SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 12
Understanding inland fisheries production using
household consumption and expenditure surveys
Simon Funge-Smith
Secretary, Asia-Pacific fishery Commission (APFIC)
FAO Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific
We know inland fisheries are
important in some Asian
countries
• Inland fisheries a source of food and
food security throughout the Asian
region
– 9 Asian countries in top 16 inland
fisheries producers
– 11 Asian countries produce 65.5 % of
reported global inland fisheries
production
• Often overlooked
– national statistics
– considerations of food security
• Inland fisheries are a vital part of
some rural people's livelihoods
– a major nutritional role
– especially for vulnerable populations
Roadside sale of
dried fish
Lao PDR
Inland statistics and valuations
are weak
• Monitoring of inland fisheries remains
rather poor
• Many countries reports are estimates,
not based on actual measures of
production
– unreliable statistics
– reduces confidence in the data
– prevents effective analysis at the sub-
national level
• Often an assumption that production is
homogeneous
• Actually highly variable sub-nationally
– downscaling important for assessing
importance, role and vulnerabilities
– as well as potential impacts
• Leads to mis-directed or uninformed
policy
Fermented
fish “ngapi”
Myanmar
Household consumption and
expenditure surveys
• Consumption of fish can be picked
up by national household surveys
– statistically significant
– conducted regularly
– high level of statistical accuracy
• Can be “triangulated” with other
data
– production/trade stats
– population census
– agricultural census Tonle Sap
flooded village
Cambodia
Surveys provide idea of
sub-national variability
• Provide detail on consumption
patterns and habits
– detail on commodities and food
types consumed and purchased
– contribution of fish to total protein
consumption
• Downscaled information by
– district/province/region
– urban rural
– by income bands
• Can inform fisheries and natural
resource policies
– that impact vulnerable segments of
the population
– fishery dependent areas Water snail dredging
Tonle Sap, Cambodia
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1950 1970 1990 2010
Example - validating inland
production in Myanmar
• Large annual increases in reported
inland capture production
– 389 percent over a decade
– “recognition of historic under-
estimation”
– no statistical basis for annual increases?
– no natural inter-annual variation
• Potential to validate with household
consumption survey?
– 75% of fish from inland or estuarine
waters
– majority from capture fisheries.
– inland capture fisheries ~750,000 tonnes
• Reported production over-estimated?
– household consumption surveys often
under-estimate consumption….
• But..unlikley to be 50% off?
750,000 tonnes
Example - Cambodia
• Massive inland fisheries
• Huge increases in late 1990’s
– Inclusion of “previously
unreported small scale
fisheries”
• Reported inland production
~450,000 tonnes
• Consumption surveys help
validate massively increased
production estimate…
– total national fish consumption
~890,344 tonnes
– 71% of fish from inland
– Inland ~630,000 tonnes
• So current reports may still
be under-estimates!
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
1975 1985 1995 2005 2015
Lao PDR - fishery or
aquaculture?
• Statistics reported to FAO indicate
– aquaculture provides 75% of fish
– inland capture fishery only 25% of
fish
• Household consumption survey
indicates source of fish, locations
– Aquaculture only 22%
– inland fisheries 88 %
• Fisheries probably grossly under
reported and undervalued
– dependency varies within country
– implications for water policy
• Consumption figures already
exceed national reported
production
India - inland fishery production estimates periodically
reset?
• 13 cases of inter-annual variations >20%
– Sometimes as much as 40%
• Not really explained by drought/flood years?
• “Resetting” by national statistical reporters?
• Surveys may help validate production totals
– Reduce fluctuations
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Consumption surveys have
limitations
• Can be frustrating
– Generally under-estimation?
• Recall is vulnerable to biases
• Distinguishing source of fish difficult
– Can be guessed or estimated by product
form or species
• Seasonal data may not capture highs
and lows
– surveys conducted in dry season for easy
access, may miss monsoon peak production
period
• May need some interpretation to
account for conversions
– under- over- estimation errors
– e.g. adjust for fresh weights of reported
dried and processed foods
Fish traps
Mekong river,
Lao PDR
Improving the value of surveys
• Getting the sampling and
questions right
– yields valuable additional
information on sources of products
– e.g. aquaculture, inland fishery,
marine fishery
– rule out seasonality
• May support indicative of proxy
estimates of inland fishery
production
– Important where inland fishery
production statistics are estimated
with little or no basis
Mixed wild &
stocked fish
Aquaculture
Summary
• Inland statistics are weak
– substantial heterogeneity in national production
– lack of understanding gives misleading policy
• Household consumption and expenditure
surveys
– can give excellent idea of sub-national
consumption of fish
– can validate erroneous production estimates
– can support indicative of proxy estimates of inland
fishery production
• Important where inland fishery production
statistics are estimated with little or no basis
• They do have weaknesses
– may be less good for splitting fishery/aquaculture
– need to account for wet weight conversions
• Getting the questions right reduces errors and
gives information on sources of production

