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10/16/2010




                                                 Inventory
        12                                      Management                                        Global Company Profile:
                                                                                                                                   Outline

                                                                                                  Amazon.com
                                                                                                  The Importance of Inventory
       PowerPoint presentation to accompany                                                                 Functions of Inventory
       Heizer and Render
       Operations Management, 10e                                                                           Types of Inventory
       Principles of Operations Management, 8e

       PowerPoint slides by Jeff Heyl




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                          Outline – Continued                                                          Outline – Continued
                     Managing Inventory                                                        Inventory Models for Independent
                               ABC Analysis                                                    Demand
                               Record Accuracy                                                           The Basic Economic Order Quantity
                               Cycle Counting                                                            (EOQ) Model
                               Control of Service Inventories                                            Minimizing Costs

                     Inventory Models                                                                    Reorder Points
                                                                                                         Production Order Quantity Model
                               Independent vs. Dependent Demand
                                                                                                         Quantity Discount Models
                               Holding, Ordering, and Setup Costs

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                          Outline – Continued                                                          Learning Objectives
                                                                                    When you complete this chapter you
                       Probabilistic Models and Safety                              should be able to:
                       Stock
                                  Other Probabilistic Models                                1. Conduct an ABC analysis
                       Single-Period Model                                                  2. Explain and use cycle counting
                                                                                            3. Explain and use the EOQ model for
                       Fixed-Period (P) Systems                                                independent inventory demand
                                                                                            4. Compute a reorder point and safety
                                                                                               stock

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                          Learning Objectives                                                                   Amazon.com
       When you complete this chapter you
       should be able to:                                                               Amazon.com started as a “virtual”
                                                                                        retailer – no inventory, no
               5. Apply the production order quantity
                                                                                        warehouses, no overhead; just
                  model                                                                 computers taking orders to be filled
                                                                                        by others
               6. Explain and use the quantity
                  discount model                                                        Growth has forced Amazon.com to
               7. Understand service levels and                                         become a world leader in
                  probabilistic inventory models                                        warehousing and inventory
                                                                                        management

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                                         Amazon.com                                                             Amazon.com
       1. Each order is assigned by computer to
          the closest distribution center that has                             5. Crates arrive at central point where items
          the product(s)                                                          are boxed and labeled with new bar code
       2. A “flow meister” at each distribution                                6. Gift wrapping is done by hand at 30
          center assigns work crews                                               packages per hour
       3. Lights indicate products that are to be                              7. Completed boxes are packed, taped,
          picked and the light is reset                                           weighed and labeled before leaving
       4. Items are placed in crates on a conveyor,                               warehouse in a truck
          bar code scanners scan each item 15                                  8. Order arrives at customer within 2 - 3
          times to virtually eliminate errors                                     days

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                    Inventory Management                                                Importance of Inventory

                                                                                        One of the most expensive assets
                   The objective of inventory                                           of many companies representing as
               management is to strike a balance                                        much as 50% of total invested
               between inventory investment and                                         capital
                                                                                            it l
                       customer service
                                                                                        Operations managers must balance
                                                                                        inventory investment and customer
                                                                                        service


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                    Functions of Inventory                                                                                                     Types of Inventory
                                                                                                                                  Raw material
          1. To decouple or separate various
             parts of the production process                                                                                                 Purchased but not processed
                                                                                                                                  Work-in-process
          2. To decouple the firm from
                                                                                                                                             Undergone some change but not completed
             fluctuations in demand and
             provide a stock of goods that will                                                                                              A function of cycle time for a product
             provide a selection for customers                                                                                    Maintenance/repair/operating (MRO)
                                                                                                                                             Necessary to keep machinery and
          3. To take advantage of quantity                                                                                                   processes productive
             discounts
                                                                                                                                  Finished goods
          4. To hedge against inflation                                                                                                      Completed product awaiting shipment
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                  The Material Flow Cycle                                                                                                   Managing Inventory

                                                             Cycle time                                                   1. How inventory items can be
                                                             95%                        5%                                   classified

      Input         Wait for            Wait to              Move Wait in queue Setup Run      Output
                                                                                                                          2.
                                                                                                                          2 How accurate inventory records
                  inspection           be moved              time for operator time time                                     can be maintained




                                                                                             Figure 12.1

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                                        ABC Analysis                                                                                                      ABC Analysis
                Divides inventory into three classes
                based on annual dollar volume                                                                              Item
                                                                                                                                         Percent of
                                                                                                                                         Number of          Annual                           Annual
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Percent of
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Annual
                                                                                                                           Stock           Items            Volume             Unit           Dollar      Dollar
                           Class A - high annual dollar volume                                                            Number          Stocked           (units)       x    Cost      =   Volume      Volume            Class

                                                                                                                         #10286              20%               1,000           $ 90.00       $ 90,000       38.8%           A
                           Class B - medium annual dollar                                                                #11526                                   500          154.00          77,000       33.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     72%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            A
                           volume                                                                                        #12760                                1,550            17.00          26,350       11.3%           B

                           Class C - low annual dollar volume                                                            #10867              30%                  350           42.86          15,001        6.4%    23%    B


                Used to establish policies that focus                                                                    #10500                                1,000            12.50          12,500        5.4%           B


                on the few critical parts and not the
                many trivial ones
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                                        ABC Analysis                                                                                                                            ABC Analysis




                                                                                                                                    Percent of annua dollar usage
                       Percent of                                                     Percent of                                                                          A Items
         Item          Number of          Annual                           Annual      Annual                                                                       80   –
         Stock           Items            Volume             Unit           Dollar      Dollar
        Number          Stocked           (units)       x    Cost      =   Volume      Volume           Class
                                                                                                                                                                    70   –
       #12572                                   600          $ 14.17        $ 8,502        3.7%          C                                                          60   –
                                                                                                                                                                    50   –




                                                                                                                                                   al
       #14075                                2,000               .60          1,200         .5%          C
                                                                                                                                                                    40   –
       #01036              50%                  100            8.50            850          .4%    5%    C
                                                                                                                                                                    30   –
       #01307                                1,200               .42           504          .2%          C                                                          20   –          B Items
       #10572                                   250              .60           150          .1%          C                                                          10   –                                C Items
                                             8,550                         $232,057      100.0%                                                                      0   –    |   |     |   |   |    |      |       |   |     |

                                                                                                                                                                             10 20 30 40        50   60     70   80     90 100

                                                                                                                                                                                   Percent of inventory items
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Figure 12.2
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                                        ABC Analysis                                                                                                                            ABC Analysis

                Other criteria than annual dollar                                                                                                                   Policies employed may include
                volume may be used                                                                                                                                       More emphasis on supplier
                           Anticipated engineering changes                                                                                                               development for A items
                           Delivery problems                                                                                                                             Tighter physical inventory control for
                                                                                                                                                                         A items
                           Quality problems
                                                                                                                                                                         More care in forecasting A items
                           High unit cost



