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The Mediterranean battles for natural gas
Selim Stahl, 5th May 2014
This is a translation of Arte Geopolitical Show ”Le dessous des cartes”
The recent discovery of large gas fields in the eastern
Mediterranean stirs the appetites of neighboring countries and
exacerbate rivalries. This study is about the political and
economic consequences of these findings, which could make the
Mediterranean sea the new Eldorado for natural gas.
The Mediterranean Sea is semi-enclosed by the Straits of Gibraltar and the Dardanelles and the
Suez Canal. It has a maximum width of 1 600 km and minimum of about 13 km at the Strait of
Gibraltar. Twenty-three neighboring countries share this space, all entitled to have areas of
sovereignty.
THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA, A SPACE TO SHARE
The Law of the Sea, governed by the Convention of Montego Bay (1982), is cutting the maritime space in
several areas, in which a State has more or less important rights. One of them is the exclusive economic
zone (EEZ), which extends up to 200 nautical miles off the coast of a country. The State has there
sovereign rights for exploration and exploitation of the waters, seabed and underground resources.
SHARING MARINE SPACE UNDER THE LAW OF THE SEA
On this map, we understand that there is not enough room in the Mediterranean Sea for all its
twenty-three countries to have their own EEZ. Some maritime areas overlap, like between
France, the Balearics or Sardinia, or those of Egypt and Cyprus. This situation is likely to
create disputes between States. And indeed, there are many disputes.
SHARING MARINE AREAS IN THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA
Some of offshore gas fields were discovered in the 2000s, offshore Israel. According to some
estimate, the total gas potential of Israel could be up to 1500 billion cubic meters (BCM). These
findings offer energy independence to Israel, possible exports of gas and the ability to protect
itself against potential energy boycotts that some neighboring Arab states may enforce. But
this gas also encourages the emergence of new tensions between Israel and Lebanon.
GAS FIELDS IN THE ISRAELI EEZ
Lebanon has never recognized the State of Israel. The two countries have therefore never agreed on their
land border, even though the UN has established a boundary between the two countries called the Blue
Line. No recognized maritime border exist. You can see on this map the claims of Lebanon and those of
Israel concerning their EEZ. The 2 countries compete for a 850 km ² area in which there could be natural
gas. In 2011, Lebanon filed a motion for the UN’s judgment on the borders but the UN declared itself
incompetent.
MARITIME CLAIMS OF ISRAEL AND LEBANON
Along the coast of the Gaza Strip the natural gas resources are estimated to 30 - 40 BCM, this is a
financial resource for a Palestinian Authority close to bankruptcy. But the Israeli authorities want to put
their conditions: Hamas should not profit from the revenues, Palestinian gas must be connected to the
pipeline that connects the cities of Ashkelon and El-Arish and finally, Israel must be the primary client and
acquire Palestinian gas at a preferential price.
GAS RESOURCES OF PALESTINIAN TERRITORIES
Gas was also discovered in recent years offshore Cyprus, particularly in the field of Aphrodite. The island
of Cyprus is divided between two political entities fighting for the control of the entire island and are
unable to agree on how to exploit the offshore resources.
THE DIVIDE OF CYPRUS AND THE NATURAL GAS ISSUE
Greece also has initiated offshore surveys at the end of 2011. Some estimates put the reserves of the
Ionian Sea at 22 billion barrels of oil and northern Aegean Sea to 4 billion barrels. Finally, Crete may have
4000 BCM of gas which would generate income for the Greek government of €400 billion over twenty-five
years.
THE GAS RESOURCES OF GREECE
The recent discovery of natural gas in Israel, Cyprus and Greece as well as common interests around
energy between these three countries favored a rapprochement between them. So they are considering
the construction of a submarine pipeline to export their gas, especially to other European countries,
anxious to diversify and secure their energy supplies.
THE PIPELINE PROJECT BETWEEN ISRAEL, CYPRUS AND GREECE
Some SP Gas Services
— A part of SP's long-term investment in fuels research
 Metering of LNG
 Analysis of natural gas & biogas composition
 Life Cycle Assessment and Environmental Impact Assessment
of alternative fuels like LNG, BioLNG, BioSNG etc
 Fire Safety Analysis of LNG refueling systems
 Research into the durability of natural gas pipelines
(emphasis on optimisation of materials, designs and methods
of laying, in order to minimise investment costs)
6 to 12 billion bbl & 0.1 to 0.17 Tcf natural gas

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The mediteraneans battles for natural gas

  • 1. The Mediterranean battles for natural gas Selim Stahl, 5th May 2014 This is a translation of Arte Geopolitical Show ”Le dessous des cartes”
  • 2. The recent discovery of large gas fields in the eastern Mediterranean stirs the appetites of neighboring countries and exacerbate rivalries. This study is about the political and economic consequences of these findings, which could make the Mediterranean sea the new Eldorado for natural gas.