More Related Content

Similar to Understanding inland fisheries production using household consumption and expenditure surveys

ECoPA presentation on eco- fishing workshop
ECoPA presentation on eco- fishing workshopECoPA presentation on eco- fishing workshop
ECoPA presentation on eco- fishing workshop
ECoPAn
 
Aquaculture presentation in Al-Quds University by Dr.Mutaz Qutob
Aquaculture presentation in Al-Quds University by Dr.Mutaz QutobAquaculture presentation in Al-Quds University by Dr.Mutaz Qutob
Aquaculture presentation in Al-Quds University by Dr.Mutaz Qutob
Anas Noor
 
FAO Fishing Capacity Asia Final
FAO Fishing Capacity Asia FinalFAO Fishing Capacity Asia Final
FAO Fishing Capacity Asia Final
Robert Lee
 

Similar to Understanding inland fisheries production using household consumption and expenditure surveys (20)

Asia-Pacific Fishery Commission Regional overview of capture fisheries in As...
Asia-Pacific Fishery Commission Regional overview of capture fisheries in As...Asia-Pacific Fishery Commission Regional overview of capture fisheries in As...
Asia-Pacific Fishery Commission Regional overview of capture fisheries in As...
 
APFIC Regional overview of marine fisheries (2014)
APFIC Regional overview of marine fisheries (2014)APFIC Regional overview of marine fisheries (2014)
APFIC Regional overview of marine fisheries (2014)
 
The status of Asian fisheries – meeting the demands for food and feeds
The status of Asian fisheries – meeting the demands for food and feeds The status of Asian fisheries – meeting the demands for food and feeds
The status of Asian fisheries – meeting the demands for food and feeds
 
Asia-Pacific Fishery Commission Regional overview of capture fisheries in As...
Asia-Pacific Fishery Commission Regional overview of capture fisheries in As...Asia-Pacific Fishery Commission Regional overview of capture fisheries in As...
Asia-Pacific Fishery Commission Regional overview of capture fisheries in As...
 
Case Studies in Fisheries
Case Studies in FisheriesCase Studies in Fisheries
Case Studies in Fisheries
 
Case examples of IUU fishing in the Asian region – links to Port State Measures
Case examples of IUU fishing in the Asian region – links to  Port State MeasuresCase examples of IUU fishing in the Asian region – links to  Port State Measures
Case examples of IUU fishing in the Asian region – links to Port State Measures
 
Aquaculture Growth Potential in the Philippines.pdf
Aquaculture Growth Potential in the Philippines.pdfAquaculture Growth Potential in the Philippines.pdf
Aquaculture Growth Potential in the Philippines.pdf
 
Managing tropical trawl fisheries Development of the APFIC regional guidelines
Managing tropical trawl fisheries Development of the APFIC regional guidelinesManaging tropical trawl fisheries Development of the APFIC regional guidelines
Managing tropical trawl fisheries Development of the APFIC regional guidelines
 
Fisheries management (Intermediate Marine Science)
Fisheries management (Intermediate Marine Science)Fisheries management (Intermediate Marine Science)
Fisheries management (Intermediate Marine Science)
 
