the welfare loss is same as in the tariff case. If the quota is not auctioned, the rent-seeking loss = area c Quota vs. tariff: Initially similar - however if demand increases, tariff leads to more imports at the same price, whereas quota leads to a higher price & more imports Thus an import quota can be more restrictive. 38
  • 37. Tariff-Rate Quota allows specified number of goods at one tariff rate – “within quota rate” additional imports are subject to higher tariff rate – “over quota rate” in principle - less restrictive than a quota in practice - may be as restrictive if the over quota rate is prohibitively high license on demand allocation – importers apply for licenses on first come-first served basis – if demand exceeds quota, volume is reduced proportionally for all importers 39 Export Quota domestic government limiting the exports of a certain good to another country voluntary export restraint (VER) agreement or orderly marketing agreement – administered by the exporting country. economic impact identical to import quota, although area c (see previous diagrams) may be lost to the foreign exporters) common on television sets, steel, textiles, autos and ships increases costs to consumers translates to higher profits for foreign exporters 40 Domestic Content Requirement minimum percentage of product’s total value produced domestically required to qualify for zero tariff rate
  • 38. popular argument for organized labor common in auto industry 41 Subsidies government funding to domestic producers include: tax concession, low interest loans, insurance arrangement & cash disbursements allows producers to sell goods for a lesser price domestic production subsidy – granted to producers of import competing goods export subsidy – granted to producers of goods that are to be sold in other countries – will consider later, in Part II Topic 4.0 42 Domestic Production Subsidy-Welfare Effects With Domestic Production Subsidy increases domestic supply but price does not change PS increases due to greater sales; this increase was partially redistributed consumer surplus and partially protective effect/deadweight loss Result: *Subsidies do not decrease welfare as much as tariffs or quotas Using areas from Tariff/Quota graphs: PS increases by a+b CS decreases by b Govt. subsidy paid is a+b Total effect is a+b –b – (a+b) = -b (*smaller loss than –(b+d))
  • 39. 43 Product Dumping charging foreign buyers a lower price than domestic buyers for an identical product also called international price discrimination – is a further type of trade restriction sporadic dumping – firm disposes of excess inventory on foreign markets predatory dumping – temporary reduction in price designed to force foreign competitors out of business to gain monopoly power persistent dumping – indefinite reduction in foreign price in order to maximize profits Generally prohibited under WTO rules and under various countries’ regulations Is Antidumping Law Unfair? Antidumping laws Ensure a level playing field by offsetting artificial sources of competitive advantage Protected industries gain Consumers of the protected good lose more Whole economy lose more Dumping When a foreign producer sells goods in U.S. at less than fair
  • 40. value © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 44 45 Other Nontariff Trade Barriers Government Procurement Policies: National and local governments buy many goods but many have buy-national policies giving preference to domestic over foreign goods. Social Regulations: Governments attempt to correct health and environmental side effects of trade; examples: fuel economy standards and limits on hormone-treated meats Sea Transport & Freight Regulations: Nations can use restrictive practices on unloading cargo to serve as a barrier to trade. ( ) ( ) 1 nab e a - = -
  • 41. 3001IBA Lecture Notes Week 3 2.0 Economies of Scale, Geography & Trade Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th Edition Sources of Comparative Advantage © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 1 Learning Objectives Discuss the Heckscher-Ohlin (H-O) theory of international trade, based on factor endowments Briefly discuss applications & criticisms of H-O Explain the Increasing Returns to Scale theory Discuss the theory of Overlapping Demands Explain the basis for Intra-industry Trade Discuss the Product Life Cycle Theory of international trade Factor Endowments Factor-endowment theory Economists Heckscher and Ohlin formulated this theory in the 1920s and 1930s. Immediate basis for trade: difference between pre-trade relative product prices of trading nations
  • 42. Prices depend on the production possibilities curves and tastes and preferences (demand conditions) in the trading countries Production possibilities curves depend on technology and resource endowments © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 3 Factor Endowments Factor-endowment theory Ultimate determinants of comparative advantage Technology Resource endowments Demand Assumption: technology and demand are approximately the same between countries © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 4 Factor Endowments Factor-endowment theory Resource-endowment ratio Determines comparative advantage Export the product that uses a large amount of its relatively abundant resource Import the product which in production uses the relatively scarce resource