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                                Record Accuracy                                                                                                                               Cycle Counting
                    Accurate records are a critical                                                                                                           Items are counted and records updated
                    ingredient in production and inventory                                                                                                    on a periodic basis
                    systems                                                                                                                                   Often used with ABC analysis
                    Allows organization to focus on what                                                                                                      to determine cycle
                    is needed                                                                                                                                 Has several advantages
                    Necessary to make precise decisions                                                                                                             1. Eliminates shutdowns and interruptions
                    about ordering, scheduling, and                                                                                                                 2. Eliminates annual inventory adjustment
                    shipping
                                                                                                                                                                    3. Trained personnel audit inventory accuracy
                    Incoming and outgoing record                                                                                                                    4. Allows causes of errors to be identified and
                    keeping must be accurate                                                                                                                           corrected
                    Stockrooms should be secure                                                                                                                     5. Maintains accurate inventory records
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                Cycle Counting Example                                                                                               Control of Service
                                                                                                                                       Inventories
         5,000 items in inventory, 500 A items, 1,750 B items, 2,750 C
         items                                                                                                        Can be a critical component
         Policy is to count A items every month (20 working days), B                                                  of profitability
         items every quarter (60 days), and C items every six months
         (120 days)                                                                                                   Losses may come from
                                                                                                                      shrinkage or pilferage
        Item                                                          Number of Items
        Class           Quantity              Cycle Counting Policy   Counted per Day                                 Applicable techniques include
            A                500             Each month                 500/20 = 25/day                                  1. Good personnel selection, training, and
            B              1,750             Each quarter              1,750/60 = 29/day                                    discipline
            C              2,750             Every 6 months           2,750/120 = 23/day                                 2. Tight control on incoming shipments
                                                                                  77/day                                 3. Effective control on all goods leaving
                                                                                                                            facility
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                          Independent Versus                                                                               Holding, Ordering, and
                          Dependent Demand                                                                                      Setup Costs
                       Independent demand - the                                                                         Holding costs - the costs of holding
                       demand for item is independent                                                                   or “carrying” inventory over time
                       o t e de a d o a y other
                       of the demand for any ot e                                                                       Ordering costs - the costs of
                       item in inventory                                                                                placing an order and receiving
                       Dependent demand - the                                                                           goods
                       demand for item is dependent                                                                     Setup costs - cost to prepare a
                       upon the demand for some                                                                         machine or process for
                       other item in the inventory                                                                      manufacturing an order
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                                       Holding Costs                                                                                          Holding Costs
                                                                        Cost (and range)                                                                            Cost (and range)
                                                                         as a Percent of                                                                             as a Percent of
                        Category                                        Inventory Value                                        Category                             Inventory Value
       Housing costs (building rent or                                   6% (3 - 10%)                         Housing costs (building rent or                        6% (3 - 10%)
       depreciation, operating costs, taxes,                                                                  depreciation, operating costs, taxes,
       insurance)                                                                                             insurance)
       Material handling costs (equipment lease or                       3% (1 - 3.5%)                        Material handling costs (equipment lease or            3% (1 - 3.5%)
       depreciation, power, operating cost)                                                                   depreciation, power, operating cost)
       Labor cost                                                        3% (3 - 5%)                          Labor cost                                             3% (3 - 5%)
       Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes,                        11% (6 - 24%)                         Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes,             11% (6 - 24%)
       and insurance on inventory)                                                                            and insurance on inventory)
       Pilferage, space, and obsolescence                                3% (2 - 5%)                          Pilferage, space, and obsolescence                     3% (2 - 5%)
       Overall carrying cost                                            26%                                   Overall carrying cost                                 26%

                                                                                Table 12.1                                                                                  Table 12.1
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                               Inventory Models for                                                                                 Basic EOQ Model
                              Independent Demand                                                         Important assumptions
                                                                                                         1. Demand is known, constant, and
                       Need to determine when and how                                                       independent
                       much to order
                                                                                                         2. Lead time is known and constant
                                                                                                         3. Receipt of inventory is instantaneous and
                        1. Basic economic order quantity                                                    complete
                        2. Production order quantity                                                     4. Quantity discounts are not possible
                        3. Quantity discount model                                                       5. Only variable costs are setup and holding
                                                                                                         6. Stockouts can be completely avoided
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                        Inventory Usage Over Time                                                                                   Minimizing Costs
                                                                                                        Objective is to minimize total costs

                                                              Usage rate    Average                                                                               Total cost of
                           Order                                           inventory                                                                              holding and
                       quantity = Q                                                                                                                               setup (order)
      Inventor level




                                                                            on hand
                        (maximum
                         inventory                                             Q                                    Minimum
             ry




                           level)                                              2                                    total
                                                                                                                    t t l cost
                                                                                                                             t
                                                                                                            Annual cost




                                                                                                                                                                              Holding cost
                        Minimum
                        inventory

                                                                                                                                                                          Setup (or order)
                                       0                                                                                                                                       cost
                                                             Time
                                                                                                                                                              Optimal order       Order quantity
                                                                                                                                                              quantity (Q*)
                                                                             Figure 12.3               Table 12.4(c)
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                                       The EOQ Model setup cost = Q S
                                                 Annual
                                                                  D                                                                     The EOQ Model setup cost = Q S
                                                                                                                                                  Annual
                                                                                                                                                                   D

                                                                                                                                                                                                   Q
             Q          = Number of pieces per order                                                      Q               = Number of pieces per order          Annual holding cost =   H
                                                                                                                                                                                      2
            Q*          = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ)                                       Q*               = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ)
             D          = Annual demand in units for the inventory item                                   D               = Annual demand in units for the inventory item
             S          = Setup or ordering cost for each order                                           S               = Setup or ordering cost for each order
             H          = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year                                      H               = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year

                       Annual setup cost = (Number of orders placed per year)                                     Annual holding cost = (Average inventory level)
                                           x (Setup or order cost per order)                                                          x (Holding cost per unit per year)

                                   Annual demand            Setup or order                                                      Order quantity
                          =                                                                                                 =                  (Holding cost per unit per year)
                              Number of units in each order cost per order                                                            2

                              D (S)                                                                                             Q (H)
                          =                                                                                                 =
                              Q                                                                                                 2

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                                       The EOQ Model setup cost = Q S
                                                 Annual
                                                                  D                                                                         An EOQ Example
                                                                                               Q
         Q      = Number of pieces per order                             Annual holding cost =   H
                                                                                               2
        Q*      = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ)                                                              Determine optimal number of needles to order
         D      = Annual demand in units for the inventory item                                                         D = 1,000 units
         S      = Setup or ordering cost for each order                                                                 S = $10 per order
         H      = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year                                                            H = $.50 per unit per year
               Optimal d
               O ti l order quantity is found when annual setup cost
                                tit i f     d h         l t        t
                            equals annual holding cost                                                                                     2DS
                                                                                                                      Q* =
                                                             D
                                                               S =
                                                                   Q
                                                                     H
                                                                                                                                            H
                                                             Q     2
               Solving for Q*                                                                                                             2(1,000)(10)
                                                         2DS = Q2H                                                    Q* =                             =                    40,000 = 200 units
                                                         Q2 = 2DS/H                                                                           0.50
                                                      Q* =       2DS/H
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                                   An EOQ Example                                                                                           An EOQ Example
               Determine optimal number of needles to order                                                             Determine optimal number of needles to order
               D = 1,000 units            Q* = 200 units                                                                D = 1,000 units            Q* = 200 units
               S = $10 per order                                                                                        S = $10 per order           N = 5 orders per year
               H = $.50 per unit per year                                                                               H = $.50 per unit per year

