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Small Business Tips: Budgeting and Forecasting
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Small Business Tips:
Budgeting and Forecasting
Dawn Gainer, CPA
March 9, 2016
3
AND FORECASTING
BENEFITS OF BUDGETING
Facilitates strategic thinking
• Where do I plan to go, and how
will I get there?
• Where will I focus my marketing
dollars?
• Will I need to purchase equipment
to achieve my goals?
• Will I need to add staff?
4
AND FORECASTING
BENEFITS OF BUDGETING
Deepens understanding of the costs that drive your business
• Identify fixed costs
• Identify variable costs that will fluctuate with the level of sales
(e.g., wages, materials)
• Review all costs for possible reduction or elimination
5
AND FORECASTING
BENEFITS OF BUDGETING
Aids in planning – encourages proactive thinking
• Allows businesses to capitalize on opportunities
• Enables strategy or direction change based on market
conditions or actual experience
• Helps to identify the appropriate level of growth, and a plan
for achieving that growth
• Improves ability to take advantage of a rising trend
• Allows businesses to anticipate limitations and plan ways to
overcome them
6
AND FORECASTING
BENEFITS OF BUDGETING
Aids in decision making
• Timing of purchases
• Buy vs. lease decisions
• Launching/discontinuing a service
or product line
• Marketing/advertising
• Hiring staff vs. outsourcing
7
AND FORECASTING
BENEFITS OF BUDGETING
Provides accountability and motivation
• Owners
• Managers
• Sales force
• Owners and employees should be held accountable for
setting and achieving the goals of the organization
• Posting visual goals keeps them front-of-mind
8
BUDGET VS. FORECAST
Budget
• What you plan to have happen; a goal
• Usually static
• One- to three-year time period, can be up to five years
• Challenging goal; but attainable
• Versions (worst case, middle of the road, best case)
9
BUDGET VS. FORECAST
Forecast
• What you think will really happen; not a goal
• Periodically revised based on actual results
• May use budget as a starting point
• Usually covers shorter duration – e.g., one year
• Can be rolling – always covering the next 12-18 months
10
WHO SHOULD BUDGET?
• All businesses
• All business owners
• Do not delegate this responsibility to the accountants
• Involve owners, managers, sales people, office clerks—all
levels of staff
11
WHAT SHOULD BE BUDGETED?
Revenue and Expenses
• Revenue is the starting point – can be total revenue/sales or
by product/service line
• Expense budget should focus on cost drivers
• Variable expenses – those that fluctuate with level of
revenue should be adjusted according to revenue budget
• Fixed expenses should be adjusted for known increases
(e.g., rent increases, insurance rate increases, etc.)
12
WHAT SHOULD BE BUDGETED?
Staff/Employees
• The number of required employees to achieve goals
• Pay increases for existing staff
• Benefits – health insurance increases, 401(k) matching
increases
• Additional wages for new staff
• Subcontractor wages
13
WHAT SHOULD BE BUDGETED?
Cash Flow
• Insufficient cash is bad; excessive cash is bad
• Budgeting enables maintenance of just the right amount of cash
for your business
• Not all cash inflows and outflows will be captured with only a
revenue and expense budget
• Inflows include customer receipts, draws on loans or lines of
credit, capital/equity contributions, interest income
• Outflows include payables, payments on loans or lines of credit,
owners’ draws, capital purchases
14
AND FORECAST
HOW TO BUDGET
Budget
• Does not have to be elaborate or detailed
• Prior year actual results are a good starting point
• Can be monthly, quarterly or annual
• Document assumptions used when building the budget
• Compare actual results to budget periodically
• Research and understand variances
15
AND FORECAST
HOW TO BUDGET
Forecast
• Use budget as starting point
• More beneficial if monthly or
quarterly
• Roll in actual results as they occur
• Adjust future months/quarters
based on current trends
16
AND FORECAST
HOW TO BUDGET
Bottom-Up or Top-Down Approach
• Bottom-Up – gather plans/goals from managers, sales
force and employees and combine for total budget
• Top-Down – set budget for total organization and delegate
determination of how to get there to employees/staff
• Can be applied to smaller businesses with little or no staff as
well – top-down starts with revenue; bottom-up starts with
break-even point or desired profit
17
TOOLS AND RESOURCES
• Budgeting and forecasting software
— PlanGuru, QuickBooks
• Excel or piece of paper
• Industry trends and benchmarks
• Accountants and financial advisors
• Business coaches
• Peers and other business owners
18
CONCLUSION
• Don’t just set the budget aside and never look at it again
• Review actual results to the budget periodically – focus on
the future, not the past
• Analyze variances and adjust your business plan/forecast
accordingly
• Take action and don’t make excuses!
19
QUESTIONS?