  • 43. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 5 H-O Factor Endowments – Example TABLE 3.1 p. 67 of Carbaugh U.S.: capital/labor (K/L) ratio = 0.5 (100/200) China: capital/labor (K/L) ratio = 0.02 (20/1,000) Since the U.S. has relatively more abundant capital (i.e. higher K/L ratio), the U.S. will produce capital-intensive goods, with China producing goods that are more labor-intensive. 6 Factor Endowments Effect of resource endowments on comparative advantage © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 7 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 44. or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 8 Capital stock per worker of selected countries, 1997* TABLE 3.2 A country exports the good whose production is intensive in its relatively abundant factor. It imports the good whose production is intensive in its relatively scarce factor. U.S. MRT = 0.33, China’s MRT = 4.0 - implication is that U.S. has a lower relative price of aircraft so U.S. has comparative advantage in aircraft & China has comparative advantage in textiles © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 9 The factor-endowment theory FIGURE 3.1 Factor Endowments Factor-endowment theory, U.S.-China trade United States Relatively abundant: human capital (skills), scientific talent, and engineering talent are relatively abundant Relatively scarce: unskilled labor is relatively scarce China Relatively rich: unskilled labor
  • 45. Relatively scarce: scientific and engineering talent © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 10 Factor Endowments Factor-endowment theory, U.S.-China trade United States exports to China Goods embodying relatively large amounts of skilled labor and technology Aircraft, software, pharmaceuticals, and high-tech components of electrical machinery and equipment China exports to the United States Goods for which a relatively large amount of unskilled labor is used Apparel, footwear, toys, and the final assembly of electronic machinery and equipment © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 11 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 12 U.S.-China trade: top ten products, 2007 (thousand of dollars)
  • 46. TABLE 3.3 Skill as Source of Comparative Advantage Leontief paradox Capital/labor ratios, 200 export industries and import-competing industries, 1947 Capital/labor ratio for U.S. export industries Lower than that of its import-competing industries Exports - less capital intensive than import-competing goods Import-competing goods - more capital intensive than U.S. exports © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 13 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 14 Factor content of U.S. Trade: capital and labor requirements per million dollars of U.S. Exports and import substitutes TABLE 3.5 Economies of Scale
  • 47. Increasing Returns to Scale Internal economies of scale Largely based on Krugman’s work in the 1970s and 1980s Nations with similar factor endowments Negligible comparative-advantage differences May find it beneficial to trade Because they can take advantage of massive economies of scale Produce that good in great quantity at low average unit costs Trade those low-cost goods to other nations © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 15 By adding to the size of the domestic market, international trade permits longer production runs by domestic firms, which can lead to greater efficiency and reductions in unit costs. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 16 Economies of scale as a basis for trade FIGURE 3.5 External Economies of Scale External economies of scale The average cost of the typical firm decreases As the output of the industry within this area increases Concentration of an industry’s firms in a particular geographic
  • 48. area Larger pools of a specialized type of worker New knowledge about production technology spreads among firms in the area © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 17 Overlapping Demands as a Basis for Trade Theory of overlapping demands, Linder, 1960s Factor-endowment theory - explains trade in primary products and agricultural goods Not trade in manufactured goods Force influencing manufactured-good trade Domestic demand conditions Firms within a country – manufacture goods for which there is a large domestic market A nation’s exports - extension of the production for the domestic market © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 18 Overlapping Demands as a Basis for Trade Theory of overlapping demands, Linder, 1960s Consumer demand - conditioned strongly by income levels A country’s average or per capita income will yield a particular pattern of demand
  • 49. Nations with high per capita incomes will demand high-quality manufactured goods (luxuries) Nations with low per capita incomes will demand lower-quality goods (necessities) © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 19 Overlapping Demands as a Basis for Trade Theory of overlapping demands, Linder, 1960s Nations with similar per capita incomes Overlapping demand structures Consume similar types of manufactured goods Wealthy (industrial) nations More likely to trade with other wealthy nations Poor (developing) nations More likely to trade with other poor nations © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 20 Intra-industry Trade Intra-industry specialization, trade Trade models so far have dealt with inter-industry trade and CA Production of particular products or groups of products within a given industry The opening up of trade does not generally result in the elimination or wholesale contraction of entire industries within