ECoPA presentation on eco- fishing workshop
ECoPA presentation on eco- fishing workshopECoPA presentation on eco- fishing workshop
ECoPA presentation on eco- fishing workshop
 
Aquaculture presentation in Al-Quds University by Dr.Mutaz Qutob
Aquaculture presentation in Al-Quds University by Dr.Mutaz QutobAquaculture presentation in Al-Quds University by Dr.Mutaz Qutob
Aquaculture presentation in Al-Quds University by Dr.Mutaz Qutob
 
Tim Pickering: Aquaculture development: trends and successes in the Pacific
Tim Pickering: Aquaculture development: trends and successes in the PacificTim Pickering: Aquaculture development: trends and successes in the Pacific
Tim Pickering: Aquaculture development: trends and successes in the Pacific
 
Small-Scale Fisheries Research in Timor-Leste
Small-Scale Fisheries Research in Timor-LesteSmall-Scale Fisheries Research in Timor-Leste
Small-Scale Fisheries Research in Timor-Leste
 
Fisheries and Aquaculture Futures in Africa
Fisheries and Aquaculture Futures in AfricaFisheries and Aquaculture Futures in Africa
Fisheries and Aquaculture Futures in Africa
 
FAO Fishing Capacity Asia Final
FAO Fishing Capacity Asia FinalFAO Fishing Capacity Asia Final
FAO Fishing Capacity Asia Final
 
Fishing Capacity in Asia
Fishing Capacity in AsiaFishing Capacity in Asia
Fishing Capacity in Asia
 
State of world fisheries and international fight against IUU fishing
State of world fisheries and international fight against IUU fishing�State of world fisheries and international fight against IUU fishing�
State of world fisheries and international fight against IUU fishing
 
Socioeconomy Analysis and Livelihoods of the Fishery Villages in Ayeyarwady D...
Socioeconomy Analysis and Livelihoods of the Fishery Villages in Ayeyarwady D...Socioeconomy Analysis and Livelihoods of the Fishery Villages in Ayeyarwady D...
Socioeconomy Analysis and Livelihoods of the Fishery Villages in Ayeyarwady D...
 
Philippines- Aquaculture and Fisheries
Philippines- Aquaculture and FisheriesPhilippines- Aquaculture and Fisheries
Philippines- Aquaculture and Fisheries
 
Blue facts of fisheries
Blue facts of fisheriesBlue facts of fisheries
Blue facts of fisheries
 

More from Simon Funge-Smith

More from Simon Funge-Smith (16)

1. Essential EAFm (inland fisheries) : Course overview
1. Essential EAFm  (inland fisheries) : Course overview 1. Essential EAFm  (inland fisheries) : Course overview
1. Essential EAFm (inland fisheries) : Course overview
 
Inland fish and food security
Inland fish and food security Inland fish and food security
Inland fish and food security
 
Gender in inland fisheries - at a glance
Gender in inland fisheries - at a glanceGender in inland fisheries - at a glance
Gender in inland fisheries - at a glance
 
Inland recreational fishing - at a glance
Inland recreational fishing - at a glanceInland recreational fishing - at a glance
Inland recreational fishing - at a glance
 
Mekong River inland fisheries
Mekong River inland fisheriesMekong River inland fisheries
Mekong River inland fisheries
 
Fishing capacity management in Asia : The FAO IPOA–Capacity
Fishing capacity management  in Asia: The FAO IPOA–Capacity Fishing capacity management  in Asia: The FAO IPOA–Capacity
Fishing capacity management in Asia : The FAO IPOA–Capacity
 
Update on combating illegal fishing in Asia
Update on combating illegal fishing in Asia Update on combating illegal fishing in Asia
Update on combating illegal fishing in Asia
 
Introduction to illegal fishing in Asia and the Pacific
Introduction to illegal fishing in Asia and the PacificIntroduction to illegal fishing in Asia and the Pacific
Introduction to illegal fishing in Asia and the Pacific
 
Implementing the ecosystem approach to fisheries in the small-scale fisheries...
Implementing the ecosystem approach to fisheries in the small-scale fisheries...Implementing the ecosystem approach to fisheries in the small-scale fisheries...
Implementing the ecosystem approach to fisheries in the small-scale fisheries...
 