                      Expected                                                                                                                                   Number of working
                                         Demand          D                                                          Expected                                       days per year
                      number of = N =                =                                                            time between = T =
                       orders         Order quantity    Q*
                                                                                                                     orders                                             N
                                      1,000                                                                                                                           250
                                  N=        = 5 orders per year
                                       200                                                                                                             T=                 = 50 days between orders
                                                                                                                                                                       5


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                                   An EOQ Example                                                                                                Robust Model
               Determine optimal number of needles to order
               D = 1,000 units            Q* = 200 units
               S = $10 per order           N = 5 orders per year                                                               The EOQ model is robust
               H = $.50 per unit per year  T = 50 days
                                                                                                                               It works even if all parameters
                Total annual cost = Setup cost + Holding cost                                                                  and assumptions are not met
                TC =
                     D
                       S +
                             Q
                               H                                                                                               The total cost curve is relatively
                     Q       2
                                                                                                                               flat in the area of the EOQ
                     1,000         200
                TC =       ($10) +     ($.50)
                      200           2

                TC = (5)($10) + (100)($.50) = $50 + $50 = $100

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                                   An EOQ Example                                                                                         An EOQ Example
               Management underestimated demand by 50%                                                Actual EOQ for new demand is 244.9 units
               D = 1,000 units 1,500 units Q* = 200 units                                             D = 1,000 units 1,500 units Q* = 244.9 units
               S = $10 per order            N = 5 orders per year                                     S = $10 per order            N = 5 orders per year
               H = $.50 per unit per year   T = 50 days                                               H = $.50 per unit per year   T = 50 days

                     D       Q                                                                              D       Q
                TC =   S +     H                                                                       TC =   S +     H
                     Q       2                                                                              Q       2                                                Only 2% less
                     1,500         200                                                                      1,500         244.9                                      than the total
                TC =       ($10) +     ($.50) = $75 + $50 = $125                                       TC =       ($10) +       ($.50)                                cost of $125
                      200           2                                                                       244.9           2
                                                                                                                                                                       when the
                                                                                                       TC = $61.24 + $61.24 = $122.48                                order quantity
                      Total annual cost increases by only 25%                                                                                                           was 200
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                                     Reorder Points                                                                                 Reorder Point Curve
                   EOQ answers the “how much” question                                                                                 Q*
                                                                                                          Inventory level (units)                   Resupply takes place as order arrives
                   The reorder point (ROP) tells “when” to
                   order                                                                                                                                    Slope = units/day = d

                                           Demand   Lead time for a
                   ROP =                   per day new order in days                                                                 ROP
                                                                                                                                    (units)
                                 =dxL
                                                             D
                            d = Number of working days in a year
                                                                                                                                                                       Time (days)
                                                                                                                                                     Lead time = L
                                                                                            Figure 12.5
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                   Reorder Point Example                                                           Production Order Quantity
                                                                                                            Model
             Demand = 8,000 iPods per year
             250 working day year                                                                                                   Used when inventory builds up
             Lead time for orders is 3 working days
                                                                                                                                    over a period of time after an
                                d=
                                                        D                                                                           order is placed
                                          Number of working days in a year
                                                                                                                                    Used when units are produced
                                    = 8,000/250 = 32 units                                                                          and sold simultaneously
                        ROP = d x L
                                    = 32 units per day x 3 days = 96 units

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                       Production Order Quantity                                                                             Production Order Quantity
                                Model                                                                                                 Model
                                                                                                                          Q = Number of pieces per order         p = Daily production rate
                                                                                                                          H = Holding cost per unit per year     d = Daily demand/usage rate
                                 Part of inventory cycle during
                                 which production (and usage)                                                              t = Length of the production run in days
                                 is taking place
   Inventory level




                                                                                                                            Annual inventory                                Holding cost
                                                                                                                              holding cost   = (Average inventory level) x per unit per year
             l




                                                    Demand part of cycle
                                                    with no production
                     Maximum
                     inventory                                                                                              Annual inventory
                                                                                                                                             = (Maximum inventory level)/2
                                                                                                                                 level

                                                                                                                               Maximum        Total produced during                                 Total used during
                                                                                                                                            =                                                  –
                                  t                                                                                         inventory level     the production run                                 the production run
                                                                                                Time
                                                                                                                                                         = pt – dt
                                                                                  Figure 12.6

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                       Production Order Quantity                                                                             Production Order Quantity
                                Model                                                                                                 Model
                     Q = Number of pieces per order         p = Daily production rate                                     Q = Number of pieces per order                                  p = Daily production rate
                     H = Holding cost per unit per year     d = Daily demand/usage rate                                   H = Holding cost per unit per year                              d = Daily demand/usage rate
                      t = Length of the production run in days                                                            D = Annual demand

                         Maximum
                                      =
                                        Total produced during
                                                                         –
                                                                              Total used during                                                     Setup cost = (D/Q)S
                      inventory level
                      i    t    l   l     the
                                          th production run
                                                 d ti                        the
                                                                             th production run
                                                                                     d ti
                                                                                                                                                   Holding cost = 1 HQ[1 - (d/p)]
                                        = pt – dt                                                                                                                                     2
                      However, Q = total produced = pt ; thus t = Q/p                                                                                                         1
                                                                                                                                                          (D/Q)S = 2 HQ[1 - (d/p)]
                         Maximum          Q                  Q           d                                                                                            2DS
                      inventory level = p p             –d
                                                             p
                                                                 =Q 1–
                                                                         p                                                                                    Q2 =
                                                                                                                                                                   H[1 - (d/p)]
                                        Maximum inventory level              Q    d                                                                                                  2DS
                     Holding cost =                             (H) =          1–         H
                                                  2                          2    p                                                                                 Q* =
                                                                                                                                                                     p            H[1 - (d/p)]
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                       Production Order Quantity                                                                             Production Order Quantity
                               Example                                                                                                Model
                       D = 1,000 units                              p = 8 units per day                                   Note:
                       S = $10                                      d = 4 units per day
                                                                                                                                                                                  D                           1,000
                       H = $0.50 per unit per year                                                                           d = 4 = Number of days the plant is in operation = 250

                                                     2DS
                                      Q* =
                                                  H[1 - (d/p)]                                                            When annual data are used the equation becomes

                                                   2(1,000)(10)                                                                                                        2DS
                                      Q* =                               =   80,000                                                      Q* =
                                                  0.50[1 - (4/8)]                                                                                                  annual demand rate
                                                                                                                                                             H 1–
                                                                                                                                                                  annual production rate
                                         = 282.8 or 283 hubcaps
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             Quantity Discount Models                                                                            Quantity Discount Models
              Reduced prices are often available when                                                      A typical quantity discount schedule
              larger quantities are purchased
              Trade-off is between reduced product cost                                                      Discount                                                                         Discount
              and increased holding cost                                                                     Number                        Discount Quantity              Discount (%)        Price (P)
                                                                                                                       1                          0 to 999                no discount           $5.00
      Total cost = Setup cost + Holding cost + Product cost                                                            2                      1,000 to 1,999                     4              $4.80