  • 50. a nation The range of products produced and sold by each nation changes Emphasized by advanced industrial nations © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 21 Intra-industry Trade Intra-industry specialization, trade Involves flows of goods with similar factor requirements Conducted mostly among industrial countries with similar resource endowments Firms – in oligopolies (markets with only a few firms) Trade in homogeneous goods Transportation costs may be lowered Seasonal Trade in differentiated products Unmet need Overlapping demand segments in trading nations Economies of scale © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 22 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for
  • 51. classroom use 23 Intra-industry trade examples: selected U.S. exports and imports, 2007 (in millions of dollars) TABLE 3.6 Technology: The Product Cycle Theory Technological innovations Different nations, at different rates of speed Result in: New methods of producing existing commodities Production of new commodities Commodity improvements Often transitory © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 24 Technology: The Product Cycle Theory Product life cycle theory Predictable trade cycle: Manufactured good is introduced to home market Domestic industry shows export strength. Foreign production begins Domestic industry loses competitive advantage Import competition begins International product cycle U.S. and Japanese radio manufacturers U.S. and Japanese pocket calculators manufacturers
  • 52. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 25 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 26 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 27 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 27 FIGURE 2.3
  • 53. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 1 3001IBA Lecture Notes Week 2 Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th Edition Foundations of Modern Trade Theory: Comparative Advantage © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 1 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 2 Learning Objectives History of Trade Theories: Mercantilists (1500-1800) Absolute Advantage – Adam Smith (1776) Define principle of Comparative Advantage (CA) Explain the basis for trade
  • 54. Analyze the (comparative static) gains from trade with constant & increasing opportunity costs Discuss the dynamic gains from trade Consider the limitations of CA © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 3 Historical Development of Modern Trade Theory Principle of comparative advantage - Even if a nation has an absolute cost disadvantage in the production of both goods -- The less efficient nation Specialize in and export the good in which it is relatively less inefficient Where its absolute disadvantage is least --The more efficient nation Specialize in and export that good in which it is relatively more efficient Where its absolute advantage is greatest © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 3 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 55. or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 4 Principle of comparative advantage, simplified model - assumptions 1. The world consists of two nations Each uses a single input, produces two commodities 2. In each nation, labor is the only input Fixed endowment of labor Labor is fully employed and homogeneous 3. Labor can move freely among industries Within a nation, but is incapable of moving between nations 4. Technology - fixed for both nations Different nations may use different technologies All firms within each nation - a common production method for each commodity 5. Costs do not vary with the level of production Proportional to the amount of labor used 6. Perfect competition prevails in all markets All are price takers Identical products Free entry to and exit from an industry Price of each product = product’s marginal cost of production © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 4 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 56. or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 5 Principle of comparative advantage, simplified model - assumptions 7. Free trade occurs between nations No government barriers to trade 8. Transportation costs are zero Consumers - indifferent between domestically produced and imported versions of a product if the domestic prices of the two products are identical 9. Firms make production decisions in an attempt to maximize profits Consumers maximize satisfaction through their consumption decisions 10. There is no money illusion When consumers make their consumption choices and firms make their production decisions, they take into account the behavior of all prices 11. Trade is balanced i.e. exports must pay for imports This rules out flows of money between nations © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 5 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 6
  • 57. Comparative Advantage - Example Assume 2 countries each producing 2 goods The U.S. can produce twice as much wine as the U.K. but four times as much cloth. Therefore the U.S. should specialize in producing cloth while the U.K. specializes in producing wine. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 7 Production Possibilities Schedules Modern trade theory - More generalized theory of comparative advantage - Use a production possibilities schedule PPS -- Transformation schedule © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 7 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 8 Production Possibilities Schedules
  • 58. Production possibilities schedule shows Various alternative combinations of two goods a nation can produce - When all of its factor inputs -- Labour (L), capital (K), [generally assume these 2] and land, entrepreneurship, (technology) are used in their most efficient manner - Maximum output possibilities of a nation © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 8 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 9 Production Possibilities Schedules Marginal rate of transformation, MRT - The amount of one product a nation must sacrifice to get one additional unit of the other product -- Rate of sacrifice = opportunity cost of a product - Absolute value of the slope of production possibilities schedule For Figure 2.1 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use
