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2016 Presidential electionstatisticsfor
Pennsylvania
total non-write-invotescastforpresident 6,013,032
total votescast Demand Rep prescandidates 5,798,528
Trump 2,934,583
Clinton 2,863,945
sumof the difference 70,638
Trump % of votescast for president 48.8
Clinton%of votescast for president 47.6
Libertarian 144,141
Constitution 21,193
sumtotal conservative thirdpartiesvotes 165,334 Trump lostmore votesto thirdpartiesthanClinton
Green 49,170
sumof votesTrumpwon by - Greenvotes 21,468
evenif all GreenPartyvoteswenttoClinton,she
wouldhave lost
thirdparty % of votescast for president 3.6
Green% of votescast for president 0.8
conservative thirdparty%of votescast for
president 2.7
ratioof conservative thirdparties/greens
votes 3.4
over3x's more conservative thirdpartyvotesthan
progressive
what if there were no third partiesthis
electionand write-inswere notcounted
total votesif Trump had all the conservative
and Republicanvotes 3,099,917
total votesif Clintonhadall the Greenand
Democraticvotes 2,913,115
total votesTrump wouldhave wonby 186,802
Trump % of votescast for president 52
Clinton%of votescast for president 48
Attorney General
Shapiro,Dem. 3,004,405
Rafferty,Rep. 2,854,763
total votes 5,859,168
sumof votescast for AttorneyGeneral - votes
cast for Demand Repcandidates 60,640
there were more votescastfor AttorneyGeneral
than Demand Reppresidential candidates
Shapiro,Dem. - Clinton 140,460
Shapirohadconsiderablymore votesthanClinton,
meaningmanypeople votedforShapiroandnot
Clinton
apparentlymostthirdpartyvotersdidnot vote for
AttorneyGeneral
total registeredvoters 8,723,805
registeredDemocrats 4,217,219 apparentlyfewerDemocratsvotedthanRepublicans
registeredRepublicans 3,302,032
total registeredvotersnotDemorRep 1,204,554
numberof registeredvoterswhodidnotvote 2,710,773
percentof registeredvoterswhodidnotvote 31
total DemocratsvotinginPA ?
total RepublicansvotinginPA ?
% of registeredDemocratsvotinginPA ?
% of registeredRepublicansvotinginPA ?
Berks County
total votesfor president 176,849
Trump 93,094
Clinton 75,169
sumof the difference 17,925
Trump % of votescast for president 53
Clinton%of votescast for president 43
Libertarian 5,016
Constitution 749
sumtotal conservative thirdpartiesvotes 5,765
Green 1,906
sumof votesTrumpwon by - Greenvotes 16,019
percentof total PA votesforPresident
representedbyBerksCounty 2.9
multiplicationfactorforeffectwrite-inshad
on statewide electionusingBerksCountyas
the model 34
total effectof all write-invotesstatewide
usingBerksCountyas the model 31,111
percentof BerksCountywrite-invotestototal
BerksCountypresidential votes 0.5
percentof BerksCountyDemocrat write-in
votesto total BerksCountypresidential votes 0.17
percentof BerksCountyRepublicanwrite-in
votesto total BerksCountypresidential votes 0.22
usingBerksCountyas a model,there were more
write-inprotestvotesagainstTrumpthan Clinton
total write-invotes 915
Bernie write-insinBerksCounty 281
Bernie,BidenandMichele Obama 294
conservative andRepublicanwrite-invotes 394
total write-invotesRepublican-Democrat 100 100 more votersprotestedTrump thanClinton
people writing-intheirnamesorthat of a
friend 96
invalid(void,nonsense andsimilar) 131
total garbage votes 227
BidenandMichele Obama(12+1) 13
Bernie 281
total Democrat,invalidandno-name votes 521
conservative andRepublicanwrite-invotes 394
Bernie,BidenandMichele Obama 294
difference of Republicanwrite-ins- Democrat
write-ins 100
total DemocratsvotinginBerksCounty ?
total RepublicansvotinginBerksCounty ?
% of registeredDemocratsvotinginBerks
County ?
% of registeredRepublicansvotinginBerks
County ?