An introduction to the climate change and implications for the shrimp culture...
An introduction to the climate change and implications for the shrimp culture...An introduction to the climate change and implications for the shrimp culture...
An introduction to the climate change and implications for the shrimp culture...
 
An introduction to the climate change and likely impacts on the APFIC region
An introduction to the climate change and likely impacts on the APFIC region An introduction to the climate change and likely impacts on the APFIC region
An introduction to the climate change and likely impacts on the APFIC region
 
Introducing Essential EAFM: Developing capacity in the ecosystem approach to ...
Introducing Essential EAFM: Developing capacity in the ecosystem approach to ...Introducing Essential EAFM: Developing capacity in the ecosystem approach to ...
Introducing Essential EAFM: Developing capacity in the ecosystem approach to ...
 
Regional Fisheries Livelihoods Programme for South and Southeast Asia
Regional Fisheries Livelihoods Programme for South and Southeast AsiaRegional Fisheries Livelihoods Programme for South and Southeast Asia
Regional Fisheries Livelihoods Programme for South and Southeast Asia
 
Regional overview of fisheries and aquaculture in Asia and the Pacific (2012)
Regional overview of fisheries and aquaculture in Asia and the Pacific (2012)Regional overview of fisheries and aquaculture in Asia and the Pacific (2012)
Regional overview of fisheries and aquaculture in Asia and the Pacific (2012)
 
Combatting IUU fishing in ASEAN - the FAO IPOA and Port State Measures Agre...
Combatting IUU fishing  in ASEAN - the FAO IPOA and  Port State Measures Agre...Combatting IUU fishing  in ASEAN - the FAO IPOA and  Port State Measures Agre...
Combatting IUU fishing in ASEAN - the FAO IPOA and Port State Measures Agre...
 
Fisheries reform in Asia - talk to Philanthropic donors meeting
Fisheries reform in  Asia -  talk to Philanthropic donors meetingFisheries reform in  Asia -  talk to Philanthropic donors meeting
Fisheries reform in Asia - talk to Philanthropic donors meeting
 

Recently uploaded

VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 BookingVIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
dharasingh5698
 
All Types👩Of Sex Call Girls In Mohali 9053900678 Romance Service Mohali Call ...
All Types👩Of Sex Call Girls In Mohali 9053900678 Romance Service Mohali Call ...All Types👩Of Sex Call Girls In Mohali 9053900678 Romance Service Mohali Call ...
All Types👩Of Sex Call Girls In Mohali 9053900678 Romance Service Mohali Call ...
Chandigarh Call girls 9053900678 Call girls in Chandigarh
 

Recently uploaded (20)

(ISHITA) Call Girls Service Malegaon Call Now 8250077686 Malegaon Escorts 24x7
(ISHITA) Call Girls Service Malegaon Call Now 8250077686 Malegaon Escorts 24x7(ISHITA) Call Girls Service Malegaon Call Now 8250077686 Malegaon Escorts 24x7
(ISHITA) Call Girls Service Malegaon Call Now 8250077686 Malegaon Escorts 24x7
 
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Sanghavi 8250192130 Will You Miss This Ch...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Sanghavi 8250192130 Will You Miss This Ch...The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Sanghavi 8250192130 Will You Miss This Ch...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Sanghavi 8250192130 Will You Miss This Ch...
 
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Sanaswadi 6297143586 Call Hot Indian ...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Sanaswadi  6297143586 Call Hot Indian ...Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Sanaswadi  6297143586 Call Hot Indian ...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Sanaswadi 6297143586 Call Hot Indian ...
 
VVIP Pune Call Girls Chakan WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And R...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Chakan WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And R...VVIP Pune Call Girls Chakan WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And R...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Chakan WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And R...
 