  • 59. 9 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 10 In graph (a) the MRT in the US equals 0.5 because wheat output falls by 20 (e.g. from 60 to 40) when auto output rises by 40 (e.g. from 0 to 40). In graph (b) the MRT in Canada equals 2.0 because wheat output falls by 40 (from 80 to 40) when auto output rises by 20 (from 40 to 60) So 1 additional auto in the U.S. => loss of 0.5 bushel of wheat Whereas 1 additional auto in Canada => loss of 2 bushels of wheat Since the U.S. has a lower opportunity cost of auto production, it will be mutually beneficial for the U.S. to produce autos and trade them to Canada for wheat. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 10 Trading under constant opportunity costs FIGURE 2.1 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 60. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 11 Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions Basis for Trade - Principle of comparative advantage Direction of Trade - Specialize and export the good with the lowest opportunity cost Production Gains from Specialization - Production gains for both countries -- Arise from the reallocation of existing resources -- Static gains from specialization © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 11 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 12 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 12 Gains from specialization & trade: constant opportunity costs
  • 61. TABLE 2.4 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 13 Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions Consumption Gains from Trade - Trade = consumption gains for both countries - Consumption points -- Outside domestic production possibilities schedules -- Consume more of both goods Terms of trade Rate at which a country’s export product is traded for the other country’s export product Define the relative prices of the two products © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 13 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 14 Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions
  • 62. Trading possibilities line International terms of trade for both countries Trade triangle for a country Exports – along the horizontal axis Imports – along the vertical axis Terms of trade – the slope Complete specialization Produce only one product © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 14 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 15 Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions Domestic cost ratio Negatively sloped production possibilities schedule Transform into a positively sloped cost-ratio line Outer limits for the equilibrium terms of trade Becomes no-trade boundary Region of mutually beneficial trade Bounded by the cost ratios of the two countries © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use
  • 63. 15 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 16 The supply-side analysis of Ricardo describes the outer limits within which the equilibrium terms of trade must fall. The domestic cost ratios set the outer limits for the equilibrium terms of trade. Mutually beneficial trade for both nations occurs if the equilibrium terms of trade lies between the two nations’ domestic cost ratios. According to the theory of reciprocal demand, the actual exchange ratio at which trade occurs depends on the trading partners’ interacting demands. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 16 Equilibrium terms-of-trade limits FIGURE 2.2 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 17 Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions Equilibrium Terms of Trade, John Stuart Mill (1806–1873)
  • 64. Add the intensity of the trading partners’ demands Determine the actual terms of trade The theory of reciprocal demand © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 17 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 18 Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 18 TRADE CONFLICTS © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 19 Trading Under Constant-Cost Conditions
  • 65. Improvement in a nation’s terms of trade Rise in its export prices Relative to its import prices A smaller quantity of export goods sold abroad Required to obtain a given quantity of imports Deterioration in a nation’s terms of trade Rise in its import prices Relative to its export prices Purchase of a given quantity of imports Sacrifice of a greater quantity of exports © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 19 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 20 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 20 Commodity terms of trade, 2008 (2000 = 100) TABLE 2.5
  • 66. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 21 Dynamic Gains From Trade Dynamic gains from international trade More efficient use of an economy’s resources Higher output and income More saving, More investment Higher rate of economic growth Higher productivity Economies of large-scale production Increased competition © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 21 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 22 Changing Comparative Advantage Patterns of comparative advantage change over time Productivity increases Production possibilities schedule changes More output can be produced - with the same amount of resources Producers - need to hone their skills to compete in more