                                                                                                                       3                      2,000 and over                     5              $4.75
                                                             D    Q
                                          TC =                 S+   H + PD
                                                             Q    2                                                                                                                          Table 12.2




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             Quantity Discount Models                                                                            Quantity Discount Models
    Steps in analyzing a quantity discount                                                                                                                          Total cost curve for discount 2
                                                                                                                                  Total cost
                                                                                                                                   curve for
         1. For each discount, calculate Q*                                                                                       discount 1

         2. If Q* for a discount doesn’t qualify,
                                               y
                                                                                                                   Total cost $
                                                                                                                            t




            choose the smallest possible order size
            to get the discount                                                                                                                                      Total cost curve for discount 3
                                                                                                                                                b
         3. Compute the total cost for each Q* or                                                                                      a            Q* for discount 2 is below the allowable range at point a
                                                                                                                                                    and must be adjusted upward to 1,000 units at point b
            adjusted value from Step 2
                                                                                                                                  1st price     2nd price
         4. Select the Q* that gives the lowest total                                                                             break         break
            cost                                                                                                            0              1,000            2,000
                                                                                                                                                                                               Figure 12.7
                                                                                                                                                              Order quantity
© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                12 - 57   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                               12 - 58




          Quantity Discount Example                                                                           Quantity Discount Example
     Calculate Q* for every discount                                                2DS                  Calculate Q* for every discount                                                              2DS
                                                                             Q* =                                                                                                     Q* =
                                                                                     IP                                                                                                                IP
                                        2(5,000)(49)                                                                                          2(5,000)(49)
                  Q1* =                              = 700 cars/order                                                      Q1* =                           = 700 cars/order
                                         (.2)(5.00)
                                         ( 2)(5 00)                                                                                            (.2)(5.00)
                                                                                                                                               ( 2)(5 00)

                                        2(5,000)(49)                                                                                          2(5,000)(49)
                  Q2* =                              = 714 cars/order                                                      Q2* =                           = 714 cars/order
                                         (.2)(4.80)                                                                                            (.2)(4.80)    1,000 — adjusted
                                        2(5,000)(49)                                                                                          2(5,000)(49)
                  Q3* =                              = 718 cars/order                                                      Q3* =                           = 718 cars/order
                                         (.2)(4.75)                                                                                            (.2)(4.75)    2,000 — adjusted
© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                12 - 59   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                               12 - 60




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10
10/16/2010




          Quantity Discount Example                                                                                                           Probabilistic Models and
                                                                                                                                                   Safety Stock
     Discount                        Unit     Order
                                                             Annual
                                                             Product
                                                                          Annual
                                                                         Ordering
                                                                                        Annual
                                                                                        Holding
                                                                                                                                                    Used when demand is not constant
     Number                          Price   Quantity         Cost         Cost          Cost           Total                                       or certain
            1                        $5.00      700          $25,000            $350      $350        $25,700                                       Use safety stock to achieve a desired
            2                        $4.80    1,000          $24,000            $245      $480        $24,725                                       service level and avoid stockouts
            3                        $4.75    2,000          $23.750     $122.50          $950        $24,822.50
                                                                                                                                                                             ROP = d x L + ss
                                                                                                       Table 12.3
                               Choose the price and quantity that gives
                                                                                                                                       Annual stockout costs = the sum of the units short
                               the lowest total cost
                                                                                                                                           x the probability x the stockout cost/unit
                                         Buy 1,000 units at $4.80 per unit                                                                      x the number of orders per year

© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                                          12 - 61   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                            12 - 62




                                Safety Stock Example                                                                                                Safety Stock Example
       ROP = 50 units                                        Stockout cost = $40 per frame                                           ROP = 50 units                                        Stockout cost = $40 per frame
       Orders per year = 6                                   Carrying cost = $5 per frame per year                                   Orders per year = 6                                   Carrying cost = $5 per frame per year

                                                                                                                                   Safety           Additional                                                              Total
                                         Number of Units                   Probability                                             Stock           Holding Cost                                  Stockout Cost              Cost

                                                               30                  .2                                                  20         (20)($5) = $100                                                   $0      $100

                                                               40                  .2                                                  10         (10)($5) = $ 50 (10)(.1)($40)(6)                                 = $240   $290

                                             ROP               50                  .3                                                    0                          $     0 (10)(.2)($40)(6) + (20)(.1)($40)(6) = $960      $960
                                                               60                  .2
                                                               70                  .1                                               A safety stock of 20 frames gives the lowest total cost
                                                                                  1.0                                                                                ROP = 50 + 20 = 70 frames
© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                                          12 - 63   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                            12 - 64




                                Probabilistic Demand                                                                                                 Probabilistic Demand
                                                                                                                                      Use prescribed service levels to set safety
                                                                                                                                      stock when the cost of stockouts cannot be
                                                               Minimum demand during lead time
                                                                                                                                      determined
             Inventory level




                                                                Maximum demand during lead time
                     y




                                                                 Mean demand during lead time
                                                                  ROP = 350 + safety stock of 16.5 = 366.5
                                                                                                                                              ROP = demand during lead time + ZσdLT
                               ROP
                                                                 Normal distribution probability of
                                                                 demand during lead time
                                                                   Expected demand during lead time (350 kits)
                                                                                                                                           where               Z = number of standard deviations
                                                                 Safety stock     16.5 units                                                                 σdLT = standard deviation of demand
                                     0                  Lead
                                                                                                                                                                    during lead time
                                                        time                                   Time
  Figure 12.8                                    Place       Receive
                                                 order        order
© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                                          12 - 65   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                            12 - 66




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              11
10/16/2010




                       Probabilistic Demand                                                                                          Probabilistic Example
                                                                                                                        Average demand = μ = 350 kits
                                                                                                                        Standard deviation of demand during lead time = σdLT = 10 kits
                                                                                                                        5% stockout policy (service level = 95%)
                                                Probability of                Risk of a stockout
                                                 no stockout                    (5% of area of
                                               95% of the time                  normal curve))                                 Using Appendix I, for an area under the curve
                                                                                                                                          of 95%, the Z = 1.65

                                                                                                                                     Safety stock = ZσdLT = 1.65(10) = 16.5 kits
                                                      Mean          ROP = ? kits         Quantity
                                                     demand                                                              Reorder point = expected demand during lead time
                                                       350
                                                                 Safety                                                                  + safety stock
                                                                 stock
                                                                                                                                       = 350 kits + 16.5 kits of safety stock
                                                             0            z
                                                                                   Number of                                           = 366.5 or 367 kits
                                                                               standard deviations
© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                           12 - 67   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                         12 - 68