VIP Model Call Girls Sangvi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
VIP Model Call Girls Sangvi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...VIP Model Call Girls Sangvi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
VIP Model Call Girls Sangvi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
 
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 BookingVIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Vapi 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
 
Call On 6297143586 Pune Airport Call Girls In All Pune 24/7 Provide Call Wit...
Call On 6297143586  Pune Airport Call Girls In All Pune 24/7 Provide Call Wit...Call On 6297143586  Pune Airport Call Girls In All Pune 24/7 Provide Call Wit...
Call On 6297143586 Pune Airport Call Girls In All Pune 24/7 Provide Call Wit...
 
Call Girls Junnar Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Junnar Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance BookingCall Girls Junnar Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Junnar Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
 
THE PROCESS OF SALTING AND CURING...pptx
THE PROCESS OF SALTING AND CURING...pptxTHE PROCESS OF SALTING AND CURING...pptx
THE PROCESS OF SALTING AND CURING...pptx
 
VIP Model Call Girls Handewadi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K t...
VIP Model Call Girls Handewadi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K t...VIP Model Call Girls Handewadi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K t...
VIP Model Call Girls Handewadi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K t...
 
Call Girls Uruli Kanchan Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Uruli Kanchan Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance BookingCall Girls Uruli Kanchan Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Uruli Kanchan Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
 
Call Girls Sb Road Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Sb Road Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance BookingCall Girls Sb Road Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Sb Road Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
 
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Shikrapur 8250192130 Will You Miss This C...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Shikrapur 8250192130 Will You Miss This C...The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Shikrapur 8250192130 Will You Miss This C...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Shikrapur 8250192130 Will You Miss This C...
 
Kalyani Nagar & Escort Service in Pune Phone No 8005736733 Elite Escort Servi...
Kalyani Nagar & Escort Service in Pune Phone No 8005736733 Elite Escort Servi...Kalyani Nagar & Escort Service in Pune Phone No 8005736733 Elite Escort Servi...
Kalyani Nagar & Escort Service in Pune Phone No 8005736733 Elite Escort Servi...
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Yashwant Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine ...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Yashwant Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine ...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Yashwant Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine ...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Yashwant Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine ...
 
All Types👩Of Sex Call Girls In Mohali 9053900678 Romance Service Mohali Call ...
All Types👩Of Sex Call Girls In Mohali 9053900678 Romance Service Mohali Call ...All Types👩Of Sex Call Girls In Mohali 9053900678 Romance Service Mohali Call ...
All Types👩Of Sex Call Girls In Mohali 9053900678 Romance Service Mohali Call ...
 
VIP Model Call Girls Balaji Nagar ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5...
VIP Model Call Girls Balaji Nagar ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5...VIP Model Call Girls Balaji Nagar ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5...
VIP Model Call Girls Balaji Nagar ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5...
 
Get Premium Alandi Road Call Girls (8005736733) 24x7 Rate 15999 with A/c Room...
Get Premium Alandi Road Call Girls (8005736733) 24x7 Rate 15999 with A/c Room...Get Premium Alandi Road Call Girls (8005736733) 24x7 Rate 15999 with A/c Room...
Get Premium Alandi Road Call Girls (8005736733) 24x7 Rate 15999 with A/c Room...
 
Hadapsar ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For...
Hadapsar ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For...Hadapsar ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For...
Hadapsar ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready For...
 
Budhwar Peth { Russian Call Girls Pune (Adult Only) 8005736733 Escort Servic...
Budhwar Peth { Russian Call Girls Pune  (Adult Only) 8005736733 Escort Servic...Budhwar Peth { Russian Call Girls Pune  (Adult Only) 8005736733 Escort Servic...
Budhwar Peth { Russian Call Girls Pune (Adult Only) 8005736733 Escort Servic...
 