  • 67. profitable areas © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 22 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 23 If productivity in the Japanese computer industry grows faster than it does in the U.S. computer industry, the opportunity cost of each computer produced in the United States increases relative to the opportunity cost of the Japanese. For the United States, comparative advantage shifts from computers to autos. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 23 Changing comparative advantage FIGURE 2.3 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use
  • 68. 24 Trading Under Increasing-Cost Conditions Increasing opportunity costs Concave production possibilities schedule Bowed outward from the diagram’s origin Inputs are imperfect substitutes for each other MRT rises Absolute slope of the production possibilities schedule © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 24 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 25 Increasing opportunity costs lead to a production possibilities schedule that is concave, viewed from the diagram’s origin. The marginal rate of transformation equals the (absolute) slope of the production possibilities schedule at a particular point along the schedule. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 25 Production possibilities schedule; increasing-cost conditions FIGURE 2.4
  • 69. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 26 Trading Under Increasing-Cost Conditions Increasing-Cost Trading Case One country specializes in producing one good The other country specializes in producing the other good Specialization continues in both nations until Relative cost of one good is identical in both nations One country’s exports of one good are precisely equal to the other country’s imports of the good Same domestic rates of transformation © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 26 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 27 With increasing opportunity costs, comparative product prices in each country are determined by both supply and demand factors. A country tends to partially specialize in the product of its comparative advantage under increasing cost conditions.
  • 70. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 27 Trading under increasing opportunity costs FIGURE 2.5 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 28 Trading Under Increasing-Cost Conditions Production gains More of each good is being produced Consumption gains Both countries consume more of at least one good The trade triangle Exports, imports, and terms of trade Same for both countries © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 28 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 71. or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 29 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 29 Gains from specialization and trade: increasing opportunity costs TABLE 2.6 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 30 The Impact of Trade on Jobs Extent to which an economy is open Influences the mix of jobs within an economy Can cause dislocation in certain areas or industries Little effect on the overall level of employment © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 30 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 72. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 31 Increased international trade tends to neither inhibit overall job creation nor contribute to an increase in the overall rate of unemployment. As seen in the figure, the increase in U.S. imports as a percentage of GDP over the past several decades has not led to any significant trend in the overall unemployment for Americans. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 31 The impact of trade on jobs FIGURE 2.6 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 32 Comparative Advantage Extended to Many Products and Countries More Than Two Products Comparative advantage Rank the goods by the degree of comparative cost Each country exports the product(s) Has the greatest comparative advantage Each country imports the product(s)
  • 73. Has greatest comparative disadvantage Cutoff point between exports and imports Relative strength of international demand © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 32 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 33 When a large number of goods is produced by two countries, operation of the comparative-advantage principle requires the goods to be ranked by the degree of comparative cost. Each country exports the product(s) in which its comparative advantage is strongest. Each country imports the product(s) in which its comparative advantage is weakest. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 33 Hypothetical spectrum of comparative advantages, U.S. and Japan FIGURE 2.7
  • 74. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 34 Comparative Advantage Extended to Many Products and Countries More Than Two Countries Multilateral trading relations Bilateral balance should not pertain to any two trading partners Trade surplus With trading partners that buy a lot of the things that it supplies at low cost Trade deficit With trading partners that are low-cost suppliers of goods that it imports intensely © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 34 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 35 When many countries are involved in international trade, the home country will likely find it advantageous to enter into multilateral trading relations with a number of countries. This figure illustrates the process of multilateral trade for the United States, Japan, and OPEC.