            Other Probabilistic Models                                                                                     Other Probabilistic Models
        When data on demand during lead time is                                                                       Demand is variable and lead time is constant
        not available, there are other models
        available
                                                                                                                                        ROP = (average daily demand
               1.
               1 When demand is variable and lead                                                                                             x lead time in days) + ZσdLT
                  time is constant
                                                                                                                               where               σd = standard deviation of demand per day
               2. When lead time is variable and
                                                                                                                                                σdLT = σd             lead time
                  demand is constant
               3. When both demand and lead time
                  are variable

© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                           12 - 69   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                         12 - 70




                      Probabilistic Example                                                                                Other Probabilistic Models
           Average daily demand (normally distributed) = 15                                                           Lead time is variable and demand is constant
           Standard deviation = 5
           Lead time is constant at 2 days Z for 90% = 1.28
           90% service level desired       From Appendix I                                                                               ROP = (daily demand x average lead
                                                                                                                                               time in days)
                        ROP = (15 units x 2 days) + ZσdLT                                                                                            = Z x (daily demand) x σLT

                            = 30 + 1.28(5)( 2)                                                                                 where              σLT = standard deviation of lead time in days
                            = 30 + 9.02 = 39.02 ≈ 39

                             Safety stock is about 9 iPods

© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                           12 - 71   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                         12 - 72




                                                                                                                                                                                                            12
10/16/2010




                      Probabilistic Example                                                                     Other Probabilistic Models
                                               Z for 98% = 2.055                                                  Both demand and lead time are variable
           Daily demand (constant) = 10         From Appendix I
           Average lead time = 6 days
           Standard deviation of lead time = σLT = 3
                                                                                                                             ROP = (average daily demand
           98% service level desired
                                                                                                                                   x average lead time) + ZσdLT
      ROP = (10 units x 6 days) + 2.055(10 units)(3)
                                                                                                                    where               σd = standard deviation of demand per day
          = 60 + 61.65 = 121.65                                                                                                        σLT = standard deviation of lead time in days
                                                                                                                                     σdLT =           (average lead time x σd2)
                    Reorder point is about 122 cameras                                                                                                + (average daily demand)2 x σLT2



© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                12 - 73   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                           12 - 74




                      Probabilistic Example                                                                                   Single Period Model
         Average daily demand (normally distributed) = 150                                                          Only one order is placed for a product
         Standard deviation = σd = 16
         Average lead time 5 days (normally distributed)                                                            Units have little or no value at the end of
         Standard deviation = σLT = 1 day                                                                           the sales period
         95% service level desired         Z for 95% = 1.65
                                                       1 65
                                           From Appendix I                                                    Cs = Cost of shortage = Sales price/unit – Cost/unit
                                                                                                              Co = Cost of overage = Cost/unit – Salvage value
         ROP = (150 packs x 5 days) + 1.65σdLT
                         = (150 x 5) + 1.65 (5 days x    +   162)      (1502   x   1 2)                                                                             Cs
                         = 750 + 1.65(154) = 1,004 packs                                                                                Service level =
                                                                                                                                                                 Cs + Co


© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                12 - 75   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                           12 - 76




                    Single Period Example                                                                               Single Period Example
              Average demand = μ = 120 papers/day
              Standard deviation = σ = 15 papers                                                                  From Appendix I, for the area .578, Z ≅ .20
              Cs = cost of shortage = $1.25 - $.70 = $.55
                                                                                                                  The optimal stocking level
              Co = cost of overage = $.70 - $.30 = $.40
                                                                                                                               = 120 copies + (.20)(σ)
                                                       Cs
           Service level =                                                                                                     = 120 + (.20)(15) = 120 + 3 = 123 papers
                                                 Cs + Co
                                                                    Service
                                                       .55            level
                                           =                         57.8%                                        The stockout risk = 1 – service level
                                             .55 + .40
                                             .55                                                                               = 1 – .578 = .422 = 42.2%
                                           =     = .578             μ = 120
                                             .95
                                                                Optimal stocking level

© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                12 - 77   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                           12 - 78




                                                                                                                                                                                                   13
10/16/2010




              Fixed-
              Fixed-Period (P) Systems                                                                                  Fixed-
                                                                                                                        Fixed-Period (P) Systems
                                                                                                                                                                     Target quantity (T)
                Orders placed at the end of a fixed period
                Inventory counted only at end of period                                                                                                  Q2
                                                                                                                                                                                           Q4




                                                                                                                     On-hand inventory
                Order brings inventory up to target level
                          g          y p        g
                                                                                                                                           Q1                                       P
                                                                                                                                                                          Q3
                      Only relevant costs are ordering and holding
                                                                                                                                                P
                      Lead times are known and constant
                      Items are independent from one another
                                                                                                                                                                     P

                                                                                                                                                                     Time                       Figure 12.9
© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                    12 - 79   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                            12 - 80




              Fixed-
              Fixed-Period (P) Example                                                                                                   Fixed-
                                                                                                                                         Fixed-Period Systems
       3 jackets are back ordered                            No jackets are in stock
       It is time to place an order                          Target value = 50                                                           Inventory is only counted at each
                                                                                                                                         review period

                  Order amount (Q) = Target (T) - On
                                                  On-                                                                                    May be scheduled at convenient times
                                                                                                                                           y
                 hand inventory - Earlier orders not yet                                                                                 Appropriate in routine situations
                        received + Back orders                                                                                           May result in stockouts between
                              Q = 50 - 0 - 0 + 3 = 53 jackets                                                                            periods
                                                                                                                                         May require increased safety stock


© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                    12 - 81   © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                            12 - 82




            All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval
         system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying,
                  recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher.
                                     Printed in the United States of America.




© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall                                    12 - 83