Dawn Gainer, CPA
Managing Director, Small Business Services
Skoda Minotti
440-605-7108
dgainer@skodaminotti.com

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Small Business Tips: Budgeting and Forecasting

  • 1. - 1 - Small Business Tips: Budgeting and Forecasting Upcoming Events: • Webinar: How to Survive Today’s Volatile Market  April 21 • Business Valuation in Exit Planning  May 10, Skoda Minotti - Akron WELCOME! Follow us on:
  • 2. Small Business Tips: Budgeting and Forecasting Dawn Gainer, CPA March 9, 2016
  • 3. 3 AND FORECASTING BENEFITS OF BUDGETING Facilitates strategic thinking • Where do I plan to go, and how will I get there? • Where will I focus my marketing dollars? • Will I need to purchase equipment to achieve my goals? • Will I need to add staff?
  • 4. 4 AND FORECASTING BENEFITS OF BUDGETING Deepens understanding of the costs that drive your business • Identify fixed costs • Identify variable costs that will fluctuate with the level of sales (e.g., wages, materials) • Review all costs for possible reduction or elimination
  • 5. 5 AND FORECASTING BENEFITS OF BUDGETING Aids in planning – encourages proactive thinking • Allows businesses to capitalize on opportunities • Enables strategy or direction change based on market conditions or actual experience • Helps to identify the appropriate level of growth, and a plan for achieving that growth • Improves ability to take advantage of a rising trend • Allows businesses to anticipate limitations and plan ways to overcome them
  • 6. 6 AND FORECASTING BENEFITS OF BUDGETING Aids in decision making • Timing of purchases • Buy vs. lease decisions • Launching/discontinuing a service or product line • Marketing/advertising • Hiring staff vs. outsourcing
  • 7. 7 AND FORECASTING BENEFITS OF BUDGETING Provides accountability and motivation • Owners • Managers • Sales force • Owners and employees should be held accountable for setting and achieving the goals of the organization • Posting visual goals keeps them front-of-mind
  • 8. 8 BUDGET VS. FORECAST Budget • What you plan to have happen; a goal • Usually static • One- to three-year time period, can be up to five years • Challenging goal; but attainable • Versions (worst case, middle of the road, best case)
  • 9. 9 BUDGET VS. FORECAST Forecast • What you think will really happen; not a goal • Periodically revised based on actual results • May use budget as a starting point • Usually covers shorter duration – e.g., one year • Can be rolling – always covering the next 12-18 months
  • 10. 10 WHO SHOULD BUDGET? • All businesses • All business owners • Do not delegate this responsibility to the accountants • Involve owners, managers, sales people, office clerks—all levels of staff
  • 11. 11 WHAT SHOULD BE BUDGETED? Revenue and Expenses • Revenue is the starting point – can be total revenue/sales or by product/service line • Expense budget should focus on cost drivers • Variable expenses – those that fluctuate with level of revenue should be adjusted according to revenue budget • Fixed expenses should be adjusted for known increases (e.g., rent increases, insurance rate increases, etc.)
  • 12. 12 WHAT SHOULD BE BUDGETED? Staff/Employees • The number of required employees to achieve goals • Pay increases for existing staff • Benefits – health insurance increases, 401(k) matching increases • Additional wages for new staff • Subcontractor wages
  • 13. 13 WHAT SHOULD BE BUDGETED? Cash Flow • Insufficient cash is bad; excessive cash is bad • Budgeting enables maintenance of just the right amount of cash for your business • Not all cash inflows and outflows will be captured with only a revenue and expense budget • Inflows include customer receipts, draws on loans or lines of credit, capital/equity contributions, interest income • Outflows include payables, payments on loans or lines of credit, owners’ draws, capital purchases
  • 14. 14 AND FORECAST HOW TO BUDGET Budget • Does not have to be elaborate or detailed • Prior year actual results are a good starting point • Can be monthly, quarterly or annual • Document assumptions used when building the budget • Compare actual results to budget periodically • Research and understand variances
  • 15. 15 AND FORECAST HOW TO BUDGET Forecast • Use budget as starting point • More beneficial if monthly or quarterly • Roll in actual results as they occur • Adjust future months/quarters based on current trends
  • 16. 16 AND FORECAST HOW TO BUDGET Bottom-Up or Top-Down Approach • Bottom-Up – gather plans/goals from managers, sales force and employees and combine for total budget • Top-Down – set budget for total organization and delegate determination of how to get there to employees/staff • Can be applied to smaller businesses with little or no staff as well – top-down starts with revenue; bottom-up starts with break-even point or desired profit
  • 17. 17 TOOLS AND RESOURCES • Budgeting and forecasting software — PlanGuru, QuickBooks • Excel or piece of paper • Industry trends and benchmarks • Accountants and financial advisors • Business coaches • Peers and other business owners
  • 18. 18 CONCLUSION • Don’t just set the budget aside and never look at it again • Review actual results to the budget periodically – focus on the future, not the past • Analyze variances and adjust your business plan/forecast accordingly • Take action and don’t make excuses!
  • 19. 19 QUESTIONS? Dawn Gainer, CPA Managing Director, Small Business Services Skoda Minotti 440-605-7108 dgainer@skodaminotti.com