Hans Rosling predicts that Asia will rise to power again by 2042. He bases this on historical and economic data showing that Asia, specifically China and India, are growing rapidly as their populations gain access to health care and education. However, he worries that conflict could erupt if power shifts too quickly from the West to Asia without open communication and understanding between the cultures. If cooperation is established, Rosling believes Asia's rise will benefit the entire world through increased global prosperity and economic interdependence.

1. -634365-86995Hans Rosling: Asia's rise -- how and whenハンス・ロスリング：アジアの台頭は果たしていつか？http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/hans_rosling_asia_s_rise_how_and_when.html<br />PARAGRAPH 1 : Once upon a time…<br />1) When Hans Rosling was 24, where did he go to study?2) What happened during that time which changed his mindset forever?<br />PARAGRAPH 2 : You see, I was a study nerd…<br />1) In Sweden, was Mr. Rosling one of the best students in class?2) How about when he came to India?3) Who studied more…Indian students or Swedish students?<br />PARAGRAPH 3: And that, to me, that personal experience…<br />1) What surprising realization did he have?<br />PARAGRAPH 4 : And I will now, here, onstage…<br />1) What is Hans Rosling trying to predict?2) Has Asia ever been the leading part of the world before?<br />1) What new technology was available in 1858?2) What did President Buchanan say to Queen Victoria at the end of their “tweet”?PARAGRAPH 5 : But I will start with a historical background…<br />PARAGRAPH 6 : Those are nice words…<br />1) What happened in India in 1848?2) After this event, for how many more years was India forced to be part of the British Empire?<br />PARAGRAPH 7 : 1858 in China was the victory…<br />1) What happened in China in 1858?2) What did foreign people trade in order to get Chinese goods?Think on your own…3) Opium is a drug. What effect do you think this kind of trade had on Chinese society?<br />PARAGRAPH 8 : In 1858 in Japan…<br />1) What happened in Japan in 1858?2) How was Japan different from India and China?<br />PARAGRAPH 9 : And let’s see how much…<br />1) Look at the Gapminder Graph.2) What does the x-axis represent?3) What does the y-axis represent?<br />PARAGRAPH 10 : And we will see…<br />1) Were India and China ever richer than Europe?2) Why does Mr. Rosling say that national sovereignty was good for Japan?<br />PARAGRAPH 11 : And it’s the new century now…<br />1) What happens to life expectancy and economy when there is a war?2) When did India become a sovereign nation again?<br />40513003175<br />PARAGRAPH 12 : In 1949 we saw the emergence…<br />1) What happened after China became (more) independent in 1949?2) What happened during Mao Tse Tung’s Great Leap Forward (central planning)?<br />3937000-568960PARAGRAPH 13 : And we came to 1978…<br />1) What did China’s new leader, Deng Xiaoping, want with India?2) Were the economic reforms in China and India successful?<br />PARAGRAPH 14 : Now what does it mean…<br />1) Are all areas in China’s economy growing at the same rate?<br />PARAGRAPH 15 : And if I would also look at India…<br />1) Kerala and the United States are similar in what way?2) How are they different?<br />PARAGRAPH 16 : No, there is one more inequity…<br />1) What is the business opportunity that Mr. Rosling suggests for the people of Kerala?<br />PARAGRAPH 17 : Now here we have…<br />1) What is happening with health and education in most of the world?<br />PARAGRAPH 18 : Now, back to my projections…<br />1) How does he change his graph now?2) The projection for 2014 is based on data from what group?<br />PARAGRAPH 19 : Now, the question is…<br />1) How can you describe the recent growth in the United States and Great Britain? (rapid ・ humble)<br />PARAGRAPH 20 : I can compare to Japan…<br />1) What was Japan’s economic growth like when it was catching up?2) What is Japan’s economic growth like now?<br />PARAGRAPH 21 : I think I’m in a difficult position here…<br />1) What is the big obstacle (biggest challenge) to bringing all of the people in China and India into growth and prosperity?<br />PARAGRAPH 22 : You know the climate…<br />1) Why do Indian climate experts say that action has to be taken to stop climate change?<br />PARAGRAPH 23 : But what I’m really worried about…<br />1) What is Hans Rosling very worried about when/if power shifts away from the west and back to Asia?2) What are two reasons that he gives for why a big war might start?3) He says always avoid war… why? (other than the obvious fact that it’s not good to hurt other people)4) If these problems that he mentions can be avoided, what does he say will happen?<br />PARAGRAPH 24 : And that vision that I got…<br />When does he predict that Asia will rise to power again?* *(Yes, he’s a little bit joking about the EXACT date, but generally he believes this projection…)<br />New VocabularyJapanese使い方 How it was used...1)2)3)4)5)6)7)8)9)10)<br />