                                                                                                                                                                                                                        14

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Heizer om10 ch12-inventory

  • 1. 10/16/2010 Inventory 12 Management Global Company Profile: Outline Amazon.com The Importance of Inventory PowerPoint presentation to accompany Functions of Inventory Heizer and Render Operations Management, 10e Types of Inventory Principles of Operations Management, 8e PowerPoint slides by Jeff Heyl © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 1 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 2 Outline – Continued Outline – Continued Managing Inventory Inventory Models for Independent ABC Analysis Demand Record Accuracy The Basic Economic Order Quantity Cycle Counting (EOQ) Model Control of Service Inventories Minimizing Costs Inventory Models Reorder Points Production Order Quantity Model Independent vs. Dependent Demand Quantity Discount Models Holding, Ordering, and Setup Costs © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 3 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 4 Outline – Continued Learning Objectives When you complete this chapter you Probabilistic Models and Safety should be able to: Stock Other Probabilistic Models 1. Conduct an ABC analysis Single-Period Model 2. Explain and use cycle counting 3. Explain and use the EOQ model for Fixed-Period (P) Systems independent inventory demand 4. Compute a reorder point and safety stock © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 5 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 6 1
  • 2. 10/16/2010 Learning Objectives Amazon.com When you complete this chapter you should be able to: Amazon.com started as a “virtual” retailer – no inventory, no 5. Apply the production order quantity warehouses, no overhead; just model computers taking orders to be filled by others 6. Explain and use the quantity discount model Growth has forced Amazon.com to 7. Understand service levels and become a world leader in probabilistic inventory models warehousing and inventory management © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 7 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 8 Amazon.com Amazon.com 1. Each order is assigned by computer to the closest distribution center that has 5. Crates arrive at central point where items the product(s) are boxed and labeled with new bar code 2. A “flow meister” at each distribution 6. Gift wrapping is done by hand at 30 center assigns work crews packages per hour 3. Lights indicate products that are to be 7. Completed boxes are packed, taped, picked and the light is reset weighed and labeled before leaving 4. Items are placed in crates on a conveyor, warehouse in a truck bar code scanners scan each item 15 8. Order arrives at customer within 2 - 3 times to virtually eliminate errors days © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 9 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 10 Inventory Management Importance of Inventory One of the most expensive assets The objective of inventory of many companies representing as management is to strike a balance much as 50% of total invested between inventory investment and capital it l customer service Operations managers must balance inventory investment and customer service © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 11 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 12 2
  • 3. 10/16/2010 Functions of Inventory Types of Inventory Raw material 1. To decouple or separate various parts of the production process Purchased but not processed Work-in-process 2. To decouple the firm from Undergone some change but not completed fluctuations in demand and provide a stock of goods that will A function of cycle time for a product provide a selection for customers Maintenance/repair/operating (MRO) Necessary to keep machinery and 3. To take advantage of quantity processes productive discounts Finished goods 4. To hedge against inflation Completed product awaiting shipment © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 13 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 14 The Material Flow Cycle Managing Inventory Cycle time 1. How inventory items can be 95% 5% classified Input Wait for Wait to Move Wait in queue Setup Run Output 2. 2 How accurate inventory records inspection be moved time for operator time time can be maintained Figure 12.1 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 15 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 16 ABC Analysis ABC Analysis Divides inventory into three classes based on annual dollar volume Item Percent of Number of Annual Annual Percent of Annual Stock Items Volume Unit Dollar Dollar Class A - high annual dollar volume Number Stocked (units) x Cost = Volume Volume Class #10286 20% 1,000 $ 90.00 $ 90,000 38.8% A Class B - medium annual dollar #11526 500 154.00 77,000 33.2% 72% A volume #12760 1,550 17.00 26,350 11.3% B Class C - low annual dollar volume #10867 30% 350 42.86 15,001 6.4% 23% B Used to establish policies that focus #10500 1,000 12.50 12,500 5.4% B on the few critical parts and not the many trivial ones © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 17 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 18 3
  • 4. 10/16/2010 ABC Analysis ABC Analysis Percent of annua dollar usage Percent of Percent of A Items Item Number of Annual Annual Annual 80 – Stock Items Volume Unit Dollar Dollar Number Stocked (units) x Cost = Volume Volume Class 70 – #12572 600 $ 14.17 $ 8,502 3.7% C 60 – 50 – al #14075 2,000 .60 1,200 .5% C 40 – #01036 50% 100 8.50 850 .4% 5% C 30 – #01307 1,200 .42 504 .2% C 20 – B Items #10572 250 .60 150 .1% C 10 – C Items 8,550 $232,057 100.0% 0 – | | | | | | | | | | 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent of inventory items Figure 12.2 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 19 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 20 ABC Analysis ABC Analysis Other criteria than annual dollar Policies employed may include volume may be used More emphasis on supplier Anticipated engineering changes development for A items Delivery problems Tighter physical inventory control for A items Quality problems More care in forecasting A items High unit cost © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 21 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 22 Record Accuracy Cycle Counting Accurate records are a critical Items are counted and records updated ingredient in production and inventory on a periodic basis systems Often used with ABC analysis Allows organization to focus on what to determine cycle is needed Has several advantages Necessary to make precise decisions 1. Eliminates shutdowns and interruptions about ordering, scheduling, and 2. Eliminates annual inventory adjustment shipping 3. Trained personnel audit inventory accuracy Incoming and outgoing record 4. Allows causes of errors to be identified and keeping must be accurate corrected Stockrooms should be secure 5. Maintains accurate inventory records © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 23 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 24 4
  • 5. 10/16/2010 Cycle Counting Example Control of Service Inventories 5,000 items in inventory, 500 A items, 1,750 B items, 2,750 C items Can be a critical component Policy is to count A items every month (20 working days), B of profitability items every quarter (60 days), and C items every six months (120 days) Losses may come from shrinkage or pilferage Item Number of Items Class Quantity Cycle Counting Policy Counted per Day Applicable techniques include A 500 Each month 500/20 = 25/day 1. Good personnel selection, training, and B 1,750 Each quarter 1,750/60 = 29/day discipline C 2,750 Every 6 months 2,750/120 = 23/day 2. Tight control on incoming shipments 77/day 3. Effective control on all goods leaving facility © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 25 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 26 Independent Versus Holding, Ordering, and Dependent Demand Setup Costs Independent demand - the Holding costs - the costs of holding demand for item is independent or “carrying” inventory over time o t e de a d o a y other of the demand for any ot e Ordering costs - the costs of item in inventory placing an order and receiving Dependent demand - the goods demand for item is dependent Setup costs - cost to prepare a upon the demand for some machine or process for other item in the inventory manufacturing an order © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 27 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 28 Holding Costs Holding Costs Cost (and range) Cost (and range) as a Percent of as a Percent of Category Inventory Value Category Inventory Value Housing costs (building rent or 6% (3 - 10%) Housing costs (building rent or 6% (3 - 10%) depreciation, operating costs, taxes, depreciation, operating costs, taxes, insurance) insurance) Material handling costs (equipment lease or 3% (1 - 3.5%) Material handling costs (equipment lease or 3% (1 - 3.5%) depreciation, power, operating cost) depreciation, power, operating cost) Labor cost 3% (3 - 5%) Labor cost 3% (3 - 5%) Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes, 11% (6 - 24%) Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes, 11% (6 - 24%) and insurance on inventory) and insurance on inventory) Pilferage, space, and obsolescence 3% (2 - 5%) Pilferage, space, and obsolescence 3% (2 - 5%) Overall carrying cost 26% Overall carrying cost 26% Table 12.1 Table 12.1 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 29 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 30 5
