Roberts Rules Cheat Sheet for LD4 Precinct Commiteemen
PA 2016 Election: Third Parties Impacted Presidential Outcome
1. 2016 Presidential electionstatisticsfor
Pennsylvania
total non-write-invotescastforpresident 6,013,032
total votescast Demand Rep prescandidates 5,798,528
Trump 2,934,583
Clinton 2,863,945
sumof the difference 70,638
Trump % of votescast for president 48.8
Clinton%of votescast for president 47.6
Libertarian 144,141
Constitution 21,193
sumtotal conservative thirdpartiesvotes 165,334 Trump lostmore votesto thirdpartiesthanClinton
Green 49,170
sumof votesTrumpwon by - Greenvotes 21,468
evenif all GreenPartyvoteswenttoClinton,she
wouldhave lost
thirdparty % of votescast for president 3.6
Green% of votescast for president 0.8
conservative thirdparty%of votescast for
president 2.7
ratioof conservative thirdparties/greens
votes 3.4
over3x's more conservative thirdpartyvotesthan
progressive
what if there were no third partiesthis
electionand write-inswere notcounted
total votesif Trump had all the conservative
and Republicanvotes 3,099,917
total votesif Clintonhadall the Greenand
Democraticvotes 2,913,115
total votesTrump wouldhave wonby 186,802
Trump % of votescast for president 52
Clinton%of votescast for president 48
2. Attorney General
Shapiro,Dem. 3,004,405
Rafferty,Rep. 2,854,763
total votes 5,859,168
sumof votescast for AttorneyGeneral - votes
cast for Demand Repcandidates 60,640
there were more votescastfor AttorneyGeneral
than Demand Reppresidential candidates
Shapiro,Dem. - Clinton 140,460
Shapirohadconsiderablymore votesthanClinton,
meaningmanypeople votedforShapiroandnot
Clinton
apparentlymostthirdpartyvotersdidnot vote for
AttorneyGeneral
total registeredvoters 8,723,805
registeredDemocrats 4,217,219 apparentlyfewerDemocratsvotedthanRepublicans
registeredRepublicans 3,302,032
total registeredvotersnotDemorRep 1,204,554
numberof registeredvoterswhodidnotvote 2,710,773
percentof registeredvoterswhodidnotvote 31
total DemocratsvotinginPA ?
total RepublicansvotinginPA ?
% of registeredDemocratsvotinginPA ?
% of registeredRepublicansvotinginPA ?
Berks County
total votesfor president 176,849
Trump 93,094
Clinton 75,169
sumof the difference 17,925
Trump % of votescast for president 53
Clinton%of votescast for president 43
Libertarian 5,016
Constitution 749
3. sumtotal conservative thirdpartiesvotes 5,765
Green 1,906
sumof votesTrumpwon by - Greenvotes 16,019
percentof total PA votesforPresident
representedbyBerksCounty 2.9
multiplicationfactorforeffectwrite-inshad
on statewide electionusingBerksCountyas
the model 34
total effectof all write-invotesstatewide
usingBerksCountyas the model 31,111
percentof BerksCountywrite-invotestototal
BerksCountypresidential votes 0.5
percentof BerksCountyDemocrat write-in
votesto total BerksCountypresidential votes 0.17
percentof BerksCountyRepublicanwrite-in
votesto total BerksCountypresidential votes 0.22
usingBerksCountyas a model,there were more
write-inprotestvotesagainstTrumpthan Clinton
total write-invotes 915
Bernie write-insinBerksCounty 281
Bernie,BidenandMichele Obama 294
conservative andRepublicanwrite-invotes 394
total write-invotesRepublican-Democrat 100 100 more votersprotestedTrump thanClinton
people writing-intheirnamesorthat of a
friend 96
invalid(void,nonsense andsimilar) 131
total garbage votes 227
BidenandMichele Obama(12+1) 13
Bernie 281
total Democrat,invalidandno-name votes 521
4. conservative andRepublicanwrite-invotes 394
Bernie,BidenandMichele Obama 294
difference of Republicanwrite-ins- Democrat
write-ins 100
total DemocratsvotinginBerksCounty ?
total RepublicansvotinginBerksCounty ?
% of registeredDemocratsvotinginBerks
County ?
% of registeredRepublicansvotinginBerks
County ?
Attorney General
Rafferty 89,252
Shapiro 79,042
write-in 47
total votes 168,341
total RepublicanandDemocratvotes 168,294
attorneygeneral votes-total Republicanand
Democratpresidentialvotes -8,555
more votesforpresidentthanattorneygeneral,
reverse of state level
Shapirovotes-Clintonvotes 3,873
fewervotesforClintonthanShapiro,same asthe
state level
attorneygeneral votes-Trumpvotes -3,842
more votesforTrump than Rafferty,reverse of state
level