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10 things 
statistics 
taught us about 
big data
Research Blogging Teaching
Research Blogging Teaching 
jtleek.com
Research Blogging Teaching 
simplystatistics.org
Research Blogging Teaching 
jhudatascience.org
from: jtleek@gmail.com 
Roger let me know you gave him a 
ballpark figure for the number of 
students registered for his course 
"Computing for Data Analysis”. Could 
you give me an idea of how many have 
registered for my course "Data Analysis?”
from: pangwei@coursera.org 
Hi Jeff, 
7,000 students! It's pretty awesome. 
(You'll be able to check this out yourself 
next week, once the class sites are up.)
from: rdpeng@gmail.com 
You are f**ed. 
-roger
Enrollment 
Time
Enrollment 
Time
Enrollment 
Time
9 classes 
1 month long 
Every month
Enrollment 
Time
1,000,000+ 
Enrolled
http://goo.gl/vQK0RH
http://goo.gl/xWAlPi
10 statistics things 
1. Problem first, not solution backward 
2. Define a metric for success first 
3. Analyze interactively 
4. Plot your data first and always 
5. Know your real sample size 
6. Watch out for confounders 
7. Correct for multiple testing 
8. Average many predictors 
9. Smooth over time and space 
10. Have others check your work 
http://goo.gl/wTAuvR
Problem first 
Not solution backward
http://goo.gl/3vA1OB
http://hyperboleandahalf.blogspot.com/
http://cran.r-project.org//
http://bioconductor.org/
Define a metric for success 
Before you start
http://www.agendia.com/managed-care/breast-cancer/mammaprint/
89% sensitivity 
42% specificity 
65% accuracy
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2164/14/336/figure/F3
Analyze 
Interactively
http://had.co.nz/
https://twitter.com/EllieMcDonagh/status/469184554549248000
http://www.chrisstucchio.com/blog/2013/hadoop_hatred.html
Plot your data 
First and always
http://www.chrisstucchio.com/blog/2013/hadoop_hatred.html
h$p://www.biostat.wisc.edu/~kbroman/topten_worstgraphs/
Know your real 
sample size
Watch out for 
confounders
http://xkcd.com/552/
shoe size & literacy
Correct for 
multiple testing
http://xkcd.com/882/
http://xkcd.com/882/
http://xkcd.com/882/
Average 
many predictors
5 independent, 
70% accurate classifiers 
10 (.7^3)(.3^2)+5(.7^4)(.3)+(.7^5)= 
83.7% accuracy 
http://www.cbcb.umd.edu/~hcorrada/PracticalML/pdf/lectures/EnsembleMethods.pdf 
Adapted from Todd Halloway
101 independent, 
70% accurate classifiers 
99.9% accuracy 
http://www.cbcb.umd.edu/~hcorrada/PracticalML/pdf/lectures/EnsembleMethods.pdf 
Adapted from Todd Halloway
http://www.cbcb.umd.edu/~hcorrada/PracticalML/pdf/lectures/EnsembleMethods.pdf 
Adapted from Todd Halloway
Smooth (average) 
over time and space
http://simplystatistics.org/2014/02/13/loess-explained-in-a-gif/
http://fivethirtyeight.com/
Have others 
check your work
10 statistics things 
1. Problem first, not solution backward 
2. Define a metric for success first 
3. Analyze interactively 
4. Plot your data first and always 
5. Know your real sample size 
6. Watch out for confounders 
7. Correct for multiple testing 
8. Average many predictors 
9. Smooth over time and space 
10. Have others check your work 
http://goo.gl/wTAuvR
jtleek.com/talks

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