  • 6. 10/16/2010 Inventory Models for Basic EOQ Model Independent Demand Important assumptions 1. Demand is known, constant, and Need to determine when and how independent much to order 2. Lead time is known and constant 3. Receipt of inventory is instantaneous and 1. Basic economic order quantity complete 2. Production order quantity 4. Quantity discounts are not possible 3. Quantity discount model 5. Only variable costs are setup and holding 6. Stockouts can be completely avoided © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 31 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 32 Inventory Usage Over Time Minimizing Costs Objective is to minimize total costs Usage rate Average Total cost of Order inventory holding and quantity = Q setup (order) Inventor level on hand (maximum inventory Q Minimum ry level) 2 total t t l cost t Annual cost Holding cost Minimum inventory Setup (or order) 0 cost Time Optimal order Order quantity quantity (Q*) Figure 12.3 Table 12.4(c) © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 33 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 34 The EOQ Model setup cost = Q S Annual D The EOQ Model setup cost = Q S Annual D Q Q = Number of pieces per order Q = Number of pieces per order Annual holding cost = H 2 Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ) Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ) D = Annual demand in units for the inventory item D = Annual demand in units for the inventory item S = Setup or ordering cost for each order S = Setup or ordering cost for each order H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year Annual setup cost = (Number of orders placed per year) Annual holding cost = (Average inventory level) x (Setup or order cost per order) x (Holding cost per unit per year) Annual demand Setup or order Order quantity = = (Holding cost per unit per year) Number of units in each order cost per order 2 D (S) Q (H) = = Q 2 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 35 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 36 6
  • 7. 10/16/2010 The EOQ Model setup cost = Q S Annual D An EOQ Example Q Q = Number of pieces per order Annual holding cost = H 2 Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ) Determine optimal number of needles to order D = Annual demand in units for the inventory item D = 1,000 units S = Setup or ordering cost for each order S = $10 per order H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year H = $.50 per unit per year Optimal d O ti l order quantity is found when annual setup cost tit i f d h l t t equals annual holding cost 2DS Q* = D S = Q H H Q 2 Solving for Q* 2(1,000)(10) 2DS = Q2H Q* = = 40,000 = 200 units Q2 = 2DS/H 0.50 Q* = 2DS/H © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 37 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 38 An EOQ Example An EOQ Example Determine optimal number of needles to order Determine optimal number of needles to order D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units S = $10 per order S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year H = $.50 per unit per year H = $.50 per unit per year Expected Number of working Demand D Expected days per year number of = N = = time between = T = orders Order quantity Q* orders N 1,000 250 N= = 5 orders per year 200 T= = 50 days between orders 5 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 39 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 40 An EOQ Example Robust Model Determine optimal number of needles to order D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year The EOQ model is robust H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days It works even if all parameters Total annual cost = Setup cost + Holding cost and assumptions are not met TC = D S + Q H The total cost curve is relatively Q 2 flat in the area of the EOQ 1,000 200 TC = ($10) + ($.50) 200 2 TC = (5)($10) + (100)($.50) = $50 + $50 = $100 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 41 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 42 7
  • 8. 10/16/2010 An EOQ Example An EOQ Example Management underestimated demand by 50% Actual EOQ for new demand is 244.9 units D = 1,000 units 1,500 units Q* = 200 units D = 1,000 units 1,500 units Q* = 244.9 units S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days D Q D Q TC = S + H TC = S + H Q 2 Q 2 Only 2% less 1,500 200 1,500 244.9 than the total TC = ($10) + ($.50) = $75 + $50 = $125 TC = ($10) + ($.50) cost of $125 200 2 244.9 2 when the TC = $61.24 + $61.24 = $122.48 order quantity Total annual cost increases by only 25% was 200 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 43 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 44 Reorder Points Reorder Point Curve EOQ answers the “how much” question Q* Inventory level (units) Resupply takes place as order arrives The reorder point (ROP) tells “when” to order Slope = units/day = d Demand Lead time for a ROP = per day new order in days ROP (units) =dxL D d = Number of working days in a year Time (days) Lead time = L Figure 12.5 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 45 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 46 Reorder Point Example Production Order Quantity Model Demand = 8,000 iPods per year 250 working day year Used when inventory builds up Lead time for orders is 3 working days over a period of time after an d= D order is placed Number of working days in a year Used when units are produced = 8,000/250 = 32 units and sold simultaneously ROP = d x L = 32 units per day x 3 days = 96 units © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 47 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 48 8
  • 9. 10/16/2010 Production Order Quantity Production Order Quantity Model Model Q = Number of pieces per order p = Daily production rate H = Holding cost per unit per year d = Daily demand/usage rate Part of inventory cycle during which production (and usage) t = Length of the production run in days is taking place Inventory level Annual inventory Holding cost holding cost = (Average inventory level) x per unit per year l Demand part of cycle with no production Maximum inventory Annual inventory = (Maximum inventory level)/2 level Maximum Total produced during Total used during = – t inventory level the production run the production run Time = pt – dt Figure 12.6 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 49 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 50 Production Order Quantity Production Order Quantity Model Model Q = Number of pieces per order p = Daily production rate Q = Number of pieces per order p = Daily production rate H = Holding cost per unit per year d = Daily demand/usage rate H = Holding cost per unit per year d = Daily demand/usage rate t = Length of the production run in days D = Annual demand Maximum = Total produced during – Total used during Setup cost = (D/Q)S inventory level i t l l the th production run d ti the th production run d ti Holding cost = 1 HQ[1 - (d/p)] = pt – dt 2 However, Q = total produced = pt ; thus t = Q/p 1 (D/Q)S = 2 HQ[1 - (d/p)] Maximum Q Q d 2DS inventory level = p p –d p =Q 1– p Q2 = H[1 - (d/p)] Maximum inventory level Q d 2DS Holding cost = (H) = 1– H 2 2 p Q* = p H[1 - (d/p)] © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 51 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 52 Production Order Quantity Production Order Quantity Example Model D = 1,000 units p = 8 units per day Note: S = $10 d = 4 units per day D 1,000 H = $0.50 per unit per year d = 4 = Number of days the plant is in operation = 250 2DS Q* = H[1 - (d/p)] When annual data are used the equation becomes 2(1,000)(10) 2DS Q* = = 80,000 Q* = 0.50[1 - (4/8)] annual demand rate H 1– annual production rate = 282.8 or 283 hubcaps © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 53 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 54 9