Attorney General
Rafferty 89,252
Shapiro 79,042
write-in 47
total votes 168,341
total RepublicanandDemocratvotes 168,294
attorneygeneral votes-total Republicanand
Democratpresidentialvotes -8,555
more votesforpresidentthanattorneygeneral,
reverse of state level
Shapirovotes-Clintonvotes 3,873
fewervotesforClintonthanShapiro,same asthe
state level
attorneygeneral votes-Trumpvotes -3,842
more votesforTrump than Rafferty,reverse of state
level

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PA 2016 Election: Third Parties Impacted Presidential Outcome

  • 1. 2016 Presidential electionstatisticsfor Pennsylvania total non-write-invotescastforpresident 6,013,032 total votescast Demand Rep prescandidates 5,798,528 Trump 2,934,583 Clinton 2,863,945 sumof the difference 70,638 Trump % of votescast for president 48.8 Clinton%of votescast for president 47.6 Libertarian 144,141 Constitution 21,193 sumtotal conservative thirdpartiesvotes 165,334 Trump lostmore votesto thirdpartiesthanClinton Green 49,170 sumof votesTrumpwon by - Greenvotes 21,468 evenif all GreenPartyvoteswenttoClinton,she wouldhave lost thirdparty % of votescast for president 3.6 Green% of votescast for president 0.8 conservative thirdparty%of votescast for president 2.7 ratioof conservative thirdparties/greens votes 3.4 over3x's more conservative thirdpartyvotesthan progressive what if there were no third partiesthis electionand write-inswere notcounted total votesif Trump had all the conservative and Republicanvotes 3,099,917 total votesif Clintonhadall the Greenand Democraticvotes 2,913,115 total votesTrump wouldhave wonby 186,802 Trump % of votescast for president 52 Clinton%of votescast for president 48
  • 2. Attorney General Shapiro,Dem. 3,004,405 Rafferty,Rep. 2,854,763 total votes 5,859,168 sumof votescast for AttorneyGeneral - votes cast for Demand Repcandidates 60,640 there were more votescastfor AttorneyGeneral than Demand Reppresidential candidates Shapiro,Dem. - Clinton 140,460 Shapirohadconsiderablymore votesthanClinton, meaningmanypeople votedforShapiroandnot Clinton apparentlymostthirdpartyvotersdidnot vote for AttorneyGeneral total registeredvoters 8,723,805 registeredDemocrats 4,217,219 apparentlyfewerDemocratsvotedthanRepublicans registeredRepublicans 3,302,032 total registeredvotersnotDemorRep 1,204,554 numberof registeredvoterswhodidnotvote 2,710,773 percentof registeredvoterswhodidnotvote 31 total DemocratsvotinginPA ? total RepublicansvotinginPA ? % of registeredDemocratsvotinginPA ? % of registeredRepublicansvotinginPA ? Berks County total votesfor president 176,849 Trump 93,094 Clinton 75,169 sumof the difference 17,925 Trump % of votescast for president 53 Clinton%of votescast for president 43 Libertarian 5,016 Constitution 749
  • 3. sumtotal conservative thirdpartiesvotes 5,765 Green 1,906 sumof votesTrumpwon by - Greenvotes 16,019 percentof total PA votesforPresident representedbyBerksCounty 2.9 multiplicationfactorforeffectwrite-inshad on statewide electionusingBerksCountyas the model 34 total effectof all write-invotesstatewide usingBerksCountyas the model 31,111 percentof BerksCountywrite-invotestototal BerksCountypresidential votes 0.5 percentof BerksCountyDemocrat write-in votesto total BerksCountypresidential votes 0.17 percentof BerksCountyRepublicanwrite-in votesto total BerksCountypresidential votes 0.22 usingBerksCountyas a model,there were more write-inprotestvotesagainstTrumpthan Clinton total write-invotes 915 Bernie write-insinBerksCounty 281 Bernie,BidenandMichele Obama 294 conservative andRepublicanwrite-invotes 394 total write-invotesRepublican-Democrat 100 100 more votersprotestedTrump thanClinton people writing-intheirnamesorthat of a friend 96 invalid(void,nonsense andsimilar) 131 total garbage votes 227 BidenandMichele Obama(12+1) 13 Bernie 281 total Democrat,invalidandno-name votes 521
  • 4. conservative andRepublicanwrite-invotes 394 Bernie,BidenandMichele Obama 294 difference of Republicanwrite-ins- Democrat write-ins 100 total DemocratsvotinginBerksCounty ? total RepublicansvotinginBerksCounty ? % of registeredDemocratsvotinginBerks County ? % of registeredRepublicansvotinginBerks County ? Attorney General Rafferty 89,252 Shapiro 79,042 write-in 47 total votes 168,341 total RepublicanandDemocratvotes 168,294 attorneygeneral votes-total Republicanand Democratpresidentialvotes -8,555 more votesforpresidentthanattorneygeneral, reverse of state level Shapirovotes-Clintonvotes 3,873 fewervotesforClintonthanShapiro,same asthe state level attorneygeneral votes-Trumpvotes -3,842 more votesforTrump than Rafferty,reverse of state level