  • 75. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 35 Multilateral trade: U.S., Japan, and OPEC FIGURE 2.8 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 36 Outsourcing: Pros & Cons Pros reduced costs and increased competitiveness for domestic companies increased exports to countries in which new jobs are created higher level of repatriated earnings reinvested into domestic economy Cons reduced employment in specific industries lower wages, particularly for unskilled workers © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 36
  • 76. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 37 National Competitive Advantage: Porter’s Diamond Existing theories of international trade can be argued to be too narrow and inadequate. Porter’s theory focuses on explaining the success of a particular industry of a country. Rather than Comparative Advantage, the theories of Porter [Michael E. Porter (1990), The Competitive Advantage of Nations, New York: Free Press] and others focus on Competitive Advantage, which refers to industries (groups of firms) producing goods and services of greater value than their international competitors, where value is determined by a range of attributes in addition to lower relative costs of production/higher relative factor abundance. Many countries with similar relative factor endowments have competitive advantages in different industries – e.g.s: Switzerland excels in precision instruments (such as watches), Germany in chemical industry, and Japan in household electronic products. Four attributes promoting or impeding the creation of competitive advantage: Factor Endowments such as skilled labour or the infrastructure (power for IT industry) necessary to compete in a given industry Demand Conditions—nature of home demand for the industry’s products Related and Supporting Industries—supplier industries and related industries that are internationally competitive Firm Strategy, Structure and Rivalry—conditions in the country determining how firms are created, organized and managed and the nature of domestic rivalry.
  • 77. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 38 National Competitive Advantage: Porter’s Diamond © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 39 National Competitive Advantage: Porter’s Diamond Challenges of Globalization Rapid increases in international economic activity, including the communications revolution, has reduced the intra- country significance of Porter’s Diamond – factors above still important but globally, not just domestically. E.g.; Demand conditions attribute – the nature of international demand for the industry’s products is important also. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 78. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 40 Porter’s Diamond Criticism on Porter's national diamond model resolves around a number of assumptions that underlie it. As described by Davies and Ellis: "sustained prosperity may be achieved without a nation becoming 'innovation-driven', strong 'diamonds' are not in place in the home bases of many internationally successful industries and inward foreign direct investment does not indicate a lack of 'competitiveness' or low national productivity". Porter generalised from the American case; for developing countries the model may be wrong. Michael E. Porter (1990), The Competitive Advantage of Nations, New York: Free Press Wheat MRT Autos D = D 100 Export Price Index Terms of trade = Import Price Index ´ Factor Endowments Firm Strategy, Structure and Rivalry
  • 79. Demand Conditions Related and Supporting Industries Factor Endowments Related and Supporting Industries Firm Strategy, Structure and Rivalry Demand Conditions © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 1
  • 80. 3001IBA Lecture Notes Week 1 Text: Carbaugh R J (2013), International Economics, 14th Edition The International Economy and Globalization © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 1 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 2 LECTURE NOTES – INTRODUCTION - WEEK 1 CONTENTS Discussion of course details from Course Profile including aims, content, & assessment The International Economy and Globalization Global Financial Crisis and Recovery © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 3 Course Content
  • 81. Course examines how nations and companies promote and retain competitiveness in a globalized world economy. National level focus on international trade and national competitiveness. Company level focus on company operations, participating strategies and competitiveness. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 4 Learning Objectives Explain globalization Discuss the importance of globalization Discuss criticisms of globalization Briefly describe the Global Financial Crisis and Recovery Discuss history of international trade – Mercantilists, David Hume, Adam Smith and Absolute Advantage Define the principle of Comparative Advantage (CA) © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 5 The International Economy High degree of economic interdependence Steps toward international cooperation Mutually advantageous for trading nations
  • 82. Specialization, efficiencies of large scale production Wider variety of products at lower cost Protectionist pressures Financial flows and exchange rates Developing nations Liberalized trading system - serves to keep the developing nations in poverty? © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 5 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 6 Globalization of Economic Activity Globalization A (continuing) process of greater interdependence among nations (countries and their citizens) International flows Goods and services People Investments in equipment, factories, etc.; financial investments in stocks, bonds, etc. Non-economic elements Culture and the environment © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for