  • 10. 10/16/2010 Quantity Discount Models Quantity Discount Models Reduced prices are often available when A typical quantity discount schedule larger quantities are purchased Trade-off is between reduced product cost Discount Discount and increased holding cost Number Discount Quantity Discount (%) Price (P) 1 0 to 999 no discount $5.00 Total cost = Setup cost + Holding cost + Product cost 2 1,000 to 1,999 4 $4.80 3 2,000 and over 5 $4.75 D Q TC = S+ H + PD Q 2 Table 12.2 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 55 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 56 Quantity Discount Models Quantity Discount Models Steps in analyzing a quantity discount Total cost curve for discount 2 Total cost curve for 1. For each discount, calculate Q* discount 1 2. If Q* for a discount doesn’t qualify, y Total cost $ t choose the smallest possible order size to get the discount Total cost curve for discount 3 b 3. Compute the total cost for each Q* or a Q* for discount 2 is below the allowable range at point a and must be adjusted upward to 1,000 units at point b adjusted value from Step 2 1st price 2nd price 4. Select the Q* that gives the lowest total break break cost 0 1,000 2,000 Figure 12.7 Order quantity © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 57 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 58 Quantity Discount Example Quantity Discount Example Calculate Q* for every discount 2DS Calculate Q* for every discount 2DS Q* = Q* = IP IP 2(5,000)(49) 2(5,000)(49) Q1* = = 700 cars/order Q1* = = 700 cars/order (.2)(5.00) ( 2)(5 00) (.2)(5.00) ( 2)(5 00) 2(5,000)(49) 2(5,000)(49) Q2* = = 714 cars/order Q2* = = 714 cars/order (.2)(4.80) (.2)(4.80) 1,000 — adjusted 2(5,000)(49) 2(5,000)(49) Q3* = = 718 cars/order Q3* = = 718 cars/order (.2)(4.75) (.2)(4.75) 2,000 — adjusted © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 59 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 60 10
  • 11. 10/16/2010 Quantity Discount Example Probabilistic Models and Safety Stock Discount Unit Order Annual Product Annual Ordering Annual Holding Used when demand is not constant Number Price Quantity Cost Cost Cost Total or certain 1 $5.00 700 $25,000 $350 $350 $25,700 Use safety stock to achieve a desired 2 $4.80 1,000 $24,000 $245 $480 $24,725 service level and avoid stockouts 3 $4.75 2,000 $23.750 $122.50 $950 $24,822.50 ROP = d x L + ss Table 12.3 Choose the price and quantity that gives Annual stockout costs = the sum of the units short the lowest total cost x the probability x the stockout cost/unit Buy 1,000 units at $4.80 per unit x the number of orders per year © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 61 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 62 Safety Stock Example Safety Stock Example ROP = 50 units Stockout cost = $40 per frame ROP = 50 units Stockout cost = $40 per frame Orders per year = 6 Carrying cost = $5 per frame per year Orders per year = 6 Carrying cost = $5 per frame per year Safety Additional Total Number of Units Probability Stock Holding Cost Stockout Cost Cost 30 .2 20 (20)($5) = $100 $0 $100 40 .2 10 (10)($5) = $ 50 (10)(.1)($40)(6) = $240 $290 ROP 50 .3 0 $ 0 (10)(.2)($40)(6) + (20)(.1)($40)(6) = $960 $960 60 .2 70 .1 A safety stock of 20 frames gives the lowest total cost 1.0 ROP = 50 + 20 = 70 frames © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 63 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 64 Probabilistic Demand Probabilistic Demand Use prescribed service levels to set safety stock when the cost of stockouts cannot be Minimum demand during lead time determined Inventory level Maximum demand during lead time y Mean demand during lead time ROP = 350 + safety stock of 16.5 = 366.5 ROP = demand during lead time + ZσdLT ROP Normal distribution probability of demand during lead time Expected demand during lead time (350 kits) where Z = number of standard deviations Safety stock 16.5 units σdLT = standard deviation of demand 0 Lead during lead time time Time Figure 12.8 Place Receive order order © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 65 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 66 11
  • 12. 10/16/2010 Probabilistic Demand Probabilistic Example Average demand = μ = 350 kits Standard deviation of demand during lead time = σdLT = 10 kits 5% stockout policy (service level = 95%) Probability of Risk of a stockout no stockout (5% of area of 95% of the time normal curve)) Using Appendix I, for an area under the curve of 95%, the Z = 1.65 Safety stock = ZσdLT = 1.65(10) = 16.5 kits Mean ROP = ? kits Quantity demand Reorder point = expected demand during lead time 350 Safety + safety stock stock = 350 kits + 16.5 kits of safety stock 0 z Number of = 366.5 or 367 kits standard deviations © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 67 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 68 Other Probabilistic Models Other Probabilistic Models When data on demand during lead time is Demand is variable and lead time is constant not available, there are other models available ROP = (average daily demand 1. 1 When demand is variable and lead x lead time in days) + ZσdLT time is constant where σd = standard deviation of demand per day 2. When lead time is variable and σdLT = σd lead time demand is constant 3. When both demand and lead time are variable © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 69 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 70 Probabilistic Example Other Probabilistic Models Average daily demand (normally distributed) = 15 Lead time is variable and demand is constant Standard deviation = 5 Lead time is constant at 2 days Z for 90% = 1.28 90% service level desired From Appendix I ROP = (daily demand x average lead time in days) ROP = (15 units x 2 days) + ZσdLT = Z x (daily demand) x σLT = 30 + 1.28(5)( 2) where σLT = standard deviation of lead time in days = 30 + 9.02 = 39.02 ≈ 39 Safety stock is about 9 iPods © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 71 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 72 12
  • 13. 10/16/2010 Probabilistic Example Other Probabilistic Models Z for 98% = 2.055 Both demand and lead time are variable Daily demand (constant) = 10 From Appendix I Average lead time = 6 days Standard deviation of lead time = σLT = 3 ROP = (average daily demand 98% service level desired x average lead time) + ZσdLT ROP = (10 units x 6 days) + 2.055(10 units)(3) where σd = standard deviation of demand per day = 60 + 61.65 = 121.65 σLT = standard deviation of lead time in days σdLT = (average lead time x σd2) Reorder point is about 122 cameras + (average daily demand)2 x σLT2 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 73 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 74 Probabilistic Example Single Period Model Average daily demand (normally distributed) = 150 Only one order is placed for a product Standard deviation = σd = 16 Average lead time 5 days (normally distributed) Units have little or no value at the end of Standard deviation = σLT = 1 day the sales period 95% service level desired Z for 95% = 1.65 1 65 From Appendix I Cs = Cost of shortage = Sales price/unit – Cost/unit Co = Cost of overage = Cost/unit – Salvage value ROP = (150 packs x 5 days) + 1.65σdLT = (150 x 5) + 1.65 (5 days x + 162) (1502 x 1 2) Cs = 750 + 1.65(154) = 1,004 packs Service level = Cs + Co © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 75 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 76 Single Period Example Single Period Example Average demand = μ = 120 papers/day Standard deviation = σ = 15 papers From Appendix I, for the area .578, Z ≅ .20 Cs = cost of shortage = $1.25 - $.70 = $.55 The optimal stocking level Co = cost of overage = $.70 - $.30 = $.40 = 120 copies + (.20)(σ) Cs Service level = = 120 + (.20)(15) = 120 + 3 = 123 papers Cs + Co Service .55 level = 57.8% The stockout risk = 1 – service level .55 + .40 .55 = 1 – .578 = .422 = 42.2% = = .578 μ = 120 .95 Optimal stocking level © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 77 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 78 13
  • 14. 10/16/2010 Fixed- Fixed-Period (P) Systems Fixed- Fixed-Period (P) Systems Target quantity (T) Orders placed at the end of a fixed period Inventory counted only at end of period Q2 Q4 On-hand inventory Order brings inventory up to target level g y p g Q1 P Q3 Only relevant costs are ordering and holding P Lead times are known and constant Items are independent from one another P Time Figure 12.9 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 79 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 80 Fixed- Fixed-Period (P) Example Fixed- Fixed-Period Systems 3 jackets are back ordered No jackets are in stock It is time to place an order Target value = 50 Inventory is only counted at each review period Order amount (Q) = Target (T) - On On- May be scheduled at convenient times y hand inventory - Earlier orders not yet Appropriate in routine situations received + Back orders May result in stockouts between Q = 50 - 0 - 0 + 3 = 53 jackets periods May require increased safety stock © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 81 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 82 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher. Printed in the United States of America. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 - 83 14