  • 3. The Mediterranean Sea is semi-enclosed by the Straits of Gibraltar and the Dardanelles and the Suez Canal. It has a maximum width of 1 600 km and minimum of about 13 km at the Strait of Gibraltar. Twenty-three neighboring countries share this space, all entitled to have areas of sovereignty. THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA, A SPACE TO SHARE
  • 4. The Law of the Sea, governed by the Convention of Montego Bay (1982), is cutting the maritime space in several areas, in which a State has more or less important rights. One of them is the exclusive economic zone (EEZ), which extends up to 200 nautical miles off the coast of a country. The State has there sovereign rights for exploration and exploitation of the waters, seabed and underground resources. SHARING MARINE SPACE UNDER THE LAW OF THE SEA
  • 5. On this map, we understand that there is not enough room in the Mediterranean Sea for all its twenty-three countries to have their own EEZ. Some maritime areas overlap, like between France, the Balearics or Sardinia, or those of Egypt and Cyprus. This situation is likely to create disputes between States. And indeed, there are many disputes. SHARING MARINE AREAS IN THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA
  • 6. Some of offshore gas fields were discovered in the 2000s, offshore Israel. According to some estimate, the total gas potential of Israel could be up to 1500 billion cubic meters (BCM). These findings offer energy independence to Israel, possible exports of gas and the ability to protect itself against potential energy boycotts that some neighboring Arab states may enforce. But this gas also encourages the emergence of new tensions between Israel and Lebanon. GAS FIELDS IN THE ISRAELI EEZ
  • 7. Lebanon has never recognized the State of Israel. The two countries have therefore never agreed on their land border, even though the UN has established a boundary between the two countries called the Blue Line. No recognized maritime border exist. You can see on this map the claims of Lebanon and those of Israel concerning their EEZ. The 2 countries compete for a 850 km ² area in which there could be natural gas. In 2011, Lebanon filed a motion for the UN’s judgment on the borders but the UN declared itself incompetent. MARITIME CLAIMS OF ISRAEL AND LEBANON
  • 8. Along the coast of the Gaza Strip the natural gas resources are estimated to 30 - 40 BCM, this is a financial resource for a Palestinian Authority close to bankruptcy. But the Israeli authorities want to put their conditions: Hamas should not profit from the revenues, Palestinian gas must be connected to the pipeline that connects the cities of Ashkelon and El-Arish and finally, Israel must be the primary client and acquire Palestinian gas at a preferential price. GAS RESOURCES OF PALESTINIAN TERRITORIES
  • 9. Gas was also discovered in recent years offshore Cyprus, particularly in the field of Aphrodite. The island of Cyprus is divided between two political entities fighting for the control of the entire island and are unable to agree on how to exploit the offshore resources. THE DIVIDE OF CYPRUS AND THE NATURAL GAS ISSUE
  • 10. Greece also has initiated offshore surveys at the end of 2011. Some estimates put the reserves of the Ionian Sea at 22 billion barrels of oil and northern Aegean Sea to 4 billion barrels. Finally, Crete may have 4000 BCM of gas which would generate income for the Greek government of €400 billion over twenty-five years. THE GAS RESOURCES OF GREECE
  • 11. The recent discovery of natural gas in Israel, Cyprus and Greece as well as common interests around energy between these three countries favored a rapprochement between them. So they are considering the construction of a submarine pipeline to export their gas, especially to other European countries, anxious to diversify and secure their energy supplies. THE PIPELINE PROJECT BETWEEN ISRAEL, CYPRUS AND GREECE
  • 12. Some SP Gas Services — A part of SP's long-term investment in fuels research  Metering of LNG  Analysis of natural gas & biogas composition  Life Cycle Assessment and Environmental Impact Assessment of alternative fuels like LNG, BioLNG, BioSNG etc  Fire Safety Analysis of LNG refueling systems  Research into the durability of natural gas pipelines (emphasis on optimisation of materials, designs and methods of laying, in order to minimise investment costs)
  • 13. 6 to 12 billion bbl & 0.1 to 0.17 Tcf natural gas