Understanding inland fisheries production using household consumption and expenditure surveys

  • 1. Understanding inland fisheries production using household consumption and expenditure surveys Simon Funge-Smith Secretary, Asia-Pacific fishery Commission (APFIC) FAO Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific
  • 2. We know inland fisheries are important in some Asian countries • Inland fisheries a source of food and food security throughout the Asian region – 9 Asian countries in top 16 inland fisheries producers – 11 Asian countries produce 65.5 % of reported global inland fisheries production • Often overlooked – national statistics – considerations of food security • Inland fisheries are a vital part of some rural people's livelihoods – a major nutritional role – especially for vulnerable populations Roadside sale of dried fish Lao PDR
  • 3. Inland statistics and valuations are weak • Monitoring of inland fisheries remains rather poor • Many countries reports are estimates, not based on actual measures of production – unreliable statistics – reduces confidence in the data – prevents effective analysis at the sub- national level • Often an assumption that production is homogeneous • Actually highly variable sub-nationally – downscaling important for assessing importance, role and vulnerabilities – as well as potential impacts • Leads to mis-directed or uninformed policy Fermented fish “ngapi” Myanmar
  • 4. Household consumption and expenditure surveys • Consumption of fish can be picked up by national household surveys – statistically significant – conducted regularly – high level of statistical accuracy • Can be “triangulated” with other data – production/trade stats – population census – agricultural census Tonle Sap flooded village Cambodia
  • 5. Surveys provide idea of sub-national variability • Provide detail on consumption patterns and habits – detail on commodities and food types consumed and purchased – contribution of fish to total protein consumption • Downscaled information by – district/province/region – urban rural – by income bands • Can inform fisheries and natural resource policies – that impact vulnerable segments of the population – fishery dependent areas Water snail dredging Tonle Sap, Cambodia
  • 6. 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1950 1970 1990 2010 Example - validating inland production in Myanmar • Large annual increases in reported inland capture production – 389 percent over a decade – “recognition of historic under- estimation” – no statistical basis for annual increases? – no natural inter-annual variation • Potential to validate with household consumption survey? – 75% of fish from inland or estuarine waters – majority from capture fisheries. – inland capture fisheries ~750,000 tonnes • Reported production over-estimated? – household consumption surveys often under-estimate consumption…. • But..unlikley to be 50% off? 750,000 tonnes
  • 7. Example - Cambodia • Massive inland fisheries • Huge increases in late 1990’s – Inclusion of “previously unreported small scale fisheries” • Reported inland production ~450,000 tonnes • Consumption surveys help validate massively increased production estimate… – total national fish consumption ~890,344 tonnes – 71% of fish from inland – Inland ~630,000 tonnes • So current reports may still be under-estimates! 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 500,000 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015
  • 8. Lao PDR - fishery or aquaculture? • Statistics reported to FAO indicate – aquaculture provides 75% of fish – inland capture fishery only 25% of fish • Household consumption survey indicates source of fish, locations – Aquaculture only 22% – inland fisheries 88 % • Fisheries probably grossly under reported and undervalued – dependency varies within country – implications for water policy • Consumption figures already exceed national reported production
  • 9. India - inland fishery production estimates periodically reset? • 13 cases of inter-annual variations >20% – Sometimes as much as 40% • Not really explained by drought/flood years? • “Resetting” by national statistical reporters? • Surveys may help validate production totals – Reduce fluctuations -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
  • 10. Consumption surveys have limitations • Can be frustrating – Generally under-estimation? • Recall is vulnerable to biases • Distinguishing source of fish difficult – Can be guessed or estimated by product form or species • Seasonal data may not capture highs and lows – surveys conducted in dry season for easy access, may miss monsoon peak production period • May need some interpretation to account for conversions – under- over- estimation errors – e.g. adjust for fresh weights of reported dried and processed foods Fish traps Mekong river, Lao PDR
  • 11. Improving the value of surveys • Getting the sampling and questions right – yields valuable additional information on sources of products – e.g. aquaculture, inland fishery, marine fishery – rule out seasonality • May support indicative of proxy estimates of inland fishery production – Important where inland fishery production statistics are estimated with little or no basis Mixed wild & stocked fish Aquaculture
  • 12. Summary • Inland statistics are weak – substantial heterogeneity in national production – lack of understanding gives misleading policy • Household consumption and expenditure surveys – can give excellent idea of sub-national consumption of fish – can validate erroneous production estimates – can support indicative of proxy estimates of inland fishery production • Important where inland fishery production statistics are estimated with little or no basis • They do have weaknesses – may be less good for splitting fishery/aquaculture – need to account for wet weight conversions • Getting the questions right reduces errors and gives information on sources of production